[✔️] June 28, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | bye bye marine food, Texas heat and the Arctic, 6 surprises of Montana trial, feel pain - then act, Precip risk underestimated, Extreme wx, Vis sealevel, 2006 killing the Electric Car,

[R.Pauli]

/*June*//*28, 2023*/

/[ food news first - Reuters ]/
*Climate, environmental change puts 90% of world's marine food at risk, 
study says*
By David Stanway
June 26, 2023/
/
SINGAPORE, June 26 (Reuters) - More than 90% of the world's marine food 
supplies are at risk from environmental changes such as rising 
temperatures and pollution, with top producers like China, Norway and 
the United States facing the biggest threat, new research showed on Monday.

"Blue food" includes more than 2,190 species of fish, shellfish, plants 
and algae as well as more than 540 species farmed in fresh water, 
helping sustain 3.2 billion people worldwide.

But not enough is being done to adapt to growing environmental risks, a 
study published in the Nature Sustainability journal said.

"Although we have made some progress with climate change, our adaptation 
strategies for blue food systems facing environmental change are still 
underdeveloped and need urgent attention," said Rebecca Short, 
researcher at the Stockholm Resilience Centre and co-lead author.

Overproduction in the industry, which has driven the destruction of 
wetland habitats, has caused significant environmental damage but other 
"stressors" are also impacting the quantity and quality of blue foods.

They include rising sea levels and temperatures, ocean acidification, 
changes in rainfall, as well as non-climate factors like algal blooms 
and pollution from mercury, pesticides or antibiotics.

"Vulnerability caused by human-induced environmental change ... puts 
blue food production under a lot of pressure," said Ling Cao, professor 
at China's Xiamen University, who also co-wrote the paper.

"We know aquaculture and fisheries support billions of people for their 
livelihoods and their nutritional security."

China, Japan, India and Vietnam account for more than 45% of global 
landings and 85% of aquaculture production, and the study said reducing 
their vulnerability should be a priority. Small island nations that 
depend on seafood are also especially vulnerable.

Cao said a U.N. treaty on sustainable development in the high seas, 
signed in March, could enable stakeholders to act in the common interest 
when it comes to protecting blue food resources but other risks are on 
the horizon.

Nauru in the Pacific Ocean is at the forefront of efforts to mine ocean 
beds for metals, which environmentalists say can cause immense damage to 
marine life. Norway, another major seafood producer, also came under 
fire last week after announcing it would open up sea areas to mining.

"Ocean floor mining will have an impact on the wild fisheries 
population," said Cao. "Many scientists are now calling on governments 
to evaluate where they do ocean mining in order to minimise the impact."
https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/climate-environmental-change-puts-90-worlds-marine-food-risk-study-2023-06-26//
/

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/[  Texas scorcher... ]
/*‘Never occurred before’: How the Arctic is sizzling Texas*
By Chelsea Harvey | 06/27/2023
The oppressive heat wave roasting Texas and Mexico is rekindling a 
scientific debate about the effects that Arctic climate change might 
have on weather patterns around the world.

Many experts say that rapid warming in the Arctic — where temperatures 
are rising four times faster than the global average — may cause an 
increase in these kinds of long-lasting extreme weather events.

It all comes down to the jet stream, a fast-flowing air current that 
wraps around the Northern Hemisphere. Many researchers theorize that 
rising temperatures in the Arctic are altering the atmosphere in ways 
that disrupt the jet stream’s flow, causing it to dip and meander up and 
down as it zooms around the globe. A wavier jet stream can cause heat 
waves, storms and other weather systems to get stuck in place, dragging 
out for days or weeks on end. That’s what has happened in Texas and 
Mexico this month.

An unusual dip in the jet stream caused a persistent high-pressure 
weather system, known as a “heat dome,” to form over the region and trap 
hot air. It’s already baked the region with record-breaking heat for two 
weeks, and it’s expected to drag out for another week or so, likely 
creeping into neighboring states in the coming days.

A number of factors likely influenced this event, including a brewing El 
Niño. But some scientists say these wobbly jet streams may happen more 
often as Arctic temperatures continue to soar.

“This is exactly the type of pattern — that is, extremely wavy and thus 
persistent — that we expect to see more frequently as the Arctic warms 
now about four times faster than the globe as a whole,” said Jennifer 
Francis, a senior scientist at Woodwell Climate Research Center, in an 
email to E&E News.

The Texas event already has clear connections to climate change thanks 
to the sheer intensity of its heat. Temperatures have soared as high as 
118 degrees, just 2 degrees shy of the state’s all-time heat record.

Some cities have tied or broken local records, including San Angelo at 
114 degrees June 20 and Laredo at 115 degrees. And the heat index — a 
metric that accounts for both temperatures and humidity — has soared 
across the state, making temperatures feel well above 120 degrees in 
some places. Austin broke its all-time heat index record at 118 degrees 
Wednesday. And Corpus Christi hit a staggering heat index of 125 degrees.

As global temperatures rise, heat waves are becoming more frequent and 
more intense all over the planet. The background warming can help 
explain why some events, like the one in Texas, are becoming so extreme.

The science communication nonprofit Climate Central has developed a tool 
it calls the Climate Shift Index, which compares the likelihood of an 
extreme temperature event today versus the likelihood of the same event 
in a world without human-caused climate change. The index suggests that 
the recent temperatures in southern Texas are at least five times more 
likely to occur.

The heat is blistering, even for Texas. Yet it’s not just the 
temperatures that are causing mayhem. It’s also how long they’re 
dragging out — in a relatively unusual location for a heat dome during 
this time of the year.

That’s due to this summer’s wonky jet stream. It has split into two 
branches in recent weeks, meandering in large, looping patterns over 
North America that can cause weather patterns to get stuck in place.

The Texas heat dome isn’t the only one. There’s also a heat dome over 
Alberta and other parts of central Canada, and the jet stream helped 
drive wildfire smoke from Canada down into the eastern U.S. earlier this 
month.

The exact drivers of the wacky air currents are still up for debate. The 
jet stream naturally wanders or splits sometimes without the influence 
of other factors like human-caused climate change. And a brewing El Niño 
event could also be playing a role.

El Niño is a natural climate pattern that causes temporary warming in 
parts of the Pacific Ocean, affecting weather events all over the world. 
It typically recurs every two to seven years. NOAA scientists recently 
announced the arrival of El Niño, which is expected to strengthen 
throughout the year.

El Niño events generally shift the jet stream southward and have been 
known to cause the current to split. These effects tend to be most 
pronounced in winter, sometimes diverting storms toward the southern U.S.

Climate change may also be playing a part in the jet stream’s behavior.

Because the Arctic is heating up so quickly, it’s changing the 
relationship between temperatures at the top of the world and those 
closer to the equator. Air temperatures affect the thickness of the 
atmosphere and the way air currents flow around the planet.

As the temperature gradient changes, some scientists theorize that the 
jet stream may become wavier and more meandering as it circles the 
globe. That can cause aggressive dips and splits in the current, like 
the patterns it’s exhibited this summer.

These patterns are often associated with persistent storms or heat waves 
that get stuck in place and drag on for days or weeks. The Texas heat 
wave is a prime example, but other places are affected, too.

Wonky jet streams have been linked to severe weather events around the 
world. A study last year found that split or “double” jet streams are 
associated with extreme heat in Europe. And a 2019 study found that 
large waves in the atmosphere can cause long-lasting extreme heat and 
severe rainfall from North America and Europe to the Middle East and Japan.

Some researchers have suggested that while the jet stream may be 
changing as the planet warms, other factors outside the Arctic could 
also be to blame.

A 2018 review paper looked specifically at the links between the warming 
Arctic and extreme summer weather throughout the Northern Hemisphere. It 
concluded that many questions remain about the exact mechanisms — but 
some connections likely do exist.

Summer weather has been less of a focus than winter weather and deserves 
more attention, the authors of the study said, adding that “a scientific 
consensus is emerging that [Arctic warming] has at least some influence 
on winter weather.”

In general, the links between Arctic warming and the jet stream are 
growing more clear, according to Francis, a top researcher on the topic.

“The exact connections between rapid Arctic warming and the jet stream 
are still incompletely understood, but I think it’s safe to say that no 
one believes the Arctic can warm four times faster than the globe and 
NOT affect the jet stream,” she said in an email.

The combination of human-caused climate change on top of natural climate 
patterns like El Niño can cause even greater extremes. And these 
combinations are likely to grow even more intense in the future as the 
planet keeps on warming.

“The present conditions have never occurred before as long as records 
have been kept,” Francis said. “As we dig deeper into this research the 
story gets only more complicated, but it’s a fascinating time to be a 
scientist in this field!”

https://www.eenews.net/articles/never-occurred-before-how-the-arctic-is-sizzling-texas/



/[ OK future lawyers, pay attention to this one  ]/
*The six big surprises in the Montana youth climate trial*
The state’s headline expert witness’s testimony was canceled — and other 
twists from the landmark trial.
by KARIN KIRK
JUNE 26, 2023...
- -
Here are some highlights from the courtroom.

*The state’s headline expert witness was canceled.*
Montana hired Judith Curry as an expert witness. Curry is a well-known 
skeptic of human-caused climate change and is a go-to witness for those 
wishing to downplay the role of greenhouse gas emissions in warming the 
climate.

As the plaintiffs wrapped up their case, the state announced that Curry 
would not be testifying after all. No official explanation was offered. 
In her blog, Curry said it was the state’s decision but she was 
“relieved” because “MT’s lawyers were totally unprepared for direct and 
cross examination of climate science witnesses.” Curry described some of 
the mistakes made by defense lawyers, noting, “this is a very complex 
issue that they apparently had not previously encountered.”

*The state called only one expert witness, and he got his math wrong.*
Terry Anderson, a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, was the sole 
expert witness for the state. Both in his written report and his 
testimony on the stand, Anderson cited incorrect data about Montana’s 
greenhouse gas emissions. In one case, Anderson conflated Montana’s 
emissions with that of the entire Mountain West region. In another, he 
said his data was “from a reliable website” though he could not recall 
its name. Anderson further testified that he used 2022 greenhouse gas 
emissions data from the Energy Information Administration — even though 
this data has not yet been published. Plaintiff’s lawyers attempted to 
follow Anderson’s footsteps in tracking statewide carbon dioxide 
emissions data and found the data has only been released through 2020.

*Witnesses from state agencies showed little knowledge of climate science.*
The state called two agency witnesses to clarify the process behind 
Montana’s use of fossil fuels. Chris Dorrington is the director of the 
Montana Department of Environmental Quality. He was asked if he was 
familiar with the IPCC, which is the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate 
Change, the international scientific body that publishes authoritative 
reports on climate change. Dorrington said he was not familiar with the 
IPCC’s work until he learned about it during the trial when IPCC 
findings were presented by several expert witnesses.

Sonja Nowakowski is the administrator of the Air, Energy, and Mining 
Division at the Montana Department of Environmental Quality. She said 
she cares deeply about the environment. Yet she testified that she has 
no opinion “one way or another on the impacts of climate change,” 
despite more than 15 years working in environmental policy.

In their testimony, Nowakowski and Dorrington said their agency is 
prohibited from evaluating the impacts of greenhouse gas emissions and 
they can only follow the letter of the law when approving permits for 
fossil fuel projects. Historically, the state has approved every 
application for fossil fuel activities, according to Anne Hedges, 
director of policy and legislative affairs at the Montana Environmental 
Information Center and expert witness for the plaintiffs.

*Attorneys for Montana resorted to straw man arguments.*
One of the more surprising tactics used by the defense was a reliance on 
exaggerated “straw man” arguments that seemed to deliberately 
mischaracterize the purpose of the lawsuit. Counsel for the state asked 
Mark Jacobson, an expert witness about renewable energy, if the remedy 
in the case would include the judge buying electric cars for everyone in 
Montana. Will airplanes that run on fossil fuels be barred from flying 
over Montana? Are we supposed to go fossil-free “with the flip of a 
switch?” These spurious questions were reminiscent of what one sees in 
online arguments about climate change, except they were playing out in 
an actual court of law.

*State lawyers dismissed the experiences of the young plaintiffs.*
The state’s closing arguments echoed the dismissive tone of their 
opening statements. Assistant Attorney General Michael Russell 
characterized the plaintiffs’ case as “a weeklong airing of political 
grievances” and “social and political statements.”

Russell argued the lawsuit was an attempt by the youth to “evade the 
democratic process and force their policy views on all Montanans without 
their consent or participation.”

Meanwhile, the Montana attorney general’s office called the case a 
“publicity stunt staged by an out-of-state organization that is 
exploiting well-intentioned children.”

Russell advised the plaintiffs to work through the state legislature — 
where Republicans hold a supermajority — not the courts.
*
**The state never defended its need for fossil fuels.*
In closing arguments, Nate Bellinger, an attorney for the plaintiffs, 
emphasized that Montana did not justify its reliance on fossil fuels, 
despite the demonstrable harm they are causing.

In fact, witnesses Peter Erickson and Mark Jacobson repeatedly made the 
point that Montana has abundant potential for renewable energy. “Montana 
has so much renewable energy potential, it’s incredible,” Jacobson said 
on the witness stand. Jacobson is the director of the Atmosphere/Energy 
Program at Stanford University.

The state made only one point, albeit repeatedly: Montana is too 
insignificant to have any impact on climate change. But Erickson, an 
affiliated researcher at the nonprofit Stockholm Environment Institute, 
noted that there are 100 countries with emissions smaller than 
Montana’s, yet the governments of those countries have pledged to cut 
their emissions.

“Every ton matters” was a refrain from the plaintiff’s side, referring 
to statements from the IPCC that emphasize the need for rapid 
decarbonization across all economic sectors and around the world.

Montana annually sends over 100 tons of CO2 into the atmosphere via 
fossil fuel consumption and extraction, with an additional 80 tons 
related to fuels transported through or refined in Montana, according to 
numbers presented by Erickson.

“Montana’s contribution to global greenhouse gas emissions is nationally 
and globally significant,” Erickson said. “Montana’s responsibility and 
ability to transition away from fossil fuels is substantial.”

*What’s next? More lawsuits.*
Two of the plaintiffs spoke to the public after the trial wrapped up, 
and they noted that this case will likely have impacts far beyond their 
home state. Grace Gibson-Snyder, one of the young plaintiffs, said, 
“We’re hoping for this to have a resonating effect around the country 
and around the world.” Lander Busse, another plaintiff, added, “It feels 
like the beginning, really.”

Busse’s comment may have been prophetic, as Multnomah County in Oregon 
just announced it’s suing several fossil fuel companies for their 
alleged role in lethal heat waves in 2019.

A verdict from district court Judge Kathy Seeley is expected later this 
summer.
Disclosure: Karin Kirk lives in Montana and volunteers on behalf of 
cleaner energy policies in the state.
https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2023/06/the-six-big-surprises-in-the-montana-youth-climate-trial/ 




/[ advice delivered by the Guardian ]/
*We don’t have to be overwhelmed by climate anxiety. Feel the pain, then 
act*
Susie Orbach
Sun 25 Jun 2023
My working day as a psychotherapist involves engaging with conflicts, 
with confusions, with lassitude. Clarity and relief don’t come from 
intricate analysis on its own. Clarity and relief emerge out of an 
understanding of the difficult feelings generated by hurt, by 
abandonment, by aggression, by neglect, by carelessness and by 
unintentionality.
- -
It doesn’t matter which week we choose. There is always a climate 
emergency; an emergency we can close our ears and eyes to. Two weeks 
ago, it was the blanketing of New York in a cloud of smoke from Canada. 
Last week, Beijing recorded the hottest June since records began. All 
over the world, sea levels rise. Drought or flooding ensues. And the 
loss of habitats and species. We can get frightened and find it hard to 
hold the knowledge of what is occurring.

As filmmaker Josh Appignanesi shows in his new film My Extinction, which 
will be released on 30 June, allowing himself to feel the real-time 
effects of climate change is uncomfortable. Appignanesi, who recycles 
yet makes car commercials, turns the camera on himself as his climate 
concerns start to make him feel disgruntled. He feels put out and 
inconvenienced. And he ends up getting far more involved in climate work 
than he’d ever thought possible.

The implications of acknowledging the nefarious activities of the oil 
and logging companies, and the London hard-sell thinktanks that operate 
as fig leaves for their corporate power, can be enraging and curiously 
stultifying. Yet if we stay long enough with our feelings of rage, of 
helplessness, of sorrow, of wanting to shut off what we didn’t want to 
know about, we can find a way too towards a new ethics of responsibility.

Appignanesi’s film reminds us that working together is the empowering 
antidote. It’s a lesson we need to be reminded of again and again.

My working day as a psychotherapist involves engaging with conflicts, 
with confusions, with lassitude. Clarity and relief don’t come from 
intricate analysis on its own. Clarity and relief emerge out of an 
understanding of the difficult feelings generated by hurt, by 
abandonment, by aggression, by neglect, by carelessness and by 
unintentionality.

Along with understanding is the process of experiencing these often 
troubling emotions. Experiencing emotions is not an “aha” moment. 
Feelings are more devilish and complex. It’s as though we have to 
“un-repress” them so they can unfold through their many and varied 
dimensions.

The involuntary turning away and acceptance that our world is doomed can 
sink us into despair
We might first notice rage, which then gives way to sadness, to despair 
and a new thoughtfulness about what to do. Or we might start with 
helplessness, which opens up into insult and then indignation. How 
feelings cascade is personal. They are rooted in the emotional palates 
we were exposed to growing up – the feelings our families sanctioned 
(and didn’t) and how we’ve been able to expand from those. In whichever 
way we now come at our feelings, what’s interesting is that, once 
allowed, supplementary feelings emerge.

Sticking around to see what those are enriches not just our own sense of 
self and potency but builds a bridge to doing. Adding our knowledge – 
the facts of a given situation – to our feelings combines to create new 
psychological landscapes that allow an individual, family or group to 
act differently in the present.

So, too, with climate issues and the sorrows and immobility that the 
catastrophic can at first induce in us. The involuntary turning away and 
acceptance that our world is doomed can sink us into despair. Thank 
goodness for the young and their refusal of futility. Their railing and 
actions set an example by reminding us that acknowledging our feelings 
can propel us to act. Shutting off from our feelings is a counsel of 
collapse; it diminishes us, it disempowers us, it makes us less smart 
and, in so doing, adds to the climate emergency.

Do we know what to do? Not exactly. Are the efforts being made by 
individuals who come together to force the climate emergency on to our 
and the government’s consciousness effective? Yes and no. Awareness is 
high, but action is interrupted by ideological currents that seep into 
us emotionally.

Climate deniers learned new tricks from their forefathers in the tobacco 
lobby to stain our minds. Tobacco companies no longer deny smoking is 
bad – that battle is lost. Instead, they instigate an emotional appeal 
about freedom, individual choice and desire.

And so, too, the climate deniers having lost the scientific fight, have 
chosen to fight on a different terrain. They also invoke individual 
choice, reformulating progress as personal freedom. It’s sold as part of 
growth – economic development brings the whole world wealth. It’s a 
strange sell, and yet a compelling one. It’s of a piece with bearing 
arms in the United States and everyone making their own destiny and 
wealth, being an individual who can think for her or himself.

Psychology is harnessed to a pseudo-behavioural economics to persuade us 
that personal liberty and growth is all, that the freedom to travel 
where we wish, to see the world as our playground, to see forest fires 
and coral death as part of the “natural” ecosystem are phenomena we 
shouldn’t worry too much about so long as we recycle.

Emotional appeal at this level isn’t just cynical; it is deadly. It 
needs to be resisted.

The young, growing up more emotionally literate and with greater 
knowledge about environmental stories, are the ones to take the lead and 
contest such abhorrent views of freedom and personal liberty as they 
work to find solutions to the climate crisis. They join those who love 
and respect the “natural” world and those of us who abhor the perverse 
agendas of growth that rape the earth.

Yes, it is true we don’t know what to do but we are endeavouring to 
learn together, fight and speak truth to power. Old slogans, I know, but 
no less valid for that. Feelings can make us humble and make us strong. 
There isn’t a contradiction, just different aspects of human 
subjectivity that can propel us to think and act.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/jun/25/we-dont-have-to-be-overwhelmed-by-climate-anxiety-feel-the-pain-then-act



/[ engineers and architects underestimate projected risks ]/
*Extreme precipitation risks currently underestimated*
Andrew Freedman, author of Axios Generate
A database that infrastructure planners use to determine how best to 
design a bridge, building or new tunnel vastly understates the risk of 
extreme precipitation events, a report shows.

The big picture: The current NOAA precipitation expectations, used to 
determine the risk of a "100-year" rainstorm and even rarer events, are 
not keeping pace with the warming climate, the First Street Foundation 
concludes in an analysis.

The report uses a new, peer-reviewed flood model to examine how climate 
change already has shifted the odds of extreme precipitation events 
across the U.S.
It compares the model's findings with what is contained in the NOAA 
database, known as Atlas 14.
The climate change-related trends are projected to continue as warmer 
ocean and air temperatures provide more water vapor for storms to 
convert into heavy precipitation.
Between the lines: First Street shows that more than 51% of Americans 
live in an area now twice as likely to experience a 1-in-100-year flood 
event, compared with expectations from Atlas 14.

The biggest positive corrections to NOAA's data came in the Northeast, 
Ohio Valley, and Texas and Louisiana coastlines.
Some areas saw decreases compared to Atlas 14, including parts of the 
Plains and intermountain West.
Studies show that climate change is increasing the frequency and 
magnitude of precipitation extremes, along with contributing to hotter, 
more frequent and long duration heat waves as well as stronger hurricanes.
NOAA is in the process of updating its database for Atlas 15, but this 
is not expected to begin rolling out until 2026.

The government's outdated estimates may help set the design standards 
for the vast sums of infrastructure spending in the Biden 
administration's climate and infrastructure laws.
If that is the case, it would mean many large projects would be outdated 
and vulnerable as soon as they are completed, First Street founder and 
CEO Matthew Eby told Axios in an interview.
Yes, but: Besides First Street, a nonprofit, many climate startups exist 
to help prepare companies and communities for changing risks where 
existing data falls short.

https://www.axios.com/2023/06/26/extreme-weather-precipitation-risks

- -

/[ here it is ]/
*Extreme weather **The big picture*
https://www.axios.com/science/extreme-weather he

- -

/[ From NASA visualization Labs ]/
*Sea Level Through a Porthole*
Updated, June 27, 2023
Visualizations by: Andrew J Christensen
As the planet warms and polar ice melts, our global average sea level is 
rising. Although exact ocean heights vary due to local geography, 
climate over time, and dynamic fluid interactions with gravity and 
planetary rotation, scientists observe sea level trends by comparing 
measurements against a 20 year spatial and temporal mean reference. 
These visualizations use the visual metaphor of a submerged porthole 
window to observe how far our oceans rose between 1993 and 2022.
https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/5114



/[The news archive - looking back at a set back ]/
/*June 28, 2006*/
*June 28, 2006: The documentary "Who Killed the Electric Car?" is 
released in the United States.* (Executive producer Dean Devlin and 
electric-car advocate Chelsea Sexton would appear on the July 7, 2006 
edition of "EcoTalk with Betsy Rosenberg" on Air America to discuss the 
film.)
http://youtu.be/k96tIRjxzw0

http://blogsofbainbridge.typepad.com/ecotalkblog/2006/07/who_killed_the_.html 




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