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<font size="+1"><i>April 5, 2017 </i></font><br>
<br>
<font color="#666666" size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.set-nav.eu/sites/default/files/common_files/deliverables/d11/Policy%20Brief%20on%20Energy%20and%20Climate%20towards%202050%20-%20Four%20Scenarios.pdf">http://www.set-nav.eu/sites/default/files/common_files/deliverables/d11/Policy%20Brief%20on%20Energy%20and%20Climate%20towards%202050%20-%20Four%20Scenarios.pdf</a></font><br>
<b><a
href="http://www.set-nav.eu/sites/default/files/common_files/deliverables/d11/Policy%20Brief%20on%20Energy%20and%20Climate%20towards%202050%20-%20Four%20Scenarios.pdf">Policy
Brief on Energy and Climate towards 2050 - Four Scenarios</a></b><br>
<blockquote> The <a
href="http://www.set-nav.eu/sites/default/files/common_files/deliverables/d11/Policy%20Brief%20on%20Energy%20and%20Climate%20towards%202050%20-%20Four%20Scenarios.pdf">Policy
Brief on Energy and Climate towards 2050-Four Scenarios</a> is
now available online! Aiming to support decision making under
uncertainty, the SET-Nav project investigates four alternative
scenarios for global energy markets up to 2050...<br>
These four narratives, do not attempt to predict the state of the
global energy system by the year 2050, but rather bound the range
of plausible alternative futures by defining certain trajectories,
downside risks, new trends, and 'unknown unknowns' that could
significantly affect decarbonisation policy in the years to
come...<br>
Download and read the <a
href="http://www.set-nav.eu/sites/default/files/common_files/deliverables/d11/Policy%20Brief%20on%20Energy%20and%20Climate%20towards%202050%20-%20Four%20Scenarios.pdf">Policy
Brief on Energy and Climate towards 2050-Four Scenarios</a>
developed by DIW Berlin.<br>
</blockquote>
<br>
<font size="-2"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/guest-blog/forget-about-climate-change/">https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/guest-blog/forget-about-climate-change/</a></font><br>
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line-height: 18px; padding: 0px; margin: 0px; font-weight:
bold;"><a target="_blank" class="article
usg-AFQjCNF_9hGVe5sPUZ9aE3BtryGpN8LDqg
sig2-FX3UIAMBv16ZYoiFSgrEvA did-3553647262027087257"
href="https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/guest-blog/forget-about-climate-change/"
url="https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/guest-blog/forget-about-climate-change/"
id="MAA4DEgAUABgAWoCdXM" style="color: rgb(17, 85, 204);
text-decoration: underline;"><span class="titletext"
style="font-weight: bold;">Forget about<span
class="Apple-converted-space"> </span><b
style="font-weight: bold;">Climate Change</b></span></a></h2>
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style="vertical-align: middle; padding-right: 0px;
display: inline-block; white-space: normal;"><span
class="al-attribution-source" style="white-space:
nowrap;">Scientific American (blog)</span></td>
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style="vertical-align: middle; padding-right: 6px;
display: inline-block; white-space: normal;"><span
class="dash-separator" style="font-size: 11px;
line-height: 13px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153);"> -<span
class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span><span
class="al-attribution-timestamp" style="white-space:
nowrap;">10 hours ago</span></td>
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<blockquote>We should be embracing energy efficiency and the
low-carbon economy because they promote jobs, national security
and human health.<br>
If I said coal use in the United States dropped 20 percent in the
last two years, slashing carbon dioxide emissions and future
climate change, some people would roll their eyes. If I said the
same drop in coal use and air pollution will save 3,000 lives this
year—and every year after if we stick with it—people might notice.
Both statements are true.<br>
After two centuries of data and all these years, we're still
arguing over the reality of climate change and what's making our
seas rise. We're missing the boat. We live in a society that
embraces progress and the energy landscape is changing under our
feet. We should embrace it....<br>
We should be embracing energy efficiency and the low-carbon
economy as fast as we can. Pick whatever reasons you like: jobs,
national security, human health, money. Even pick the environment.
But leave climate change out of it. We don't need it. Any of it.<br>
</blockquote>
<br>
<!--StartFragment--><!--EndFragment--><font color="#666666"
size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/04/business/economy/geoengineering-climate-change.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/04/business/economy/geoengineering-climate-change.html</a></font><br>
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<h2 class="esc-lead-article-title" style="font-size: 16px;
line-height: 18px; padding: 0px; margin: 0px; font-weight:
bold;"><a target="_blank" class="article
usg-AFQjCNEd8njAneiRyTYn3s-CxHpglzc62w
sig2-BJQcY59xq-7_BM79eqkWxQ did-2418342903766883839"
href="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/04/business/economy/geoengineering-climate-change.html"
url="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/04/business/economy/geoengineering-climate-change.html"
id="MAA4C0gAUABgAWoCdXM" style="color: rgb(17, 85, 204);
text-decoration: underline;"><span class="titletext"
style="font-weight: bold;">To Curb Global Warming, Science
Fiction May Become Fact <br>
</span></a></h2>
</div>
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2px 1px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial, sans-serif;
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style="vertical-align: middle; padding-right: 0px;
display: inline-block; white-space: normal;"><span
class="al-attribution-source" style="white-space:
nowrap;">New York Times</span></td>
<td class="al-attribution-cell timestamp-cell"
style="vertical-align: middle; padding-right: 6px;
display: inline-block; white-space: normal;"><span
class="dash-separator" style="font-size: 11px;
line-height: 13px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153);"> -<span
class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span><span
class="al-attribution-timestamp" style="white-space:
nowrap;">5 hours ago</span></td>
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style="vertical-align: middle; padding-right: 6px;
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display: inline-block; margin-bottom: -4px; margin-left:
8px;" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0">
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<blockquote> Last month, scholars from the physical and social
sciences who are interested in climate change gathered in
Washington to discuss approaches like cooling the planet by
shooting aerosols into the stratosphere or whitening clouds to
reflect sunlight back into space, which may prove indispensable to
prevent the disastrous consequences of warming...<br>
The best way to think of the options ahead is as offering a
balance of risks. On one plate sit whatever pitfalls
geoengineering might bring. They might be preferable to the
prospect of radical climate change. Thinking in terms of delirious
sci-fi fantasies, the trade-off won't necessarily be between
cockroach protein bars and some happy future of cheap, renewable
energy. It is more likely to pit cockroach treats against some
dystopian, broiling world.<br>
</blockquote>
<br>
<font color="#666666" size="-2"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://lancasteronline.com/news/local/pennsylvania-resisting-federal-efforts-to-end-chesapeake-bay-cleanup-climate/article_3fd360a2-1889-11e7-88cb-97e9b3c337b7.html">http://lancasteronline.com/news/local/pennsylvania-resisting-federal-efforts-to-end-chesapeake-bay-cleanup-climate/article_3fd360a2-1889-11e7-88cb-97e9b3c337b7.html</a></font><br>
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line-height: 18px; padding: 0px; margin: 0px; font-weight:
bold;"><a target="_blank" class="article
usg-AFQjCNGAC305n65lFdpJ2vsSjnyS1Z5tMQ
sig2-__2mQxZL23K2rIcXHUMNfg did--2898215821694246919"
href="http://lancasteronline.com/news/local/pennsylvania-resisting-federal-efforts-to-end-chesapeake-bay-cleanup-climate/article_3fd360a2-1889-11e7-88cb-97e9b3c337b7.html"
url="http://lancasteronline.com/news/local/pennsylvania-resisting-federal-efforts-to-end-chesapeake-bay-cleanup-climate/article_3fd360a2-1889-11e7-88cb-97e9b3c337b7.html"
id="MAA4DEgEUABgAWoCdXM"
ping="//news.google.com/news/url?sr=1&ct2=us%2F10_0_s_4_1_a&sa=t&usg=AFQjCNGAC305n65lFdpJ2vsSjnyS1Z5tMQ&cid=52779449693546&url=http%3A%2F%2Flancasteronline.com%2Fnews%2Flocal%2Fpennsylvania-resisting-federal-efforts-to-end-chesapeake-bay-cleanup-climate%2Farticle_3fd360a2-1889-11e7-88cb-97e9b3c337b7.html&ei=h_zjWPiQF9LHhQGF37aYBA&sig2=__2mQxZL23K2rIcXHUMNfg&rt=HOMEPAGE&vm=STANDARD&bvm=grid&did=-2898215821694246919&sid=-5694810084437344861&ssid=cstm&st=2&at=dt0"
style="color: rgb(17, 85, 204); text-decoration: underline;"><span
class="titletext" style="font-weight: bold;"><font size="-1">Pennsylvania
resisting federal efforts to end Chesapeake Bay cleanup,
climate-change pollution</font></span></a></h2>
</div>
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2px 1px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial, sans-serif;
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initial; text-decoration-color: initial;">
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<td class="al-attribution-cell source-cell"
style="vertical-align: middle; padding-right: 0px;
display: inline-block; white-space: normal;"><span
class="al-attribution-source" style="white-space:
nowrap;">LancasterOnline</span></td>
<td class="al-attribution-cell timestamp-cell"
style="vertical-align: middle; padding-right: 6px;
display: inline-block; white-space: normal;"><span
class="dash-separator" style="font-size: 11px;
line-height: 13px; color: rgb(153, 153, 153);"> -<span
class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span><span
class="al-attribution-timestamp" style="white-space:
nowrap;">9 hours ago</span></td>
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style="vertical-align: middle; padding-right: 6px;
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<blockquote>Pennsylvania is moving ahead with ways to reduce
pollution tied to climate change and cleanup of the Chesapeake Bay
even as the Trump administration takes steps to end both
programs...<br>
A proposed budget by the federal Environmental Protection Agency
would end federal assistance for the Chesapeake Bay cleanup...<br>
The budget proposal also would slash $165 million from nonpoint
source pollution, a program that has been used to provide
financial assistance to farmers in Lancaster County and
Pennsylvania so they can make on-the-farm improvements to prevent
soil and manure runoff.<br>
</blockquote>
<br>
<font color="#666666" size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/03/predictable-and-unpredictable-behaviour/">http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/03/predictable-and-unpredictable-behaviour/</a></font><br>
<font size="+1"><b><a
href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/03/predictable-and-unpredictable-behaviour/">Predictable
and unpredictable behaviour</a></b></font><br>
Filed under: Climate Science - rasmus @ 13 March 2017<br>
<blockquote>Terms such as "gas skeptics" and "climate skeptics"
aren't really very descriptive, but they refer to sentiments that
have something in common: unpredictable behaviour.<br>
<b>Statistics is remarkably predictable</b><br>
The individual gas molecules are highly unpredictable, but the
bulk properties of the gases are nevertheless very predictable
thanks to physics. More specifically the laws of thermodynamics
and the ideal gas law...<br>
The bulk aspects of the gases are a result of the statistical
properties of a vast number of particles. Statistics is
surprisingly predictable even if the individual cases are not...<br>
Just look at Las Vegas and the insurance industry which make a
living on the fact that probabilities (statistics) are
predictable. Even economists pin their hope on statistics, and the
medical sciences would never be where they are now without the
predictive power of statistics...<br>
A "gas skeptic" would say that you cannot predict the state of the
gas because the molecules are unpredictable. This is analogous to
saying that climatic states cannot be predicted because the
weather is unpredictable (a "climate skeptic")...<br>
<b>Climate is weather statistics</b><br>
Climate can be viewed as weather statistics. Early climatological
work was dedicated to survey of how the weather statistics varied
from place to place and over the seasons...<br>
There are clear effects of physical factors (latitude, mountains,
distance to the coast) on the statistical character of the weather
and the weather statistics (climate)...<br>
In other words, the statistical properties are a result of the
physical processes and conditions present and are readily
predicted from e.g. geographical factors, seasonal variations in
the solar inclination, the atmospheric composition and the
planet's distance to the Sun...<br>
The weather statistics (eg probabilities) are predictable in spite
of the chaotic and nonlinear character of weather itself.<br>
<b>Common misconceptions...</b><br>
snip from: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/03/predictable-and-unpredictable-behaviour/">http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2017/03/predictable-and-unpredictable-behaviour/</a><br>
<br>
</blockquote>
<font color="#666666" size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=35639">http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=35639</a></font><br>
<font size="+1"><b><a
href="http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=35639">This Day
in Climate History April 5, 1988 </a> - from D.R. Tucker</b></font><br>
<blockquote> President Reagan signs the Montreal Protocol, an
international treaty that would reduce the usage of substances
that were furthering ozone depletion; over two decades later, the
Montreal Protocol would be cited as an example of what can happen
when political partisanship and rigid ideology can be set aside to
protect the common interests of humanity. Supporters of President
Reagan also note that the Montreal Protocol was, in its own way,
an effective tool to limit greenhouse gases.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=35639">http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=35639</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.shatteredsky.com/about/">http://www.shatteredsky.com/about/</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/10/science/the-montreal-protocol-a-little-treaty-that-could.html">http://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/10/science/the-montreal-protocol-a-little-treaty-that-could.html</a>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.ohio.com/editorial/lee-thomas-climate-change-a-present-danger-1.449815">http://www.ohio.com/editorial/lee-thomas-climate-change-a-present-danger-1.449815</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/frances-beinecke/saving-the-ozone-layer-le_b_1885547.html">http://www.huffingtonpost.com/frances-beinecke/saving-the-ozone-layer-le_b_1885547.html</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.rstreet.org/op-ed/reagan-the-environmentalist/">http://www.rstreet.org/op-ed/reagan-the-environmentalist/</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2012/09/28/ozone-layer-montreal-protocol/1598559/">http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2012/09/28/ozone-layer-montreal-protocol/1598559/</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://ofbuckleyandbeatles.wordpress.com/2010/11/20/climate-change-champion-ronald-reagan/">http://ofbuckleyandbeatles.wordpress.com/2010/11/20/climate-change-champion-ronald-reagan/</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.bu.edu/today/2013/bu-aided-research-montreal-protocol-has-slowed-global-warming/">http://www.bu.edu/today/2013/bu-aided-research-montreal-protocol-has-slowed-global-warming/</a><br>
</blockquote>
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