[✔️] July 16, 2022 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

Richard Pauli Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Sat Jul 16 10:05:40 EDT 2022


/*July 16, 2022*/

/[ PBS summarizes Joe Manchin  - 6 min video ]/
*What Sen. Joe Manchin's rejection of new spending means for the climate 
change fight*
Jul 15, 2022  President Biden is sharply ratcheting back his 
expectations Friday for a major economic aid package. This comes as 
Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin has ruled out backing key funding proposals 
for his party's action on climate change. Lisa Desjardins joins William 
Brangham for more on this blow to Biden's domestic agenda.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=heIZzpDA0mY

- -

/[  $tinker Joe  ]/
*Joe Manchin Is the Ultimate Gaslighter*
The Democratic senator’s monthslong waffling foreshadows the future of 
the fossil fuel playbook.
By Molly Taft
July 15, 2022
A lot of us have dated Joe Manchin.
I mean, yuck, not literally. But in watching this coal millionaire take 
a torch to any sort of future hope for federal climate policy in the 
U.S., it’s hard not to think of other gaslighters I’ve known.

In the early hours of Friday morning, the news broke that Manchin told 
Democratic leaders Thursday that he would not support climate provisions 
in President Biden’s Build Back Better Act. (He also nixed his support 
for increased taxes on the wealthy, because he is leaning into being a 
cartoon villain.)
This is the culmination of months of cat-and-mouse behavior from 
Manchin, whose “maybe” vote has dragged out the passage of this package 
thanks to his deciding presence in a split Senate. In increasing fits of 
desperation, Democrats kept lowering their standards for Manchin’s 
preferences, gutting and slashing climate provisions left and right 
based on his whims—kind of like how you really want some guy to like 
you, so accept him coming over at weird hours, or not introducing you to 
his friends, or leaving you on read for days.
This dude is paid by fossil fuel interests that do not want to see 
meaningful climate action. A coal waste resale company owned by Manchin 
that feeds one (troubled) dirty plant has raked in $5 million in profits 
for the senator and his wife since 2010. Powerful electric utilities, 
several of which were opposed to certain renewable energy provisions in 
the Build Back Better Act, are also Manchin’s buddies, and have paid him 
handsomely for his service. In an exposé of Exxon’s lobbying practices 
aired last summer, a lobbyist for the company referred to Manchin as a 
“kingmaker” and said he spoke with his office every week; Exxon and 
trade groups it’s a part of have been powerful forces lobbying against 
Build Back Better. You can tell a lot about a guy by his friends, and if 
they’re all assholes who live large on dirty money, chances are he’s the 
same.
Leftist groups like the Sunrise Project have made their extreme 
displeasure with Manchin—and with Democratic leadership for trusting 
him—known throughout this entire process. But some centrist commenters 
have encouraged the public to have faith in Manchin and other actors who 
want “sensible” climate action. In a column from March, author and noted 
big-brain boy Matt Yglesias argued that climate advocates critiquing 
fossil fuel control of Washington were the ones stalling real progress, 
explaining that Manchin is “not terrible on climate issues” because he 
doesn’t deny the science—perhaps the lowest bar to ever be set in the 
history of low bars.

Manchin himself has helped launder this image of being a moderate on 
climate action partly through his own dawdling on Build Back Better 
itself. He’s leaned hard on solutions favored by fossil fuel companies, 
like carbon capture and storage, while seeming to make small concessions 
on issues like methane—enough to keep Democratic leadership hooked on 
the possibility of him coming around. It’s similar to when the guy 
you’re dating claims he’s a feminist, even though he refers to his mom 
as a bitch and all his exes as “crazy.”

There’s a lot of political crystal-ball gazing that I’m sure Washington 
analysts will be parsing ad nauseam in the weeks to come. But 
importantly, it seems clear to me that this behavior—pretending to be in 
favor of climate “solutions” and “not denying the science” while 
stalling actual progress for the benefit of your fossil fuel buddies—is 
going to be easily replicated by politicians across the political 
spectrum. Democratic leaders seem to expect anti-climate politicians to 
be rejecting science left and right, when in reality fossil fuel 
companies and their allies have made huge rhetorical shifts in how they 
present themselves.

When even Exxon has a net-zero plan, it’s no longer the move to publicly 
deny the science; rather, delay is the name of the game. The new fossil 
fuel playbook is about questioning the efficacy of the very real, very 
radical policies that we so desperately need right now, and presenting 
false hope in the form of “solutions” like natural gas and carbon 
capture that polluters are more comfortable with. Manchin’s techniques 
may set the stage for a generation of savvy fossil-fuel-funded allies to 
keep climate action at a standstill while earning brownie points for 
seeming “concerned” about the issue. And based on how we saw Democratic 
leadership cater to Manchin, they will be the first ones to be fooled, 
time and time again.

Buckle up, everyone. It’s about to get a lot more gaslight-y out there.
https://gizmodo.com/joe-manchin-is-the-ultimate-gaslighter-1849182888

- -

/[ Perhaps a Senator from West Virginia needs a prognostication from The 
National Weather Center - a US agency ]/
*Climate Prediction Center --  Climate News*
- - CPC Key Messages: Extreme heat to continue to impact the central 
U.S., Drought conditions may rapidly worsen in some areas (14 Jul 2022)
- - La Niña conditions are favored to continue through the end of the 
year (14 Jul 2022)
- - 47th Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop Announcement (15 
Apr 2022)
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/



/[ CNN offers a fascinating science fiction idea - predicting the future 
- as science reality today ]/
*A hypothetical weather forecast for 2050 is coming true next week*
Angela Fritz, CNN Senior Climate Editor
July 15, 2022
(CNN)Two years ago, forecasters in the UK conducted an interesting 
thought experiment: What will our forecasts look like in 2050?

The climate crisis is pushing weather to the extreme all over the world, 
and temperatures in the northern latitudes have been particularly 
sensitive to these changes. So meteorologists at the UK Met Office -- 
the official weather forecast agency for the UK -- dove in to the super 
long-range climate models in the summer of 2020 to see what kind of 
temperatures they'd be forecasting in about three decades.

"Not actual weather forecast," the Met Office's graphics said. "Examples 
of plausible weather based on climate projections."
Well, on Monday and Tuesday, the "plausible" becomes reality -- 28 years 
early.

Simon Lee, an atmospheric scientist at Columbia University in New York, 
noted the striking similarity between the 2050 outlook and the forecast 
for early next week in the UK.

"Today, the forecast for Tuesday is shockingly almost identical for 
large parts of the country," Simon tweeted, adding in a later post that 
"what is coming on Tuesday gives an insight into the future."

In 30 years, this forecast will seem rather typical.

Temperatures are forecast to run 10 to 15 degrees warmer than normal 
early next week in the UK. Highs could approach 40 degrees Celsius 
(around 104 degrees Fahrenheit) for the first time -- a prediction that 
prompted meteorologists there to issue a "red" heat warning for the 
first time ever.

To be clear, this would be truly record-breaking heat. The country's 
hottest temperature ever measured was 38.7 degrees Celsius at the 
Cambridge Botanic Garden in 2019.
It's also clearly a sign of how rapidly the climate crisis is altering 
our weather.

"We hoped we wouldn't get to this situation," the Met Office's climate 
attribution scientist Nikos Christidis said in a statement. "Climate 
change has already influenced the likelihood of temperature extremes in 
the UK. The chances of seeing 40°C days in the UK could be as much as 10 
times more likely in the current climate than under a natural climate 
unaffected by human influence."

The chance of exceeding 40 degrees is "increasing rapidly," Christidis said.

This is about more than a few uncomfortable days. Extreme heat is among 
the most deadly weather events -- we just don't tend to see it happening 
in the moment, when heat stroke and death are attributed to underlying 
conditions like heart illness or respiratory disease.

And recent reports would suggest no more than 5% of UK homes have air 
conditioning to help keep residents cool.

We saw a shockingly similar situation play out in the United States just 
last summer, when the Pacific Northwest was plagued with extreme heat 
for days. Hundreds of people died in that heatwave. Officials in British 
Columbia noted that more than 800 "excess deaths" occurred during the 
heat -- deaths that were unexpected and far from the norm for that time 
of year.
Unlike flooding or wildfires destroying a town, the sense of urgency 
around a deadly heat wave is not so dramatic, said Kristie Ebi, a 
climate and health researcher at the University of Washington, 
underscoring that heat is a "silent killer."

"When it's hot outside, it's just plain hot outside — and so it's a 
relatively silent killer," Ebi previously told CNN. "People are 
generally unaware and don't think about the risks associated with these 
high temperatures."

She also said that it's important to understand that the climate is not 
like what it was even just a few years ago. The climate crisis is 
already affecting our lives today, and it will continue to hit the most 
vulnerable.

"We all look forward to the summer as we enjoy the warmer temperatures, 
but there are people who are at risk at higher temperatures," she said. 
"As the climate continues to change or higher temperatures get higher 
than what we experienced when we were younger, people need to pay more 
attention, particularly to those around you."

CNN's Rachel Ramirez contributed reporting to this analysis.
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2022/07/15/weather/2050-uk-forecast-comes-true-in-2022/index.html


/[speaking of reality ]/

*On climate, Democrats and Republicans don’t inhabit the same reality*
In the US, partisans even disagree about whether we've had extreme weather.
JOHN TIMMER - 7/15/2022,

https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/07/us-support-for-environmental-policies-fading-as-political-gap-remains-huge/

- -

/[  Pew studies ] /
*Biden Is Losing His Base on Climate Change, a New Pew Poll Finds. Six 
in 10 Democrats Don’t Feel He’s Doing Enough*
Despite a sharp partisan divide on climate, support for renewable energy 
and a carbon tax on corporations cuts across both Democrats and Republicans.
By Marianne Lavelle
July 14, 2022
Democrats who favor strong action on climate change are deeply 
dissatisfied with what they see as the slow pace of progress under 
President Joe Biden, according to a Pew Research Center report released 
Thursday.

The survey of more than 10,000 adults conducted in early May showed a 
deep partisan divide over Biden’s climate policies—much in line with the 
split between Democrats and Republicans that has shown up in public 
opinion polling for more than a decade. But a trend that is potentially 
ominous for the White House emerged in the views of the Democratic base.

Among Democrats who back the overall direction of Biden’s climate 
policies, 61 percent said the administration could be doing a lot more. 
Democrats don’t seem sympathetic to arguments that Biden’s hands are 
tied, for example, by an uncooperative Congress or the conservative 
courts; only 37 percent of Democrats who favor strong action to counter 
climate change said they think the administration is doing about as much 
as can be expected.

“You get the sense from the data that there is frustration or 
disappointment that more has not been done,” said Cary Funk, director of 
science and society research for Pew. ..
- -
While younger and older Democrats alike see the need for climate action, 
there is also a generation gap among Republicans, according to Pew. 
Among Republicans aged 18 to 29, 47 percent say the federal government 
is doing too little to reduce the effects of climate change, compared 
with just 18 percent of Republicans 65 and older. ..
- -
Indeed, the Pew survey showed that 71 percent of Americans say their 
local communities have experienced at least one of five forms of 
“extreme weather” in the past year, although Pew didn’t use that term in 
its question, since it could be viewed by some as politically charged, 
said Funk. More than 40 percent said they had experienced floods, 
intense storms or long periods of unusually hot weather, while 31 
percent experienced droughts or water shortages and 21 percent endured 
major wildfires. Rising sea levels that erode shorelines were reported 
by 16 percent of those polled by Pew.
- -
The new Pew survey indicates that sentiment is prevalent in the 
Democratic base, a sign Biden can only view as worrisome ahead of an 
election where the party risks losing Congress. That, in turn, would 
make climate action all the more difficult, given the partisan divide 
the research shows.
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/14072022/biden-pew-poll-democrats-republicans/ 


- -

/[ Pew Research Center --  clips from their report ]/
JULY 14, 2022
*Americans Divided Over Direction of Biden’s Climate Change Policies*
Several climate policies receive bipartisan support, despite Republicans 
and Democrats differing on overall approach
More than a year into Joe Biden’s presidency, the public is divided over 
the administration’s approach to climate change: 49% of U.S. adults say 
the Biden administration’s policies on climate change are taking the 
country in the right direction, while 47% say these climate policies are 
taking the country in the wrong direction...
- - 
https://www.pewresearch.org/science/2022/07/14/americans-divided-over-direction-of-bidens-climate-change-policies/ps_2022-07-14_climate-change-policies_00-01/ 

Ratings of Biden’s approach to climate change – and the federal 
government’s role dealing with the issue – are deeply partisan. A 
majority of Republicans and independents who lean to the GOP (82%) say 
Biden’s climate policies are taking the country in the wrong direction. 
Among Democrats and Democratic leaners, most say Biden is moving the 
country in the right direction on climate policy (79%).

But in a sign of Democratic frustration with progress tackling climate 
change, there’s discontent within the party even among those who say 
Biden’s policies are taking the country in the right direction. Among 
Democrats who back the direction of the administration’s climate 
policies, 61% say the administration could be doing a lot more on 
climate; far fewer (37%) say they are doing about as much as can be 
expected.

While the public is divided over Biden’s approach to climate change, a 
majority of Americans continue to see room for more federal action on 
the issue: 58% say the federal government is doing too little to reduce 
the effects of global climate change, compared with just 18% who say it 
is doing too much (22% say it is doing about the right amount). Here 
again, partisan differences are wide, with Democrats much more likely 
than Republicans to say the federal government is doing too little to 
reduce the effects of climate change (82% vs. 28%).

Despite these polarized attitudes, the Pew Research Center survey of 
10,282 U.S. adults conducted from May 2 to 8, 2022, finds broad public 
agreement on some specific policies to address climate change. A large 
majority of Americans (90%) say they favor planting about a trillion 
trees to absorb carbon emissions to help reduce the effects of climate 
change, and 79% favor providing a tax credit to encourage businesses to 
develop technology to capture and store carbon emissions. Both of these 
policies are backed by sizable majorities of Republicans and Democrats 
alike...
- -
Climate change is making extreme weather events more frequent and 
severe. A majority of Americans (71%) say their community has 
experienced at least one of five forms of extreme weather in the past 
year, including severe weather such as floods or intense storms (43%), 
long periods of unusually hot weather (42%), droughts or water shortages 
(31%), major wildfires (21%), or rising sea levels that erode shorelines 
(16%).

Large shares of Americans who say their communities have been impacted 
see climate change as contributing to these extreme weather events. For 
example, among the 42% of Americans who say they have experienced 
unusually hot weather in the last year, 61% say climate change 
contributed a lot and 30% think it contributed a little. Across all five 
forms of extreme weather included in the survey, more than eight-in-ten 
of those who say they’ve been impacted view climate change as having 
contributed a lot or a little to the event...
- -
Other key findings include:
*A 55% majority opposes phasing out the production of new gasoline cars 
and trucks by 2035, while 43% are in favor.* Opposition is slightly 
higher today than it was in April 2021, when 51% opposed and 47% favored 
this idea. Partisans remain far apart on this proposal: 82% of 
Republicans and those who lean to the GOP say they oppose phasing out 
the production of new gas-powered vehicles by 2035, while 65% of 
Democrats and Democratic leaners say they favor this.

*42% of U.S. adults say they are very or somewhat likely to seriously 
consider purchasing an electric vehicle (EV). *About as many (45%) say 
they are not too or not at all interested in an EV. Interest in 
purchasing an EV is about the same as it was in the spring of 2021, 
before gas prices in the U.S. rose sharply from an average of $2.95 in 
April 2021 to $4.55 in May 2022. Roughly seven-in-ten of those at least 
somewhat likely to consider an EV in the future cite saving money on gas 
as well as helping the environment as reasons why.

*By 53% to 45%, Americans are more likely to view stricter environmental 
laws as worth the cost than to say they cost too many jobs and hurt the 
economy.* However, this view is less widely held today than it was in 
September of 2019, when about two-thirds (65%) said stricter 
environmental laws and regulations were worth the cost. Partisan 
divisions on this measure have widened over the last few years. 
Three-quarters of Republicans now say stricter environmental laws hurt 
the economy, up 20 percentage points from 2019. Among Democrats, 21% now 
say stricter environmental laws and regulations hurt the economy, up 
from 14% in 2019.

*Younger Democrats are more likely than older Democrats to express 
frustration with the administration on climate change.* Among Democrats 
ages 18 to 29, 26% say the Biden administration’s climate policies are 
taking the country in the wrong direction, compared with just 9% of 
Democrats 65 and older. And among Democrats who say the Biden 
administration is taking things in the right direction, those ages 18 to 
29 are also more likely than those 65 and older to say the Biden 
administration could be doing a lot more on climate change (73% vs. 54%).

*Lower-income adults as well as Black and Hispanic adults are especially 
likely to report environmental problems in their communities.* A 
majority of Americans see at least one of the environmental issues 
mentioned in the survey, such as water pollution and excessive waste and 
landfills, as a problem in their area. Lower-income adults and Black and 
Hispanic adults are more likely to see these problems in their 
communities than others in the U.S. For instance, 61% of lower-income 
adults say air pollution is a big or moderate problem in their local 
community, compared with smaller shares of middle- (45%) and 
higher-income adults (38%).

*Within the GOP, younger adults are more likely than older adults to see 
a need for federal government action or offer policy support on 
environmental and climate issues. *About two-thirds (64%) of Republicans 
ages 18 to 29 favor requiring power companies to use more energy from 
renewable sources; Republicans 65 and older are much less likely to 
support this policy (42%). This general pattern of greater support among 
younger Republicans is seen across many – but not all – climate and 
environmental policy questions.

*Large majorities of Americans remain broadly supportive of several 
policies to address climate change*
While Americans have mixed reactions to the Biden administration’s 
overall approach to climate policies, there continues to be broad public 
support for a range of specific proposals aimed at reducing the effects 
of climate change.

Chart shows two-thirds of Americans support incentives for more use of 
hybrid and electric vehicles
An overwhelming majority of U.S. adults (90%) support planting about a 
trillion trees to absorb carbon emissions. Majorities of Americans also 
support tax credits to businesses for developing carbon capture and 
storage technologies (79%) and requiring power companies to use more 
renewable energy (72%). About two-thirds favor taxing corporations based 
on their carbon emissions (68%) and incentives to increase the use of 
hybrid and electric vehicles (67%).
- -
*Majorities of Americans say the federal government is doing too little 
to protect water and air quality, address climate change*
On balance, Americans think the federal government is doing too little 
to address several key areas of environmental protection, such as air 
and water quality, and to reduce the effects of climate change...
- -
*Republicans and Democrats disagree over how much the federal government 
is doing to protect key aspects of the environment*
Democrats remain much more likely than Republicans to say the federal 
government is doing too little across key aspects of the environment.

Chart shows large majority of Democrats say the federal government isn’t 
doing enough on climate change
On climate change, about eight-in-ten Democrats (82%) say the federal 
government is doing too little, while just 13% say it is doing the right 
amount and few (4%) say it is doing too much. By contrast, larger shares 
of Republicans say the federal government is doing too much to address 
climate change than say it is doing too little (37% to 28%); 33% say it 
is doing about the right amount...
*- -*

*On balance, Americans think stricter environmental laws are worth the 
cost – but a growing share see too much economic downside*
When asked for their overall views, slightly more Americans say stricter 
environmental laws and regulations are worth the cost (53%) than say 
they cost too many jobs and hurt the economy (45%).

Chart shows by narrow margin, Americans more likely than not to say 
stricter environmental laws are worth the cost
The share of Americans who say stricter environmental laws and 
regulations cost too many jobs and hurt the economy is up 12 percentage 
points since 2019, when 33% expressed this view.

Rising concern about the economic impact of environmental laws has 
primarily grown among Republicans (though this view has also grown 
somewhat among Democrats)...
- -
*About seven-in-ten Americans say their local community has experienced 
extreme weather in past year*
Most Americans report that their local community has experienced some 
form of extreme weather in the past year. The most common experiences 
are severe weather, like floods or intense storms (43% say their 
community has experienced this in the past year) and long periods of 
unusually hot weather (42%). Smaller shares say that in the past 12 
months their local community has experienced droughts or water shortages 
(31%), major wildfires (21%) or rising sea levels that erode beaches and 
shorelines (16%). In all, 71% of Americans say they experienced at least 
one of these five kinds of weather events in the past year
- -
*Most Americans who say their local community has experienced extreme 
weather in the last year believe climate change was a contributing factor*
Chart shows among those whose local communities have experienced extreme 
weather, most say climate change contributed a lot or a little
Among the 42% of Americans who say their local community has experienced 
long periods of unusually hot weather, 61% say climate change 
contributed a lot to this event, while another 30% say climate change 
contributed a little. Just 8% do not see climate change as having played 
a role.

Similarly, among those who say their local community experienced major 
wildfires, 58% think climate change contributed a lot and 28% say 
climate change contributed a little.

In fact, large shares of those who report experiencing any of these five 
forms of extreme weather in the past year – including droughts, floods 
or intense storms, and rising sea levels – believe climate change 
contributed either a lot or a little.
- -
Black and Hispanic Americans continue to be more likely than White 
Americans to report each of these environmental problems in their 
communities. For example, 63% of Black Americans and 57% of Hispanic 
Americans say safety of drinking water is at least a moderate problem in 
their local community, compared with only 33% of non-Hispanic White 
Americans. There are significant gaps by race and ethnicity when it 
comes to other environmental problems, including air pollution.

Studies on environmental pollution have found that Black and Hispanic 
Americans are exposed to air pollution from a wide variety of sources, 
including construction and industry, more than White Americans.

Firsthand experiences with environmental problems also differ across 
levels of family income. Those with lower incomes are more likely to 
report environmental issues in their communities than those in middle- 
and upper-income families. For instance, a majority of lower-income 
Americans (58%) say the safety of drinking water is at least a moderate 
problem in their local community, compared with 37% of those in 
middle-income and 25% of those in upper-income families. Lower-income 
communities are among those at the greatest risk for unsafe drinking water.
- -
*55% of U.S. adults oppose phasing out gasoline cars by 2035*
Americans lean against the idea of phasing out gas-powered vehicles by 
2035: 55% say they oppose phasing out the production of new gasoline 
cars and trucks by 2035, compared with 43% who support this proposal...
- -
*About four-in-ten Americans would seriously consider an electric car 
for their next purchase*
When asked how likely they would be to seriously consider purchasing an 
electric vehicle (EV), 42% of Americans say they would be very or 
somewhat likely to seriously consider purchasing an electric vehicle. A 
slightly larger share (45%) say they would be not too or not at all 
likely to do this (13% say they do not plan to purchase a vehicle in the 
future)...
- -
Democrats are more inclined than Republicans to say they are at least 
somewhat likely to consider purchasing an EV. Younger adults within each 
party are more inclined than older adults to say they this.

Those living in urban areas (53%) are more likely than those in suburban 
areas (44%) to report interest in purchasing an electric vehicle. Those 
living in rural areas are among the least likely to say this (27%)...
- -
However, Republicans and Democrats agree that saving money on gas is a 
major reason to buy an electric car. Among those who would seriously 
consider purchasing an electric car, 73% of Republicans and 70% of 
Democrats say saving money on gas is a major reason why.
https://www.pewresearch.org/science/2022/07/14/americans-divided-over-direction-of-bidens-climate-change-policies/



/[The news archive - looking back]/
/*July 16, 1992*/
July 16, 1992: At the 1992 Democratic National Convention, Senator and 
Vice-Presidential nominee Al Gore notes:

    “I've spent much of my career working to protect the environment,
    not only because it is vital to the future of my State of Tennessee,
    our country and our earth, but because I believe there is a
    fundamental link between our current relationship to the earth and
    the attitudes that stand in the way of human progress. For
    generations we have believed that we could abuse the earth because
    we were somehow not really connected to it, but now we must face the
    truth. The task of saving the earth's environment must and will
    become the central organizing principle of the post-Cold War world.

    “And just as the false assumption that we are not connected to the
    earth has led to the ecological crisis, so the equally false
    assumption that we are not connected to each other has led to our
    social crisis.”

He also declares that President George H. W. Bush and Vice President Dan 
Quayle  “embarrassed our nation when the whole world was asking for 
American leadership in confronting the environmental crisis. It is time 
for them to go.”

http://www.c-spanvideo.org/program/27161-1

http://www.speeches-usa.com/Transcripts/al_gore-1992dnc.htm


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