[TheClimate.Vote] March 12, 2018 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

Richard Pauli richard at theclimate.vote
Mon Mar 12 09:32:36 EDT 2018


/March 12, 2018
/
[Ooops, may happen again]
*Standing Rock: Dakota Access Pipeline Leak Technology Can't Detect All 
Spills 
<https://insideclimatenews.org/news/09032018/dakota-access-oil-pipeline-leak-detection-technology-standing-rock-water-safety-energy-transfer-partners>*
The Standing Rock Tribe argues in a report that thousands of barrels of 
oil a day could leak into the Missouri River and not be detected by the 
company's equipment.
By Phil McKenna
Nine months after oil starting flowing through the Dakota Access 
pipeline, the Standing Rock Sioux Tribe continues to fight the 
controversial project, which passes under the Missouri River just 
upstream from their water supply.


[$now falls]
*Snow as currency: The economic impact of changing snow levels on 
Colorado ski towns* 
<http://theenergymix.com/2018/03/09/colorado-ski-operators-lose-billions-to-warmer-drier-winters/>
Climate change could devastate the economies of ski towns in the Rockies 
and anywhere else where "snow is currency," according to a new report by 
the Colorado-based climate advocacy non-profit, Protect Our Winters (POW).
In a study that compared snow levels with spending habits from 2001 to 
2016, POW found that "a low-snow year can cost the ski resort industry 
more than $1 billion and 17,400 jobs, compared to an average season," 
reports Outside magazine.
Read more in today's issue of The Energy Mix:
http://theenergymix.com/2018/03/09/colorado-ski-operators-lose-billions-to-warmer-drier-winters/ 



[future]
*Climate change is a disaster foretold, just like the first world war 
<https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/12/climate-change-is-a-disaster-foretold-just-like-the-first-world-war>
*Jeff Sparrow
The warnings about an unfolding climate catastrophe are getting more 
desperate, yet the march to destruction continues
"The lamps are going out all over Europe, we shall not see them lit 
again in our life-time."
The mournful remark supposedly made by foreign secretary Sir Edward Grey 
at dusk on 3 August 1914 referred to Britain's imminent entry into the 
first world war. But the sentiment captures something of our own moment, 
in the midst of an intensifying campaign against nature...
According to theWorld Wildlife Fund's 2016 Living Planet Report 
<http://wwf.panda.org/about_our_earth/all_publications/lpr_2016/>, over 
the last four decadesthe international animal population was reduced by 
nearly 60%. 
<http://www.news.com.au/technology/science/animals/the-mass-extinction-event-going-unnoticed-as-the-planets-biodiversity-dwindles/news-story/63c0ba483308cb4d73ef8d0a230459ab>Morethan 
a billion fewer birds 
<https://www.theglobeandmail.com/technology/science/report-finds-north-american-skies-quieter-by-15-billion-fewer-birds/article31876053/>inhabit 
North America today compared to 40 years ago. In Britain, certain iconic 
species (grey partridges, tree sparrows, etc) havefallen by 90%. 
<https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/11/23/turtle-doves-nearing-uk-extinction-farming-practices/>In 
Germany,flying insects have declined by 76% over the past 27 years 
<http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0185809>.Almost 
half of Borneo's orangutans died or were removed between 1999 and 2015 
<https://eventregistry.org/event/eng-3778104>.Elephant numbers have 
dropped by 62% in a decade 
<http://worldelephantday.org/about/elephants>, with on average one adult 
killed by poachers every 15 minutes.
We inherited a planet of beauty and wonders - and we're saying goodbye 
to all that.
The cultural historian Paul Fussell once identified the catastrophe of 
the first world war with the distinctive sensibility of modernity, 
noting how 20th century history had "domesticate[d] the fantastic and 
normalize[d] the unspeakable."
Consider, then, the work of climate change.
In February, for instance, scientists recordedtemperatures 35 degrees 
above the historical average in Siberia 
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/feb/27/arctic-warming-scientists-alarmed-by-crazy-temperature-rises>, 
a phenomenon thatapparently corresponded with the unprecedented cold 
snap across Europe 
<https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/01/climate/polar-vortex-europe-cold.html>.
As concentrated CO2 intensifies extreme events, a new and diabolical 
weather will, we're told, become the norm for a generation already 
accustomising itself to such everyday atrocities as abouteight million 
tons of plastics 
<http://web.unep.org/environmentassembly/estimated-8-million-tons-plastic-waste-enter-world%E2%80%99s-oceans-each-year-0>are 
washed into the ocean each year...
The appeals to humanity and reason did not move states jostling for 
trade and commercial advantages. For the people of Europe, the arms race 
was disastrous; for specific governments, it made perfect sense, for 
those who did not compete risked falling behind.
The same might be said today.
 From a global perspective, the necessity to abandon fossil fuels cannot 
be denied. But for individual economies, change risks undermining 
comparative advantages.
If we don't sell coal,says Malcolm Turnbull 
<https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2015/oct/27/malcolm-turnbull-coal-export-ban-would-make-no-difference-to-emissions>, 
our competitors will - which was, of course precisely the logic of the 
British fleet expansion in 1908.


  The Guardian view on snow and ice: it's too cold here but too warm in
  the Arctic

Read more

The devastation of the first world war eventually engendered a wave of 
revolt from a populace appalled at the carnage their politicians had 
wrought.
Climate change 
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-change>has not yet 
spurred an equivalent of the mutinies in France or the revolution in 
Petrograd or the uprising in Berlin.
Yet Labor's appalling equivocation over the Adani mine - a piece of 
environmental vandalism for which there can be no justification - 
illustrates the urgency with which we need a new and different type of 
politics.
The stakes could not be higher. Lamps are going out all over the natural 
world … and no one will ever see them lit again.
•Jeff Sparrow is a Guardian Australia columnist
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/12/climate-change-is-a-disaster-foretold-just-like-the-first-world-war


[perceptual bias]
*Why some conservatives are blind to climate change 
<https://theconversation.com/why-some-conservatives-are-blind-to-climate-change-91549>*
Do you see what I see?
In the face of the evidence, how can we explain this division?
As psychology researchers, we wondered whether some people are just 
blind to cues of climate risk.
When we're confronted by visually crowded settings, we tend to notice 
emotional words and tune out others. For example, if you were presented 
a series of words appearing one after another in quick succession - 10 
words per second - you would struggle to name all of them. But you would 
be more likely to catch a word like "danger" than a neutral one.
We set up exactly that kind of scenario in our study. We recruited 
university students, as well as people in shopping malls in the 
Vancouver area and in Kamloops, B.C. Then we showed each of them a rapid 
sequence of words and asked them to pick out two targets, such as a set 
of digits (555555555) and a word in green font, in the sequence.
Due to limits in our visual system, once the first target has appeared, 
people are unable to "see" the second target if it appears too soon 
after the first. This phenomenon is called the attentional blink. It's 
as if the mind blinks after the first target, preventing you from seeing 
the second.
But things change when emotional words are used. Previous research has 
shown that if the second target is emotionally arousing, then people are 
better able to see it than if it is neutral - compare the words murder 
and keyboard, for example...
When we modified the test to measure people's attention to climate 
change, we found people who are concerned about climate change are 
better at seeing climate-related words, such as carbon, right after the 
first target than those who are less concerned.
We also asked participants about their political orientation, income, 
education, religion, profession, experience with natural disasters and 
whether they owned a home near sea level...
When we analyzed the data, we found a pattern: Conservatives who were 
less concerned about climate change were less likely to see 
climate-related words than liberals who were worried about the issue.
Now that we know people's political orientation affects their visual 
attention to climate change, this raises a possible feedback loop, where 
concerned liberals readily tune their attention to news headlines about 
climate change and become even more concerned.
But unconcerned conservatives may be more blind to the same headlines 
about climate change and therefore become more entrenched in their 
disbelief.
The visual blindness can further deepen the denial of the real risks of 
climate change such as flooding, hurricanes, drought and heatwaves, and 
consequently a lack of action to mitigate climate change.
If we're to be successful communicating the risks of climate change to 
conservatives, we may need to go about it in a different way. 
Communications about climate change must tailor the climate-related 
information to the audience, especially those who are conservative or 
unconcerned.
We can do this by using messages that align with people's political 
ideologies and personal values.
For example, we can frame climate change action as protecting our nation 
against climate catastrophes, advancing economic and technological 
development and creating a more caring and considerate society, which is 
an effective message to engage climate deniers. Framing environmentalism 
as a form of patriotism can be successful, particularly if the appeal is 
seen as coming from one's in-group.
It's always hard to get someone's attention, but if the messaging is in 
line with their personal values and motivations, they will take notice.
https://theconversation.com/why-some-conservatives-are-blind-to-climate-change-91549
[Science of denial]
Political orientation and climate concern shape visual attention to 
climate change <https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-018-2147-9>
Abstract

    Despite the scientific consensus, there is widespread public
    controversy about climate change. Previous explanations focused on
    interpretations hampered by political bias or insufficient knowledge
    of climate facts. We propose that public views of climate change may
    also be related to an attentional bias at a more basic level of
    cognitive processing. We hypothesized that selective visual
    attention towards or away from climate-related information would be
    associated with climate concern. To test prioritization of
    climate-related stimuli under conditions of limited attention, we
    asked participants to identify climate-related and neutral words
    within a rapid stream of stimuli. Undergraduate students attended to
    climate-related words more readily than neutral words. This
    attentional prioritization correlated with self-rated climate
    concern. We then examined this relationship in a more diverse
    community sample. Principal component analysis of survey data in the
    community sample revealed a component indexing a relationship
    between climate concern and political orientation. That component
    was correlated with the degree of selective inattention to
    climate-related words. Our findings suggest that climate-related
    communications may be most effective if tailored in a manner
    accounting for how attentional priorities differ between
    audiences-particularly those with different political orientations.

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-018-2147-9


[Ethics of Climate Change 2013]
*Ethics and Climate Change: It's wrong to wreck the world 
<https://youtu.be/2a7SSLYKbqQ>*
If your house is on fire what is the best thing to do?
I'd put out the darn fire and do it fast because there are people in 
there about seven
billion of them and there are animals in there and there are plants
but what do we do well?

    We debate about whether it was lightning or arson that started that
    fire human caused or natural.
    We attack the credibility of the people who call in the alarm?
    We saw a jobs program for the firefighters.
    and this is the one that really gets me:
    We commissioned a number of studies about adapting to life in a
    burnt-up house

We are moving so quickly to adaptation, there are jobs in adaptation.  
It's empowering to think about how we can
adapt to all this.  But we're not done putting out the fire so let's 
work on that first
https://youtu.be/2a7SSLYKbqQ


[Audacity and Hubris]
*Yes, Exxon Is Accusing Local Governments of Misleading Investors on 
Climate Change 
<https://www.desmogblog.com/2018/03/10/exxon-accuses-california-cities-misleading-investors-climate-change>*
By Justin Mikulka • March 10, 2018
In January, ExxonMobilfiled a legal petition 
<https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/4345487-Exxon-Texas-Petition-Jan-2018.html> seeking 
to depose more than a dozen city and county government officials in 
California,claiming that the municipal officials 
<http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/nation-world/national/article203207749.html>are 
defrauding investors by not fully disclosing the risks posed by 
climate change.
You read that right. Exxon is legally challenging cities and 
counties for not talking up the risks of climate change/enough/to the 
investors who purchase municipal bonds for those localities...
Exxon is responding to the municipalities which havefiled 
lawsuits<https://www.reuters.com/article/legal-us-usa-oil-climatesuits/california-cities-sue-big-oil-firms-over-climate-change-idUSKCN1BV2QM>seeking 
to hold Exxon and other oil companies accountable for the damages to 
their cities from sea level rise. Exxon's legal petition 
<https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/4345487-Exxon-Texas-Petition-Jan-2018.html> is 
calling those lawsuits a "conspiracy" because - according to its 
petition - "A collection of special interests and opportunistic 
politicians are abusing law enforcement authority and legal process to 
impose their viewpoint on climate change."
The oil giant goes on to say: "ExxonMobil finds itself directly in that 
conspiracy's crosshairs. Even though it has long acknowledged the risks 
presented by climate change …"
According to its legal filing, Exxon just wants to be able to talk about 
climate change but claims its First Amendment rights are being taken 
away by the lawsuits the various municipalities have filed:
"Through abusive law enforcement tactics and litigation in California, 
Respondents and others are attempting to stifle ExxonMobil's exercise, 
in Texas, of its First Amendment right to participate in the national 
dialogue about climate change and climate policy."
How the lawsuits have stifled Exxon's free speech is not clear from the 
legal document, but law experts say it certainly looks like an attempt 
to intimidate anyone considering holding Exxon and the industry 
accountable for the impacts of climate change.
"It's an aggressive move,"Howard Erichson, 
<https://www.fordham.edu/info/23129/howard_m_erichson>a law professor at 
Fordham with expertise in the procedure and ethics of complex 
litigation, explained toBloomberg 
<https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-13/exxon-sues-the-suers-in-fierce-bid-to-defeat-climate-lawsuits>. 
"Does Exxon really need these depositions or is Exxon seeking the 
depositions to harass mayors and city attorneys into dropping 
their lawsuits?"
Exxon's claim that these municipalities are misleading investors on 
climate change is interesting because that is - of course - exactly what 
Exxon has been accused ofin multiple lawsuits 
<https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-climatechange-exxon/new-york-prosecutor-says-exxon-misled-investors-on-climate-change-idUSKBN18T1XK>and 
in the national dialogue over climate liability...
In an interesting turn of events, Exxon is using the tactic of accusing 
its opponents of what it appears to be guilty of when it comes to 
climate risks...
Because even though Exxon fails to mention the company's exposure to 
climate liability to its investors, the possibility remains that 
international efforts to address climate change could seriously cut into 
Exxon's profits. It should be expected that as the impacts of climate 
change continue to intensify, Exxon's attacks on those looking to hold 
them accountable will ramp up as well.
*https://www.desmogblog.com/2018/03/10/exxon-accuses-california-cities-misleading-investors-climate-change*


[On the other hand - 1985 CSPAN video] 
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WzBhJvu_eYU> /(long duration, 
important, historical - bookmark and save)/
*From 1985: Warnings from Carl Sagan and Al Gore [and others] 
<https://climatecrocks.com/2018/03/11/from-1985-warnings-from-carl-sagan-and-al-gore/>*
by greenman3610
Climate deniers will have a hard time explaining these to their 
grandchildren, the kids who are now woke to the disasters they've been 
served by  blindness and greed. Astounding find by ClimateState.
YouTube video <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WzBhJvu_eYU> Carl Sagan, 
Al Gore Climate Warning 1985 +2m SLR +5 degrees C by 2100
December 10, 1985 - A group of senators and scientists today called for 
national and international action to avert a predicted warming of the 
earth's climate resulting from a buildup of carbon dioxide and other 
man-made gases in the atmosphere
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WzBhJvu_eYU
https://climatecrocks.com/2018/03/11/from-1985-warnings-from-carl-sagan-and-al-gore/


*This Day in Climate History - March 12, 2017 
<https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/11/business/energy-environment/electric-cars-hybrid-tax-credits.html>  
-  from D.R. Tucker*
The New York Times reports:

    "Today, the economic incentives that have helped electric vehicles
    gain a toehold in America are under attack, state by state. In some
    states, there is a move to repeal tax credits for battery-powered
    vehicles or to let them expire. And in at least nine states,
    including liberal-leaning ones like Illinois and
    conservative-leaning ones like Indiana, lawmakers have introduced
    bills that would levy new fees on those who own electric cars.
    "The state actions could put the business of electric vehicles,
    already rocky, on even more precarious footing. That is particularly
    true as gas prices stay low, and as the Trump administration appears
    set to give the nascent market much less of a hand.
    "In coming days, the Trump administration is widely expected to roll
    back stringent federal regulations on vehicle emissions, one of the
    biggest environmental legacies of President Barack Obama. The
    changes would give American carmakers less incentive to produce more
    battery-powered cars. There are also concerns among advocates of
    electric cars over the fate of a $7,500 federal tax credit on the
    vehicles, a major catalyst for sales.
    "But while the battle in Washington gets much of the attention, the
    most direct attack against electric vehicles, and in some cases
    hybrid vehicles, is quietly being waged at the state level.
    In Colorado, a bill that would end income tax credits for owners of
    electric and alternative-fuel vehicles is working its way through
    the legislature. In Utah, lawmakers voted this month against
    extending the state’s tax credit for electric cars.
    "The measure in Colorado has been backed publicly by Americans for
    Prosperity, an advocacy group founded by the conservative
    billionaire brothers David H. and Charles G. Koch, whose wealth is
    founded on their petrochemicals empire.
    "A handful of other states, including Illinois, Pennsylvania and
    Tennessee, have already let their incentives expire. That has
    brought down to 16 the number of states that offer financial support
    for buyers of electric vehicles. That number once approached 25."

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/11/business/energy-environment/electric-cars-hybrid-tax-credits.html

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