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<font size="+1"><i>January 19, 2018</i></font><br>
<br>
[World Economic Forum]<br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://reports.weforum.org/global-risks-2018/">The Global
Risks Report 2018</a><br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GRR18_Report.pdf">Download
PDF</a><br>
Each year the Global Risks Report works with experts and
decision-makers across the world to identify and analyze the most
pressing risks that we face. As the pace of change accelerates, and
as risk interconnections deepen, this year's report highlights the
growing strain we are placing on many of the global systems we rely
on.<br>
For the second year running, business and political leaders think
the world's biggest threat is extreme weather, according to the
latest Global Risks Report by the World Economic Forum (WEF)
published today...<br>
<blockquote><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://reports.weforum.org/global-risks-2018/executive-summary/"><b>Executive
Summary</b></a> (clip)<br>
...Humanity has become remarkably adept at understanding how to
mitigate conventional risks that can be relatively easily isolated
and managed with standard risk-management approaches. But we are
much less competent when it comes to dealing with complex risks in
the interconnected systems that underpin our world, such as
organizations, economies, societies and the environment. There are
signs of strain in many of these systems: our accelerating pace of
change is testing the absorptive capacities of institutions,
communities and individuals. When risk cascades through a complex
system, the danger is not of incremental damage but of "runaway
collapse" or an abrupt transition to a new, suboptimal status
quo... <br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://reports.weforum.org/global-risks-2018/executive-summary/">http://reports.weforum.org/global-risks-2018/executive-summary/</a></font><br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://reports.weforum.org/global-risks-2018/">http://reports.weforum.org/global-risks-2018/</a><br>
-<br>
[Interactive trend map]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://reports.weforum.org/global-risks-2018/global-risks-landscape-2018/#trends">The
Risks-Trends Interconnections Map 2018</a></b><br>
How are global trends connected to global risks?<font size="-1"><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://reports.weforum.org/global-risks-2018/global-risks-landscape-2018/#trends">http://reports.weforum.org/global-risks-2018/global-risks-landscape-2018/#trends</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[record year] <br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-01-18/last-year-was-one-of-three-hottest-ever-recorded-wmo-says">Last
Year Was One of Three Hottest Ever Recorded, WMO Says</a></b><br>
Bloomberg<br>
Last year turned out to be one of the three warmest ever.<br>
The average global temperature was 1.1 degrees Celsius (2 degrees
Fahrenheit) above the baseline level before the Industrial
Revolution, the World Meteorological Organization said Thursday in a
statement. The record-high was in 2016, with 2017 and 2015 equal
second.<br>
The world's nations are united in pledging to curb fossil-fuel
pollution to slow global warming even after U.S. President Donald
Trump pulled the ...<br>
"Seventeen of the 18 warmest years on record have all been during
this century, and the degree of warming during the past three years
has been exceptional,<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-01-18/last-year-was-one-of-three-hottest-ever-recorded-wmo-says">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-01-18/last-year-was-one-of-three-hottest-ever-recorded-wmo-says</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[resignations]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/the-energy-202/2018/01/18/the-energy-202-trump-administration-is-sidelining-science-boards-new-report-says/5a5fc71d30fb0469e88401d0/?utm_term=.666ed6c8a775">The
Energy 202: Trump administration is sidelining science boards,
new report says</a></b><br>
Washington Post<br>
"That's disturbing because that means they're making decisions
without having any independent reference for the scientific
underpinnings for those decisions," said Andrew Rosenberg, director
of the group's Center for Science and Democracy. "Or they're
completely ignoring the science as they make decisions."<br>
Advisory panels - composed of independent experts from colleges,
companies, nonprofit groups and local governments - are widespread
across the federal government. More than 200 such committees are
scientific or technical in nature and advise the White House,
Congress or federal agencies on everything from disease control to
nuclear safety...<br>
But the agency still permits industry experts to be on the panels.
As a result, the percentage of industry-linked advisers on the EPA
Science Advisory Board, which offers scientific and technical advice
as the agency crafts environmental regulations, jumped from 6 to 23
percent from last year to this year. The EPA recruited academics and
environmental regulators from conservative states to join the panel,
as well...<br>
"We understand the complexity of transition," departing board
chairman Tony Knowles wrote to Interior, "but our requests to engage
have been ignored and the matters on which we wanted to brief the
new Department team are clearly not part of its agenda."<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/the-energy-202/2018/01/18/the-energy-202-trump-administration-is-sidelining-science-boards-new-report-says/5a5fc71d30fb0469e88401d0/?utm_term=.666ed6c8a775">https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/the-energy-202/2018/01/18/the-energy-202-trump-administration-is-sidelining-science-boards-new-report-says/5a5fc71d30fb0469e88401d0/?utm_term=.666ed6c8a775</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Data] <br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/01/180118162443.htm">Using
data mining to make sense of climate change</a></b><br>
Experts have developed a new way of mining data from climate data
sets that is more self-contained than traditional tools. The
methodology brings out commonalities of data sets without as much
expertise from the user, allowing scientists to trust the data and
get more robust -- and transparent -- results...<br>
"Climate science is a 'data-heavy' discipline with many
intellectually interesting questions that can benefit from
computational modeling and prediction," said Dovrolis, a professor
in the School of Computer Science, "Cross-disciplinary
collaborations are challenging at first -- every discipline has its
own language, preferred approach and research culture -- but they
can be quite rewarding at the end."<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/01/180118162443.htm">https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/01/180118162443.htm</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[DeSmog]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.desmogblog.com/2018/01/16/nasa-study-resolves-climate-mystery-confirms-methane-spike-ties-oil-gas">New
NASA Study Solves Climate Mystery, Confirms Methane Spike Tied
to Oil and Gas</a></b><br>
Over the past few years, natural gas has become the primary fuel
that America uses to generate electricity, displacing the long-time
king of fossil fuels, coal. In 2019, more than a third of America's
electrical supply will come from natural gas, with coal falling to a
second-ranked 28 percent, the Energy Information Administration
predicted this month, marking the growing ascendency of gas in the
American power market.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.desmogblog.com/2018/01/16/nasa-study-resolves-climate-mystery-confirms-methane-spike-ties-oil-gas">https://www.desmogblog.com/2018/01/16/nasa-study-resolves-climate-mystery-confirms-methane-spike-ties-oil-gas</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[clip from a classic post]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://oneearthsangha.org/articles/dharma-teachers-statement-on-climate-change/">The
Earth as Witness: International Dharma Teachers' Statement on
Climate Change</a></b><br>
As a starting point, the Dharma states that to formulate meaningful
solutions to any problem we must first acknowledge the truth of our
suffering. As shocking and painful as it may be, we must recognize
that without swift and dramatic reductions in fossil fuel use and
major efforts to increase carbon sequestration, global temperatures
will rise close to or beyond 2 degrees C. This increase will lead to
injury and death for millions of people worldwide and the extinction
of many of the Earth's species. Millions more will experience severe
trauma and stress that threaten their physical, emotional, and
psychological well-being. These stresses will, in turn, trigger
social and political unrest. In a grave injustice, low-income
communities, poor nations, and people systematically subjected to
oppression and discrimination, who contributed little to climate
change, will initially be harmed the most. Even worse, as
frightening as it is, if we fail to make fundamental changes in our
energy, manufacturing, transportation, forestry, agricultural, and
other systems along with our consumption patterns with utmost
urgency, in mere decades irreversible climate shifts will occur that
undermine the very pillars of human civilization. Only by
recognizing these truths can we adopt a meaningful path toward
solutions...<br>
. The first principle is wisdom. From this point forward in history
we must all acknowledge not only the external causes of climate
change, but the internal mental drivers as well, and their horrific
consequences. To be wise we must also, individually and as a
society, adopt the firm intention to do whatever is necessary, no
matter what the cost, to reduce the climate crisis to manageable
levels and over time re-stabilize our planet's climate...<br>
The second Dharma principle is ethical conduct, which is rooted in a
compassionate concern for all living beings in the vast web of life.
We need to make a firm moral commitment to adopt ways of living that
protect the climate and help restore the Earth's ecosystems and
living organisms. In our personal lives, we should recognize the
value of contentment and sufficiency and realize that, after a
certain modest level, additional consumption, material wealth, and
power will not bring happiness. To fulfill our wider moral
responsibility, we must join with others, stand up to the vested
interests that oppose change, and demand that our economic, social,
and political institutions be fundamentally altered so they protect
the climate and offer nurturance and support for all of humanity in
a just and equitable manner. We must insist that governments and
corporations contribute to a stable climate and a healthy
environment for all people and cultures worldwide, now and in the
future. We must further insist that specific scientifically credible
global emission reduction targets be set and means adopted to
effectively monitor and enforce them...<br>
The third Dharma training, and the one that makes all of the others
possible, is mindfulness. This offers a way to heighten our
awareness of, and then to regulate, our desires and emotions and the
thoughts and behaviors they generate. By continually enhancing our
awareness, we can increasingly notice when we are causing harm to
others, the climate, or ourselves, and strengthen our capacity to
rapidly shift gears and think and act constructively. Mindfulness
increases awareness of our inherent interdependency with other
people and the natural environment and of values that enhance human
dignity rather than subordinate people, animals, and nature to the
craving for more material wealth and power.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://oneearthsangha.org/articles/dharma-teachers-statement-on-climate-change/">https://oneearthsangha.org/articles/dharma-teachers-statement-on-climate-change/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Tucker Carlson attacks a Valve Turner]<br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://video.foxnews.com/v/5713970902001/?#sp=show-clips">Activist:
It's OK to break laws for climate change</a><br>
Jan. 17, 2018 - 5:20 - Tucker takes on veteran environmentalist over
NYC Mayor De Blasio suing oil companies over 'climate change costs'
and activists breaking laws for the environment. #Tucker<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://video.foxnews.com/v/5713970902001/?#sp=show-clips">http://video.foxnews.com/v/5713970902001/?#sp=show-clips</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[pass the maple syrup] <br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://earth-chronicles.com/science/sugar-maples-disappear-due-to-global-warming.html">Sugar
maples disappear due to global warming</a></b><br>
Earth Chronicles<br>
Sugar maples disappear due to global warming. by space · January 18,
2018. Sugar maples, from the juice of which maple syrup is made, is
threatened by danger: trees are difficult to adapt to an
increasingly dry and warm climate. If the climate changes in the
worst scenario, in the next 80 years the world can remain without
sugar maples...<br>
Both models showed that an increase in the mean annual temperature
and a decrease in humidity slowed the growth of maples, and in the
course of events under the second scenario, the growth of trees will
come to naught even with a constant increase in the concentration of
nitrogenous compounds in the soil. If the amount of greenhouse gas
emissions does not decrease, maples can disappear from the face of
the Earth, and in the place with them – sweet maple syrup, at least
of natural origin, warn the authors of the work published in the
journal Ecology.<br>
<font size="-1"><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://earth-chronicles.com/science/sugar-maples-disappear-due-to-global-warming.html">https://earth-chronicles.com/science/sugar-maples-disappear-due-to-global-warming.html</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[AV Club]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.avclub.com/nicolas-cages-new-movie-will-be-released-in-vr-as-they-1822159308">Nicolas
Cage's new movie will be released in VR, as they all should</a></b><br>
AV Club<br>
The film takes place in a near future where global warming is
ravaging the American Midwest. The title refers to a "government
agency that exiles members of society deemed unproductive and
banishes them to a colony known as New Eden." We're going to assume
that name is ironic, the way you sometimes nickname a big guy
"Tiny." Cage plays a caseworker who tries to protect a woman and her
child while exposing the secrets of the Bureau.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.avclub.com/nicolas-cages-new-movie-will-be-released-in-vr-as-they-1822159308">https://www.avclub.com/nicolas-cages-new-movie-will-be-released-in-vr-as-they-1822159308</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<font size="+1"><b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.nytimes.com/2014/01/19/opinion/sunday/if-you-see-something-say-something.html">This
Day in Climate History January 19, 2014</a> - from D.R.
Tucker</b></font><br>
January 19, 2014: In the New York Times, climate scientist Michael<br>
Mann observes:<br>
<blockquote>"It is not an uncommon view among scientists that we
potentially<br>
compromise our objectivity if we choose to wade into policy
matters or<br>
the societal implications of our work. And it would be problematic
if<br>
our views on policy somehow influenced the way we went about doing
our<br>
science. But there is nothing inappropriate at all about drawing
on<br>
our scientific knowledge to speak out about the very real
implications<br>
of our research.<br>
<br>
"My colleague Stephen Schneider of Stanford University, who died
in<br>
2010, used to say that being a scientist-advocate is not an
oxymoron.<br>
Just because we are scientists does not mean that we should check
our<br>
citizenship at the door of a public meeting, he would explain. The
New<br>
Republic once called him a 'scientific pugilist' for advocating a<br>
forceful approach to global warming. But fighting for scientific
truth<br>
and an informed debate is nothing to apologize for.<br>
<br>
"If scientists choose not to engage in the public debate, we leave
a<br>
vacuum that will be filled by those whose agenda is one of
short-term<br>
self-interest. There is a great cost to society if scientists fail
to<br>
participate in the larger conversation - if we do not do all we
can to<br>
ensure that the policy debate is informed by an honest assessment
of<br>
the risks. In fact, it would be an abrogation of our
responsibility to<br>
society if we remained quiet in the face of such a grave threat."<br>
</blockquote>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.nytimes.com/2014/01/19/opinion/sunday/if-you-see-something-say-something.html">http://www.nytimes.com/2014/01/19/opinion/sunday/if-you-see-something-say-something.html</a></font><br>
<br>
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