[✔️] December 4, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | COP video, Al Gore accuses, Energy Mix COP report, Michigan Gov action, Lancet health harms, Cli-Migration, Star Trek or Mad Max, 2008 meats
Richard Pauli
Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Mon Dec 4 09:38:51 EST 2023
/*December *//*4, 2023*/
/
[ 2 min video from COP ]/
*COP28 head says 'no science' to suggest phasing out fossil fuels is
only way to achieve 1.5C*
Sky News
COP28 head says 'no science' to suggest phasing out fossil fuels is only
way to achieve 1.5C
Sky News
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X3NsXL30aFY
- -
/[ Words from the Patron Saint of climate activism ]/
*Al Gore slams COP28 climate summit host UAE, says its emissions soared*
By Valerie Volcovici
December 3, 2023
DUBAI, Dec 3 (Reuters) - Climate advocate and former U.S. Vice President
Al Gore on Sunday slammed the UAE - host of the COP28 climate summit -
saying its position as overseer of international negotiations on global
warming this year was an abuse of public trust.
The comments, made to Reuters in an interview on the sidelines of the
conference in Dubai, reflected skepticism among some delegates that
COP28 President Sultan al-Jaber, head of the UAE's national oil company
ADNOC, can be an honest broker of a climate deal.
"They are abusing the public's trust by naming the CEO of one of the
largest and least responsible oil companies in the world as head of the
COP," Gore said.
At a presentation at the COP's main plenary hall before the interview,
Gore unveiled data showing that the UAE's greenhouse gas emissions rose
by 7.5% in 2022 from the previous year, compared to a 1.5% percent rise
in the entire world. That data came from a coalition he co-founded
called Climate TRACE, which uses artificial intelligence and satellite
data to track carbon emissions of specific companies, Gore said...
- -
Asked about the first-ever appearance of Exxon Mobil CEO Darren Woods at
a COP conference, Gore said the oil giant's engagement does not brush
away its history of resistance to climate policies.
"He should not be taken seriously. He's protecting his profits and
placing them in a higher priority than the survival of the human
civilization," Gore said.
Exxon Mobil declined to comment.
https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/al-gore-slams-cop28-climate-summit-host-uae-says-its-emissions-soared-2023-12-03/
- -
/[ COP report from The Energy Mix ]/
*Renewables Pledge, Voluntary Methane Controls Lead Major Announcements
at COP28*
December 2, 2023 Reading time: 14 minutes
Primary Author: Mitchell Beer
More than 100 countries signed a global clean energy pledge, COP28
organizers touted an ambitious but voluntary methane reduction promise
by oil and gas companies, and fossil fuel phaseout language faced steady
opposition on the third day of United Nations climate talks in Dubai.
Hours ago, 118 countries including Canada, Australia, Barbados, Brazil,
Chile, Japan, and Nigeria signed a pledge led by the European Union, the
United Arab Emirates, and the United States to triple global renewable
energy capacity to 11,000 gigawatts and double the annual rate of energy
efficiency improvements by 2030. “The pledge was among a slew of COP28
announcements on Saturday aimed at decarbonizing the energy
sector—source of around three-quarters of global greenhouse gas
emissions—that included expanding nuclear power, cutting methane
emissions, and choking off private finance for coal power,” Reuters
reports...
- -
The Powering Past Coal Alliance welcomed the United States, the Czech
Republic, Cyprus, the Dominican Republic, Iceland, Kosovo, and Norway as
new members.
https://www.theenergymix.com/renewables-pledge-voluntary-methane-controls-lead-major-announcements-at-cop28/
- -
/[ Michigan shows how a politician can act - Governor speaks in 5 min
video - share widely ]/
*Gretchen Whitmer: Remarks on New Energy Bills*
greenmanbucket
Dec 3, 2023
Hard to overstate how significant these bills are in the industrial
Midwest, how daunting the ignorance and obstinance of the opposition,
and also what a heavy lift for all stakeholders this will be.
But that does not mean they are unrealistic - it is because the
challenge is so huge, and the consequences so dire, that the only
realistic response is to go big.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sE3djVP37C0
/[ academic language but important ]/
*The 2023 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change:
the imperative for a health-centred response in a world facing
irreversible harms*
Marina Romanello, PhD
Claudia di Napoli, PhD
Carole Green, MPH
Harry Kennard, PhD
Pete Lampard, PhD
Daniel Scamman, PhD
et al.
Published:November 14, 2023DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(23)01859-7
PlumX Metrics
*Executive Summary*
The Lancet Countdown is an international research collaboration that
independently monitors the evolving impacts of climate change on health,
and the emerging health opportunities of climate action. In its eighth
iteration, this 2023 report draws on the expertise of 114 scientists and
health practitioners from 52 research institutions and UN agencies
worldwide to provide its most comprehensive assessment yet.
In 2022, the Lancet Countdown warned that people's health is at the
mercy of fossil fuels and stressed the transformative opportunity of
jointly tackling the concurrent climate change, energy, cost-of-living,
and health crises for human health and wellbeing. This year's report
finds few signs of such progress. At the current 10-year mean heating of
1·14°C above pre-industrial levels, climate change is increasingly
impacting the health and survival of people worldwide, and projections
show these risks could worsen steeply with further inaction. However,
with health matters gaining prominence in climate change negotiations,
this report highlights new opportunities to deliver health-promoting
climate change action and a safe and thriving future for all.
*The rising health toll of a changing climate*
In 2023, the world saw the highest global temperatures in over 100 000
years, and heat records were broken in all continents through 2022.
Adults older than 65 years and infants younger than 1 year, for whom
extreme heat can be particularly life-threatening, are now exposed to
twice as many heatwave days as they would have experienced in 1986–2005
(indicator 1.1.2). Harnessing the rapidly advancing science of detection
and attribution, new analysis shows that over 60% of the days that
reached health-threatening high temperatures in 2020 were made more than
twice as likely to occur due to anthropogenic climate change (indicator
1.1.5); and heat-related deaths of people older than 65 years increased
by 85% compared with 1990–2000, substantially higher than the 38%
increase that would have been expected had temperatures not changed
(indicator 1.1.5).
Simultaneously, climate change is damaging the natural and human systems
on which people rely for good health. The global land area affected by
extreme drought increased from 18% in 1951–60 to 47% in 2013–22
(indicator 1.2.2), jeopardising water security, sanitation, and food
production. A higher frequency of heatwaves and droughts in 2021 was
associated with 127 million more people experiencing moderate or severe
food insecurity compared with 1981–2010 (indicator 1.4), putting
millions of people at risk of malnutrition and potentially irreversible
health effects. The changing climatic conditions are also putting more
populations at risk of life-threatening infectious diseases, such as
dengue, malaria, vibriosis, and West Nile virus (indicator 1.3).
Compounding these direct health impacts, the economic losses associated
with global heating increasingly harm livelihoods, limit resilience, and
restrict the funds available to tackle climate change. Economic losses
from extreme weather events increased by 23% between 2010–14 and
2018–22, amounting to US$264 billion in 2022 alone (indicator 4.1.1),
whereas heat exposure led to global potential income losses worth $863
billion (indicators 1.1.4 and 4.1.3). Labour capacity loss resulting
from heat exposure affected low and medium Human Development Index (HDI)
countries the most, exacerbating global inequities, with potential
income losses equivalent to 6·1% and 3·8% of their gross domestic
product (GDP), respectively (indicator 4.1.3).
The multiple and simultaneously rising risks of climate change are
amplifying global health inequities and threatening the very foundations
of human health. Health systems are increasingly strained, and 27% of
surveyed cities declared concerns over their health systems being
overwhelmed by the impacts of climate change (indicator 2.1.3). Often
due to scarce financial resources and low technical and human capacity,
the countries most vulnerable to climate impacts also face the most
challenges in achieving adaptation progress, reflecting the human risks
of an unjust transition. Only 44% of low HDI countries and 54% of medium
HDI countries reported high implementation of health emergency
management capacities in 2022, compared with 85% of very high HDI
countries (indicator 2.2.5). Additionally, low and medium HDI countries
had the highest proportion of cities not intending to undertake a
climate change risk assessment in 2021 (12%; indicator 2.1.3). These
inequalities are aggravated by the persistent failure of the wealthiest
countries to deliver the promised modest annual sum of $100 billion to
support climate action in those countries defined as developing within
the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. Consequently, those
countries that have historically contributed the least to climate change
are bearing the brunt of its health impacts—both a reflection and a
direct consequence of the structural inequities that lie within the root
causes of climate change.
*The human costs of persistent inaction*
The growing threats experienced to date are early signs and symptoms of
what a rapidly changing climate could mean for the health of the world's
populations. With 1337 tonnes of CO2 emitted each second, each moment of
delay worsens the risks to people's health and survival.
In this year's report, new projections reveal the dangers of further
delays in action, with every tracked health dimension worsening as the
climate changes. If global mean temperature continues to rise to just
under 2°C, annual heat-related deaths are projected to increase by 370%
by midcentury, assuming no substantial progress on adaptation (indicator
1.1.5). Under such a scenario, heat-related labour loss is projected to
increase by 50% (indicator 1.1.4), and heatwaves alone could lead to
524·9 million additional people experiencing moderate-to-severe food
insecurity by 2041–60, aggravating the global risk of malnutrition.
Life-threatening infectious diseases are also projected to spread
further, with the length of coastline suitable for Vibrio pathogens
expanding by 17–25%, and the transmission potential for dengue
increasing by 36–37% by midcentury. As risks rise, so will the costs and
challenges of adaptation. These estimates provide some indication of
what the future could hold. However, poor accounting for non-linear
responses, tipping points, and cascading and synergistic interactions
could render these projections conservative, disproportionately
increasing the threat to the health of populations worldwide.
*A world accelerating in the wrong direction*
The health risks of a 2°C hotter world underscore the health imperative
of accelerating climate change action. With limits to adaptation drawing
closer, ambitious mitigation is paramount to keep the magnitude of
health hazards within the limits of the capacity of health systems to
adapt. Yet years of scientific warnings of the threat to people's lives
have been met with grossly insufficient action, and policies to date
have put the world on track to almost 3°C of heating.
The 2022 Lancet Countdown report highlighted the opportunity to
accelerate the transition away from health-harming fossil fuels in
response to the global energy crisis. However, data this year show a
world that is often moving in the wrong direction. Energy-related CO2
emissions increased by 0·9% to a record 36·8 Gt in 2022 (indicator
3.1.1), and still only 9·5% of global electricity comes from modern
renewables (mainly solar and wind energy), despite their costs falling
below that of fossil fuels. Concerningly, driven partly by record
profits, oil and gas companies are further reducing their compliance
with the Paris Agreement: the strategies of the world's 20 largest oil
and gas companies as of early 2023 will result in emissions surpassing
levels consistent with the Paris Agreement goals by 173% in 2040—an
increase of 61% from 2022 (indicator 4.2.6). Rather than pursuing
accelerated development of renewable energy, fossil fuel companies
allocated only 4% of their capital investment to renewables in 2022.
Meanwhile, global fossil fuel investment increased by 10% in 2022,
reaching over $1 trillion (indicator 4.2.1). The expansion of oil and
gas extractive activities has been supported through both private and
public financial flows. Across 2017–21, the 40 banks that lend most to
the fossil fuel sector collectively invested $489 billion annually in
fossil fuels (annual average), with 52% increasing their lending from
2010–16. Simultaneously, in 2020, 78% of the countries assessed,
responsible for 93% of all global CO2 emissions, still provided net
direct fossil fuels subsidies totalling $305 billion, further hindering
fossil fuel phase-out (indicator 4.2.4). Without a rapid response to
course correct, the persistent use and expansion of fossil fuels will
ensure an increasingly inequitable future that threatens the lives of
billions of people alive today.
*The opportunity to deliver a healthy future for all*
Despite the challenges, data also expose the transformative health
benefits that could come from the transition to a zero-carbon future,
with health professionals playing a crucial role in ensuring these gains
are maximised. Globally, 775 million people still live without
electricity, and close to 1 billion people are still served by
health-care facilities without reliable energy. With structural global
inequities in the development of, access to, and use of clean energy,
only 2·3% of electricity in low HDI countries comes from modern
renewables (against 11% in very high HDI countries), and 92% of
households in low HDI countries still rely on biomass fuels to meet
their energy needs (against 7·5% in very high HDI countries; indicators
3.1.1 and 3.1.2). In this context, the transition to renewables can
enable access to decentralised clean energy and, coupled with
interventions to increase energy efficiency, can reduce energy poverty
and power high quality health-supportive services. By reducing the
burning of dirty fuels (including fossil fuels and biomass), such
interventions could help avoid a large proportion of the 1·9 million
deaths that occur annually from dirty-fuel-derived, outdoor, airborne,
fine particulate matter pollution (PM2·5; indicator 3.2.1), and a large
proportion of the 78 deaths per 100 000 people associated with exposure
to indoor air pollution (indicator 3.2.2). Additionally, the just
development of renewable energy markets can generate net employment
opportunities with safer, more locally available jobs. Ensuring
countries, particularly those facing high levels of energy poverty, are
supported in the safe development, deployment, and adoption of renewable
energy is key to maximising health gains and preventing unjust
extractive industrial practices that can harm the health and livelihoods
of local populations and widen health inequities.
With fossil fuels accounting for 95% of road transport energy (indicator
3.1.3), interventions to enable and promote safe active travel and
zero-emission public transport can further deliver emissions reduction,
promote health through physical activity, and avert many of the 460 000
deaths caused annually by transport-derived PM2·5 pollution (indicator
3.2.1), and some of the 3·2 million annual deaths related to physical
inactivity. People-centred, climate-resilient urban redesign to improve
building energy efficiency, increase green and blue spaces, and promote
sustainable cooling, can additionally prevent heat-related health harms,
avoid air-conditioning-derived emissions (indicator 2.2.2), and provide
direct physical and mental health benefits.
Additionally, food systems are responsible for 30% of global greenhouse
gas (GHG) emissions, with 57% of agricultural emissions in 2020 being
derived from the production of red meat and milk (indicator 3.3.1).
Promoting and enabling equitable access to affordable, healthy,
low-carbon diets that meet local nutritional and cultural requirements
can contribute to mitigation, while preventing many of the 12·2 million
deaths attributable to suboptimal diets (indicator 3.3.2).
The health community could play a central role in securing these
benefits, by delivering public health interventions to reduce air
pollution, enabling and supporting active travel and healthier diets,
and promoting improvements in the environmental conditions and
commercial activities that define health outcomes. Importantly, the
health sector can lead by example and transition to sustainable,
resource-efficient, net-zero emission health systems, thereby preventing
its 4·6% contribution to global GHG emissions, with cascading impacts
ultimately affecting the broader economy (indicator 3.4).
Some encouraging signs of progress offer a glimpse of the enormous human
benefits that health-centred action could render. Deaths attributable to
fossil-fuel-derived air pollution have decreased by 15·7% since 2005,
with 80% of this reduction being the result of reduced coal-derived
pollution. Meanwhile the renewable energy sector expanded to a
historical high of 12·7 million employees in 2021 (indicator 4.2.2); and
renewable energy accounted for 90% of the growth in electricity capacity
in 2022 (indicator 3.1.1). Supporting this, global clean energy
investment increased by 15% in 2022, to $1·6 trillion, exceeding fossil
fuel investment by 61% (indicator 4.2.1); and lending to the green
energy sector rose to $498 billion in 2021, approaching fossil fuel
lending (indicator 4.2.7).
Scientific understanding of the links between health and climate change
is rapidly growing, and although coverage lags in some of the most
affected regions, over 3000 scientific articles covered this topic in
2022 (indicators 5.3.1 and 5.3.2). Meanwhile, the health dimensions of
climate change are increasingly acknowledged in the public discourse,
with 24% of all climate change newspaper articles in 2022 referring to
health, just short of the 26% in 2020 (indicator 5.1). Importantly,
international organisations are increasingly engaging with the health
co-benefits of climate change mitigation (indicator 5.4.2), and
governments increasingly acknowledge this link, with 95% of updated
Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) under the Paris Agreement now
referring to health—up from 73% in 2020 (indicator 5.4.1).
*These trends signal what could be the start of a life-saving transition.*
A people-centred transformation: putting health at the heart of climate
action
With the world currently heading towards 3°C of heating, any further
delays in climate change action will increasingly threaten the health
and survival of billions of people alive today. If meaningful, the
prioritisation of health in upcoming international climate change
negotiations could offer an unprecedented opportunity to deliver
health-promoting climate action and pave the way to a thriving future.
However, delivering such an ambition will require confronting the
economic interests of the fossil fuel and other health-harming
industries, and delivering science-grounded, steadfast, meaningful, and
sustained progress to shift away from fossil fuels, accelerate
mitigation, and deliver adaptation for health. Unless such progress
materialises, the growing emphasis on health within climate change
negotiations risks being mere healthwashing; increasing the
acceptability of initiatives that minimally advance action, and which
ultimately undermine—rather than protect—the future of people alive
today and generations to come.
Safeguarding people's health in climate policies will require the
leadership, integrity, and commitment of the health community. With its
science-driven approach, this community is uniquely positioned to ensure
that decision makers are held accountable, and foster human-centred
climate action that safeguards human health above all else. The
ambitions of the Paris Agreement are still achievable, and a prosperous
and healthy future still lies within reach. But the concerted efforts
and commitments of health professionals, policy makers, corporations,
and financial institutions will be needed to ensure the promise of
health-centred climate action becomes a reality that delivers a thriving
future for all.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(23)01859-7/fulltext
/[ Cli-migration of desperation - Bangladesh, Senegal ]/
*More Migration due to Climate Change? | Documentary*
Dec 3, 2023 #documentary #climatechange #migration
Climate change is increasingly impacting migration patterns, with
experts predicting a significant rise in the movement of people towards
America and Europe in the coming years due to environmental changes.
The escalation of extreme weather events, rising sea levels, and
deteriorating living conditions in many parts of the world, especially
in climate-sensitive regions, are compelling people to seek new habitats.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VHS8DARvfXA
/[ More discussion -- From 7 years ago, a new Opinion Ted-x Radical non
discrimination ]/
*Will the future be more like Star Trek or Mad Max? | Alec Ross |
TEDxMidAtlantic*
Jun 23, 2017
Technology is changing the world at a more rapid pace than ever. But we
remain stuck following a social contract that was written for the
industrial era, leading us to make work, life and policy decisions that
don't match today's reality. Diplomat, author, and innovation researcher
Alec Ross argues that it's time to develop a new social contract written
for the information age – which will determine the future we live in.
Alec Ross is one of America’s leading experts on innovation. He is
currently a Distinguished Visiting Fellow at Johns Hopkins University
and the author of the New York Times bestseller The Industries of the
Future. Alec Ross recently served for four year as Senior Advisor for
Innovation to Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, a role created for him
by Secretary Clinton to maximize the potential of technology and
innovation in service of America’s diplomatic agenda.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fFx2oLmC8Cg
/[The news archive - meats denote CO2 pollution ]/
/*December 4, 2008 */
December 4, 2008:
• Washington Post writer Ezra Klein calls upon climate activists to
highlight the role meat consumption plays in fueling the climate crisis.
http://prospect.org/article/are-cows-worse-cars-0
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