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<font size="+1"><i>September 4, 2017<br>
<br>
</i></font> <b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/heat-smoke-and-fire-assault-western-states-all-time-record-heat-california">Heat,
Smoke, and Fire Assault Western States: All-Time Record Heat in
California</a></b><br>
Bob Henson<font size="+1"><i> </i></font>September 3, 2017<br>
The steamy, fiery summer of 2017 hit a new crescendo this weekend
across the U.S. West, which is getting its hottest Labor Day weekend
on record in many locations-and in some spots, the hottest weather
ever observed. Overall, <b>"this is the greatest statewide heat
wave ever recorded in California,"</b> proclaimed WU weather
historian Christopher Burt on Saturday night. Burt based his
conclusion not only on the heat's intensity but on its widespread
nature well beyond California's usual scorching locations. Even an
escape to the cool Pacific shore was pretty much futile, as easterly
downslope winds funneled scorching air from the interior into
coastal sections that are normally mild and sometimes chilly even in
midsummer. Readings also soared above 110 degrees F across
California's Central Valley, although such heat is not quite so
unusual for late summer in that area.<br>
California's Bay Area has been the focal point of the weekend's most
extraordinary heat. Temperatures soared to <b>106 degrees F in
downtown San Francisco</b> on Friday and 102 degrees F on
Saturday. Friday's reading was the <a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://twitter.com/NWSBayArea/status/903754192430518273">hottest
ever measured in downtown SF</a>, where temperatures have been
observed since 1874. Friday's 106 degrees F handily topped the
previous record of 103 degrees F from June 14, 2000, and Saturday
was only the second high of 102 degrees F in downtown history,
matching Oct. 5, 1987. "To put this in perspective, the average high
temperature for the city these two days is just 71 degrees F," said
Chris Burt, who lives in the East Bay region. "Friday night's
temperatures failed to fall below 85 degrees F at several hill
locations near me (I dropped to 81 degrees )." He added: "It is so
hot in our home I can hardly think. No air conditioning, of course."
Heat-related illnesses overwhelmed San Francisco hospitals on
Friday, <a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=AFDMTR&e=201709020423">according
to the Bay Area NWS office</a>. It would not be shocking to see
multiple Bay Area fatalities during this heat wave, given the
multi-day intensity of the heat and the Bay Area's lack of air
conditioning...<font size="-1" color="#666666"><a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/heat-smoke-and-fire-assault-western-states-all-time-record-heat-california">https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/heat-smoke-and-fire-assault-western-states-all-time-record-heat-california</a></font><br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=AFDMTR&e=201709020423">National
Weather Service Raw Text Product</a></b><br>
<font size="-1" color="#666666"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=AFDMTR&e=201709020423">https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=AFDMTR&e=201709020423</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-canada-wildfire/british-columbia-extends-wildfire-emergency-for-fourth-time-idUSKCN1BC5WW">British
Columbia extends wildfire emergency for fourth time</a></b><br>
Sep 1, 2017 (Reuters) - <br>
The Canadian province of British Columbia has extended a state of
emergency for a fourth time until Sept. 15 due to wildfires raging
across the region, the provincial government said on Friday.<br>
Since early summer, firefighters and emergency services have been
battling hundreds of blazes across British Columbia that have forced
as many as 45,000 people from their homes and burned more than
894,000 hectares (2.2 million acres).<br>
<font size="-1" color="#666666"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-canada-wildfire/british-columbia-extends-wildfire-emergency-for-fourth-time-idUSKCN1BC5WW">https://www.reuters.com/article/us-canada-wildfire/british-columbia-extends-wildfire-emergency-for-fourth-time-idUSKCN1BC5WW</a></font><br>
One of the fires is the largest in recorded British Columbia
history, and the season is the worst on record-ever. <br>
As of the weekend, 4,273 square miles have burned - roughly the same
area as the states of Delaware and Rhode Island combined. <br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.macleans.ca/news/canada/b-c-s-record-setting-wildfires-in-one-chart/">There's
a good chart in this Macleans article: </a><font size="-1"
color="#666666"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.macleans.ca/news/canada/b-c-s-record-setting-wildfires-in-one-chart/">http://www.macleans.ca/news/canada/b-c-s-record-setting-wildfires-in-one-chart/</a></font><br>
<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/sep/02/houston-hurricane-harvey-pollution-petrochemical-plants"><br>
'Your eyes start itching': pollution soars in Houston after
chemical industry leaks</a></b><br>
Communities face surging toxic fumes and possible water
contamination, as refineries and plants report more than 2,700 tons
of extra pollution<br>
Hurricane Harvey has resulted in Houston's petrochemical industry
leaking thousands of tons of pollutants, with communities living
near plants damaged by the storm exposed to soaring levels of toxic
fumes and potential water contamination.<br>
Refineries and chemical plants have reported more than 2,700 tons,
or 5.4m pounds, of extra air pollution due to direct damage from the
hurricane as well as the preventive shutting down of facilities,
which causes a spike in released toxins<br>
On Friday, ozone levels in south-west Houston were nearly three
times higher than the national standard, triggering one of Texas's
worst recent smogs. Scientists warned that people outside cleaning
up in the aftermath of Harvey were vulnerable to the poor air,
particularly the elderly, children and those with asthma.<br>
According to an analysis by the Center for Biological Diversity, a
cocktail of nearly 1m pounds of particularly harmful substances such
as benzene, hexane, sulfur dioxide, butadiene and xylene have been
emitted by more than 60 petroleum industry plants operated by
ExxonMobil, Shell, Chevron and other businesses since the hurricane.<br>
<font size="-1" color="#666666"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/sep/02/houston-hurricane-harvey-pollution-petrochemical-plants">https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/sep/02/houston-hurricane-harvey-pollution-petrochemical-plants</a></font><br>
<br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/hurricane-watches-leeward-islands-irma-chugs-west"><b><br>
</b><b>How strong could Irma get?</b></a> <font size="-1"
color="#666666"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/hurricane-watches-leeward-islands-irma-chugs-west">https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/hurricane-watches-leeward-islands-irma-chugs-west</a></font><br>
Competing factors have kept Irma's strength fairly steady over the
last couple of days, with low wind shear of 5-10 knots (supportive
of strengthening) but SSTs only marginally warm (about 27-28 degrees
C or 81-82 degrees F) and mid-level relative humidities on the dry
side (about 50-55%). As noted above, SSTs along Irma's path will be
rising to around 29 degrees C over the next couple of days, and
mid-level RH should be increasing to around 60-65%. Wind shear will
also be increasing, to around 10-15 knots, but Irma should be able
to fight off the effects of this amount of shear given the other
factors in its favor.<br>
Several computer models have been confronting meteorologists with
some eye-opening intensity forecasts for Hurricane Irma, especially
for the period around next weekend, when Irma is currently predicted
to be arcing northwest from the Eastern Bahamas. We cannot rule out
the chance that Irma will reach Category 5 strength, but we can
safely discount some of the most extreme model-generated
intensities. The GFS global model and the new HMON regional
hurricane model have consistently been deepening Irma to pressures
below 900 millibars (mb). However, neither of these models fully
incorporates the interaction between ocean and atmosphere that
serves as a check on a hurricane's peak strength. A better guide to
how strong Irma might get is the European global model and the HWRF
regional hurricane model, which extends out to 126 hours (just over
five days). The HWRF, in particular, has proven to be our most
reliable model-based intensity guidance in recent years. The 0Z and
12Z Sunday operational runs of the European model deepen Irma to the
920-930 mb range, and the 0Z, 6Z, and 12Z runs of the HWRF show
similar intensities. Even these less-extreme numbers are nothing to
sneeze at: they suggest Irma will be a very formidable hurricane.<br>
For historical context, the lowest hurricane-related pressure ever
measured at the surface north of the Caribbean and east of Florida
is 921 mb in the Bahamas Hurricane of 1932. Hurricane Hunter
dropsondes found a surface pressure of 919 mb within Hurricane
Gloria (1985). Such pressures can support a Category 4 or 5
hurricane, but the peak winds depend on the size of the hurricane.
As hurricanes move poleward, they typically get bigger. In a larger
hurricane, the pressure force from a given central pressure will
extend over a larger area, meaning that the top sustained winds will
probably be lower but that a larger area could experience high winds
and storm surge. This was the case with Hurricane/Superstorm Sandy,
which brought record-low surface pressures and record-high surge
across a large area despite winds of marginal hurricane force at
best.<br>
<b>Long-range track outlook</b><br>
Beyond Friday, there is greater model divergence on what will happen
with Irma's track-no surprise, given that the typical error in track
forecasts goes up significantly in this time frame. Over the last
day, there has been some convergence of two of our best long-range
track models, the GFS and European models, toward a possible
landfall in or near the Carolinas around Monday. Both models are
consistent in bringing a strong upper-level trough across the United
States and off the East Coast by this weekend. The models also
suggest that a small weakness will be left behind, somewhere near
the lower- to mid-Mississippi Valley. If so, this could help bring
Irma toward the United States. However, the path of least resistance
for Irma might instead be toward the large departing trough and out
to sea into the Northwest Atlantic. These two scenarios have hugely
different implications, but they depend on fairly subtle differences
in the atmosphere that may not become clear for several more days to
come. <br>
...there remains a wide spread of possibilities in the GFS and Euro
ensemble runs (which are produced by carrying out multiple runs of
the same model, using small variations in the starting-point data to
mimic uncertainty in our observations). Moreover, the 12Z Sunday
operational run of the European model takes Irma out to sea before a
U.S. landfall-another sign that it is way too soon to predict Irma's
track beyond late this week with any confidence.<br>
<b>Bottom line: </b> Irma is a growing threat to the Leeward
Islands, the Greater Antilles, and the Eastern Bahamas. Irma is
expected to be drawing closer to the East Coast as a powerful
Category 4 hurricane this weekend, but it is still too soon to
predict the timing and location of any potential landfall with
confidence, and it is still possible Irma will move out to sea.<br>
<font size="-1" color="#666666"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/hurricane-watches-leeward-islands-irma-chugs-west">https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/hurricane-watches-leeward-islands-irma-chugs-west</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.latimes.com/opinion/readersreact/la-ol-le-climate-change-harvey-trump-20170902-story.html">(Letter)
What's causing the catastrophic flooding in Texas is not a hoax,
Mr. President</a></b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.latimes.com/opinion/readersreact/la-ol-le-climate-change-harvey-trump-20170902-story.html">http://www.latimes.com/opinion/readersreact/la-ol-le-climate-change-harvey-trump-20170902-story.html</a><br>
<br>
<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2017/aug/31/the-trump-administration-wants-to-bail-out-failed-contrarian-climate-scientists">(opinion)
The Trump administration wants to bail out failed contrarian
climate scientists</a></b><br>
This is the way to settle political debates, not scientific ones.<br>
John Abraham<br>
A climate "red team" is just a polite way to describe bailing out
scientific losers.<br>
Climate contrarians, like Trump's EPA administrator Scott Pruitt and
Energy Secretary Rick Perry, don't understand how scientific
research works. They are basically asking for a government handout
to scientists to do what scientists are should already be doing.
They are also requesting handouts for scientists who have been less
successful in research and publications – a move antithetical to the
survival of the fitness approach that has formed the scientific
community for decades. <br>
The helping handout would be through a proposed exercise called a
"red team/blue team" effort. It is a proposal that would reportedly
find groups of scientists on both "sides" of the climate issue
(whatever that means), and have them try to poke holes in each
others' positions. I will explain why this is a handout but first
let's talk about the plan and how it interferes with the scientific
process...<br>
Conservatives generally view handouts and bailouts as an anathema.
When they realize that what underlies the red team effort is really
just a bailout to failed ideas, they will not be supportive. <br>
What I would suggest the so-called red team do is start competing in
the trade of our profession. Complete studies and publish papers
which support your hypothesis. Subject your ideas to criticisms, see
if your ideas survive scrutiny. <br>
If your ideas are failures, don<font size="-1">'</font>t go looking
to Uncle Sam for a handout. Try again, think deeper, work harder.
That is what real scientists do.<br>
<font size="-1" color="#666666"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2017/aug/31/the-trump-administration-wants-to-bail-out-failed-contrarian-climate-scientists">https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2017/aug/31/the-trump-administration-wants-to-bail-out-failed-contrarian-climate-scientists</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.desmogblog.com/2017/09/03/study-finds-exxon-misled-public-withholding-climate-knowledge">Study
Finds Exxon Misled the Public by Withholding Climate Knowledge</a></b><br>
By David Suzuki September 2, 2017 <br>
<font size="-1" color="#666666"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.desmogblog.com/2017/09/03/study-finds-exxon-misled-public-withholding-climate-knowledge">https://www.desmogblog.com/2017/09/03/study-finds-exxon-misled-public-withholding-climate-knowledge</a></font><br>
<br>
<b><br>
</b><b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://theconversation.com/i-was-an-exxon-funded-climate-scientist-49855">Katharine
Hayhoe, I Was an Exxon-Funded Climate Scientist</a></b><br>
...I have a unique perspective - because I was there.<br>
From 1995 to 1997, Exxon provided partial financial support for my
master's thesis, which focused on methane chemistry and emissions. I
spent several weeks in 1996 as an intern at their Annandale research
lab in New Jersey and years working on the collaborative research
that resulted in three of the published studies referenced in Supran
and Oreskes' new analysis.<br>
<b>Climate research at Exxon </b><br>
A scientist is a scientist no matter where we work, and my Exxon
colleagues were no exception. Thoughtful, cautious and in full
agreement with the scientific consensus on climate - these are
characteristics any scientist would be proud to own.<br>
Did Exxon have an agenda for our research? Of course - it's not a
charity. Their research and development was targeted, and in my
case, it was targeted at something that would raise no red flags in
climate policy circles: quantifying the benefits of methane
reduction.<br>
Methane is a waste product released by coal mining and natural gas
leaks; wastewater treatment plants; farting and belching cows,
sheep, goats and anything else that chews its cud; decaying organic
trash in garbage dumps; giant termite mounds in Africa; and even, in
vanishingly small amounts, our own lactose-intolerant family
members.<br>
On a mass basis, methane absorbs about 35 times more of the Earth's
heat than carbon dioxide. Methane has a much shorter lifetime than
carbon dioxide gas, and we produce a lot less of it, so there's no
escaping the fact that carbon has to go. But if our concern is how
fast the Earth is warming, we can get a big bang for our buck by
cutting methane emissions as soon as possible, while continuing to
wean ourselves off carbon-based fuels long-term.<br>
For the gas and oil industry, reducing methane emissions means
saving energy. So it's no surprise that, during my research, I
didn't experience any heavy-handed guidance or interference with my
results. No one asked to review my code or suggested ways to
"adjust" my findings. The only requirement was that a journal
article with an Exxon co-author pass an internal review before it
could be submitted for peer review, a policy similar to that of many
federal agencies...<br>
<font size="-1" color="#666666"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://theconversation.com/i-was-an-exxon-funded-climate-scientist-49855">https://theconversation.com/i-was-an-exxon-funded-climate-scientist-49855</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/sep/02/fish-conservation-foreign-species-uk-waters-climate-change">Cod
and haddock go north due to warming UK seas, as foreign fish
arrive</a></b><br>
Our seafood diet must adapt, say scientists, as climate change
forces some favourites to colder waters and threatens others<br>
Britain must prepare itself for invasions of growing numbers of
foreign sea creatures attracted by our warming waters, a new report
has warned. Some newcomers could have devastating effects, others
could be beneficial, say the researchers.<br>
Examples provided by the team include slipper limpets that could
destroy mussel and oyster beds. By contrast, new arrivals such as
the American razor clam and Pacific oyster could become the bases of
profitable industries for British fishermen.<br>
"In a few decades the temperature of our seas is likely to be
roughly the same as those found in the waters around Portugal at the
turn of the last century – so we can expect to find the kind of
marine life that existed there in British seas in the near future,"
said marine biologist Professor Stephen Simpson, of Exeter
University. "Apart from cuttlefish and sardines – which are already
moving into our waters – we can expect fish like red mullet and john
dory to be more common. By contrast the haddock is already
disappearing from the southern North Sea, while plaice and sole are
also becoming less and less prevalent. Fortunately, cod appears to
be more resilient."<br>
One invader highlighted in the report is the club tunicate – a
soft-bodied creature from Asia that Simpson described as looking
like "a floating plastic bag". It has reached UK waters and is very
likely to spread round our coast. Not only does it out-compete
shellfish in particular for food – causing great harm to mussel
beds, for example – but it releases toxins that can trigger
respiratory attacks in humans. Other hazards that could take
advantage of our warming waters are wireweed and the acorn barnacle.
Both compete for food and space with local species and foul harbours
and ships.<br>
<font size="-1" color="#666666"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/sep/02/fish-conservation-foreign-species-uk-waters-climate-change">https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/sep/02/fish-conservation-foreign-species-uk-waters-climate-change</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<b><a
href="https://magazine.theweek.com/editions/com.dennis.theweek.issue.issue838/data/54332/index.html">(editorial
cartoon) Atlanta Journal-Constitution:Mike Luckovich</a></b><br>
I hereyby pardon Climate Change...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://magazine.theweek.com/editions/com.dennis.theweek.issue.issue838/data/54332/index.html">https://magazine.theweek.com/editions/com.dennis.theweek.issue.issue838/data/54332/index.html</a><br>
<br>
<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://news.nationalgeographic.com/2017/08/Bryozoan-blob-creature-video-spd/">Mysterious,
Brain-Like Blob Found in Lagoon</a></b><br>
Scientists are unsure if warming temperatures are causing the
bizarre invertebrates to spread.<br>
By Sarah Gibbens PUBLISHED AUGUST 31, 2017<br>
A gelatinous, mucus-like creature lurks in rivers and lakes-and it's
called a bryozoan. Recently, they were spotted-for the first known
time-in Stanley Park in Vancouver, British Columbia, when low water
levels made them more visible.<br>
Celina Starnes from the Stanley Park Ecology Society recently
examined the specimen found in the area's "Lost Lagoon," a small
body of water in the southern part of the park. In video created by
the Vancouver Courier, Starnes shows the brownish green mass
jiggling as it's pulled from the water.<br>
In a phone call with National Geographic, Starnes explains that the
creatures have a gelatinous, firm quality, "almost like Jell-o," she
said.<br>
Bryozoan clumps like these are actually hundreds of creatures living
together in a colony. A single organism, known as a zooid, is only a
fraction of a millimeter. Zooids are hermaphroditic but spread
thanks to statoblasts, a clump of cells found on the organism that
can reproduce asexually if broken off from the colony.<br>
Fossil records date ancient marine bryozoans as far back as 470
million years. The species found in Stanley Park is commonly called
a "magnificent" bryozoan, Pectinatella magnifica, and was previously
only known to exist in areas east of the Mississippi River.<br>
WHERE DID THEY COME FROM?<br>
Whether or not the creatures are an invasive species has been a
subject of debate among scientists. A 2012 report from the U.S. Fish
and Wildlife Service theorized that climate change could be helping
the creatures spread. Zooids can only survive in waters warmer than
roughly 60 degrees Fahrenheit, and the report states that warming
temperatures allow bryozoans to spread north.<br>
The lumps filter feed on algae in nutrient-rich waters and an
increase in their numbers could upset the ecological balance of a
freshwater ecosystem. They've also been found to clog pipes.<font
size="-1"> </font><font size="-1" color="#666666"><a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://news.nationalgeographic.com/2017/08/Bryozoan-blob-creature-video-spd/">http://news.nationalgeographic.com/2017/08/Bryozoan-blob-creature-video-spd/</a></font><br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vdUXX8Te5pE">(video)
Behold, the blob of Vancouver's Lost Lagoon</a></b><br>
Vancouver Courier Published on Aug 24, 2017<br>
"The Blob" is indescribable, indestructible and nothing can stop
it-at least in the movies. But in Vancouver's Lost Lagoon, where a
blob-like creature was recently uncovered, the best descriptions
thus far from Celina Starnes of the Stanley Park Ecology Society is
that it's like a deflated basketball or week-old Jell-O. It's gooey,
yet firm, and also kinda gross.<br>
<font size="-1" color="#666666"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vdUXX8Te5pE">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vdUXX8Te5pE</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<font size="+1"><b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://web.archive.org/web/20020619223452/http://www.commondreams.org/views01/0904-01.htm">This
Day in Climate History September 4, 2001</a> - from D.R.
Tucker</b></font><br>
September 4, 2001: In the Boston Globe, Theodore Roosevelt IV--the<br>
great-grandson of President Theodore Roosevelt--declares:<br>
"We Americans are heading into a carbon-constrained, ecologically<br>
fragile future for which we are ill prepared. Under the present<br>
leadership we are dragging our feet, willing to sacrifice vital<br>
natural resources instead of making real investments in current<br>
efficiency and future energy technologies. This is hardly a<br>
conservative agenda.<br>
"Moderate Republicans, and I am one, are distressed that an<br>
administration that strenuously claims to be conservative is instead<br>
intent on maintaining undisciplined and wasteful consumption. This
is<br>
unsustainable public policy, and I doubt that it will go far in<br>
achieving victory in the midterm elections. Bad public policy and
bad<br>
politics are a lethal combination."<br>
<font size="-1" color="#666666"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://web.archive.org/web/20020619223452/http://www.commondreams.org/views01/0904-01.htm">http://web.archive.org/web/20020619223452/http://www.commondreams.org/views01/0904-01.htm</a></font><br>
<br>
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