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<font size="+1"><i>March 21, 2017 Forbes finds global warming,
Rex (Wayne) loses email, uncharted territory</i></font><br>
<br>
<font color="#666666" size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2017/03/15/the-first-climate-model-turns-50-and-predicted-global-warming-almost-perfectly">https://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2017/03/15/the-first-climate-model-turns-50-and-predicted-global-warming-almost-perfectly</a></font><br>
<font size="+1"><b><a
href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2017/03/15/the-first-climate-model-turns-50-and-predicted-global-warming-almost-perfectly">(Forbes)
The First Climate Model Turns 50, And Predicted Global Warming
Almost Perfectly</a></b></font><br>
<blockquote> The title of their paper, Thermal Equilibrium of the
Atmosphere with a Given Distribution of Relative Humidity <a
href="http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0469%281967%29024%3C0241%3ATEOTAW%3E2.0.CO%3B2">(full
download for free here)</a>, describes their big advances: they
were able to quantify the interrelationships between various
contributing factors to the atmosphere, including
temperature/humidity variations, and how that impacts the
equilibrium temperature of Earth. Their major result, from
1967?...<br>
According to our estimate, a doubling of the CO2 content in the
atmosphere has the effect of raising the temperature of the
atmosphere (whose relative humidity is fixed) by about 2 °C...<br>
In 2015, all the coordinating lead authors, lead authors and
review editors on the last Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) report were asked to nominate their most influential
climate change papers of all time. The 1967 paper by Manabe and
Wetherald received eight nominations; no other paper received more
than three. The uncertainties surrounding climate sensitivity are
still grappled with today, of course, but these were laid out and
quantified fifty years ago, and the analysis is still both valid
and valuable today. It takes into account clouds, aerosols,
stratospheric cooling, water vapor feedback and atmospheric
emissions....<br>
The interplay between the atmosphere, clouds, moisture, land
processes and the ocean all governs the evolution of Earth's
equilibrium temperature. NASA / Smithsonian Air & Space Museum<br>
The interplay between the atmosphere, clouds, moisture, land
processes and the ocean all governs the evolution of Earth's
equilibrium temperature....<br>
According to Manabe himself -- still active at age 85 -- the
modeling of large-scale processes, like atmospheric circulation,
is virtually identical today to what it was in the 1960s.
Smaller-scale phenomena, like moist convection, cloud processes,
and land surface processes were much simpler back then, and have
improved in both precision and accuracy, although uncertainties
(particularly in clouds) still remain. There are some aspects of
models that are ineffective, he notes, but not for the reason
people think:<br>
<blockquote>Models have been very effective in predicting climate
change, but have not been as effective in predicting its impact
on ecosystem[s] and human society. The distinction between the
two has not been stated clearly. For this reason, major effort
should be made to monitor globally not only climate change, but
also its impact on ecosystem[s] through remote sensing from
satellites as well as in-situ observation.<br>
</blockquote>
And the number one uncertainty that we have to look forward to,
according to Manabe? Ice sheet modeling... As the globe continues
to warm, the ice sheets -- particularly over Greenland -- will
continue to melt. But the rate of melting, the consequences of the
melt and the impacts that various processes will have are not only
uncertain, they're unprecedented. If the entire Greenland ice
sheet melts, the sea level will rise by approximately 8 meters (26
feet), submerging huge amounts of coastal and low-lying areas
around the world, including the majority of the state of Florida.
Melting, sliding, percolation and runoff are all sources of
uncertainty, and its a combination of modeling and monitoring
that's necessary to understand what's happening...<br>
We've known what's coming for half a century now, and we're on the
precipice of its arrival. There's never been a more important time
to listen to the science.<br>
</blockquote>
<br>
<font color="#666666" size="-2"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/mar/21/record-breaking-climate-change-world-uncharted-territory">https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/mar/21/record-breaking-climate-change-world-uncharted-territory</a></font><br>
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bold;"><a target="_blank" class="article
usg-AFQjCNGznV5k5txFfnij4O_uJm_A4hSZwA
sig2-y5eGDNFFjLwlsEhHZXHFWQ did--747016438961179886"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/mar/21/record-breaking-climate-change-world-uncharted-territory"
url="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/mar/21/record-breaking-climate-change-world-uncharted-territory"
id="MAA4DEgAUABgAWoCdXM" style="color: rgb(17, 85, 204);
text-decoration: none;"><span class="titletext"
style="font-weight: bold;">Record-breaking<b
style="font-weight: bold;"> climate change</b> pushes
world into 'uncharted territory'</span></a></h2>
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nowrap;">The Guardian</span></td>
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<blockquote> Earth is a planet in upheaval, say scientists, as the
World Meteorological Organisation publishes analysis of recent
heat highs and ice lows...<br>
016 saw the hottest global average among thermometer measurements
stretching back to 1880. But scientific research indicates the
world was last this warm about 115,000 years ago and that the
planet has not experienced such high levels of carbon dioxide in
the atmosphere for 4m years....<br>
2017 has seen temperature records continue to tumble, in the US
where February was exceptionally warm, and in Australia, where
prolonged and extreme heat struck many states. The consequences
have been particularly stark at the poles...<br>
"Arctic ice conditions have been tracking at record low conditions
since October, persisting for six consecutive months, something
not seen before in the [four-decade] satellite data record," said
Prof Julienne Stroeve, at University College London in the UK.
"Over in the southern hemisphere, the sea ice also broke new
record lows in the seasonal maximum and minimum extents, leading
to the least amount of global sea ice ever recorded."<br>
</blockquote>
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<font color="#666666" size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://insideclimatenews.org/news/14032017/rex-tillerson-exxonmobil-climate-change-scandal-eric-schneiderman-wayne-tracker">https://insideclimatenews.org/news/14032017/rex-tillerson-exxonmobil-climate-change-scandal-eric-schneiderman-wayne-tracker</a></font><br>
<b><font size="+1"><a
href="https://insideclimatenews.org/news/14032017/rex-tillerson-exxonmobil-climate-change-scandal-eric-schneiderman-wayne-tracker">Wayne
Tracker: Why Rex Tillerson's email alias at Exxon is a big
deal</a></font></b><br>
<blockquote> For eight years Rex Tillerson used a shadow email under
alias 'Wayne Tracker' to discuss global warming and its risks to
Exxon's business, says AG Eric Schneiderman.<br>
While he was chief executive of ExxonMobil, current secretary of
state Rex Tillerson used an alias email account for eight years to
discuss climate change and the risks it posed to the company's
business, according to investigators for New York Attorney General
Eric Schneiderman.<br>
Those investigators say the company concealed the shadow emails
despite a 2015 subpoena for Tillerson's communications issued as
part of a sweeping investigation of the oil giant in connection
with possible financial fraud.<br>
Schneiderman's office disclosed the existence of the email account
assigned to Tillerson on Monday in a letter to Judge Barry
Ostrager, which accused Exxon of failing to turn over all relevant
documents required by the subpoena.<br>
Tillerson, whose middle name is Wayne, used an email address on
the Exxon system under the pseudonym "Wayne Tracker" from at least
2008 through 2015, investigators say. The company has turned over
a handful of the emails, but New York authorities believe a much
larger trove exists.<br>
"Mr. Tillerson used this secondary email address to send and
receive materials regarding important matters, including those
concerning to the risk-management issues related to climate change
that are the focus of OAG's [office of the attorney general]
investigation," according to the letter.<br>
"[N]either Exxon nor its counsel have ever disclosed that this
separate email account was a vehicle for Mr. Tillerson's relevant
communications at Exxon, and no documents appear to have been
collected from this email account."<br>
Investigators also say 34 other email accounts assigned to top
Exxon executives, board members, or their assistants also exist
but have not been turned over, according to the letter.<br>
The Tillerson emails as well as those from the other Exxon
executives are relevant, Schneiderman's investigators say, because
they have made multiple representations of potentially false or
misleading statements to investors and the public. <br>
</blockquote>
<br>
<font color="#666666" size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.commondreams.org/newswire/2017/03/20/attorneys-representing-youth-climate-case-ask-feds-api-turn-over-wayne-tracker">http://www.commondreams.org/newswire/2017/03/20/attorneys-representing-youth-climate-case-ask-feds-api-turn-over-wayne-tracker</a></font><br>
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usg-AFQjCNECDFX4i6LfB_XUmShRuTPzZbDAnw
sig2-S0S2YkIaeeWbhRJV4xcrRw did--3844687863405724266"
href="http://www.commondreams.org/newswire/2017/03/20/attorneys-representing-youth-climate-case-ask-feds-api-turn-over-wayne-tracker"
url="http://www.commondreams.org/newswire/2017/03/20/attorneys-representing-youth-climate-case-ask-feds-api-turn-over-wayne-tracker"
id="MAA4DEgDUABgAWoCdXM" style="color: rgb(17, 85, 204);
text-decoration: underline;"><span class="titletext"
style="font-weight: bold;">Attorneys Representing Youth in<span
class="Apple-converted-space"> </span><b
style="font-weight: bold;">Climate</b><span
class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Case Ask Feds &
API to Turn Over Wayne Tracker Emails</span></a></h2>
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<blockquote>Attorneys representing 21 youth plaintiffs in Juliana v.
United States served request for production (RFP) of documents to
the U.S. government and the American Petroleum Institute (API)
asking both defendants to turn over the "Wayne Tracker" emails, as
part of discovery in the climate case. .. <br>
As ExxonMobil explained Tuesday, the email address pseudonym "was
put in place for secure and expedited communications between
select senior company officials and the former chairman for a
broad range of business-related topics." New York Attorney General
Eric Schneiderman's office stated in a March 13, 2017 court filing
that Tillerson used the <a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E"
href="mailto:Wayne.Tracker@exxonmobil.com">"Wayne.Tracker@exxonmobil.com"</a>
pseudonym "to send and receive materials regarding important
matters, including those concerning to the risk-management issues
related to climate change…" <br>
While risk-management issues related to climate change are
important to the New York Attorney General's investigation,
attorneys representing youth plaintiffs suspect the emails will
also reveal the deep influence of the fossil fuel defendants over
U.S. energy and climate policies, and the defendants' private
acknowledgement that climate change was caused by their product,
both of which are important to the youth's case. To the latter
point, the fossil fuel defendants have refused to take a position
on whether climate change is caused by burning fossil fuels, even
when pressed by federal judges to answer that question...<br>
As reported by Bloomberg, New York Attorney General Eric
Schneiderman's office stated that Secretary of State Rex Tillerson
used a pseudonym, <a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E"
href="mailto:Wayne.Tracker@exxonmobil.com,">"Wayne.Tracker@exxonmobil.com,"</a>
for emails while he served as ExxonMobil's CEO. <br>
</blockquote>
<br>
<font color="#666666" size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.latimes.com/science/sciencenow/la-sci-sn-global-warming-diabetes-20170320-story.html">http://www.latimes.com/science/sciencenow/la-sci-sn-global-warming-diabetes-20170320-story.html</a></font><br>
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bold;"><a target="_blank" class="article
usg-AFQjCNGm1SAk-O42yXqoXA9X_52gPdf5NA
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href="http://www.latimes.com/science/sciencenow/la-sci-sn-global-warming-diabetes-20170320-story.html"
url="http://www.latimes.com/science/sciencenow/la-sci-sn-global-warming-diabetes-20170320-story.html"
id="MAA4C0gAUABgAWoCdXM" style="color: rgb(17, 85, 204);
text-decoration: underline;"><span class="titletext"
style="font-weight: bold;">Why<span
class="Apple-converted-space"> </span><b
style="font-weight: bold;">global warming</b><span
class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>could lead to a rise
of 100000 diabetes cases a year in the US</span></a></h2>
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<blockquote> Researchers thought they might find a link between
rising temperatures and diabetes for a completely different reason
— the activity of brown fat...<br>
Also known as brown adipose tissue, or BAT, this fat kicks into
gear when temperatures are low and the body needs heat to stay
warm...<br>
A 2015 study of eight adults with Type 2 diabetes found that after
spending 10 days in moderately cold weather, their metabolisms
improved and they became more sensitive to insulin, reversing a
key symptom of the disease...<br>
A 2016 study found a correlation between outside temperature and a
measure of blood sugar called HbA1c — when the first was higher,
so was the second...<br>
Findings like these led Dutch researchers to wonder whether
climate change could explain some of the worldwide increase in
diabetes. Back in 1980, 108 million adults had the disease; by
2014, that figure was 422 million, according to the World Health
Organization...<br>
The researchers turned to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention to gather data on the prevalence of diabetes in all 50
states for each year between 1996 and 2013. They also found the
average temperature for each state in each year from the National
Centers for Environmental Information...<br>
The team also looked beyond the United States to examine the
connection between temperature and conditions related to Type 2
diabetes. Sure enough, they found that as the temperature rose by
1 degree C, the prevalence of high fasting blood sugar (a marker
for diabetes) rose by nearly 0.2% and the prevalence of obesity
rose by just under 0.3%....<br>
The results were published Monday in the journal BMJ Open Diabetes
Research & Care.<br>
</blockquote>
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bold;"><a target="_blank" class="article
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sig2-mct7Ho-uMoLh-GQSjw6ftg did-6061622724670760683"
href="https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/green-republicans-confront-climate-change-denial/"
url="https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/green-republicans-confront-climate-change-denial/"
id="MAA4DEgAUABgAWoCdXM" style="color: rgb(17, 85, 204);
text-decoration: none;"><span class="titletext"
style="font-weight: bold;">Green Republicans Confront<span
class="Apple-converted-space"> </span><b
style="font-weight: bold;">Climate Change</b><span
class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>Denial</span></a></h2>
</div>
<div class="esc-lead-article-source-wrapper" style="margin: 2px 32px
2px 1px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial, sans-serif;
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style="vertical-align: middle; padding-right: 0px;
display: inline-block; white-space: normal;"><span
class="al-attribution-source" style="white-space:
nowrap;">Scientific American</span></td>
<td class="al-attribution-cell timestamp-cell"
style="vertical-align: middle; padding-right: 6px;
display: inline-block; white-space: normal;"><span
class="dash-separator" style="font-size: 11px;
line-height: 13px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153);"> -<span
class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span><span
class="al-attribution-timestamp" style="white-space:
nowrap;">3 hours ago</span></td>
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style="vertical-align: middle; padding-right: 6px;
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yesscript" style="font-size: 11px; line-height: 0;
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8px;" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0">
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<blockquote> Conservative environmentalists push "free enterprise"
approaches, like carbon tax, instead of regulations<br>
The various groups represent conservatives, Catholics and the
younger generation of Republicans who, unlike Trump, not only
recognize the science of climate change but want to see their
party wrest the initiative from Democrats and lead efforts to ..<br>
</blockquote>
<!--EndFragment--><br>
<font color="#666666" size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://ensia.com/voices/climate-change-social-fix/">https://ensia.com/voices/climate-change-social-fix/</a></font><br>
<!--StartFragment-->
<div class="esc-lead-article-title-wrapper" style="margin: 0px 32px
1px 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial, sans-serif;
font-size: 13.44px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: normal;
letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-indent:
0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2;
word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;
background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">
<h2 class="esc-lead-article-title" style="font-size: 16px;
line-height: 18px; padding: 0px; margin: 0px; font-weight:
bold;"><a target="_blank" class="article
usg-AFQjCNH9KBCWnvhoF-4qNc488--gEDmcPg
sig2-rDgrAMxcZJzewTV4iXlq8w did--7706784107984433045"
href="https://ensia.com/voices/climate-change-social-fix/"
url="https://ensia.com/voices/climate-change-social-fix/"
id="MAA4DEgEUABgAWoCdXM" style="color: rgb(17, 85, 204);
text-decoration: none;"><span class="titletext"
style="font-weight: bold;"><b style="font-weight: bold;">Climate
change</b><span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span>is
more than tech problem, so we need more than a tech solution</span></a></h2>
</div>
<div class="esc-lead-article-source-wrapper" style="margin: 2px 32px
2px 1px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial, sans-serif;
font-size: 13.44px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
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<td class="al-attribution-cell source-cell"
style="vertical-align: middle; padding-right: 0px;
display: inline-block; white-space: normal;"><span
class="al-attribution-source" style="white-space:
nowrap;">Ensia</span></td>
<td class="al-attribution-cell timestamp-cell"
style="vertical-align: middle; padding-right: 6px;
display: inline-block; white-space: normal;"><span
class="dash-separator" style="font-size: 11px;
line-height: 13px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153);"> -<span
class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span><span
class="al-attribution-timestamp" style="white-space:
nowrap;">2 hours ago</span></td>
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style="vertical-align: middle; padding-right: 6px;
display: inline-block;">
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style="font-size: 11px; line-height: 0; font-family:
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<blockquote>Climate change mitigation requires systemic social
change, not just technological optimism...<br>
A systems approach to solving problems requires that we look to
root causes and seek interventions that change patterns of
outcomes. The root causes of climate change are not technologies
such as coal power and industrialized, chemical-intensive
agriculture, but the underlying social and cultural systems that
created and locked people into these technologies through
unsustainable patterns of consumption, growth and inequity...<br>
Meeting this goal will avoid continued and increasing harm to
people and ecosystems around the world caused by a changing
climate, and it is also a great opportunity to turn the world into
a place that embodies our collective and pluralistic values for
...<br>
</blockquote>
<br>
<font color="#666666" size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://ensia.com/voices/climate-change-social-fix/">https://ensia.com/voices/climate-change-social-fix/</a></font><br>
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<div class="esc-lead-article-title-wrapper" style="margin: 0px 32px
1px 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial, sans-serif;
font-size: 13.44px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: normal;
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word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;
background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">
<h2 class="esc-lead-article-title" style="font-size: 16px;
line-height: 18px; padding: 0px; margin: 0px; font-weight:
bold;"><a target="_blank" class="article
usg-AFQjCNHGf6dsEcTvzSI0-vr9TMI7BCYcdA
sig2-r6jrILgt4489rMBaIwcu5w did--4500358414491705189"
href="https://www.cpr.org/news/story/a-frigid-colorado-archive-on-climate-change-faces-an-uncertain-future"
url="https://www.cpr.org/news/story/a-frigid-colorado-archive-on-climate-change-faces-an-uncertain-future"
id="MAA4DEgDUABgAWoCdXM" style="color: rgb(17, 85, 204);
text-decoration: none;"><span class="titletext"
style="font-weight: bold;">A Frigid Colorado Archive On
Climate Change Faces An Uncertain ...</span></a></h2>
</div>
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2px 1px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial, sans-serif;
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<tr>
<td class="al-attribution-cell source-cell"
style="vertical-align: middle; padding-right: 0px;
display: inline-block; white-space: normal;"><span
class="al-attribution-source" style="white-space:
nowrap;">Colorado Public Radio</span></td>
<td class="al-attribution-cell timestamp-cell"
style="vertical-align: middle; padding-right: 6px;
display: inline-block; white-space: normal;"><span
class="dash-separator" style="font-size: 11px;
line-height: 13px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153);"> -<span
class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span><span
class="al-attribution-timestamp" style="white-space:
nowrap;">7 hours ago</span></td>
<td class="al-attribution-cell sharebar-cell"
style="vertical-align: middle; padding-right: 6px;
display: inline-block;">
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yesscript" style="font-size: 11px; line-height: 0;
font-family: arial, sans-serif; table-layout: fixed;
display: inline-block; margin-bottom: -4px; margin-left:
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style="vertical-align: middle; padding: 0px 1px;
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visibility: visible;"><br>
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middle; padding: 0px 1px; cursor: pointer; width:
17px; height: 16px; visibility: hidden;"><br>
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middle; padding: 0px 1px; cursor: pointer; width:
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middle; padding: 0px 1px; cursor: pointer; width:
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<blockquote>... one of the world's most important archives on
climate change is right here in Colorado. The National Ice Core
Laboratory in West Denver holds records on the atmosphere going
back hundreds of thousands of years.<br>
The data at NICL isn't stored on disks or in books. Inside the
freezer, aisles are stacked floor-to-ceiling with silver cylinders
about the length of your arm. Each tube holds ice cores recovered
from polar regions of the planet...<br>
Now, the frigid record of the past faces an uncertain future. The
lab needs major renovations to keep its cool. As a result,
curators may have made the last major addition to the archive
earlier this month. Mark Twickler, NICL's science director,
snapped photos as a semi truck backed to the loading dock at the
lab.<br>
he archive also offers stark data points in the age of
human-caused climate change. Among the shelves of polar ice, there
isn't one record where concentrations of carbon dioxide are as
high as they are today...<br>
White says other curiosities at NICL could help scientists
understand modern climate change. In a 15,000-year-old core from
Greenland, White found that the average temperature shifted 10
degrees Celsius in just four years. That's like if one part of
Greenland went from having Montreal's climate to having Miami's...<br>
"That tells us that there are some very interesting and abrupt
changes in our climate system, that there are tipping points in
our climate system," White says.<br>
</blockquote>
<!--EndFragment--><br>
<font color="#666666" size="-2"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change-real-extreme-weather-wmo-world-meteorological-organization-global-warming-a7640376.html">http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change-real-extreme-weather-wmo-world-meteorological-organization-global-warming-a7640376.html</a></font><br>
<b><a
href="http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change-real-extreme-weather-wmo-world-meteorological-organization-global-warming-a7640376.html">Last
year's weather proves climate change is real with 'no room for
doubt', say scientists</a></b><br>
<blockquote>'Human-driven climate change is now an empirically
verifiable fact ... those who dispute [it] are not sceptics, but
anti-science deniers'<br>
There is "no room for doubt". The astonishing weather experienced
by the world last year and advances in climate science demonstrate
conclusively that fossil fuel emissions are causing global warming
– and something must be done about it...<br>
</blockquote>
<font color="#666666" size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/03/20/AR2009032002660.html?sub=AR">http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/03/20/AR2009032002660.html?sub=AR</a></font><br>
<font size="+1"><i><font size="+1"><b><a
href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A20998-2004Dec22.html">This
Day in Climate History March 21 2009, </a> - from D.R.
Tucker<br>
</b></font></i></font>In the Washington Post, Chris Mooney
points out Post columnist George Will's devotion to dishonesty on
climate change.<font size="+1"><i><font size="+1"><b><br>
<br>
</b></font> ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br>
S</i></font><font size="+1"><i>tay
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