[✔️] July 14, 2022 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

Richard Pauli Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Thu Jul 14 09:54:30 EDT 2022


/*July 14, 2022*/

/[  European heat-wave calamities   45C = 113°F  video ] /
*Scorching heat wave sparks wildfires in Europe*
- -Firefighters tackling blazes in Portugal, Spain and France
- -Tourists evacuated from campsites in France
- -Temperatures could test records in Portugal and Spain
LEIRIA, Portugal, July 13 (Reuters) - Thousands of firefighters battled 
more than 20 blazes that raged on Wednesday across Portugal and western 
Spain, menacing villages and disrupting tourists' holidays amid a heat 
wave that pushed temperatures above 45 degrees Celsius (113 degrees 
Fahrenheit) in some parts of Europe.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/wildfires-rage-heatwave-scorches-portugal-spain-2022-07-13/

- -

*Wildfires rip through Portugal*
15,754 views  Jul 12, 2022  In Portugal, wildfires have injured 29 people.
Thousands of firefighters and dozens of aircraft are dealing with the 
blazes as temperatures are  expected to reach 45 degrees Celsius.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O4-3T5VSTLs



/[  Academic study uncovers liability ] /
*U.S. emissions linked to over $1.8 trillion of global economic losses, 
study says*
Dartmouth study says there is a scientific basis for climate liability 
claims and has quantified each nation’s culpability
By Steven Mufson
July 12, 2022
The United States and China, the world’s two leading greenhouse gas 
emitters, are each responsible for more than $1.8 trillion of global 
income losses from 1990 to 2014, according to a new study that links the 
emissions in individual countries to the economic impacts of climate 
change in others. The report may bolster the scientific basis for legal 
claims for losses tied to global warming...
The Dartmouth College study, published in the journal Climatic Change, 
linked one nation’s emissions of heat-trapping gases to losses and gains 
in the gross domestic product of 143 countries for which data is 
available. It found that five of the world’s leading emitters of 
greenhouse gases caused $6 trillion of global economic losses through 
warming caused by their emissions from 1990 to 2014. Economic losses 
caused by Russia, India and Brazil exceeds $500 billion over that period 
for each of those three emitter countries.

“This research provides an answer to the question of whether there is a 
scientific basis for climate liability claims. The answer is yes,” said 
Christopher Callahan, a doctoral candidate at Dartmouth and an author of 
the study, in a statement. “We have quantified each nation’s culpability 
for historical temperature-driven income changes in every other country.”...
- -
“For the first time, we have been able to show clear and statistically 
significant linkages between the emissions of specific countries and 
historical economic losses experienced by other countries,” Callahan 
said. “This is about the culpability of one country to another country, 
not the effect of overall global warming on a country.”...
- -
White House climate envoy John F. Kerry said at the close of the Glasgow 
climate summit that he understood the push for loss and damage payments 
but that there was no spending mechanism.

The Dartmouth team believes its study “discredits the idea that climate 
mitigation is simply a ‘collective action problem,’ where no one country 
acting alone can have an effect on the impacts of global warming,” said 
Justin Mankin, an assistant professor of geography at Dartmouth and 
senior researcher on the study...
- -
“Scientists have previously described the historical economic effects of 
global warming, showing that climate change has benefited cooler, 
well-off countries and harmed warmer, less-well-off countries,” Callahan 
said. But, he said, they have not quantified the culpability of 
individual emitters. Another recent study quantified the effects that 
individual countries’ emissions can have on other countries’ 
temperatures but did not quantify the economic effects of these 
temperature changes.

“Our work can be seen as uniting these two disparate strains of work in 
a single integrated framework,” he said.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/07/12/united-states-china-global-economic-damages-emissions-study/

- -

/[ Dartmouth ]/
*Study Shows Economic Impacts of Greenhouse Gas Emissions*
Climate-warming activity from five countries caused $6 trillion in 
global losses.
A sound scientific basis exists for climate liability claims between 
individual countries, according to a Dartmouth study released today.

The study is the first to assess the economic impacts that individual 
countries have caused to other countries through their contributions to 
global warming. The research draws direct connections between cumulative 
emissions per nation of heat-trapping gases to losses and gains in gross 
domestic product in 143 countries for which data are available.

The study, published in the journal Climatic Change, provides an 
essential basis for nations to make legal claims for economic losses 
tied to emissions and warming, according to the researchers.

“Greenhouse gases emitted in one country cause warming in another, and 
that warming can depress economic growth,” says Justin Mankin, an 
assistant professor of geography and senior researcher of the study. 
“This research provides legally valuable estimates of the financial 
damages individual nations have suffered due to other countries’ 
climate-changing activities.”...
- -
The study sampled 2 million possible values for each country-to-country 
interaction. In total, 11 trillion values were calculated on a 
supercomputer operated by Dartmouth’s Research Information, Technology 
and Consulting.

“This is the first research to integrate and quantify all of the 
uncertainties in each step of the chain between emissions and economic 
impact,” says Callahan. “We are not addressing the question of whether 
fossil fuels have been good or bad for economic growth, but how to 
compensate for the damage caused by the warming from those emissions.”

According to the research team, future work can use the same analytical 
approach to determine the contribution of specific emitters, including 
individual corporations, to economic loss and gain...
https://home.dartmouth.edu/news/2022/07/study-shows-economic-impacts-greenhouse-gas-emissions

- -

/[ Published: 12 July 2022 ]/
*National attribution of historical climate damages*
Christopher W. Callahan & Justin S. Mankin
Climatic Change volume 172, Article number: 40 (2022) Cite this article
Abstract
Quantifying which nations are culpable for the economic impacts of 
anthropogenic warming is central to informing climate litigation and 
restitution claims for climate damages. However, for countries seeking 
legal redress, the magnitude of economic losses from warming 
attributable to individual emitters is not known, undermining their 
standing for climate liability claims. Uncertainties compound at each 
step from emissions to global greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations, GHG 
concentrations to global temperature changes, global temperature changes 
to country-level temperature changes, and country-level temperature 
changes to economic losses, providing emitters with plausible 
deniability for damage claims. Here we lift that veil of deniability, 
combining historical data with climate models of varying complexity in 
an integrated framework to quantify each nation’s culpability for 
historical temperature-driven income changes in every other country. We 
find that the top five emitters (the United States, China, Russia, 
Brazil, and India) have collectively caused US$6 trillion in income 
losses from warming since 1990, comparable to 14% of annual global gross 
domestic product; many other countries are responsible for billions in 
losses. Yet the distribution of warming impacts from emitters is highly 
unequal: high-income, high-emitting countries have benefited themselves 
while harming low-income, low-emitting countries, emphasizing the 
inequities embedded in the causes and consequences of historical 
warming. By linking individual emitters to country-level income losses 
from warming, our results provide critical insight into climate 
liability and national accountability for climate policy.
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-022-03387-y



/[  The Wine industry refuses to whine  -- positive video from Nick 
Breeze ] /
*Episode 1. Sustainability And Wine In Alentejo -*
July 13, 2022-  Sustainability In Alentejo Series - view transcript at: 
https://genn.cc/blog/alentejo-wine-ep1/
As Part of the Climate Genn podcast, I am publishing concurrently with 
my normal interviews, a series within a series every week for the next 8 
weeks called Sustainability & Wine in Alentejo, Portugal’s largest and 
most climate vulnerable region. This series is part of a larger project 
commissioned by the Wines of Alentejo Sustainability Programme with whom 
I have been collaborating for the past year.
Alentejo Episodes to be released 1 per week for 8 weeks:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=waR1eIs6NaY



/[The news archive - looking back]/
/*July 14, 2008*/
July 14, 2008: On MSNBC's "Countdown," fill-in host Rachel Maddow 
describes another controversy that has left the US feeling "Bushed":

    "Number one, serial driller-gate.  President Bush today lifted an
    executive order banning off-shore drilling.  It‘s an order that
    dates back to the other President Bush.  The move accomplishes
    nothing, because Congress still has its own ban in effect.  But
    that‘s not the only way we know this is pure politics.  According to
    Mr. Bush‘s own Energy Information Administration, off-shore
    production could not even start until five years after the off-shore
    sites were leased.  So that‘s 2013.  Off-shore sites could not
    significantly impact U.S. production until 18 years after leasing. 
    So that's 2026.

    "And the impact on prices from off-shore drilling when the oil
    finally starts flowing in 2026?  Because oil prices are set on a
    global market, the EIA says the offshore impact on prices would be,
    quote, insignificant.  But the political impact, priceless."

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PHvqjj3yeDA


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