[TheClimate.Vote] December 21, 2017 - Daily Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Thu Dec 21 10:58:42 EST 2017
/December 21, 2017
/
[New Lawsuit]
"The *City of Santa Cruz and Santa Cruz County filed lawsuits today
<www.sheredling.com/climate-change-pr/>* (Dec 20, 2017) in California
state court.While these cases are similar to the San Mateo, Marin and
Imperial Beach lawsuits that were filed in July, there is an important
difference. These complaints are the first to assert climate
change-related injuries - in addition to those associated with sea level
rise. In particular, they also focus on disruptions to the hydrologic
cycle caused by fossil fuel pollution, including more frequent and
severe wildfires, heat waves, droughts, and extreme precipitation events.
As with the earlier cases, these are aimed at recovering costs
associated with climate change-related damages that are affecting – and
will continue to affect - the City and County. "
www.sheredling.com/climate-change-pr/*
PRESS RELEASE (12/20/17):*
*More Communities Seek to Protect Taxpayers from Increasing Costs of
Wildfire, Drought, Rising Seas and Extreme Precipitation
<https://www.sheredling.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/Media-Santa-Cruz-Press-Release-FINAL-121917.pdf>*
MORE COMMUNITIES SEEK TO PROTECT TAXPAYERS FROM INCREASING COSTS OF
WILDFIRE, DROUGHT, RISING SEAS AND EXTREME PRECIPITATION
City, County of Santa Cruz Go to Court to Hold Largest Fossil Fuel
Corporations Accountable for Contributions to Climate Change
(Santa Cruz, CA) - The City of Santa Cruz and Santa Cruz County today
joined a growing chorus of communities that are standing up for their
residents and businesses as they face mounting financial, environmental,
and public health costs tied to global warming. They filed separate
lawsuits in California Superior Court that for the first time go beyond
prior complaints for climate change-related damages.
Today's filings seek to hold accountable 29 oil, gas, and coal companies
not just for damages associated with sea level rise, but also for
changes to the hydrologic cycle caused by greenhouse gas pollution from
the companies' products, including more frequent and severe wildfires,
drought, and extreme precipitation events. Recent reports from the
American Meteorological Society and others confirm that these kinds of
serious climate-related changes result from warming of the planet caused
by increases in greenhouse gases.
"With miles of coastlines and steep, forested mountains, Santa Cruz
County is particularly vulnerable to impacts from climate change," said
County Supervisor Ryan Coonerty. "It's time for Big Oil, who chose
profit over people and the environment, to be held responsible. It's
time for oil companies to pay for the damage they've caused, rather than
ask local residents to pick up all the costs associated with protecting
us from sea level rise, increasing fires, and severe weather."
According to the complaints:
Defendants have known for nearly 50 years that greenhouse gas
pollution from their fossil fuel products has a significant impact
on the Earth's climate and sea levels….Instead of working to reduce
the use and combustion of fossil fuel products, lower the rate of
greenhouse gas emissions, minimize the damage associated with
continued high use and combustion of such products, and ease the
transition to a lower carbon economy, Defendants concealed the
dangers, sought to undermine public support for greenhouse gas
regulation, and engaged in massive campaigns to promote the
ever-increasing use of their products at ever greater
volumes….Defendants are directly responsible for 215.9 gigatons of
CO2 emissions between 1965 and 2015, representing 17.5% of total
emissions of that potent greenhouse gas during that period.
Numerous peer-reviewed scientific studies show clearly that pollution
from oil, gas, and coal is causing the oceans and atmosphere to warm,
sea levels to rise, and wildfires, drought and extreme precipitation
events to skyrocket. The fossil fuel companies have known for decades
that the consequences of business-as-usual combustion of their products
could be catastrophic and that only a narrow window of time existed to
take action before the damage might be irreversible.
They were so certain of the threat that some even took steps to protect
their own assets from rising seas and more extreme storms, and they
developed new technologies to profit from drilling in a soon-to-be
ice-free Arctic...
https://www.sheredling.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/Media-Santa-Cruz-Press-Release-FINAL-121917.pdf
-
*BACKGROUNDER: Hiding the Truth. Facing the Consequences.
<https://www.sheredling.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/Backgrounder-Gen-Climate-One-Pager-FINAL-121917.pdf>*
https://www.sheredling.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/Backgrounder-Gen-Climate-One-Pager-FINAL-121917.pdf
twitter: https://twitter.com/climatebrad/status/943599352496373760
[Sea level rise]
*Scientists can't tell whether sea-level rise will be bad or
catastrophic
<http://www.anthropocenemagazine.org/2017/12/scientists-cant-tell-whether-sea-level-rise-will-be-bad-or-catastrophic/>*
by Sarah DeWeerdt | Dec 19, 2017
"The ice shelves are the key," says study team member Robert DeConto, a
climatologist at the University of Massachusetts in Amherst. "They hold
back the flow of Antarctic ice toward the ocean, so we don't want to
lose them. The problem is, they don't last very long when they are
sitting in warm water or if they are covered with summer meltwater, so
keeping global temperatures in check is critical."...
The new study, which appeared last week in the journal Earth's Future,
folds these insights about hydrofracturing and ice-cliff instability
into an established model of sea level rise. The researchers, led by
Robert Kopp of Rutgers University, calculated how the retreat of
Antarctic ice sheets might affect global sea level rise through the year
2300 given different levels of carbon emissions....
Their calculations suggest that sea-level rise will be a lot worse than
past studies have estimated, especially in high- and moderate-emissions
scenarios. The difference is due largely to loss of Antarctic ice sheets....
"There's a lot of ambiguity in post-2050 projections of sea-level rise
and we may have to live with that for a while," says Kopp. "We could end
up with 8 feet of sea level-rise in 2100, but we're not likely to have
clear evidence for that by 2050."
A few decades is close to instantaneous from the perspective of human
infrastructure: By the time we know how many feet of water are coming,
there may not be time enough for us to adapt.
The researchers suggest ... a "flexible approach" to sea-level rise:
"building for the half foot to 1.3 feet of sea-level rise that are
likely by 2050, while plotting out options that will depend on what we
learn in the next few decades and how sea level rises beyond that."...
http://www.anthropocenemagazine.org/2017/12/scientists-cant-tell-whether-sea-level-rise-will-be-bad-or-catastrophic/
Source: Kopp R.E. et al. "Evolving Understanding of Antarctic Ice-Sheet
Physics and Ambiguity in Probabilistic Sea-Level Projections."
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017EF000663/full> Earth's
Future. 2017.
*Plain Language Summary*
Recent ice-sheet modeling papers have introduced new physical mechanisms
- specifically the hydrofracturing of ice shelves and the collapse of
ice cliffs - that can rapidly increase ice-sheet mass loss from a
marine-based ice-sheet, as exists in much of Antarctica. This paper
links new Antarctic model results into a sea-level rise projection
framework to examine their influence on global and regional sea-level
rise projections and their associated uncertainties, the potential
impact of projected sea-level rise on areas currently occupied by human
populations, and the implications of these projections for the ability
to constrain future changes from present observations. Under a high
greenhouse gas emission future, these new physical processes increase
median projected 21st century GMSL rise from (approximately) 80 to
150 cm. Revised median RSL projections for a high-emissions future
would, without protective measures, by 2100 submerge land currently home
to more than 153 million people. The use of a physical model indicates
that emissions matter more for 21st century sea-level change than
previous projections showed. Moreover, there is little correlation
between the contribution of Antarctic to sea-level rise by 2050 and its
contribution in 2100 and beyond, so current sea-level observations
cannot exclude future extreme outcomes.
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017EF000663/full
[Regional]
*Nine States Embrace Clean Energy by Collectively Capping Power Plant
Emissions Through 2030
<https://www.ucsusa.org/press/2017/nine-states-embrace-clean-energy-collectively-capping-power-plant-emissions-through-203-0#.Wjp7-XlG1pg>*
CAMBRIDGE, Mass. (December 19, 2017) - The nine states that make up the
Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) - the nation's first carbon
cap-and-trade program - released an updated rule today that commits the
states to collectively cutting carbon dioxide emissions from coal- and
gas-fired power plants an additional 30 percent between 2020 and 2030.
Below is a statement by Ken Kimmell, president of the
Cambridge-based Union of Concerned Scientists. Kimmell is also the
former commissioner of the Massachusetts Department of Environmental
Protection and Board Chair of the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative.
"It's heartening to see these states demonstrating bipartisan
leadership when it comes to addressing climate change, especially as
the Trump administration dismantles federal policies. The RGGI
states recognize that lowering the cap on these emissions will mean
cleaner air, a faster transition to renewable energy, job growth and
even lower electric bills as states use proceeds from the program to
invest in energy efficiency. The fact that the states tightened the
emissions cap and that the partnership of states is growing, with
New Jersey and Virginia both potentially joining, shows that the
Trump administration is out of step with the wishes of the people.
"While this initiative moves us closer to a clean energy economy,
more needs to be done. States should feel emboldened to adopt
additional complementary policies to further address heat-trapping
emissions in the power sector. And they should go beyond the power
sector. It's particularly encouraging to see Northeast and
mid-Atlantic states moving toward developing a regional plan to cut
transportation sector emissions - the largest source of global
warming pollution in the region.
"As the region continues to address climate change, it's imperative
that communities on the frontlines of climate change impacts and
global warming pollution have a say in how funds - from RGGI or
other programs - get distributed, and fully enjoy the program's
benefits."
https://www.ucsusa.org/press/2017/nine-states-embrace-clean-energy-collectively-capping-power-plant-emissions-through-203-0#.Wjp7-XlG1pg
[local]
*Thomas Fire: This weatherman tells firefighters what to expect
<http://www.scpr.org/news/2017/12/20/79065/meet-the-weatherman-watching-the-thomas-fire/>*
Not every wildfire gets a weatherman – it has to be a large, complex
fire involving multiple agencies. But in the biggest wildfires, which
are largely driven by wind, getting accurate forecasts on wind speed,
humidity and temperature is essential. In these situations, incident
meteorologists can drive firefighting strategy, according to Rudy
Everson, a public information officer working the Thomas Fire. "The
operations section and the incident commander have to decide what they
are going to be able to accomplish before the next big wind event."...
http://www.scpr.org/news/2017/12/20/79065/meet-the-weatherman-watching-the-thomas-fire/
[audio - new podcast with Tim DeChristopher]
*The Climate Workshop Episode 001 "Can we talk climate change?"
<https://climateworkshop.org/>*
Tim DeChristopher and Peter Bowden discuss Peter's entry into climate
activism and what kind of conversations they feel have been missing from
the climate movement. They challenge some of the conventional wisdom
about communicating climate change and call for a more authentic,
diverse, and humble conversation. Also, don't miss Peter's great Bill
McKibben impression!
https://climateworkshop.org/*
Global warming? Record snow on Alaska mountain peak linked to climate
change
<https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2017/dec/19/record-snow-alaska-mountain-linked-climate-change/>*
https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2017/dec/19/record-snow-alaska-mountain-linked-climate-change/
[Opinion - Los Angeles Times]
*Talking about climate change in Orwellian doublespeak doesn't make it
go away
<http://beta.latimes.com/opinion/editorials/la-ed-trump-climate-change-national-security-cdc-20171219-story.html>*
Maybe our spotlight-addicted president will declare that he has made
winters warmer, but that the "lying media" refuses to give him credit
for it.
The reality is that it is the burning of fossil fuels by humans, spewing
carbon and other greenhouse gases into the air, that has increased the
temperature of the Earth's atmosphere and oceans. And unless we take
quick and radical steps to curtail emissions and to remove some of the
carbon (through reforestation and other techniques), the world as we
know it will change, with species die-offs, coastline changes, more
intense major storms and altered drought and rain patterns. And it will
happen whether Trump uses the words "climate change" or not.
http://beta.latimes.com/opinion/editorials/la-ed-trump-climate-change-national-security-cdc-20171219-story.html
[theConversation]
*Climate change will displace millions in coming decades. Nations should
prepare now to help them*
<https://theconversation.com/climate-change-will-displace-millions-in-coming-decades-nations-should-prepare-now-to-help-them-89274>
Wildfires tearing across Southern California have forced thousands of
residents to evacuate from their homes. Even more people fled ahead of
the hurricanes that slammed into Texas and Florida earlier this year,
jamming highways and filling hotels. A viral social media post
<https://mobile.nytimes.com/2017/09/08/us/irma-flights-florida.html>
showed a flight-radar picture of people trying to escape Florida and
posed a provocative question: What if the adjoining states were
countries and didn't grant escaping migrants refuge?...
By the middle of this century, experts estimate that climate change is
likely to displace between 150 and 300 million people. If this group
formed a country, it would be the fourth-largest in the world, with a
population nearly as large as that of the United States. ...
Today the global community has not universally acknowledged the
existence of climate migrants, much less agreed on how to define them.
According to international refugee law, climate migrants are not legally
considered refugees
<https://ehs.unu.edu/blog/5-facts/5-facts-on-climate-migrants.html>.
Therefore, they have none of the protections officially accorded to
refugees, who are technically defined as people fleeing persecution. No
global agreements exist to help millions of people who are displaced by
natural disasters every year....
The scale of this challenge is unlike anything humanity has ever faced.
By midcentury, climate change is likely to uproot far more people than
World War II, which displaced some 60 million across Europe
<http://graphics.wsj.com/migrant-crisis-a-history-of-displacement/>, or
the Partition of India, which affected approximately 15 million
<https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2015/06/29/the-great-divide-books-dalrymple>.
The migration crisis that has gripped Europe since 2015 has involved
something over one million refugees and migrants
<http://publications.europa.eu/webpub/com/factsheets/migration-crisis/en/>.
It is daunting to envision much larger flows of people, but that is why
the global community should start doing so now.
https://theconversation.com/climate-change-will-displace-millions-in-coming-decades-nations-should-prepare-now-to-help-them-89274
-
*A record 65.3 million people were displaced last year: What does that
number actually mean?
<https://theconversation.com/a-record-65-3-million-people-were-displaced-last-year-what-does-that-number-actually-mean-61952>*
https://theconversation.com/a-record-65-3-million-people-were-displaced-last-year-what-does-that-number-actually-mean-61952
-
[United Nations University]
*5 facts on climate migrants*
<https://ehs.unu.edu/blog/5-facts/5-facts-on-climate-migrants.html>
*Fact 1: Climate migrants [note] are not legally considered refugees
according to international refugee law*
The media and advocacy groups often refer to climate migrants,
people on the move in relation to drought, floods, storms, as
"climate refugees". However, these people are not legally considered
refugees. 'Refugee' is a legal term which has a very specific
meaning centering on a "well-founded fear of being persecuted for
reasons of race, religion, nationality, membership of a particular
social group or political opinion...According to this convention,
people leaving their countries for reasons related to climate
stressors may not be considered refugees because the Convention does
not recognize the environment as a persecuting agent.
*Fact 2: Climate migrants are people who leave their homes because
of climate stressors*
Climate stressors, such as changing rainfall, heavy flooding, and
sea level rise, put pressure on people to leave their homes and
livelihoods behind. It makes their homes uninhabitable. These people
could live anywhere in the world ranging from the Pacific island
states such as Kiribati and Tuvalu that are dealing with sea-level
rise, to farmers in countries in West Africa who cannot cultivate
their crops or raise livestock anymore because of drought and flooding.
*Fact 3: The vulnerable are most likely to feel pressure to migrate*
Countries with a combination of low adaptive capacities, vulnerable
geographies and fragile ecosystems (such as small island states, the
Sahel Belt and low-lying mega deltas) will face the question: Do I
stay or do I go? At the same time, it is often the poorest and most
vulnerable who do not have the resources or capacity to leave their
homes. The majority of environmentally-induced migrants are likely
to come from rural areas, as their livelihoods often depend on
climate sensitive sectors, such as agriculture and fishing. However,
climate migration out of urban areas is also possible as sea level
rise affects the densely populated coastal areas.
*Fact 4: No one knows how many climate migrants will exist*
There are no reliable estimates of the number of people on the move
today or in the future as a result of environmental factors. The
reason for this is twofold: a difficulty untangling the reasons for
migration and a lack of official figures on within country movement.
Oftentimes places that experience climate stressors are also
affected by conflict situations, political instability, low levels
of economic development and human rights abuses. This makes it
difficult to establish a direct causal link between the movement of
people and the environment. The environment, including climate
change impacts, is usually one of multiple factors involved in a
person's decision to leave their home. Furthermore, a lot of
movement more directly attributable to climate stressors is within a
country (e.g. from rural to urban areas) and not across
international borders. This movement is often not officially documented.
*Fact 5: However, climate migration is a reality faced by people the
world over.*
People are already moving because of climate stressors and changing
weather patterns. Whether salinity intrusion in Bangladesh is making
it difficult for farmers to continue cultivating rice or flooding in
Kenya is killing livestock and destroying crops, people's
livelihoods are being threatened by climate stressors. In many
cases, people will adapt to these stressors by migrating.
[note] For the purpose of brevity, in this article we will refer to
those whose decision to migrate is related to environmental stressors
such as drought, floods, storms, as climate migrants. Though this is not
an official term used in policy or academia.
https://ehs.unu.edu/blog/5-facts/5-facts-on-climate-migrants.html
[Mother Jones]
*Donald Trump Has Decided Global Warming Is No Longer a Threat to
National Security
<http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2017/12/donald-trump-has-decided-global-warming-is-no-longer-a-threat-to-national-security/>*
Since Ronald Reagan, Congress has mandated presidents to present this
broad policy document. Former President Barack Obama called climate
change "an urgent and growing threat to our national security" in his
final national security strategy
<http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2015/02/obama-thinks-climate-change-urgent-and-growing-threat-national-security/2/#>,
unveiled in 2015. That document listed the accelerating effects of
warming - such as natural disasters, refugee flows and conflicts over
resources such as food and water - alongside weapons of mass destruction
and infectious disease.
By contrast, the only mention of climate in Trump's strategy appears
under a section on embracing "energy dominance," which says that while
"climate policies will continue to shape the global energy system,"
American leadership is "indispensable to countering an anti-growth
energy agenda that is detrimental to U.S. economic and energy security
interests."
http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2017/12/donald-trump-has-decided-global-warming-is-no-longer-a-threat-to-national-security/
-
[Source document PDF]
*National Security Strategy of the United States of America
<https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf>*
Whitehouse December 2017
https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf
-
[USA Today- video]
A politically inconvenient guide to Trump's national security strategy
speech
<https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2017/12/19/politically-inconvenient-guide-trumps-national-security-strategy-speech-aaron-miller-column/962139001/>
https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2017/12/19/politically-inconvenient-guide-trumps-national-security-strategy-speech-aaron-miller-column/962139001/
-
[Opinion- The Hill (blog)]
*Trump's plan is national security in name only
<http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/foreign-policy/365544-trumps-plan-is-national-security-in-name-only>*
http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/foreign-policy/365544-trumps-plan-is-national-security-in-name-only
-
[The Atlantic]
*Trump Doesn't Seem to Buy His Own National Security Strategy
<https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2017/12/nss-trump-principled-realism/548741/>*
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2017/12/nss-trump-principled-realism/548741/
[Coal]
*International Energy Agency report: Coal power generation in India
likely to rise
<http://www.newindianexpress.com/business/2017/dec/19/international-energy-agency-report-coal-power-generation-in-india-likely-to-rise-1730885.html>*
International Energy Agency (IEA) said in a report today....
Coal-fired power generation in India may increase at nearly 4 percent
per year through 2022, the Paris based Agency said adding that import of
thermal coal is likely to reduce in the light of the various initiatives
being taken by the government to reduce coal imports.
http://www.newindianexpress.com/business/2017/dec/19/international-energy-agency-report-coal-power-generation-in-india-likely-to-rise-1730885.html
[Nature]
*Increased ionization supports growth of aerosols into cloud
condensation nuclei <https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-017-02082-2>*
Abstract
Ions produced by cosmic rays have been thought to influence aerosols
and clouds. In this study, the effect of ionization on the growth of
aerosols into cloud condensation nuclei is investigated
theoretically and experimentally. We show that the mass-flux of
small ions can constitute an important addition to the growth caused
by condensation of neutral molecules. Under atmospheric conditions
the growth from ions can constitute several percent of the neutral
growth. We performed experimental studies which quantify the effect
of ions on the growth of aerosols between nucleation and sizes
>20 nm and find good agreement with theory. Ion-induced
condensation should be of importance not just in Earth's present day
atmosphere for the growth of aerosols into cloud condensation nuclei
under pristine marine conditions, but also under elevated
atmospheric ionization caused by increased supernova activity.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-017-02082-2
[Parody music]
*SINGLE CELLS (Parody of Jingle Bells)
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=96EXliItloU>*
Parody Project
Published on Dec 19, 2017
LYRICS by Don Caron
inspired by the high volume of recurring insults (specifically libtard,
snowflake, moron, and butt-hurt) in the comments section of the Parody
Project Facebook page.
They called us all snowflakes!
We thought that was quite nice.
All snowflakes are unique.
You'll never see one twice,
and when they are combined
their unity is strong,
go stand beneath a calving glacier
If you think I'm wrong.
Oh the things they will make up
and sheeple call us sheep
then tell us to wake up
while they are fast asleep.
They'll tell you what you think
so they can shoot it down
Then finish up with cogent points
like moron libtard clown
Single cells, shallow wells
calling people names
when there is no argument
then only that remains
single cells, shallow wells
going all the way
Fake news is their first response
to everything we say
They tell us we're butthurt
But I don't think it's true
I think I'd notice if
my anus were askew
But that part feels just fine
no reason for concern
and I'm sure that isn't what we meant
when we said "Feel the Bern."
Single cells, shallow wells
calling people names
when there is no argument
then only that remains
single cells, shallow wells
going all the way
Fake news is their first response
to everything we say
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=96EXliItloU
*This Day in Climate History December 21, 2015
<http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/21/opinion/the-donald-and-the-decider.html?ref=opinion>
- from D.R. Tucker*
December 21, 2015:
New York Times columnist Paul Krugman discusses the political and
cultural dynamics that fueled the rise of climate-change denier and
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump:
"Why don’t Republican voters seem to care?
"Well, part of the answer has to be that the party taught them not to
care. Bluster and belligerence as substitutes for analysis, disdain
for any kind of measured response, dismissal of inconvenient facts
reported by the 'liberal media' didn’t suddenly arrive on the
Republican scene last summer. On the contrary, they have long been key
elements of the party brand. So how are voters supposed to know where
to draw the line?
"Let’s talk first about the legacy of He Who Must Not Be Named.
"I don’t know how many readers remember the 2000 election, but during
the campaign Republicans tried — largely successfully — to make the
election about likability, not policy. George W. Bush was supposed to
get your vote because he was someone you’d enjoy having a beer with,
unlike that stiff, boring guy Al Gore with all his facts and figures.
"And when Mr. Gore tried to talk about policy differences, Mr. Bush
responded not on the substance but by mocking his opponent’s 'fuzzy
math' — a phrase gleefully picked up by his supporters. The press
corps played right along with this deliberate dumbing-down: Mr. Gore
was deemed to have lost debates, not because he was wrong, but because
he was, reporters declared, snooty and superior, unlike the affably
dishonest W."
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/21/opinion/the-donald-and-the-decider.html?ref=opinion
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