[TheClimate.Vote] February 25, 2018 - Daily Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Sun Feb 25 09:04:25 EST 2018
/February 25, 2018/
[Way above normal]
*ARCTIC TEMPERATURES SOAR 45 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL, FLOODED BY EXTREMELY
MILD AIR ON ALL SIDES...
<http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/arctic_temperatures_soar_45_degrees_above_normal_flooded_by_extremely_mild_air_on_all_sides>*
DAVID PIKE
While the Eastern United States simmers in some of its warmest February
weather ever recorded, the Arctic is also stewing in temperatures more
than 45 degrees above normal. This latest huge temperature spike in the
Arctic is another striking indicator of its rapidly transforming climate...
On Monday and Tuesday, the northernmost weather station in the world,
Cape Morris Jesup at the northern tip of Greenland, experienced more
than 24 hours of temperatures above freezing according to the Danish
Meteorological Institute. "How weird is that?" tweeted Robert Rohde, a
physicist and lead scientist at Berkeley Earth, a non-profit
organization that conducts analyses of the Earth's temperature. "Well
it's Arctic winter. The sun set in October and won't be seen again until
March. Perpetual night, but still above freezing."
http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/arctic_temperatures_soar_45_degrees_above_normal_flooded_by_extremely_mild_air_on_all_sides
<http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/arctic_temperatures_soar_45_degrees_above_normal_flooded_by_extremely_mild_air_on_all_sides?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+joboneforhumanity%2FrLsZ+%28Global+Warming+Blog+-+Job+One+for+Humanity%29>
[just "destabilized"]
*Weather should remain predictable despite climate change
<https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/02/180222133400.htm>*
Simulations of jet stream behavior in a warming climate suggest ranges
of forecasts in the mid-century will be similar to those in present day
According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, temperatures
are expected to rise between 2.5 and 10 degrees Fahrenheit over the next
century. This warming is expected to contribute to rising sea levels and
the melting of glaciers and permafrost, as well as other climate-related
effects. Now, research from the University of Missouri suggests that
even as rising carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere drive the climate
toward warmer temperatures, the weather will remain predictable.
"The jet stream changes character every 10 to 12 days, and we use this
pattern to predict the weather," said Anthony Lupo, professor of
atmospheric science in MU's School of Natural Resources, which is
located in the College of Agriculture, Food and Natural Resources. "We
were curious about how this would change in a world with higher carbon
dioxide levels. We found that in that warmer world, the variability of
the jet stream remained the same."...
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/02/180222133400.htm
["Not on track"]
*Dirty industry undermines push to curb global warming - ex-UN climate
chief
<https://www.reuters.com/article/us-climatechange-emissions-industry/dirty-industry-undermines-push-to-curb-global-warming-ex-un-climate-chief-idUSKCN1G726C>*
Sophie Hares
TEPIC, Mexico (Thomson Reuters Foundation) - Industry's dependence on
polluting fossil fuels is at odds with a "revolution" in transport and
renewable energy, and could stop the world doing a crucial U-turn on
rising emissions of climate-changing gases by 2020, a former U.N.
climate chief warned.
Christiana Figueres, who oversaw work on the 2015 Paris Agreement to
tackle global warming, now leads "Mission 2020", an international
initiative that seeks to put greenhouse gas emissions on a downward path
by 2020.
"We're definitely not on track with everything to do with heavy industry
that continues to depend on intense, high-carbon electricity, and we're
not on track with land use," said Figueres, former executive secretary
of the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change.
"So what happens if we don't get there is we increase our risk and
increase the exposure to extreme weather events," she told the Thomson
Reuters Foundation in an interview.
The transport and energy sectors are expected to meet the 2020 deadline
as a result of more efficient, cleaner transportation and a plunge in
the cost of generating renewable power, Figueres said.
Putting a price on carbon and working out ways to pay for environmental
services could also yield benefits, alongside incentives to improve land
use by restoring degraded soils or boosting reforestation, she said.
The Paris Agreement set a goal of keeping the rise in average global
temperatures to "well below" 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial
times, and ideally to 1.5 degrees...
Despite the challenges to the Mission 2020 goal, Figueres cautioned
against relying on controversial "geoengineering" techniques to try to
cool the planet's temperature...
At the individual level, more people could be spurred to take climate
action by highlighting the benefits clean technology can bring, which
are poised to be even more significant than with the communications
boom, she said.
"People tend to think it's complex, it's unfixable, somebody else should
do it," said Figueres. "(But) this is the most exciting thing that has
happened to us in a long time."
Reporting by Sophie Hares; editing by Megan Rowling. Please credit the
Thomson Reuters Foundation, the charitable arm of Thomson Reuters, that
covers humanitarian news, climate change, resilience, women's rights,
trafficking and property rights. Visit news.trust.org/climate/
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-climatechange-emissions-industry/dirty-industry-undermines-push-to-curb-global-warming-ex-un-climate-chief-idUSKCN1G726C
[Idaho Schools]
*After Years of Fighting, Idaho Retains Climate Change in Its Education
Guidelines
<https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/23/climate/idaho-climate-change-education.html>*
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/23/climate/idaho-climate-change-education.html
[Got what? Milk?]
*China wants to lead the climate-change fight. It better solve its milk
problem.
<https://qz.com/1215017/china-wants-to-lead-the-climate-change-fight-it-better-solve-its-milk-problem/>*
In its effort to lead the global push against climate change, the
world's second-largest economy has assigned soldiers to tree-planting
duty, spent billions of dollars on cleaner energy (pdf), and has
actively pushed some of its cities away from using coal.
Still, China has yet to figure out what to do about one of its biggest
environmental hurdles - its demand for milk.
That's because the world's most populous country is expected to almost
triple its consumption of dairy across the next 30 years, according to a
study published this month in the journal, Global Change Biology
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.14047/abstract>. To
figure out just how much the world would be impacted by China's appetite
for dairy by 2050, a team of researchers led by the Chinese Academy of
Sciences set out to assess what factors in the country would drive milk
consumption and measure the ultimate impact...
(T)he rising demand for for dairy in China will increase the amount of
greenhouse-gas emissions coming from dairy herds by 35%, it'll require
32% more land be dedicated to dairy, and it will boost nitrogen
pollution from production by 48%, according to the study.
The bad news is there's no way to avoid the increases...
The world's 270 million dairy cows live on farms that produce the
manure, ammonia, methane, and nitrous oxide that are negatively
impacting the climate. The agricultural sector accounts for about 14% of
the world's total greenhouse gas emissions, according to the United Nations.
"The consequences of sticking to a 'business-as-usual' scenario are
unthinkable," the lead author of the study, Zhaohai Bai, has said.
Between 1961 and 2016, milk consumption in China increased more than 25
times to 31 kg (68 lb) per capita each year. (Milk is measured by the
weight of its milk-fat content.) It's now the world's largest importer
of milk and per-capita consumption is expect to increase to 82 kg per
year by 2050, according to the study.
https://qz.com/1215017/china-wants-to-lead-the-climate-change-fight-it-better-solve-its-milk-problem/
-
[Global Change Biology]
*Global environmental costs of China's thirst for milk
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.14047/abstract>*
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.14047/abstract
[Legal review PDF paper]
*U.S. Climate Change Litigation in the Age of Trump: Year One, Dena
Adler
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/02/Adler-2018-02-U.S.-Climate-Change-Litigation-in-the-Age-of-Trump-Year-One.pdf>*
http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/02/Adler-2018-02-U.S.-Climate-Change-Litigation-in-the-Age-of-Trump-Year-One.pdf
[Columbia Climate Law PDF ]
*CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON THE BULK POWER SYSTEM:
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/02/Gundlach-Webb-2018-02-CC-Bulk-Power-System.pdf>*
Assessing Vulnerabilities and Planning for Resilience
Conditions are expected to worsen in coming years as temperatures
continue to increase, leading to significant and widespread adverse
impacts, including on the BPS and the systems, communities, and
individuals that rely on it.
Numerous sources - including reports of national laboratories,20 federal
agencies,21 state agencies,22 privately-sponsored researchers,23 and
international organizations,24 corporate filings with the U.S.
Securities and Exchange Commission,25 and utilities' climate change
vulnerability assessments and adaptation plans,26 have identified the
effects of climate change as sources of material physical risk for the
generation and transmission segments of the BPS. The nature and extent
of risks to generation and transmission will vary across regions
because, though the global climate is generally growing warmer and
stormier, regional climates will experience these and other phenomenon
to varying degrees,27 and also because different regions rely on
different types of generation and differently situated transmission
facilities. However, according to a 2015 Department of Energy (DOE)
report, which mapped climate impacts on different parts of the U.S.
energy sector, no region will go unscathed (see Figure 1).28 Thus,
ISO/RTOs in all regions should be planning for the effects of higher
temperatures, heat waves, and more intense storms, which will be felt
nationwide, as well as for regional effects, such as sea level rise
along the coasts, wildfires in the West, drought in the Southwest and
California, and more frequent and intense precipitation in the Northeast...
http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/files/2018/02/Gundlach-Webb-2018-02-CC-Bulk-Power-System.pdf
[The Hill]
*The White House's attack on scientists could manipulate public opinion
<http://thehill.com/opinion/energy-environment/375036-the-white-houses-attack-on-scientists-could-manipulate-public>*
LAUREN KURTZ AND ROMANY WEBB, OPINION CONTRIBUTORS - 02/22/18
The Trump administration's FY2019 budget, unveiled last Monday, proposes
cuts in essential funding for scientific research and education.
Unfortunately, this attack on science is not an isolated incident.
Barely a year intoPresident Trump
<http://thehill.com/people/donald-trump>'s term, there have already
been111 attempts
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/resources/silencing-science-tracker/>by
the federal government to censor, misrepresent, or stifle science. Many
appear intended to gain support for the administration's efforts to prop
up the fossil fuel industry. Despite the administration's claims that
its actions put "America first," they will in fact undermine our
economic competitiveness and our position at the forefront of scientific
research.
The U.S. prides itself on being a world leader in science and
technology. And for good reason: life-saving vaccines, MRIs, the
Internet and many other revolutionary technologies were invented here,
often with the help ofgovernment funding
<http://www.sciencecoalition.org/downloads/1390490336mitpetersingerfederallysupportedinnovationswhitepaperjan2014-21.pdf>.
But under President Trump, funding for scientific research is facing
cuts. The Trump administration is also undermining science in other
ways, like preventing scientists from publicly communicating about their
research and misrepresenting scientific studies.
We decided to tally all of these anti-science actions in aSilencing
Science Tracker
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/resources/silencing-science-tracker/>,
which shows that many of the administration's actions involve attempts
todownplay
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/silencing-science-tracker/noaa-fails-to-link-greenhouse-gas-emissions-to-human-activity-in-news-release/>,obscure
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/silencing-science-tracker/epa-removed-links-to-climate-change-resources-for-local-governments-from-website/>,
oroutright challenge
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/silencing-science-tracker/transition-team-sends-then-disavows-survey-asking-for-details-of-doe-staff-working-on-climate-change/>the
scientific consensus on climate change. This makes sense given Trump's
focus on "beautiful
<https://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-essential-washington-updates-what-did-trump-mean-by-beautiful-clean-1517371832-htmlstory.html>"
coal and other climate-damaging fossil fuels. The Trump administration
is effectively promoting the fossil fuel industry's interests over
public health and safety and appears to be using its control over
scientific information to manipulate public opinion in this area.
For instance, in the early months of the Trump administration, numerous
government websites were changed toomit
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/silencing-science-tracker/climate-science-page-removed-from-epa-website/>scientific
information about climate change and the fossil fuel industry'sadverse
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/silencing-science-tracker/doi-website-changed-to-downplay-impact-of-fossil-fuels/> effects.
Newly released emails show that Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
AdministratorScott Pruitt
<http://thehill.com/people/edward-scott-pruitt>waseager to scrub
<https://insideclimatenews.org/news/29012018/scott-pruitt-epa-climate-websites-erased-emails-reveal-close-involvement-clean-power-plan>the
agency's climate change pages. Given his "arm in arm
<https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/22/us/politics/scott-pruitt-environmental-protection-agency.html>"
past with the fossil fuel industry, and his subsequent moves to undo or
weaken regulations imposed on it, this is no surprise.
At the Department of the Interior (DOI), a website discussing the
environmental and other risks of fossil fuel development waschanged
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/silencing-science-tracker/doi-website-changed-to-downplay-impact-of-fossil-fuels/>to
emphasize economic benefits. A few months later, large swaths of land
previously protected from coal mining and oil and gas drilling
wereopened
<https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/ethan-lane-trump-really-will-shrink-government-starting-national-monuments/>to
development. Shortly after this, DOI's Bureau of Land Management changed
the image on its homepage from a scenic park vista to a pile of coal,
presumably to reinforce the message that public lands are for mining.
This is, in some ways, nothing new. Past administrations have used
government communications to advocate their policies. But President
Trump is going much further.
Recent changes in federal research funding suggest that the Trump
administration is deliberately silencing science that could call its
policy decisions into question. For example, in August 2017, shortly
before allowing more coal mining on federal land, DOIsuspended
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/silencing-science-tracker/coal-mining-study-paused-by-doi/>funding
for a study intended to identify its health risks. Four months later,
DOIsuspended
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/silencing-science-tracker/funding-for-offshore-drilling-safety-study-paused-by-doi/>a
study into the safety of offshore oil and gas drilling, just days
beforeproposing
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/climate-deregulation-tracker/doi-proposes-expansion-of-offshore-oil-and-gas-drilling/>a
massive expansion in the area available for drilling.
This cannot possibly be a coincidence. The administration is clearly out
to pre-empt possible opposition to its policies and is not at all
interested in verifying that they are scientifically sound. It seems
intent on limiting independent scientific research while propping-up
industry-backed science. This is particularly obvious at EPA, where
university scientists have beenremoved
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/silencing-science-tracker/epa-scientific-advisory-board-members-dismissed/>from
advisory panels, to make space for industry representatives. EPA is also
consideringreducing vehicle emissions standards
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/silencing-science-tracker/epa-giving-preference-to-industry-backed-science/>based
on industry-sponsored science andpushed through industry-backed chemical
rules
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/silencing-science-tracker/epa-adopts-new-chemical-rules-against-scientific-advice/>against
the advice of agency scientists.
We shouldn't be surprised. President Trump, after all, has in the past
ignored scientific advice that contradicts his pro-industry agenda. He
oncefamously called climate change a hoax
<https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/265895292191248385?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw>perpetrated
by China to harm American businesses. More recently, he used a cold snap
on the East Coastto suggest that climate change isn't happening
<https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/946531657229701120>and
reiterate his (false) talking point thatremaining
<https://www.factcheck.org/2017/06/factchecking-trumps-climate-speech/>in
the Paris Agreement would have unnecessarily cost the U.S. "trillions."
Trump supporters speak positively of the president's blunt style,saying
they
<https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/aug/23/trump-supporter-interviews-phoenix-arizona-rally>"want
a president who is not politically correct." But the irony is that so
much of what the Trump administration has done involves manipulating
science to match political goals, like requiring EPA grants to
bereviewed by political appointee
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/silencing-science-tracker/epa-climate-change-website-removed/>sandremoving
agency websites
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/silencing-science-tracker/epa-removed-links-to-climate-change-resources-for-local-governments-from-website/>containing
politically inconvenient information.
In reality, Trump's claim to "tell it like it is" is actually the
greatest hoax of all.
/Lauren Kurtz is the Executive Director of the//Climate Science Legal
Defense Fund/ <https://www.csldf.org/>/./
/Romany Webb is an Associate Research Scholar at Columbia Law School and
Climate Law Fellow at the//Sabin Center for Climate Change Law./
<http://columbiaclimatelaw.com/>
http://thehill.com/opinion/energy-environment/375036-the-white-houses-attack-on-scientists-could-manipulate-public
[Yikes!]
*Bad News: The Amazon Might Be Past the Point of Saving
<https://futurism.com/amazon-rainforest-deforestation-crisis-point/>*
Futurism
The Amazon Rainforest isn't just dwindling - it's approaching a crisis
point. A new study has laid out how the combination of deforestation,
climate change, and other factors could push the rainforest beyond the
point of no return.
Essentially, they wanted to know how far deforestation could progress
before the rainforest's water cycle would cease to support the
ecosystems within it. "If the climate changes – by deforestation or
global warming – there's a risk that more than 50% of the Amazon forest
becomes a degraded savannah," ...
The world's forests are shrinking. For years, they've withstood a
multitude of human impact. But according to a new study published in the
journal Science Advances
<http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/4/2/eaat2340>, they may be
reaching a crisis point. If deforestation goes beyond 20 percent of its
original spread, the Amazon Rainforest will have reached the "point of
no return
<http://www.euronews.com/2018/02/22/amazon-rainforest-heading-to-point-of-no-return->".
In the study, Thomas Lovejoy and Carlos Nobre set out to concretely
establish that tipping point, as well as concretely identify what must
take place for it to be reached. Essentially, they wanted to know how
far deforestation could progress
<https://futurism.com/illegal-logging-is-depleting-the-amazon-rainforest-29-faster-than-last-year/>
before the rainforest's water cycle would cease to support the
ecosystems within it.
"If the climate changes – by deforestation or global warming – there's a
risk that more than 50% of the Amazon forest becomes a degraded
savannah," Nobre told Euronews, emphasizing that in the last 50 years,
deforestation has made its way to about 17 percent of the Amazon's
vegetation.
By their estimates, it would take just an additional three percent to
render the rainforest unsalvagable...
e right kind of human intervention could help steer the forest away from
imminent doom - but in light of the destruction that's already been
done, and the speed of its continuation, putting a stop to it won't be easy.
https://futurism.com/amazon-rainforest-deforestation-crisis-point/
[Book blurb - new and forthcoming titles]
*New Books on Climate Change Adaptation
<http://www.springer.com/series/8740>*
The International Climate Change Information Programme (ICCIP)
founded in 2008, is a key player on information, communication and
training on matters related to
climate change. Apart from organising a variety of climate change event
round the world,
ICCIP also runs the Climate Change Management Series, the leading
peer-reviewed book
series on the topic. Over 1.000 authors from 119 countries have
contributed to the
books to date.
The latest publication of the series, the "Handbook of Climate Change
Communication <http://www.springer.com/us/book/9783319745473>"
/[$449.99]/, has just been launched. This comprehensive handbook
provides a unique overview of the theory, methodologies and best
practices in climate change communication from around the world. It
fosters the exchange of information, ideas and experience gained in the
execution of successful projects and initiatives, and discusses novel
methodological approaches aimed at promoting a better understanding of
climate change adaptation. It consists of 3 volumes:
Vol 1- Theory of Climate Change Communication:
http://www.springer.com/de/book/9783319698373
Vol 2- Practice of Climate Change Communication:
http://www.springer.com/de/book/9783319700656
Vol 3- Case Studies in Climate Change Communication:
https://www.springer.com/us/book/9783319704784
In addition, some recent (2018) volumes are:
Climate Change and Its Impacts
http://www.springer.com/de/book/9783319775432
Climate Change-Resilient Agriculture and Agroforestry
http://www.springer.com/de/book/9783319750033
Climate Literacy and Innovations in Climate Change Education
http://www.springer.com/us/book/9783319701981
Further publications of the series can be seen at:
http://www.springer.com/series/8740. Details on
ICCIP and the various information and training events it is organising
round the world can be seen at:
https://www.haw-hamburg.de/en/ftz-nk/programmes/iccip/
http://www.springer.com/series/8740
[Real satire becomes sarcasm, then reality, then back]
*Sighing, Resigned Climate Scientists Say To Just Enjoy Next 20 Years As
Much As You Can*
<https://www.theonion.com/sighing-resigned-climate-scientists-say-to-just-enjoy-1823265249>
GENEVA - Attending a conference to discuss alarming new data on rising
sea levels, a weary group of top climatologists suddenly halted their
presentation Friday, let out a long sigh, and stated that the best thing
anyone can do at this point is just try to enjoy the next couple decades
as much as possible. "You know what, guys? Just go out there and have a
good time - don't worry about any of this," said climate scientist
Annalisa Feldt who tore in half the report she had compiled and
suggested everyone consider traveling to a place they've never been
before, or taking up a pastime they've always imagined might be fun. "Go
see a show. Join an intramural sports league. Learn a musical
instrument. Have more sex. Try skiing, if you never have, although
that's one you'd better do within the next five years or so."
Reiterating the need for people to live it up while they still can, the
climatologists announced that if anyone was interested in joining them,
they would be skipping the remainder of the conference to get completely
shit-faced at the nearest bar.
https://www.theonion.com/sighing-resigned-climate-scientists-say-to-just-enjoy-1823265249
/[scientists switching to recreational research]/
*This Day in Climate History February 25, 2005
<http://web.archive.org/web/20050315235150/http://www.bostonphoenix.com/boston/news_features/other_stories/multi_3/documents/04495072.asp>
- from D.R. Tucker*
February 25, 2005: In a piece on state-level efforts to address carbon
pollution, the Boston Phoenix's Deirdre Fulton notes:
"Though the United States accounts for almost 25 percent — more than
any other single country — of the world’s global-warming emissions,
advocates say there’s been little federal action on this issue since
at least 2001. That’s when George W. Bush, echoing concerns that had
also been voiced by his predecessor Bill Clinton, opted out of
Kyoto, citing national economic concerns and calling on developing
nations to commit to greater sacrifices than they do under the
current agreement. No wonder China, India, Mexico, and Brazil signed
on, say US and Australian leaders. They have much less to lose as
more stringent emissions regulations go into effect for other
nations worldwide.
"The US position may or may not be fair, but we do know this much:
it doesn’t move us very far toward addressing the looming problem of
global warming. And that makes regional and state-level efforts all
the more important."
http://web.archive.org/web/20050315235150/http://www.bostonphoenix.com/boston/news_features/other_stories/multi_3/documents/04495072.asp
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