[✔️] November 16, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | Yale studies foreign nations, Helen Thompson studies energy, 2005 Cheney

Thu Nov 16 08:08:10 EST 2023

/*November 16*//*, 2023*/

/[ Yale Climate Change Communication  ]/
*International Public Opinion on Climate Change, 2023*
Nov 14, 2023
By Anthony Leiserowitz, Marija Verner, Emily Goddard, Emily Wood, 
Jennifer Carman, Natalia Ordaz Reynoso, Erik Thulin, Seth Rosenthal, 
Jennifer Marlon and Nicole Buttermore
Filed under: Beliefs & Attitudes, Behaviors & Actions, Policy & Politics 
and Climate Impacts
- -
This report presents results from an international survey, conducted in 
partnership with Data for Good at Meta and Rare’s Center for Behavior & 
the Environment, that investigate public climate change knowledge, 
beliefs, attitudes, policy preferences, and behavior among Facebook 
users. The survey collected responses from 139,136 Facebook monthly 
active users (18+). Responses were collected from 187 countries and 
territories worldwide, including 107 individual countries and 
territories and 3 geographic groups comprising 80 additional countries 
and territories (for a total of 110 “areas,” which are the unit of 
analysis in the report). Interview dates: August 3 – September 3, 2023.
https://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/international-public-opinion-on-climate-change-2023/ 

- -

/[ Read Executive Summary ]/
Nov 14, 2023
*International Public Opinion on Climate Change, 2023*
By Anthony Leiserowitz, Marija Verner, Emily Goddard, Emily Wood, 
Jennifer Carman, Natalia Ordaz Reynoso, Erik Thulin, Seth Rosenthal, 
Jennifer Marlon and Nicole Buttermore
Filed under: Beliefs & Attitudes, Behaviors & Actions, Policy & Politics 
and Climate Impacts

*Executive Summary*

This report describes climate change beliefs, attitudes, policy 
preferences, and behaviors among Facebook users in 110 countries, 
territories, and geographic groups (hereafter referred to as “areas”). 
Overall, these 110 areas represent 187 countries and territories 
worldwide.1 The survey was developed by the Yale Program on Climate 
Change Communication, Data for Good at Meta, and Rare’s Center for 
Behavior & the Environment, and was fielded by Meta from August 3 – 
September 3, 2023. Among the key findings at the global level:

*Climate Change Knowledge, Beliefs, and Engagement*

*Knowledge about climate change:* Respondents in Finland (89%) and 
Hungary (85%) are the most likely to say they know “a lot” or “a 
moderate amount” about climate change. In contrast, respondents in Benin 
and Haiti (both 36%) are the most likely to say they have “never heard 
of” climate change.

*Climate change is happening:* After being given a short definition of 
climate change, respondents in El Salvador (94%), Sri Lanka, Taiwan, 
Armenia, Nicaragua (all 93%), and Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Colombia (all 
92%) are the most likely to think climate change is happening, while 
respondents in Haiti (64%); Australia and the Netherlands (both 70%); 
and Laos and Austria (both 71%) are the least likely.

*Climate change is human-caused:* Respondents in Portugal (61%), Spain 
(59%), and Finland (57%) are the most likely to think that climate 
change is mostly caused by human activities, while respondents in Haiti 
(18%) and Indonesia (20%) are the least likely.
*Worry and Perceived Risks Regarding Climate Change*

*Worry about climate change: *Respondents in South Korea and Puerto Rico 
(both 93%), and Costa Rica and El Salvador (both 92%) are the most 
likely to say they are either “very worried” or “somewhat worried” about 
climate change, while respondents from the Netherlands (45%) and Yemen 
(47%) are the least likely.

*Climate change will harm future generations:* Respondents in Puerto 
Rico (84%) and Costa Rica (83%) are the most likely to say that climate 
change will harm future generations “a great deal,” while respondents in 
Yemen (27%) are the least likely to say so.

*Climate change will be personally harmful:* Respondents are the most 
likely to say that climate change will harm them personally “a great 
deal” in El Salvador (66%) and Puerto Rico, Mexico, Panama, Colombia, 
and Malawi (all 61%), and the least likely to say so in the Czech 
Republic and Finland (both 5%), and the Netherlands (7%).

*Personal importance of climate change: *Respondents in El Salvador 
(87%) and Mozambique (85%) are the most likely to say that climate 
change is either “extremely” or “very” important to them personally, 
while respondents in the Netherlands (19%) and Jordan (28%) are the 
least likely to say so.

*Support for Action on Climate Change*

*Climate change as a government priority: *Respondents in Puerto Rico 
(92%) and El Salvador (90%) are the most likely to say that climate 
change should be either a “very high” or “high” priority for their 
government, while respondents in Yemen (38%) and Turkey (45%) are the 
least likely to say so.
https://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/international-public-opinion-on-climate-change-2023/toc/2/
- -
/[ Read more ]/
*1. Climate Change Knowledge, Beliefs, and Engagement*
1.1 Respondents in many countries, territories, and groups say they know 
at least a moderate amount about climate change.
https://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/international-public-opinion-on-climate-change-2023/toc/3/

/[ Nations may move off printing money, instead wrangling energy ]/
*Helen Thompson: "The Complex History of Energy and Geopolitics" | The 
Great Simplification #98*
Nate Hagens
    Nov 15, 2023  The Great Simplification - with Nate Hagens
     (Conversation recorded on October 30th, 2023)

Show Summary:

    On this episode, political economist Helen Thompson and Nate discuss
    how energy and geopolitics have interconnected over the past
    century, building to the entangled political relationships we see
    around us today. The dynamics of power on a global scale are complex
    - stemming from access to energy, financial control, military
    strength, credibility/trust, and much more - yet we can understand
    these a bit better by learning the history that shaped them. How
    have geologic provinces of energy dense carbon created inherent hot
    spots on the geopolitical playing field? How has the global monetary
    system and debt evolved to strengthen the power of a select few
    countries and how difficult is it to break from this system? Do our
    leaders have the capability/knowledge to connect energy and
    geopolitical policy in order to guide us through a future of
    declining energy availability?

About Helen Thompson:
Helen Thompson is Professor of Political Economy at Cambridge since 
1994. Her current research concentrates on the political economy of 
energy and the long history of the democratic, economic, and 
geopolitical disruptions of the twenty-first century. She is a regular 
panelist on Talking Politics and a columnist for the New Statesman. She 
is a co-presenter of UnHerd's podcast, These Times and recently 
published Disorder: Hard Times in the 21st Century.
- -

    00:00 - Guest highlight
    00:24 - Guest introduction
    01:52 - How did Helen become interested in her work?
    04:37 - Overview of Helen’s new book: Disorder: Hard Times in the
    21st Century
    07:21 - Is the political science field energy blind?
    10:29 - The Suez Crisis and potentiality of a future one
    14:38 - The importance of the Suez Canal and the Strait of Hormuz
    17:36 - Is there a parallel between the Abraham Accords and Iran
    potentially feeling less relevant?
    21:26 - Could the Middle East countries’ aversion to the West unite
    them in a conflict?
    24:06 - How is energy at the center of this conflict
    27:12 - What is the most hopeful outcome of the current situation?
    28:30 - Explanation of the complex situation in the Middle East
    30:40 - History of U.S. relations with the Middle East
    36:36 - Biden’s policy
    38:40 - BRICS+ available oil exports
    42:36 - Can the rest of the world put sanctions on the U.S. without
    affecting their own economies?
    44:57 - Israel-Hamas situation and energy
    50:19 - Teaching
    51:00 - How energy allowed Britain and Germany to become key powers
    in Europe
    57:47 - Could there be war in the future fighting for renewable energy?
    1:01:10 - Can the Global North and West create agreements with the
    countries in which important metals reside for renewable energy?
    1:06:09 - Is U.S. dollar-denominated debt strong enough to hold
    geopolitical sway even if the petrodollar is in decline?
    1:12:18 - What really underpins the strength, ubiquity, and
    confidence in the U.S. dollar?
    1:14:50 - Was the Ukraine invasion about energy or territorial? How
    did Crimea fit into this strategy?
    1:21:46 - How did Europe become so dependent on Russian oil and
    natural gas?
    1:30:10 - Where does the UK stand in this?
    1:32:41 - If Israel evicts the Palestinian populations from Gaza and
    the West Bank, will Arab governments collectively respond, and what
    would be the implications?
    1:35:14 - How much do end time prophecies around various religious
    groups play into this situation?
    1:36:47 - Will energy insecurity push nations towards green energy?
    1:40:32 - Helen’s advice for UK political leaders
    1:42:02 - Could the political leaders be educated on energy and the
    systemic story?
    1:44:22 - Self education
    1:47:48 - Helen’s advice for listeners
    1:49:40 - Helen’s advice for young adults
    1:52:16 - Helen’s advice for graduate students
    1:55:36 - What Helen cares most about
    1:57:49 - Helen’s magic wand

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FQbdNXQcT3E

/[The news archive -  notorious secret meeting  VP Cheney holds secret 
pow wow ]/
/*November 16, 2005 */
November 16, 2005: The Washington Post reports:

    "A White House document shows that executives from big oil companies
    met with Vice President Cheney's energy task force in 2001 --
    something long suspected by environmentalists but denied as recently
    as last week by industry officials testifying before Congress

    “The document, obtained this week by The Washington Post, shows that
    officials from Exxon Mobil Corp., Conoco (before its merger with
    Phillips), Shell Oil Co. and BP America Inc. met in the White House
    complex with the Cheney aides who were developing a national energy
    policy, parts of which became law and parts of which are still being
    debated."

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/11/15/AR2005111501842.html

/
/

/
/

/[ From the Onion  -- less funny, more sardonic.  Video comment ]/
*Scientist Explains How Climate Crisis Would Be Averted If Greta 
Thunberg Just Tried A Little Harder*
The Onion
Nov 15, 2023
Is climate change reversible? Dr. Douglas Harrison, a climatologist at 
the Pratt Climate Institute, believes so. But as he explains, in order 
to save the planet, it’s going to take a lot more effort than what’s 
currently being given by Swedish climate activist Greta Thunberg.

Subscribe to The Onion on YouTube: http://bit.ly/xzrBUA
Like The Onion on Facebook: http://www.fb.com/theonion
Follow The Onion on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/theonion
More Breaking News: http://www.theonion.com/video/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bkrcxLgHn-w

[  "Eyes up, horizon down.

Heat.  Drought and deluge.

No-Thing is a secret "

  rp 2023 ]

*Japan’s haiku poets lost for words as climate crisis disrupts seasons*
The rhythms of the natural world have informed countless haiku in the 
centuries since Bashō wrote the Narrow Road to the Deep North. But now 
things are not so clear
by Justin McCurry in Tokyo
13 Nov 2023
Wooden tablets dotted along a path between office buildings and the 
Sendaibori river in eastern Tokyo mark the start of a journey by Japan’s 
most revered poet that would result in his greatest collection of verse.

The tablets showing haiku by Matsuo Bashō are steeped in the seasonal 
certainties of the late 1600s. There are references to full moons, 
chirping cicadas and, of course, cherry blossoms.

Awareness of the seasons, and the seamless transition from one to the 
next, is found in myriad aspects of Japanese life: cuisine and 
traditional dress, the performing arts and, perhaps most conspicuously 
of all, in haiku poetry.

Almost four centuries later, Bashō’s words continue to inspire 
admiration and countless amateur exponents of the 17-syllable form, 
including the former EU president and published haiku poet Herman Van 
Rompuy, who credits the verse with making him a more effective politician.
But they are also a reminder that haiku faces what some of its 
enthusiasts fear is an existential threat: the climate crisis.

The poems displayed at regular intervals along the Sendaibori promenade 
are intended to evoke the cooler climes of autumn but this year they 
feel off kilter even though it is late September.

The walk begins outside the hut Bashō stayed in before setting off on an 
odyssey that would result in his most famous work, Oku no Hosomichi (The 
Narrow Road to the Deep North).
The sun is beginning to dip, but the air is still heavy with humidity. 
The exertions of walkers and cyclists, in T-shirts and shorts, making 
their way to the crown of the bridge are written in the sweat on their 
brows.

One of the poems encapsulates the feeling of seasonal misalignment.

    Ishiyama no

    Ishi yori shiroshi

    Aki no kaze

    A whiteness whiter

    than the stones of Stone Mountain

    The wind in autumn

Bashō wrote those words after a visit to a hilltop temple in Komatsu, 
near the Japan Sea coast, on 18 September 1689.
Read contemporaneously, they would have evoked the arrival of cooler, 
crisper days – a subtle shift in the seasons the master poet would have 
doubtlessly welcomed on his epic travels on foot. Today, though, they 
belong not just to another century, but to an age of symmetry between 
culture and the seasons that is being irrevocably blurred by the climate 
crisis.
*Disrupting the ‘year-time almanac’*
Japan is no stranger to extreme weather, but summers once described as 
uncomfortably muggy are now so hot that they represent a real threat to 
human life, especially among Japan’s large and growing population of 
older people. The country has experienced a series of unusually strong 
typhoons in recent years, causing deadly floods in low-lying areas and 
landslides in mountainous regions. Scientists say global heating is 
resulting in warmer oceans around the archipelago, threatening some 
marine species and affecting the migratory habits of others.
The rhythms of the natural world have informed countless haiku verse in 
the centuries since Bashō lived and wrote. In their purist form, each 
haiku must comprise three lines of five, seven and five syllables, and 
include a kireji – a “cutting word” that lends the verse contrast, and, 
crucially, a kigo, or seasonal reference.

The climate crisis is wreaking havoc on the Saijiki – the “year-time 
almanac” of thousands of seasonal words that are widely acknowledged as 
acceptable for inclusion in haiku. A kigo could refer to a particular 
plant or animal, the weather, seasonal festivals, the sky and the 
heavens. When read at a corresponding time of the year, it is supposed 
to stir emotions in the reader.

“With kigo, you’re compressing three or four months into a single word,” 
says David McMurray, a haiku poet who has curated the Asahi Shimbun 
newspaper’s Haikuist Network column since 1995. “Take the word mosquito 
… the entire summer is packed into that one word, and it conjures up so 
many images.”

The premature first pops of sakura buds in spring and and the arrival of 
typhoons in the summer instead of the autumn are two notable examples of 
seasonal dissonance.
“The seasons are important to haiku because they focus on one particular 
element,” adds McMurray, a professor of intercultural studies at the 
International University of Kagoshima, where he lectures on 
international haiku. “But typhoons arrive in the summer now, and we’re 
getting mosquitoes in the autumn, even in northern Japan.

“The risk is that we will lose the central role of the four seasons in 
composing haiku, and the Saijiki will essentially become a historical 
document. The Saijiki is very specific in the way it presents the words. 
But they no longer reflect reality.”

‘You can’t really empathise with … that season and emotion’
With more warmer days being recorded in Japan well beyond the end of 
summer, the diversity of seasonal words is under threat, according to 
Etsuya Hirose, a professional haiku poet.
“Take koharubiyori, a kigo of late autumn to early winter used to 
express a day of warm, mild, sunny, almost springlike weather in the 
midst of harshly cold days, associated with a sense of soothing and 
comfort,” Hirose told the Nikkei business newspaper. “Nowadays, more 
days are warm at that time of year, so you can’t really empathise with 
that kigo, that season and emotion.”

As global heating accelerates the process of natural misalignment, the 
haiku writer can either down tools in despair or simply adapt, according 
to Toshio Kimura, a poet and director of the Haiku International 
Association. Warmer, more unpredictable weather is blurring the 
transition from one season to the next, but haiku has the versatility to 
adapt, he believes. “The purpose of haiku is not to praise seasons 
themselves, but to try to see the human essence through nature.
“Of course, several poets will lament climate change in their haiku. 
However, to describe a certain climate is not the aim of haiku.”

However, an understated form of environmental activism is now making its 
way into haiku, according to Andrew Fitzsimons, a professor in the 
department of English language and cultures at Gakushuin University in 
Tokyo.

“With later and shorter rainy seasons, longer summers, and warming seas 
and oceans, with the effect on vegetation, on animal life, and on the 
timing and duration of blossoms, for instance, there is a sense of being 
out of step with the way things have been and have been written about,” 
said Fitzsimons, author of Bashō: The Complete Haiku of Matsuo Bashō.

He offered this example by the poet Namiko Yamamoto:

    Spring in the mind

    if not actually

    in the air

Bashō didn’t know it at the time, of course, but modern-day admirers 
have had to adjust their reading of his haiku as a result of climate 
change. After this year’s long, record-breaking summer, discussion among 
haiku poets turned to zansho, a reference to a phenomenon that, in 
Bashō’s time, was a rarity – an early autumn day of lingering summer heat.

In 1689, Bashō wrote during his journey between Echigo (now Niigata 
prefecture) and Kanazawa:

    Red on red on red

    unrelenting the sun yet

    the wind of autumn

“One of Basho’s most famous poems captures what is now a much more 
common phenomenon,” Fitzsimons say
“Haiku, like all poetry, deals with reality, both inner and outer, so 
haiku can’t but concern itself with what it sees and what it feels about 
what it sees. More than most forms of poetry, though, haiku is 
particularly keyed to the everyday. Climate change, and the effects it 
will have on how we go about living with its daily consequences, will be 
an ever-present, pressing – and depressing – theme.”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/14/lost-to-the-climate-crisis-japan-haiku-poets

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