[✔️] January 11, 2022 - Daily Global Warming News Digest
👀 Richard Pauli
richard at theclimate.vote
Tue Jan 11 07:46:41 EST 2022
/*January 11, 2022*/
/[ notice the money ]/
*US hit by 20 separate billion-dollar climate disasters in 2021, NOAA
report says*
Year was third-costliest extreme weather year on record with affected
communities spread from coast to coast
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/jan/11/us-hit-by-20-separate-billion-dollar-climate-disasters-in-2021-noaa-report-says
- -
/[ seems like money is talking ]/
*Rich nations could see ‘double climate dividend’ by switching to
plant-based foods*
Adopting a more plant-based diet could give rich countries a “double
climate dividend” of lower emissions and more land for capturing carbon,
a new study says.
Animal-based foods have higher carbon and land footprints than their
plant-based alternatives, and are most commonly consumed in high-income
countries. The study, published in Nature Food, investigates how the
global food system would change if 54 high-income countries were to
shift to a more plant-based diet...
https://www.carbonbrief.org/rich-nations-could-see-double-climate-dividend-by-switching-to-plant-based-foods
/
/
/[ Associated Press ] /
*Deadly extreme weather year for US as carbon emissions soar*
By SETH BORENSTEIN - Jan 10, 2022
The United States staggered through a steady onslaught of deadly
billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in an extra hot 2021, while
the nation’s greenhouse gas emissions last year jumped 6% because of
surges in coal and long-haul trucking, putting America further behind
its 2030 climate change cutting goal.
Three different reports released Monday, though not directly connected,
paint a picture of a U.S. in 2021 struggling with global warming and its
efforts to curb it.
A report from the Rhodium Group, an independent research firm, on Monday
said that in 2021 America’s emissions of heat-trapping gas rebounded
from the first year of the pandemic at a faster rate than the economy as
a whole, making it harder to reach the country’s pledge to the world to
cut emissions in half compared to 2005 by 2030. And last year was the
deadliest weather year for the contiguous United States since 2011 with
688 people dying in 20 different billion-dollar weather and climate
disasters that combined cost at least $145 billion, the National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration said Monday...
- -
While 2020 set the record for the most billion-dollar disasters, in 2021
“the extremes seemed a bit more profound than in 2020,” Smith said.
Last year, billion dollar weather disasters were more than twice as
deadly as in 2020, when those extremes killed 262 people. The last
deadlier year was 2011. Hurricane Maria in 2017 killed nearly 3,000
people in Puerto Rico, which isn’t part of the contiguous United States...
- -
The last five years have cost $742 billion in 86 separate billion-dollar
weather disasters, an average of more than 17 a year, a new record.
That’s nearly $100 billion more than the combined total of all the
billion-dollar disasters from 1980 to 2004, adjusted for inflation and
far more the three billion-dollar disasters a year that the nation
averaged in the 1980s.
“That’s exactly what I’d expect with climate change because climate
change is essentially supercharging many types of extreme weather,
making heatwaves, droughts, wildfires, intense rainfall, flooding, and
storms more severe, destructive and deadly,” said Jonathan Overpeck,
dean of environmental studies at the University of Michigan, who wasn’t
part of the reports...
- -
Over the long-run, U.S. greenhouse gas emissions have been decreasing —
even with 2021’s jump from the sudden 2020 plunge. However, last year’s
emissions increases the difficulty in reaching the goal President Joe
Biden set as part of the Paris and Glasgow climate agreements, Larsen
said. She said to get to the 50% cut Biden pledged, the country needs to
be reducing emissions 5% a year, not increasing.
“We are running out of time,” she said.
Cornell University climate scientist Natalie Mahowald, who wasn’t part
of the reports, agreed.
“The radical changes in our economy that are required for reaching low
climate goals have not been achieved,” Mahowald said. “Unfortunately,
what we are seeing today is just the tip of the iceberg in terms of what
we will see unless substantial reductions in emissions are made and
quickly.”
__
Follow AP’s climate coverage at https://apnews.com/hub/climate.
https://apnews.com/article/climate-wildfires-science-business-health-61ed7fe7d3c52a70fe2b72c881b0d0cf
/[ undercounted money from bogus data ]/
*The Federal Government Is Still Undercounting Extreme Weather And
Climate Deaths*
NOAA announced that at least 688 people died from extreme weather in
2021, but BuzzFeed News has shown that the true toll is much higher.
Peter Aldhous, Zahra Hirji
January 10, 2022
At least 688 people died in major weather and climate disasters in the
continental US last year, making it the deadliest year for such events
since 2011, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
announced on Monday morning. But the true toll from last year’s
devastating extreme weather is actually much higher.
NOAA’s count only encompasses events that caused more than a billion
dollars in damage to buildings, other infrastructure, and assets,
including crops, which means that some deadly events in 2021 are
missing. Notably, it excludes the flash flooding that killed around 20
people in central Tennessee in August.
But more importantly, excess deaths analyses run by BuzzFeed News have
shown that NOAA’s numbers for fatalities in the two deadliest extreme
weather events of 2021 reflect only a fraction of the death toll.
NOAA counted 229 deaths from the extreme heat wave that hit the Pacific
Northwest in late June, and 226 from the blast of Arctic air that
enveloped much of the nation in mid-February — at least 210 of those in
Texas, where the winter storm caused widespread power outages. That left
millions of people in the freezing cold, many of them for several days.
(Texas has since increased its count of the deaths in the disaster to
246, also a major undercount.)
Our analyses of spikes in total deaths — revealed in state records
compiled by the CDC — show that around 670 people were likely killed by
excessive heat in Washington and Oregon in a single week at the height
of the heat wave, while more than 750 people likely perished in Texas as
a result of the winter storm and power outages. Many of these deaths
were missed in the official counts because they were attributed on death
certificates to underlying health conditions, especially cardiovascular
disease, that can be exacerbated by extremes of hot and cold...
- -
In reality, as BuzzFeed News reported last month, problems with
cause-of-death reporting and the difficulty accounting for the lethal
indirect effects of severe weather mean that no official sources are
capturing the full death toll caused by weather extremes. It’s a big
data gap that is hampering the nation’s ability to mitigate the effects
of climate change...
https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/peteraldhous/weather-extremes-climate-crisis-death-toll-2021
/[ Fire risk to western cities - on point radio show ]/
*How cities in the West can prepare for the Western wildfire threat*
January 10, 2022
Jess Yarmosky - - Meghna Chakrabarti
he Marshall Fire burned down entire neighborhoods in Superior and
Louisville Colorado.
"There are a lot of houses that are obviously missing from the
landscape," says Steve Sarin, a resident of the town.
WBUR is a nonprofit news organization and our coverage relies on your
financial support. Please give today.
Subdivisions in Denver and Boulder aren't the only densely populated
areas at risk in the West.
Now you have all these people, who live in these high-risk wildfire
regions, and we don’t have the capacity to fight fires in the way that
we have for the last hundred years," professor Erica Fischer says. "So
that's like kind of the paradox that we’re in."
Today, On Point: Wildfires and the city. How suburban and urban American
districts need to retrofit homes, development plans and regulations
right now as fire dangers grow...
https://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2022/01/10/colorado-the-wildfire-threat-of-the-west
/[ This could be for your first solar project - video ]/
*$642 24V Beginner Friendly DIY Solar System: Perfect for #vanlife*
DIY Solar Power with Will Prowse
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P_OKib30Ubo
/[ Letter from Siberia -- New Yorkers ]/
*The Great Siberian Thaw*
Permafrost contains microbes, mammoths, and twice as much carbon as
Earth’s atmosphere. What happens when it starts to melt?
By Joshua Yaffa
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2022/01/17/the-great-siberian-thaw
/[ part of the great resignation, or is it burn-out ]/
*Biden’s top environmental justice official just left the White House.
What now?*
Cecilia Martinez was the "heart, soul, and mind" of Biden's ambitious
environmental justice plans.
On Friday, President Joe Biden’s top environmental justice official left
the administration less than one full year into his presidency.
Cecilia Martinez, a 2020 Time Magazine 100 Most Influential People
recipient, told the Associated Press that she’s leaving the White House
to “rest and be with her family,” joining millions in the “Great
Resignation” spurred by the coronavirus pandemic. Martinez, who is
leaving her post as the senior director for environmental justice at the
Council on Environmental Quality, has largely been credited with shaping
much of Biden’s environmental justice aspirations. In 2020, she helped
develop then-candidate Joe Biden’s environmental goals and since his
election, she has helped push the administration to center disadvantaged
communities in its priorities.
“Cecilia has been the heart, soul, and mind of the most ambitious
environmental justice agenda ever adopted by a President,” Council on
Environmental Quality Chair Brenda Mallory wrote in a statement Thursday. ..
--
Recent environmental moves by the administration that have caused an
uproar include the decision to hold the largest-ever auction of oil and
gas drilling leases in the Gulf of Mexico’s history and letting oil flow
through the Line3 and Dakota Access pipelines...
https://grist.org/climate/head-of-bidens-environmental-justice-programs-to-leave-adminstration/
/[ innovation in New York state ]/
*From off-shore turbines to electric school buses: New York talks big on
climate*
Governor Hochul announced major climate ambitions in first state address.
https://grist.org/article/from-off-shore-turbines-to-electric-school-buses-new-york-talks-big-on-climate/
/[ shocking to see responsible action by courts ] /
*Development of ultra-luxury Northern California resort stopped due to
wildfire risk*
SFGATE - Jan. 7, 2022
A judge stopped the development of a massive ultra-luxury resort in
Northern California on Tuesday because developers failed to consider
what would unfold if a wildfire exploded and thousands of guests had to
escape raging flames.
- -
The ruling overrides the approval from the county board of supervisors
who saw the development as an economic opportunity for the region.
https://www.sfgate.com/bayarea/article/Lake-County-Guenoc-Valley-resort-wildfire-risk-16756752.php
- -
[read the 15 page court ruling ]
https://www.biologicaldiversity.org/programs/urban/pdfs/Guenoc-Valley-ruling.pdf
/[ try to imagine a different movie - discussion in the NYTimes ] /
*We Need a Second Cut of ‘Don’t Look Up’*
Jan. 8, 2022
By Ross Douthat - Opinion Columnist
The new movie “Don’t Look Up,” about a collision between a
planet-killing comet and a frivolous America, is something of a critical
failure — its score on RottenTomatoes.com is currently only 55 percent
fresh — but a clear cultural success. In a world where it’s hard for
non-superhero movies to hardly make a ripple, it has broken a Netflix
viewing record and launched an array of movie-critic arguments and
pundit takes — some of them politically unpredictable, including both
left-leaning critiques and right-leaning admiration.
Officially the movie is an allegory about climate change, a conceit that
its director, Adam McKay, has emphasized in online sparring with its
critics. “If you don’t have at least a small ember of anxiety about the
climate collapsing (or the U.S. teetering),” McKay tweeted recently,
“I’m not sure ‘Don’t Look Up’ makes any sense. It’s like a robot viewing
a love story. ‘WHy ArE thEir FacEs so cLoSe ToGether?’”
Art, though, has a way of escaping the intentions of its creators.
McKay’s tweets notwithstanding, his comet scenario is a lousy allegory
for the climate challenge, for reasons painstakingly elaborated by New
York Magazine’s Eric Levitz in one of the best responses to the movie as
a would-be policy intervention. But the pandemic that arrived before
production started turned out to be a better fit for the allegory — a
fast-moving and unexpected threat rather than a grinding long-term
challenge. And ultimately “Don’t Look Up” is most effective when it’s
just a movie about that parenthetical in McKay’s tweet — the idea of a
“teetering” America, with the specific existential threat almost
incidental to the portrait of systemic failure.
This is the biggest reason, I suspect, that the movie is a commercial
hit and conversation fodder even for people who dislike it: Because it
opens one of the widest lenses on American decadence since the years
when “The Wire” and “The Sopranos” were both on HBO.
Yet I’m still one of the critics who thought the movie failed in the
end, because its impulse to indict everyone, from TV news to social
media, is in tension with its desire to deliver a pious message about
Listening to Science. The latter impulse ensures that its satire is
gentlest when it takes on the expert class, the academic-industrial
complex. And its plot ultimately turns on a single terrible decision by
a populist president, the systemic critique sacrificed to ideological
point-scoring.
But since the movie is almost the comprehensive portrait of decadence we
need, I’m going to offer some script doctoring, and give you the cut of
“Don’t Look Up” that might have been, had somebody hired me to consult.
Here goes:
Act 1: The comet is discovered by amateur astronomy geeks who comb
telescope footage the government collects but doesn’t bother to examine.
Their findings are hyped by a mix of doomsday preppers and tech bros,
while academic authorities dismiss the claims as misinformation and
Twitter censors users who insist the comet is going to hit Earth.
Act 2: A group of Harvard astronomers confirm the comet’s dire
trajectory, and suddenly the media turns on a dime and begins hyping the
threat. But the president, a right-wing populist aiming for re-election,
prefers to postpone dealing with it, so she hypes an obscure
Bible-college astronomer who thinks the chance of impact is under 10
percent.
Act 3: After protests roil the country, the president reverses course
and announces a massive nuclear strike. However, the head of NASA, a
media darling, insists that blowing up the comet will rain down
fragments and kill too many people, and you need a more limited strike —
the subject of his own dissertation, as it happens — that knocks it off
course. Fox News vilifies him, but the mainstream media insists his
strategy is simply Science and no serious person could oppose it. So the
United States tries his plan — and it fails completely, because his
dissertation was actually based on fraudulent experiments that never
replicated outside his lab.
Act 4: Now the president orders the full blow-it-up strike, but it fails
as well — because most of the nukes don’t work, the military having
failed to inspect its arsenal because that part of the budget was spent
hiring TikTok influencers to do a new recruitment pitch for Gen Z. In
desperation, the government turns to an Elon Musk-style tech wizard,
whose Great Bore drill promises to deliver a warhead into the heart of
the comet. Unfortunately he supervises the mission himself, and it goes
fatally awry when he gets distracted by a Twitter flamewar.
Act 5: Out of options, part of America pretends the comet isn’t coming,
while another part joins a cult that holds mass repentance ceremonies
for white patriarchy’s sins. At the last minute, a collection of Chinese
drones ascend to meet the comet and dismember it, letting its pieces
fall into the Pacific to be mined by Chinese deep-sea robots — but a
shower “accidentally” hits the continental United States, knocking out
our infrastructure and leaving the world’s former superpower in the dark.
Roll credits, in Chinese. I’ll see you all at the Oscars.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/08/opinion/dont-look-up-decadence.html
/[ opinion seems fundamental ]/
*We can’t solve the climate crisis with a broken democracy*
Mark Hertsgaard
Defusing the climate emergency requires defusing threats to American
democracy
10 Jan 2022
Ayear ago last Thursday, Mitch McConnell and Kevin McCarthy were fleeing
for their lives as a violent mob swarmed the halls of the US Capitol.
With their personal safety at risk, the two most powerful Republicans on
Capitol Hill at last stood up to Donald Trump. In a heated phone call,
McCarthy, the House minority leader, fruitlessly implored the president
to call off the mob. Senate majority leader McConnell later called the
rioters “terrorists” and said Trump was “morally responsible” for the
violence.
But McConnell and McCarthy soon slunk back to enabling Trump’s assaults
on democracy. They were quiet while Trump insisted the 2020 election was
stolen and that anyone who disagreed must be purged from public office.
They stayed mute as Trump supporters threatened violence against
election officials and Republican-dominated state legislatures rewrote
laws and procedures to prevent fair voting...
- -
McConnell and McCarthy want the world to forget that a year ago Trump’s
mob was hunting them down, leading each man to stand up, briefly, for
democracy. But the world must not forget. The press in particular must
not allow McConnell, McCarthy and most other Republicans to obscure that
they are enabling the gravest threat to American democracy since the
civil war – and, by so doing, encouraging a hellish climate future.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/jan/10/democracy-big-lie-climate-crisis
/[ Opinion, is probably a yes ]/
//*Is the US uniquely bad at tackling climate change?*
After decades of failed climate bills, America seems to have a problem.
- -
According to the Climate Change Performance Index, the U.S. is 55th in
the world when it comes to climate policy; another analysis by Yale
University and Columbia University ranked the country 24th for
environmental performance. Now, as Democrats struggle to regroup after
current West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin’s refusal to support President
Joe Biden’s landmark climate and social welfare bill, it seems to be
happening again. The U.S. is within reach of passing climate policy, but
perilously close to falling short.
- -
The U.S. electoral system doesn’t help much either. The United States
has a presidential system, rather than a parliamentary system — meaning
that the president, or head of state, does not necessarily belong to the
same party as the majority of Congress. That means two branches of
government are often pulling in different directions, dooming bills to a
no man’s land of inaction. Studies have shown that parliamentary systems
are generally quicker to establish climate-friendly policies: Many
parliamentary democracies like the United Kingdom, Japan, and Germany
have already managed to establish carbon prices or similar
carbon-cutting measures, but there are exceptions, like the climate
policy-averse Australia.
- -
Karapin says the makeup of Congress tilts the country toward fossil fuel
interests: Two senators per state means that states dependent on oil and
gas or coal have disproportionate weight while less populous states gain
outsized representation in Congress. Several of those less populous
states — Wyoming, Alaska, the Dakotas — also have substantial fossil
fuel reserves.
Combine those barriers with an extremely polarized political system and
a powerful fossil fuel industry that can use cash to influence
politicians, and the United States’ idea of democracy doesn’t look like
a great place to enact positive climate policies.
But veto points and double representation are not inexorable. In the
right hands, they can even look like benefits. Separation of powers
means a struggle to pass national climate laws, but it can also allow
certain states, like California or Washington, to create climate
policies without federal support. The Supreme Court can shut down
executive actions to clean up the electricity sector, or can give the
president increasing powers to curb greenhouse gas emission, as in
Massachusetts v. EPA. ..
- -
All of that is to say that a U.S. failure on climate change isn’t
guaranteed. Today, global warming garners more attention than it has at
any point in the last three decades. In the last few years, climate
advocates have figured out how to bypass the filibuster and build a
large activist network for change. Mildenberger argues that — if
everything goes right — the U.S. also has opportunities to do much more
on climate than many other countries. Everything just has to line up for
one instant, for one vote. “There’s a capacity for transformative change
that there may not be in other countries,” he said. “It’s just hard to
get that recipe right.”
https://grist.org/politics/is-american-democracy-uniquely-bad-at-tackling-climate-change/
/[The news archive - looking back]/
*On this day in the history of global warming January 11, 2013*
January 11, 2013:
Media Matters notes: "After ignoring reports that 2012 was the hottest
year on record in the U.S., Rush Limbaugh and Fox Business host Stuart
Varney tried to push back against well-established evidence of climate
change by citing instances of cold weather."
http://mediamatters.org/blog/2013/01/11/conservatives-once-again-cite-extreme-cold-to-d/192202
/-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------/
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