[TheClimate.Vote] February 12, 2019 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

Richard Pauli richard at theclimate.vote
Tue Feb 12 09:50:02 EST 2019


/February 12, 2019/

[keeping it under]
*Landmark Australian ruling rejects coal mine over global warming*
The case is the first time a mine has been refused in the country 
because of climate change.
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-00545-8


[Bloomberg makes a clear video message]
*Corporate America Is Getting Ready to Monetize Climate Change*
Bank of America Corp. worries flooded homeowners will default on their 
mortgages. The Walt Disney Co. is concerned its theme parks will get too 
hot for vacationers, while AT&T Inc. fears hurricanes and wildfires may 
knock out its cell towers.
The Coca-Cola Co. wonders if there will still be enough water to make Coke.
As the Trump administration rolls back rules meant to curb global 
warming, new disclosures show that the country's largest companies are 
already bracing for its effects. The documents reveal how widely climate 
change is expected to cascade through the economy -- disrupting supply 
chains, disabling operations and driving away customers, but also 
offering new ways to make money....
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-01-22/muggy-disney-parks-downed-at-t-towers-firms-tally-climate-risk
- - -
[source material for CDP]
*CDP*
We focus investors, companies and cities on taking urgent action to 
build a truly sustainable economy by measuring and understanding their 
environmental impact
CDP is a not-for-profit charity that runs the global disclosure system 
for investors, companies, cities, states and regions to manage their 
environmental impacts. Over the past 15 years we have created a system 
that has resulted in unparalleled engagement on environmental issues 
worldwide.
https://www.cdp.net/en/info/about-us


[money from melting]
*As ice melts, Greenland could become big sand exporter: study*
Alister Doyle, Environment Correspondent
OSLO (Reuters) - Greenland could start to export sand in a rare positive 
spinoff from global warming that is melting the island's vast ice sheet 
and washing large amounts of sediment into the sea, scientists said on 
Monday.

Mining of sand and gravel, widely used in the construction industry, 
could boost the economy for Greenland's 56,000 population who have wide 
powers of self-rule within Denmark but rely heavily on subsidies from 
Copenhagen.

By mining sand, "Greenland could benefit from the challenges brought by 
climate change," a team of scientists in Denmark and the United States 
wrote in the journal Nature Sustainability.

The study, headlined "Promises and perils of sand exploitation in 
Greenland", said the Arctic island would have to assess risks of coastal 
mining, especially to fisheries.

Rising global temperatures are melting the Greenland ice sheet, which 
locks up enough water to raise global sea levels by about seven meters 
(23 ft) if it ever all thawed, and carrying ever more sand and gravel 
into coastal fjords.

"You can think of it (the melting ice) as a tap that pours out sediment 
to the coast," said lead author Mette Bendixen, a researcher at the 
University of Colorado's Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research.

Worldwide demand for sand totaled about 9.55 billion tonnes in 2017 with 
a market value of $99.5 billion and is projected to reach almost $481 
billion in 2100, driven by rising demand and likely shortages, the study 
said.

"Normally the Arctic peoples are among those who really feel climate 
change - the eroding coast, less permafrost," said Bendixen. "This is a 
unique situation because of the melting ice sheet."

David Boertmann of Aarhus University, who was not involved in the study, 
said there was already some local mining of sand for the domestic 
construction industry in Greenland.

Drawbacks for Greenland, common to other mining projects on the island 
ranging from uranium to rare earth minerals, include the distance to 
markets in Europe and North America, he said.

Still, Bendixen said sand was already often transported long distances, 
such as to Los Angeles from Vancouver or from Australia to Dubai.

"At the moment it is an inexpensive resource but it will become more 
expensive," she said.

The study said that sand and gravel might also be used in future to 
reinforce beaches and coastlines at risk of rising sea levels, caused in 
part by Greenland's thaw.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-climatechange-greenland/as-ice-melts-greenland-could-become-big-sand-exporter-study-idUSKCN1Q01YG


[big changes Down Under]
*Up to 500,000 drought-stressed cattle killed in Queensland floods*
After years of drought graziers were elated when the rain came. Now 
floods have created a humanitarian crisis
- - -
"The speed and intensity of the unfolding tragedy makes it hard to 
believe that it's just a week since farmers' elation at receiving the 
first decent rains in five years turned to horror at the devastating and 
unprecedented flood that quickly followed."
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/feb/11/up-to-500000-drought-stressed-cattle-killed-in-queensland-floods
- -
[from drought to flood to drowning]
***Video shows hundreds of cattle dead in Australia as floodwaters recede*
Warning: This video contains disturbing images. Discretion advised. 
Aerial footage taken Monday shows hundreds of cattle found dead in a 
Queensland paddock after floodwaters receded. The region had been 
dealing with a lengthy drought but officials say the heavy rains may 
have left hundreds of thousands of cattle dead.

Video released by a Queensland MP on Monday in Australia revealed the 
impact of heavy flooding with hundreds of cattle being found dead in a 
single paddock after the waters receded.

Last week, northwest Queensland saw heavy downpours hit the region after 
it had gone through an extensive drought, bringing joy to many graziers.

But the flooding came fast as some rural parts of Queensland received 
three years' worth of average rainfall in a week, The Guardian reports.
https://globalnews.ca/news/4948545/video-australia-floodwaters/


[what the world knows]*
**Climate change seen as top threat, but U.S. power a growing worry: poll*
BERLIN (Reuters) - Climate change is the top security concern in a poll 
conducted by the Washington-based Pew Research Center, followed by 
Islamist terrorism and cyber attacks while respondents in a growing 
number of countries worried about the power and influence of the United 
States.

In 13 of 26 countries, people listed climate change as the top global 
threat, with the Islamic State militant group topping the list in eight 
and cyber attacks in four, the non-profit, non-partisan Pew Research 
Center said in its report.
Worries about climate change have increased sharply since 2013, with 
double-digit percentage point increases seen in countries including the 
United States, Mexico, France, Britain, South Africa and Kenya, 
according to the poll of 27,612 people conducted between May and August, 
2018.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-china-military/u-s-destroyers-sail-in-disputed-south-china-sea-amid-trade-tensions-idUSKCN1Q00AJ


[Remember the SuperBowl?]
*Fossil Fuel Industry Attacks Budweiser's Pro-Wind Super Bowl Ad*
Sunday, February 3, 2019
By Dave Anderson, crossposted from Energy and Policy Institute
The pro-wind power Budweiser ad that Anheuser-Busch will air during the 
Super Bowl on Sunday is being attacked by the fossil fuel industry.

The Kentucky Coal Association is among the groups attacking the 
Budweiser ad, which has already racked up nearly 14 million views on 
YouTube. Their attack was echoed by the website ClimateDepot.com, a 
project of a coal-backed group called the Committee for Constructive 
Tomorrow.

"Wind never felt better," the Budweiser ad says. "Now brewed with wind 
power for a better tomorrow."

Watch the Budweiser ad: https://youtu.be/B6VciSoR1iQ

The first volley came from the American Energy Alliance just one day 
after Anheuser-Busch announced the ad. It described Budweiser's pro-wind 
power statement as a "joke."

The American Energy Alliance is the "advocacy arm" of the Institute for 
Energy Research. Together these affiliated political groups have 
received millions of dollars from the Koch brothers, as well as money 
from the coal industry.

The attack was soon joined by Kevon Martis, an anti-wind activist with 
ties to the Institute for Energy Research and other groups funded by 
polluting industries.

Martis posted a video on Facebook in which he protested the Budweiser ad 
by dumping a can of the company's beer on the ground. Martis said in the 
video that he is the director of the Interstate Informed Citizens 
Coalition, a Michigan-based anti-wind group.

Martis did not disclose in the video that he is also a senior policy 
fellow for the Energy & Environment Legal Institute, a climate denial 
group that has also received funding from the Kochs and coal industry. 
Martis was also among the anti-wind activists who participated in a 2012 
meeting in Washington, D.C., with representatives from powerful special 
interest groups funded by the fossil fuel industry.

Martis's video claimed that he has witnessed the "social destruction" 
caused by wind farms across the Midwest.

A new Michigan State University poll found broad support among 
Michiganders for transitioning away from coal and using more wind and 
solar power.

Anti-wind operatives like Martis travel the country giving presentations 
that often claim that noise from wind turbines negatively impact human 
health -- a claim made frequently on MasterResource.org, a blog run by 
the Institute for Energy Research.

"There is no authoritative evidence that sound from wind turbines 
represents a risk to human health among neighboring residents," a new 
study out of Iowa, a top state for wind power, confirmed this week.

Greenwich Neighbors United, an Ohio-based anti-wind group, was among 
those that shared Martis's video and the American Energy Alliance's hit 
piece on Budweiser's ad. It's an example of how messages that originate 
with individuals and special interest groups that have ties to the 
fossil fuel industry are often echoed by local anti-wind groups.
https://www.desmogblog.com/2019/02/03/fossil-fuel-industry-attacks-budweiser-s-pro-wind-super-bowl-ad?utm_source=dsb%20newsletter



[Tar sands Line 3 - from Enbridge PR]
*Line 3 Replacement Program*
The multibillion-dollar Line 3 Replacement Program is the largest 
project in Enbridge history. The new Line 3 will comprise the newest and 
most advanced pipeline technology—and provide much needed incremental 
capacity to support Canadian crude oil production growth, and U.S. and 
Canadian refinery demand..

The Line 3 Replacement Program, with a C$5.3-billion Canadian component 
and a US$2.9-billion American component, expands on the former Line 3 
Segment Replacement Program, and will include all remaining segments of 
Line 3 between Hardisty, Alberta and Superior, Wisconsin. All told, the 
Line 3 Replacement Program will fully replace 1,031 miles (1,660 
kilometres) of Line 3 with new pipeline and associated facilities on 
either side of the Canada-U.S. international border.
https://www.enbridge.com/Line3ReplacementProgram.aspx
- -
*Line 3 Project Summary* 
https://www.enbridge.com/~/media/Enb/Documents/Projects/Line%203/ProjectHandouts/ENB_Line3_Public_Affairs_ProjectSummary.pdf?la=en
- -
[Wikipedia overview]
*Enbridge Line 3*
 From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to navigationJump to search
Line 3 is an oil sands crude oil pipeline that runs from Hardisty, 
Alberta to Superior, Wisconsin. Construction of a new route for Line 3 
has been proposed by the Canadian oil company, Enbridge. While this 
project was approved in Canada, Wisconsin, and North Dakota, the 
proposed pipeline has received resistance from environmental groups and 
U.S. Native American communities in Minnesota.

*History of Line 3 and the New Proposed Route*
Construction on the original Line 3 pipeline started in 1962. It began 
operating in 1968 to meet growing U.S. demand for oil. Since its 
construction, the pipeline has carried on average between 390,000 and 
760,000 barrels of oil per day. Numerous structural anomalies have 
developed along the pipeline over time. These holes, and concerns about 
the safety of the pipeline, have led Enbridge to reduce the amount of 
oil transported daily. Enbridge announced plans to build the new Line 3 
in 2014. That multi-billion dollar project would allow Enbridge to 
restore their historic operating capacity and move nearly 800,000 
barrels per day.

While governing bodies in Canada, North Dakota, and Wisconsin had 
approved their segments of the pipeline by 2016, approval took longer in 
Minnesota where environmentalists have resisted the project. In advance 
of their decision on Line 3 the MN Public Utilities Commission (PUC) 
solicited public input about Line 3. Most feedback they received opposed 
the pipeline. Of the nearly 70,000 individual comments that were 
submitted, 68,244, or 94%, voiced opposition to the pipeline's 
completion. However, in June 2018 the PUC granted Enbridge the 
Certificate of Need and approved their desired route for Line 3. 
Environmentalists and Native communities in the state have pledged to 
resist the pipeline's construction.

*Enbridge Line 3*
Line 3 is an oil sands crude oil pipeline that runs from Hardisty, 
Alberta to Superior, Wisconsin. Construction of a new route for Line 3 
has been proposed by the Canadian oil company, Enbridge. While this 
project was approved in Canada, Wisconsin, and North Dakota, the 
proposed pipeline has received resistance from environmental groups and 
U.S. Native American communities in Minnesota.

*History of Line 3 and the New Proposed Route*
Construction on the original Line 3 pipeline started in 1962. It began 
operating in 1968 to meet growing U.S. demand for oil. Since its 
construction, the pipeline has carried on average between 390,000 and 
760,000 barrels of oil per day. Numerous structural anomalies have 
developed along the pipeline over time. These holes, and concerns about 
the safety of the pipeline, have led Enbridge to reduce the amount of 
oil transported daily. Enbridge announced plans to build the new Line 3 
in 2014. That multi-billion dollar project would allow Enbridge to 
restore their historic operating capacity and move nearly 800,000 
barrels per day.

While governing bodies in Canada, North Dakota, and Wisconsin had 
approved their segments of the pipeline by 2016, approval took longer in 
Minnesota where environmentalists have resisted the project. In advance 
of their decision on Line 3 the MN Public Utilities Commission (PUC) 
solicited public input about Line 3. Most feedback they received opposed 
the pipeline. Of the nearly 70,000 individual comments that were 
submitted, 68,244, or 94%, voiced opposition to the pipeline's 
completion. However, in June 2018 the PUC granted Enbridge the 
Certificate of Need and approved their desired route for Line 3. 
Environmentalists and Native communities in the state have pledged to 
resist the pipeline's construction.

*Line 3 Controversy in Minnesota*
Much of the resistance to the Line 3 project comes from concerns over 
climate change. Environmental groups such as the North Star Chapter of 
the Sierra Club, MN350, and Honor the Earth have anti-Line 3 campaigns. 
The Environmental Impact Statement (EIS), which was conducted by the 
Minnesota Department of Commerce, explains how the new Line 3 pipeline 
would contribute to deforestation, increase risk of pollution to 
Minnesota's pristine water ecosystems and wild rice beds, and generate 
greenhouse gasses that contribute to climate change. Since the 
publication of the EIS, the MN Department of Commerce has formally 
denounced the proposed Line 3 project on environmental grounds, going so 
far as to say that they would prefer to see the old pipeline cease 
operations:

*The EPA tries to clean oil out of the front yards of residents near the 
spill*
2010 Enbridge Oil Spill
In light of the serious risks and effects on the natural and 
socioeconomic environments of the existing Line 3 and the limited 
benefit that the existing Line 3 provides to Minnesota refineries, it is 
reasonable to conclude that Minnesota would be better off if Enbridge 
proposed to cease operations of the existing Line 3, without any new 
pipeline being built.

— Minnesota Department of Commerce
One specific concern about the project is the potential for oil spills 
along Line 3. In recent years, Enbridge has safely transported 99.999% 
of oil. However, among other accidental releases, the original Line 3 
pipeline was responsible for the largest ever inland oil spill in the 
U.S. In 1991, 1.7 million gallons of oil ruptured from Line 3 in Grand 
Rapids, MN. Enbridge was also responsible for the 2010 spill on the 
Kalamazoo river in Michigan. After 8 years and over a billion dollars 
spent, that spill is still being cleaned up. The resulting pollution has 
adversely affected the economy, public health, and the environment in 
MIchigan. Enbridge has consistently reassured the public that pipeline 
safety is their primary goal. They employ technology to monitor 
pipelines, and train employees on emergency response. While significant 
oil spills (>238 barrels of oil) have decreased in recent years, 
organizers in Minnesota feel that the potential for even one serious 
spill is too much of a risk. The Environmental Impact Statement on Line 
3 acknowledges that some accidental release of oil is inevitable and 
that serious oil spills are possible.

Many Native communities in Minnesota oppose Line 3. Five Anishinaabe 
tribes, the White Earth, Red Lake, Mille Lacs, Fond du Lac, and Leech 
Lake bands hold status as intervening parties against the project in the 
PUC's permit deliberations. The Environmental Impact Statement 
acknowledges that the construction of Line 3 would disrupt tribal 
cultural sites such as burial grounds and historic locales, and degrade 
natural resources such as wild rice beds and healthy water ecosystems. A 
complete Traditional Cultural Properties Survey has not been conducted 
of the proposed route. One will not take place unless a permit for 
construction is granted to Enbridge. This lack has been criticized by 
tribal groups. The Minnesota Chippewa Tribe, in conjunction with Honor 
the Earth, an Indigenous climate justice organization, released their 
own assessment of the cultural and environmental determinants Line 3 
would have on their land. The Chippewa Cumulative Impact Assessment 
reflects grave concern in that community and strongly opposes the 
pipeline's construction. In response to such concerns, Enbridge has an 
'Indigenous Peoples Policy' which lays out guidelines for the company's 
work on Native land.

Another debate surrounding the proposed Line 3 project is what will 
happen to the infrastructure of the old Line 3. Enbridge has proposed a 
process they call "deactivation."  Many who oppose the project call it 
"abandonment." Enbridge explains deactivation of a pipeline as a 5 step 
process: remove the oil, clean the pipe, disconnect it from facilities, 
put corrosion controls in place, and then leave the pipe in the ground. 
The method that Enbridge would use to prevent corrosion is called 
cathodic protection. Minnesotans for Pipeline Cleanup, an organization 
opposed to Line 3, has expressed concerns about the efficacy of that 
process. Many landowners along the old route worry that they will bear 
the financial burden for the decommissioned pipe, either through costs 
of cleanup, removal, or lost property value. Both the Pipeline 
Abandonment Report from Minnesotans for Pipeline Cleanup and the 
Chippewa Cumulative Impact Statement mention that Line 3 would be the 
first pipeline ever to be decommissioned in MN, and try to interrogate 
what sort of precedent that might set.

Many Minnesotans support the Line 3 project for its potential to support 
the economy of communities along the route. Enbridge has said that 
thousands of jobs will be created as a result of the pipeline's 
construction. However, the Environmental Impact Statement draws a 
distinction between the temporary employment that would be available 
during construction and the likelihood of long term job creation:

Based on the small number of permanent jobs, it is likely that operation 
of the pipeline would result in no to negligible impact on the per 
capita household income, median household income, or unemployment rates 
in the ROI (region of interest.)

— Line 3 Environmental Impact Statement (Chapter 5, page 578)
In addition to job creation, Line 3 supporters also cite the positive 
impact that Enbridge property taxes could have on communities in 
Northern Minnesota. In the first year of the new Line 3's operations, 
Enbridge would pay $19.5 million in property taxes along the route. That 
number would increase over time. Organizers hold some reservations about 
how impactful that revenue might be, citing Enbridge's recent lawsuit in 
which their claim that they had been overtaxed indebted counties across 
Minnesota to Enbridge for tens of millions of dollars.

Another argument in support of the pipeline ties safety to the economic 
concept of supply and demand. Recent studies have highlighted that train 
and truck transportation of oil results in more regular spills than 
transport by pipe. Among their arguments in support of the pipeline, 
Minnesotans for Line 3 cites the growing number of trains transporting 
oil through the state. They argue that, due to high U.S. demand, oil 
will be moved through the states by whatever means are available. Justin 
Trudeau, Prime Minister of Canada, also advanced this argument in his 
public endorsement of the Canadian section of Line 3:

(Transport of oil by rail) is less economic, and more dangerous for 
communities, and is higher in terms of greenhouse gas emissions than 
modern pipelines would be.

— Justin Trudeau, Canadian Prime Minister
Enbridge estimates that Line 3 would replace more than 10,000 rail cars 
or 24,000 tanker trucks transporting oil everyday. Minnesotans for Line 
3 say that by approving the pipeline, government regulators could ensure 
safer transport of millions of barrels of oil a year. The MN Department 
of Commerce, in their testimony against Line 3, questioned these 
projections, claiming that they depend on an unrealistic idea of the 
future demand of oil.

Enbridge's key argument in support of the pipeline relates to that 
critique from the Department of Commerce. Today, U.S. Americans consume 
more petroleum than any other source of energy. Oil and its byproducts 
fuel cars, pave roads, and even make up the foundation for many cosmetic 
products and synthetic fabrics. Enbridge calls Line 3 a "vital link," 
supplying that highly demanded oil to Minnesota and the United States. 
While many analysts in the industry believe that demand for oil will 
eventually begin to fall, no one can predict when that will be. Some 
environmentalists worry about future decreased demand, concerned with 
the notion of stranded assets. A stranded asset is equipment or a 
product that can't be turned into profit because of some change in the 
demand. Environmentalists raise the question of what will happen to oil 
infrastructure when the companies that owned them are no longer 
profitable or cease to operate.

With environmentalists vowing to fight the pipeline, government 
officials are concerned about what sort of resistance might materialize 
as construction begins. Commentators have compared the potential 
resistance to the front line protests over the Keystone XL and Dakota 
Access Pipelines. Environmentalists have already pursued legal 
intervention, direct action, and more creative resistance to the 
pipeline, so officials along the route fear that the next phase of 
resistance to Line 3 could incur high security costs and disruption to 
life along the proposed route.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Enbridge_Line_3
- - -
[Line 3 Activism]
*Faith Leaders Gather in St. Paul to Oppose Line 3 Pipline Replacement*
https://www.wdio.com/news/faith-leaders-gather-st-paul-oppose-line-3-pipline-replacement/5239959/
- -
[MinnPost]
*Enbridge Line 3: The threat of spillage is as real as its precedent*
https://www.minnpost.com/community-voices/2019/01/enbridge-line-3-the-threat-of-spillage-is-as-real-as-its-precedent/


[classic from July 2018 Miami Agent magazine]
*How global warming will impact Miami real estate by 2030*
A new study shows that Florida's real estate market stands to lose the 
most from projected sea level rises due to climate change — and South 
Florida is the epicenter of the problem.
Not only is Florida projected to have the most homes affected by global 
warming, Miami Beach has also been named the most at-risk city for sea 
level rise in the country, according to the study by the Union of 
Concerned Scientists. Florida could see as many as 64,000 of its homes 
at risk from higher sea levels by 2030, according to the study.

Miami Beach will see 2,600 homes at risk by 2030, according to the 
study. The situation gets more dire by 2045, when a whopping 12,000 
homes in the city could be negatively impacted by rising sea levels.

The city of Miami stands to see 858 homes at risk from global warming by 
2030. West Palm Beach would lose the third-most homes in South Florida 
to global warming by 2030, with a projected 227 homes at stake, 
according to the study.

When it comes to the threat sea level rise presents to communities, 
"there is no risk, it's a guaranteed total loss," said Philip Stoddard, 
mayor of South Miami and biology professor at Florida International 
Unity, who was a panelist in the study. "The only uncertainty is the 
timeline."

While South Florida's relationship to climate change is not new, not 
many studies have shown the potential impact on real estate. According 
to the Union of Concerned Scientists report, the area stands to not only 
lose valuable developed land — it will also lose a big portion of its 
tax base.

Consider that the complete loss of 2,600 Miami Beach homes by 2030 could 
wipe out $1.1 trillion in economic value, and result in the loss of 
$16.9 million in annual property tax revenue. That's four times as much 
property value at risk than in all of Miami proper — thanks in large 
part to Miami Beach's concentration of ultra luxury housing — the study 
says.

The study not only shows which communities stand to lose the most, but 
also which ZIP codes are the most at-risk from global warming. Miami 
Beach's 33139 is the most at-risk ZIP code, with 1,584 houses and $610 
million of property value in danger of being wiped out due to rising sea 
levels.

After Miami Beach, Palmetto Bay's 33157 has the most homes at risk. 
Coconut Grove's ZIP 33133 has only 15 houses at risk, but has more than 
$36 million in value at risk, the Union of Concerned Scientists reports.

The impact of rising sea levels is not relegated to home and property 
value loss. It will likely mean a total change in flood insurance 
programs, the mortgage industry, developers and virtually everyone else 
in the real estate industry, according to the study.

"I believe that we will see credit downgrades sooner than later. 
Property values will be impacted as chronic flooding increasingly 
manifests. Reinsurers will be wary ahead of exposure in coastal areas," 
John Miller, a flood policy expert, said in the report.
https://miamiagentmagazine.com/2018/07/10/global-warming-will-impact-miami-real-estate-2030/
- -
*Underwater: Rising Seas, Chronic Floods, and the Implications for US 
Coastal Real Estate (2018)*
Hundreds of thousands of homes are at risk of chronic flooding due to 
sea level rise over the coming decades. The implications for coastal 
residents, communities, and the economy are profound.

To determine the number of coastal properties at risk from this level of 
chronic flooding, the analysis uses property data from the online real 
estate company Zillow combined with the findings of the 2017 analysis, 
When Rising Seas Hit Home: Hard Choices Ahead for Hundreds of US Coastal 
Communities, which uses a peer-reviewed methodology to assess areas at 
risk of chronic inundation.

Three sea level rise scenarios, developed by the National Oceanic and 
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and localized for this analysis, are 
included:

    --A high scenario that assumes a continued rise in global carbon
    emissions and an increasing loss of land ice; global average sea
    level is projected to rise about 2 feet by 2045 and about 6.5 feet
    by 2100.
    --An intermediate scenario that assumes global carbon emissions rise
    through the middle of the century then begin to decline, and ice
    sheets melt at rates in line with historical observations; global
    average sea level is projected to rise about 1 foot by 2035 and
    about 4 feet by 2100.
    --A low scenario that assumes nations successfully limit global
    warming to less than 2 degrees Celsius (the goal set by the Paris
    Climate Agreement) and ice loss is limited; global average sea level
    is projected to rise about 1.6 feet by 2100.

For more information on the sources and methodology used for this 
analysis, please see the full report and technical backgrounder.
https://www.ucsusa.org/global-warming/global-warming-impacts/sea-level-rise-chronic-floods-and-us-coastal-real-estate-implications#.XGEFblxKguV
*Full Report pdf download* 
https://www.ucsusa.org/sites/default/files/attach/2018/06/underwater-analysis-full-report.pdf


*This Day in Climate History - February 12, 1958 - from D.R. Tucker*
February 12, 1958: "The Unchained Goddess," part of the Bell Laboratory 
Science Series produced by Frank Capra, is broadcast. "Goddess" directly 
addresses human-caused climate change; the existence of the program 
would never be acknowledged by climate-change deniers.
http://youtu.be/m-AXBbuDxRY

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