[TheClimate.Vote] October 27, 2017 - Daily Global Warming News

Richard Pauli richard at theclimate.vote
Fri Oct 27 09:17:20 EDT 2017


/October 27, 2017/

*Climate change might be worse than thought after scientists find major 
mistake in water temperature readings 
<http://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/climate-change-worse-water-temperature-reading-scientists-global-warming-ice-melt-weather-a8020696.html>*
Global warming might be far worse than we thought, according to a new study.
The research challenges the ways that researchers have worked out sea 
temperatures until now, meaning that they may be increasing quicker than 
previously suggested.
The methodology widely used to understand sea temperatures in the 
scientific community may be based on a mistake, the new study suggests, 
and so our understanding of climate change might be fundamentally flawed.
The new research suggests that the oceans hundreds of millions of years 
ago were much cooler than we thought. If true, that means that the 
global warming we are currently undergoing is unparallelled within the 
last 100 million years, and far worse than we had previously calculated.
Until now, scientists believed that the temperature of the ocean depths 
and the surface of the polar ocean 100 million years ago were about 15 
degrees warmer than they are today. But they might in fact have stayed 
relatively stable - making the warming we're currently undergoing far 
more alarming.
"What appeared to be perfectly preserved fossils are in fact not. This 
means that the paleotemperature estimates made up to now are incorrect," 
said Sylvain Bernard, a CNRS researcher at the Paris-based Institute of 
Mineralogy, Materials Physics and Cosmochemistry and the study's lead 
author.
The scientists behind the study claim that the apparent cooling of the 
oceans was actually just the effect of the process they've seen. The 
changes in the amount of oxygen in the shells isn't a reflection of 
changing temperatures - just a consequence of the fact that the amount 
of oxygen seen changes over time anyway.
The research was conducted by French researchers from the French 
National Center for Scientific Research (CNRS), Sorbonne University and 
the University of Strasbourg, and Swiss researchers from the Swiss 
Federal Institute of Technology in Lausanne (EPFL) and the University of 
Lausanne. It has just been published in Nature Communications.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/climate-change-worse-water-temperature-reading-scientists-global-warming-ice-melt-weather-a8020696.html


*(Video) Climate One TV: The New Political Climate 
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RYUwpZpfxPw>*
With the People's Climate March as a backdrop, Climate One is on the 
road in Washington D.C., where Tea Party co-founder, Debbie Dooley, 
Executive Director of 350.org, May Boeve and Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse 
(D-RI) come together and discuss what it takes to make real progress in 
the fight against Climate Change.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RYUwpZpfxPw


*(YouTube) The Late Show with Stephen Colbert 
<https://youtu.be/PY5EVJHj2rI>*
Published on Oct 26, 2017
Stephen does an in-depth dive into the recent actions of Donald Trump's 
Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency.
https://youtu.be/PY5EVJHj2rI


*Puerto Rico needs your help: How to volunteer 
<https://www.alltherooms.com/w/2017/10/volunteer-puerto-rico-needs-help/>*
On September 20, 2017, Hurricane Maria, a powerful Category 4, hit the 
island of Puerto Rico causing catastrophic effects. It's a humanitarian 
crisis that is very close to home - here at AllTheRooms, our CEO Joseph 
DiTomaso is half Puerto Rican.
Over one week on from the hurricane, the island is still without power, 
with the exception of a few generators that are being used for 
high-priority buildings such as hospitals. Millions are left without 
drinking water and cannot bathe or flush toilets. The lack of water is 
leading to a serious lack of sanitization and this means that conditions 
are ripe for illness and disease to spread. The island is in desperate 
need of help from the international community. If you're keen to 
volunteer, here's how you can help:
*1. Who should I volunteer with?*
The American Red Cross is currently training volunteers who will be 
dispatched to Puerto Rico. The Red Cross is using Florida as a base to 
give initial training, whilst delegating volunteer roles. They are 
looking for volunteers with all sorts of different skills, from helping 
to rebuild houses, through to working with children affected by the 
hurricane. Find out more information or sign up to be a Red Cross 
volunteer. <http://www.redcross.org/hurricane-irma-volunteer-application>
Meanwhile, the organization Voluntary Organizations Active in Disaster 
(VOAD) is responsible for coordinating relief efforts and delegating 
roles to volunteers. There are a lot of smaller organizations focusing 
on one specific area of the relief aid, and VOAD brings together the 
organizations so they can coordinate, collaborate and communicate. If 
you're interested in volunteering with a smaller organization, you can 
contact VOAD who will help to put you in contact with relief efforts 
that are already underway. Volunteer with VOAD. 
<https://www.nvoad.org/howtohelp/volunteer/>
You can also volunteer with Habitat for Humanity, which is an 
organization that asses housing and shelter needs in some of the 
worst-hit areas. Habitat for Humanity is currently seeking volunteers 
for the recovery and rebuilding phase, which may last months or even 
years. Volunteer with Habitat for Humanity. <https://www.habitat.org/>
*2. What type of volunteer work is needed?*
At the moment Puerto Rico is in a state of chaos. The streets are 
flooded, there is little-to-no electricity, homes have collapsed and 
there an estimated 1.5 million people are without drinking water. You 
should be prepared for difficult, and heart-wrenching conditions. 
Volunteers will be needed to help at one of the many shelters that are 
serving the community, load and unload trucks, serve food from the 
limited supplies, organize the volunteer and relief efforts and help 
build and set-up facilities.
*3. What are the requirements?*
If you want to help, you must be at least 16 years old to volunteer with 
the Red Cross, and for other organizations, you may need to be 18 years 
old. If you are between the ages of 16-18 and keen to volunteer, you 
will need parental consent. In order to volunteer, you will need to be 
fit and ready for manual tasks such as loading and unloading heavy 
objects bringing supplies and building shelters. Most organizations 
require that you work 8-12 hours a day, depending on the task at hand. 
If you are working with children, you will need to provide a background 
check.
If you have any tips to add to help with the volunteer effort, we would 
love to hear from you.
Carmela Rodriguez is a Journalist from London. She recently quit the 
rainy UK and moved to Medellin, Colombia, where she is a Content Writer 
for Alltherooms.com
https://www.alltherooms.com/w/2017/10/volunteer-puerto-rico-needs-help/


*Report: Pollution Kills 3 Times More than AIDS, TB And Malaria Combined 
<http://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2017/10/19/558821792/report-pollution-kills-3-times-more-than-aids-tb-and-malaria-combined>*
Exposure to polluted air, water and soil caused nine million premature 
deaths in 2015, according to a report published Thursday in The Lancet.
The causes of death vary - cancer, lung disease, heart disease. The 
report links them to pollution, drawing upon previous studies that show 
how pollution is tied to a wider range of diseases than previously thought.
Those studies observed populations exposed to pollutants and compared 
them to people not exposed. The studies have shown that pollution can be 
an important cause of diseases - many of them potentially fatal - 
including asthma, cancer, neurodevelopmental disorders, birth defects in 
children, heart disease, stroke and lung disease.
The nine million figure adds up to 16 percent of all deaths worldwide, 
killing three times more people than AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria 
combined. Pollution is responsible for 15 times more deaths than wars 
and all other forms of violence.
"No country is unaffected," the report notes. But 92 percent of those 
deaths occurred in low- and middle-income countries.
One blatant example is asbestos. About two million tons of new asbestos 
is produced every year. [Asbestos is outlawed in most of the developed 
world because of the high risk of lung cancer.] Virtually all of that 
goes to the world's poorest countries that have poor or no regulations 
against it. [According to reports it is used in the production of 
building materials, among other products.] It's going to continue to 
cause epidemics of cancer in poor counties. Another example is 
pesticides. About 20 percent of U.S. pesticide production is of 
pesticides not allowed in this country because of known health risks. So 
we export it to poor countries.
http://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2017/10/19/558821792/report-pollution-kills-3-times-more-than-aids-tb-and-malaria-combined

*
**Ocean acidification research makes a strong case for limiting climate 
change 
<https://phys.org/news/2017-10-ocean-acidification-strong-case-limiting.html>*
Experiments and analyses carried out by more than 250 scientists from 20 
German institutions clearly indicate that ocean acidification and 
warming, along with other environmental stressors, impair life in the 
ocean.*A brochure summarises 
<http://www.oceanacidification.de/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/BIOACID_brochure_e_web.pdf>* 
major outcomes of the project for policymakers and the public. Members 
of the project Biological Impacts of Ocean Acidification (BIOACID) will 
also be present at the United Nations climate change conference COP23 in 
Bonn.
As a gigantic carbon sink, the ocean absorbs about a third of the carbon 
dioxide (CO2) released into the atmosphere by human activities. But when 
absorbed by seawater, the greenhouse gas triggers chemical reactions 
causing the ocean to acidify. Ocean acidification affects ecosystems and 
important benefits the ocean provides to humankind. This includes the 
regulation of the Earth's climate, food provision, recreation and 
biodiversity as a condition for intact and functioning ecosystems.
*Important BIOACID results:*
- Changes in the ocean carbonate system impact the acid-base balance in 
marine organisms. This can negatively affect key processes such as 
calcification.
- Many organisms are able to withstand ocean acidification, but may lose 
this ability if also exposed to other stressors such as warming, excess 
nutrients, loss of oxygen, reduced salinity or pollution.
- A reduction of regional stress such as nutrient runoff or the loss of 
oxygen can mitigate the impact of global stressors like ocean 
acidification and warming.
- In a natural community, the impact of stressors on a species can be 
amplified or diminished by associated shifts in biotic interactions such 
as competition, predation or parasitism.
- Even small alterations at the base of the food web can have knock-on 
effects for higher trophic levels.
- Marine life is able to adapt to ocean change through evolution and can 
partly compensate for negative effects. However, since ocean 
acidification happens extremely fast compared to natural processes, only 
organisms with short generation times, such as microorganisms, are able 
to keep up.
- About half the tropical coral reefs can be preserved if carbon dioxide 
emissions are limited to concentrations that keep global warming below 
1.2 degrees Celsius. However, additional risks posed by ocean 
acidification are not included in this forecast.
- Ocean acidification reduces the ocean's ability to store carbon.
- Climate change alters the availability of prey for fish and as a 
consequence may affect their growth and reproduction.
- Ocean acidification and warming reduce the survival rates of early 
life stages of some fish species. This will likely reduce recruitment of 
fish stocks and ultimately fisheries yields.
- The distribution and abundance of fish species will change. This will 
have a significant impact on economic activities such as small-scale 
coastal fisheries and tourism.
- It is crucial to consider ocean acidification and warming in the 
management of fish stocks and marine areas.
- Following the precautionary principle is the best way to act when 
considering potential risks to the environment and humankind, including 
future generations. Even if the extent of possible risks is not fully 
understood, precautionary measures need to be taken in order to avoid or 
reduce the harm.
- A more sustainable lifestyle and economy require an interaction 
between society, businesses and politics. Political frameworks should 
regulate the phase-out of fossil fuels. It is crucial for every one of 
us to reconsider concepts of normality and adjust behaviour in everyday 
life.
https://phys.org/news/2017-10-ocean-acidification-strong-case-limiting.html


*POLITICAL TYPOLOGY REVEALS DEEP FISSURES ON THE RIGHT AND LEFT 
<http://www.people-press.org/2017/10/24/8-environmental-attitudes/>*
8. Environmental attitudes
The public is deeply divided along partisan and ideological lines in its 
opinions about environmental issues. And these differences are reflected 
in how the political typology groups view these issues.
In views of global warming, nearly all Solid Liberals say there is clear 
evidence that Earth's temperatures have been rising, with 95% saying 
this is mostly caused by human activity, such as burning fossil fuels. 
Among Core Conservatives, only about quarter see solid evidence of 
global warming - and just 5% say the main cause is human activity.
Opinions vary across the other typology groups. Majorities across the 
Democratic-leaning groups say there is solid evidence of global warming, 
but only about half of Devout and Diverse (52%) say it is mostly caused 
by human activity, the lowest share in any Democratic group.
http://www.people-press.org/2017/10/24/8-environmental-attitudes/


*Dr James Hansen  Scientific Reticence: a DRAFT Discussion 
<http://csas.ei.columbia.edu/2017/10/26/scientific-reticence-a-draft-discussion/>*
I am writing/_Scientific Reticence and the Fate of Humanity_/in response 
to a query from the editor of/Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics/who 
handled/Ice Melt, Sea Level Rise and Superstorms/ 
<https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/3761/2016/acp-16-3761-2016-discussion.html>.That 
paper, together with/Young People's Burden/ 
<https://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/8/577/2017/esd-8-577-2017-discussion.html>, 
makes the case for a low global warming target and the urgency of 
phasing out fossil fuel emissions.  We argue that global warming of 2°C, 
or even 1.5°C, is dangerous, because these levels are far above Holocene 
temperatures and even warmer than best estimates for the Eemian, when 
sea level reached 6-9 meters (20-30 feet) higher than today.  Earth's 
history shows that sea level adjusts to changes in global temperature.  
We conclude that eventual sea level rise of several meters could be 
locked in, if rapid emission reductions do not begin soon, and could 
occur within 50-150 years with the extraordinary climate forcing of 
continued "business-as-usual" fossil fuel emissions....
*Discussion: Reticence?*
It is conceivable that scientific reticence plays a part in the 
reactions to our papers, but I am not convinced that it is the whole 
story.  In the 1981 and 1988/89 examples discussed above there was 
evidence, in the reviews of those papers and in the published 
commentaries, that much of the criticism suffered from the "blindfolds 
and elephant" explanation.  They did not seem to be considering the 
entirety of information that we had from paleoclimate, modern 
observations, and models, with recognition of model weaknesses.  
However, in current analyses it seems unlikely that recognized experts 
are not considering the full range of available information.
*The Ice Melt paper is long.*  One author who does cite Ice Melt 
immediately dismisses it, because, he claims, the freshwater injection 
rates (hosing rates, he calls them) are unrealistically large.  
Obviously he did not read the paper.  The injection/hosing rates are 
based on observed data for recent years and projected forward with 
different time scales for their growth rate (10, 20, 40 year doubling 
times).  Our conclusion that the AMOC and SMOC are already beginning to 
slow down is based on current observations and model results in the 
present and near-term, not on the high rates of freshwater injection 
that occur after many doublings.  When one such author rejects a paper 
based on such a misinterpretation, it is easy for the attitude to spread.
*Criticism of IPCC. *I chose in 1989, when faced with scientific 
reticence and more, to bail out of the media circus and focus only on 
science.  When I reentered the fray in 2004 it was not just to criticize 
the lack of climate actions by the Bush Administration, but also to draw 
attention to the need for a low target on global warming if "dangerous" 
consequences were to be avoided.  Specifically, as spelled out in A 
Slippery Slope,[34] I criticized the sea level change analysis in the 
most recent (2001) IPCC report.  IPCC scenarios had GHG amounts and 
calculated global temperatures that were "off the charts" compared to 
paleoclimate data covering hundreds of thousands or even millions of 
years, yet the calculations for the contribution of Greenland and 
Antarctica to sea level rise was measured in cm, very few cm.  That 
didn't seem plausible, as I argued on heuristic grounds, mainly 
concerned with the role of a warming ocean on ice shelves.
This came across as a criticism of IPCC.  I cited Richard Feynmann 
insights in Slippery Slope, and more directly in Storms of My 
Grandchildren,[35] about how the community tends to move slowly in 
correcting an error.  He is talking about scientific reticence. However, 
I probably could have been more discrete in criticizing IPCC - after 
all, the scientists contributing to those long reports put in a lot of 
work for very little recognition.
*Superstorms and flying boulders.*  Several reviews and commentaries 
seemed angry about the use of the word "superstorms" in the title, even 
asserting that it was intended to draw public attention to the paper. 
Duh. What a bad thing to do!  Is this feeling related to scientific 
reticence?
We were not helped by the Washington Post article referring to flying 
boulders.  We did not say that any boulders flew.  Our interpretation of 
the boulders on Eleuthera is that powerful storm-driven late-Eemian 
waves, when sea level was several meters higher than today, transported 
the boulders from the cliffs below to their present location where they 
rest on Eemian substrate.
Recent publications have confirmed that storms can move very large 
boulders.  The funneling nature of the bay on Eleuthera increases the 
power of the waves in the vicinity of the boulders.  Boulders in that 
region moved during the Holocene are smaller, suggesting that some 
storms in the late Eemian were stronger than today.
None of the major conclusions in our paper, about the threat of large 
sea level rise or about AMOC and SMOC already slowing down, depend on 
interpretation of the Eleuthera boulders.  However, I would like to draw 
attention to a new comprehensive review paper by Hearty and Tormey[36] 
on the geologic evidence.
*Early Discussion of Discussion paper and peer-review.*  Both the Ice 
Melt and Burden papers were submitted to journals that include 
publication of an initial "Discussion" version of the paper, after it 
has been checked and approved by an editor.  This publication mode 
seemed especially appropriate for both papers: there were upcoming 
United Nations climate conferences and we hoped to get feedback from 
both scientists on the science and from the public and policymakers on 
the papers' policy implications. However, there was criticism of whether 
the papers should be discussed publicly before the peer-review process 
is complete.
Even if there is merit to that position - and I see nothing wrong with 
presenting a discussion paper for discussion (!) as long as it is so 
identified - both papers subsequently passed detailed peer-review.  
Indeed, the Ice Melt paper seemed to go through further review by an 
editorial board, which seemed to redefine the word "dangerous" to mean 
something different than what the public means.  See Dangerous 
Scientific Reticence.
*Negative Emissions.*  Perhaps nothing illustrates the dangers of 
scientific reticence better than the way negative emissions crept into 
IPCC scenarios.  Clarifying the implausibility of that scenario is an 
objective of our Burden paper.
*Co-authors. * People suggesting that we are exaggerating the global 
warming threat should take a close look at the list of co-authors.  They 
include top scientists in the world in the relevant disciplines.  I am 
grateful to them for all that they have done to help produce the two papers.
I note that I am sending out this draft discussion without showing it to 
the co-authors, because I need the next week to prepare materials for 
discussions at the Bonn COP meeting.
http://csas.ei.columbia.edu/2017/10/26/scientific-reticence-a-draft-discussion/


*Samantha Bee Turns Climate Change Denier Into a Believer Through 'Hell 
House' of Global Warming Horror 
<http://toofab.com/2017/10/26/samantha-bee-turns-climate-change-denier-into-a-believer-through-hell-house-of-global-warming-horror/>*
Instead of a haunted house, Bee sends eight climate change deniers 
through maze demonstrating how global warming can harm our way of life.
Samantha Bee thinks it's a catastrophe that American's are more afraid 
of clowns than climate change, so she tried to scare them into taking 
global warming seriously on Wednesday night.
"Over half of American's believe humans are not responsible for global 
warming," the "Full Frontal" host said. "Then again, if what the 
majority of what Americans thought mattered, there wouldn't be a clown 
in the White House in the first place."
The thought of clowns inspired the TBS late-night host to think about 
controversial "Hell Houses," which religious organizations used to host 
to scare people out of being gay or getting abortions. Bee then 
partnered with haunted house producer Terror Behind the Walls to create 
her own version of a Hell House imagining what terrifying things 
humanity will suffer through when planet Earth is destroyed beyond repair.
Bee found eight climate change deniers, with a wide range of opinions on 
the subject, to join her in the experience. One of the participants 
believed that although cows and their "anal gas" were to blame, they 
couldn't possibly destroy everything he knows and loves.
*(videos) A Meditation on Climate Change | October 25, 2017 Cold Open | 
Full Frontal on TBS <https://youtu.be/rJO0XoakOJQ>*
Something cosmic was really pushing Sam to do a show on climate change.
https://youtu.be/rJO0XoakOJQ*
Scott Pruitt vs. The World | October 25, 2017 Act 2 | Full Frontal on 
TBS <https://youtu.be/hrDeKf1Cpbo>*
The guy in charge of the EPA is stabbing the environment with a 
deregulation shiv.
https://youtu.be/hrDeKf1Cpbo
*Full Frontal's (Hot As) Hell House | October 25, 2017 Act 3 | Full 
Frontal on TBS <https://youtu.be/DFjV8hZR4uM>*
There's only one thing that can scare climate change deniers into 
believing: hanging out with other deniers.
https://youtu.be/DFjV8hZR4uM
*(Earth is) Not OK ft. Ingrid Michaelson | October 25, 2017 | Full 
Frontal on TBS <https://youtu.be/jAPltvZCt9w>*
This summer's endless fires and storms left us a little unsure, so we 
asked Earth herself, Ingrid Michaelson, if things are ok. Ingrid 
Michaelson appears courtesy of Cabin 24 Records.
https://youtu.be/jAPltvZCt9w
http://toofab.com/2017/10/26/samantha-bee-turns-climate-change-denier-into-a-believer-through-hell-house-of-global-warming-horror/


*This Day in Climate History October 27, 2006 
<http://web.archive.org/web/20130303200905/http://www.rockefeller.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/press-releases?ID=87f3ae3b-0f0d-44ee-af03-9080592901a4>  
-  from D.R. Tucker*
-Senators Demand that the World's Largest Oil Maker Make Public Its 
History of Funding Climate Change "Skeptics"-
WASHINGTON, D.C. - In an effort to call attention to the detrimental 
effects of industry-funded, so-called "research" in the debate on global 
climate change, Senators John (Jay) Rockefeller IV (D-WV) and Olympia 
Snowe (R-ME) today called on the world’s largest oil company to end its 
funding of a climate change denial campaign. Rockefeller and Snowe’s 
effort would also reassert the leading role of the United States in 
addressing important global issues that demand the world’s collective 
attention.
Rockefeller and Snowe said that ExxonMobil’s extensive funding of an 
"echo chamber" of non-peer reviewed pseudo-science had unfortunately 
succeeded in raising questions about the legitimate scientific 
community’s virtually universal findings on the detrimental effects of 
global warming.  This ongoing "debate" has also damaged America’s 
reputation as a leader in global affairs.
"American companies have every right to engage in important public 
debates, but these discussions should neither serve as a license to 
obscure credible data and research nor impede domestic and international 
actions based on that data," said Rockefeller. "Climate change is one of 
the most serious environmental and economic issues facing the United 
States and our partners in the international community.  It is 
absolutely irresponsible for any entity to try to influence our 
government’s involvement in such an important debate in any way that is 
not scrupulously accurate and honest."
"The institutions that ExxonMobil is supporting are producing very 
questionable data.   The company’s support for a small, but influential, 
group of climate skeptics has damaged the United States’ reputation by 
making our government appear to ignore conclusive data on climate change 
and the disastrous effects climate change could have."
"ExxonMobil - which recorded $10.5 billion in third quarter profits this 
year - has an obligation and a responsibility to the global community to 
refrain from lending their support, financial and otherwise, to bogus, 
non substantiated articles and publications on climate change that serve 
only to cloud the important global debate of rigorous peer-reviewed 
research and writings," Snowe said. "The efforts of those supported by 
ExxonMobil foster the false belief among the international community 
that the United States is insensitive to global warming and unwilling to 
engage in forthright discussion on what many consider to be one of the 
most important economic and environmental issues of the 21st century."
According to reports, in 2004 alone, ExxonMobil was the primary funder 
of more than 29 climate change denial front groups. Since the late 
1990s, ExxonMobil has spent more than $19 million on a strategy of 
"information laundering," enabling a small number of professional 
skeptics, working through so-called scientific organizations, to funnel 
their viewpoints through non-peer-reviewed websites, such as 
www.techcentralstation.com.
"Climate change denial has been so effective because the ‘denial 
community’ has mischaracterized the necessarily guarded language of 
serious scientific dialogue as vagueness and uncertainty," Rockefeller 
and Snowe wrote ExxonMobil Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Rex 
Tillerson. "ExxonMobil is responsible for much of this scientific data 
debate and support of global warming deniers."
Rockefeller and Snowe insisted that ExxonMobil end its funding of the 
climate change denial campaign by the Competitive Enterprise Institute 
(CEI) and other organizations with similar purposes. The two Senators 
also encouraged ExxonMobil and Tillerson to make its history of funding 
public and acknowledge the dangers and realities of climate change.
Permalink: 
http://www.rockefeller.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/2006/10/post-87f3ae3b-0f0d-44ee-af03-9080592901a4
http://web.archive.org/web/20130303200905/http://www.rockefeller.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/press-releases?ID=87f3ae3b-0f0d-44ee-af03-9080592901a4

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