[TheClimate.Vote] July 1, 2018 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

Richard Pauli richard at theclimate.vote
Sun Jul 1 10:47:24 EDT 2018


/July 1, 2018/

[yes, this is global warming]
*Record challenging heat arrives with heat wave extending through next 
week 
<http://www.wfmz.com/weather/record-challenging-heat-arrives-with-heat-wave-extending-through-next-week-1/761226802>*
Higher humidity Sunday with dangerous heat indices...
Given it's the first heat wave of the summer, it is important to 
remember and practice hot weather safety measures. Take plenty of breaks 
from outdoor activities in a cool spot, preferably indoors with air 
conditioning, and be sure to drink plenty of water and stay well 
hydrated. Also, don't forget to check on the young, the elderly, and 
pets, all groups more susceptible to the excessive heat. Hot weather, 
especially long duration heat waves, is surprisingly high on the list of 
most dangerous types of weather in terms of injuries or deaths each year.
The most intense heat and humidity will likely last into early next 
week, with Monday and Tuesday both seeing high temperatures return into 
the upper 90s and triple-digit heat indices. These days will also remain 
dry, which means you shouldn't count on a thunderstorm to provide much 
cooling relief and instead seek out air conditioning, pools, or the 
shore where sea-breezes each day will limit how hot the coast gets each 
afternoon. After Tuesday, the heat will moderate a little bit as highs 
lower closer to 90 degrees. So it certainly won't be cool, but let's 
instead go with a little less hot...
http://www.wfmz.com/weather/record-challenging-heat-arrives-with-heat-wave-extending-through-next-week-1/761226802
- - - - -
*[Heatwaves indicate global warming]
**Weather: U.S. Heat Records Breaking & Climate Connection Explained 
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mBP1kO1yrh4>*
Climate State
Published on Jun 30, 2018
Washington Post https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/c...
ABC News https://goo.gl/DGM3mh
CBS News https://goo.gl/ZLQbkS
Most accurate climate models predict greatest warming 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=egg1V...
Global Average Temperature vs Temperature Extrm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E9f6b...
Global Warming, What You Need To Know, with Tom Brokaw 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ptNL7...
Weather Underground https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Min...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mBP1kO1yrh4
- - - -
[the highest low temperature]
*A Minimum Temperature of 42.6 °C (108.7 °F) in Oman on June 26, 2018: a 
New World Record 
<https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Minimum-Temperature-426-C-1087-F-Oman-June-26-2018-New-World-Record>*
You may think it's been hot where you are, but the coastal city of 
Quriyat (Qurayyat) in the Middle Eastern nation of Oman established a 
singularly unenviable heat mark on Tuesday: a 24-hour low temperature of 
42.6°C (108.7°F), including the period from local midnight to midnight. 
According to weather records expert Maximiliano Herrera, this sets a new 
world record for the hottest 24-hour-minimum temperature ever recorded. 
Herrera says that the previous high-minimum temperature record for any 
24-hour period was 41.9°C (107.4°F), set at nearby Khassab Airport in 
Oman on June 27, 2011. That location also holds the world record for the 
highest overnight (12-hour) high-minimum temperature: 44.2°C (111.6°F) 
on June 17, 2017. (Note that the World Meteorological Organization does 
not maintain world record statistics for highest minimum temperature)...
- -- - -
WU weather historian Christopher Burt has anexcellent post from 2016 on 
the hottest minimum temperatures measured globally up to that point 
<WU%20weather%20historian%20Christopher%20Burt%20has%20an%20excellent%20post%20from%202016%20on%20the%20hottest%20minimum%20temperatures%20measured%20globally%20up%20to%20that%20point.>.
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Minimum-Temperature-426-C-1087-F-Oman-June-26-2018-New-World-Record
more at: 
https://www.wunderground.com/blog/weatherhistorian/worlds-hottest-nightshighest-minimum-temperatures-yet-measured.html


[thirst]
*World Meteorological Organization steps up action on water 
<https://www.sixdegreesnews.org/archives/25414/world-meteorological-organization-steps-up-action-on-water>*
SIXDEGREES    on 06/30/2018 at 8:28 am
THE WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION IS REVAMPING ITS STRATEGY ON WATER 
IN ORDER TO FACE UP TO THE UNPRECEDENTED CHALLENGES POSED BY WATER 
STRESS, FLOODS AND DROUGHTS AND LACK OF ACCESS TO CLEAN SUPPLIES...
- - - -
WMO formally assumed the direction of the World Water Data Initiative, 
given that better data is key to better management of water. It also 
launched a new innovation call from the WMO HydroHub facility to support 
operational hydrology.
https://www.sixdegreesnews.org/archives/25414/world-meteorological-organization-steps-up-action-on-water


[big changes, big in Australia]
*'We've turned a corner': farmers shift on climate change and want a say 
on energy 
<https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/jun/30/weve-turned-a-corner-farmers-shift-on-climate-change-and-want-a-say-on-energy>*
National Farmers' Federation head Fiona Simson says people on the land 
can't ignore what is right before their eyes
Podcast: Why farmers are getting behind the science on climate change 
<https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/audio/2018/jun/30/why-farmers-are-getting-behind-the-science-on-climate-change-australian-politics-live>
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/audio/2018/jun/30/why-farmers-are-getting-behind-the-science-on-climate-change-australian-politics-live
Out in the bush, far from the ritualised political jousting in Canberra, 
attitudes are changing. Regional Australia has turned the corner when it 
comes to acknowledging the reality of climate change, says the woman now 
charged with safeguarding the interests of farmers in Canberra.
Fiona Simson, a mixed farmer and grazier from the Liverpool plains in 
northern New South Wales, and the president of the National Farmers' 
Federation, says people on the land can't and won't ignore what is right 
before their eyes. "We have been experiencing some wild climate 
variability," Simson tells Guardian Australia's politics podcast. "It's 
in people's face".
"While we are a land of droughts and flooding rains, absolutely at the 
moment people are seeing enormous swings in what would be considered 
usually normal. They are getting all their rainfall at once, even though 
they end up with an annual rainfall that's the same, it's all at once, 
or it's in so many tiny insignificant falls that it doesn't make any 
difference to them.
"And the heat. We've had some record hot summers and some weird swings 
in seasons"...
- - - - -
She says politicians "need to stop picking winners. This is not about 
coal versus renewables ... it's a bit like a farm, we are probably going 
to need a bit of everything. Surely, let the market decide is the best 
way rather than one politician thinking what's going to be the 
technology of the future".
Simson notes that Australian farmers love markets. They are entirely 
comfortable with competition. So the same rules should apply to the 
energy market. "For us it is very important that the policy be 
technology neutral, and let the market decide."
She says politicians also need to understand that voters have had enough 
of the internal intrigues and the brinkmanship. "People are really 
frustrated at the moment with the politics, whether it is internal 
politics and infighting within the parties, or whether it is party 
against party. People are wanting now to have outcomes. People are 
facing skyrocketing energy prices. Some of my members are facing bills 
triple what they were a few years ago."
So while there are still questions to answer about the detail of the 
policy framework, the Neg must be approached as opportunity. Simson says 
affordability, reliability, technology neutrality is fundamental, and 
the farm sector needs a tailored solution where emissions reduction can 
be built into the core of the business. "We think there are a lot of 
opportunities for small-scale energy generation and it's already happening".
"We would particularly like to take advantage of some of the heat 
generation that some of our intensive industries are using. For example, 
the pork industry has been amazing at capturing methane and then using 
that as energy generation - all the manure, the slurry going into the 
pits, having the methane captured and then driving a lot of the technology."
"Things like that on farm are amazing opportunities."
She says farms are often at the end of the power grid and are not well 
served by the status quo. She says the Neg framework could allow farmers 
to band together, and small communities to band together, to build their 
own energy infrastructure.
"We can work with this general framework. There is lot of opportunity".
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/jun/30/weve-turned-a-corner-farmers-shift-on-climate-change-and-want-a-say-on-energy


[Wise man James Hansen]
Opinion | James Hansen Boston Globe 27 June 2018 Source: 1965-2017 BP
Statistical Review of World Energy; 1900-1965 Department of Energy 
Carbon Dioxide Information and Analysis Center (Energy unit: Gt = 
gigatons = billion tons of oil equivalent)
*Thirty years later, what needs to change in our approach to climate 
change 
<:http://www.columbia.edu/%7Ejeh1/mailings/2018/20180627_BostonGlobeOpinion.pdf>*
THIRTY YEARS AGO, while the Midwest withered in massive drought and East 
Coast temperatures exceeded 100 degrees Fahrenheit, I testified to the 
Senate as a senior NASA scientist about climate change. I said that 
ongoing global warming was outside the range of natural variability and 
it could be attributed, with high confidence, to human activity - mainly 
from the spewing of carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping gases into 
the atmosphere. "It's time to stop waffling so much and say that the 
evidence is pretty strong that the greenhouse effect is here," I 
said.This clear and strong message about the dangers of carbon emissions 
was heard. The next day, it led the front pages of newspapers across the 
country. Climate theory led to political action with remarkable speed. 
Within four years, almost all nations, including the United States, 
signed a Framework Convention in Rio de Janeiro, agreeing that the world 
must avoid dangerous human-made interference with climate. Sadly, the 
principal follow-ups to Rio were the predatory Kyoto Protocol and Paris 
Agreement - wishful thinking, hoping that countries will make plans to 
reduce emissions and carry them out. In reality, most countries follow 
their self-interest, and global carbon emissions continue to climb (see 
graph above). It's not rocket science. As long as fossil fuels are 
cheap, they will be burned and emissions will be high.Fossil fuel use 
will decline only if the price is made to include costs of pollution and 
climate change to society. The simplest and most effective way to do 
this is by collecting a rising carbon fee from fossil fuel companies at 
domestic mines and ports of entry. Economists agree: If 100 percent of 
this fee is distributed uniformly to the public, the economy will be 
spurred, GNP will rise, and millions of jobs will be created. Our energy 
infrastructure will be steadily modernized with clean energies and 
energy efficiency.The clinching argument for a carbon fee, as opposed to 
ineffectual cap-and-trade schemes dreamed up by politicians, is that the 
fee can be imposed almost globally via border duties on products from 
countries that do not have a fee, based on standard fossil fuel content 
of the products. This will be a strong incentive for most countries to 
have their own fee.
Any cap approach, by contrast, leaves the impossible task of negotiating 
190 caps on all the world's nations. Governments of some countries may 
keep a carbon fee as a tax. However, in democracies uniform 100 percent 
distribution of the funds will be needed to achieve public support.A 
carbon fee is crucial, but not enough. Countries such as India and China 
need massive amounts of energy to raise living standards. The notion 
that renewable energies and batteries alone will provide all needed 
energy is fantastical. It is also a grotesque idea, because of the 
staggering environmental pollution from mining and material disposal, if 
all energy was derived from renewables and batteries. Worse,tricking the 
public to accept the fantasy of 100 percent renewables means that, in 
reality, fossil fuels reign and climate change grows. The United States 
and Europe burned most of the global carbon budget that we are permitted 
to burn if climate is to be stabilized. As such, we have a moral 
obligation to the developing world, and a practical problem, because we 
all live on the same planet.Young people are puzzled that, 25 years ago, 
President Clinton terminated R&D on next-generation safe nuclear power, 
the principal alternative to fossil fuel electricity. It is not too 
late. My advice to young people is to cast off the old politics and 
fight for their future on technological, political, and legal fronts.It 
will not be easy. Washington is a swamp of special interests and, 
because of the power of the fossil fuel industry, our political parties 
are little concerned about the mess they are leaving for young 
people.Young people have great potential political power, as they showed 
in their support of Barack Obama in2008 and Bernie Sanders in 2016. 
However, it is not enough to elect a leader who spouts good words. It is 
necessary to understand needed policies and fight for them.The best way 
to fight for the carbon fee and dividend is to join Citizens' Climate 
Lobby, which now has more than 90,000 members but needs more, especially 
young people. CCL members are appropriately polite and respectful as 
they cajole politicians in Washington. If they were joined by the fire 
of young people that was demonstrated in 2008 and 2016, even the mighty 
fossil fuel industry would take notice.The fossil fuel industry afraid 
of kids? They might be when they notice who is standing behind the 
kids:the United States Constitution. Kids are people with constitutional 
rights to life, liberty and property. Many lawsuits are being filed, in 
the United States and around the world, on behalf of young people.They 
include stopgap efforts, such as a suit to block the Trump 
administration from opening the Powder River Basin in Montana to coal 
exploitation (with potential to exceed US emissions of the past 50 
years),and the Our Children's Trust lawsuit, demanding government 
policies to reduce fossil fuel emissions at a rate that the science 
indicates is needed to support a healthy climate.Chances of winning 
lawsuits grow as incontrovertible evidence of climate change grows. The 
judiciary is less subject to bribery from the fossil fuel industry than 
are the other branches of government. Yet in this case, justice delayed 
may be justice denied. Young people cannot afford the "all deliberate 
speed" that followed the Brown v. Board of Education decision regarding 
civil rights in 1954. Young people and old people must understand the 
implications of the accompanying graph. The fight top has down fossil 
fuel emissions is not yet being won. We all must understand needed 
energy policies and fight for the future of our young people. We must 
use all the levers of our democracy to force the fossil fuel industry to 
become a clean energy industry.James Hansen, retired director of the 
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, directs the Climate Science, 
Awareness and Solutions program in the Earth Institute at Columbia 
University
http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2018/20180627_BostonGlobeOpinion.pdf


[millions of years ago - classic paleoclimatology lecture]
*Richard Alley - 4.6 Billion Years of Earth's Climate History: The Role 
of CO2 <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ujkcTZZlikg>*
National Academy of Sciences
Published on Jun 1, 2015
NAS member Richard Alley presents on 4.6 Billion Years of Earth's 
Climate History: The Role of CO2, during the Symposium-Earths, Moons, 
Mars & Stars at the National Academy of Sciences 152nd Annual Meeting.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ujkcTZZlikg
from Peter Sinclair
https://climatecrocks.com/2018/06/30/the-weekend-wonk-richard-alley-on-4-billion-years-of-earth-history/


[Popular repeat: Great Explanations - the important quintessential clip 
<https://youtu.be/wtmuBoolHQg?t=59m39s>  is at 59m39s]
*Jennifer Francis: Crazy Weather and the Arctic Meltdown 
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wtmuBoolHQg>*
New England Aquarium - Video 66 minutes
Published on Mar 8, 2018
Jennifer Francis, Ph.D., Research Professor I, Department of Marine and 
Coastal Sciences, Rutgers University, speaks about the question on 
everyone's minds: why is the weather so crazy? And is it related to 
climate change?
In this presentation, Dr. Francis will explain new research that links 
increasing extreme weather events with the rapidly warming and melting 
Arctic during recent decades. Evidence suggests that Arctic warming is 
causing weather patterns to become more persistent, which can lead to 
extremes such as droughts, cold spells, heat waves, and some flooding 
events.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wtmuBoolHQg


*Space is full of dirty, toxic grease, scientists reveal 
<https://www.theguardian.com/science/2018/jun/27/space-is-full-of-dirty-toxic-grease-scientists-reveal>*
Research to calculate amount of 'space grease' in the Milky Way found 
enough for 40 trillion trillion trillion packs of butter
Until now there has been uncertainty over how much carbon is drifting 
between the stars. About half is expected to be found in its pure form. 
The rest is chemically bound with hydrogen in either a grease-like form, 
known as aliphatic carbon, or as a gaseous version of naphthalene, the 
main chemical component of mothballs.
To tackle the question, Schmidt and colleagues recreated in the 
laboratory the process by which greasy carbon forms in the outflows of 
carbon stars. The material was collected and analysed using spectroscopy 
to work out how strongly it absorbed light of certain wavelengths.
"This allowed us to figure out how much greasy carbon is in the line of 
sight of various stars," said Schmidt.
They found that there are about 100 greasy carbon atoms for every 
million hydrogen atoms, accounting for between a quarter and a half of 
the available carbon in the Milky Way.
"This space grease is not the kind of thing you'd want to spread on a 
slice of toast," said Schmidt. "It's dirty, likely toxic and only forms 
in the environment of interstellar space - and our laboratory."
The team now plans to determine the abundance of the mothball-like 
carbon, which will involve more laboratory experiments. By firmly 
establishing the amount of each type of carbon in the dust, they will 
know precisely how much of this element is available to create life. 
"It's part of understanding the great life-cycle of carbon," said 
Schmidt. "It's made in stars, goes through the interstellar medium and 
gets incorporated into new planetary systems and has ended up 
incorporated into life. It's part of the big story, the biggest story 
there is."
Helen Fraser, a senior lecturer in astronomy at the Open University, 
said: "It remains a major question in astronomy how dust forms, evolves 
and is destroyed."
Fraser said the work suggests that are many more "grease-like" molecules 
in space than previously thought. "The consequence could be important in 
how such dust grains stick and form planets, or even 'seed' planetary 
surfaces with the ingredients for the origins of life," she added.
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2018/jun/27/space-is-full-of-dirty-toxic-grease-scientists-reveal
- - - -
more at: 
https://academic.oup.com/mnras/advance-article/doi/10.1093/mnras/sty1582/5039660


*This Day in Climate History - July 1, 1983 
<July%201,%201983:%20NBC%27s%20%22Today%22%20reports%20on%20the%20risk%20of%20sea%20level%20rise%20from%20global%20warming.> 
- from D.R. Tucker*
July 1, 1983: NBC's "Today" reports on the risk of sea level rise from 
global warming.
In 1983, Duke University geologist Orrin Pilkey theorizes that 
widespread beach erosion is caused by carbon dioxide emissions warming 
the atmosphere; global warming melts the Antarctic ice caps and raises 
the sea level

    PAULEY: But Miami Beach had a problem like that, too, and they
    reclaimed their beaches, didn’t they?

    Dr. PILKEY: Yes, they did, quite successfully, but at a cost of $65
    million - $68 million for 15 miles of shoreline.

    PAULEY: And is it a permanent solution?

    Dr. PILKEY: No, it’s a solution that might last a decade, something
    like that.

    PAULEY: So what is the solution in general, like just to throw up
    your hands and welcome the oceans?

    Dr. PILKEY: Well, that’s one of the nice things about this
    environmental problem is that the best solution is probably to do
    nothing. That is, to let the houses fall in as their time comes.
    This is a very politically unpopular solution.

    PAULEY: It is.

    Dr. PILKEY: There are ways of letting houses fall in. One can buy
    the houses or one can move the houses before their time comes. The
    real difficult part of this, though, is what to do about the ten
    story condominiums that line the shorelines of West Florida,
    Pinellas County, and places like that. It’s difficult to let them
    fall in, difficult to move them.

    PAULEY: It’s not a real cheerful message.

http://archives.nbclearn.com/portal/site/k-12/flatview?cuecard=40383


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