[TheClimate.Vote] December 29, 2017 - Daily Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Fri Dec 29 09:56:04 EST 2017
/December 29, 2017
/
[USA Today]
*It's cold outside, but that doesn't mean climate change isn't real
<https://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2017/12/28/its-cold-outside-but-doesnt-mean-climate-change-isnt-real/987948001/>*
Even as the world gets hotter on average, winter isn't going away, and
there will still be extremely cold spells, climate scientists say. And
even now, most of the world outside North America is warmer than usual
for this time of year. In the Arctic and Alaska, recent temperatures
have averaged 10-25 degrees above normal, said Zack Labe, a doctoral
candidate studying Earth systems science at the University of
California, Irvine.
"Climate change will not occur evenly from place-to-place. While your
backyard may be having an intense cold snap, others may be having
unseasonably warm temperatures. Climate is all about long-term trends,"
Labe said in an email.
President Trump suggested late Thursday that this week's cold weather
undermines the science of climate change. Trump tweeted: "In the East,
it could be the COLDEST New Year's Eve on record. Perhaps we could use a
little bit of that good old Global Warming."
Since modern record-keeping began in 1880, the 10 hottest years ever
measured have all been since 1998, according to the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration. The three hottest years on record are 2016,
2015 and 2014, in that order. Scientists at NOAA and NASA have said 2017
is likely to snag the second or third spot on the list.
https://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2017/12/28/its-cold-outside-but-doesnt-mean-climate-change-isnt-real/987948001/
[BBC audio]
*Prince Charles: 'Technology won't solve climate change'
<http://www.bbc.com/news/av/science-environment-42494961/prince-charles-technology-won-t-solve-climate-change>*
The Prince of Wales has said technology is not the answer to tackling
climate change.
Prince Charles said it would help but that we need to deal with the
symptoms. He says the problem is we have "abandoned our connection with
nature".
He was speaking with Prince Harry on the occasion of his son's guest
editorship of the Today Programme
You can download a podcast of the full interview
<http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p02nrtvg/episodes/downloads>
http://www.bbc.com/news/av/science-environment-42494961/prince-charles-technology-won-t-solve-climate-change
[Futurism]
*Climate Change Is Going to Drive Thousands of Refugees to Cooler
Countries
<https://futurism.com/climate-change-going-drive-thousands-refugees-cooler-countries/>*
By the end of the century, climate change may drive 660,000 additional
asylum seekers per year toward Europe. Growing mass migration is only
one of the social and environmental consequences of increasing temperatures.
Climate change doesn't just warm the air and melt glaciers. It acts as a
"threat multiplier," playing on the vulnerabilities of ecosystems and
communities in ways that we are yet to fully understand
<https://futurism.com/videos/delicate-ecosystems-are-disrupted-by-climate-change/>.
Migration is a case in point: the way it's changing, and is projected to
change in the future, highlights how the impacts of climate change on
one place spill over to other parts of the world. A new study in Science
<http://science.sciencemag.org/content/358/6370/1610> finds that as
crops fail in agricultural regions of the world, more people will seek
asylum
<https://futurism.com/new-zealand-wants-to-create-visas-for-people-displaced-by-climate-change/>in
Europe in the coming decades. If the current warming trends were to
continue, the research predicts that by 2100 Europe will receive around
660,000 extra applicants each year.
As mass migration is already causing tensions
<https://futurism.com/innovative-refugee-project-wins-major-award-for-its-blockchain-solution/>
all over the world, leaders will have to find new strategies to manage
<https://futurism.com/former-nasa-climate-chief-warns-that-earth-could-become-practically-ungovernable/>
the growing nomad communities of the future.
https://futurism.com/climate-change-going-drive-thousands-refugees-cooler-countries/
[climate migration]
*How climate change could drive immigration to the United States from
Mexico
<http://www.king5.com/article/news/nation-now/how-climate-change-could-drive-immigration-to-the-united-states-from-mexico/465-d42f03e2-beb6-4ffa-b524-b8307a53d76f>*
A 2010 study co-authored by Oppenheimer found that up to 6.7 million
people could come to the United States from Mexico as a result of global
warming by 2080. A study last year from researchers at the University of
California Davis projected just 41,000 additional immigrants over the
next 50 years as a result of climate change.
What those studies and others have in common is a finding that high
temperatures and reduced rainfall — conditions that are becoming more
common with climate change — have contributed to past waves of migration
from Mexico to the United States.
http://www.king5.com/article/news/nation-now/how-climate-change-could-drive-immigration-to-the-united-states-from-mexico/465-d42f03e2-beb6-4ffa-b524-b8307a53d76f
[Ethics and Climate]
*Why Overcoming Instrumental Rationality In Climate Change Policy
Controversies Is a First Order Problem Preventing Ethical Principles
From Getting Traction to Guide Climate Change Policy Formation
<https://ethicsandclimate.org/2017/12/28/why-overcoming-instrumental-rationality-in-climate-change-policy-controversies-is-a-first-order-problem-preventing-ethical-principles-from-getting-traction-to-guide-climate-change-policy-formation/>*
As we have explained frequently on Ethicsandclimate.org, climate change
is a problem with features that particularly require that it be seen and
responded to as an ethical problem even more than other environmental
problems...
[C]limate change is a problem about which many of its greatest victims
can do little to protect themselves by petitioning their governments for
protection. The victims' best hope is that the those high-emitting
nations and people causing the problem will see that they have duties to
climate change victims to avoid harming them.
The ethical dimensions of climate change are important to understand
because unless those nations and individuals that are emitting high
levels of greenhouse gases (GHGs) reduce their emissions in accordance
with their ethical obligations, climate change will eventually cause
great harm to all but particularly to those who are most vulnerable to
climate change impacts and who usually have done little to cause the
great harm.
Governments around the world have agreed...
- to adopt national climate change policies on the basis of several
ethical principles
- to apply the precautionary principle that prohibits nations from using
scientific uncertainty as an excuse for not taking action
- and to enact policies that limit warming to between 1.5 to 2.0 degrees C
In addition there are numerous other non-controversial ethical norms...
- including the "no harm principle" which obligates nations to prevent
people or entities within their jurisdiction from harming people and
nations outside their borders
- and the "polluter pays principle" which requires those nations
causing harm from pollution to pay for the damages they cause
Yet most nations are completely ignoring these ethical obligations...
An understanding the ethical problems with instrumental rationality
leads to an understanding of why nations often ignore even
well-established ethical principles in policy formation such as the
ethical principle that no nation should harm others outside their
jurisdiction on the basis of national economic interest.
For this reason, a first-order problem on the road to a world which
formulates policies guided by ethical principles is to open policy
formation controversies to express consideration of ethical issues. This
goal requires that those engaged in policy formation spot and identify
the ethical issues frequently hidden in economic and scientific
arguments against proposed policies that currently dominate policy
formation controversies on environmental issues around the world...
Unfortunately most professionals engaged in environmental policy
formation have no training that would help them identify the hidden
ethical issues embedded in arguments made against environmental and
sustainable development policies. Nor do those NGOs who participate in
controversies about these issues have the training to spot ethical
problems made by opponents of proposed policies that are derived from
various forms of instrumental rationality.
https://ethicsandclimate.org/2017/12/28/why-overcoming-instrumental-rationality-in-climate-change-policy-controversies-is-a-first-order-problem-preventing-ethical-principles-from-getting-traction-to-guide-climate-change-policy-formation/
[EXISTENTIAL CRISIS]
*We need to talk about "ecoanxiety": Climate change is causing PTSD,
anxiety, and depression on a mass scale
<https://qz.com/948909/ecoanxiety-the-american-psychological-association-says-climate-change-is-causing-ptsd-anxiety-and-depression-on-a-mass-scale/>*
Zoe Schlanger
Depression, anxiety, grief, despair, stress—even suicide: The damage of
unfolding climate change isn't only counted in water shortages and
wildfires, it's likely eroding mental health on a mass scale, too,
reports the American Psychological Association, the preeminent
organization of American mental health professionals.
Direct, acute experience with a changing climate—the trauma of losing a
home or a loved one to a flood or hurricane, for example—can bring
mental health consequences that are sudden and severe. After Hurricane
Katrina, for example, suicide and suicidal ideation among residents of
areas affected by the disaster more than doubled according to a paper
led by Harvard Medical School
<https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2556982/>, while one in
six met the criteria for PTSD, according to a Columbia University-led
paper <https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3904670/>. Elevated
PTSD levels have also been found among people who live through wildfires
<https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24852323> and extreme storms
<https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25068940>, sometimes lasting
several years.
But slower disasters like the "unrelenting day-by-day despair" of a
prolonged drought, or more insidious changes like food shortages, rising
sea levels, and the gradual loss of natural environments, will "cause
some of the most resounding chronic psychological consequences," the APA
writes in its 69-page review of existing scientific literature
<http://www.apa.org/news/press/releases/2017/03/mental-health-climate.pdf>,
co-authored by Climate for Health and EcoAmerica, both environmental
organizations. "Gradual, long-term changes in climate can also surface a
number of different emotions, including fear, anger, feelings of
powerlessness, or exhaustion."...
For people not yet living directly in the path of climate change, mental
health problems can also be triggered indirectly, from "watching the
slow and seemingly irrevocable impacts of climate change unfold, and
worrying about the future for oneself, children, and later generations."
Such existential anxiety, in other words, can touch anyone grappling
with the larger-than-life impacts of a warming planet. Psychologists and
researchers are beginning to call this condition "ecoanxiety," a term
that's been popping up in research papers in recent years...
Treating patients for psychological distress about a changing
environment is not exactly new—but it is niche. In 2011, a New York
Times article highlighted an organization called the International
Community for Ecopsychology, which currently has a modest directory of
31 therapists specializing in environment-related distress. At the time,
a spokesperson for the American Psychological Association told the paper
the APA was neutral towards the new field, but was "certainly watching it."
Now the APA is throwing its full weight behind it, urging broad
recognition of the connection between mental health and climate change:
That the changing environment is a legitimate source of distress already
affecting many people, and it has the potential to be psychologically
destabilizing.
"To compound the issue, the psychological responses to climate change,
such as conflict avoidance, fatalism, fear, helplessness, and
resignation are growing," the APA notes. "These responses are keeping
us, and our nation, from properly addressing the core causes of and
solutions for our changing climate, and from building and supporting
psychological resiliency."
https://qz.com/948909/ecoanxiety-the-american-psychological-association-says-climate-change-is-causing-ptsd-anxiety-and-depression-on-a-mass-scale/
[register for Jan 31]
*Sound Science and Sound Journalism in an Era of Fake News
<https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/4703054722158057219>*
Wed, Jan 31, 2018 1:15 PM - 2:15 PM EST
REGISTER AT http://bit.ly/2Dv9Q5X
Join Island Press and the Security and Sustainability Forum in a sixty
minute discussion about how journalists conduct their research and
investigations, confirm facts, ferret out false information and maintain
a sound basis for their reporting.
Island Press in partnership with the Security and Sustainability Forum
has set a date for our upcoming webinar featuring Carey Gillam, veteran
journalist and author of Whitewash: The Story of a Weed Killer, Cancer,
and the Corruption of Science. On January 31 at 1:15 PM EST Carey will
be joined by Dr. Dana Barr, Environmental Health Professor at Emory's
Rollins School of Public Health for a a conversation on sound science
and sound journalism in an era of fake news. The discussion will be
moderated by journalist Paul Thacker and will be followed by a question
and answer session.
https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/4703054722158057219
*Global Warming Is a Slow-moving Civilization-ending Catastrophe
<https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/global-warming-is-a-slow-moving-civilization-ending_us_5a42a196e4b0d86c803c7396>*
Robert Jay Lifton calls a swerve for alternatives to fossil fuels.
Lifton, a 90-year-old psychiatrist and a 60-year veteran critic of
nukes, imagines the swerve like a life-changing decision, a change of
heart that pictures "our evolving awareness of our predicament."..
Lifton wisely put his considerable experience and wisdom in his latest
timely and important book: "The Climate Swerve: Reflections on Mind,
Hope, and Survival" (The New Press, 2017).
Coming out of this nuclear reality of the twentieth century, Lifton
grasped at global warming as another encompassing reality interacting
with nuclear weapons "in the darkness of that apocalyptic category." He
connects the 2015 UN Paris Climate Conference with a "dark vision of
massive death and violence."..
In fact, all countries know, or suspect, the future will be unforgiving.
The apocalyptic twins are surrounding the Earth. Nuclear states maintain
thousands of nukes on the ready to commit global mayhem. Climate change,
says Lifton, is "rampant, irreversible, and more powerful than any
antidote we may bring to it."
Lifton also sees the absurdity of global warming. No need to fight a
war. Just keep the fossil fuels in business: "We needn't do anything -
other than what we are already doing - to endanger the future of our
species," he writes.
Lifton praises Pope Francis for his 2015 encyclical urging the
"ecological conversion" of all people. That's wonderful. But if the Pope
were serious, he would excommunicate the CEOs of fossil fuel companies.
Excommunication is a weapon of tremendous power, especially in these
times when Trump and his oil company cronies think nothing of lighting
more fire under the hot Earth.
https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/global-warming-is-a-slow-moving-civilization-ending_us_5a42a196e4b0d86c803c7396
-
*The Climate Swerve: Reflections on Mind, Hope, and Survival - Robert
Jay Lifton
<https://www.amazon.com/Climate-Swerve-Reflections-Mind-Survival/dp/1620973472/ref=sr_1_1>*
From "one of the world's foremost thinkers" (Bill Moyers), a profound,
hopeful, and timely call for an emerging new collective consciousness to
combat climate change
https://www.amazon.com/Climate-Swerve-Reflections-Mind-Survival/dp/1620973472/ref=sr_1_1?
[The Guardian]
*US government climate report looks at how the oceans are buffering
climate change
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2017/dec/26/us-government-climate-report-looks-at-how-the-oceans-are-buffering-climate-change>*
A key chapter of the US Global Change Research Program Report
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2017/nov/27/american-leaders-should-read-their-official-climate-science-report>
deals with how the oceans are being impacted by human carbon pollution..
In the recently released US Global Change Research Program Report, one
of the chapters I was most interested in was about the changes we've
observed in the world's oceans. The oceans are really the key to the
climate change issue, whether that be in quantifying how fast it's
happening or how much will happen in the future. As humans emit
greenhouse gases (particularly carbon dioxide), we see some major
changes that cannot be explained naturally.
The oceans are important because they act as a buffer; that is, they
absorb much of the effects of greenhouse gases. In fact, the oceans
absorb a lot of human carbon pollution. This is a big help for us
because without the oceans, the climate would change much faster.
But in a certain way, the oceans are hurting us too. Since the oceans
absorb so much of our carbon pollution and the resulting heat (93% of
the extra heat), they turn a short-term problem into a long-term problem...
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2017/dec/26/us-government-climate-report-looks-at-how-the-oceans-are-buffering-climate-change
[Classic essay]
*'Hope is an embrace of the unknown': Rebecca Solnit on living in dark
times
<https://www.theguardian.com/books/2016/jul/15/rebecca-solnit-hope-in-the-dark-new-essay-embrace-unknown>*
We may be living through times of unprecedented change, but in
uncertainty lies the power to influence the future. Now is not the time
to despair, but to act
https://www.theguardian.com/books/2016/jul/15/rebecca-solnit-hope-in-the-dark-new-essay-embrace-unknown
*This Day in Climate History December 29, - from D.R. Tucker*
December 29, 2009: Washington Post writer Ezra Klein excoriates members
of the
US Senate who have developed cold feet about addressing global warming:
"Amidst all this, conservative Senate Democrats are waving off the
idea of serious action in 2010. But not because they're opposed. Oh,
heavens no! It's because of abstract concerns over the political
difficulties the problem presents. Sen. Kent Conrad (D-N.D.), for
instance, avers that 'climate change in an election year has very poor
prospects.' That's undoubtedly true, though it is odd to say that the
American system of governance can only solve problems every other
year. Sen. Evan Bayh (D-Ind.) says that 'we need to deal with the
phenomena of global warming,' but wants to wait until the economy is
fixed.
"Rather than commenting abstractly on the difficulty of doing this,
Conrad and Bayh and others could make it easier by saying things like
'we simply have to do this, it's our moral obligation as legislators,'
and trying to persuade reporters to write stories about how even
moderates such as Conrad and Byah are determined to do this. They
could schedule meetings with other senators begging them to take this
seriously, leveraging the credibility and goodwill built over decades
in the Senate. They could spend money on TV ads in their state,
talking directly into the camera, explaining to their constituents
that they don't like having to face this problem, but see no choice.
That effort might fail - probably will, in fact - but it's got a
better chance of success than not trying. And this is, well, pretty
important."
http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezra-klein/2009/12/climate_change_is_bad_but_the.html
/
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