[✔️] June 13, 2022 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

[Richard Pauli]

/*June  13, 2022*/

/[  ...hot areas of fire potential ]/
*Red Flag Warnings in six states Sunday*
Bill Gabbert  - - June 12, 2022
Red flag warnings are in effect Sunday for locations in Nevada, Utah, 
Colorado, Texas, New Mexico, and Arizona. In New Mexico most of the 
warnings will last until Monday evening.
https://wildfiretoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Storm-Prediction-Center-June-12-2022-forecast.jpg
The forecast calls for winds gusting at more than 40 mph with 
single-digit relative humidity.
- -
“Red Flags” are just another forecast and often don’t materialize. Just 
like a Spot Weather forecast, if you’re not seeing it, call the NWS fire 
desk and give ’em a whatfer. They are also just a measure of airmass 
moisture and not fuels. It could rain 8″ on a Thursday and the NWS will 
spit out a red flag for Friday. We need to stop putting so much emphasis 
on Red Flags. It seems the NWS spits out Red Flags daily these days.
https://wildfiretoday.com/2022/06/12/red-flag-warnings-in-six-states-sunday/

/- -
/

/[  Getting warmer ] /
*Heat wave breaks records as more than 70 million under warnings*
Andrew Freedman  - - June 12, 2022
More than 70 million are under heat warnings and advisories this weekend 
through early next week as a potent heat dome sends temperatures soaring 
to levels the National Weather Service is calling "potentially deadly."

*The big picture: *The heat wave, made worse by a long-term, climate 
change-influenced drought, shows signs of eventually swelling into the 
middle of the country and then eastward through next week.

*Why it matters:* Extreme heat is the deadliest weather-related hazard 
in the U.S. each year, and climate change is making these events more 
likely, severe and long-lasting.
The public health threat of this particular heat wave is especially 
elevated because of the high overnight minimum temperatures, which in 
many locations are breaking records. For example, at 1 a.m. local time 
Saturday morning, Phoenix was still at 100°F.
"Extreme and deadly heat will continue through this weekend," the NWS 
forecast office in Phoenix stated, noting the "minimal overnight 
recovery." Forecasters noted that Phoenix may see its earliest-ever 90°F 
overnight low temperature.
Of note: The city has opened numerous cooling centers for those without 
access to air conditioning.
*By the numbers:* Heat advisories blanket nearly the entire state of 
Texas and Oklahoma, and extend as far east as Tennessee.
These advisories and a more serious warning, known as an excessive heat 
warning, also are in place all the way to the West Coast, with 
triple-digit heat roasting California's Central Valley.Daily temperature 
records already have been set beginning Friday, and more are likely to 
fall Saturday and beyond. Overall, temperature departures from average 
during this heat wave are about 10 to 20°F or more above normal for this 
time of year.
*Friday's record highs included:*

    109°F: Las Vegas.
    123°F: Death Valley, Calif., where the hottest temperature in the
    world was recorded...one of the earliest 123-degree readings ever
    recorded in the U.S.
    113°F: Phoenix.
    103°F: Austin.
    100°F: Albuquerque
    98°F: Houston

*What's next: *High temperatures in the Southwest are likely to peak 
Saturday and Sunday, before the core of the high-pressure area, or heat 
dome, shifts eastward and parks itself over the Tennessee River Valley.

The clockwise air circulation around this high will pump hot and humid 
air northward. The National Weather Service is forecasting high 
temperatures on Tuesday into the upper 90s as far north as Chicago and 
Minneapolis, with triple-digit heat potentially reaching Iowa.
Computer model projections show that the heat may not relent for parts 
of the Central U.S., South and Southeast until next week, before the 
heat potentially slides back to the West.
Context: More frequent and severe heat waves are one of the clearest 
manifestations of human-caused global warming, studies show.

In multiple instances, including last year's deadly Pacific Northwest 
heat wave, researchers have found that extreme heat events are occurring 
today that would be virtually impossible without human-caused global 
warming...
https://www.axios.com/2022/06/11/heat-wave-breaks-records-southwest-texas-arizona 


- -/
/

///[  proposal to rank and name heatwaves ]/
*Heat waves could soon have names*
Jennifer A. Kingson
Driving the news: This month Seville, Spain is poised to become the 
first city to start naming severe heat waves.

Five other cities — Los Angeles; Miami; Milwaukee; Kansas City, 
Missouri; and Athens — have also started piloting a similar initiative, 
using weather data and public health criteria to categorize heat waves.
They'll use a three-category system that organizers want to standardize. 
Each city's system will be tailored to its particular climate.
A "category three" heat wave in L.A., for example, will look and feel 
quite different from the same designation in Milwaukee.
"Some of the places least accustomed to heat are the most at risk," says 
Kathy Baughman McLeod, director of the Adrienne Arsht-Rockefeller 
Foundation Resilience Center (known colloquially as Arsht-Rock), which 
is spearheading efforts to name and categorize heat waves.

Details: Under the warning system starting up in the six global cities, 
"category one" is the least severe, while "category three" would be "the 
top 10% of terrible heat waves," said Larry Kalkstein, Arsht-Rock's 
chief heat science adviser.
- -
Each participating city "has a different set of formulas" that will 
determine what the categories look like, based in part on their urban 
structure, Kalkstein said. For example: Philadelphia has lots of brick 
row homes with black tar roofs that trap heat.
Any of the designations would ideally prompt city pools to open, outdoor 
sports to be curtailed, emergency heat lines to be activated, and 
workers to go door-to-door checking on the elderly and at-risk.
Where it stands: Arsht-Rock and its two-year-old Extreme Heat Resilience 
Alliance are pressing the National Oceanic and Atmospheric 
Administration (NOAA) and the World Meteorological Organization to make 
naming and ranking of heat waves standard practice.

NOAA operates the U.S. National Weather Service, which — so far — favors 
early warning systems but not a naming system.
The National Weather Service tells Axios that while it "does not name 
heat waves," it does "appreciate the value of continued research and 
engagement to further our understanding of and response to extreme heat 
and other weather events."
https://www.axios.com/2022/06/08/hurricanes-wildfires-heat-waves-names-categories

- -

/[ covering the tipping point ]/
*Megadrought causes perilously low water levels at Lake Mead*
Jun 2, 2022  The megadrought currently choking the western United States 
is the worst drought in the region in more than 1,000 years. It's having 
an enormous impact across many states and on several major reservoirs 
including Lake Mead, a water source for millions of people in the West. 
Alex Hager, who covers the Colorado River Basin for Northern Colorado 
Public Radio, joins Geoff Bennett to discuss.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NUiXzDkK5ms

- -

/[ L//ong predicted c//ounter-factuality,  now predicting a dryer 
average - PBS 6 min video ] /
*Western states face a bleak future amid the worst drought in more than 
1,000 years*
Feb 15, 2022  The so-called megadrought that is afflicting the American 
West is the worst in 1,200 years, according to a study published this 
week. It has dried up water supplies, threatened ranchers and fueled 
wildfires. Park Williams, the lead author of the study just published in 
the journal Nature Climate Change, joins William Brangham with more.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yyPXpIqyKRM



/[ the tides are just really slow waves -- as seen in time-lapse] /
*The Hopewell Rocks - OFFICIAL Time Lapse video of 45.6 foot tide*
Oct 13, 2010  The Hopewell Rocks Tidal Exploration Site is a fantastic 
place to experience the Bay of Fundy's world famous tides. To help our 
guests understand a full tide cycle, we set up a camera and took 1 
photograph per minute from before sunrise until after sunset.  The 
resulting 926 photos were then each used as a frame of video to create 
this glimpse of the world's largest tides. To fully appreciate this 
natural wonder, come spend a day with us on the ocean floor.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EnDJ6_XpGfo
- -
*Very Dangerous Morecambe Bay tide , time lapse , Apr 16. Super high 
tide in 48 seconds!*
Apr 10, 2016  Time lapse taken with an iPhone 6s plus. Approximately 2.5 
hours high tide in 48 seconds.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Maw-bi1_xYU



/[The news archive - looking back at tactical defeats ]/
/*June 13, 1993 */
June 13, 1993: The Baltimore Sun reports on the well-financed effort by 
libertarian activists and fossil-fuel industry lobbyists to stop the BTU 
tax.
http://articles.baltimoresun.com/1993-06-13/news/1993164025_1_btu-tax-energy-tax-gasoline-tax 



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