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<font size="+1"><i>September 28, 2017</i></font><br>
<br>
<b><a
href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-27/climate-shocks-may-cost-u-s-1-billion-a-day-as-planet-heats-up">Bloomberg
Climate Shocks May Cost U.S. $1 Billion a Day</a></b><br>
Stronger hurricanes, hotter heat waves, more frequent wildfires and
more severe public-health issues are all adding to the costs of
climate change, which will reach almost $1 billion a day in the U.S.
within a decade, according to a report released Wednesday.<br>
Total costs to address the impact of rising temperatures will swell
50 percent by 2027, to $360 billion annually, according to the study
from the Universal Ecological Fund. That equates to about 55 percent
of expected economic growth in the U.S.<br>
The report comes as the U.S. continues to reel from one of the
costliest hurricane seasons in history. Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and
Maria have inflicted an estimated $173 billion in damage in Texas,
Florida, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. On the West Coast,
record dry conditions and heat have triggered wildfires in nine
states. Unless the U.S. cuts fossil fuel use, the economic toll from
such events will continue to rise, the study concludes.<br>
"The increasing damage from climate-change related storms, wild
fires, human health, agriculture loss and the like are taxing the
potential of economic growth," said James McCarthy, a Harvard
University professor whose co-authors included Robert Watson, former
chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The
researchers weren't paid for their work.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-27/climate-shocks-may-cost-u-s-1-billion-a-day-as-planet-heats-up">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-27/climate-shocks-may-cost-u-s-1-billion-a-day-as-planet-heats-up</a></font><br>
<b><a
href="http://news.nationalgeographic.com/2017/09/climate-change-costs-us-economy-billions-report/">National
Geographic - Hidden Costs of Climate Change Running Hundreds of
Billions a Year</a></b><br>
And yet this does not include this past months' three major
hurricanes or 76 wildfires in nine Western states. Those economic
losses alone are estimated to top $300 billion, the report notes.
Putting it in perspective, $300 billion is enough money to provide
free tuition for the 13.5 million U.S. students enrolled in public
colleges and universities for four years.<br>
In the coming decade, economic losses from extreme weather combined
with the health costs of air pollution spiral upward to at least
$360 billion annually, potentially crippling U.S. economic growth,
according to this new report, The Economic Case for Climate Action
in the United States, published online Thursday by the Universal
Ecological Fund.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://news.nationalgeographic.com/2017/09/climate-change-costs-us-economy-billions-report/">http://news.nationalgeographic.com/2017/09/climate-change-costs-us-economy-billions-report/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
REPORT - Sep 27, 2017<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/climate-change-latino-mind-may-2017/">Climate
Change in the Latino Mind: May 2017</a><br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/perspectivas-de-latinos-en-ee-uu-sobre-el-cambio-climatico/">Para
leer el reporte en espanol, haga clic aqui.</a><br>
</b>Our latest national study finds that self-identified Latinos in
the United States are more convinced global warming is happening and
human-caused, more worried about it, more supportive of climate
change policies, and more willing to demand political action than
non-Latinos. Further, Spanish-language Latinos are more engaged with
the issue of climate change than English-language Latinos.<br>
<blockquote>More than eight in ten Latinos (84%) think global
warming is happening, including nearly nine in ten
Spanish-language Latinos (88%).<br>
Seven in ten Latinos (70%) understand global warming is mostly
human caused, including three-quarters of Spanish-language Latinos
(76%).<br>
Three in four Latinos (78%) are worried about global warming; one
in three (35%) are "very worried", including 43% of
Spanish-language Latinos, who are "very worried".<br>
Three in four Latinos want corporations and industry (77%),
citizens themselves (74%), President Trump (74%), and the U.S.
Congress (73%) to do more to address global warming.<br>
Many Latinos are willing to take political action on global
warming, including a majority who would vote for a candidate for
public office because of their position on global warming (60%). A
majority are also willing to join a campaign to convince elected
officials to take action to reduce global warming (51%), including
61% of Spanish-language Latinos.<br>
Seven in ten Latinos (71%) have never been contacted by an
organization working to reduce global warming. <a
moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/climate-change-latino-mind-may-2017/2/">more
at Key Findings</a><br>
</blockquote>
Overall, we find a very consistent pattern: Latinos are much more
engaged with the issue of global warming than are non-Latinos.
Latinos are more convinced global warming is happening and
human-caused, more worried about it, perceive greater risks, are
more supportive of climate change policies, and are more willing to
get involved politically. Within the Latino community, we find
another consistent pattern: while Latinos, generally, are more
engaged with the issue of global warming than are non-Latinos,
Spanish-language Latinos are even more engaged than English-language
Latinos.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/climate-change-latino-mind-may-2017/">http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/climate-change-latino-mind-may-2017/</a></font><br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/perspectivas-de-latinos-en-ee-uu-sobre-el-cambio-climatico/">Para
leer el reporte en español, haga clic aquí:</a> <br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/perspectivas-de-latinos-en-ee-uu-sobre-el-cambio-climatico/">http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/perspectivas-de-latinos-en-ee-uu-sobre-el-cambio-climatico/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.climateliabilitynews.org/2017/09/27/youth-climate-lawsuit-portugal-wildfires/">Another
Youth Climate Lawsuit Turns to Crowdfunding in Portugal</a></b><br>
<span style="box-sizing: inherit; font-weight: 400;">After more than
60 people died in wildfires that scorched central Portugal this
summer, a London nonprofit group plans to file suit against 47
European countries on behalf of six children affected by the
fires. The lawsuit aims to force the countries to cut their
climate pollution and help prevent future global warming-related
disasters...<br>
</span><span style="box-sizing: inherit; font-weight: 400;">The<span> </span></span><a
href="http://www.glanlaw.org/single-post/2017/09/24/Crowdfunding-campaign-for-climate-change-legal-action-launched"
style="box-sizing: inherit; background-color: transparent; color:
rgb(51, 51, 51); text-decoration: none; font-weight: 500;"><span
style="box-sizing: inherit; font-weight: 400;">Global Legal
Action Network</span></a><span style="box-sizing: inherit;
font-weight: 400;"><span> </span>(GLAN) launched a crowdfunding
campaign on Monday to raise the initial $27,000 of an estimated
$471,000 necessary to begin assembling the case, which the group
hopes to file in the<span> </span></span><a
href="http://www.echr.coe.int/Pages/home.aspx?p=home"
style="box-sizing: inherit; background-color: transparent; color:
rgb(51, 51, 51); text-decoration: none; font-weight: 500;"><span
style="box-sizing: inherit; font-weight: 400;">European Court of
Human Rights</span></a><span style="box-sizing: inherit;
font-weight: 400;"><span> </span>sometime in 2018 or later...</span><br>
<span style="box-sizing: inherit; font-weight: 400;">The proposed
lawsuit was inspired in part by a similar U.S. suit filed by a
group of children in Oregon,<span> </span></span><a
href="https://www.climateliabilitynews.org/2017/07/13/the-kids-climate-case-against-the-u-s-government-a-timeline/"
style="box-sizing: inherit; background-color: transparent; color:
rgb(51, 51, 51); text-decoration: none; font-weight: 500;"><span
style="box-sizing: inherit; font-weight: 400;">Juliana v. United
States</span></a><span style="box-sizing: inherit; font-weight:
400;">, which is arguing for a human right to a stable climate and
force the U.S. government to cut its greenhouse gas emissions...</span><br>
<span style="box-sizing: inherit; font-weight: 400;">Scientists say
climate change<span> </span></span><a
href="http://www.climatecentral.org/news/warming-tipped-june-heat-wave-21585"
style="box-sizing: inherit; background-color: transparent; color:
rgb(51, 51, 51); text-decoration: none; font-weight: 500;"><span
style="box-sizing: inherit; font-weight: 400;">was a factor</span></a><span
style="box-sizing: inherit; font-weight: 400;"><span> </span>in
exacerbating the Iberian Peninsula's extreme summer heat wave,
which pushed temperatures to 109 degrees F in central Portugal in
mid-June. The heat fueled<span> </span></span><a
href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_Portugal_wildfires"
style="box-sizing: inherit; background-color: transparent; color:
rgb(51, 51, 51); text-decoration: none; font-weight: 500;"><span
style="box-sizing: inherit; font-weight: 400;">massive wildfires</span></a><span
style="box-sizing: inherit; font-weight: 400;"><span> </span>that
burned more than 111,000 acres in Portugal's<span> </span></span><a
href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pedr%C3%B3g%C3%A3o_Grande"
style="box-sizing: inherit; background-color: transparent; color:
rgb(51, 51, 51); text-decoration: none; font-weight: 500;"><span
style="box-sizing: inherit; font-weight: 400;">Pedrógão Grande</span></a><span
style="box-sizing: inherit; font-weight: 400;"><span> </span>region—among
the worst blazes in the country's history...</span><br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.climateliabilitynews.org/2017/09/27/youth-climate-lawsuit-portugal-wildfires/">https://www.climateliabilitynews.org/2017/09/27/youth-climate-lawsuit-portugal-wildfires/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-41401656">BBC: Climate
change: Ministers should be 'sued' over targets</a></b><br>
"The government knows very well what needs to be done - but it
isn't doing it.<br>
"If it takes legal action to force ministers to behave properly,
then so be it - I'll support it."<br>
Prof King is backing a preliminary legal action by a tiny group,
Plan B, run by former government lawyer Tim Crosland.<br>
It argues that Business Secretary Greg Clark is obliged under the
act to tighten targets if the science shows it is needed. This is
the basis of the case.<br>
"If scientists are telling us our current course of emissions
potentially takes us to catastrophe, then to stick to the current
course is irrational.<br>
"The best available science tells us the risks of crossing tipping
points rise very sharply between 1.5 and 2C. And that means the UK
cutting emissions to zero."<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-41401656">http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-41401656</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<b><a
href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/pascals-wager-and-global-climate-change-hedging_us_59c944c3e4b0f2df5e83b066">Pascal's
Wager And Global Climate Change: Hedging Your Bet When the Cost
of Error is Too High</a></b><br>
Eric K. Clemons Professor of Operations Information and Decisions,
The Wharton School<br>
Blaise Pascal was a brilliant 17th century French philosopher.
Rather than try to prove the existence of God, he chose instead to
prove to skeptics why they should believe in the existence of God
and live their lives as if God existed, even without proof. He
constructed the now-famous Pascal's Wager, probably the first use of
modern decision analysis. We can start with his argument, and apply
it to the current debate about Global Warming and Global Climate
Change. Like Pascal, I cannot prove the existence of Climate Change.
But just like Pascal, I believe that I can prove that you should act
as if it is real. Indeed, I show that the only reason for acting as
if human-driven Climate Change is not real is if you believe we are
doomed anyway; in that case, ignore Climate Change and enjoy
civilization while it lasts.<br>
<b>Pascal's argument is really simple:</b><br>
If God exists and you bet that He does not, your penalty relative to
betting correctly is enormous. If God does not exist and you bet
that He does, your penalty relative to betting correctly is
inconsequential. So, without additional information, you should
always bet that God exists.<br>
<b>My argument is almost identical to his and just as simple.</b><br>
If Climate Change exists and you bet that it does not, your penalty
and the penalty of all of human civilization, relative to betting
correctly, is enormous. If Climate Change does not exist and you bet
that it does, your penalty relative to betting correctly is
inconsequential. So, without additional information, you should
always bet that Climate Change exists...<br>
I am not the first person to compare Pascal's Wager to the analysis
of Climate Change. See <a
href="https://www.theguardian.com/science/2012/jul/03/climate-change-pascal-wager">How
to bet on climate change</a> for an early example.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/pascals-wager-and-global-climate-change-hedging_us_59c944c3e4b0f2df5e83b066">http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/pascals-wager-and-global-climate-change-hedging_us_59c944c3e4b0f2df5e83b066</a></font><br>
<b><a
href="https://www.theguardian.com/science/2012/jul/03/climate-change-pascal-wager">How
to bet on climate change</a><br>
</b>Pascal's Wager is more useful for deciding which way to go on
climate change than on, say, religion<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/science/2012/jul/03/climate-change-pascal-wager">https://www.theguardian.com/science/2012/jul/03/climate-change-pascal-wager</a></font><b><br>
<br>
</b> <b><br>
</b><b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/09/26/climate/climate-books-fiction-scifi-novels.html">Is
Climate-Themed Fiction All Too Real? We Asked the Experts</a></b><br>
New York Times... Caribbean this month, Paolo Bacigalupi's readers
started sending him news clips. ... Anthropogenic warming has
increased the state's drought risk, but ... but pretty far into the
distant future when global warming really has an effect ...<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/09/26/climate/climate-books-fiction-scifi-novels.html">https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/09/26/climate/climate-books-fiction-scifi-novels.html</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<b><a
href="https://psmag.com/environment/important-of-ice-thickness-in-assessing-climate-damage">The
Importance of Ice Thickness in Assessing the Impact of Climate
Change in the Arctic</a></b><br>
This year's thinner, slushier ice is more vulnerable than the past's
thick, multi-year ice, and it melts out rapidly during a spike in
temperature or intense cyclonic activity...<br>
Some scientists are now saying colloquially that the Arctic Ocean
has in recent decades entered the "Thin Ice Age." Since 1980, the
average ice thickness come July has decreased by an estimated 120
centimeters (47 inches)...<br>
"We're not seeing any sort of recovery in the sea ice. Even if we
have an average summer like this one — there was nothing remarkable
in the air temperatures — but we still were among the lowest. I
think that's where thickness comes into play," said Stroeve. "We're
not recovering to the conditions we saw in the 1980s or 1990s and
that is because the thickness of the ice has gotten to the point
where you're not getting any recovery anymore."<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://psmag.com/environment/important-of-ice-thickness-in-assessing-climate-damage">https://psmag.com/environment/important-of-ice-thickness-in-assessing-climate-damage</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://neven1.typepad.com/blog/2017/08/guest-blog-arctic-prediction-models.html">http://neven1.typepad.com/blog/2017/08/guest-blog-arctic-prediction-models.html</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.foodandwaterwatch.org/news/betting-chaos-financial-firms-seek-cash-climate-change">Betting
on Chaos: Financial Firms Seek to Cash In on Climate Change</a><br>
There's a perverse new way to profit off of future climate misery.<br>
Earlier this month the Financial Times reported that a new climate
change prediction market [subscription required] is being created in
the United Kingdom. The market, similar to a sports betting book, is
the "brainchild" of the financial firm Winton Capital. Initially,
the market will allow bets on levels of carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere and on temperature rises, but Winton Capital hopes to
expand it in the future so that sea level rise, extreme weather, and
other pollution levels become the topic of bets.<br>
What's equally strange is that Winton Capital is paying for this
market out of its philanthropic budget. There's nothing
philanthropic about betting on climate change.<br>
This announcement is just the latest outgrowth of the perverse
attempt to reduce the value of nature to financial values. And, in
this instance, it is coupled with a claim that monetary bets - in
which real people can make real money for placing bets on climate
change - will reveal a "scientific consensus" about what damage we
are doing to our climate<br>
this desire to reduce the science of climate change to financial
bets ought not to have surprised us. It is the advance of the
ideology that seeks to replace real regulation of pollution with
pollution markets and to reduce the value of nature to a form of
capital. And, it is as misguided as those attempts. Like them it is
not about truly trying to prevent climate change or save our
environment - it is an attempt to allow business as usual and to
find new streams of profit for financiers.<br>
We do not need to find a "market consensus" on carbon dioxide
levels. We already know there is a scientific consensus that humans
have put too much carbon and other greenhouse gases into the
atmosphere and we know that if you understand that science, then you
know we must act now to get off fossil fuels and move to 100% clean
energy as quickly as possible. Instead of gambling on side bets
about how bad climate change has become, we should be doing
everything we can to prevent it from becoming worse.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.foodandwaterwatch.org/news/betting-chaos-financial-firms-seek-cash-climate-change">https://www.foodandwaterwatch.org/news/betting-chaos-financial-firms-seek-cash-climate-change</a></font><br>
<br>
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