[✔️] April 28, 2022 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

Richard Pauli Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Thu Apr 28 08:31:18 EDT 2022 

/*April 28, 2022*/

/[ NBC video news ]/
*Racing to Stop Wildfires*
Apr 27, 2022
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6GOIoR47jmQ/
/

/- -/

/[ Smoke jumpers ]/
*Forest Service facing difficulties hiring firefighters*
Bill Gabbert -April 27, 2022
An engine captain involved in temporary hiring in northern California 
indicated that almost all Forest Service forests in the area expected to 
have less than 65% of full staffing for firefighters this year, some 
below 50%, according to a federal firefighting source who spoke on 
condition of anonymity.
https://wildfiretoday.com/2022/04/27/forest-service-facing-difficulties-hiring-firefighters/

/
/

/
/

/[  PBS special  54 min video  - far more damning than the first one ]/
*The Power of Big Oil Part Two: Doubt (full documentary) | FRONTLINE*
Apr 26, 2022
FRONTLINE PBS | Official

Watch part two of “The Power of Big Oil,” a three-episode FRONTLINE 
docuseries investigating the fossil fuel industry’s history of casting 
doubt and delaying action on climate change...
- -
Part two, “Doubt,” chronicles how, as scientific evidence of 
human-caused climate change mounted in the 2000s, the industry continued 
to question the science, and went to new lengths to shape American 
politics and stall climate policy.

Part one, “Denial,” is now streaming: https://bit.ly/3xTxYhg

Part three, “Delay,” premieres May 3 on PBS and online: 
https://to.pbs.org/3rByEEe

“The Power of Big Oil” is a FRONTLINE Production with Mongoose Pictures 
in association with BBC and Arte. The series producer is Dan Edge. The 
producer and director of episode 2 is Gesbeen Mohammad. The editorial 
consultant is Russell Gold. The senior producers are James Jacoby and 
Eamonn Matthews. The executive producer for FRONTLINE is Raney Aronson-Rath.

#ClimateChange #BigOil #Docuseries

Love FRONTLINE? Find us on the PBS Video App, where there are more than 
300 FRONTLINE documentaries available to watch any time: 
https://to.pbs.org/FLVideoApp

Subscribe on YouTube: http://bit.ly/1BycsJW
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/frontlinepbs
Twitter: https://twitter.com/frontlinepbs
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/frontline

FRONTLINE is produced at GBH in Boston and is broadcast nationwide on 
PBS. Funding for FRONTLINE is provided through the support of PBS 
viewers and by the Corporation for Public Broadcasting. Additional 
support for FRONTLINE is provided by the Abrams Foundation, the John D. 
and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation, Park Foundation, the 
Heising-Simons Foundation; and the FRONTLINE Journalism Fund with major 
support from Jon and Jo Ann Hagler on behalf of the Jon L. Hagler 
Foundation, and additional support from Koo and Patricia Yuen. Funding 
for The Power of Big Oil is provided by The WNET Group’s Peril and 
Promise initiative, reporting on the human stories of climate change, 
with major funding by Dr. P. Roy and Diana T. Vagelos and additional 
funding from The Marc Haas Foundation, Sue and Edgar Wachenheim III, and 
the Cheryl and Philip Milstein family. Additional support for this 
program is provided by The JPB Foundation, and the GBH Planet Future Fund.

*CHAPTERS:*

    Prologue - 00:00
    Bush Backs Out of Carbon - 01:52
    What ExxonMobil Knew Internally and Said Externally - 12:18
    Evidence of Anthropogenic Climate Change Grows - 19:24
    A Bipartisan Push to Address Climate Change - 25:54
    “The Koch Political Machine” - 38:47
    The 2010 Midterms & Carbon Pledge - 46:02

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qMe-BYUIPLU

- -

/[ *Denier Roundup - * updated opinion on disinformation from Climate 
Nexus  ]/
*Influencing Influencers: Southwest Gas Potentially Violating FTC Laws 
With Undisclosed Social Media Ads Posing As posts*

As the global carbon budget and ever-falling renewable prices scream in 
harmony that we’ve reached crossed the supposed “bridge” representing 
methane/fossil gas (née “natural” gas), the industry has been scrambling 
to shore up its image with the usual disinformation tactics.

The methane fuel industry has a storied history of front groups, 
propaganda, climate disinformation, and paying social media influencers 
for cringe(y) content to counter the science showing gas stoves are 
dirty and dangerous.

There was “Coloradans for Energy Access” back in Feb, revelations of 
accidental shills last year, back-burner excuses in 2020, and the 
admission in 2019 that they’ve lost the fight over whether or not there 
will be climate policy, and now need to look like good actors in order 
to have a seat at the table shaping it. Cue the greenwashing!

The latest example comes from Southwest Gas, who Keriann Conroy at 
Energy and Policy Institute reveals is benefiting from a slate of social 
media posts across TikTok, Instagram, and Facebook that “fail to clearly 
disclose the utility’s involvement in the sponsored posts,” which “may 
be in violation of Federal Trade Commission guidelines” requiring “hard 
to miss” disclosures for paid posts. Conroy describes one user who 
“reads out gas industry talking points while cooking eggs on a gas 
stovetop” and “proceeds to gush about her gas clothes dryer and a gas 
fireplace” while another “highlights cost savings for restaurant owners.”

While details were different, the message was the same across ads, as 
all of them “focus on methane gas being ‘sustainable’ or ‘green’,” 
Conroy wrote. And although some do include “#sponsored” and “promoted” 
labels, that only points users to the advertising agency, not the 
ultimate advertiser, and not all were labeled.

The influencers direct their audience to the Southwest Gas website, 
Conroy writes, but “Southwest Gas’s name does not show up anywhere on 
the pages of the influencers.”

Weird! If their product is so great it’s worth paying influencers to 
post about it, then why are they ashamed to have their name on those ads?
https://newsletter.climatenexus.org/20220427-russia-blackmail-poland-bulgaria-ak-permafrost-socal-water



/[ heatwave in Asia ]/
*Heatwave in India breaks records, still worsening*
Peter Forister - April 26, 2022
An unprecedented heatwave in South Asia this month (April 2022) is 
bringing dangerously high temperatures to over a billion people. Both 
India and Pakistan are being hit the hardest with widespread 
record-breaking temperatures above 105 degrees F (40 degrees C). 
Conditions are expected to worsen this week in those regions, where 
temperatures approaching 113 degrees F (45 degrees C) are possible.

The heatwave weather began in late March for northern India and 
Pakistan, and spread into the first weeks of April. Although heatwaves 
are not uncommon in this region during the pre-monsoon season from April 
to June, residents and meteorologists have noted that this heatwave was 
the earliest they could remember.

With no relief in sight, some observers are suggesting this heatwave 
pattern might become one of the longest-lasting in recent decades. Some 
are calling this year the year without a spring.

The average temperature in India in March 2022 was about 92 degrees F 
(33 degrees C), the warmest March ever recorded since records began in 1902.

    Scorching & dangerous heat on the way for India & Pakistan.
    Temperatures will approach April record levels. The high 40s Celsius
    are expected, parts of Pakistan close to 50°C.
    It has been hot here for a very long time now... since early March.

*More heat for coming weeks*
Forecast models indicate that parts of Pakistan and northwestern India 
could reach temperatures near 120 degrees F (50 degrees C) on Thursday 
and Friday. Major cities such as Delhi and Lahore are forecast to reach 
113 degrees F (45 degrees C). These temperatures are 18 degrees F (10 
degrees C) warmer than the normal high temperatures for April, and would 
approach the all-time record temperatures for the month. Temperatures in 
major metropolitan areas can be further exasperated by the urban heat 
island effect, increasing local temperatures a few degrees higher than 
the surrounding countryside.

Due to these forecasts, heat wave warnings were issued for 10 major 
cities in India. Some regional educational systems have shut down all 
schools for the next five days...
- -
*And there’s a rainfall deficit*
In addition to the heat, a significant rainfall deficit has also been 
recorded in the pre-monsoon season since early March. According to the 
Indian Meteorological Department, many Indian regions are experiencing a 
99% deficit in normal rainfall amounts...
- -
*More heat for coming weeks*
Forecast models indicate that parts of Pakistan and northwestern India 
could reach temperatures near 120 degrees F (50 degrees C) on Thursday 
and Friday. Major cities such as Delhi and Lahore are forecast to reach 
113 degrees F (45 degrees C). These temperatures are 18 degrees F (10 
degrees C) warmer than the normal high temperatures for April, and would 
approach the all-time record temperatures for the month. Temperatures in 
major metropolitan areas can be further exasperated by the urban heat 
island effect, increasing local temperatures a few degrees higher than 
the surrounding countryside.

Due to these forecasts, heat wave warnings were issued for 10 major 
cities in India. Some regional educational systems have shut down all 
schools for the next five days.
https://earthsky.org/earth/heatwave-in-india-breaks-records/

--

/[ Heat destroys plants ]/
*Heat wave in India threatens residents and crucial wheat harvest*
APR 26 2022
NBC NEWS
Patrick Galey
A record-breaking heat wave in India exposing hundreds of millions to 
dangerous temperatures is damaging the country’s wheat harvest, which 
experts say could hit countries seeking to make up imports of the food 
staple from conflict-riven Ukraine...
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/27/heat-wave-in-india-threatens-residents-and-crucial-wheat-harvest.html



/[ one could say the same about 2030 and 2040 ] /
*There’s No Scenario in Which 2050 Is ‘Normal’*
The two paths to avoid the worst of climate change would still 
dramatically change the world as we know it.
By Robinson Meyer - - APRIL 27, 2022

Earlier this month, the United Nations–led Intergovernmental Panel on 
Climate Change released the latest volume of its current “synthesis 
report,” its omnibus summary of what humanity knows about the climate. 
As I wrote at the time, while the other volumes focus on the impacts of 
climate change, this newest report narrows in on how to prevent it.

One of the main tools that the volume uses to estimate how we might 
avert climate catastrophe is so-called energy-system models. These are 
complicated computer programs that simulate the global economy’s use of 
energy in all its guises—coal, natural gas, wind, solar—and what the 
greenhouse-gas footprint of that energy use will be. A single model 
might encompass natural-gas demand in Mongolia, highway usage in 
Scotland, electric-vehicle purchases in New Jersey, and thousands of 
other numbers before spitting out a certain year’s carbon emissions.

These models are useful because they produce scenarios: story lines that 
show how the world can meet its energy needs while gradually zeroing out 
its carbon pollution. They can help us understand how current—and 
future— energy policy will affect the trajectory of emissions. (By 
feeding the output of energy-system models into climate models, which 
project how the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere will alter 
temperature, precipitation, and much else, you can then see how those 
emissions will drive climate change.) The models can tell us, for 
instance, that based on the commitments countries initially made under 
the Paris Agreement, the world’s average temperature is set to rise more 
than 2 degrees Celsius above its preindustrial level, violating the very 
goal of that treaty.

Of course, that has long been clear. But the energy-system models used 
in the most recent IPCC report tell us something else too: The path to 
avoiding the worst impacts of climate change requires something 
impossible. Well, not actually impossible, but exceptionally difficult 
to imagine.

Of the hundreds of scenarios that the IPCC analyzed, all fell into one 
of three buckets. In the first bucket, every scenario forecasts that the 
world will soon be removing tens of gigatons of carbon dioxide from the 
atmosphere every year. Carbon removal is still a bit of a dream. Not 
only is it technologically unproven at scale; it is extremely energy 
intensive. But the IPCC report implies that within the lifetime of 
children alive today, the world might be spending more than a third of 
its total energy production removing carbon from the atmosphere, 
according to Zeke Hausfather, an IPCC author.

The world won’t derive any immediate economic gain from this 
waste-management exercise; it won’t turn that carbon into something 
useful. It will simply need to spend what could equal trillions of 
dollars a year on carbon removal to help rein in climatic upheaval. 
What’s more, this mass removal will need to happen while the world does 
everything else that decarbonizing entails, such as building wind and 
solar farms, expanding public transit, and switching to electric 
vehicles. Every climate plan, every climate policy you’ve ever heard 
about will need to happen while tens of gigatons of carbon removal revs 
up in the background.

That may sound unbelievable. But now let’s turn our attention to the 
second bucket of scenarios. They tell a different story, one in which 
the world rapidly curtails its energy usage over the next two decades, 
slashing carbon pollution not only from rich countries, such as the 
United States, but also from middle-income countries, such as Brazil, 
Pakistan, and India.

By “curtailing energy demand,” I’m not talking about the standard 
energy-transition, green-growth situation, where the world produces more 
energy every year and just has a larger and larger share of it coming 
from zero-carbon sources. Rather, these scenarios imagine a world where 
total global energy demand collapses in the next few decades. There’s a 
good reason for this—as far as the models are concerned, this tactic is 
one of the best ways to crash carbon pollution within 10 years—but it is 
not how any country approaches climate policy.

Take these scenarios’ assumptions about car ownership, for example. 
Today, there are about 1.3 billion cars and light-duty trucks on the 
road worldwide. The U.S. Energy Information Administration predicts that 
this number will reach 2.21 billion by 2050—a 70 percent increase—of 
which less than half will be electric vehicles. But the low-energy 
scenarios require the global vehicle fleet to nearly halve during the 
same period of time, shrinking to about 850 million cars and light 
trucks by 2050.

Don’t get me wrong: This sounds fantastic. I’d love to live in a world 
where most people don’t have to own a car to make a living or 
participate in society. Yet it also does not strike me as particularly 
likely, and it is not the only life-altering shift imagined by the 
low-energy scenarios. These scenarios envision a similar revolution in 
energy-efficiency technology sweeping through other aspects of society, 
such as building construction, residential heating, and manufacturing. 
Historically, energy efficiency has improved by about 2 percent a year; 
the low-energy-demand scenarios require much faster shifts.

Oh, and by the way, these low-energy-demand scenarios require a huge 
amount of carbon removal too—something like 3 billion tons of it. “Even 
with low-energy demand, there’s still a fair amount of [carbon removal] 
deployed. It’s just in the three-to-five-gigaton range rather than the 
five-to-15-gigaton range,” Hausfather, the IPCC author, told me. (He 
recently became the lead climate researcher at the online-payment 
company Stripe, which has paid to remove more carbon from the atmosphere 
than any other company.)

And then there’s the third bucket. In these scenarios in the new report, 
humanity fails to limit global temperature growth to 1.5 degrees Celsius 
(or 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit), blowing past the more ambitious of the 
Paris Agreement’s climate goals. Passing 1.5 degrees Celsius means that 
the world could encounter deadly droughts, mass migrations, and fatal 
outdoor temperatures by the middle of the century.

Perhaps you can see the problem: None of these outcomes is particularly 
easy to imagine. There is no international agreement—or even political 
will—to conduct carbon removal at the scale that the IPCC report 
envisions. There is even less appetite for the rapid energy cuts that 
must come in this decade to meet the low-energy-demand scenario. And if 
you give up on either of those approaches, that all but ensures the 
world will exceed the 1.5-degree-Celsius threshold, which will lead to 
widespread turmoil.

When you look at the three buckets this starkly, a few things become 
apparent. The first and the most significant is that humanity must 
invest more in carbon removal as quickly as possible. So far, most of 
the money spent on carbon removal has come from the private sector; two 
weeks ago, I wrote about Stripe’s effort. But the funding to remove 
billions of tons a year can come only from the government. Many climate 
thinkers hope that the federal government will step in and administer 
carbon removal as a public waste-management service, at least in the 
United States. There’s currently little bipartisan political will to do 
so, but it is beyond past time to begin implementing that.

The second is that coping with climate change will require disruption on 
a scale that our political system has yet to comprehend. In some cases, 
that disruption will come beforehand and prevent the damage; in others, 
it will result from the climatic damage. But it will come nonetheless. 
If I asked you, Forty years from now, will only about 5 percent of 
Americans own a car, or will the world spend a large share of its energy 
production sucking carbon from the atmosphere?, you would rightly 
respond that neither sounded particularly realistic. And that is the 
point: We have been backed into a corner. The scale of change headed our 
way is unimaginable. And it is also inevitable.
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2022/04/ipcc-report-climate-change-2050/629691/



/[ alarming video from 2005 and 2019 - recently posted archive video - 
unable to confirm political office ] /
*Climate Alert*
Racing to Stop Wildfires Means undoing Smokey the Bear's Work
this giant mirror https://www.meerreflection.com/ will stop the fires 
floods and hurricanes immediately - But those aren’t what scientists are 
really afraid of..  i'm not a scientist so here I will let Exeter 
University Professor Peter Cox Explain the urgency of this situation
https://youtu.be/_QKUO0B24PE
- -
/[ unable to confirm the political office]/
*Methane Apocalypse Now : Peter Cox in 2005 - Siberian Sea*
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCGiX5xTYkVlTy8N8l8fARGQ/featured
- -
[ classic explanation CBS affiliate video ]
*Earth 8: Methane bursts caused by Siberian heat wave*
Oct 26, 2020
CBS 8 San Diego
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qypYccgyOTQ



/[  in case you need some images about global warming ]
/*Welcome to Climate Visuals, a Climate Outreach project*
The world's only evidence-based and impact focused climate photography 
resource
https://climatevisuals.org/collections/
- -
/[ and an open call for photography ]/
https://climatevisuals.org/opencall/



/[The news archive - looking back]/
*April 28, 2013*
Slate's Phil Plait re-debunks the "Why don't they call it global warming 
anymore?" talking point often heard on the Fox News Channel: this 
talking point had been previously debunked by Peter Sinclair of 
ClimateCrocks.com.

http://youtu.be/mqMunulJU7w

http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/04/28/fox_news_global_warming_versus_climate_change.html

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