[TheClimate.Vote] May 19, 2017 - Daily Global Warming News
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Fri May 19 09:23:35 EDT 2017
/May 19, 2017/
http://*climatenewsnetwork.net*/warming-exceed-1-5c-limit-2026/
*Warming could exceed 1.5°C limit by 2026
<http://climatenewsnetwork.net/warming-exceed-1-5c-limit-2026/>*
The planet is on course to breach the internationally agreed warming
limit of 1.5°C within 10 years, according to new research from
Australia. By Tim Radford
LONDON, 18 May, 2017 - Australian scientists have warned that
planetary average temperatures could breach the internationally
agreed target barrier of a 1.5°C rise
<http://climatenewsnetwork.us6.list-manage1.com/track/click?u=6e13c74c17ec527c4be72d64f&id=47619228ab&e=30dc80e2f6>
as early as 2026.
Although global warming is driven by human behaviour - and in
particular the prodigal burning of fossil fuels at an
ever-accelerating rate to dump ever-greater quantities of carbon
dioxide in the atmosphere - it is also influenced by natural climate
rhythms.
And, say scientists from Australia's Centre of Excellence for
Climate System Science, one of these is a slow-moving oceanic and
atmospheric cycle called the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO),
which blows hot and cold and then hot again, every decade or so. The
latest hot phase could be about to push the global thermometer
beyond the ideal limit set by the UN climate conference in Paris in
2015
<http://climatenewsnetwork.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=6e13c74c17ec527c4be72d64f&id=63edec5d07&e=30dc80e2f6>.
They write in Geophysical Research Letters
<http://climatenewsnetwork.us6.list-manage.com/track/click?u=6e13c74c17ec527c4be72d64f&id=12ac17713e&e=30dc80e2f6>
that since 1999 the IPO has been perhaps keeping the world cooler
than it might have been, as therate of increase in global warming
appeared to slow
<rate%20of%20increase%20in%20global%20warming%20appeared%20to%20slow>
between 1998 and 2012.
http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-39961992
Trump 'can't escape*climate change*' impacts says Fiji PM
<http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-39961992>
Fiji's Prime Minister has issued a coded warning to Donald Trump about
the dangers of climate change. The US leader is due to decide on future
US participation in the Paris climate agreement after next week's G7
meeting in Italy.
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/next/earth/depoliticizing-climate-change/
Taking Politics Out of*Climate Change*
<http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/next/earth/depoliticizing-climate-change/>
The issue of climate change has become a political football in
Washington, D.C., and in statehouses across the U.S. While 70% of
Americans agree that global temperatures are rising, once you dive into
the specifics, agreement tends to evaporate ...
http://www.*washingtonexaminer.com*/franken-blasts-trump-nominee-bernhardt-over-climate-change/article/2623504
Franken blasts Trump nominee Bernhardt over*climate change*
<http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/franken-blasts-trump-nominee-bernhardt-over-climate-change/article/2623504>
Democratic Sen. Al Franken said Thursday that it's short-sighted for the
Trump administration to promote fossil fuel jobs at the expense of the
East Coast's ability to avoid being under water.
"What about the jobs we are going to have dealing with climate
dislocation and refugees? What about the jobs we're going to have when
the East Coast is flooded? What about those jobs?" Franken asked of
David Bernhardt, President Trump's nominee for Interior deputy
secretary, at an energy committee confirmation hearing.
"I think it's very short-sighted to talk about the extra jobs you get by
drilling for fossil fuels," Franken said.
He added that the science says that by the end of the century, the
temperature of the Earth would be four degrees hotter, leading to more
flooding. "The science is in," Franken said.
Here's the back-and-forth at the hearing that led up to Franken's
pointed questioning:
Bernhardt: I believe we need to take the science as it comes.
Whatever that is.
Franken: I think the science is pretty decided on this.
Bernhardt: I know. And we talked about that in your office.
Franken: And in my office you seem to agree.
Bernhardt: I certainly agree that we take the science as we find it,
whatever it is. And I personally believe that the contribution is
significant, very significant. Now that's different than what we do
with it. And here's where people will disagree. My task will be to
take the science as we find it, put it in the paradigm of the
administration's policy perspective, which is we're not going to
sacrifice jobs for this. And then look at the legal rubric and say,
'How do we apply the law there?'
Franken: When you say 'sacrifice jobs.' We know there are a lot more
jobs in clean energy. And we've seen a lot more jobs in solar, and
we've seen a lot more jobs in wind. Sen. Manchin [of West Virginia]
sits to my right. I know that he likes coal jobs, but they're not
coming back, and that's partly due to natural gas. What about the
jobs we are going to have dealing with climate dislocation and
refugees? What about the jobs we're going to have when the East
Coast is flooded. What about those jobs?
I think it's very short-sighted to talk about the extra jobs you get
by drilling for fossil fuels when the science is telling us that by
the end of the century ... [the temperature of the Earth would be 4
degrees hotter.] The science is in.
Bernhardt: Would you like me to respond?
Franken: That's what the long pause was for.
Bernhardt: This president won on particular policy perspective. That
perspective is not going to change to the extent we have the
discretion under the law to follow it. In some instances, we might
not. But in those that we do, we are absolutely going to follow the
policy perspective of the president. Here's why: That's the way our
republic works, and he is the president.
https://*climateandsecurity.org*/2017/05/18/senator-graham-on-climate-change-national-security-and-the-military-perspective/
*Senator Graham on Climate Change, National Security and the Military
Perspective
<https://climateandsecurity.org/2017/05/18/senator-graham-on-climate-change-national-security-and-the-military-perspective/>*
by Caitlin Werrell and Francesco Femia
At an event on Capitol Hill Wednesday sponsored by the Center for
Climate and Security and its partners,... Senator Lindsey Graham
(R-SC) and Senator Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) highlighted the
opportunity for a bipartisan approach to climate change and clean
energy policy in the weeks, months and years ahead. Specifically
focusing in on the national security and military perspective, ...
General Keys later participated in a panel discussion featuring
perspectives from the military, business, faith and conservative
policy worlds,...In describing the path forward for policy-makers
trying to address climate-driven vulnerabilities across the United
States, General Keys noted:
*"We ain't gonna make it *[addressing climate change]*fun. But what
we can do is make it less painful."*
The event emphasized a simple point: There is no credible reason for
climate change, and its impacts on security (both as that relates to
the military and civilian population in the United States) to be a
partisan issue. There is nothing ideological about the nature of the
threat, and there are a range of practical solutions to addressing
it that all parties can get behind, if the will is there.
https://phys.org/news/2017-05-climate-visual.html
Climate researchers must provide better visual communication on
*climate change* <https://phys.org/news/2017-05-climate-visual.html>
Climate researchers should give more consideration to ways in which they
can make the message about climate change clear to the public at large.
more at: https://phys.org/news/2016-11-guidelines-aim-scientific.html
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/05/18/climate/antarctica-ice-melt-climate-change.html
*Antarctic Dispatches **
MILES OF ICE COLLAPSING INTO THE SEA**
**LOOMING FLOODS, CITIES THREATENED
<https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/05/18/climate/antarctica-ice-melt-climate-change-flood.html>**
**RACING TO FIND ANSWERS IN THE ICE
<https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/05/18/climate/antarctica-ice-melt-climate-change-science.html>*
May 18, 2017
We went to Antarctica to understand how changes to its vast ice
sheet might affect the world. Flowing lines on these maps show how
the ice is moving.
More than 60 percent of the freshwater on Earth is locked in
Antarctica's ice sheets.
Parts of the West Antarctic ice sheet are rapidly losing ice into
the sea. Red areas have lost 10 feet or more of ice since 2010. Blue
areas have gained ice.
And because much of West Antarctica's ice sits below sea level, it
is especially vulnerable to ocean heat.
To predict how quickly this vulnerable ice could raise sea levels,
scientists need better data than they have now.
Some scientists point out that during the last ice age, ice sheets
similar to West Antarctica's formed in other ocean basins. But as
the ice age ended and the oceans warmed, all of them collapsed.
These experts have started to think that West Antarctica, as a
fragile holdover, is basically a disaster waiting to happen — and
that if human-caused global warming has not already set the calamity
in motion, it may soon do so.
"We could have a substantial retreat on a time scale of 10 years,"
said Robert A. Bindschadler, a retired NASA climate scientist who
spent decades working in Antarctica. "It would not surprise me at all."
Scientists at McMurdo Station are working to understand the
continent's history and to predict its future. The scale of the task
is enormous.
This flat expanse of white is the Ross Ice Shelf, a floating chunk
of ice nearly as large as Texas.
more:
https://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/31/science/global-warming-antarctica-ice-sheet-sea-level-rise.html
Climate Model Predicts West Antarctic Ice Sheet Could Melt Rapidly
<https://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/31/science/global-warming-antarctica-ice-sheet-sea-level-rise.html>
https://www.*washingtonpost.com*/news/energy-environment/wp/2017/05/18/thanks-to-global-warming-antarctica-is-starting-to-turn-green/
Thanks to global warming, Antarctica is beginning to turn green
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2017/05/18/thanks-to-global-warming-antarctica-is-starting-to-turn-green/>
Researchers in Antarctica have discovered rapidly growing banks of
mosses on the ice continent's northern peninsula, providing striking
evidence of climate change in the coldest and most remote parts of
the planet.
Amid the warming of the last 50 years, the scientists found two
different species of mosses undergoing the equivalent of growth
spurts, with mosses that once grew less than a millimeter per year
now growing over 3 millimeters per year on average.
"People will think of Antarctica quite rightly as a very icy place,
but our work shows that parts of it are green, and are likely to be
getting greener," said Matthew Amesbury, a researcher with the
University of Exeter in the United Kingdom and lead author of the
new study. "Even these relatively remote ecosystems, that people
might think are relatively untouched by human kind, are showing the
effects of human induced climate change."
http://www.*cell.com*/current-biology/fulltext/S0960-9822(17)30478-5
*Widespread Biological Response to Rapid Warming on the Antarctic
Peninsula
<http://www.cell.com/current-biology/fulltext/S0960-9822%2817%2930478-5>*
•First Peninsula-wide assessment of biological sensitivity to recent
warming
•Analyze moss bank plant and microbial proxy data over 150 years and
600-km gradient
•Fundamental and widespread changes in terrestrial biosphere in
response to warming
•Terrestrial ecosystems likely to alter rapidly under future warming
scenarios
https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2017/5/18/15601016/trump-climate-change-mar-a-lago-sea-level-rise
Trump doesn't believe in*climate change*, but it's going to drown
Mar-a-Lago
<https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2017/5/18/15601016/trump-climate-change-mar-a-lago-sea-level-rise>
President Donald Trump has called climate change a "hoax" and a very
expensive "tax" on American businesses that make the US less competitive.
https://ny.curbed.com/2017/5/18/15655518/new-york-2140-climate-fiction-photo-essay
(photo essay
<https://ny.curbed.com/2017/5/18/15655518/new-york-2140-climate-fiction-photo-essay>)
Imagining a New York City ravaged by*climate change*
<https://ny.curbed.com/2017/5/18/15655518/new-york-2140-climate-fiction-photo-essay>
The latest genre to focus on New York City's destruction at the
hands of Mother Nature is the newly emerging field of "cli-fi," or
climate fiction.
To fully investigate the future of sea-level rise in New York City,
you have to leave Manhattan. Yet in New York 2140, the outer
boroughs are mostly just handled with a glance towards the coastline
of Queens, a quick glimpse into the ruins of the South Bronx, a
dinner in Brooklyn Heights, a boat trip out to Coney Island to view
a beach reclamation project, and no interest whatsoever in exploring
Staten Island.
Of course, the future destruction of New York City is never a given,
and many visions of its demise have failed to come to pass. Perhaps
there is some as-yet-unknown way that sea-level rise can be abated,
or that glacial melt can be halted. Perhaps we can ward off
catastrophic storms and flooding through new technology or better
walls. In the interim, as we wait for the next storm to pass,
climate fiction can help us consider our deeper concerns about the
future.
"Each era in New York's modern history has produced its own
apocalyptic imagery that explores, exploits, and seeks to resolve
contemporary cultural tensions and fears," writes Max Page in The
City's End. "We destroy New York on film and paper to escape the
sense of inevitable and incomprehensible economic transformations,
by telling stories of clear and present dangers, with causes and
effects, villains and heroes, to make our world more comprehensible
than it has become."
https://www.wunderground.com/news/california-coastline-beaches-rising-seas-global-warming
*California's Iconic Coastline Is Being Snatched Up By Rising Sea Levels
Faster Than Previously Thought
<https://www.wunderground.com/news/california-coastline-beaches-rising-seas-global-warming>*
Wunderground.com (blog)
California risks losing thousands of miles of its iconic coastline
as climate-driven sea levels rise faster than anyone anticipated, a
new report says.
The state-commissioned report
<https://calmatters.org/wp-content/uploads/rising-seas-in-california-an-update-on-sea-level-rise-science-1.pdf?x35230https://calmatters.org/wp-content/uploads/rising-seas-in-california-an-update-on-sea-level-rise-science-1.pdf?x35230>
conducted by the California Ocean Protection Council Science
Advisory Team determined that if nothing changes, California's
coastal waters will rise at a rate 30 to 40 times faster than in the
previous century. The news came on the heels of a U.S. Geological
Survey report released in March that estimates that as much as 67
percent of Southern California's beaches could be lost to rising
seas by the end of the century if nothing is done to curb the carbon
emissions that lead to global warming.
The impacts on the state that already has some of the most stringent
carbon emissions regulations in the country would be far-reaching
and devastating, researchers note.
A review of an unexpected (extremely good, insightful, sort-of
terrifying in implications) CliFi book:
http://getenergysmartnow.com/2017/05/18/energy-bookshelf-powerful-clifi-from-a-leading-american-national-security-expert/
Share: https://twitter.com/A_Siegel/status/865216493700689920
http://www.*csmonitor.com*/Books/chapter-and-verse/2017/0518/Why-Michael-Bloomberg-says-he-s-optimistic-about-climate-change
Why Michael Bloomberg says he's 'optimistic' about*climate change*
<http://www.csmonitor.com/Books/chapter-and-verse/2017/0518/Why-Michael-Bloomberg-says-he-s-optimistic-about-climate-change>
May 18, 2017 —In their new book Climate of Hope, former New York City
Mayor Michael Bloomberg and former Sierra Club executive director Carl
Pope write about climate change - and why they're both ultimately
optimistic about solutions. They discuss the ...
http://*abcnews.go.com*/International/wireStory/canada-pm-washington-governor-discuss-trade-climate-change-47493518
Canada PM, Washington governor discuss trade,*climate change*
<http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/canada-pm-washington-governor-discuss-trade-climate-change-47493518>
"We're both strongly engaged on issues of climate change, issues of
openness to trade, leadership on refugees as well, and an understanding
that diversity can be a real source of strength," he said.
https://*insideclimatenews.org*/news/18052017/arctic-council-climate-change-rex-tillerson-donald-trump
6 Ways the U.S. Weakened*Climate Change*Language in Arctic
Declaration
<https://insideclimatenews.org/news/18052017/arctic-council-climate-change-rex-tillerson-donald-trump>
The U.S.-edited draft, obtained by InsideClimate News, shows how the
Trump administration targeted climate actions. It's a strategy we
could see in future meetings.
"There was a great deal of debate as to whether or not climate would
even be addressed in the declaration," Sen. Lisa Murkowski
(R-Alaska) said at a public event on Wednesday. "It is significant
to note that not only was it addressed, it was acknowledged in the
Fairbanks declaration that climate change is happening, that we're
seeing impacts in the Arctic at twice the rate as in other places,
and it is attributable to emissions."
...on May 9, the negotiators received a new version of the
declaration from the United States that asked for six changes—all
downplaying climate risks, the need for the Paris treaty or
ambitious renewable energy goals. Negotiators spent a long morning
huddled around a table, working line-by-line through the document
projected on a screen. The other nations challenged the U.S. on
every point, often joined by the indigenous groups.
-The first change that the United States proposed fell near the end
of the preamble and had to do with the great elephant in the room at
any climate-related talks the U.S. is now involved in: the Paris
climate agreement. Trump's policies would all but ensure the U.S.
would miss its Paris pledges, and the president's advisers have been
caught up in an internal struggle over whether to leave the treaty
or simply backslide on the country's commitments.
https://*ncse.com*/library-resource/climate-change-denial-supplementary-materials
*Climate Change Denial Supplementary Materials
<https://ncse.com/library-resource/climate-change-denial-supplementary-materials>*
National Center for Science Education, Inc.
Teachers often feel the need to use supplementary materials when
covering climate change, particularly because the topic is often
left unaddressed in state science standards, curricula, and
textbooks. Unfortunately, climate change deniers have developed and
are distributing supplementary materials (such as lesson plans and
DVDs) that foster confusion about the occurrence, causes, and
consequences of climate change.
Such climate change denial supplementary materials may be used by
teachers who are themselves climate change deniers, who lack the
scientific competence to recognize the materials as flawed, or who
misguidedly seek to provide "both sides" of a supposed scientific
controversy. Teachers may also be pressured by parents, colleagues,
or administrators to use such materials in their classrooms.
If you know of a teacher who is using climate change denial
supplementary materials in his or her classroom, or if you are being
pressured to use such materials in your own classroom, get in touch
with NCSE and we can help you stand up for accurate climate education.
Climate change denial supplementary materials typically manifest two
of the pillars of climate change denial: that climate change is bad
science and that acceptance of climate change is driven by radical
ideological motivations and leads to undesirable social
consequences. And the argument for their use in the classroom
typically involves appeal to the third pillar: that it is only fair
to acknowledge a scientific controversy over climate change.
http://huff.to/bJZ8Fw
*This Day in Climate History May 19, 2009 <http://huff.to/bJZ8Fw> -
from D.R. Tucker*
The Huffington Post reports:
"Sen. John McCain now appears to oppose climate-change legislation,
an abrupt switch that could seriously threaten any movement on such
a bill."
http://huff.to/bJZ8Fw
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