[✔️] November 20, 2023- Global Warming News Digest | Taylor Swift heat, South America, Saudi flooding, Lancet report, Net Zero falsehood, LobbyMap. Sea level rise, Cryosphere PDF, 2012 Chris Hayes concemns,

[Richard Pauli]

/*November *//*20, 2023*/

/[ Top news of Taylor Swift ]/
*Why it’s so hot in Brazil, where a Taylor Swift concertgoer died*
By Matthew Cappucci and Jason Samenow
November 19, 2023
Unprecedented heat for mid-November is roasting Brazil and other parts 
of South America amid a record stretch of hot weather for the planet.

The heat in Rio de Janeiro, a city of nearly 7 million people, has 
proved disruptive and deadly. During sweltering temperatures Friday 
night, a woman died at a Taylor Swift concert. It was so hot Saturday 
that Swift postponed her concert scheduled for that night. “The safety 
and well-being of my fans, fellow performers and crew has to and always 
will come first,” read a message posted to Swift’s Instagram story on 
Saturday afternoon.

Even though it’s still spring in the Southern Hemisphere, temperatures 
have climbed well above what’s typical even in summer, which is more 
than a month away...
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Furthermore, the frequency, intensity and duration of extreme heat 
events, like this one, are increasing because of human-caused climate 
change. The planet just observed its warmest 12-month period on record 
and the past five months have all been the warmest observed.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/11/19/brazil-extreme-heat-taylor-swift/

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/[ Brazil and below ]/
*Record-breaking heat set to hit southern hemisphere as summer begins*
The northern hemisphere experienced a sweltering summer due to climate 
and meteorological patters. Scientists say the south will not escape.
Bianca Nogrady
The southern hemisphere is facing a summer of extremes, say scientists, 
as climate change amplifies the effects of natural climate variability. 
This comes in the wake of a summer in the northern hemisphere that saw 
extreme heatwaves across Europe, China and North America, setting new 
records for both daytime and night-time temperatures in some areas.

Andrew King, a climate scientist at the University of Melbourne, 
Australia, says that there is “a high chance of seeing record-high 
temperatures, at least on a global average, and seeing some particularly 
extreme events in some parts of the world”.

*El Niño effects*
As 2023 draws to a close, meteorologists and climate scientists are 
predicting weather patterns that will lead to record-high land and sea 
surface temperatures. These include a strong El Niño in the Pacific 
Ocean, and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole.

“Those kinds of big drivers can have a big influence on drought and 
extremes across the southern hemisphere,” says Ailie Gallant, a climate 
scientist at Monash University in Melbourne, Australia, and chief 
investigator for the Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence 
for Climate Extremes. In Australia, both of those phenomena tend to 
“cause significant drought conditions, particularly across the east of 
the country”.

During 2019 and 2020, the same combination of climatic drivers 
contributed to wildfires that burned for several months across more than 
24 million hectares in eastern and southeastern Australia.

In eastern Africa, the combination of El Niño and a positive Indian 
Ocean Dipole is associated with wetter conditions than normal and an 
increased likelihood of extreme rainfall events and flooding. Above 
average rainfall is forecast for much of southern Africa in mid-to-late 
spring (October to December), followed by warm and dry conditions in the 
summer.
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*Hot oceans*
Oceans are also feeling the heat. Global average sea surface 
temperatures reached a record high in July this year, and some areas 
were more than 3 ºC warmer than usual. There were also record-low levels 
of sea ice around Antarctica during the winter, which could lead to a 
feedback loop, says Ariaan Purich, a climate scientist at Monash 
University. “Large areas of the Southern Ocean that would usually still 
be covered by sea ice in October aren’t,” she says. Instead of being 
reflected off white ice, incoming sunlight is more likely to be absorbed 
by the dark ocean surface. “Then this makes the surface warmer and it’s 
going to melt back more sea ice so we can have this positive feedback.”
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Another meteorological element in the mix this summer is the Southern 
Annular Mode, also known as the Antarctic Oscillation, which describes 
the northward or southward shift of the belt of westerly winds that 
circles Antarctica.

In 2019, the Southern Annular Mode was in a strong negative phase. “What 
this meant was that across eastern Australia, there were a lot of very 
hot and dry winds blowing from the desert across to eastern Australia, 
and so this really exacerbated the bush-fire risk,” says Purich. A 
positive Southern Annular Mode is associated with greater rainfall 
across most of Australia and southern Africa but dry conditions for 
South America, New Zealand and Tasmania.

The Southern Annular Mode is currently in a positive state, but is 
forecast to return to neutral in the coming days, and “I’d say that 
we’re not expecting to have a very strong negative Southern Annular Mode 
this spring”, Purich says.

And, as hot as the summer could be, the worst might be yet to come. 
Atmospheric scientist David Karoly at the University of Melbourne, who 
was a member of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, says that 
the biggest impact of El Niño is likely to be felt in the summer of 
2024–25. “We know that the impact on temperatures associated with El 
Niño happens the year after the event,” says Karoly.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-023-03547-9
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-03547-9

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/[ video news, for Saudi Arabia weather anomaly ]
/*Biblical hailstorm hits Saudi Arabia! The World is in shock!*
ND News
Nov 19, 2023  МЕККА
Severe weather has affected Saudi Arabia.
The flooding is caused by heavy rains that have not stopped in the west 
of the country for several days.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dsGqnnnIF3s/
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/[ video reading of an important medical report ]/
*Chat on new Lancet Report on the Increasing Impacts of Abrupt Climate 
System Change on Human Health*
Paul Beckwith
Nov 17, 2023
Over the last 8 years or so, the very prestigious medical journal Lancet 
has published an annual review of the effects of climate change on human 
health. I chat about the 2023 report, which has just been released in 
the couple weeks prior to the COP28 climate conference in Dubai.
Essentially human health around the globe is being held hostage by 
fossil fuel companies and the large banks that are funding their rapid 
acceleration of fossil fuel extraction. Things are worsening rapidly, as 
fossil fuel companies and large banks literally shoot humanity in the 
foot, and in other places as well.
     Please donate at http://PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and 
videos as I join the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
     I prefer to stick with volunteer donations to support my work 
rather than rely on YouTube channel monetization with its annoying ads.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gS80MxeuRg

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/[ the summary text of health alerts posted by The Lancet ]/
*The 2023 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: 
the imperative for a health-centred response in a world facing 
irreversible harms*
Marina Romanello, PhD
Claudia di Napoli, PhD
Carole Green, MPH
Harry Kennard, PhD
Pete Lampard, PhD
Daniel Scamman, PhD ...et al.
Published:November 14, 2023DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(23)01859-7
*Executive Summary*
The Lancet Countdown is an international research collaboration that 
independently monitors the evolving impacts of climate change on health, 
and the emerging health opportunities of climate action. In its eighth 
iteration, this 2023 report draws on the expertise of 114 scientists and 
health practitioners from 52 research institutions and UN agencies 
worldwide to provide its most comprehensive assessment yet.
In 2022, the Lancet Countdown warned that people's health is at the 
mercy of fossil fuels and stressed the transformative opportunity of 
jointly tackling the concurrent climate change, energy, cost-of-living, 
and health crises for human health and wellbeing. This year's report 
finds few signs of such progress. At the current 10-year mean heating of 
1·14°C above pre-industrial levels, climate change is increasingly 
impacting the health and survival of people worldwide, and projections 
show these risks could worsen steeply with further inaction. However, 
with health matters gaining prominence in climate change negotiations, 
this report highlights new opportunities to deliver health-promoting 
climate change action and a safe and thriving future for all.
The rising health toll of a changing climate
In 2023, the world saw the highest global temperatures in over 100 000 
years, and heat records were broken in all continents through 2022. 
Adults older than 65 years and infants younger than 1 year, for whom 
extreme heat can be particularly life-threatening, are now exposed to 
twice as many heatwave days as they would have experienced in 1986–2005 
(indicator 1.1.2). Harnessing the rapidly advancing science of detection 
and attribution, new analysis shows that over 60% of the days that 
reached health-threatening high temperatures in 2020 were made more than 
twice as likely to occur due to anthropogenic climate change (indicator 
1.1.5); and heat-related deaths of people older than 65 years increased 
by 85% compared with 1990–2000, substantially higher than the 38% 
increase that would have been expected had temperatures not changed 
(indicator 1.1.5).
Simultaneously, climate change is damaging the natural and human systems 
on which people rely for good health. The global land area affected by 
extreme drought increased from 18% in 1951–60 to 47% in 2013–22 
(indicator 1.2.2), jeopardising water security, sanitation, and food 
production. A higher frequency of heatwaves and droughts in 2021 was 
associated with 127 million more people experiencing moderate or severe 
food insecurity compared with 1981–2010 (indicator 1.4), putting 
millions of people at risk of malnutrition and potentially irreversible 
health effects. The changing climatic conditions are also putting more 
populations at risk of life-threatening infectious diseases, such as 
dengue, malaria, vibriosis, and West Nile virus (indicator 1.3).
Compounding these direct health impacts, the economic losses associated 
with global heating increasingly harm livelihoods, limit resilience, and 
restrict the funds available to tackle climate change. Economic losses 
from extreme weather events increased by 23% between 2010–14 and 
2018–22, amounting to US$264 billion in 2022 alone (indicator 4.1.1), 
whereas heat exposure led to global potential income losses worth $863 
billion (indicators 1.1.4 and 4.1.3). Labour capacity loss resulting 
from heat exposure affected low and medium Human Development Index (HDI) 
countries the most, exacerbating global inequities, with potential 
income losses equivalent to 6·1% and 3·8% of their gross domestic 
product (GDP), respectively (indicator 4.1.3).
The multiple and simultaneously rising risks of climate change are 
amplifying global health inequities and threatening the very foundations 
of human health. Health systems are increasingly strained, and 27% of 
surveyed cities declared concerns over their health systems being 
overwhelmed by the impacts of climate change (indicator 2.1.3). Often 
due to scarce financial resources and low technical and human capacity, 
the countries most vulnerable to climate impacts also face the most 
challenges in achieving adaptation progress, reflecting the human risks 
of an unjust transition. Only 44% of low HDI countries and 54% of medium 
HDI countries reported high implementation of health emergency 
management capacities in 2022, compared with 85% of very high HDI 
countries (indicator 2.2.5). Additionally, low and medium HDI countries 
had the highest proportion of cities not intending to undertake a 
climate change risk assessment in 2021 (12%; indicator 2.1.3). These 
inequalities are aggravated by the persistent failure of the wealthiest 
countries to deliver the promised modest annual sum of $100 billion to 
support climate action in those countries defined as developing within 
the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. Consequently, those 
countries that have historically contributed the least to climate change 
are bearing the brunt of its health impacts—both a reflection and a 
direct consequence of the structural inequities that lie within the root 
causes of climate change.
*The human costs of persistent inaction*
The growing threats experienced to date are early signs and symptoms of 
what a rapidly changing climate could mean for the health of the world's 
populations. With 1337 tonnes of CO2 emitted each second, each moment of 
delay worsens the risks to people's health and survival.
In this year's report, new projections reveal the dangers of further 
delays in action, with every tracked health dimension worsening as the 
climate changes. If global mean temperature continues to rise to just 
under 2°C, annual heat-related deaths are projected to increase by 370% 
by midcentury, assuming no substantial progress on adaptation (indicator 
1.1.5). Under such a scenario, heat-related labour loss is projected to 
increase by 50% (indicator 1.1.4), and heatwaves alone could lead to 
524·9 million additional people experiencing moderate-to-severe food 
insecurity by 2041–60, aggravating the global risk of malnutrition. 
Life-threatening infectious diseases are also projected to spread 
further, with the length of coastline suitable for Vibrio pathogens 
expanding by 17–25%, and the transmission potential for dengue 
increasing by 36–37% by midcentury. As risks rise, so will the costs and 
challenges of adaptation. These estimates provide some indication of 
what the future could hold. However, poor accounting for non-linear 
responses, tipping points, and cascading and synergistic interactions 
could render these projections conservative, disproportionately 
increasing the threat to the health of populations worldwide.
*A world accelerating in the wrong direction*
The health risks of a 2°C hotter world underscore the health imperative 
of accelerating climate change action. With limits to adaptation drawing 
closer, ambitious mitigation is paramount to keep the magnitude of 
health hazards within the limits of the capacity of health systems to 
adapt. Yet years of scientific warnings of the threat to people's lives 
have been met with grossly insufficient action, and policies to date 
have put the world on track to almost 3°C of heating.
The 2022 Lancet Countdown report highlighted the opportunity to 
accelerate the transition away from health-harming fossil fuels in 
response to the global energy crisis. However, data this year show a 
world that is often moving in the wrong direction. Energy-related CO2 
emissions increased by 0·9% to a record 36·8 Gt in 2022 (indicator 
3.1.1), and still only 9·5% of global electricity comes from modern 
renewables (mainly solar and wind energy), despite their costs falling 
below that of fossil fuels. Concerningly, driven partly by record 
profits, oil and gas companies are further reducing their compliance 
with the Paris Agreement: the strategies of the world's 20 largest oil 
and gas companies as of early 2023 will result in emissions surpassing 
levels consistent with the Paris Agreement goals by 173% in 2040—an 
increase of 61% from 2022 (indicator 4.2.6). Rather than pursuing 
accelerated development of renewable energy, fossil fuel companies 
allocated only 4% of their capital investment to renewables in 2022.
Meanwhile, global fossil fuel investment increased by 10% in 2022, 
reaching over $1 trillion (indicator 4.2.1). The expansion of oil and 
gas extractive activities has been supported through both private and 
public financial flows. Across 2017–21, the 40 banks that lend most to 
the fossil fuel sector collectively invested $489 billion annually in 
fossil fuels (annual average), with 52% increasing their lending from 
2010–16. Simultaneously, in 2020, 78% of the countries assessed, 
responsible for 93% of all global CO2 emissions, still provided net 
direct fossil fuels subsidies totalling $305 billion, further hindering 
fossil fuel phase-out (indicator 4.2.4). Without a rapid response to 
course correct, the persistent use and expansion of fossil fuels will 
ensure an increasingly inequitable future that threatens the lives of 
billions of people alive today.
*The opportunity to deliver a healthy future for all*
Despite the challenges, data also expose the transformative health 
benefits that could come from the transition to a zero-carbon future, 
with health professionals playing a crucial role in ensuring these gains 
are maximised. Globally, 775 million people still live without 
electricity, and close to 1 billion people are still served by 
health-care facilities without reliable energy. With structural global 
inequities in the development of, access to, and use of clean energy, 
only 2·3% of electricity in low HDI countries comes from modern 
renewables (against 11% in very high HDI countries), and 92% of 
households in low HDI countries still rely on biomass fuels to meet 
their energy needs (against 7·5% in very high HDI countries; indicators 
3.1.1 and 3.1.2). In this context, the transition to renewables can 
enable access to decentralised clean energy and, coupled with 
interventions to increase energy efficiency, can reduce energy poverty 
and power high quality health-supportive services. By reducing the 
burning of dirty fuels (including fossil fuels and biomass), such 
interventions could help avoid a large proportion of the 1·9 million 
deaths that occur annually from dirty-fuel-derived, outdoor, airborne, 
fine particulate matter pollution (PM2·5; indicator 3.2.1), and a large 
proportion of the 78 deaths per 100 000 people associated with exposure 
to indoor air pollution (indicator 3.2.2). Additionally, the just 
development of renewable energy markets can generate net employment 
opportunities with safer, more locally available jobs. Ensuring 
countries, particularly those facing high levels of energy poverty, are 
supported in the safe development, deployment, and adoption of renewable 
energy is key to maximising health gains and preventing unjust 
extractive industrial practices that can harm the health and livelihoods 
of local populations and widen health inequities.
With fossil fuels accounting for 95% of road transport energy (indicator 
3.1.3), interventions to enable and promote safe active travel and 
zero-emission public transport can further deliver emissions reduction, 
promote health through physical activity, and avert many of the 460 000 
deaths caused annually by transport-derived PM2·5 pollution (indicator 
3.2.1), and some of the 3·2 million annual deaths related to physical 
inactivity. People-centred, climate-resilient urban redesign to improve 
building energy efficiency, increase green and blue spaces, and promote 
sustainable cooling, can additionally prevent heat-related health harms, 
avoid air-conditioning-derived emissions (indicator 2.2.2), and provide 
direct physical and mental health benefits.
Additionally, food systems are responsible for 30% of global greenhouse 
gas (GHG) emissions, with 57% of agricultural emissions in 2020 being 
derived from the production of red meat and milk (indicator 3.3.1). 
Promoting and enabling equitable access to affordable, healthy, 
low-carbon diets that meet local nutritional and cultural requirements 
can contribute to mitigation, while preventing many of the 12·2 million 
deaths attributable to suboptimal diets (indicator 3.3.2).
The health community could play a central role in securing these 
benefits, by delivering public health interventions to reduce air 
pollution, enabling and supporting active travel and healthier diets, 
and promoting improvements in the environmental conditions and 
commercial activities that define health outcomes. Importantly, the 
health sector can lead by example and transition to sustainable, 
resource-efficient, net-zero emission health systems, thereby preventing 
its 4·6% contribution to global GHG emissions, with cascading impacts 
ultimately affecting the broader economy (indicator 3.4).
Some encouraging signs of progress offer a glimpse of the enormous human 
benefits that health-centred action could render. Deaths attributable to 
fossil-fuel-derived air pollution have decreased by 15·7% since 2005, 
with 80% of this reduction being the result of reduced coal-derived 
pollution. Meanwhile the renewable energy sector expanded to a 
historical high of 12·7 million employees in 2021 (indicator 4.2.2); and 
renewable energy accounted for 90% of the growth in electricity capacity 
in 2022 (indicator 3.1.1). Supporting this, global clean energy 
investment increased by 15% in 2022, to $1·6 trillion, exceeding fossil 
fuel investment by 61% (indicator 4.2.1); and lending to the green 
energy sector rose to $498 billion in 2021, approaching fossil fuel 
lending (indicator 4.2.7).
Scientific understanding of the links between health and climate change 
is rapidly growing, and although coverage lags in some of the most 
affected regions, over 3000 scientific articles covered this topic in 
2022 (indicators 5.3.1 and 5.3.2). Meanwhile, the health dimensions of 
climate change are increasingly acknowledged in the public discourse, 
with 24% of all climate change newspaper articles in 2022 referring to 
health, just short of the 26% in 2020 (indicator 5.1). Importantly, 
international organisations are increasingly engaging with the health 
co-benefits of climate change mitigation (indicator 5.4.2), and 
governments increasingly acknowledge this link, with 95% of updated 
Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) under the Paris Agreement now 
referring to health—up from 73% in 2020 (indicator 5.4.1). These trends 
signal what could be the start of a life-saving transition.
*A people-centred transformation: putting health at the heart of climate 
action*
With the world currently heading towards 3°C of heating, any further 
delays in climate change action will increasingly threaten the health 
and survival of billions of people alive today. If meaningful, the 
prioritisation of health in upcoming international climate change 
negotiations could offer an unprecedented opportunity to deliver 
health-promoting climate action and pave the way to a thriving future. 
However, delivering such an ambition will require confronting the 
economic interests of the fossil fuel and other health-harming 
industries, and delivering science-grounded, steadfast, meaningful, and 
sustained progress to shift away from fossil fuels, accelerate 
mitigation, and deliver adaptation for health. Unless such progress 
materialises, the growing emphasis on health within climate change 
negotiations risks being mere healthwashing; increasing the 
acceptability of initiatives that minimally advance action, and which 
ultimately undermine—rather than protect—the future of people alive 
today and generations to come.
Safeguarding people's health in climate policies will require the 
leadership, integrity, and commitment of the health community. With its 
science-driven approach, this community is uniquely positioned to ensure 
that decision makers are held accountable, and foster human-centred 
climate action that safeguards human health above all else. The 
ambitions of the Paris Agreement are still achievable, and a prosperous 
and healthy future still lies within reach. But the concerted efforts 
and commitments of health professionals, policy makers, corporations, 
and financial institutions will be needed to ensure the promise of 
health-centred climate action becomes a reality that delivers a thriving 
future for all.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(23)01859-7/fulltext



/[  not surprising, but nice to validate suspicions   ]/
*More than Half of World’s Largest Companies’ Net Zero Pledges Are False 
Promises, Study Finds*
An InfluenceMap analysis finds many corporate climate vows do not match 
companies’ actual lobbying around climate-related policies.
ANALYSIS
By Dana Drugmand
Nov 15, 2023
  Companies’ climate commitments are largely misaligned with their 
lobbying activities, with more than half of the world’s largest 
corporations at risk of “net zero greenwashing,” according to a new report.

An analysis of nearly 300 of the top companies from the Forbes 2000 list 
found that 58 percent  did not match their climate policy influencing 
actions with their public claims of being committed to the Paris Climate 
Accord and achieving net zero emissions.

“Net Zero Greenwash: The Gap Between Corporate Commitments and Their 
Policy Engagement,” assessed companies’ lobbying against their net zero 
pledges. It determined that a company is at risk of greenwashing if it 
has announced a net zero or similar target, but is not sufficiently 
supportive of policies needed to achieve the Paris Agreement objectives, 
based on the LobbyMap platform that tracks corporate engagement on 
climate policy.

InfluenceMap, a London-based climate think tank, published the study 
today ahead of the COP28 climate summit in Dubai that begins on Nov. 30. 
It comes one year after a report from a UN High-Level Expert Group, 
issued at COP27 in Sharm-el Sheikh, Egypt, warned that climate pledges 
put forth by non-state actors are at risk of losing their credibility 
without concerted efforts to align words with actions. “We must have 
zero tolerance for net-zero greenwashing,” UN Secretary General António 
Guterres said last November during the launch of that report, called 
“Integrity Matters: Net Zero Commitments by Businesses, Financial 
Institutions, Cities and Regions.”

While the “Integrity Matters” report laid out a roadmap with detailed 
recommendations to avoid this greenwashing, many large corporations have 
not heeded the advice when it comes to their lobbying around 
climate-related policies, the new InfluenceMap study suggests.

Study ‘Should Be a Wake-up Call
The findings of the “Net Zero Greenwash” analysis “should be a wake-up 
call for businesses across the globe,” Catherine McKenna, chair of the 
High-Level Expert Group, CEO of Climate and Nature Solutions, and former 
Canadian Minister of Environment and Climate Change, said in a press 
release accompanying the study.

“It’s clear that while companies are quick to showcase their climate 
commitments, too many of them are not backing that up with support for 
positive government policy on climate,” she added. “Not only are many 
companies choosing to undermine their own climate commitments by 
lobbying against climate action, their net zero commitments are simply 
not credible.”

In the report, researchers examined 293 of the world’s biggest 
corporations on their policy engagement, including direct lobbying and 
lobbying through industry associations. They found that 36.5 percent of 
them were at “moderate risk” of net zero greenwashing, while 21.5 
percent were at “significant risk” of it.

Chevron, ExxonMobil, Delta Airlines, Duke Energy, Glencore 
International, Nippon Steel Corporation, Repsol, Stellantis, Southern 
Company, and Woodside Energy Group Ltd. are among the companies 
identified as being at significant risk of net zero greenwashing as they 
advocate to weaken or block climate policies or expand fossil fuels at 
the same time that they profess to be committed to climate action or net 
zero goals.

Swiss mining giant Glencore, for example, opposed the introduction of 
new climate policy in the European Union last year. Australian oil and 
gas producer Woodside Energy lobbied in support of new fossil gas supply 
while opposing a fossil fuel phaseout in Australia this year. And the 
U.S.-based gas and electric utility, Southern Company, advocated to 
preserve the role of fossil gas in transportation and buildings last 
year, InfluenceMap points out. All three companies have made commitments 
to reach net zero emissions by 2050.

Will Aitchison, lead author of the study and a director of 
communications at InfluenceMap, said this misalignment poses grave risk 
to meeting global climate goals.

“Unless companies match their climate commitments with ambitious support 
for government-led policy action, the Paris Agreement goals will be 
impossible to reach,” he said in the press release.
https://www.desmog.com/2023/11/15/influencemap-study-greenwashing-corporate-climate-commitment-net-zero-greenwash/

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/[ Lobby Map data exploration ]/
LobbyMap is a platform operated by climate change think tank 
InfluenceMap and is the world's leading system for tracking corporate 
climate policy engagement
https://lobbymap.org/


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/[ Beckwith reads a paper ]
/*New Report: Dire Sea Level Rise up to 20 meters (66 ft) Locked-In Even 
if Climate Goals Met
*Paul Beckwith/
/Nov 19, 2023
New climate change reports are being released every single day as we 
approach the start of the 28th version of the United Nations Climate 
Conference (COP28 - Conference of Parties 28)

In this video I chat about the new report on the vanishing cryosphere 
with massive sea level rise called: “State of the Cryosphere 2023: Two 
degrees is too high: We cannot negotiate with the melting point of ice”; 
link is in this article: https://apple.news/AaPaaajMYT-iWfWXxc...

Essentially, this report argues that Earth is facing dire sea level rise 
— up to 20m — even if climate goals are met and the global average 
temperature is stabilized at 2 degrees Celsius relative to the IPCC 
baseline 1850-1900 average.

I discuss the main findings in this report, and have a look at what the 
figures tell us in specific areas of glacier melt, permafrost thaw and 
emissions feedbacks, Arctic and Antarctica polar temperature 
amplification and sea ice loss, polar ocean acidification, and changes 
to ocean circulation patterns and consequences.

By the way, we are heading to a 2023 global average temperature of 1.54 
degrees Celsius or higher, and on November 18, 2023 the daily average 
temperature reached 2.0 degrees C above the IPCC baseline for the first 
time.
It appears that by the start of next year, we will only legitimately and 
honestly be able to discuss the 1.5 C temperature goal in the past 
tense. Recall that in the James Hansen video recently, I chatted about 
1.71 C by 2030 and 2 C by 2038 with James.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eXbjccFsZIg/
/

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/[ pdf document 62 pages]/
*State of the Cryosphere 2023*
Two Degrees Is Too High
We cannot negotiate with the melting point of ice.
1.5 C Is the Only Option
This year is the year of climate disasters. Global temperatures, 
including sea surface temperatures
are at record high. The sea ice around Antarctica is at an all-time low; 
and, in the

Arctic, icecaps and Iceland’s vital glaciers continue to melt. Chile has 
seen a year of brutal
wildfires, intense rains, devastating floods. We are not in an era of 
global warming; but as UN
Secretary General Guterres says, “global boiling.” This year we will 
come close to reaching
1.5°C of warming, for the first time in human history.
And the Cryosphere – Earth’s frozen water in ice sheets, sea ice, 
permafrost, polar oceans,
glaciers and snow – are at ground zero, beginning to reach the boundary 
where adaptation
becomes loss and damage, irreversible on any human timescale. From the 
Cryosphere point
of view, 1.5°C is not simply preferable to 2°C or higher, it is the only 
option.

We do see some positives. Iceland will not issue any licenses for oil 
exploration in its exclusive
economic zone, and has put into legislation that it should become 
carbon-neutral no

later than 2040. Chile, along with Fiji, was the first developing 
country to legislate carbon
neutrality by 2050, and hopefully much sooner.
But we can and need to do much more, heading for a future where 
non-renewable energy
is no longer an option. The only way through this climate crisis is to 
finally leave fossil fuels
behind and resist greenwashing. After all, the melting point of ice pays 
no attention to
rhetoric, only to our actions.

At COP28, we need a frank Global Stocktake, and fresh urgency especially 
due to what we
have learned about Cryosphere feedbacks, worsening for each additional 
tenth of a degree
in temperature rise. We need tangible results, and clear message about 
the urgency to
phase out fossil fuels and for more robust financial mechanisms to 
finance climate action.
We have time, but not much time. Past alerts are today’s shocking facts. 
Present warnings
will be tomorrow’s cascading disasters, both within and from the global 
Cryosphere, if we do
not accelerate climate action and implement systemic change.
Change is hard, but change we must. Because of the Cryosphere, climate 
inaction is
unacceptable.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1QOqYHI0ezrmMCUrmCDV03rF-1aIYE6VB/view



/[The news archive -  Criticism of political parties for ignoring global 
warming   ]/
/*November 20, 2012*/
October 20, 2012: On MSNBC's "Up," Chris Hayes condemns President Obama, 
GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney, and CNN's Candy Crowley for 
remaining silent on climate in the most recent presidential debate.
Transcript

    Four years ago when Barack Obama and John McCain met for a
    town hall debate they met his two men who each accepted the scientific
    consensus that fossil fuels are warming our planet they met his two
    candidates
    with competing plans to deal with this challenge though their plans
    different
    on the details and over the course of the evening they were even asked a
    direct question about the issue I want to know what you would do
    within the
    first two years to make sure that Congress moves fast as far as
    environmental issues like climate change and green jobs we can move
    forward and
    clean up our climate and develop green technologies and alternate and
    alternative energies and we're not going to be able to deal with the
    climate
    crisis if our only solution is to use more fossil fuels that create
    global
    warming in the wake of this week's debate that moment in 2008 *seems
    like*
    *something excavated from the ruins of a destroyed civilization*
    despite the fact
    that this passive temer was tied for the warmest in the 132 year
    history a record
    keeping the word climate crossed neither candidate slips nor was it
    mentioned by
    moderator Candy Crowley or the audience of undecided voters selected
    to ask
    questions Croley explain the omission of the issue this way you
    called through
    all of these questions that these undeclared voters brought in this
    morning I know that this was such a big concern of yours how did you
    decide
    which ones to choose we wanted to cover subjects that maybe folks
    hadn't heard
    about but still we're interested in I think immigration control and
    immigration word and women's issues were the three big ones climate
    change I had
    that question to all you climate change people we just you know
    again we knew
    that the economy was still the main thing climate change people is a
    revealing phrase it suggests the climate is a boutique issue like nimby
    opposition to an unsightly development down the block or advocating
    for the
    metric system but I can't really break blame Crowley for the
    emission because
    the candidates both spent much of the night talking about the related an
    entirely inseparable issue of energy and had every opportunity to at
    the very
    least mention our single greatest governing challenge instead the entire
    debate about energy such as it was was a debate over who can
    most ruthlessly facilitate the total and utter exploitation of every
    last ounce
    of fossilized carbon sitting beneath the continent we're actually
    drilling more
    on public lands than in the previous administration I will fight for
    all coal
    and natural gas go after natural gas more drilling more permits and
    licenses
    increase oil production drilling offshore and Alaska drilling
    offshore in
    Virginia we've built enough pipeline to wrap around the entire Earth
    in fact one
    of the most unintentionally hilarious moments in the night this
    hasn't gotten
    a lot of attention Mitt Romney was asked by a voter to reassure her
    that his
    presidency wouldn't just be a reprise of the disastrous tenure of
    george w bush
    how are you different she asked first Romney avoided the question by
    attempting to litigate president Obama's previous response but then
    Mitt Romney
    gathered himself and began to list his differences with Bush and
    remarkably his
    number one difference with george w bush the thing he started with
    the very first
    difference he listed was that unlike bush he mitt romney was really
    enthusiastic about fossil fuel extraction but under george w bush we
    hadn't succeeded in scraping every last cell of carbon from this
    withering husk
    of an earth but under Romney we would sink a drill in mine into
    every last
    surface across this great land what is the biggest difference
    between you and
    george w bush and how do you differentiate yourself from George W
    Bush president bush and I are different people and these are
    different times and
    that's why my five-point plan is so different than what he would
    have done I
    mean for instance we can now by virtue of new technology actually
    get all the
    energy we need in North America without having to go to the the
    Arabs of the
    Venezuelans or anyone else that wasn't true in his time that's why
    my policy
    starts with a very robust policy to get all that energy in North
    America I
    become energy secure imagine for a moment if discussion of the national
    debt and long-term deficits both candidates had taken to competing
    to say
    who would have the biggest deficits who would increase the rate of
    health care
    costs the fastest and push interest rates up the most this was
    roughly what
    the energy debate was like and yet the politics of this aren't as
    logic-defying
    as a substance right now it is looking more and more likely the
    outcome of this
    election will come down to Ohio more specifically the voters in
    the southeastern portion of the state that is coal country the
    people who work
    in that industry are understandably worried about their future and their
    livelihoods coal has had a bit of a rough stretch over the last two
    years as
    it makes up a shrinking portion of our domestic energy consumption the
    inconvenient truth is that there is a war on coal but it's not being
    waged by
    the Obama administration no the relentless assault on coal is coming
    from the natural gas industry thanks to its breakthrough in hydro
    fracking and
    extraction of shale grass it can now produce energy that's both
    relatively
    cleaner and cheaper than coal the folks whose livelihoods depend on
    the antique
    planet endangering technology of coal and the one-percenters who own
    the mines
    are understandably spooked and so we have this asymmetry of passion
    on one
    side of the ledger a concentrated set of interests and voters who
    care in a near
    life-and-death way about the continued exploitation of dirty energy
    and on the
    other side of public with a week nonchalant preference for us to do
    something about that whole climate change thing Barack Obama isn't
    going to
    rectify this imbalance the only way to get a same climate debate is
    in our
    national conversation is to create a cadre of activists and citizens and
    voters who will balance that ledger who care is passionately about
    saving the
    planet from rune as those on the other side do about their industry
    because
    they see and understand just as viscerally as the other side that yes
    this really is a life-or-death issue not for one industry or one
    region of one
    state but for the planet and every single person we love who lives
    on it I
    want to talk to my panel about where Democrats are on this right
    after this

http://youtu.be/BUBbLbMbvfc




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