[TheClimate.Vote] March 1, 2018 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

Thu Mar 1 10:09:10 EST 2018

/March 1, 2018/

[hunker down]
*A beast of a storm will strike Mid-Atlantic and New England from 
Thursday night through Saturday* 
<https://mashable.com/2018/02/28/dangerous-storm-mid-atlantic-northeast/>
First of all, there's the broader context. The overall weather pattern 
is extremely favorable for a monster storm to form and meander close to 
the East Coast for days. This is because there's a massive block in the 
upper level winds, known as the jet stream, blowing across the Atlantic. 
A huge area of high pressure is sitting over Greenland, rerouting the 
jet stream to the north, and then back south to the west of Europe, 
where frigid air from Siberia has been making international headlines. ...
Second, all computer models are converging on a solution in which a 
storm will form off the coast of New Jersey late Thursday, and rapidly 
intensify as it slowly moves to a position near or just south of 
Martha's Vineyard on Friday. ..
Third, there's the problem of precipitation type. All the ingredients 
are there for an epic blizzard in the Northeast, except for one: cold 
air. This storm may pull a few tricks, though, and manufacture its own 
cold air through a process known as dynamical cooling. ..
Some computer models are projecting wind gusts to near hurricane force 
(74 miles per hour) in eastern Massachusetts on Friday.
Lastly, there are signs of one, possibly two more intense nor'easters 
hitting next week. And guess what ingredient will be present at that time?
Cold air.
https://mashable.com/2018/02/28/dangerous-storm-mid-atlantic-northeast/
[more]
*Coastal flooding is the highest concern from nor'easter headed our way 
<https://www.pressherald.com/2018/02/28/coastal-flooding-highest-concern-noreaster-headed-way/>*
https://www.pressherald.com/2018/02/28/coastal-flooding-highest-concern-noreaster-headed-way/
[even more]
*Strong Nor'easter Could Bring Damaging Winds, Major Coastal Flooding, 
Beach Erosion to New England Into This Weekend 
<https://weather.com/forecast/regional/news/2018-02-28-noreaster-strong-winds-coastal-flooding-midwest-early-march>*
Winds will begin to ramp up along the Eastern Seabaord overnight 
Thursday night.
Friday, wind gusts over 50 mph will be frequent into at least early 
evening generally to the north of the low-pressure center over coastal 
New England from parts of southern Maine to eastern Massachusetts, 
southern Rhode Island, perhaps eastern Long Island.
Occasional gusts over 60 mph are possible, at times, capable of downing 
tree limbs, trees, and triggering power outages.
Some gusts over 40 mph, at times, can be expected in parts of the New 
York City Tri-state, south to the Washington D.C. metro, the Delmarva 
Peninsula, Virginia Tidewater and Outer Banks of North Carolina Friday.
https://weather.com/forecast/regional/news/2018-02-28-noreaster-strong-winds-coastal-flooding-midwest-early-march

[Start with a Cartoon]
*Nobody is Coming to Save Us From Climate Change 
<https://thenib.com/nobody-is-coming-to-save-us-from-climate-change?t=recent>*
We can't buy our way out of it. We're going to need collective action on 
a global scale.
by Maria Stoian
Click for Cartoon 
<https://thenib.com/nobody-is-coming-to-save-us-from-climate-change?t=recent>
Rise and Shine.The World is Doomed. The Nib, delivered to your inbox 
every AM. <https://thenib.com/>
https://thenib.com/nobody-is-coming-to-save-us-from-climate-change?t=recent

[great website]
*Greater Good Magazine <https://greatergood.berkeley.edu/>*
Science-based insights for a meaningful life
https://greatergood.berkeley.edu/

[Video to Kids]
*Global Weirding with Katharine Hayhoe*
Published on Feb 28, 2018
*"I'm just one kid, what can I do to help fix global warming?" 
<https://youtu.be/PslL9WC-2cQ>*
Find out in this all new episode of Global Weirding.
Global Weirding is produced by KTTZ Texas Tech Public Media and 
distributed by PBS Digital Studios. New episodes every other Wednesday 
at 10 am central. Brought to you in part by: Bob and Linda Herscher, 
Freese and Nichols, Inc, and the Texas Tech Climate Science Center.
https://youtu.be/PslL9WC-2cQ

[VOX TVA Dave Roberts]
*After rising for 100 years, electricity demand is flat. Utilities are 
freaking out. 
<https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2018/2/27/17052488/electricity-demand-utilities>*
The Tennessee Valley Authority is the latest to be caught short.
By David Roberts at drvoxdavid@vox.com
The US electricity sector is in a period of unprecedented change and 
turmoil. Renewable energy prices arefalling like crazy 
<https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2017/8/30/16224582/wind-solar-exceed-expectations-again>. 
Natural gas production continues itsextraordinary surge 
<https://www.vox.com/2014/10/2/6892781/how-the-oil-and-gas-boom-is-changing-america>. 
Coal, the golden child of the current administration, isheaded down the 
tubes 
<https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2017/10/19/16494472/trump-coal-futile>.
In all that bedlam, it's easy to lose sight of an equally important (if 
less sexy) trend:Demand for electricity is stagnant 
<https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-04-25/u-s-power-demand-flatlined-years-ago-and-it-s-hurting-utilities>...
To be clear: For both economic and environmental reasons, it is good 
that US power demand has decoupled from GDP growth. As long as we're 
getting the energy services we need, we want overall demand to decline. 
It saves money, reduces pollution, and avoids the need for expensive 
infrastructure.
But the way we've set up utilities, they must fight that trend. Every 
time they are forced to invest in energy efficiency or make some 
allowance for distributed generation (and they must always be forced), 
demand for their product declines, and with it their justification to 
make new investments.
Only when the utility model fundamentally changes - when utilities begin 
to see themselves primarily as architects and managers of 
high-efficiency, low-emissions, multidirectional electricity systems 
rather than just investors in infrastructure growth - can utilities turn 
in earnest to the kind planning they need to be doing.
In a climate-aligned world, utilities would view the decoupling of power 
demand from GDP growth as cause for celebration, a sign of success. They 
would throw themselves into accelerating the trend.
Instead, utilities find themselves constantly surprised, caught 
flat-footed again and again by a trend they desperately want to believe 
is temporary. Unless we can collectively reorient utilities to pursue 
rather than fear current trends in electricity, they are headed for a 
grim reckoning.
https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2018/2/27/17052488/electricity-demand-utilities

[Destabilization-renewal]
*WHICH WOULD YOU RATHER HAVE: COMFORTING FALSE HOPES ABOUT GLOBAL 
WARMING REDUCTION PROGRESS OR HONEST FACTS? 
<http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/which_would_you_rather_have_comforting_false_hopes_about_global_warming_reduction_progress_or_honest_facts>*
Posted by David Pike 30sc on February 27, 2018
*The 3 most relevant facts about global warming:*
1. Global warming has becomeirreversible 
<http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/irreversible_global_warming_is_here_now?e=8317049a195e4954a982525c7bba368b&utm_source=factnet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=february_fund_r&n=2>. 
It will last for centuries to thousands of years. Because irreversible 
global warming will unfold as is described in the /Climageddon Scenario/ 
<http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/climageddon_scenario?e=8317049a195e4954a982525c7bba368b&utm_source=factnet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=february_fund_r&n=3>prediction 
model and because things are going to get a lot worse for quite a while, 
one should do their best to enjoy the life you have now as much as is 
possible.Click here 
<http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/irreversible_global_warming_is_here_now?e=8317049a195e4954a982525c7bba368b&utm_source=factnet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=february_fund_r&n=4>to 
see the data demonstrating our current condition of irreversible global 
warming. Click here 
<http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/why_35_years_of_reduction_failure?e=8317049a195e4954a982525c7bba368b&utm_source=factnet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=february_fund_r&n=5>for 
how we let this crisis happen over the last 35 years.
2. Because global warming is irreversible, global warming's20 worst 
consequences 
<http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/20_worst_consequences_of_global_warming?e=8317049a195e4954a982525c7bba368b&utm_source=factnet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=february_fund_r&n=6>are 
now /unavoidable. /These consequences will /regularly and 
continually/increase in scale, severity, and frequencyuntil the required 
global fossil fuel reduction changes are enacted. The needed fossil fuel 
reductions (and their green energy replacements,) will take at least 
another 30-50 years, but /only/if everyone on Earth agreed /today/to 
make all of the required changes and all global resources were 
/immediately/mobilized to enact those changes. Unfortunately, we are not 
remotely close to that kind of global cooperation.Click here 
<http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/20_worst_consequences_of_global_warming?e=8317049a195e4954a982525c7bba368b&utm_source=factnet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=february_fund_r&n=7>to 
review an illustration of the 20 worst consequences that are already 
here or soon will be.
3. At this point, the only effective actions we can take, individually 
and collectively, are those that will slow and lessen the coming 
consequences long enough to enable emergency preparations and mass 
migrations (above or near the 45th parallel north or south.) Billions of 
us will perish in as little as 30 to 70 years /if we do not/start 
preparing now as well as migrating. This is particularly true if you 
currently live in an unsafe global warming location. (Click here 
<http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/plan?e=8317049a195e4954a982525c7bba368b&utm_source=factnet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=february_fund_r&n=8>to 
get the free list of these /individual/ 
<http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/individual_positive_actions?e=8317049a195e4954a982525c7bba368b&utm_source=factnet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=february_fund_r&n=9> 
and collective actions called the Job One Plan that /will/help slow and 
lessen the coming consequences and give us more time.Click here 
<http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/prepare_for_global_warming_disasters?e=8317049a195e4954a982525c7bba368b&utm_source=factnet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=february_fund_r&n=10>for 
all the information you will need for wisely planning your emergency 
preparations and/or your migration from the unsafe locations.)...
*Now the good news*
We face the greatest global challenge in human history. Challenge and 
difficulty, when confronted honestly and dealt with effectively, develop 
character. Additionally, if you are of a spiritual nature, great 
challenge and difficulty will also deepen your spiritual growth and 
development.
Unfortunately, we will be "blessed" with a continuous stream of 
increasingly difficult climate challenges for far longer than any of our 
lifetimes. If we are going to have any hope of surviving as a species, 
this challenge will without a doubt, force us to be smart, cooperate and 
grow as individuals in surprising ways.
Despite the honest and difficult news in 1, 2 and 3 above, keep in mind 
that if we act now to face this challenge both individually and 
collectively, we still have time to prepare, adapt, and hopefully save a 
large portion of humanity and its achievements. Click here 
<http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/individual_positive_actions?e=8317049a195e4954a982525c7bba368b&utm_source=factnet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=february_fund_r&n=11> 
to learn about the individual actions 
<http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/individual_positive_actions?e=8317049a195e4954a982525c7bba368b&utm_source=factnet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=february_fund_r&n=12> 
you can start today to slow and lessen what is coming and buy the world 
more time....
http://www.joboneforhumanity.org/which_would_you_rather_have_comforting_false_hopes_about_global_warming_reduction_progress_or_honest_facts

[Serious paleoclimatology modeling - video lecture]
*Abrupt Climate & Sea Level Changes: Dr Lauren Gregoire (February 2018) 
<https://youtu.be/WlHcHO4rhAg>*
A seminar organised by students of the Science and Solutions for a 
Changing Planet DTP, with Dr Lauren Gregoire, Academic Research Fellow 
at the University of Leeds.

    The last deglaciation (21-7 ka), the period of transition out of the
    last ice age, was punctuated by several abrupt climate and sea level
    changes, in which ice sheets are thought to have played an important
    role. Studying these events, with geological data and numerical
    modelling, opens a window on how and how fast ice sheets and climate
    can change. This seminar will describe mechanism of ice sheet
    instability and how these have led to major episodes of sea level
    and climate change, such as Henrich Stadial 1, Meltwater Pulse 1a
    and the 8.2 kyr event. We will also discuss how models and data can
    be brought together to quantify uncertainties in past and future
    environmental changes.
    Dr Gregoire's research focuses on ice sheet and climate processes
    involved in ice sheet collapse and rapid sea level rise. One of her
    current projects aims at modelling interactions between sea level
    changes and marine ice sheet instability.
    Previously, she has worked on topics including the last
    deglaciation, the effect of ocean acidification on the biological
    pump, and calibrating climate models. She uses a range of different
    models such as 3D dynamic ice sheet models (Glimmer, BISCILES),
    Earth Models of Intermediate Complexity (UVic-ESCM, cGenie) and
    General Circulation Models (HadCM3, FAMOUS).

https://youtu.be/WlHcHO4rhAg

[Click to see Abstracts ]
Out now - new issue of Climate Policy Journal
*Climate Policy, Volume 18, Issue 4, April 2018 is now available online 
<http://www.tandfonline.com/toc/tcpo20/18/4>*
  The new issue of Climate Policy contains the following articles:

    *Research Articles*
    Learning from CDM SD tool experience for Article 6.4 of the Paris
    Agreement
    <https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14693062.2016.1277686>
    Open Access
    Karen Holm Olsen, Christof Arens & Florian Mersmann
    Pages: 383-395 | DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2016.1277686
    -
    Vehicle tax policies and new passenger car CO2 performance in EU
    member states
    <https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14693062.2017.1294044>
    Denis Dineen, Lisa Ryan & Brian O Gallachoir
    Pages: 396-412 | DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1294044
    -
    Assessing the EU ETS with a bottom-up, multi-sector model
    <https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14693062.2017.1294045>
    Pablo Pintos & Pedro Linares
    Pages: 413-424 | DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1294045
    -
    Assessing the ambition of post-2020 climate targets: a comprehensive
    framework
    <https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14693062.2017.1294046>
    Niklas Höhne, Hanna Fekete, Michel G.J. den Elzen, Andries F. Hof &
    Takeshi Kuramochi
    Pages: 425-441 | DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1294046
    -
    The impact of shale gas on the costs of climate policy
    <https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14693062.2017.1302917>
    Jan Kersting, Vicki Duscha, Joachim Schleich & Kimon Keramidas
    Pages: 442-458 | DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1302917

    Could baseline establishment be counterproductive for emissions
    reduction? Insights from Vietnam's building sector
    <https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14693062.2017.1304350>
    Maryna Karavai, Soren E. Lütken & Daniel Puig
    Pages: 459-470 | DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1304350
    -
    Public perception of climate engineering and carbon capture and
    storage in Germany: survey evidence
    <https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14693062.2017.1304888>
    Carola Braun, Christine Merk, Gert Ponitzsch, Katrin Rehdanz &
    Ulrich Schmidt
    Pages: 471-484 | DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1304888
    -
    Integrating behavioural economics into climate-economy models: some
    policy lessons
    <https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14693062.2017.1313718>
    Karolina Safarzynska
    Pages: 485-498 | DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1313718
    -
    Institutional dimensions of climate change adaptation: insights from
    the Philippines
    <https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14693062.2017.1314245>
    Sining C. Cuevas
    Pages: 499-511 | DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1314245
    -
    *Synthesis Articles*
    Convergence of per capita carbon dioxide emissions: implications and
    meta-analysis
    <https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14693062.2017.1314244>
    Sevil Acar, Patrik Soderholm & Runar Bra
    nnlund
    Pages: 512-525 | DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1314244
    -
    Climate-smart agriculture: perspectives and framings
    <https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14693062.2017.1316968>
    Alvin Chandra, Karen E. McNamara & Paul Dargusch
    Pages: 526-541 | DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1316968

https://www.tandfonline.com/toc/tcpo20/18/4

[satire plus sarcasm]
AMERICAN VOICES
*Climate Change Could Kill Most King Penguins By 2100 
<https://www.theonion.com/climate-change-could-kill-most-king-penguins-by-2100-1823386038>*
Climate models suggest that 70 percent of the 3.2 million King Penguins 
on Earth could die off by 2100 due to dwindling food sources. What do 
you think?

    "One or two could come live with me if that helps."
    KERRY NEFF • SYSTEMS ANALYST

    "Cool. So they're going to outlast most other species."
    WILHELM ERICKSON • ASSISTANT CANTOR

    "I'll probably be dead by 2100, too, but you don't see me making a
    big fuss about it."
    EVAN WICK • CANDELABRA SALESMAN

https://www.theonion.com/climate-change-could-kill-most-king-penguins-by-2100-1823386038

[NSFW -  funny, dubbed audio]
*David Attenborough has a very strong message for everyone - video 
<https://www.facebook.com/scheifferbates/videos/1163744310423279/>*
You have the responsibility.
https://www.facebook.com/scheifferbates/videos/1163744310423279/

*This Day in Climate History - March 1, 2009   - from D.R. Tucker*
March 1, 2009: In the Huffington Post, former fundamentalist Christian 
activist Frank Schaeffer observes:

    "Today the Republican Party is rooting for doom. And since the
    Republicans are now anti-American members of an Obama-must-fail
    insurgency, lies become a self-fulfilling prophecy: talk doom, and
    keep the economy in a panic and we may get what we wish for.

    "Don't conservative Republicans object to the lies? No, because the
    Republicans don't have any actual and traditional conservative
    followers left. The Republican base is now made up of religious and
    neoconservative ideologues, and the uneducated white underclass with
    a token person of color or two up front on TV to obscure the
    all-white, all-reactionary, all-backward 'There is no global
    warming!' rube reality. Actual conservatives, let alone the educated
    classes, have long since fled."

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/frank-schaeffer/why-are-the-republicans-s_b_170322.html 

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