[TheClimate.Vote] January 3, 2020 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

Richard Pauli richard at theclimate.vote
Fri Jan 3 09:46:18 EST 2020


/*January 3, 2020*/

[A prime political lesson - video and text]
*Australia's prime minister visited families devastated by the 
wildfires. It did not go well.*
In a video captured by Australia's ABC News broadcaster, one resident 
glared at Morrison and told him that she would only shake his hand if he 
provided more funds for Australia's fire service, which relies primarily 
on volunteers.

"So many people here have lost their homes. We need more help," she 
said, as he moved on.

"You control the funding, and we were forgotten," a woman in a Led 
Zeppelin T-shirt walking a goat shouted at Morrison.

"You won't be getting any votes down here, buddy," promised an angry 
man. "No Liberal [Party] votes. You're out, son. You are out."

As Morrison headed to his car, one Cobargo resident had the final say.

"You're not welcome here," he shouted in the video, calling the prime 
minister an expletive.

In response to the heckling, Morrison later told Australia's ABC news 
broadcaster: "I understand the very strong feelings people have."

"They've lost everything, and there are still some very dangerous days 
ahead," he said. "My job is to ensure that we steady things through 
these very difficult days and support the states in the response that 
they are providing."
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2020/01/02/australias-prime-minister-visited-families-devastated-by-wildfires-it-did-not-go-well/
- - -
[video, "Not welcome, ya fuckwit"]
*You're not welcome': Australian PM Scott Morrison heckled by bushfire 
victims*
Jan 2, 2020
Guardian News
Bushfire victims vented their anger on Australia's prime minister when 
he visited the town of Cobargo on Thursday. Bushfires tore through the 
region on Monday night, killing a father and son. Residents complained 
that government assistance was lacking, and one asked: 'What about the 
people who are dead now, Mr Prime Minister? What about the people who 
have nowhere to live?'
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CSSjxsmlkVM
- - -
[video - what the fires look like ]
*Residents and visitors in NSW town of Rosedale seek refuge from 
bushfires on the beach*
Jan 2, 2020
Guardian News
Madeleine Kelly, 17, and her family were among people staying in 
Rosedale, a tiny coastal town 300km south of Sydney, when they were 
forced to flee to the beach ahead of huge bushfires on New Year's Eve. 
The fires destroyed numerous properties in the town as horrified 
onlookers watched. The fire's onslaught was halted when the wind 
changed, but people remained on the beach for hours afterwards before 
they could be evacuated to Moruya showgrounds by bus through the 
devastated town.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c4hH3TXz5SM
- - -
[DW news]
*Australia fires: Navy ships to evacuate thousands trapped on beaches*
Jan 2, 2020
DW News
Australia has deployed navy ships from the country's military to its 
southeastern coast to help with evacuating residents from fire zones in 
New South Wales and Victoria. Some roads in the area have been cut off, 
making it only possible to leave via sea routes. The state of New South 
Wales has declared a seven-day state of emergency starting on Friday. So 
far 18 people have died and almost 1300 homes have been destroyed in 
Australia's current bushfires.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNy2DwUMwg8
- -
[Information Australia fires]
*Australia fires: A visual guide to the bushfires and extreme heat*
Australia is grappling with massive bushfires fuelled by record-breaking 
temperatures and months of severe drought.
https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/976/cpsprodpb/15E7F/production/_110372798_australia_bush_fires_2jan2020_976-nc.png
https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/976/cpsprodpb/10D99/production/_110371096_australia_fire_size_2jan_-3x976-nc.png
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-australia-50951043?intlink_from_url=https://www.bbc.com/news/topics/cmj34zmwm1zt/climate-change&link_location=live-reporting-story
- - -
[check for updates]
*Wildfire Today*
https://wildfiretoday.com/



[3 min video on -  Why more flammable ]
*Kevin Trenberth PhD on Why Things Catch Fire*
Jan 1, 2020
greenmanbucket
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pDNNRFwAOMY



[Prime issue]
*Amazon threatens to fire employees who speak out on climate change*
-- The company warned two employees that they could be terminated if 
they continue to speak out publicly about the business.
-- An Amazon spokesperson said employees are "encouraged to work within 
their teams" and can suggest "improvements to how we operate through 
those internal channels."
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/02/amazon-threatens-to-fire-employees-who-speak-out-on-climate-change.html



[in other places, too much water]
*Several dead, thousands caught in flooding in Indonesian capital*
Rainfall, more than three times the average amount, recorded in Jakarta 
and West Java resulting in deadly flooding.
At least 23 people were confirmed dead on Thursday and thousands were 
forced to evacuate, after severe flooding hit Indonesia's capital as 
residents were celebrating the New Year.

Tens of thousands of revellers in Jakarta were soaked by torrential 
rains as they waited for New Year's eve fireworks on Wednesday.

Jakarta's domestic airport was also shut, where almost 20,000 passengers 
were stranded.

National Disaster Mitigation Agency spokesman Agus Wibowo said on 
Wednesday that monsoon rains and rising rivers submerged at least 90 
neighbourhoods and triggered a landslide in Kota Depok, a city on the 
outskirts of Jakarta...
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/01/dead-thousands-caught-flooding-indonesia-jakarta-200102010300411.html


[incremental improvement]
*Climate change hope for hydrogen fuel*
A tiny spark in the UK's hydrogen revolution has been lit – at a 
university campus near Stoke-on-Trent.

Hydrogen fuel is a relatively green alternative to alternatives that 
produce greenhouse gases.

The natural gas supply at Keele University is being blended with 20% 
hydrogen in a trial that's of national significance.

Adding the hydrogen will reduce the amount of CO2 that's being produced 
through heating and cooking.

Critics fear hydrogen will prove too expensive for mass usage, but 
supporters of the technology have high hopes.
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-5087304



[Huff Post and Mother Jones]
*There Were More Than 100 "Billion Dollar" Climate Disasters in the Past 
Decade*
And 6 other disturbing numbers that show just how bad the climate change 
crisis has gotten.
In the words of 16-year-old climate activist Greta Thunberg: "People are 
already suffering and dying from the climate and ecological emergency, 
and it will continue to get worse."

In the past decade, the climate crisis, and its fatal consequences, 
deepened further, as temperatures rose around the globe, ice caps 
melted, sea levels rose and record-breaking hurricanes, floods and 
wildfires devastated communities across the US.

The United Nations released report after report detailing the 
heightening emergency of human-caused global warming and warning world 
leaders to take dramatic and swift action to avert catastrophe.

Here are seven figures that show just how dire the climate situation 
grew this decade alone.

*The past five years were the hottest ever recorded on the planet*
Globally, the past five years, from 2014 through 2018, all had 
record-breaking temperatures, with reports from NASA and the National 
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration showing the hottest year ever as 
2016, followed by 2017, 2015, 2018 and 2014.

These recent peak temperatures followed decades of warming around the 
globe. Higher temperatures are linked to a range of dangerous natural 
disasters--including extreme floods, hurricanes and deadly 
wildfires--and deaths. Since 2016 alone, at least 50 percent of coral 
reefs in Australia's Great Barrier Reef--the largest coral reef in the 
world--have died amid the rising heat. Humans aren't far behind: A study 
published in January found that more than a quarter-million people may 
die each year as a result of climate change in the decades to come.

While reports for 2019 won't be released until early next year, this 
year has already experienced several record-breaking months. This June, 
July and September were the hottest June, July and September ever 
recorded on Earth.

*Four of the five largest wildfires in California history happened this 
decade*
Wildfires worsened in California in recent years, with hotter 
temperatures and dry conditions often combining with high winds to 
create a longer fire season with more destructive blazes. Scientists 
linked the worsening fires across the Western US to climate change.

Among the five largest wildfires in the fire-prone state, four happened 
this decade alone. The largest ever in the state, the Mendocino complex 
fire of July 2018, blazed through nearly half a million acres.

What's more, seven of the 10 most destructive fires in California 
occurred since 2015; and the deadliest ever fire in state history took 
place in 2018: the Camp fire, which killed 85 people and burned down 
nearly the entire town of Paradise.

"I've been in the fire service for over 30 years, and I'm horrified at 
what I've seen," Cal Fire officer Jerry Fernandez told HuffPost in 
October 2017 amid the Tubbs fire in Napa and Sonoma, which killed 22 
people and turned block after block of houses in Santa Rosa to ash.

*Six Category 5 hurricanes tore through the Atlantic region in the past 
four years*
The scientific community--including experts at the NOAA--has long warned 
that man-made climate change influences extreme weather events. 
Scientists found that climate change has likely increased the intensity 
of hurricanes, particularly in the North Atlantic region, albeit not the 
frequency of the storms.

When Hurricane Dorian slammed into the northern Bahamas earlier this 
year as a Category 5 storm, it decimated entire communities and flooded 
70 percent of Grand Bahama, an island of some 50,000 people. It also 
became the sixth Category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic region in the past 
four years--along with record-breaking Hurricane Lorenzo in September; 
Hurricane Michael in 2018; Hurricanes Irma and Maria in 2017, which 
killed thousands in Puerto Rico; and Hurricane Matthew in 2016, one of 
the strongest, longest-lasting hurricanes of its kind on record.

And Category 5 hurricanes are not the only ones that wreak havoc on 
communities. Hurricane Harvey, which landed in 2017 as a Category 4, 
broke the continental US rainfall record, dumping more than 50 inches of 
rain in parts of Texas and killing more than 80 people. Scientists said 
climate change made the storm worse, with rain associated with the 
lethal storm at least 15 percent stronger due to global warming.

The previous decade of the 2000s also saw a high number of Category 5 
storms, including Hurricane Katrina in 2005. However, this decade had 
the most consecutive years of Category 5 hurricanes, with the 
catastrophic-sized storms hitting each of the past four years.
*
**Arctic sea ice cover dropped about 13 percent this decade*
Ice sheets are melting and glaciers are shrinking in "unprecedented" 
ways, according to a 2019 report from the UN. A widespread shrinking of 
the cryosphere--or the frozen parts of the planet--has left large 
stretches of land uncovered by ice for the first time in millennia. And 
sea level rise is accelerating dramatically as all that ice melts.

Since 1979, when satellite observations first began, Arctic sea ice 
cover, measured every September, has dropped by about 13 percent each 
decade, per the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Late 
this summer, the Arctic reached its second-lowest sea-ice coverage on 
record, per the NOAA.

In August, officials in Iceland held a funeral for a glacier that melted 
away amid rising temperatures.

Researchers with the IPCC warned that coastal communities were the most 
vulnerable to many "climate-related hazards, including tropical 
cyclones, extreme sea levels and flooding, marine heatwaves, sea ice 
loss and permafrost thaw." Around 680 million people currently live in 
areas that would be impacted by such hazards, which the UN noted often 
have the least capacity to deal with climate change.

*Floods with a 0.1 percent chance of happening in any given year became 
a frequent occurrence*
With more heat in the atmosphere came more rainfall, and with more 
rainfall came more floods. But these weren't just any floods; they were 
torrents so enormous that they were classified as having only a 
1-in-1,000 chance of happening in any given year--forcing the scientific 
community to reconsider what they call these increasingly frequent events.

Flooding associated with Hurricane Harvey was one of those "1,000 year" 
events, meaning there was only a 0.1 percent chance of such a deluge 
striking in 2017 based on the century of flood data researchers have to 
work off of.

The likelihood of such flooding was hard for people to grasp given how 
many other "1,000 year" floods had already occurred in recent years. 
Back in September 2016, when five of those floods had already hit the US 
that year, experts pondered whether rapidly rising global temperatures 
had rendered the current flood-prediction model useless.

"We may, in other words, already have shifted so far into a new climate 
regime that probabilities have been turned on their head," Scott Weaver, 
a senior climate scientist with the Environmental Defense Fund, wrote at 
the time.

Studies at the start of the decade more or less predicted the 
phenomenon. In 2012, researchers from the Massachusetts Institute of 
Technology and Princeton University found that by around the year 2100, 
what we called "100 year" floods--ones that have a 1 percent chance of 
occurring in any given year--would need to be reclassified as 
1-in-20-year or even 1-in-3-year events.

*There were more than 100 "billion dollar" climate disasters, double 
from the decade before*
A HuffPost analysis of federal data on the costliest droughts, floods, 
storms, cyclones and fires in the US this decade offered a grim look at 
how expensive it became for the country to continue with business as usual.

In the last 10 years, the US experienced at least 115 climate and 
weather disasters with losses exceeding $1 billion each, according to 
data from the NOAA that runs through Oct. 8 of this year.

That's nearly double the number of such events that took place in the US 
during the previous decade, when the NOAA tallied 59 events that caused 
at least $1 billion in damage. There were 52 such events in the 1990s 
and 28 in the 1980s. That's as far back as the NOAA's data--which is 
adjusted for inflation--goes.

Of the five most expensive billion-dollar events in the NOAA's records, 
four took place this decade. The most expensive disaster of the 2010s 
was Hurricane Harvey in 2017, which caused an estimated $130 billion in 
damages. It's followed by Hurricane Maria at $93 billion, Hurricane 
Sandy at $73 billion and Hurricane Irma at $52 billion.

The devastating California wildfires in 2017 and 2018 were also the two 
most expensive disasters of their kind from the last four decades. The 
2018 fires--which include the one that burned Paradise, California, to 
the ground--totaled $24 billion in damage, while the 2017 fires that 
scorched the state's wine country caused $19 billion worth of destruction.
*
**Meanwhile, we pumped a record 40.5 billion tons of carbon dioxide into 
the air in 2019*
Global carbon emissions quadrupled since 1960. After emissions steadied 
from about 2014 to 2016, they then rose again in 2017 and have been 
climbing since.

Carbon emissions reached a record high in 2018 and then again this 
year--when scientists estimated that countries worldwide spewed more 
than 40.5 billion tons of carbon dioxide into the air. The rise was 
spurred in part by increased output in China and India, per a study from 
researchers for the annual Global Carbon Budget.

This bleak news came amid a series of reports released this year urging 
a dramatic cutback of carbon emissions to avoid the worst effects of 
climate change.

*We're ending this decade on track to warm a catastrophic 3.2 degrees 
Celsius by the end of the century*
Like pretty much every other climate report from this decade, an 
emissions assessment the UN released at the end of 2019 came with a dire 
warning. According to a study of the so-called emissions gap--a marker 
of the difference between the amount of planet-heating gases countries 
have agreed to cut and where the current projections are headed--global 
temperatures are on pace to rise as much as 3.2 degrees Celsius above 
preindustrial levels by the end of the century. That's more than double 
what scientists project is enough warming to cause irreversible damage 
to the planet.

To change that fate, the next 10 years will be crucial. The UN 
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change warned last fall that humanity 
has just under a decade to get climate change under control. But as grim 
as the report is, it reaffirms that making such sweeping 
changes--however unprecedented such a drastic adjustment may be--is 
still possible.
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/decade-end-climate-change-numbers_n_5e026b09e4b0b2520d10f41d
https://www.motherjones.com/environment/2019/12/there-were-more-than-100-billion-dollar-climate-disasters-in-the-past-decade/




[Bloomberg Opinion]
*A Decade of Climate Science Confirmed What We Already Knew*
The future will be warmer, stormier, and more extreme.

By Faye Flam
December 31, 2019, 3:30 AM PST

Over the last decade, scientists learned a great deal about the climate, 
much of it concerning the connection between global warming and extreme 
events -- heat waves, hurricanes, floods, droughts and wildfires.

There has been, for many years, an understanding that a warmer world 
would be a more temperamental one, and measurements upon measurements 
show the average temperature is rising in step with those predictions. 
But until recently it was hard to prove that our changed atmosphere was 
having an influence on extreme events, which, after all, have been 
drowning and parching and starving people long before anyone started 
burning fossil fuels.

Asking whether climate change caused a particular wildfire or hurricane 
is the wrong question, said Benjamin Cook, a climate researcher with the 
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory. But in the last decade, the ability to 
model the climate has advanced so much, he said, that people can 
determine whether human-generated global warming made a storm wetter or 
a drought longer than it otherwise would have been. Such attribution, he 
said, is the biggest advance of the 2010s.

"This is important because extreme events are really where the impacts 
of climate change are being felt," he said. It's not necessarily 
alarming to hear that global temperatures will creep up another couple 
of degrees, but it's another thing to realize that human actvity 
contributed to a string of deadly heat waves in Europe – with 
temperatures climbing well above 108 in Paris – as well as the 
apocalyptic fires that destroyed what had been some of the most 
beautiful parts of California. "There's a clear climate change signal," 
he said.

If there's any controversy now among scientists, it's over whether they 
were too reluctant to sound the alarm about extreme events in the past. 
There was a reluctance to make recommendations based on probabilities 
and reasonable assumptions. Now there's evidence to back them.

Over the last decade, climate researchers have been filling in gaps in 
their data on past temperatures, and improved models that are calibrated 
against the past to predict the future. That's led to better predictions 
for weather as well, thanks to more complete data, better science, and 
more computer power.

There's more data on cloud formation, on precipitation, on ground water 
and on what's happening underneath ice shelves, said Gavin Schmidt, 
director of NASA-Goddard, Institute for Space Sciences. All that basic 
knowledge has come about from an exceptionally productive ten years of 
remote sensing.

The Arctic is warming faster than lower latitudes, and this is affecting 
the wind patterns –especially the jet stream. Researchers say that a 
weakening of those winds is part of the reason storms such as Hurricane 
Harvey stall, and dry air lingers in other places for weeks.

Kevin Trenberth, a climate scientist at the National Center for 
Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado, now on sabbatical in New 
Zealand, said that he's been arguing since 2010 that extreme events are 
now happening in a different environment.

Because we've increased the earth's atmospheric carbon by more than 40%, 
the oceans are warmer, and the air above the ocean is warmer and wetter, 
and the sea level is already a little higher. That contributes to making 
storms more intense, with heavier, prolonged rainfall, as people 
witnessed with Harvey in Houston and Florence in the Carolinas. The 
planet's dry climates are getting drier, and the wet, wetter.

Global warming is also heating the world's oceans, and this, too, is not 
uniform. Trenberth said and they can now track marine heat waves, which 
are killing coral and sea life from the Gulf of Maine to the Great 
Barrier Reef. A decade ago they could measure the ocean's temperature 
down to 700 meters, he said; now they can track it to 2,000 meters. "We 
can actually see that heat penetrating down into the oceans." The oceans 
have absorbed most of the energy that's been trapped on Earth by added 
greenhouse gases. Some are worried they're losing their capacity to 
buffer global warming.

A decade ago, there was already more than enough evidence to justify an 
effort to cut emissions. Scientists had reached a consensus that it was 
time to act. But a disinformation campaign was creating a different 
picture to general public, with hackers stealing scientists' personal 
emails, and various bloggers and media outlets launching personal 
attacks against them.

Adding fuel to the situation was a loss of trust in all of science 
following the so-called replication crisis, in which social science was 
exposed as contaminated with flimsy and erroneous results. Much of 
established nutrition research was overturned, and many medical findings 
were deemed impossible to reproduce. But this had nothing to do with 
basic, well-established physics and Earth science. The periodic table 
didn't get torn up, electricity still works as predicted, and Einstein's 
pedestal has only been elevated.

It was way back in the 1800s that French mathematician Joseph Fourier 
realized that our planet should be frozen down to the equator, 
considering it orbits at a distance of 93 million miles from the sun. It 
didn't take long to realize that the small fraction of our atmosphere 
made up of carbon dioxide was keeping our planet warm, and that adding 
substantially to that will make it a lot warmer.

"What's notable is what hasn't changed" over the last 10 years, said 
Penn State climate scientist Richard Alley. "Carbon dioxide goes up the 
temperature goes up, ice melts, and there's a migration of plants and 
animals."

Thus the climate forecast for the 2020s is warmer and more eventful.
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-12-31/climate-change-a-decade-of-science-confirmed-what-we-knew
Faye Flam is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist. She has written for the 
Economist, the New York Times, the Washington Post, Psychology Today, 
Science and other publications. She has a degree in geophysics from the 
California Institute of Technology.



[One view of the distant future]
*Back to the (Hunter-Gatherer) Future*

audio play 
http://media.blubrry.com/dailyimpact/p/www.dailyimpact.net/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/Hunter-Gatherer-Future.mp3

Every passing day, it seems, more evidence comes to light that 
agriculture is the worst thing that ever happened to humanity. Not only 
industrial agriculture, but agriculture itself. The story we tell 
ourselves is that we were savages stumbling around the jungle being 
eaten by tigers when we learned how to plow, and civilization ensued, 
with all its benefits. Because of agriculture, we tell ourselves, we ate 
better, lived longer, flourished, and humankind ascended to the pinnacle 
of evolution. The story makes us smile and feel good about ourselves, 
and like most such stories, it's a lie.

We have learned much in recent years about who we were before we were 
farmers. For 300,000 years we were nomadic or semi-nomadic 
hunter-gatherers living in small bands of a few dozen each. We 
"remember" our long-ago lives as "nasty, brutish and short," and "red in 
fang and claw." We tell each other that such people lived only to about 
25 years of age, but that's a corruption of the concept of "average": if 
they survived infancy, they could count on living well into their 60s. 
We envision lives of endless, backbreaking labor just to stay alive, 
when in fact recent studies estimate that hunter-gatherers needed only 
24 hours a week or so of modest effort to do everything required to 
supply their basic needs of food, water, shelter and clothing. (Offer 
that deal to a present-day warehouse worker or lawyer and see if they 
would take it.) We were healthy -- our bodies and our brains increased 
steadily in size over the generations.

Then, 12.000 years ago, we started to farm. Coincidentally, the global 
climate warmed and stabilized, making much more of the world hospitable 
to us, and to growing grain. Farming metastasized, and took over much of 
the world -- all of the "civilized" world, by definition -- in a few 
thousand years. Of course we gave climate change no credit for the 
achievement, it was our brilliance entirely that made it happen.

And here's what happened next, according to a recent paper on the 
subject by John Gowdy, Professor of Economics Emeritus at Rensselaer 
Polytechnic Institute in Troy, NY:

    The adoption of agriculture made the average person worse off for
    millennia. Physical health declined dramatically and most of the
    world's people were born into rigid caste systems and lived as
    virtual or actual slaves. According to Larsen (2006 p. 12):
    "Although agriculture provided the economic basis for the rise of
    states and development of civilizations, the change in diet and
    acquisition of food resulted in a decline in quality of life for
    most human populations in the last 10,000 years." After agriculture,
    humans became shorter and less robust and they suffered from more
    debilitating diseases, from leprosy to arthritis to tooth decay,
    than their hunter-gatherer counterparts (Cohen & Crane-Kramer,
    2007). It is only in the last 150 years or so that the longevity,
    health, and well-being of the average person once again reached that
    of the Upper Pleistocene. The average human life span in 1900 was
    about 30 years, and for Upper Pleistocene hunter-gatherers it was
    about 33 years.

Although this information runs counter to conventional wisdom (oxymoron 
alert) it is not surprising to anyone who has delved even a little bit 
into the subject. But toward the end of his paper, Professor Gowdy 
included some data that not only surprised me, it shocked me.

Since the advent of agriculture 12,000 years ago, the human brain has 
been shrinking. Without regard to race, gender or geographical location, 
the average volume of the human brain is 150cc less than it was, a 
decrease of about 10%. If our bodies had shrunk at the same rate, our 
average height and weight  would be 4'6" and 64 pounds. For 12 millennia 
the decrease has been "smooth, statistically significant and inversely 
exponential."

Having thus raised the question of whether we will have the brain 
capacity to do it, Professor Gowdy proposes that the only response 
possible to the coming collapse of industrial civilization is a return 
to hunting and gathering. Obviously this implies an enormous 
contraction, both in the number of humans alive and in their range 
(there will be no hunting and gathering on the toxic and blasted corn 
fields of Kansas).

Nevertheless, for some, and for our species, it's a possible way 
forward, or back, to the future. It's like we've been offered a do-over. 
Happy New Year.
http://www.dailyimpact.net/2020/01/01/back-to-the-hunter-gatherer-future/



[Digging back into the internet news archive of D.R. Tucker]
*On this day in the history of global warming  - January 3, 2011 *
Steve Benen of the Washington Monthly notes that Republican presidential 
candidates who now try to deny the existence of human-caused climate 
change will have to figure out a way to rewrite history:

    "Yes, in Republican circles in 2011, those who don't reject the
    scientific consensus on the climate crisis will be rejected out of
    hand. Those who've been even somewhat reasonable on the issue in
    recent years should expect to grovel shamelessly -- a trait that's
    always attractive in presidential candidates.

    "The number of likely GOP candidates who've actually said out loud
    that the planet is warming and that human activity is responsible
    is, oddly enough, larger than the number of consistent climate
    deniers. Sarah Palin has said pollution contributes to global
    warming and 'we've got to do something about it.' Romney has said he
    believes the planet is warming and at least used to support
    cap-and-trade. Huckabee and Pawlenty have backed cap-and-trade --
    which was, originally, a Republican idea, by the way -- in recent
    years. Even Newt Gingrich used to demand 'action to address climate
    change,' and participated briefly with Al Gore's Repower America
    campaign.

    "This wasn't a problem up until very recently. John McCain's 2008
    presidential platform not only acknowledged climate change, it
    included a call for a cap-and-trade plan -- and he won the
    nomination fairly easily. As recently as 2006, rank-and-file
    Republican voters, by and large, believed what the mainstream
    believed when it came to climate science: global warming is real,
    it's a problem, and it requires attention.

    "But that was before the GOP fell off the right-wing cliff."

http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2011_01/027356.php


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