[TheClimate.Vote] June 17, 2017 - Daily Global Warming News
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Sat Jun 17 12:05:06 EDT 2017
/June 17, 2017/
*
Severe Weather Alert for Needles, California 126 degrees
<https://www.wunderground.com/us/ca/needles>*
Active Advisory: Excessive Heat Warning Tuesday June 20th
The heatwave will be worst in Arizona, SE California (Palm Springs and
Death Valley), and California’s Central Valley (Sacramento/Fresno).
*Temps in some locations are forecast to go well above 120˚ F. *
https://www.wunderground.com/us/ca/needles
-
*Increased Extreme Heat and Heat Waves
<http://www.climatesignals.org/climate-signals/increased-extreme-heat-and-heat-waves>*
Climate Signals has just published a fully-annotated run-down of the
latest science:
<http://www.climatesignals.org/climate-signals/increased-extreme-heat-and-heat-waves>
Global warming has amplified the intensity, duration and frequency of
extreme heat events. The National Academy of Sciences reports and
validates <https://www.nap.edu/read/21852/chapter/6#90> numerous studies
as well as two major science assessment reviews that definitively
identify the fingerprint of human influence in driving the changes
observed to date.
These events occur on multiple time scales - from a single day or week,
to months or entire seasons—and are defined by temperatures
significantly above the historic average for that period.
The climate has shifted significantly, leading to more heat records in
every season. The number of local record-breaking average monthly
temperature extremes worldwide is now on average five times larger than
expected in a climate with no long-term warming. 85 percent of recent
record-hot days globally have been attributed to climate change. ..
http://www.climatesignals.org/climate-signals/increased-extreme-heat-and-heat-waves
-
Signals has also assembled the attached unbranded infographic pulling
from NASA’s Design Studio.
<https://twitter.com/ClimateSignals/status/875864745022152704>
Tweeted here: https://twitter.com/ClimateSignals/status/875864745022152704
#NotYourImagination - extreme heat events
now much more frequent: https://t.co/GIDAzZiIpG #AZwx #CAwx
and much more severe: https://t.co/BwEbAQIByz
-
*Climate Signals <https://twitter.com/ClimateSignals>*
#ClimateSignals is a digital platform that maps the impacts of climate
change.
A project of Climate Nexus, currently in beta:
http://www.climatesignals.org
https://twitter.com/ClimateSignals
Bank of England to probe banks' exposure to*climate change*
<https://www.ft.com/content/ec4d3446-52a1-11e7-a1f2-db19572361bb>
The Bank of England will probe banks’ exposure to climate change as it
steps up efforts to tackle what it says are “significant” financial
threats posed by global warming.
Climate change experts said the BoE’s decision to do an internal review
of the banking sector, which the central bank revealed on its website on
Friday, marked a first.
“This is ground-breaking,” said Ben Caldecott, director of the
sustainable finance programme at Oxford University’s Smith School of
Enterprise and the Environment. “This is the first time a financial
regulator has looked at climate risk in such a comprehensive way and at
the banking sector in particular.”
https://www.ft.com/content/ec4d3446-52a1-11e7-a1f2-db19572361bb
*Climate Change*Would Be the Perfect Target of Jeff Bezos'
Philanthropic Plans
<http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2017/06/unfortunately_amazon_doesn_t_have_a_great_record_when_it_comes_to_sustainability.html>
Unfortunately, the CEO notorious for thinking long term is focusing his
giving on “right now” problems.
By Nick Thieme
Better that Bezos spends his money on “right now” philanthropy than no
philanthropy at all. But it’s disappointing that Bezos, the king of
long-term thinking, isn’t more interested in one of the biggest
long-term problems there is: climate change. You would think that given
his slow and methodical approach to his other endeavors (as creepy and
monopolistically intended as they may be), this would be the perfect
issue for him to take on—particularly if he’s interested in
“contributing to society and civilization.” After all, as the oft-cited
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Fifth Assessment Report
makes clear, the food shortages and increasingly dangerous weather
events expected to occur during the next century will disproportionately
affect people who can least afford it.
Climate change seems tailor-made for Bezos, but given his company’s
record on the topic, perhaps it’s not surprising that he’s not that
interested. Amazon’s corporate page intimates an interest in addressing
climate change, as is basically standard for corporations these days.
But the company is not doing so hot in this area. Greenpeace’s 2017
Click Clean report, a yearly report card that grades major IT companies
on their sustainability efforts, gives Amazon a C grade. It received
this grade, partly, because 24 percent of its energy comes from natural
gas and 30 percent of it comes from coal. (Compare that with Google’s 14
percent and 15 percent in those same energy categories.) The company
also receives an F in energy transparency.
The 2017 Click Clean report reminds us that if the IT sector (made of
companies including Amazon, Google, Facebook, and Akamai) was a country,
the amount of energy it consumes would be third in the world, behind
only the U.S and China. Bezos has personally invested in some renewable
energy endeavors, but mostly in “moonshot” technologies like nuclear
fusion and oil grown from algae (a project that has since failed)....
http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2017/06/unfortunately_amazon_doesn_t_have_a_great_record_when_it_comes_to_sustainability.html
Houston fears*climate change*will cause catastrophic flooding: 'It's
not if, it's when'
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/jun/16/texas-flooding-houston-climate-change-disaster>
Human activity is worsening the problem in an already rainy area, and
there could be damage worthy of a disaster movie if a storm hits the
industrial section
Houston is situated in a low-lying coastal area with poorly draining
soils and is subject to heavy rainfall events and storm surge events,
which makes it very prone to flooding. And the climate is changing. In
Galveston Bay the sea level is rising. We know the area is experiencing
more heavy downpours,” Brody said...
“It pales in comparison with the other driving force, which is the built
environment. If you’re going to put 4 million people in this
flood-vulnerable area in a way which involves ubiquitous application of
impervious surfaces, you’re going to get flooding.”...
In other words: there is a lot of concrete in Houston. In 2000, 4.7
million people lived in the Houston metropolitan area. Now the
population is about 6.5 million. While efforts are under way to densify
and improve public transport in the urban core, much of the growth has
been suburban, where houses are big and cheap and commuters drive long
distances on some of the world’s widest freeways. The city keeps
loosening its belt: a third ring-road cuts through exurbs some 30 miles
from downtown, spurring more expansion....
The danger is lessened, too, by the natural defence of the western
plains – but here, water-retaining grasses are being replaced by
non-absorbent surfaces, which encourage water to travel downstream.
Brody calculates that each new square metre of pavement in Houston on
average adds $4,000 worth of flood damage...
“The truth is that most of the flooding in Houston is manmade,” said Ed
Browne, another member, pointing out that many people who get flooded,
Bixler included, are not in the 100-year floodplain – an area calculated
to have a 1% annual chance of flooding....
“The truth is that most of the flooding in Houston is manmade,” said Ed
Browne, another member, pointing out that many people who get flooded,
Bixler included, are not in the 100-year floodplain – an area calculated
to have a 1% annual chance of flooding...
It is not lost on environmental activists that those refineries, as part
of the fossil fuels industry, may be imperiled by extreme weather linked
to climate change....
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/jun/16/texas-flooding-houston-climate-change-disaster
If cities really want to fight*climate change*, they have to fight
cars
<http://grist.org/article/if-cities-really-want-to-fight-climate-change-they-have-to-fight-cars/>
If there's an American polity with more evident devotion to fighting
climate change, I don't know where. The town is home to the University
of California and the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.
http://grist.org/article/if-cities-really-want-to-fight-climate-change-they-have-to-fight-cars/
Lake Tanganyika hit by*climate change*and over-fishing
<http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/business-40303920/lake-tanganyika-hit-by-climate-change-and-over-fishing>
Millions of people rely on Lake Tanganyika for their livelihoods. But
the second largest lake in Africa is in crisis. It is suffering from the
effects of climate change, over-fishing and deforestation and has been
nominated by the Global Nature Fund as ...
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/business-40303920/lake-tanganyika-hit-by-climate-change-and-over-fishing
*
**CO2 Removal: Innovation of the week <Innovation%20of%20the%20week>*
A Swiss startup wants to fight climate change with machines that suck
carbon dioxide out of the air, said Adele Peters in FastCompany.com.
Zurich-based Climeworks’ CO2 collectors are housed in shipping
containers. “Small fans pull air into the collectors, where a
sponge-like filter soaks up carbon dioxide,” which is later released “in
a pure form that can be sold, made into other products, or buried
underground.” Eventually, governments and corporations may pay the
company to remove CO2 from the atmosphere to meet ambitious climate
goals, though the collecting machines would need “to be built at massive
scale” to make an impact. Climeworks estimates that it would need
750,000 shipping container–size units to capture 1 percent of global
emissions. That number is not as outlandish as it seems, however. “The
same number of shipping containers pass through the Port of Shanghai
every two weeks.”
https://magazine.theweek.com/editions/com.dennis.theweek.issue.issue827/data/52762/index.html
Nuisance Coastal Flooding,*Global Warming*, Sea-Level Rise
<http://www.capenews.net/falmouth/columns/nuisance-coastal-flooding-global-warming-sea-level-rise/article_989e52aa-4975-5aaf-abd7-f9820e21c93a.html>
One of the most well-known and most severe impacts is rise in sea level,
caused by a combination of melting of land-based ice sheets and thermal
expansion of the oceans. For Falmouth, as a coastal community already
facing serious coastal issues such as erosion, storm-surge flooding, and
salt-water intrusion into freshwater aquifers, the risk of sea -level
rise and other global warming impacts deserves immediate attention from
town leaders and the public alike....
Scientific projections of sea-level rise are imprecise due to a
combination of lack of reliable data on likely future carbon emissions
and especially the complexity of Earth’s systems that affect weather and
ultimately global climate.
Clearly awareness and planning for coastal resilience is needed to deal
with long term sea-level rise, but a more immediate risk to Falmouth and
other Cape communities is “nuisance coastal flooding.” This is extreme
flooding of low elevation areas that occurs mostly during high spring
tides in conjunction with winds from the southwest. Sea-level rise is
causing high tides to reach higher ground and flood larger areas and the
frequency and duration of flooding are increasing. Impacts from
recurrent coastal flooding include overwhelmed stormwater drainage
capacity, frequent road closures, and general deterioration and
corrosion of infrastructure (e.g. bridges, sewer/septic systems, roads)
not designed to withstand frequent inundation or salt-water exposure.
http://www.capenews.net/falmouth/columns/nuisance-coastal-flooding-global-warming-sea-level-rise/article_989e52aa-4975-5aaf-abd7-f9820e21c93a.html
*What do you need to know about climate?
<http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=20441>*
Filed under: Climate impacts Climate modelling Climate Science
Communicating Climate downscaling Scientific practice Solutions — rasmus
@ 14 June 2017
What do you need to know about climate in order to be in the best
position to adapt to future change? This question was discussed in a
European workshop on Copernicus climate services during a heatwave in
Barcelona, Spain (June 12-14).
The answer is not clear-cut, even after having some information about
user requirements from a survey to identify a direction for data
evaluation for climate models (DECM). The survey is still being carried out.
Some of the key issues concerning user requirements include essential
climate variables (ECVs), climate data storage (CDS), evaluation and
quality control (EQC), and fitness for purpose (F4P). I include their
acronyms here since they often appear in reports and discussions and
their meaning is not always obvious.
The ghost that keeps coming back is “uncertainty”. The data give an
incomplete description of the world, and include some inaccuracies. How
significant are these, and how closely do they represent the aspects
which they are meant to describe?
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=20441
*New Denier Study So Bad Even Deniers Are Somewhat Skeptical
<https://www.desmogblog.com/2017/06/16/denier-study-skeptical-epa-science-air-pollution-bastasch>*
guest post by ClimateDenierRoundup
It goes without saying that peer review is an important safeguard
against shoddy pseudoscience. Peer reviewers are so vital to the
scientific endeavour that they recently got their own monument!
But peer review is not a perfect process. It’s necessary to ensure
quality science, of course. But sometimes peer review goes wrong. For
example, a journal whose editor is a climate denier with ties to
Heartland recently published a paper claiming to refute the greenhouse
theory. The paper is so bad that one scientist told DeSmog it is
“laughable,” in part because the paper takes issue with the fact that
greenhouses have glass roofs, and the atmosphere does not.
Seriously.
So although deniers try to downplay the importance of the consensus to
claim that a vast global conspiracy keeps their work out of
peer-reviewed journals, it’s not impossible for their shoddy science to
get published.
Most recently, Daily Caller’s Michael Bastasch, our favorite Koch
operative masquerading as a reporter, covered a new study by “veteran
statistician Stan Young” claiming to “expose huge flaws in EPA science.”
Surprisingly, Bastasch included a number of reasons to question the
accuracy of the study.
The post starts with an indication that Young’s study had been shopped
around for three years before being peer-review published. Bastasch also
includes a quote from reviewers who rejected the study from other
journals, and a surprisingly lengthy section about the EPA’s decades-old
establishment of the lethality of PM 2.5 pollution.
Bastasch mentions that the backstory on the struggle for this paper to
pass peer review comes from a book, Scare Pollution. For some reason, he
fails to mention that this book is written by Steve Milloy, the guy who
wrote columns for Fox News until it was revealed that he was a tobacco
industry lobbyist before becoming a fossil fuel booster. While Milloy
does not appear to be an author of the study, he refers to it on his
site JunkScience as “My California study” (the research is based on
California health info).
The Milloy connection hints at the backstory behind the study, which is
an attempt to debunk the seminal Six Cities study from Harvard that
established the link between pollution and mortality. Because of its use
by the EPA as a justification for regulations, the Six Cities study has
long been a target for anti-EPA and pro-industry forces, particularly
Lamar Smith.
While we haven’t yet dug into the details of the study, we hope some of
you smart people do soon. It will likely make an appearance in Congress
the next time someone wants to argue against EPA regulations.
And when even their denier peers include multiple red flags about how it
struggled to pass peer-review, it shouldn’t be too hard to debunk this
study purporting to debunk decades of studies.
https://www.desmogblog.com/2017/06/16/denier-study-skeptical-epa-science-air-pollution-bastasch
*This Day in Climate History June 17, 2011
<http://www.dallasnews.com/opinion/latest-columns/20110617-steve-chapman-republicans-must-return-to-pro-environmental-roots-.ece>
- from D.R. Tucker*
Syndicated columnist Steve Chapman notes that at some point, Republicans
will have to knock it off with climate-change denial and propose
solutions to the problem:
"Conservatives fear liberals will use climate change to justify
heavy-handed intrusive regulation and wasteful subsidies, and they are
right to worry. But that’s no excuse for pretending global warming is a
myth or refusing to do anything about it. It's an argument for devising
cost-effective, market-based remedies that minimize bureaucratic control.
"If today's Republican attitude had prevailed four decades ago,
Americans would not have such vital measures as the Clean Air Act and
the Clean Water Act. Then, many people worried that environmentalism
would strangle economic growth and personal freedom. But both have
survived and even flourished.
"Conservatives once understood that corporations are not entitled to
foul the environment, any more than individuals have the right to dump
garbage in the street. Barry Goldwater, the 1964 GOP presidential
nominee, wrote, 'When pollution is found, it should be halted at the
source, even if this requires stringent government action.'"
http://www.dallasnews.com/opinion/latest-columns/20110617-steve-chapman-republicans-must-return-to-pro-environmental-roots-.ece
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