[✔️] October 11, 2021 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

[👀 Richard Pauli]

/*October 11, 2021*/

/[ Top story ]/
*Major Climate Action at Stake in Fight Over Twin Bills Pending in Congress*
Legislation aimed at infrastructure and social programs also includes 
big changes in energy, transportation and disaster preparation. They 
would amount to the most significant climate action ever taken by the 
United States...
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/10/climate/climate-action-congress.html



/[ check weather and no smoking ]/
*Critical fire weather and Red Flag Warnings predicted for much of 
California Monday and Tuesday*
Bill Gabbert - - October 10, 2021
Critical fire weather and Red Flag Warnings predicted for much of 
California Monday and Tuesday...
- -
Much of California between Los Angeles and Redding will be under 
elevated fire danger or Red Flag Warnings Monday and Tuesday. Strong 
north winds are predicted to begin Sunday night, peak on Monday, and 
last through Tuesday. Temperatures will not be as high as is seen in 
typical Santa Ana wind events, but they will be higher than normal and 
relative humidities will be low.

In the North Bay, for example, winds will develop late Sunday evening 
from the north at 30 to 40 mph, and will be locally higher near favored 
gaps, canyons, and in the Valley. Minimum humidity will drop to 10 to 25 
percent Monday and slightly lower on Tuesday. Overnight recovery will be 
25 to 50 percent.

Any fires that develop could spread rapidly.
https://twitter.com/CAL_FIRE/status/1447328756687785989?ref_src=twsrc
https://wildfiretoday.com/2021/10/10/critical-fire-weather-and-red-flag-warnings-predicted-for-much-of-california-monday-and-tuesday/



/[ Video news from DW  ]/
*India faces power outages as coal supplies dwindle | DW News*
Oct 11,2021
DW News
India is facing major power shortage, as the country's coal supplies 
dwindle. Electricity demand has surged since 2019, while the price of 
coal has also rocketed to near record highs. Now several states are 
looking at introducing mass blackouts to save energy reserves.
Meanwhile, the Modi government is insisting the country has enough coal 
to supply its power plants. Coal prices shot up after heavy monsoon 
rains closed mines and disrupted transport networks.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BAU6ub1nyNk



/[ incomprehensible conundrum ] /
*How culturally deranged is our climate today?*
Danny Crichton at dannycrichton - October 10, 2021
- -
In his profound and engrossing book The Great Derangement, celebrated 
Indian novelist Amitav Ghosh trains his sharply analytical and observant 
mind on the interconnections between humans and the planet, discovering 
counter-intuitive relationships wherever he roams. An edited collection 
of a series of lectures he delivered at the University of Chicago in 
2015, it’s a taut and provocative meditation, and one of the best I have 
read in recent years...
- -
Ghosh’s main argument centers on the role of culture, and particularly 
literary culture, in contextualizing the climate crisis. He’s all but 
astonished to find it completely absent, which leads to the book’s title 
of the great derangement: that climate change is all but incidental to 
culture, a fact that’s insane in a world increasingly trembling from the 
daily crises of a planet under stress. In fact, “it could even be said 
that fiction that deals with climate change is almost by definition not 
of the kind that is taken seriously by serious literary journals: the 
mere mention of the subject is often enough to relegate a novel or a 
short story to the genre of science fiction.”

He narrates his own brush with climate change: a freak urban cyclone 
that nearly killed him when he was younger. Yet, as he reminisces on 
this incident, he realizes that his random brush with death would be 
impossible in the context of a plot. Too arbitrary, a narrative device 
that would seem hackneyed to even the most open-minded reader. His own 
lived experience — an authentic, real experience — impossible to write 
down since it seems almost impossible to have happened.

The likelihood of any individual catastrophe emanating from climate 
change is unlikely, but the totality of each of those many rolls of the 
dice all but guarantees frequent disasters. That leads Ghosh into a 
meditation on the history of probability. “Probability and the modern 
novel are in fact twins, born at about the same time, among the same 
people, under a shared star that destined them to work as vessels for 
the containment of the same kind of experience,” he writes. The 
randomness of life that was a feature of humanity for millennia became 
regularized with the rise of the industrial era — we took control of our 
environments, our destinies after struggling to hold back the chaos of 
our world. Probability thus became less relevant in the modern age.

Of course, it was precisely that penchant for control that has led to 
our current climate rupture. Our upgraded standard of living 
simultaneously cost us the very quality of regularity that we demand. 
The idyllic nature of the San Francisco Bay Area is now punctuated by 
successive climate crises, from droughts to wildfires. Our interwoven 
global community now stutters with supply-chain disruptions, travel 
cancelations, border closures and policy changes. Our system of 
regularity has become a system at war with itself...
- -
Part of the challenge in Ghosh’s mind is that culture has become 
centered on narrations of individuals, who are hopelessly outmatched 
today by Earth’s forces. He borrows from John Updike the phrase 
“individual moral adventure” to describe much of modern literature, 
particularly that produced in the West. We want a hero, a protagonist, 
someone we can viscerally connect with and understand their tribulations 
as they embark on a quest against challenges they eventually overcome.

The climate is a system though, and thus, practically impervious to 
individual action. As I pointed out in my review of Kim Stanley 
Robinson’s The Ministry for the Future today, it’s nearly impossible to 
engage a reader on the bureaucratic struggles that form the basis for 
any change around climate. There is no villain but all of us, and that 
just doesn’t match the kind of narrative readers and viewers expect.

Worse, the narrative needs of “individual moral adventure” leads us to a 
world in which the substance of the matter isn’t even the heart of the 
story. Ghosh decries where this leads, writing that “Fiction, for one, 
comes to be reimagined in such a way that it becomes a form of bearing 
witness, of testifying, and of charting the career of the conscience. 
Thus do sincerity and authenticity become, in politics as in literature, 
the greatest of virtues.” That leads to a declining level of agency for 
individuals and also for groups. “As the public sphere grows ever more 
performative, at every level from presidential campaigns to online 
petitions, its ability to influence the actual exercise of power becomes 
increasingly attenuated,” he writes.

While systems thinking can easily get truncated to just technical and 
scientific relationships, Ghosh has successfully expanded the bounds to 
include culture in the equations as well (his three parts in this volume 
are entitled “Stories,” “History” and “Politics,” which gives some idea 
of his intended contributions). It’s not enough to just peer into our 
natural ecosystems and see what’s going on, but we also have to 
understand how humans conceive and connect with these systems in the 
first place. His analysis offers another critical stratum on an already 
deeply-layered problem.

So where does this foray into culture, power and politics lead us? 
Ultimately, Ghosh sees an important place for traditional religious 
authorities to take charge on climate. As he writes:

    Religious worldviews are not subject to the limitations that have
    made climate change such a challenge for our existing institutions
    of governance: they transcend nation-states, and they all
    acknowledge intergenerational, long-term responsibilities; they do
    not partake of economistic ways of thinking and are therefore
    capable of imagining nonlinear change — catastrophe, in other words
    — in ways that are perhaps closed to the forms of reason deployed by
    contemporary nation-states.

Ghosh touches on a myriad of other subjects across this slim book, but 
his erudite and at times contrarian thinking successfully reframes many 
of the debates and points of reference around climate and future 
governance. As with all good systems thinking, his analysis ultimately 
others something synthetic: different lenses by which to understand a 
wicked problem. We should be fortunate that there is perhaps a path out 
of the morass.

Or not. For it’s clear that while debates around the climate have gone 
on for decades, we’re still doing little to actually solve the 
fundamentals. Ghosh quotes U Thant, the third secretary-general of the 
United States and the first from Asia, back in 1971:

    As we watch the sun go down, evening after evening, through the smog
    across the poisoned waters of our native earth, we must ask
    ourselves seriously whether we really wish some future universal
    historian on another planet to say about us: “With all their genius
    and with all their skill, they ran out of foresight and air and food
    and water and ideas,” or, “They went on playing politics until their
    world collapsed around them.”

That history is being written now, and while the puzzle in front of us 
is indeed vexing, it’s neither impossible to comprehend not impossible 
to solve.

_The Great Derangement: Climate Change and the Unthinkable_ by Amitav Ghosh
The University of Chicago Press, 2016, 176 pages
https://techcrunch.com/2021/10/10/how-culturally-deranged-is-our-climate-today/



/[Mindfully important thinking] /
*Reducing Eco-Anxiety*
Jay Michaelson
September 23, 2021
There are days when I feel that climate change is the only thing that 
matters and that the tragedy of it is unbearable. I feel simultaneously 
like screaming on the street and hiding under the covers.

At least I know that I’m not alone. According to a 2020 study by the 
American Psychiatric Association, over half of Americans said they were 
somewhat or extremely anxious about the impact of climate change.

And they – we – are right. There aren’t enough words in this newsletter 
to describe the scope of this tragedy, which has just begun to unfold. 
Massive species and habitat loss. At least 250,000 deaths each year from 
2030-2050, according to WHO projections. Up to a billion climate and 
food refugees, with attendant conflicts and disasters. Increased 
wildfires, floods, hurricanes, and pandemics. Covid-19 is a picnic 
compared to what’s in store for our children.

So what can we do?

I used to think that meditation could be part of the solution by helping 
us to consume less and live more sustainable lives. But to be honest, I 
don’t feel that way anymore. As is now very well documented, individual 
behavior change will not stop or slow climate change, and even if it 
could, it’s unrealistic to imagine a billion people meditating their way 
to sustainability.

Where meditation and mindfulness do have a role, however, is enabling us 
to be part of the actions that do make a difference. Here are two ways 
that can happen.

*1.      Reducing Eco-Anxiety*
First, it can help with what is now called “eco-anxiety.”  To repeat, 
eco-anxiety is entirely justified. This isn’t like that old Buddhist 
story about being afraid of a snake that turns out to just be some rope. 
No, climate change is a real snake.

But our reactions are still up to us. With mindfulness, we can see when 
anxiety, fear, rage, or a sense of helplessness are paralyzing us – when 
they’re preventing us from taking action, rather than inspiring us to do 
so.

Try this the next time you read (or don’t read) a news story about 
climate change: check out the mind, heart, and body. Just note 
whatever’s going on, without judgment: fear, dread, anger, whatever. 
Then, try coexisting with that feeling, rather than trying to push it 
away. Okay, you might say, right now, it’s like this.

And if the feeling is too strong to simply “be with,” you can consider 
an antidote, which can be as simple as taking a deep breath or 
remembering people who bring you joy. Or try one of the many anxiety 
meditations in the app.

The point of doing this isn’t just to feel better, although that 
certainly helps. Often, as pioneering meditation teacher and climate 
activist Joanna Macy has written, the pain of climate change is so great 
that we feel we have no choice but to retreat into denial or apathy. It 
hurts too much to care.

Sometimes, the sense of helplessness which many of us feel can also 
cause us to take individual actions which may give us an illusion of 
power but which don’t actually make a difference. Which leads to the 
second point…

*2.      Politics*
Climate change is a collective problem. There aren’t enough virtuous 
people in the world to make a difference through reducing their carbon 
footprints, and studies have shown it’s exceedingly hard to get the 
“non-virtuous” to change their behavior. Your individual choices may 
reflect your ethical values, and communicate those values to others. 
Those are good things. But in terms of actually mitigating climate 
change, they simply don’t make a difference.

To address those factors requires politics, and politics is often nasty. 
Believe me, having worked as a political columnist for eight years now, 
I can speak firsthand to its corrosive effects on one’s mental health 
and love of humanity.

But it’s the only way forward. Want to feel less helpless about climate 
change?  Register people to vote. This year, persuade centrist senators 
(if one represents you) to get on board with meaningful climate action. 
Donate to political causes. Get involved in local politics, where 
meaningful collective actions are possible. Find the Venn diagram 
overlap of what needs doing, what you’re good at, and what brings you joy.

And that is where meditation can help.

First, it can help us rest, relax, and restore. We get mentally messy, 
and then we wash off. That is of enormous value.

But more importantly, meditation trains the mind to be with difficult 
emotions so that you don’t have to freak out when you experience them. 
By learning to coexist with anger, frustration, fear, and despair in 
meditation, you don’t get triggered by them for the rest of your life.

So, yes, I’m suggesting you bring climate change, and politics, into 
your meditation time, to allow whatever emotions they bring up to 
unfold. Because learning not to be controlled by them is how you 
actually grow happier.

Building mindfulness in this way can also help you practice 
“pendulation,” engaging with the challenging material, and then backing 
away from it to restore. It’s like a cycle: do your activist work, 
notice when you get stuck, restore, and return. Remember, fighting 
climate change is a marathon, not a sprint. And being frozen by anxiety, 
anger, or burnout is not helping anyone.

These, at least, are some of the tools that have helped me. None of them 
will, themselves, reduce the impact of climate change – but I do find 
they make me more able to do so. Truthfully, I don’t know if that will 
be enough. But a wise Jewish adage says, you are not required to 
complete the work, but you are also not free to desist from it.
https://www.tenpercent.com/meditationweeklyblog/eco-anxiety



/[ Foreign Policy book review opinion ] /
*Humanity’s Unhappy Experiment*
Understanding how the climate crisis unfolded can help us reverse course.
By Christina Lu, an editorial fellow at Foreign Policy.
OCTOBER 10, 2021
Long before anyone understood how the climate worked, a little—yet 
devastating—ice age enveloped the Earth beginning around the 14th 
century and reaching its chilly nadir in the mid-17th century. Expanding 
glaciers demolished entire villages while people starved and shivered to 
death. Frozen birds fell from the sky; empires collapsed.

Our Biggest Experiment: An Epic History of the Climate Crisis, Alice 
Bell, Counterpoint, 384 pp., $27, September 2021

As terrible as the little ice age was, it was just a harbinger for how 
humans would radically transform the climate in the years to come, Alice 
Bell writes in her new book, Our Biggest Experiment. Just as human 
forces are fueling unprecedented levels of warming today, they may have 
also helped usher in earlier freezing temperatures. (While aided by a 
decline in solar radiation, the little ice age also had roots in 
colonization, which took the lives of 50 million Indigenous people in 
the Americas. That loss of life likely sent atmospheric carbon dioxide 
levels—and temperatures—plummeting.)

Centuries later, we still haven’t learned our lesson. As people continue 
to tamper with the environment, the world is heating up—with dangerous 
results. In recent months, countries have been buckling under extreme 
droughts, torrential rain, and searing heat waves, all clear indicators 
of our changing climate. Humans are the unequivocal perpetrators, 
particularly by burning fossil fuels that release copious quantities of 
greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.

How did we find ourselves in this mess? Our Biggest Experiment charts 
the history of the climate crisis, highlighting the people who began 
connecting the dots—and those who stymied their efforts. Bell, a climate 
campaigner and writer, takes us back to the 18th century, when the 
little ice age was winding down and the quest for industrialization began.

Bell traces those critical centuries in astonishing—almost 
exhausting—detail. She shows how the world got hooked on fossil fuels, 
how scientists began to grapple with the weather and understand the 
climate, how Big Oil undermined climate science, and, perhaps most 
importantly, what we can learn from the past.

Bell dashes through centuries of science with vivid, fluid writing, 
enlisting a sprawling cast of characters to shed light on topics 
including the creation of the world’s modern energy mix and the birth of 
atmospheric understanding. The realization that filling the atmosphere 
with carbon dioxide could send temperatures soaring came surprisingly 
early, in the mid-19th century. By the dawn of the next century, there 
was little doubt what ever-growing emissions would do. What was missing 
was much concern.

The climate crisis “doesn’t hit people with a clearly identifiable 
thud,” nor does it arrive in a “single ‘eureka’ moment,” Bell writes. 
There were other factors in play. Scientists for decades feared global 
cooling more than warming. In the early 1900s, gently rising 
temperatures were welcomed as a boon to agriculture. And then some 
powerful corporations actively cast doubt on climate change to protect 
their businesses. The oil industry led the charge for climate change 
skepticism, pushing a position that emphasized “uncertainty” despite all 
evidence to the contrary.

A recurring theme in Our Biggest Experiment is that climate issues have 
always been inextricably tied to class, race, and gender. Progress was 
made off the backs of suffering communities, whether through the slave 
trade or workers operating in squalid conditions—and they also bore the 
brunt of the environmental impacts. When pollution became unbearable, 
Bell writes, the “rich could move, or simply found it was never built 
near them in the first place.” The poor weren’t as lucky. They still 
aren’t. The global south, responsible for only around 10 percent of 
cumulative global emissions, are the most vulnerable to the impacts of 
climate change. Richer countries such as Britain, where Bell lives, have 
merely outsourced their use of coal and other dirty fuels, and by so 
doing, such a nation is “able to dress itself up as a climate leader for 
quitting the stuff in ways other countries simply don’t have the means 
to,” Bell writes.

Our Biggest Experiment is not a quick read. Meticulously researched, the 
book covers so much ground, and so many people, that at times the story 
can feel tangled and convoluted. In covering the entirety of the climate 
crisis—a laudable feat—Bell risks losing sight of the larger picture. 
But she makes up for it with a wealth of nuggets of environmental 
history. Ever curious about the history behind the phrase “tree 
huggers”? They were real—and dedicated. In 1730, when villagers in 
Khejarli, in northwestern India, learned that their culturally important 
khejri trees were set to be chopped down for a new palace, they defended 
them to the death, literally: In exchange for one villager’s life, one 
tree would be spared. One by one, villagers wrapped their arms around 
the trees and lost their heads. After hundreds of people were killed in 
the effort, the palace’s ruler finally promised to leave them—and their 
trees—alone.

In Our Biggest Experiment, Bell paints a dark picture of the world but 
not one without hope. “The story of the climate crisis has always been a 
choose your own adventure,” she writes. “We’ve inherited an almighty 
mess, but we’ve also inherited a lot of tools that could, if we choose 
wisely and make the most of them, help us and others survive.” Some 
people already are: On Tuesday, three scientists were awarded the Nobel 
Prize in physics for their work in understanding how human behavior 
drives climate change. And as almost 200 world leaders prepare to meet 
in Glasgow, Scotland, this fall for international climate talks, it’s 
imperative for policymakers to prioritize the same issues.

Bell acknowledges that the task seems daunting. “Most of us are pretty 
clueless about how we built this world in the first place, and so 
struggle to work out where to start rebuilding it,” she writes. For 
curious readers, this book is a great place to start.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/10/10/climate-change-crisis-experiment-warming-history-environment-review-alice-bell/
- -
[ book blurb]
*Traversing science, politics, and technology, **_Our Biggest 
Experiment_**shines a spotlight on the little-known scientists who 
sounded the alarm to reveal the history behind the defining story of our 
age: the climate crisis.*

Our understanding of the Earth's fluctuating environment is an 
extraordinary story of human perception and scientific endeavor. It also 
began much earlier than we might think. In _Our Biggest Experiment_, 
Alice Bell takes us back to climate change science's earliest steps in 
the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, through the point when concern 
started to rise in the 1950s and right up to today, where the “debate” 
is over and the world is finally starting to face up to the reality that 
things are going to get a lot hotter, a lot drier (in some places), and 
a lot wetter (in others), with catastrophic consequences for most of 
Earth's biomes.

Our Biggest Experiment recounts how the world became addicted to fossil 
fuels, how we discovered that electricity could be a savior, and how 
renewable energy is far from a twentieth-century discovery. Bell cuts 
through complicated jargon and jumbles of numbers to show how we're 
getting to grips with what is now the defining issue of our time. The 
message she relays is ultimately hopeful; harnessing the ingenuity and 
intelligence that has driven the history of climate change research can 
result in a more sustainable and bearable future for humanity.
https://www.amazon.com/Our-Biggest-Experiment-History-Climate/dp/1640094334/ref=sr_1_1


/[ historic skirmish of science denial ]
/*‘This is a story that needs to be told’: BBC film tackles Climategate 
scandal*
Scientist Philip Jones is resigned, but ready for a fresh wave of abuse 
when drama The Trick tries to put the record straight on accusations 
that he falsified data on global heating
Robin McKie and Vanessa Thorpe
Sun 10 Oct 2021
Twelve years ago, Professor Philip Jones was subject to a barrage of 
hate mail and death threats that pushed him close to suicide. Emails, 
hacked from his laboratory, proved climate change research was a fraud, 
it was claimed.

Now Jones faces a repeat of that grim onslaught when the BBC One film, 
The Trick, is screened on 18 October. It will tell the story, 
sympathetically, of his tribulations at the hands of climate change deniers.

“At the time, the mail was awful. Everyone was attacking me and I 
couldn’t deal with it. I got Christmas cards filled with obscenities 
and, to this day – on the November anniversary of the hacking – I still 
get a couple of offensive messages,” Jones told the Observer last week.

“After The Trick is screened I expect there will be a new wave of abuse. 
However, I accept the risk because this is a story that needs to be told.”

Jones was head of the Climactic Research Unit at East Anglia University 
in Norwich in 2009 when hackers stole thousands of documents and emails 
from its computers. Their contents were then carefully selected and used 
by climate change deniers to promote the idea that scientists were 
falsely alleging fossil fuel emissions were warming the planet. 
Subsequent inquiries rejected all these allegations.

“It was a manufactured controversy,” said Owen Sheers, screenwriter of 
The Trick. “There was a definite strategy at work and a massive 
disinformation campaign. Yet, when I talk to those who remember any of 
it now, most still think a scientist really did get caught tweaking the 
figures...
- -
“In fact, thousands of documents were stolen and a few extracts were 
pulled out in an expert way that became the bullets that did the 
damage,” added Sheers, who is known for books such as The Dust Diaries. 
Some experts even claim the furore triggered by Climategate – as the 
hacking affair was later dubbed – played a key role in the failure of 
the Copenhagen climate talks in December that year.
- -
It is a complex argument but Jones was satisfied with the results. “The 
film is not heavy on the science, and I think that is fine. This is a 
drama and you cannot go into the minutiae or you will get bogged down.”

Broughton and Sheers believe the drama may correct faulty memories of 
the scandal, as reports of the findings that exonerated Jones and his 
team were not as prominent as the original claims made against them. 
“The intellectual defence for Jones has been out there from almost the 
first, but it did not get the coverage,” said Sheers.

Sheers also revealed that many of the international news networks that 
once denounced Jones and others for faking global warming figures have 
now refused to allow their footage to be used by the BBC. Requests to 
use clips were turned down by ABC and CBS. “The way it was covered back 
then is extraordinary, in the light of everything we know now, but our 
requests for news archive were refused,” he said, though he added that 
the American networks NBC and Fox did give permission.

“The science was strong then but it is even stronger now,” said Jones. 
“And in terms of covering climate change, much of the UK media has 
improved. So there is some cheer to be had in our story.”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/oct/10/this-is-a-story-that-needs-to-be-told-bbc-film-tackles-climategate-scandal



[conversation with author]
*Richard Wrangham: Role of Violence, Sex, and Fire in Human Evolution | 
Lex Fridman *Podcast #229
Oct 10, 2021
Lex Fridman
Richard Wrangham is a biological anthropologist at Harvard, specializing 
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[The news archive - looking back - "Could'a, Would'a, Should'a "]
*On this day in the history of global warming October 11, 2000*
October 11, 2000: In the second Presidential debate between Vice 
President Al Gore and Texas Governor George W. Bush, Gore says the US 
needs to take the lead in confronting the climate crisis and embracing 
clean energy. Bush claims that his environmental record as governor of 
Texas is not as bad as has been alleged; Bush also attacks the concept 
of a carbon tax and endorses "clean coal" and natural gas as energy 
solutions. Gore denies that he supports a carbon tax, but endorses 
clean-energy tax incentives. Bush tries to suggest that there's still a 
dispute in the scientific community about the causes and severity of 
climate change, and denounces the Kyoto Protocol. Gore defends the 
scientific consensus on climate, and points out that we need to do right 
by future generations; in response, Bush again suggests that there isn't 
a real consensus.

(65:00-85:25)
https://www.c-span.org/video/?159296-1/presidential-candidates-debate


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