[TheClimate.Vote] June 27, 2019 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

Richard Pauli richard at theclimate.vote
Thu Jun 27 09:34:09 EDT 2019


/June 27, 2019/

[Comment from Nexus News summary of the first debate - 
https://climatenexus.org/ ]

    At Least They Talked About It? Democratic candidates spent more time
    discussing climate change at the first 2020 debate on Wednesday than
    in all the 2016 debates combined--and still clocked in at less than
    10 minutes spent on the issue. When asked what the greatest
    geopolitical threat to the United States is at the debate in Miami,
    four of the 10 candidates mentioned climate change, while a New York
    Times graph of time spent on each topic shows only half the debaters
    touched on climate at length during their time after being asked a
    climate question. Questions from moderators, which began an hour and
    a half into the debate, included whether or not climate plans will
    "save Miami" and how carbon pricing would play politically.
    "Spending only seven minutes on climate questions was absurd,"
    Center for Biological Diversity Action Fund's Cassie Siegel said in
    a statement.

https://mailchi.mp/climatenexus/howd-the-debate-go-swampy-air-chief-out-more
for more check: Vox, HuffPost, NPR, The Guardian, New York Times $, E&E
- - -
[on Climate Change - just the facts checked by AP]
*AP FACT CHECK: Dems' missteps on climate, wages in debate*
By CHRISTOPHER RUBAGER, SETH BORENSTEIN and CALVIN WOODWARD
WASHINGTON (AP) -- This was no Trump rally. Ten Democrats kicked off the 
presidential debate season with a sober rendering of policy that 
featured a smattering of missteps on climate change, the economy and 
more but no whoppers.
The Democrats spoke largely in generalities Wednesday night and when 
they got into the nuts and bolts, their claims largely checked out. But 
not always.

A look at the rhetoric from the first debate, with 10 more Democrats 
taking the stage in Miami on Thursday:
*CLIMATE CHANGE*
JAY INSLEE, Washington's governor: "We are the first generation to feel 
the sting of climate change and we are the last that can do something 
about it. ... It is our last chance in an administration, next one, to 
do something about it."

    THE FACTS: Not quite. This answer implies that after 2025 or 2029,
    when whoever is elected in 2020 leaves office, it will be too late
    to fight or limit climate change.
    That's a common misconception that stemmed from a U.N. scientific
    report that came out last fall, which talked about 2030, mostly
    because that's a key date in the Paris climate agreement. The report
    states that with every half a degree Celsius and with every year,
    global warming and its dangers get worse. However, it does not say
    at some point it is too late.
    "The hotter it gets the worse it gets but there is no cliff edge,"
    James Skea, co-chairman of the report and professor of sustainable
    energy at Imperial College London, told The Associated Press.
    The report co-author, Swiss climate scientist Sonia I. Seneviratne
    this month tweeted, "Many scientists point - rightfully - to the
    fact that we cannot state with certainty that climate would suddenly
    go berserk in 12 years if we weren't doing any climate mitigation.
    But who can state with certainty that we would be safe beyond that
    stage or even before that?"

___
BETO O'ROURKE, referring to the international climate goal: "If all of 
us does all that we can, then we're going to be able to keep this planet 
from warming another 2 degrees Celsius and ensure that we match what 
this country can do and live up to our promise and our potential."

    THE FACTS: O'Rourke gets the climate goal wrong.
    Since 2009, international summits and the Paris climate agreement
    list the overarching goal as limiting climate change to no more than
    2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) from pre-industrial
    times. That's somewhere between 1850 and 1880, depending on who is
    calculating.
    There's a big difference because since pre-industrial times, Earth
    has already warmed 1 degree Celsius (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit). So the
    world community is talking about 1 degree Celsius from now and
    O'Rourke is talking about twice that.

Associated Press writers Hope Yen, Eric Tucker and Amanda Seitz 
contributed to this report.
Find AP Fact Check http://apne.ws/2kbx8bd
more at - https://apnews.com/99cf0068a03f49a6898dfb0ae8a34ccf



[Increasingly common and more intense]
*Record temperatures amid heatwave around Europe | DW News*
DW News (video)
Published on Jun 26, 2019
Europe is being hit by an unprecedented heatwave. Temperatures  are 
forecast to reach ther highest level ever recorded in some countries 
today. The extreme weather is expected to continue to the weekend. 
Governments have issued health warnings and are urging people to do 
everything they can to stay cool.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bO5t62ZEzp0
- - -
[Heat wave]
*France, Germany Temperatures Top 100 Degrees as Heatwave Scorches Europe*
TicToc by Bloomberg - video and transcript
Published on Jun 25, 2019
- -
Meteorologists placed more than half of France, including around the 
capital, on alert for high temperatures Monday as a heatwave was 
expected to spread across continental Europe this week.
- - -
France introduced a heat watch warning system after a long, deadly 
heatwave in August 2003. The highest temperatures in more than half a 
century eventually were estimated to have caused 15,000 heat-related 
deaths, many of older people left in city apartments and retirement 
homes without air conditioning.

French President Emmanuel Macron said Monday that vigilance was the 
watchword for the week.

"As you know, at times like these, sick people, pregnant women, infants 
and elderly people are the most vulnerable. So we must be vigilant with 
them and have prevention measures in place in order to intervene as 
quickly as possible," Macron said.

French Health Minister Agnes Buzyn said Monday that "everything is 
ready" in retirement homes, hospitals and transportation systems.

"Yet when people are fragile, even when everything is organized, there's 
always a higher mortality rate," she warned.

Meteorologists said hot winds from the Sahara Desert brought the 
scorching weather to Europe. Similar heat is expected in Belgium, 
Switzerland and Germany.

In Germany, temperatures above 40 degrees C are possible in some places 
on Wednesday, topping the country's previous June record of 38.2 degrees 
Celsius (nearly 100.8 degrees Fahrenheit) set in Frankfurt in 1947.

Rescue services urged people to look out for young children, the elderly 
and those with compromised immune systems who are at particular risk in 
high temperatures.

Parts of northeastern Germany are also at high risk for forest fires. 
Authorities in the eastern state of Brandenburg, which circles Berlin, 
say the risk of forest fires is at the highest level in the coming days.

Scientists say measurements show that heat waves in Europe are becoming 
more frequent.

Stefan Rahmstorf of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research 
said "monthly heat records all over the globe occur five times as often 
today as they would in a stable climate."

"This increase in heat extremes is just as predicted by climate science 
as a consequence of global warming caused by the increasing greenhouse 
gases from burning coal, oil and gas," he added.

Dim Coumou, a scientist at the Free University of Amsterdam, said 
melting Arctic sea ice is also affecting atmospheric circulation, which 
in turn makes extreme heat more likely.

"Data analysis shows that the normally eastward travelling summer 
circulation of the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes has slowed down, 
including the Jet Stream," he said. "This favors the buildup of hot and 
dry conditions over the continent, sometimes turning a few sunny days 
into dangerous heat waves."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6c2k-Aqu-Y
- - -
[CBS forgot how to spell temperature, perhaps because it rarely appears 
in news coverage]
*Record tempatures amid heat wave in Europe*
CBS Evening News (video)
Published on Jun 26, 2019
Five days into summer, much of the eastern U.S. is in a heatwave. But 
it's even hotter in Europe. Roxana Saberi reports.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wdRiUydi5CQ



[Ooops, mistaken count on leaking oil]
*New Estimate for an Oil Leak: A Thousand Times Worse Than Rig Owner Says*
Lisa Friedman - June 25, 2019
WASHINGTON -- A new federal study has found that an oil leak in the Gulf 
of Mexico that began 14 years ago has been releasing as much as 4,500 
gallons a day, not three or four gallons a day as the rig owner has claimed.

The leak, about 12 miles off the Louisiana coast, began in 2004 when a 
Taylor Energy Company oil platform sank during Hurricane Ivan and a 
bundle of undersea pipes ruptured. Oil and gas have been seeping from 
the site ever since.

Taylor Energy, which sold its assets in 2008, is fighting a federal 
order to stop the leak. The company asserts that the leaking has been 
slight -- between 2.4 and four gallons per day. Oil plumes from the 
seafloor, Taylor executives have said, are from oil-soaked sediment that 
has formed around the platform, and any gas rising from the bottom is 
the natural product of living organisms...
- - -
Using sonar technology and a newly developed method of analyzing oil and 
gas bubbles rising through the water, scientists determined that the 
plumes are the result of oil and gas released from multiple wells. They 
also found that as many as 108 barrels of oil, or just over 4,500 
gallons, have spilled into the Gulf each day as a result of the episode. ..
- -
The study comes as the Trump administration works to roll back a key 
offshore-drilling safety regulation that was put in place after the 2010 
Deepwater Horizon explosion in the Gulf of Mexico. That disaster, the 
worst oil spill in United States history, killed 11 people and released 
an estimated 4.9 million barrels...
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/25/climate/taylor-energy-gulf-of-mexico.html 




[radio report Guest: David Wallace-Wells - New York magazine - 
@dwallacewells]
*Wildfires and climate change*
Hosted by Warren Olney Jun. 24, 2019
Climate change may be worse for the United States than the Great 
Depression, according to journalist David Wallace Wells. The increasing 
size of wildfires in California is current evidence of that grim prediction.

Consider Los Angeles, he says: a floodplain ringed by mountains that are 
increasingly dry. Wells has a warning for Bel Air, Beverly HIlls and 
Malibu up through Calabasas and Thousand Oaks. They may be "luxurious 
and appealing" now but they're "really right in the line of wildfire… 
making them incredibly dangerous."

In Northern California, the entire town of Paradise was destroyed in a 
region where winds that once lasted a few days every season now often 
last for two weeks. Wells says this "means that the fire damage can be 
that much worse and that resources to respond are stretched that much 
more thin."

 From one end of the state to the other, Wells says, "everybody that 
lives in the area called 'the wildland urban interface' is really 
vulnerable. And the places they think of as their refuge their home, may 
not be a refuge at all but quite the opposite--a source of power for 
fire and therefore a target."

He warns against the "normalization" of the danger as it grows to 
abnormal proportions. Inevitably, the conditions that once permitted 
rebuilding and even expansion will never return. Host: Warren Olney
https://www.kcrw.com/news/shows/to-the-point/wildfires-and-climate-change


[HBO show advances discussion]
Yessenia Funes
*Big Little Lies Asks Whether Some Kids Are Too Young to Learn About 
Climate Change*
Everyone learns about climate change eventually--even children. And 
especially children in Monterey, California, home to one of the nation's 
most incredible conservation-focused aquariums.

So it was fitting that the latest episode of Big Little Lies, HBO's hit 
drama that takes place in Monterey, revolved around climate change. 
Though topics like sustainable seafood and emissions came up, the most 
interesting theme this episode delved into is how learning about climate 
change can impact a child's mental health. And the show raised an 
important question: Is there such a thing as "too soon" to talk to your 
kid about climate change?

For those who don't watch the Emmy-award winning show, let me break it 
down spoiler-free. The show revolves around five moms in Monterey--known 
locally as the Monterey Five--juggling motherhood, marriage, and a 
(literal) big little lie. These moms are played by the likes of Nicole 
Kidman, Zoe Kravitz, and Reese Witherspoon.

In the latest episode that aired Sunday, a second-grade class (whose 
students include the main characters' children) is talking about 
sustainability and the impacts our choices have on the planet. After 
dissecting Charlotte's Web, the famous children's book, the teacher asks 
why Charlotte helps Wilbur, the pig. Though it feels like a stretch, the 
teacher uses the pig's saved life as a moment to talk about how much 
water it takes to support America's love of pork. A single pound of 
sausage costs us a thousand gallons of water, according to the 
second-grade teacher. The teacher doesn't explicitly mentions climate 
change or anything too scary, but this is enough. Not long after, you 
hear a thud. One of the students, Amabella, has passed out.

The poor thing was having a panic attack. Later, when Amabella is 
talking to a therapist about the incident, she admits learning about 
climate change in school is freaking her out. And while not every kid 
will react this way, Amabella's reaction is a very real one, said Aleta 
Angelosante, a clinical assistant professor at NYU Langone's Department 
of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry.

"A child who's going to have a more extreme response is probably a child 
who is more anxious generally," she told Earther. "Whereas other kids, 
that's not really how their brain works. They don't get stuck in the 
spirals, or they don't worry as intensely."
It makes sense that Amabella is the one to pass out in the show. Her 
mom, Renata Klein (played by Laura Dern), is way too intense. The poor 
girl is dealing with some serious stress at home and beyond climate 
change. However her mom doesn't respond to the situation by trying to 
acknowledge her role or figure out how to help her daughter deal with 
reality. Instead, she bugs out on the teacher and principal instead. The 
way she sees it, her daughter is too young to be learning about climate 
change in school yet.

We know that climate change, in general, threatens our mental health. So 
much so that the American Psychological Association addressed the topic 
in a 2017 report. But I've never stopped to wonder how learning about it 
could impact the mind of a child. After all, we've recently seen a wave 
of activism and energy from some of society's youngest, and they seem to 
be handling it just fine. Then again, could Amabella's mother be right? 
Is second grade too soon to talk to your kind about climate change?

I asked Angelosante that question, and the short answer is no. 
School-age children should be able to handle the topic if it's presented 
to them in a way that they can make sense out of, Angelosante said. 
Second grade feels totally reasonable for kids to learn a bit about it, 
and that's really what's key: that kids receive bits and pieces 
throughout childhood so that they have a fuller grasp of the issue by 
the time they become adolescents. Some research suggests late childhood 
or early adolescence may be the best time for adolescents to become 
engaged on the issue, but going into that formative period with a little 
extra knowledge doesn't necessarily hurt. Plus, when kids learn about 
climate change, their parents can start to care, too.
"For all of us, but especially for young people, it is important to 
understand the role we each can play so that the feeling of being 
helpless and afraid can turn to action and hope for the future."

However, every child is different. Ultimately, parents (and educators!) 
need to know their kids. Does your child stress easily? Do you have a 
worrier on your hands? If so, be strategic about how you present this 
doom-and-gloom topic to them. Don't talk to them about it at bedtime 
because that could keep them up at night, which could cause further 
stress. And don't overwhelm them with too much information too soon. 
There's always tomorrow to give them a little more--if they ask."The way 
we talk about any difficult topic with kids … is to meet them where they 
are at," Angelosante said. "Don't give them more information than they 
need or that they're asking for."

Maria Ghiso, who runs the Rainforest Alliance's education program, 
suggests offering solutions to kids whenever you do bring up the topic 
of climate change. That might not prevent every kid from getting 
scared--after all, the teacher in Big Little Lies was essentially 
telling his class that skipping the sausage would reduce their 
environmental footprint--but it does show them "there is a way forward 
and hope," Ghiso told me in an email.

"For all of us, but especially for young people," she wrote, "it is 
important to understand the role we each can play so that the feeling of 
being helpless and afraid can turn to action and hope for the future."

It's easy to feel hopeless about climate change. But we're not as doomed 
as Amabella feels. Kids need to hear the truth--and they need support 
when the truth is scary.
https://earther.gizmodo.com/big-little-lies-asks-whether-some-kids-are-too-young-to-1835870564 




[Fossil Fuel Industry Documents]
A portal to millions of documents created by industries that influence 
public health, hosted by the UCSF Library and Center for Knowledge 
Management.
*UCSF Library Launches New Fossil Fuel Industry Documents Archive*
More than 1,000 internal documents from the fossil fuel industry 
illustrating strategies to cast doubt on climate science and delay 
policy action are now available for public research in UCSF's Industry 
Documents Library. The documents, which were collected over two decades 
by the Climate Investigations Center, include internal memos, reports, 
correspondence and scientific studies from major fossil fuel 
corporations and related organizations which detail the industry's 
research and reaction to anthropogenic climate change beginning in the 
1950s to the present.

"This inaugural Fossil Fuel Industry documents collection marks the 
beginning of what we hope will grow into a comprehensive living archive 
to aid us in making sense of drivers of climate change and its 
unprecedented long-term threats to human and environmental health," says 
Dr. Yogi Hendlin, Research Associate with the UCSF Environmental Health 
Initiative, Assistant Professor at the Erasmus School of Philosophy and 
Core Faculty for the Dynamics of Inclusive Prosperity Initiative at 
Erasmus University, Rotterdam.

The documents will be preserved for long-term public access and can be 
searched alongside the Industry Documents Library's existing collections 
of 15 million documents from the tobacco, drug, chemical, and food 
industries, allowing users to examine information related to 
industry-funded scientific research, marketing and public relations 
strategies, and influence on policies and regulations affecting public 
health.

The library collects internal documents made available through public 
document disclosure in litigation, public records requests, archival 
files, and research investigation. IDL worked with the Climate 
Investigations Center to preserve and provide access to the documents 
collected for the Center's online ClimateFiles database. "This 
partnership with UCSF elevates our ClimateFiles project to the next 
level," says Climate Investigations Center Director Kert Davies. "With 
the Industry Documents Library's state of the art search engine and 
unrivaled archival skills, expert researchers from far and wide will now 
be able to dig into these documents we have been gathering for some 25 
years."

The Industry Documents Library was created at the University of 
California, San Francisco in 2002 to house millions of pages of 
documents produced during litigation against the tobacco industry in the 
1990s. Evidence found in the documents was used by dozens of state 
Attorneys General to hold tobacco companies accountable for the public 
health crisis caused by smoking, and to negotiate the Master Settlement 
Agreement in 1998. More than seven million visitors have accessed the 
Truth Tobacco Industry Documents since they were made publicly available 
by the UCSF Library, and the collections have been instrumental in 
furthering tobacco control research and education for over a generation. 
The Industry Documents Library has expanded to include documents from 
the drug, chemical, food, and now fossil fuel industries to preserve 
open access to this information and to support research on the 
commercial determinants of public health.

A variety of online research tools are available for navigating the 
collections, including full-text searching, a detailed bibliography, and 
access to the API for building and analyzing large data sets. The 
Library is committed to preserving and providing long-term public access 
to industry documents for the benefit of scientists, community 
advocates, journalists, policymakers, attorneys, and others engaged in 
improving and protecting the public's health.

For further information or to contribute documents please contact UCSF 
Industry Documents Library staff at 
https://www.industrydocuments.ucsf.edu/help/ask-us/ or @industrydocs.
https://www.industrydocuments.ucsf.edu/blog/



[Harsh message]*
**Report from Down Under: "Climate change now represents a near- to 
mid-term existential threat to human civilisation"*
Australia's National Centre for Climate Restoration, also known as 
Breakthrough, released a sobering report late last month titled 
"Existential climate-related security risk: A scenario approach." The 
policy paper, authored by David Spratt & Ian Dunlop, with a foreword by 
Admiral Chris Barrie, AC RAN (Retired), former Chief of the Australian 
Defence Force, explores a climate scenario thirty years in the future - 
a method of risk anticipation often utilized by militaries. The scenario 
exercise led to a striking conclusion:

Climate change now represents a near- to mid-term existential threat to 
human civilisation.
This conclusion precipitated the authors to make a set of 
recommendations, two of which are of particular note:

    A new approach to climate-related security risk-management is thus
    required, giving particular attention to the high-end and
    difficult-to-quantify "fat-tail" possibilities.

    And:
    Urgently examine the role that the national security sector can play
    in providing leadership and capacity for a near-term, society-wide,
    emergency mobilisation of labour and resources, of a scale
    unprecedented in peacetime, to build a zero-emissions industrial
    system and draw down carbon to protect human civilisation.

No nibbling around the edges of the problem for Breakthrough. They cut 
right to the existential heart of the matter. To read the full paper - 
https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/148cb0_a1406e0143ac4c469196d3003bc1e687.pdf
https://climateandsecurity.org/2019/06/24/report-from-down-under-climate-change-now-represents-a-near-to-mid-term-existential-threat-to-human-civilisation/




[Time now for sarcasm from the Onion]
*Report: Doing Your Part To Stop Climate Change Now Requires Planting 
30,000 New Trees, Getting 40,000 Cars Off The Road, Reviving 20 Square 
Miles Of Coral Reef*

    PROVIDENCE, RI--Redefining the necessary adjustments required to
    address the accelerated pace of the growing global environmental
    crisis, a report published Wednesday by researchers at Brown
    University concluded that a single individual who wishes to do their
    part to stop climate change must remove 40,000 cars from public
    roadways and revive 20 square miles of coral reef. "As long as
    everyone on the planet intensifies their efforts by personally
    clearing 6.5 tons of plastic from the ocean, installing 7,000 solar
    panels in their community, and cutting back their use of fresh water
    by 300 million gallons, the human race may still have a shot at
    slowing climate change," said atmospheric scientist Dr. Lauren
    Moffat, who further noted that each person on the planet would also
    ideally commit to saving at least three species from extinction
    every month while simultaneously working to reduce the world's
    population by 1.3 billion in order to forestall global environmental
    collapse. "Some believe it may be too late to reverse the damage
    humans have done to our planet, but individual change can start with
    something as small as picking up four tons of garbage every day. At
    this point, it's a cultural imperative for everyone to pitch in by
    performing small but measurable tasks--such as replacing 150
    hectares of industrial buildings with hardwood forests in every U.S.
    city--if we want to stall the meteoric rise in global temperatures
    for a few more years." Moffat added that reversing climate change
    can be as simple as removing every single car from the road or
    perfecting cold fusion.

https://www.theonion.com/report-doing-your-part-to-stop-climate-change-now-requ-1835870092


*This Day in Climate History - June 27, 2006 - from D.R. Tucker*
June 27, 2006: On MSNBC's "Countdown," Keith Olbermann interviews 
Elizabeth Kolbert of the New Yorker on the Supreme Court's decision to 
hear the Massachusetts v. EPA case.
http://www.nbcnews.com/id/9354636/ns/msnbc-countdown_with_keith_olbermann/t/countdown-keith-olbermann-june/ 


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