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<font size="+1"><i>January 4, 2018</i></font><br>
<br>
[Attribution]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true" href="https://youtu.be/eB7xJ23E1t0">Scientists
Can Now Quickly Link Extreme Weather Events To Climate Change </a></b><br>
Video posted Jan 3, 2018<br>
The United States is in the middle of a deep cold snap, and
meteorologists are saying that a "bomb cyclone" - essentially a
freezing hurricane - will hit parts of the East Coast tonight. It's
a weather cycle that's prompted a number of climate change deniers -
including President Trump - to crack tired jokes about the concept
of global warming.<br>
But beyond the misguided social media jabs lies a serious and
ongoing discussion about how scientists can connect individual
extreme weather events to underlying climate change - and more
importantly, how fast they can make now those connections.<br>
Remember that study from 2004. It looked at a European heat wave
that took place in 2003, and took a year and a half to complete. In
contrast, just three months after Hurricane Harvey, scientists at
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory published a study showing
that Harvey dropped 38 percent more rain than it would have without
underlying climate change. Another group called World Weather
Attribution found that hurricanes that size have become three times
more probable<br>
VICE News spoke with Myles Allen, a climate scientist at the
University of Oxford and one of the researchers behind the first
climate attribution study, who explained why scientists are now able
to rapidly figure out if an event like Hurricane Harvey was more
devastating than it otherwise would have been because of climate
change. (Answer: it was.)<br>
"We are now looking at accelerating that whole process because once
you've agreed on the method you're using, you don't need to reinvent
the wheel every time you do a new study," Allen told VICE News. "The
actual time it takes to actually do the calculations is not that
long."<br>
<font size="-1">This segment originally aired January 3, 2017 on
VICE News Tonight on HBO.<br>
Subscribe to VICE News here: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://bit.ly/Subscribe-to-VICE-News">http://bit.ly/Subscribe-to-VICE-News</a>
Check out VICE News for more: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://vicenews.com">http://vicenews.com</a></font><br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://youtu.be/eB7xJ23E1t0">https://youtu.be/eB7xJ23E1t0</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Peter Sinclair videos]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://climatecrocks.com/2018/01/03/katharine-hayhoe-what-happens-in-the-arctic-matters/">Katharine
Hayhoe: What Happens in the Arctic Matters</a></b><br>
Katharine Hayhoe on why the Arctic Matters. <br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true" href="https://youtu.be/Kz0V3mTgsaM">What
happens in the Arctic doesn't really matter, right?</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://youtu.be/Kz0V3mTgsaM">https://youtu.be/Kz0V3mTgsaM</a><br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true" href="https://youtu.be/n_ESAm0iK7Q">5 Year
Study: What Happens in the Arctic Does Not Stay There</a><br>
The Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Group's 5 year study on Snow,
Water, Ice and Permafrost in the Arctic, SWIPA, is now complete. <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://youtu.be/n_ESAm0iK7Q">https://youtu.be/n_ESAm0iK7Q</a><br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://climatecrocks.com/2018/01/03/katharine-hayhoe-what-happens-in-the-arctic-matters/">https://climatecrocks.com/2018/01/03/katharine-hayhoe-what-happens-in-the-arctic-matters/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Military in the Arctic]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/8xv87z/russia-anti-aircraft-missiles-tor-m2dt-defend-arctic-oil">Russia
Is Deploying Anti-Aircraft Missiles to Defend Its Arctic Oil
Claims</a></b><br>
The surface-to-air system is built for cold and can shoot down
cruise missiles in the rapidly warming, potentially oil-rich Far
North.<br>
Russia's army will deploy special air-defense missiles systems to
help defend its Arctic territory, the Kremlin <a
moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://eng.mil.ru/en/news_page/country/more.htm?id=12157048@egNews">announced
</a>on January 2.<br>
The new Tor-M2DT surface-to-air missiles system is part of a wider
buildup of Russian forces in the rapidly warming, potentially
oil-rich Far North. The system includes radars and missile-launchers
and can shoot down airplanes, helicopters, drones, and even incoming
precision-guided munitions (PGMs) like cruise missiles.<br>
The Tor is the world's first air-defense system "specifically
tailored for highly effective use against PGMs," as Russia's
weapons-export agency once boasted. Fitted to a snowcat-style
tracked vehicle, the M2DT version of the Tor is "adapted to severe
climatic conditions [and] is intended to operate at extremely low
temperatures and [on] difficult terrain," the Russian defense
ministry stated...<br>
As <a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/wnxkp9/an-ice-shelf-four-times-the-size-of-texas-just-melted-in-antartica">climate
change shrinks year-round Arctic ice</a> and opens up more of the
region to oil- and gas-drilling, countries with Far North borders
have scrambled to deploy more cold-weather military forces. Canada
is building a new <a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.navy-marine.forces.gc.ca/en/fleet-units/aops-home.page">Arctic
naval flotilla</a>. The United States is setting up squadrons of
F-22 and F-35 stealth fighters in Alaska....<br>
The Arctic is becoming a much more heavily armed place. But that
doesn't necessarily mean war is inevitable. Moscow and its rivals <a
moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/vv7q8b/tillerson-putin-arctic-oil">prefer
to drill in the Arctic</a> rather than fight there, according to
Abbie Tingstad, a scientist with the RAND Corporation, a California
think-tank.<br>
"Given how hard it is to operate in the Arctic," Tingstad <a
moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.rand.org/blog/rand-review/2017/10/policy-challenges-in-the-arctic-qa-with-abbie-tingstad.html">said
in a recent Q+A</a> on policy challenges in the Far North, "any
real conflict there would probably quash economic potential."<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/8xv87z/russia-anti-aircraft-missiles-tor-m2dt-defend-arctic-oil">https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/8xv87z/russia-anti-aircraft-missiles-tor-m2dt-defend-arctic-oil</a></font><br>
-<br>
[Kremlin Announcement]<b><br>
</b><b>Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation</b><br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://eng.mil.ru/en/news_page/country/more.htm?id=12157048@egNews"><b>Arctic
Tor-M2DT to enter service with Land Forces Air Defence</b></a><br>
This year, the troops operating in the Russian Far North and the
Arctic will receive the Tor-M2DT short-range anti-aircraft missile
system.<br>
It was announced by Chief of Land Forces Air Defence Lieutenant
General Alexander Leonov.<br>
The Tor-M2DT autonomous short-range anti-aircraft missile system
adapted to severe climatic conditions is intended to operate at
extremely low temperature and difficult terrain.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://eng.mil.ru/en/news_page/country/more.htm?id=12157048@egNews">http://eng.mil.ru/en/news_page/country/more.htm?id=12157048@egNews</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Newsweek]<br>
<b><a
href="http://www.newsweek.com/earth-desert-2050-global-warming-768545">Earth
Will Start Becoming a Desert by 2050 If Global Warming Isn't
Stopped, Study Says</a></b><br>
More than 25 percent of the Earth will experience serious drought
and desertification by the year 2050 if the attempts made by the
Paris climate agreement to curb global warming are not met,
according to a new study by the journal Nature Climate Change. The
study, which was published on Monday, ...<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.newsweek.com/earth-desert-2050-global-warming-768545">http://www.newsweek.com/earth-desert-2050-global-warming-768545</a></font><br>
-<br>
[Nature Climate Change]<br>
<a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-017-0034-4.epdf">Keeping
global warming within 1.5 degrees C constrains emergence of
aridification</a><br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-017-0034-4.epdf">https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-017-0034-4.epdf</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[CSPAN The Second Session of the 115th Congress ]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.c-span.org/video/?438924-1/us-senate-opens-session-115th-congress">Senator
Whitehouse giving first climate speech of the year. </a></b><br>
.... WE OWE THIS TO OUR CHILDREN AND TO OUR CHILDREN'S CHILDREN. TO
ALL FUTURE GENERATIONS WHO WILL LOOK BACK AT US, MR. PRESIDENT, AND
SAY WHEN IT WAS SO OBVIOUS, HOW IS IT POSSIBLE THAT THE GOVERNMENT
OF THE UNITED STATES, HOW IS IT POSSIBLE THAT THIS CITY ON A HILL
COULD DO NOTHING BUT THE BIDDING OF THE MOST CONFLICTED INDUSTRY ON
THE PLANET? IN 2018 LET'S GET THIS RIGHT. THANK YOU, MR. PRESIDENT.
I YIELD THE FLOOR AND NOTE THE ABSENCE OF A QUORUM.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.c-span.org/video/?438924-1/us-senate-opens-session-115th-congress&start=15484">https://www.c-span.org/video/?438924-1/us-senate-opens-session-115th-congress&start=15484</a><br>
<br>
<br>
[Wind power]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://news.azpm.org/p/news-articles/2018/1/2/121967-how-global-warming-could-alter-the-wind-power-landscape/">How
Global Warming Could Alter the Wind-Power Landscape</a></b><br>
Climate change could mean winds in the Northern Hemisphere lose
their oomph, study says.<br>
Global wind patterns follow temperature and pressure gradients:
Steeper differences mean stronger winds...<br>
As rapid arctic warming shrinks the heat gap between the North Pole
and equator, Northern Hemisphere winds could lose some oomph - up to
40 percent over the next century, depending on region, according to
a Nature Geoscience paper published online in early December.<br>
The U.S. could average an 8 to 10 percent power loss by 2050, with
some regions hit harder than others.<br>
The study also projects a boost to Southern Hemisphere winds that
could benefit areas of Australia, Africa and Brazil...<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://news.azpm.org/p/news-articles/2018/1/2/121967-how-global-warming-could-alter-the-wind-power-landscape/">https://news.azpm.org/p/news-articles/2018/1/2/121967-how-global-warming-could-alter-the-wind-power-landscape/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Arctic]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.iflscience.com/environment/global-warming-is-increasing-the-radioactivity-of-the-arctic-ocean/">Global
Warming Is Increasing The Radioactivity Of The Arctic Ocean</a></b><br>
Concentrations of radioactive radium-228 in the Arctic Ocean
increased between 2007 and 2015. The radiation involved is far too
low to be threatening in itself, but could act as a marker of deeply
worrying trends. The good news is future measurements of radium
could help quantify some of the most worrying aspects of climate
change...<br>
Unfortunately, systematic records of radium concentrations in the
Arctic prior to 2015 don't exist. However, localized measurements
taken in 1994, 2002, and 2007 allowed Kipp to conclude that
radium-228 has risen sharply over the 2007-2015 period, and most of
this increase must come from sediments at the continental margin...<br>
The permafrost that was previously preventing the incorporation of
sedimentary radium into the ocean contains something far more
dangerous than tiny quantities of the radioactive element – methane,
which would greatly amplify warming. As climatologist Professor
Jason Box <a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.iflscience.com/environment/climatologist-arctic-carbon-release-could-mean-%E2%80%9Cwere-fucked%E2%80%9D/">famously
tweeted</a>: "If even a small fraction of Arctic sea floor carbon
is released into the atmosphere, we're fucked"....<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.iflscience.com/environment/global-warming-is-increasing-the-radioactivity-of-the-arctic-ocean/">http://www.iflscience.com/environment/global-warming-is-increasing-the-radioactivity-of-the-arctic-ocean/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Iran turmoil]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://getenergysmartnow.com/2018/01/03/climate-change-security-2018-iranian-edition/">Climate
Change & Security: 2018 Iranian edition</a></b><br>
Let's be clear: just one can't say 'the Syrian Civil War was created
by human-driven climate change', climate change is just one of many
factors driving today's unrest in Iran. Bad government economic
policies, few jobs for young people, continued efforts to suppress
openness, massive increases in smart phone ownership (with less
fettered access to the world and each other), and … there are a
multitude of factors at play in this complex situation. But one
cannot (unless rejecting realities, like Trump and his
#alternativefacts supporters) deny that human-driven climate change,
with a 14-year long drought, is helping drive the disruption.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://getenergysmartnow.com/2018/01/03/climate-change-security-2018-iranian-edition/">http://getenergysmartnow.com/2018/01/03/climate-change-security-2018-iranian-edition/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[New Hampshire politics]<br>
<b>SeacoastOnline.com</b><br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.seacoastonline.com/news/20180102/soldati-gets-heated-over-global-warming-at-hampton-event">Soldati
gets heated over global warming at Hampton event</a></b><br>
HAMPTON - The temperature outside was a frigid 11 degrees and
dropping.<br>
But inside, Lincoln Soldati was getting fired up over the issue of
climate change.<br>
"For me the issue is among the most important that we're facing,"
the Democratic congressional candidate told a group of party
activists meeting Tuesday night at the United Methodist Church in
Hampton.<br>
Soldati was the first of the six declared Democratic candidates
running for the open seat in the state's 1st Congressional District
to speak at a monthly gathering of the Hampton Democrats.<br>
He said that climate change "is the issue that's going to have the
greatest impact not on me but on my grandchildren."<br>
"I need to do whatever I can to affect their lives," Soldati added.<br>
And he touted that "I'm one of the few people that actually uses the
phrase global warming, because we've been told 'you can't talk about
global warming. No, it's got to be climate change.' Well, climate
change is the effect of global warming. Global warming is the
problem."<br>
Soldati is a Portsmouth native and U.S. Army veteran who spent four
decades as a trial lawyer. He also served 18 years as Strafford
County Attorney and in 2009 was elected mayor of Somersworth.<br>
Soldati, who highlighted that he was an Uber driver after retiring
from his law practice, said running for Congress "isn't something I
had in mind."...<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.seacoastonline.com/news/20180102/soldati-gets-heated-over-global-warming-at-hampton-event">http://www.seacoastonline.com/news/20180102/soldati-gets-heated-over-global-warming-at-hampton-event</a></font><br>
<br>
<b><br>
</b>[Art]<b><br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/2018/jan/03/us-art-2018-radical-women-climate-change">
Radical women and climate change: what to expect from the US art
world in 2018</a></b><br>
A look ahead at the next 12 months suggests a varied landscape
encompassing diverse work based on imprisonment, civil rights and
the Vietnam war<br>
It has been a complicated year with Trump dropping climate change
from the US national security strategy and on 19 May, an exhibition
opens at the Storm King Art Center in Mountainville, New York.
Artists on Climate Change puts the work of a dozen artists on view
who "speak to larger issues that affect regional, national, and
global ecological health", said John P Stern, the president of Storm
King. ..<br>
As the co-curator Gary Carrion-Murayari says: "The exhibition
amounts to a call for action, an active engagement, and an
interference in political and social structures urgently requiring
them."<font size="-1"><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/2018/jan/03/us-art-2018-radical-women-climate-change">https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/2018/jan/03/us-art-2018-radical-women-climate-change</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<font size="+1"><b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.nytimes.com/1996/01/04/world/95-is-hottest-year-on-record-as-the-global-trend-resumes.html?pagewanted=print">This
Day in Climate History January 4, 1996 </a> - from D.R.
Tucker</b></font><br>
January 4, 1996: The New York Times reports:<br>
<blockquote>"The earth's average surface temperature climbed to a
record high last<br>
year, according to preliminary figures, bolstering scientists'
sense<br>
that the burning of fossil fuels is warming the climate.<br>
<br>
"Spells of cold, snow and ice like the ones this winter in the<br>
northeastern United States come and go in one region or another,
as do<br>
periods of unusual warmth. But the net result globally made 1995
the<br>
warmest year since records first were kept in 1856, says a
provisional<br>
report issued by the British Meteorological Office and the
University<br>
of East Anglia.<br>
<br>
"The average temperature was 58.72 degrees Fahrenheit, according
to<br>
the British data, seven-hundredths of a degree higher than the<br>
previous record, established in 1990.<br>
<br>
"The British figures, based on land and sea measurements around
the<br>
world, are one of two sets of long-term data by which surface<br>
temperature trends are being tracked.<br>
<br>
"The other, maintained by the NASA Goddard Institute for Space
Studies<br>
in New York, shows the average 1995 temperature at 59.7 degrees,<br>
slightly ahead of 1990 as the warmest year since record-keeping
began<br>
in 1866. But the difference is within the margin of sampling
error,<br>
and the two years essentially finished neck and neck.<br>
<br>
"The preliminary Goddard figures differ from the British ones
because<br>
they are based on a somewhat different combination of observations<br>
around the world.<br>
<br>
"One year does not a trend make, but the British figures show the<br>
years 1991 through 1995 to be warmer than any similar five-year<br>
period, including the two half-decades of the 1980's, the warmest<br>
decade on record.<br>
<br>
"This is so even though a sun-reflecting haze cast aloft by the
1991<br>
eruption of Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines cooled the earth<br>
substantially for about two years. Despite the post-Pinatubo
cooling,<br>
the Goddard data show the early 1990's to have been nearly as warm
as<br>
the late 1980's, which Goddard says was the warmest half-decade on<br>
record.<br>
<br>
"Dr. James E. Hansen, the director of the Goddard center,
predicted<br>
last year that a new global record would be reached before 2000,
and<br>
yesterday he said he now expected that 'we will still get at least
a<br>
couple more' by then.<br>
<br>
"Dr. Hansen has been one of only a few scientists to maintain<br>
steadfastly that a century-long global warming trend is being
caused<br>
mostly by human influence, a belief he reiterated yesterday."<br>
</blockquote>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.nytimes.com/1996/01/04/world/95-is-hottest-year-on-record-as-the-global-trend-resumes.html?pagewanted=print">http://www.nytimes.com/1996/01/04/world/95-is-hottest-year-on-record-as-the-global-trend-resumes.html?pagewanted=print</a></font><br>
<br>
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