[✔️] June 16, 2022 - Daily Global Warming News Digest

[Richard Pauli]

/*June  16, 2022*/

/[  long duration heat and humidity -- it's climate change ] /
*Dangerously Hot Weather Descends on 60 Million Americans*
A large swath of the U.S. population was under an extreme heat warning, 
with high temperatures breaking daily records in multiple cities this week.
By Livia Albeck-Ripka and Derrick Bryson Taylor - - Updated June 16, 
2022, 8:19 a.m. ET
Millions of people were expected to suffer through blistering conditions 
again on Thursday with heat-related warnings and advisories in effect, 
mostly in the Midwest and Southeast, the National Weather Service said, 
adding that it may take weeks to see relief.

More than 60 million people from Southern California to West Virginia 
and as far south as Florida were under an excessive heat warning or heat 
advisory, meteorologists said. Residents in several states on Wednesday 
saw temperatures rise well into the 90s, and in some cases into the 
100s, according to forecasters at the National Weather Service. They 
said hot temperatures were likely to persist across large sections of 
the country for several days.

By 9 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday, 17 weather stations had already broken 
their high temperature records for June 15, said Bryan Jackson, a 
forecaster with the National Weather Service, including those in Chicago 
(96 degrees), Atlanta (99), and Lansing, Mich., (95).
- - https://twitter.com/NWSNorman/status/1536753398653001732
In Macon, Ga., temperatures rose to 104, a four-degree increase from the 
previous record for the date, set in 2011, Mr. Jackson said. Nine 
additional cities tied their records for the day.
“When you break record highs in June, it is pretty significant,” he 
added. “This is a particularly hot air mass that’s across the 
east-central U.S.”
Steamy conditions were also forecast across portions of southwest 
Indiana, southeast Missouri, western Kentucky and Southern Illinois, 
where an excessive heat warning was in place through Thursday evening. 
Heat indexes will top out around 110 degrees. The Weather Service in 
Tallahassee, Fla., said the heat index was expected to rise up to 112 
degrees and warned that soaring temperatures and high humidity may cause 
heat-related illnesses. Most of Arkansas, Missouri and parts of Kansas 
were also expected to be equally uncomfortable.

The soaring temperatures appear to be part of a hot weather pattern 
settling over the lower 48 states ahead of the official start of summer 
next week. Over the weekend, a scorching heat wave brought record high 
temperatures to 16 cities from the Southwest to the Southern Plains, and 
portions of the Southwest and South Texas saw dangerously high 
temperatures last week.

Next week, much of the east-central United States will continue to 
experience excessive heat, according to the National Weather Service.
Parts of eastern Texas, northern Louisiana and the Middle Mississippi, 
Ohio, and Tennessee valleys as well as the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast 
regions were also at risk of “rapid onset drought” from late next week, 
the Weather Service added.

Parts of the central Great Basin and the Southwest will also experience 
enhanced wildfire risk on Saturday, according to the service’s Weather 
Prediction Center.

In Kansas, about 2,000 cattle died over the weekend from the heat and 
humidity, said Matthew Lara, a spokesman for the Kansas Department of 
Health and Environment. “There wasn’t a lot of wind to help cool them,” 
Mr. Lara said of the animals. “It was just too hot.”

About 165,000 residents in Odessa, Texas, which faced temperatures above 
100 degrees this week, have been without potable water for much of the 
week because of a water line break, officials said. By early Thursday, 
the city’s water plant was back online, and officials warned residents 
that the boil water notice would remain in place. In the interim, the 
Texas Division of Emergency Management was distributing bottled water.

Heat waves are becoming more frequent, hotter and longer lasting than in 
previous decades, scientists say. While tying a single one to climate 
change requires scientific analysis, the federal National Climate 
Assessment noted in 2018 that the frequency of heat waves had jumped 
from an average of two per year in the 1960s to six per year by the 
2010s. The heat-wave season in the United States has stretched to 45 
days longer than it was in the 1960s, according to the report.

This year seems likely to fit the trend. Much of the country will 
continue to see above-normal temperatures through nearly the end of 
June, meteorologists said. And a recent climate trend report from the 
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said above-normal summer 
temperatures were likely across the contiguous United States through 
August, except for small areas in the Pacific Northwest and Northern Plains.

Excessive heat has become the norm in places around the world, and 
researchers have already started examining the ways in which extreme 
heat affects a range of people in intense environments, from athletes 
and soldiers to ordinary people. Scientists hope their work will help us 
better understand how many more people will be afflicted by heat-related 
ailments, how frequent and severe their suffering will be and how to 
best protect the most vulnerable populations.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/15/us/heat-wave-midwest-southeast.html



/[ Faster than expected  ]/
*'Off the Scale': Warmer Arctic Ocean Fueling Climate Feedback Loop 
Faster Than Previously Known*
"This is one of the scariest reports I have ever seen," said one climate 
scientist in response to new study.
JON QUEALLY - - June 15, 2022
New scientific research published Wednesday shows the waters in the 
North Barents Sea are warming at a rate that is much more rapid than 
most climate models have predicted, with worrying implications about 
feedback loops for the larger Arctic region and far beyond.

Extending between the north coast of Norway and Russia in the eastern 
Arctic Ocean, the North Barents Sea has been warming at a rate nearly 
seven times that of the global average, the study shows. The researchers 
used temperature data over four decades to determine that the trends in 
the region—the "fastest warming place known on Earth"—should be seen as 
an "early warning" of what could happen elsewhere...
- -
According to Dr. Ruth Mottram, a climate scientist at the Danish 
Meteorological Institute who was not part of the research team, "This 
study shows that even the best possible models have been underestimating 
the rate of warming in the Barents Sea."

"We seem to be seeing it shifting to a new regime, as it becomes less 
like the Arctic and more like the North Atlantic," she told the 
Guardian. "It's really on the edge right now and it seems unlikely that 
sea ice will persist in this region for much longer."
https://www.commondreams.org/news/2022/06/15/scale-warmer-arctic-ocean-fueling-climate-feedback-loop-faster-previously-known

- -

[ the Guardian reports on the Arctic ]
*New data reveals extraordinary global heating in the Arctic*
Temperatures in the Barents Sea region are ‘off the scale’ and may 
affect extreme weather in the US and Europe
New data has revealed extraordinary rates of global heating in the 
Arctic, up to seven times faster than the global average.

The heating is occurring in the North Barents Sea, a region where fast 
rising temperatures are suspected to trigger increases in extreme 
weather in North America, Europe and Asia. The researchers said the 
heating in this region was an “early warning” of what could happen 
across the rest of the Arctic.

The new figures show annual average temperatures in the area are rising 
across the year by up to 2.7C a decade, with particularly high rises in 
the months of autumn of up to 4C a decade. This makes the North Barents 
Sea and its islands the fastest warming place known on Earth.

Recent years have seen temperatures far above average recorded in the 
Arctic, with seasoned observers describing the situation as “crazy”, 
“weird”, and “simply shocking”. Some climate scientists have warned the 
unprecedented events could signal faster and more abrupt climate breakdown.

It was already known that the climate crisis was driving heating across 
the Arctic three times faster than the global average, but the new 
research shows the situation is even more extreme in places...
- -
“The broader message is that the feedback of melting sea ice is even 
higher than previously shown,” he said. “This is an early warning for 
what’s happening in the rest of the Arctic if this melting continues, 
and what is most likely to happen in the next decades.” The world’s 
scientists said in April that immediate and deep cuts to carbon 
emissions and other greenhouse gases are needed to tackle the climate 
emergency.

“This study shows that even the best possible models have been 
underestimating the rate of warming in the Barents Sea,” said Dr Ruth 
Mottram, climate scientist at the Danish Meteorological Institute, and 
not part of the team. “We seem to be seeing it shifting to a new regime, 
as it becomes less like the Arctic and more like the North Atlantic. 
It’s really on the edge right now and it seems unlikely that sea ice 
will persist in this region for much longer.”...
- -
“Sea ice loss and warming in the Barents Sea in particular have been 
isolated in previous work as being especially relevant to changes in 
winter-time atmospheric circulation that are tied to extreme winter 
weather events,” said Prof Michael Mann, from Pennsylvania State 
University, US. “If this mechanism is valid, and there’s some debate 
over that, then this is yet another way climate change could be 
increasing certain types of extreme weather events [and which] isn’t 
well captured by current models.”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/jun/15/new-data-reveals-extraordinary-global-heating-in-the-arctic

- -

/[ New heat in the Antarctic ]/
*Antarctica's 'Doomsday Glacier' is hemorrhaging ice faster than in the 
past 5,500 years*
By Ben Turner published about 18 hours ago
Ancient bones revealed how fast the melting ice raised the Antarctic 
shorelines.
- -
The finding comes from a study of prehistoric sea-deposits found on the 
shores surrounding the "doomsday" Thwaites Glacier and the neighboring 
Pine Island Glacier, both located on the West Antarctic Ice Sheet.  The 
chilling news?  Antarctica's glacial melt, driven by climate change, is 
advancing faster than ever before in recorded history, researchers have 
reported June 9 in the journal Nature Geoscience(opens in new tab).
- -
After dating penguin bones and shells from more than 20 different 
shorelines, the scientists found that the oldest and highest beach began 
to form roughly 5,500 years ago. From that moment in time until about 30 
years ago, ice loss exposed the shorelines at a rate of about 0.14 
inches (3.5 millimeters) each year, the researchers reported. But over 
the past three decades, the rate of shoreline advance has skyrocketed — 
up to 1.6 inches (40 mm) per year.

"Although these vulnerable glaciers were relatively stable during the 
past few millennia, their current rate of retreat is accelerating and 
already raising global sea levels," Rood said.

What this means for the future of Antarctica's glaciers and ice sheet — 
and vulnerable coastlines around the globe — is unclear. The 
researchers' findings, while alarming, don't address how many times the 
glaciers may have retreated and readvanced across recorded history. The 
scientists hope to figure this out by drilling through the ice to sample 
rock of the landmass underneath it, which could show if the current rate 
of melt is reversible, or if the glaciers have truly passed a point of 
no return.
https://www.livescience.com/penguin-bones-reveal-secrets-of-ddomsday-glacier

- -

/[ see the academic publication ]/
Published: 15 June 2022
*Exceptional warming over the Barents area*

    *Abstract*
    In recent decades, surface air temperature (SAT) data from Global
    reanalyses points to maximum warming over the northern Barents area.
    However, a scarcity of observations hampers the confidence of
    reanalyses in this Arctic hotspot region. Here, we study the warming
    over the past 20–40 years based on new available SAT observations
    and a quality controlled comprehensive SAT dataset from the northern
    archipelagos in the Barents Sea. We identify a statistically
    significant record-high annual warming of up to 2.7 °C per decade,
    with a maximum in autumn of up to 4.0 °C per decade. Our results are
    compared with the most recent global and Arctic regional reanalysis
    data sets, as well as remote sensing data records of sea ice
    concentration (SIC), sea surface temperature (SST) and
    high-resolution ice charts. The warming pattern is primarily
    consistent with reductions in sea ice cover and confirms the general
    spatial and temporal patterns represented by reanalyses. However,
    our findings suggest even a stronger rate of warming and SIC-SAT
    relation than was known in this region until now.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-13568-5



/[ somewhere in the middle of this one-hour conversation, I started to 
listen carefully ] /
David Roberts  - -   Jun 15, 2022
*Volts podcast: Johannes Ackva on effective climate altruism*
Say you’re a private individual (or a company, or a foundation) who 
cares about climate change and has some money to spend on it. What’s the 
best way to spend that money? How can you ensure the largest possible 
impact?

Similar questions about maximizing philanthropic impact have led to an 
entire field of study and practice known as “effective altruism,” which 
seeks to apply logical and empirical rigor to do-gooderism. But it is 
only very recently that effective altruists have turned their attention 
to climate change.
Thanks for reading Volts. Let me know what you think, and what you’d 
like to see more of, at david at volts.wtf.

Puzzling through the best way to spend money on climate.

Say you’re a private individual (or a company, or a foundation) who 
cares about climate change and has some money to spend on it. What’s the 
best way to spend that money? How can you ensure the largest possible 
impact?

    https://founderspledge.com/
    https://founderspledge.com/stories/changing-landscape
    https://founderspledge.com/funds/climate-change-fund

Similar questions about maximizing philanthropic impact have led to an 
entire field of study and practice known as “effective altruism,” which 
seeks to apply logical and empirical rigor to do-gooderism. But it is 
only very recently that effective altruists have turned their attention 
to climate change.

One of the leading EA voices on climate is Johannes Ackva. He’s a 
researcher at Founders Pledge, an organization through which business 
owners and entrepreneurs donate a portion of their earnings to charity. 
For years, Ackva has been thinking through the puzzle of how best to 
channel climate philanthropy, given the structure of the problem and the 
politics around it.

If you’re interested in what groups Founders Pledge has chosen for its 
donations, you can find a list on the website, but I was more interested 
in the thinking that led Ackva to those recommendations. Given the 
enormous spatial and temporal scales involved in climate change, the 
many social and political complexities, the extensive and irreducible 
uncertainties, how can a well-meaning donor have any confidence in their 
choices?

I found our conversation quite enlightening — a new lens through which 
to view this familiar problem — it and I think you will too.

Listen to the audio
https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxdUl2PojAU_TXwpqFfCA88uDrOsDtgnDFG5oWUtmIVCilFF3_9FnWS3U2bpvfc3o_Tcxk1omz0ELVNZ9zxyM3QCmtyRi3Sd0LnkkcQ-cEMhKHLI8xBQAJXdvlBC1FTWUVG98Jt-6KSjBrZqDEChMiD2D1GmBKKMQaEoYBSQCApCn4gLCyswQV_VKU9l0IxEYmL0EOjhMuauhbKjLncKjoa03YOmjtwZXfXF52h7Dy1j6xJ23ZSSXW21zGZg1b_NuOg5aMdB_r3aneIBDPiByi0YG_qvGt6zYTFn9wnd27WaZqzUBYXw0_A4G7Yw-ocn5ohuWU4vb2Q9edVstfwxldh-7WI_XRbonSb4eR27uK6OnKLJdsMpNvkul6WaL24SrpPbzaHZG87-b59IcltPqSLuItVCjIZ-7H6cWFoY1i9O2booy0glofN9Os1m8Plb2SWm7dkot8buMxB0Pz66Ce4OoDT517NJvxUnpL4f1bfX_bEa8FlX4-sHixRW9HBlRH0IPR8QIDvecSfomng4ZkIA-SBgjCCiIO9uoTTvxVwdaQlO1LNrVO3tK_kHbYi5KOKvZJmyIWiRSX4Y1jMY-DuxfNSKKHtIPKcmgj4hCAvCGZ2YfepVvStlWvr8sZGqYjTi-S6KYQ23R9jjO4K 




/[ News from January event]/
*Methane leak at Russian mine could be largest ever discovered*
About 90 tonnes of methane an hour were released from the Raspadskaya 
coalmine in January, data shows
Fiona Harvey Environment correspondent
Tue 14 Jun 2022
Possibly the world’s biggest leak of methane has been discovered coming 
from a coalmine in Russia, which has been pouring out the carbon dioxide 
equivalent of five coal-fired power stations.

About 90 tonnes an hour of methane were being released from the mine in 
January, when the gas was first traced to its source, according to data 
from GHGSat, a commercial satellite monitoring company based in Canada. 
Sustained over the course of a year, this would produce enough natural 
gas to power 2.4m homes.

More recently, the mine appears to be leaking at a lower rate, of about 
a third of the highest rate recorded in January, but the leak is thought 
to have been active for at least six months before January’s survey...
The leak, which comes from the Raspadskaya mine in Kemerovo Oblast, the 
largest coalmine in Russia, is about 50% bigger than any other leak seen 
by GHGSat since it started its global satellite monitoring in 2016. The 
company believes it is bigger than any leak yet traced to a single source.

Brody Wight, director of energy, landfill and mines at GHGSat, said that 
methane was an often overlooked side-effect of coalmining that added to 
the climate impact of burning coal. The Raspadskaya leak would add about 
25% to the greenhouse gas emissions of burning any coal produced from 
the mine, he estimated.

“We are seeing an increase in methane from this site generally, which 
could be the result of increased coal production, linked to global 
trends in coal use,” he said.

Russia is one of the world’s biggest sources of methane from fossil fuel 
extraction. The country’s gas infrastructure, including production 
facilities and pipelines, is notoriously leaky despite calls for the 
government to take action.

Paul Bledsoe, a former White House adviser to Bill Clinton and now with 
the Progressive Policy Institute in Washington DC, said: “Deeply cutting 
methane is the only sure way to limit near-term temperatures and prevent 
runaway climate change, yet every month brings new evidence that Russia 
is hiding the world’s most massive and destructive methane leaks. Putin 
is desperately hiding these enormous emissions so he can continue to 
profit from sales of Russian coal, oil and gas and fund his war-making 
regime. But those nations like China who continue to buy Putin’s oil and 
gas are equally abetting his climate and war criminality.”
Venting methane can be done for safety reasons. However, there are ways 
of capturing methane when it is produced at a high rate, or venting 
through oxidisation, so that it causes less harm to the climate.

Methane is about 80 times more powerful as a greenhouse gas than carbon 
dioxide, though it degrades in the atmosphere over about 20 years. In 
February, the International Energy Agency warned that most countries 
were under-reporting their methane emissions, and the true amounts 
pouring into the atmosphere were far greater than had been thought.

Recent studies have shown that cutting methane could be one of the 
fastest ways of holding down global temperature rises, and that sharp 
cuts now could prevent a rise of about 0.25C by 2050.

Durwood Zaelke, the president of the Washington-based Institute for 
Governance, said the Raspadskaya leak showed the urgent need for action. 
“It’s critical to set up a comprehensive satellite monitoring system for 
methane. We also need to deploy a system of incentives and sanctions 
that can remedy these emissions, focusing first on the super emitters,” 
he said.

The IEA also found that at current high gas prices, the cost of 
capturing methane was far less than the value of using it or selling it 
as a fuel source, which should give companies and governments an 
incentive to capture the gas rather than venting or flaring...
At the Cop26 UN climate summit in Glasgow last November, more than 100 
countries agreed to reduce their methane emissions by at least 30% by 
2030. Russia was not among them, however.

GHGSat said it measured 13 distinct methane plumes, ranging in size from 
658 to 17,994 kg an hour, from the mine. The discovery was made on 22 
January, but the company took time to verify its findings and contact 
the operator of the mine, which has not responded.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/15/methane-leak-at-russian-mine-could-be-largest-ever-discovered


/[ The news archive - looking back at brave words ]/
/*June 16, 2010 */
June 15, 2010: In an address from the Oval Office, President Obama declares:

    "For decades, we have known the days of cheap and easily accessible
    oil were numbered.  For decades, we’ve talked and talked about the
    need to end America’s century-long addiction to fossil fuels.  And
    for decades, we have failed to act with the sense of urgency that
    this challenge requires.  Time and again, the path forward has been
    blocked -- not only by oil industry lobbyists, but also by a lack of
    political courage and candor.

    "The consequences of our inaction are now in plain sight. Countries
    like China are investing in clean energy jobs and industries that
    should be right here in America.  Each day, we send nearly $1
    billion of our wealth to foreign countries for their oil.  And
    today, as we look to the Gulf, we see an entire way of life being
    threatened by a menacing cloud of black crude.

    "We cannot consign our children to this future.  The tragedy
    unfolding on our coast is the most painful and powerful reminder yet
    that the time to embrace a clean energy future is now.  Now is the
    moment for this generation to embark on a national mission to
    unleash America’s innovation and seize control of our own destiny.

    "This is not some distant vision for America.  The transition away
    from fossil fuels is going to take some time, but over the last year
    and a half, we’ve already taken unprecedented action to jumpstart
    the clean energy industry.  As we speak, old factories are reopening
    to produce wind turbines, people are going back to work installing
    energy-efficient windows, and small businesses are making solar panels.

    "Consumers are buying more efficient cars and trucks, and families
    are making their homes more energy-efficient.  Scientists and
    researchers are discovering clean energy technologies that someday
    will lead to entire new industries.

    "Each of us has a part to play in a new future that will benefit all
    of us.  As we recover from this recession, the transition to clean
    energy has the potential to grow our economy and create millions of
    jobs -– but only if we accelerate that transition. Only if we seize
    the moment.  And only if we rally together and act as one nation –-
    workers and entrepreneurs; scientists and citizens; the public and
    private sectors.

    "When I was a candidate for this office, I laid out a set of
    principles that would move our country towards energy independence. 
    Last year, the House of Representatives acted on these principles by
    passing a strong and comprehensive energy and climate bill –- a bill
    that finally makes clean energy the profitable kind of energy for
    America’s businesses.

    "Now, there are costs associated with this transition.  And there
    are some who believe that we can’t afford those costs right now. I
    say we can’t afford not to change how we produce and use energy -–
    because the long-term costs to our economy, our national security,
    and our environment are far greater.

    "So I’m happy to look at other ideas and approaches from either
    party -– as long they seriously tackle our addiction to fossil
    fuels.  Some have suggested raising efficiency standards in our
    buildings like we did in our cars and trucks.  Some believe we
    should set standards to ensure that more of our electricity comes
    from wind and solar power.  Others wonder why the energy industry
    only spends a fraction of what the high-tech industry does on
    research and development -– and want to rapidly boost our
    investments in such research and development.

    "All of these approaches have merit, and deserve a fair hearing in
    the months ahead.  But the one approach I will not accept is
    inaction.  The one answer I will not settle for is the idea that
    this challenge is somehow too big and too difficult to meet.  You
    know, the same thing was said about our ability to produce enough
    planes and tanks in World War II.  The same thing was said about our
    ability to harness the science and technology to land a man safely
    on the surface of the moon.  And yet, time and again, we have
    refused to settle for the paltry limits of conventional wisdom. 
    Instead, what has defined us as a nation since our founding is the
    capacity to shape our destiny -– our determination to fight for the
    America we want for our children.  Even if we’re unsure exactly what
    that looks like.  Even if we don’t yet know precisely how we’re
    going to get there.  We know we’ll get there."

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IQJW4_FvVKo
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/16/us/politics/16obama.html?pagewanted=all


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