[TheClimate.Vote] September 20, 2020 - Daily Global Warming News Digest
Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Sun Sep 20 10:24:39 EDT 2020
/*September 20, 2020*/
[about the history of information battleground]
*How the oil industry made us doubt climate change*
By Phoebe Keane
BBC News
As climate change becomes a focus of the US election, energy companies
stand accused of trying to downplay their contribution to global
warming. In June, Minnesota's Attorney General sued ExxonMobil, among
others, for launching a "campaign of deception" which deliberately tried
to undermine the science supporting global warming. So what's behind
these claims? And what links them to how the tobacco industry tried to
dismiss the harms of smoking decades earlier?
To understand what's happening today, we need to go back nearly 40 years...
- -
Marty Hoffert was one of the first scientists to create a model which
predicted the effects of man-made climate change. And he did so while
working for Exxon, one of the world's largest oil companies, which would
later merge with another, Mobil.
At the time Exxon was spending millions of dollars on ground-breaking
research. It wanted to lead the charge as scientists grappled with the
emerging understanding that the warming planet could cause the climate
to change in ways that could make life pretty difficult for humans.
Hoffert shared his predictions with his managers, showing them what
might happen if we continued burning fossil fuels in our cars, trucks
and planes.
But he noticed a clash between Exxon's own findings, and public
statements made by company bosses, such as the then chief executive Lee
Raymond, who said that "currently, the scientific evidence is
inconclusive as to whether human activities are having a significant
effect on the global climate".
"They were saying things that were contradicting their own world-class
research groups," said Hoffert.
Angry, he left Exxon, and went on to become a leading academic in the field.
"What they did was immoral. They spread doubt about the dangers of
climate change when their own researchers were confirming how serious a
threat it was."...
- -
Kert Davies has scoured through Exxon's archive. He used to work as a
research director at the environmental pressure group Greenpeace, where
he looked into corporate opposition to climate change. This inspired him
to set up The Climate Investigations Centre. He explains why this Exxon
presentation mattered:
"They are worried the public will take this on, and enact radical
changes in the way we use energy and affect their business, that's the
bottom line."
He says this fear can also be seen in another document from the archive
that sets out the so-called "Exxon position", which was to "emphasise
the uncertainty" regarding climate change...
- -
Jerry Taylor spent 23 years with the Cato Institute - one of those right
wing think tanks - latterly as vice president. Before he left in 2014,
he would regularly appear on TV and radio, insisting that the science of
climate change was uncertain and there was no need to act. Now, he
realises his arguments were based on a misinterpretation of the science,
and he regrets the impact he's had on the debate.
"For 25 years, climate sceptics like me made it a core matter of
ideological identity that if you believe in climate change, then you are
by definition a socialist. That is what climate sceptics have done."
The BBC asked the Cato Institute about its work on climate change, but
it did not respond.
This ideological divide has had far-reaching consequences. Polls
conducted in May 2020 showed that just 22% of Americans who vote
Republican believed climate change is man-made, compared with 72% of
Democrats.
Unfortunately many of the "expert scientists" quoted by journalists to
try to offer balance in their coverage of climate change were - like
Jerry Taylor - making arguments based on their beliefs rather than
relevant research.
"Usually these people have some scientific credentials, but they're not
actually experts in climate science," says Harvard historian Naomi Oreskes.
She began digging into the background of leading climate sceptics,
including Fred Seitz, a nuclear physicist and former president of the US
National Academy of Sciences. She found he was deeply anti-communist,
believing any government intervention in the marketplace "would put us
on the slippery slope to socialism".
She also discovered that he had been active in the debates around
smoking in the 1980s.
"That was a Eureka moment. We realised this was not a scientific debate.
A person with expertise about climate change would in no way be an
expert about oncology or public health or cardiovascular disease, or any
of the key issues associated with tobacco.
"The fact that the same people were arguing in both cases was a clue
that something fishy was going on. That's what led us to discover this
pattern of disinformation that gets systemically used again and again."
Naomi Oreskes spent years going through the tobacco archive at the
University of California at San Francisco. It contains more than 14
million documents that were made available thanks to litigation against
US tobacco firms.
A strikingly familiar story emerged. Decades before the energy industry
tried to undermine the case for climate change, tobacco companies had
used the same techniques to challenge the emerging links between smoking
and lung cancer in the 1950s.
- -
As John Hill wrote in the 1953 document, "salesmen in the industry are
frantically alarmed, and the decline in tobacco stocks on the stock
exchange market has caused grave concern".
Hill recommended fighting science with science. "We do not believe the
industry should indulge in any flashy or spectacular ballyhoo. There is
no public relations [medicine] known to us at least, which will cure the
ills of the industry."
As a later document by tobacco company Brown and Williamson summarised
the approach: "Doubt is our product, since it is the best means of
competing with the 'body of fact' that exists in the minds of the
general public."
https://www.bbc.com/news/stories-53640382
[AP and TIME on rapid changes]
*Strong Winds Trigger Southern California Wildfire to Explode in Size,
Spread to Desert Floor*
https://time.com/5890771/southern-california-wildfire-winds/
[from the Guardian]
*The tipping points at the heart of the climate crisis*
Many parts of the Earth's climate system have been destabilised by
warming, from ice sheets and ocean currents to the Amazon rainforest -
and scientists believe that if one collapses others could follow...
- -
A particularly important tipping element is the vast ocean current known
as the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), which carries
warm equatorial water north to the Arctic, and cool Arctic water south
to the equator. The AMOC has collapsed in the past and many scientists
fear it is close to collapsing again - an event that was depicted (in
ridiculously exaggerated and accelerated form) in the 2004 film The Day
After Tomorrow. If the AMOC collapses, it will transform weather
patterns around the globe - leading to cooler climates in Europe, or at
least less warming, and changing where and when monsoon rains fall in
the tropics. For the UK, this could mean the end of most arable farming,
according to a paper Lenton and others published in January.
Tumbling dominoes
In 2009, a second study took the idea further. What if the tipping
elements are interconnected? That would mean that setting off one might
set off another - or even unleash a cascade of dramatic changes,
spreading around the globe and reshaping the world we live in.
For instance, the melting of the Greenland ice sheet is releasing huge
volumes of cold, fresh water into the north Atlantic. This weakens the
AMOC - so it is distinctly possible that if Greenland passes its tipping
point, the resulting melt will push the AMOC past its own threshold...
- -
"We actually do need the Paris climate accord," says Winkelmann. The
2016 agreement committed most countries to limit warming to 1.5 to 2C,
although the US president, Donald Trump, has since chosen to pull the US
out of it. Winkelmann argues that 1.5C is the right target, because it
takes into account the existence of the tipping points and gives the
best chance of avoiding them. "For some of these tipping elements," she
says, "we're already in that danger zone."
Cutting greenhouse gas emissions is not a surprising or original
solution. But it is our best chance to stop the warning signs flashing red.
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2020/sep/19/the-tipping-points-at-the-heart-of-the-climate-crisis#img-2
- -
[from Astrophysics Data System]
*Climate Tipping Points: Can they trigger a Global Cascade?*
Armstrong McKay, David; Staal, Arie; Cornell, Sarah; Lenton, Timothy;
Fetzer, Ingo
*Abstract*
Over the past 15 years climate tipping points have emerged as both
an important research topic and source of public concern. Some
articles have suggested that some tipping points could begin within
the 1.5-2oC Paris climate target range, with many more potentially
starting by the ~3-4oC of warming that current policy is projected
to be committed to. Recent work has also proposed that these tipping
points could interact and potentially 'cascade' - with the impacts
of passing one tipping point being sufficient to trigger the next
and so on - resulting in an emergent global tipping point for a
long-term commitment to a 'Hothouse Earth' trajectory of 4+oC
(Steffen et al., 2018). However, much of the recent discussion
relies largely on a decade-old characterisation of climate tipping
points, based on a literature review and expert elicitation
exercise. An updated characterisation would fully utilise more
recent results from coupled and offline models, model
inter-comparisons, and palaeoclimate studies. The 'tipping cascade'
hypothesis has also not yet been tested, with the suggestion of 2oC
as the global tipping point remaining speculative. Furthermore, the
definition of what counts as a climate tipping point is often
inconsistent, with some purported tipping points represented more
accurately as threshold-free positive feedbacks. Here we perform an
updated systematic review of climate tipping points, cataloguing the
current evidence for each suggested element with reference to
rigorously-applied tipping point definitions. Based on this we test
the potential for a global tipping cascade using a stylised model,
from which we will present preliminary results. ReferencesSteffen,
W., et al.: Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene,
Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 115(33), 8252-8259,
doi:10.1073/pnas.1810141115, 2018.
Publication: 22nd EGU General Assembly, held online 4-8 May, 2020, id.17889
Pub Date: May 2020 Bibcode: 2020EGUGA..2217889A
https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2020EGUGA..2217889A/abstract
- -
[See also]
https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2020EGUGA..2217889A/similar
[One task]
*'Too late to stop it': California's future hinges on managing megafires*
Oliver Milman - 19 Sep 2020 ...
The record scale of the flames, which have consumed an area larger than
the state of Connecticut, is bringing scientists' expectations of the
climate crisis into reality. Rather than merely entering a new but
stable era, the US west is on a moving escalator to further extremes.
"In 20 years from now, the current circumstances will feel more normal,"
said Waleed Abdalati, former chief scientist of Nasa. "It's not that we
are all screwed, but it's too late to put a stop to it. We can slow it,
but we can't stop it now."...
- -
It will get worse as the planet heats up further; the only question is
the degree. Scientists predict the area scorched by wildfire will
increase by 77% by the end of the century, with the number of extreme
fire days jumping 20% in just the next 15 years - a scenario that raises
profound questions over the way life is conducted in the US west in an
evolving era of megafire.
The crushing expense of major cities across California has caused a
housing crisis that has collided with the state's wildfire problem.
People seeking an affordable, or more bucolic and spacious, life have
moved a rash of newly built houses carved into the scrublands and pine
forests of what's known as the wildland-urban interface. As a result, it
is estimated that one in four Californians now live in a high-risk fire
zone.
While there are some localized rules around clearing potentially
flammable vegetation from near dwellings, there are no universally
applied building codes to make houses more fire resistant, nor any state
plan to steer development away from fire-prone areas. Insurers, facing
mounting losses, have started to retreat, although California has
imposed a temporary ban on cancelling insurance for about 800,000 homes
situated in riskier parts of the state.
As a result, homes continue to be built featuring classic wood shingle
roofs and deckings that allow burning embers to leap from building to
building. "People often have an idea of aesthetic beauty that makes
things more risky," said Paige Fischer, an environmental scientist at
the University of Michigan.
- -
The crisis is playing across different states and ecosystems. In Oregon,
more than 500,000 people - a tenth of the population - have faced orders
to flee. "Apocalyptic is about the right word," said Doug Franzke, a
pastor who was covered in falling ash as fire crackled around the town
of Molalla. "The Bible talks of the Earth being desolate and it was
about that."
California and Oregon will increasingly have to wrestle the trade-offs
between a lifestyle that remains idyllic for many people and the
multiplying risks of fire. The need for those hard decisions is perhaps
now clearer than ever - the front page headline of the Los Angeles Times
screamed "California's climate apocalypse" on Sunday...
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/sep/18/california-fires-wildfires-future-housing
[opinion in the Guardian]
*America is at war with deadly wildfires. Yet Trump is on the side of
the inferno*
David Sirota - Sept 19, 2020
Trump long ago made clear that in the with-us-or-against-us climate war,
he is against us and has enthusiastically joined the side of the inferno
This wasn't how it was supposed to go. When Donald Trump became
president, the expectation was that he would follow in the footsteps of
George W Bush and Barack Obama, and merely allow emissions, fossil fuel
subsidies and oil exports to continue to rise. That kind of
run-of-the-mill villainy is so bipartisan and has been so normalized
that it's barely considered news when even Democratic governors publicly
lament climate change, while continuing to approve fossil fuel development.
But normal villainy wasn't enough for Trump. He and the Republican party
wanted to be supervillains for their fossil fuel industry donors, and so
they have not merely enacted policies encouraging more carbon emissions
and tacked on fossil fuel subsidies to pandemic response bills. They
have also overseen an effort to change the rules of environmental
politics and disempower climate activism for the long haul.
In other words: they haven't just waived the white flag, they have used
federal and state governments to undermine the opponents of the climate
disaster now lighting the country on fire.
This attitude shift from passive surrender to active complicity is most
evident in Trump and the Republican party's behavior the past six
months. The same president who was quick to send in federal police to
crush Portland protests hasn't lifted a finger to try to help extinguish
the wildfires now bearing down on the same city - and that federal
inaction happened only months after Trump's fellow Republicans shut down
the Oregon state legislature in order to block climate change legislation.
But that's hardly a surprise, because Trump long ago made clear that in
the with-us-or-against-us climate war, he is against us and has
enthusiastically joined the side of the inferno...
- -
"The amazing thing they're saying is human activities are going to lead
to this rise of carbon dioxide that is disastrous for the environment
and society. And then they're saying they're not going to do anything
about it," one scientist told the Post.
That's an understatement - in truth, Trump and his party have taken
proactive steps to prevent anyone else from doing anything about it
either...
- -
It is not enough to win the election, appoint a few people who are
slightly less bad than Trump's rogues gallery and then call it a day. It
isn't even enough to just roll back Trump's worst policies. The
underlying rules of the political game must change to give more power to
those trying to fix the problem - and less power to industries that are
actively, knowingly creating the crisis to pad their own bottom line.
That is the only way that we will reorient the government to stop
fighting for climate change and instead start defending our planet
against climate change.
In this binary war, you are either with humanity in the fight against
the crisis, or you are against us - there is no middle ground.
David Sirota is a Guardian US columnist. He is also an editor at large
at Jacobin, and the publisher of the newsletter Too Much Information. He
served as Bernie Sanders' presidential campaign speechwriter
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/sep/19/america-deadly-wildfires-trump-inferno
[heat brings more fire]
*The science connecting wildfires to climate change*
A heating-up planet has driven huge increases in wildfire area burned
over the past few decades.
BY ALEJANDRA BORUNDA
SEPTEMBER 17, 2020
CLIMATE CHANGE HAS inexorably stacked the deck in favor of bigger and
more intense fires across the American West over the past few decades,
science has incontrovertibly shown. Increasing heat, changing rain and
snow patterns, shifts in plant communities, and other climate-related
changes have vastly increased the likelihood that fires will start more
often and burn more intensely and widely than they have in the past.
The scale and intensity of the wildfires burning across the western U.S.
right now is "staggering," says Philip Higuera, a wildfire scientist and
paleoecologist at the University of Montana. More than five million
acres have already burned this year--and much more may be yet to come...
- -
Noah Diffenbaugh, a climate scientist at Stanford University, makes a
baseball analogy to describe increase in risk. "If there's a three-run
home run in baseball, it's the home run that definitely caused the
runners to round the bases and score. The home run is the proximal cause
of the event. But people being on base matters," he says, and global
warming is putting people on base...
- -
*Heat like a thirsty sponge*
In some ways, fire is simple. It takes three components: the right
weather and climate conditions, plenty of burnable fuel, and a spark.
"People are changing all three of those," says Jennifer Balch, a fire
ecologist at the University of Colorado, Boulder. "Climate change is not
the only thing going on, but it is a big and important part of the
story." (Human-caused ignitions are clearly a major part of the risk: A
study published in September, on which Balch was a co-author, found that
humans were responsible for 97 percent of the ignitions that caused
fires that then threatened homes in the wildland-urban interface,
between 1992 and 2015).
Climate change has affected the first two components (and in some cases,
the third) in clear, measurable ways that have become increasingly
obvious over the past few decades.
The clearest connection is with warming air temperatures. The planet has
heated up nearly continuously since the start of the Industrial
Revolution in the late 1800s, when humans started burning massive
quantities of fossil fuels, releasing carbon dioxide that traps excess
heat in the atmosphere. Since then, global average temperatures have
ticked up roughly 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit (1 degree Celsius);
California's change is closer to 3 degrees Fahrenheit. Warming has
accelerated since the 1980s to just under 0.2 degrees Celsius (0.3
degrees F) per decade, and it's likely to accelerate further in the future.
That might not seem like very much warming, but just a little can go a
long way. Hot air, if it's not at 100 percent humidity, is like a
thirsty sponge: It soaks up water from whatever it touches--plants
(living or dead) and soil, lakes and rivers. The hotter and drier the
air, the more it sucks up, and the amount of water it can hold increases
exponentially as the temperature rises; small increases in the air's
heat can mean big increases in the intensity with which it pulls out
water. Scientists can measure this "vapor pressure deficit"--the
difference between how much water the air holds and how much it could
hold. If that deficit is cranked up for a long time, soils and
vegetation will parch.
A brief heat spell will dry out the smallish stuff or the already dead
stuff--and maybe even some of the bigger tinder. Intense,
record-breaking heat waves like the ones that encompassed the West
during August and early September likely caused major crisping of
burnable material, as the regional vapor pressure deficit and associated
drought climbed to record levels.
"In a lot of places, you have a lot of 'flashy' fuel on the ground,"
says Balch. "This stuff that's as thin as paper--(like) grasses.
Short-term drought events or heat waves are really impactful for drying
those out." That small stuff ignites so easily that it can often help
speed along a fire's spread.
When excess heat stays in place for months or longer, the wildfire risk
rises even further.
An early, warm spring can jump-start a summer drought by extending the
season of heat and growth, increasing the amount of water vapor that is
shed by plant leaves or that evaporates directly from soil. Lower soil
moisture, in turn, can feed back into the local warming cycle and
intensify it, since evaporating moisture usually takes up a lot of the
energy the sun beams down. When there's no moisture left to evaporate,
the soil or vegetation, dead and alive, absorbs that heat
instead--feeding back into the drying-out process that increases fire risk.
This year, the snow melted early; across the West, snow cover in
February and March was well below its long-term average.
Then, the heat kicked in and stayed. Many western states had their
hottest summers on record; the average temperature across the U.S. was
2.6 degrees Fahrenheit above the 20th-century average.
But even before that, a longer, deeper aridity had California and much
of the West in its grips from 2011 until a brief period of reprieve last
year. Not coincidentally, five of the state's hottest years on record
occurred in the past decade.
A particularly severe phase of that persistent drought, fueled by
climate change and of an intensity not seen for the preceding 1,200
years, set in between 2012 to 2016. It stressed out the region's trees
more and more as the water deficit dragged on. In the grand conifer
forests of the Sierra Nevada, as in many other forests across the state,
the damage accumulated.
By 2014, millions of trees had died, pushed beyond repair by the
record-breaking temperatures and dryness, which reached so far into the
soil that even the deep-rooted trees could find no moisture. By 2015,
mass die-off was obviously underway; by 2016, the mortality count soared
to about 100 million. At high elevations, nearly 80 percent of the trees
died. And across the state, some 150 million trees have died since the
drought's onset. Many of those trees are still there, drying out, a
major fuel source ready to burn hot and bright when a fire arrives.
Since the 1970s, a recent study found, human-caused climate change
caused more than half of the drying-out of burnable materials and
consequent fire risk.
"These most recent heat waves are coming on top of an already hotter
period, and it's all coming together and sucking moisture out of dead
and live fuels, into the atmosphere," says Matthew Hurteau, a climate
scientist at the University of New Mexico.
*Changing rains, changing snows*
Climate change is messing with the seasonal rain and snow patterns
across the Western U.S., too--one of the other factors that controls
fire risk.
Springtime is often coming earlier. Snowpack, which usually provides
about 30 percent of the state's summer water needs, is melting earlier
in year, giving the plants and soils longer to dry out. A 2016 study
found that over 70 percent of the area burned in forest fires between
1970 and 2012 occurred in years where the winter snows disappeared early.
The hot drying-out season is stretching on the tail end, too, according
to research published in August. Higher autumn temperatures and less
precipitation--in particular, a growing delay in the onset of winter
rains, which usually puts an end to the fire season in California--have
led to a 20 percent increase in the number of autumn days ripe for burning.
In all, the western fire season has extended by at least 84 days since
the 1970s. Cal Fire, California's fire protection service, has said
publicly that it no longer considers there to be a wildfire "season,"
because the season is now the entire year.
The very character of the fires has also changed, growing larger and
more intense, and that in turn can accelerate future fire risk. Even
plants that need fire to propagate, like many high-elevation conifers,
are now often finding themselves in fires more intense and powerful than
they're adapted for, says Scott Stephens, a forest ecologist and fire
expert at the University of California, Berkeley.
"One of the very alarming trends we're starting to see is that these
fires are killing very large patches of conifers: 200, 300, 500,
1,000-acre patches, and some even larger," he says. In contrast,
research from his group and others found that in the Sierra Nevada
forests, before European colonizers arrived and started changing the
landscape, the patches burned were small: less than an acre in many
cases, or sometimes a bit bigger. And, Stephens says, the increase in
fire size has accelerated in the climate-changed present, particularly
since the 1990s.
That's a problem because when vast swaths of forest burn, we can no
longer count on them to self-regenerate. The seed sources and gentle
shade that may have been normal in the past are gone, and the conditions
become ripe for highly flammable species, like non-native grasses and
shrubs, to move in. Similar plant transitions are also occurring across
other fire-prone habitat, like Southern California's chaparral and
Colorado's forests.
*The bottom line*
So climate change has increased fire risk in both direct and indirect
ways. When an ignition happens, even if it's natural-- like the unusual
and dramatic lightning swarm that hit the Bay Area in August--the
chances of it spawning a big fire are much higher than they would be,
absent climate change. Overall, over the past few decades in California,
the annual average area burned increased fivefold.
Today's fires are both shocking and wholly expected, say many
researchers. "That's the tricky thing about fires--it isn't any one
thing that's causing them, it's multiple puzzle pieces fitting
together," says Balch. Climate change. Forest management. Human
behavior. Learning to adapt to the new reality and mitigate risks
requires swift, decisive action from many different angles, she says.
"What this year is showing me is the nature of fires here is changing,
and changing really fast," says Higuera. "We need to be doing like five
things at once: patting our heads, rubbing our belly, chewing gum, and
more, but for fire."
https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2020/09/climate-change-increases-risk-fires-western-us/
[Listed faith documents - links found at Interfaith Power & Light]
*Religious Statements on Climate Change*
Most religious communities have released statements on Climate Change
and the need to care for Creation. The following list (organized
alphabetically first by religion, then by denomination) demonstrates the
unity within the religious community on these important issues.
Please let us know if there are any additional statements you would like
to see included.
Baha'i
Seizing the Opportunity: Redefining the Challenge of Climate Change
A statement of the Baha'i International Community to the United Nations
Climate Change Conference in Paris, France
The Time to Act is Now - A Buddhist Declaration on Climate Change
A Western Soto Zen Buddhist Statement on the Climate Crisis
Christian
Joint Statement on Environment by Pope Francis and Ecumenical Patriarch
Bartholomew Sept 1, 2017
17 Anglican Bishops across six continents issue urgent call for climate
justice
Anglican Church of Canada, The Episcopal Church, Evangelical Lutheran
Church in America, Evangelical Lutheran Church in Canada - A Pastoral
Message on Climate Change
Baptist - A Southern Baptist Declaration on the Environment and Climate
Change
Catholic - U.S. Catholic Bishops' Statement on Climate Change
Catholic - Vatican on Climate Change
Catholic - Pope Mass: Protecting Creation a Christian responsibility
Catholic - Frequently Asked Questions on the Papal Encyclical
Church of the Brethren - Statement on Global Climate Change
Eastern Orthod0x - Statement on the Environment
Episcopal Church - Sustaining Hope in the Face of Climate Change
Evangelical Climate Initiative - Call to Action
Evangelical Lutheran Church of America - Caring for Creation: Vision,
Hope, and Justice
Evangelical Lutheran Church of America - Issue Paper: Global Warming and
Climate Change
Mennonite - Creation Care Network
Presbyterian Church USA - U.S. Energy Policy and Global Warming
Quaker - Earthcare Mission Program
United Church of Christ - A Resolution on Climate Change
United Methodist Church - Church Statement on Climate Change
Hindu Declaration on Climate Change
Interfaith Declaration on Climate Change (IDCC)
The (Yale) Forum on Religion and Ecology - Judaism and Climate Change
Islamic Declaration on Global Climate Change
Sikh Statement on Climate Change
Unitarian Universalist - Threat of Global Warming/Climate Change
Additional Statements
The (Yale) Forum on Religion and Ecology
Faith Traditions Creation Care Statements, a variety of statements on a
visually appealing one-page handout compiled by IPL intern Rachel Clyde
https://www.interfaithpowerandlight.org/religious-statements-on-climate-change/
[lecture]
*Jet Stream Strength and Waviness Modified by Interaction with Cyclones
like Hurricanes: Part 2 of 3*
Sep 18, 2020
Paul Beckwith
My main intention in this 3 part video series is to show you how large
cyclones (hurricanes, tropical cyclones, typhoons, even medicanes)
interact with the jet streams, and can either add energy to them
(amplify them) or take energy from them, depending on their size,
extent, rotation direction, and proximity to ridges and/or troughs. The
modified jet stream (faster or slower; wavier or less wavy; streakier or
more uniform)) that results from this interaction then propagates
thousands of miles downstream and changes weather there. Specifically, I
show how the strong tropical cyclones that hit the Japan, South Korea
region amplified the ridges and troughs of the jet stream, which then
propagated downstream over many days and then caused a record breaking
weather whiplashing from record warm temperatures in parts of Colorado
to freezing temperatures and even snowfall. It is clear that the jet
stream, which guides storms, can have high amplitude ridges and troughs
that can break off the jet stream (cutoff lows, for example) generating
cyclones, and now it should be clear that cyclones can themselves modify
the jet streams by interacting with them.
Yes, the dog wags it's tail, but clearly the moving tail can also wag
the dog!!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9HfOSwTjH28
[Digging back into the internet news archive]
*On this day in the history of global warming - September 20, 2013 *
The Obama administration proposes new EPA regulations intended to reduce
carbon dioxide emissions from new power plants in the US.
http://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2013/9/13/epa-to-announce-carbonlimitsonnewpowerplants.html
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