[✔️] July 1, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | Point of no ret6urn, United Nations, , multi factors, vortex of collapse, looming extinction, MeCCO Media evaluations, Michael Mann
Richard Pauli
Richard at CredoandScreed.com
Sat Jul 1 08:06:23 EDT 2023
/*July*//*1, 2023*/
/[ Reuters news ] /
*Climate nears point of no return as land, sea temperatures break
records, experts say*
By David Stanway
June 30, 2023
-- Temperature records topple around the world
-- Sea temperatures also hit record high
-- Climate talks failing to respond to extreme weather emergencies
-- U.S. climate envoy Kerry expected in Beijing in July
SINGAPORE, June 30 (Reuters) - The target of keeping long-term global
warming within 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 Fahrenheit) is moving out of
reach, climate experts say, with nations failing to set more ambitious
goals despite months of record-breaking heat on land and sea.
As envoys gathered in Bonn in early June to prepare for this year's
annual climate talks in November, average global surface air
temperatures were more than 1.5C above pre-industrial levels for several
days, the EU-funded Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) said...
- -
Climate experts say the extent and frequency of extreme weather is
increasing, and this year has also seen punishing droughts across the
world, as well as a rare and deadly cyclone in Africa.
The Worldwide Fund for Nature, however, warned of a "worrying lack of
momentum" during climate talks in Bonn this month, with little progress
made on key issues like fossil fuels and finance ahead of November's
COP28 climate talks in Dubai.
"It was very detached from what was going on outside of the building in
Bonn - I was very disappointed by that," said Li Shuo, Greenpeace's
senior climate adviser in Beijing.
"We are really getting to the moment of truth ... I am hoping that the
sheer reality will help us change people's moves and change the politics."
Talks between the United States and China could resume next week with
U.S. climate envoy John Kerry set to visit Beijing, though few expect it
to add momentum to climate negotiations.
https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/climate-nears-point-no-return-land-sea-temperatures-break-records-experts-2023-06-30/
/[ United Nations-- UN News ]/
*Legal protection essential for people displaced by climate change: UN
expert*
27 June 2023 Migrants and Refugees
An independent UN-appointed climate expert on Tuesday called for full
legal protection to be given to those displaced by the impacts of
climate change, to guarantee their human rights.
“The effects of climate change are becoming more severe, and the number
of people displaced across international borders is rapidly increasing,”
said Ian Fry, independent human rights expert on climate change, who
took up the new post last year.
“In 2020 alone, 30.7 million people were displaced from their homes due
to weather-related events. Droughts were the main factor,” Mr. Fry said
in his latest thematic report to the Human Rights Council in Geneva. “We
must take immediate steps to give legal protection to these people.”
Multiple rights violations
The independent expert said that people displaced by climate change face
multiple human rights violations including of their rights to food,
water, sanitation, housing, health, education and, for some, their basic
right to life.
“The human rights implications of climate change displacement, in
particular across international borders, are significant and truly
disturbing,” the expert said.
He called it “profoundly worrying” that large numbers of people
displaced across borders, die or go missing every year on both land and
sea...
- -
*Displacement and natural disasters *
According to the independent expert, displacement due to climate change
can take many different forms.
It can involve sudden events or more slow acting factors such sea level
rise or drought. Most people affected by these events feel they have no
choice but to move. Women and children are the most impacted by
disasters and the effects of climate change, and also account for the
majority of displaced people.
“The international community must realise its responsibility to protect
people displaced across borders by climate change impacts,” the expert
said...
- -
“The Human Rights Council should prepare a resolution for submission to
the UN General Assembly urging the body to develop an optional protocol
under the Convention relating to the Status of Refugees to address
displacement and legal protection for people all over the world affected
by the climate crisis,” the expert said.
“Until then, I urge all nations to develop national legislation to
provide humanitarian visas for persons displaced across international
borders due to climate change, as an interim measure,” he said.
Independent experts and other UN Human Rights Council-appointed rights
experts, work on a voluntary and unpaid basis, are not UN staff, and
work independently from any government or organisation.
https://news.un.org/en/story/2023/06/1138147
/[ from nature sustainability ]/
Published: 22 June 2023
*Earlier collapse of Anthropocene ecosystems driven by multiple faster
and noisier drivers*
*Abstract*
A major concern for the world’s ecosystems is the possibility of
collapse, where landscapes and the societies they support change
abruptly. Accelerating stress levels, increasing frequencies of extreme
events and strengthening intersystem connections suggest that
conventional modelling approaches based on incremental changes in a
single stress may provide poor estimates of the impact of climate and
human activities on ecosystems. We conduct experiments on four models
that simulate abrupt changes in the Chilika lagoon fishery, the Easter
Island community, forest dieback and lake water quality—representing
ecosystems with a range of anthropogenic interactions. Collapses occur
sooner under increasing levels of primary stress but additional stresses
and/or the inclusion of noise in all four models bring the collapses
substantially closer to today by ~38–81%. We discuss the implications
for further research and the need for humanity to be vigilant for signs
that ecosystems are degrading even more rapidly than previously thought.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-023-01157-x
- -
/[ examine a paper with Paul Beckwith https://youtu.be/I3gLZZHu2_I ]/
*Ever-Deepening Vortex of Collapse in Earth’s Ecological Systems*
Paul Beckwith
Jun 30, 2023
As I said many moons ago, Earth is losing the ability to provide for and
support us and all the plants and animals. It is not rapidly dying, but
it is actively being killed by us and the weapon of choice that we use
is our fossil fuel combustion.
I chat about a brand spanking new peer reviewed scientific paper on
Ecological Tipping Points. Basically, we have been modelling dynamic
systems incorrectly for years, and we do not recognize the reality that
many of our ecological and physical systems are much closer to abrupt
tipping point thresholds than we can imagine.
Most of our models to-date examine incremental change in one primary
driver that increases and eventually reaches a threshold whereby the
system either undergoes a “flickering” between the existing and new
state, or a critical slowing down of frequency (with an increase in
amplitude of fluctuation) and then flips (tips) into a new system state.
In reality, systems are more complex than this, and we need to model:
1) changes in primary driver
2) changes in secondary driver
3) changes in tertiary driver
4) addition of stochastic (random) or uncoupled noise
5) addition of coupled noise
When we include all of these multiple forcings and two types of noise
into our simulations, we find that the system tipping (crossing a
breakpoint or threshold of no return) occurs much sooner, in fact occurs
substantially sooner, or closer to today by between 38% and 81%.
Although the four different systems examined in this paper represent a
cross-section of all systems, the results are likely variously
applicable to Earth systems like Arctic Sea Ice collapse to a Blue Ocean
event, collapse of Amazon Rainforest to a grassland or savannah state,
loss of Boreal Forests, Ocean Acidification, Loss of Arctic Permafrost,
loss of Greenland Ice Sheets, loss of Antarctica Ice sheets, and
Shutdown of AMOC and PMOC (Pacific Meridional Overturning Circulation),
as well as Biodiversity Collapse.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I3gLZZHu2_I
/
/
/[ Sorry kids, we have talked about this --- everyone should view this
25 min video ]/
*The Catastrophe No One Talks About*
Our Changing Climate
Jun 30, 2023 #extinction #biodiversity #socialism
- -
In this Our Changing Climate video essay, I look at the looming threat
of species extinction and biodiversity collapse. Specifically, I uncover
the extent of the sixth mass extinction. What it is and how bad it's
happening. Then, I work through the key drivers of the acceleration of
species die-offs across the planet. I look at how climate change and
land use change (read: deforestation) have destructive consequences for
the biodiversity climate. Finally, the video dives into the capitalist
forces driving this mass extinction event.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RreXcPsTqkk
/[ MeCCO = Media and Climate Change Observatory - pay attention to
how we are getting information ]/
*We monitor 130 sources (across newspapers, radio and TV) in 59
countries in seven different regions around the world. *We assemble the
data by accessing archives through the Lexis Nexis, Proquest and Factiva
databases via the University of Colorado libraries. These sources are
selected through a decision processes involving weighting of three main
factors:
1. geographical diversity (favoring a greater geographical range)
2. circulation (favoring higher circulating publications)
3. reliable access to archives over time (favoring those accessible
consistently for longer periods of time)
https://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/icecaps/research/media_coverage/summaries/
/[The news archive - looking back -- Michael E Mann vindicated. ]/
/*July 1, 2010*/
July 1, 2010: "CBS Evening News" reports on the vindication of climate
scientist Michael E. Mann, who had been falsely accused of data
manipulation by climate-change deniers in 2009.
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/an-end-to-climategate-penn-state-clears-michael-mann/
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