[TheClimate.Vote] December 2, 2020 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

Richard Pauli richard at theclimate.vote
Wed Dec 2 12:36:54 EST 2020


/*December 2, 2020*/

[According to the Atlantic]
*The Weekly Planet: The Best Way to Donate to Fight Climate Change 
(Probably)*
These are the most effective carbon offsets and climate-advocacy groups, 
according to a new evidence-based group.
ROBINSON MEYER
There are at least 461 nonprofits in the United States devoted to 
environmental causes, according to the evaluator Charity Navigator. Not 
all of them approach climate change effectively, or even do what they 
claim to. The green-nonprofit world is a thicket, contained in a morass, 
reachable only by slog...
- -
Giving Green advises people on how to fight climate change with their 
donations in the most evidence-based way possible. It emerged from beta 
and published new recommendations last month. Because today is Giving 
Tuesday--the capstone of America’s ersatz Holy Week and the only square 
on the calendar devoted to philanthropy--I wanted to look at those 
recommendations.
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2020/12/how-to-donate-to-fight-climate-change-effectively/617248/
- -
[Check for a donation target]*
**How can I fight climate change? *
Giving Green is an evidence-based guide to help donors and volunteers 
fight climate change...
Giving Green's mission is to direct donors and volunteers towards 
evidence-backed projects that combat the climate crisis.

Knowing that we don’t have a minute or dollar to waste, we provide a 
guide to help people identify the highest-impact ways that they can 
fight the climate crisis.
https://www.givinggreen.earth/
- -
https://www.givinggreen.earth/recommendations


[Melting permafrost giving up secrets]
*The mystery of Siberia’s exploding craters*
By Richard Gray - 30th November 2020
 From the air, the freshly exposed dirt stands out against the green 
tundra and dark lakes around it. The layers of earth and rock exposed 
further inside the cylindrical hole are almost black and a pool of water 
is already forming at the bottom by the time scientists reach it. 
https://ychef.files.bbci.co.uk/1600x900/p09017gy.webp

Among them is Evgeny Chuvilin, a geologist at the Skolkovo Institute of 
Science and Technology, based in Moscow, Russia, who has flown out to 
this remote corner of the Yamal Peninsula in north-west Siberia to take 
a look. This 164-foot-deep (50m) hole could hold key parts of a puzzle 
that has been bothering him for the past six years since the first of 
these mysterious holes was discovered elsewhere on the Yamal Peninsula.

That hole, which was around 66ft (20m) wide and up to 171ft (52m) deep, 
was discovered by helicopter pilots passing overhead in 2014, around 26 
miles (42km) from the Bovanenkovo gas field on the Yamal Peninsula. The 
scientists who visited it - including Mariana Leibman, chief scientist 
of the Earth Cryosphere Institute, who has been studying the permafrost 
in Siberia for more than 40 years - described it as an entirely new 
feature in permafrost. Analysis of satellite images later revealed that 
crater - now known as GEC-1 - formed sometime between 9 October and 1 
November 2013.

The latest crater was spotted in August this year by a TV crew as they 
flew past with a team of scientists from the Russian Academy of Sciences 
during an expedition with local authorities in Yamal. It brings the 
total number of confirmed craters to have been discovered on Yamal and 
the neighbouring Gydan Peninsula to 17.
https://ychef.files.bbci.co.uk/1600x900/p090189d.webp
- -
"Analysis based on satellite imagery shows that a blast makes a giant 
hole in the place of a pingo, or mound," says Chuvilin. Pingos are 
dome-shaped hills that form when a layer of frozen ground is pushed up 
by water that has managed to flow underneath it and started to freeze. 
As the water freezes, it expands to create a mound. Also known in Russia 
by the local Yakut name "bulgunnyakhs", they tend to rise and fall with 
the seasons. Some in Canada have been found to be up to 1,200 years old. 
In most parts of the Arctic, however, these mounds tend to eventually 
collapse in on themselves rather than explode.
- -
Retracing the evolution of these mounds and how the gas gets there is 
now an intense source of study. "It is intriguing that there could be a 
new or previously unknown geochemical process happening that we would 
never have imagined," says Natali.

Researchers brave enough to abseil down into the craters have found 
elevated levels of methane in the water pooling at the bottom, 
suggesting the gas may be bubbling up from below. One leading theory is 
that these deep deposits of methane gas under the permafrost find their 
way up to the unfrozen pocket of ground beneath the icy cap. Another 
idea is that high levels of carbon dioxide dissolved in the water in 
these unfrozen pockets begins to bubble out as the water starts to 
freeze, and the remaining water cannot hold onto the dissolved gas...
- -
Regardless of the source, it is thought that the gas builds up in the 
unfrozen pocket of ground, pushing the solid tabular ice cap upwards by 
16-19ft (5-6m) until it ruptures like a boil. (While graphic, the 
furuncle analogy is not a bad one - much like internet users are 
fascinated by videos of pimple popping, so some scientists find 
themselves drawn to the Yamal craters. "It was the combination of the 
unknown and risk related to these craters that attracted me," admits 
Natali.)

When they finally burst, they certainly appear to be spectacular. Mud 
and ice above the gas-filled pocket, along with much of the material in 
the unfrozen section itself, is flung outwards up to 980ft (300m) away. 
The force is so great that blocks of earth up to 3ft (1m) across are 
thrown outwards, leaving a crater with a raised parapet, a wide mouth 
and a narrower cylindrical hole - thought to be the unfrozen pocket - is 
left behind. Local reindeer herders reported seeing flames and smoke 
after one crater explosion in June 2017 along the banks of the 
Myudriyakha River. Villagers in nearby Seyakha - a settlement about 20.5 
miles (33km) south of the crater - claimed the gas kept burning for 
about 90 minutes and the flames reached 13-16ft (4-5m) high.
- -
Unravelling exactly how common these craters are is currently a slow 
process. After their violent birth, most seem to disappear into the 
landscape almost as quickly - the void left by the explosion near 
Seyakha - which measured 70m (230ft) wide in places and more than 50m 
(164ft) deep - flooded with water in just four days due to its proximity 
to the river. This transition from hole to lake seems to be a rather 
innocuous end to a dramatic event.

Other craters take longer to flood, but over a year or two the edges of 
the dark, angry wound erode and they fill with water to become almost 
indistinguishable from the thousands of other small round lakes - known 
as thermokarst lakes - that dot the landscape. Exactly how many of these 
lakes are the scars of gas emission craters is still unclear...
- -
Finding out just how common these events are is driven by more than 
simple curiosity. There are growing concerns that the appearance of the 
craters in north-west Siberia might be related to wider changes taking 
place in the Arctic due to climate change.
- -
Trapped inside the Arctic permafrost are huge amounts of carbon - about 
twice as much as the amount currently in the atmosphere. It is mostly in 
the form of the frozen remains of plants and other organic material, 
along with methane that has become trapped inside ice crystals - the gas 
hydrates that Chuvilin mentions earlier. As the ground thaws, it allows 
microorganisms to break down the organic matter, releasing methane and 
carbon dioxide as byproducts, while the methane trapped in the ice also 
breaks free.
As a potent greenhouse gas, this methane leaking out of permafrost has 
the potential to accelerate global warming and so drive even more melting.

But in Yamal, the craters have raised the prospect of another process 
that is adding even more uncertainty to the complex feedback loop 
between rising temperatures, permafrost thaw and the release of 
greenhouse gases. If it turns out that methane deposits trapped deep 
underground by the permafrost are starting to seep upwards through the 
normally impenetrable permafrost layers, it could be a sign that the 
frozen ice cap over the tundra is becoming more permeable. This could 
introduce new levels of uncertainty over how changes in the Arctic are 
likely to impact wider global warming on the planet.

"The craters are a very shocking indicator of what is happening in the 
Arctic more widely," says Natali. "When you look at changes that are 
happening across this landscape, some are occurring gradually and others 
abruptly. Very few are occurring explosively, but it brings attention to 
how all these changes contribute to the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere."

While the mystery of Yamal’s craters is still to be completely solved, 
what has been unravelled so far suggests that perhaps we should be 
watching them carefully in the future.
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20201130-climate-change-the-mystery-of-siberias-explosive-craters

- -

[proper framing]
*Should it be called "natural gas" or "methane"?*
We are pleased to announce a new study of Americans’ perceptions of 
natural gas. Natural gas is composed of 70-90% methane, a potent 
greenhouse gas and major contributor to global warming. The American 
public perceives "natural gas" much more favorably (76% favorable) than 
other fossil fuels like oil (51% ) or coal (39%). They also believe 
natural gas is much less harmful to human health than is coal or oil.

How much does natural gas benefit from its name, which includes the word 
"natural"? To answer this question, we conducted an experiment to 
investigate the public’s emotions and associations regarding the terms 
"natural gas" and "methane." We randomly assigned respondents to one of 
four conditions in which each respondent was asked to rate their 
positive and negative feelings (affect) about one of the following four 
terms: "natural gas," "natural methane gas," "methane," or "methane gas."

We found that the term "natural gas" evokes much more positive feelings 
than do any of the three methane terms. Conversely, the terms "methane" 
and "methane gas" evoke much more negative feelings than does "natural 
gas."
- -
Finally, the pattern of feelings about the four different terms is 
similar for both Democrats and Republicans, although overall, Democrats 
have relatively more negative feelings about all four terms.

Next, we asked respondents: "When you think of [natural gas / natural 
methane gas / methane / methane gas], what is the first [then second, 
then third] word or phrase that comes to your mind?" Each participant 
could provide up to three such associations.

Overall, "natural gas" generated the most associations to themes like 
energy, clean, fuel, and cooking.

By contrast, "methane," "methane gas," and "natural methane gas" 
generated the most associations to themes like gas, cows, greenhouse, 
global warming, and climate change.
This experiment found that the American public has very different 
feelings about and associations to "natural gas" than they do to 
"methane" even though natural gas is composed primarily of methane. 
"Methane" and "methane gas" generate much stronger negative feelings and 
associations to pollution than does "natural gas" and this effect is 
consistent across political parties. These findings indicate that the 
terms used to communicate about this fossil fuel can have dramatically 
different effects.
https://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/should-it-be-called-natural-gas-or-methane/



[radical right social media site]
*Parler is fertile ground for climate denialism, experts worry*
Corbin Hiar, E&E News reporter
Published: Monday, November 30, 2020
Democrats rigged the presidential election, Black Lives Matter 
supporters worship violence and rolling lockdowns will continue 
indefinitely, according to false and widely read posts on Parler, a 
2-year-old social network that has exploded in popularity in recent weeks.

Misinformation about climate science is also present on the 
conservative-dominated social network, although it's not a frequent 
topic of discussion.

But climate activists aren't ignoring Parler and the role it could play 
in promoting disinformation and radicalization. The Twitter-like site is 
growing exponentially and conspiracies that start on niche social media 
networks have the potential to spread into the mainstream, experts warned.

"Everyone is preaching to the choir" on Parler, said Bridget Barrett, 
who researches online political messaging at the University of North 
Carolina, Chapel Hill. "Look for when the sermon changes."

Parler can be used "as a bellwether to see if climate denial is picking 
up," the UNC academic said.

That's not easy to do. "The free speech social network," as Parler 
describes itself, shows its content chronologically and the only search 
tools it has for finding new or trending information on topics like 
climate change are hashtags such as #climatescam. That's one of only 
five climate-related hashtags that had been used more than 1,000 times 
as of yesterday afternoon.

By comparison, the election conspiracy hashtag #stopthesteal had been 
affixed to over 324,000 parleys, as Parler refers to posts on the site.

The vast majority of the climate-tagged content reviewed by E&E News was 
full of misinformation. That's even true for the other popular and less 
obviously loaded climate hashtags: #climate, #climatechange, 
#globalwarming and #climatecrisis...
- -
"We don't know how big it's going to be five years from now," said Eric 
Heinze, a law professor at Queen Mary University of London. "We don't 
know how it might start interfacing subtly with Twitter or Facebook. 
There are so many unknowns. So I'd be cautious about dismissing it."
https://www.eenews.net/climatewire/2020/11/30/stories/1063719415


[women at Extinction Rebellion in moderate conversation]
*Impossible Human - Episode 1 | Extinction Rebellion UK*
Premiered Dec 1, 2020
Extinction Rebellion
Impossible Human: three conversations exploring change, vision, 
surrender, and living with Earth

Impossible Human is a look into visionary cultures and social change. 
Delving into the potential of this liminal moment to ask how we might 
respond to our times and face into the future together. How can we light 
the path for the future and write a new story?

Hosted by Skeena Rathor, Extinction Rebellion Co-Founder Vision and 
Co-Liberation Team, and Social Change Journalist Kary Stewart

Cassandra Vieten is a Scholar-in-Residence at the Arthur C. Clarke 
Centre for Human Imagination, University of California, and a Senior 
Fellow at the Institute of Noetic Sciences.

In this first episode of Impossible Human Cassandra speaks with us about 
fear and panic and how it might be sabotaging Extinction Rebellion as a 
movement. Could  affirming a positive vision be the most sophisticated 
action any of us can take right now?

The way that we view the world, what we think is possible, what we 
believe is possible, what we intend, what we pay attention to, these all 
actually shape our perception of reality and in many ways shape the future.
Streaming on Extinction Rebellion Facebook & Youtube.
#socialchange #skeenarathor #consciouness #evolvinghumans #newparadigms 
#consciounessupgrade #xr #xrimpossiblehuman #impossiblehuman
More info:  https://www.facebook.com/xrimpossible...
And watch the trailer here:   https://fb.watch/1--GlZIPgJ/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rS9a7aUJ00Y



[Two old guys - revered experts fret]
*Arctic Blue Ocean Event - Going, Going Gone*
Dec 1, 2020
Facing Future
Dr. Peter Wadhams, eminent exploratory ice scientist and emeritus 
Cambridge professor of Polar Ice Physics, is with us again to discuss 
the situation in the polar regions, and the approaching Arctic 
#BlueOceanEvent (BOE), and some of its many ramifications. The BOE is 
defined as less than 100,000 square km of ice in the Arctic ocean at the 
annual low point, usually September.  An increasing number of estimates 
by scientific bodies places the first BOE since humans have walked the 
Earth within the next few years. After that, it's a downhill slide 
unless we can figure out how to refreeze the Arctic.

The Arctic may be far from where you and I live, but the disappearance 
of Arctic ice will have vastly more far-reaching impacts in space and 
time than that. It basically will knock us silly, as it makes it 
progressively more difficult for humanity to grow enough food to feed 
itself.  Once BOE occurs in some not very far away September, it will 
gradually spread to other months, and it will constitute 
#ClimateFeedback of similarly huge consequences, the flipping of the 
reflectance (or 'albeido') of the Arctic from net reflector to net 
absorber of the sun's heating rays.

We are, with our daily actions, creating a hell on Earth for our 
children. We are aware of it, even those who deny it, but we are locked 
into a system that ignores our imminent danger for the sake of 
continuing our comfortable lifestyles, and participating in a 
socio-economic system engineered to benefit the banks and the wealthy 
few at the expense of the rest of us.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RUzokM-WTZ0


[Digging back into the internet news archive]
*On this day in the history of global warming - December 2, 1970 *

The United States Environmental Protection Agency is established.

http://www2.epa.gov/aboutepa/epa-history


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