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<font size="+1"><i>April 19, 2018</i></font><br>
<br>
[Virginia activism]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.richmond.com/news/virginia/government-politics/general-assembly/anger-over-pipelines-spills-into-general-assembly/article_60a21d92-9d4f-5804-9e99-22c706c4cb5b.html">Anger
over pipelines spills into General Assembly</a></b><br>
BY MICHAEL MARTZ Richmond Times-Dispatch - April 18, 2018<br>
Intensifying public anger over the pending construction of two
massive natural gas pipelines through Virginia boiled over into the
General Assembly Wednesday, when more than a dozen Democratic
lawmakers asked Gov. Ralph Northam for more oversight of stream
crossings and tree cutting and to protect the rights of landowners
protesting the projects.<br>
Organized by Del. Mark Keam, D-Fairfax, a news conference conducted
before the assembly reconvened in its annual veto session brought
lawmakers into the fight from other parts of the state that aren't
affected directly by construction of the Atlantic Coast and Mountain
Valley pipelines.<br>
Del. Danica Roem, D-Prince William, was among a group of Northern
Virginia Democrats who joined the protest, dismissing what she
called "NOVA versus ROVA (Rest of Virginia) BS."<br>
"It is our obligation to stand with them," Roem said.<br>
The legislators joined protesters in waving posters that said "I
stand with Red" in solidarity with a 61-year-old woman in the
Roanoke Valley known publicly as Red, who, with her daughter, has
been camping in trees on her Bent Mountain property to prevent crews
from cutting trees in the path of the pipeline.<br>
Longtime neighbor and family friend Genesis Chapman said he has
spent last week "camping under Red's tree," with temperatures
dipping into the mid-20s and "spitting snow." He accused Roanoke and
state police of denying the women access to food and water, and
"spotlighting (them) at night like animals.<br>
<br>
"My community is under siege," said Chapman, a lifelong resident of
Bent Mountain.<br>
- - - - - <br>
David Sligh, an environmental lawyer for Wild Virginia and leading
opponent of the Dominion-led pipeline, responded that public utility
customers "will pay dearly for the cost of this unnecessary
project," which he contends would produce "huge profits" for its
developers but few benefits for utility ratepayers....<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.richmond.com/news/virginia/government-politics/general-assembly/anger-over-pipelines-spills-into-general-assembly/article_60a21d92-9d4f-5804-9e99-22c706c4cb5b.html">http://www.richmond.com/news/virginia/government-politics/general-assembly/anger-over-pipelines-spills-into-general-assembly/article_60a21d92-9d4f-5804-9e99-22c706c4cb5b.html</a></font><br>
- - - - -<br>
[5 min video pipeline activism]<br>
<b><a href="https://youtu.be/dt3Bz_uwBsA">Red Terry Takes A Stand
(video)</a></b><br>
Sarah Hazlegrove - Richmond, Virginia<br>
Published on Apr 16, 2018<br>
61-year-old landowner and tree-sitter "Red Terry" on Bent Mountain
in Virginia. The local police are denying her food and water as she
protests the radical Mountain Valley Pipeline for fracked gas. <br>
Courageous and passionate about the wetlands, swamps and waterways
located on the family farm on Bent Mountain ,Virginia, Red Terry, is
taking a stand. A stand against the construction of the Mountain
Valley Pipeline that threatens her family's land, and the water that
flows from the mountain into the Roanoke and Salem valley.<br>
<font size="-1">"See also this<span> </span><a
href="http://bluevirginia.us/2018/04/video-red-terry-takes-a-stand-i-will-come-out-of-the-tree-when-these-people-get-off-my-land"
target="_blank" style="color:rgb(17,85,204)">blog post</a><span> </span>about
the video on the excellent web site Blue Virginia. And learn more
about the pipeline fight across Virginia and West Virginia<span> </span><a
href="http://chesapeakeclimate.org/virginia/no-new-pipelines-in-virginia/"
target="_blank" style="color:rgb(17,85,204)">here</a>. Sign up
for<a
href="http://org.salsalabs.com/o/423/p/salsa/web/common/public/signup?signup_page_KEY=7823"
target="_blank" style="color:rgb(17,85,204)"><span> </span>alerts<span> </span></a>related
to the fight here. "<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://youtu.be/dt3Bz_uwBsA">https://youtu.be/dt3Bz_uwBsA</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Opinion: aim for collective engagement]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/18/opinion/suicide-environmental-protest.html">To
the Editor:<br>
Re "He Called Out Sick, Then Apologized for Dying" (news
article, April 16), about a civil rights lawyer who set himself
afire in a Brooklyn park:</a></b><br>
<blockquote>As a psychiatrist I know that dark emotions may lie
behind the face we show to others, and that any suicide is the
result of complex forces, a mix of anger and despair. All that may
be needed to light the fuse is the "right" catalyst. David
Buckel's suicide is likely no exception. What is unusual is the
catalyst: Mr. Buckel said he wanted to die to call attention to
climate change.<br>
<br>
Climate change has been linked to suicide and suicidal ideation,
which increase during and after extreme weather events and on days
of poor air quality from burning fossil fuels. Suicides among
farmers in drought-stricken areas have skyrocketed. As the impacts
of global warming ratchet up, so will the emotional toll.<br>
<br>
Suicide is a highly contagious act. This suicide was described as
a political protest, and that makes it dangerously seductive for
someone seeking a "noble" rationale.<br>
<br>
The antidote to rage and despair, with climate change the
catalyst, is not individual self-destructive protest, but
collective engagement in political action.<br>
</blockquote>
LISE VAN SUSTEREN, WASHINGTON<font size="-1"><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/18/opinion/suicide-environmental-protest.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/18/opinion/suicide-environmental-protest.html</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[New book release blurb]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.routledge.com/Routledge-Handbook-of-Human-Rights-and-Climate-Governance/Duyck-Jodoin-Johl/p/book/9781138232457">Routledge
Handbook of Human Rights and Climate Governance</a></b><br>
Edited by Sebastien Duyck, Sebastien Jodoin, Alyssa Johl<br>
2018 - Routledge 430 pages See site for Google Preview <br>
Description<br>
Over the last decade, the world has increasingly grappled with the
complex linkages emerging between efforts to combat climate change
and to protect human rights around the world. The Paris Climate
Agreement adopted in December 2015 recognized the necessity for
governments to take into consideration their human rights
obligations when taking climate action. However, important gaps
remain in understanding how human rights can be used in practice to
develop and implement effective and equitable solutions to climate
change at multiple levels of governance...<br>
This book brings together leading scholars and practitioners to
offer a timely and comprehensive analysis of the opportunities and
challenges for integrating human rights in diverse areas and forms
of global climate governance. The first half of the book explores
how human rights principles and obligations can be used to
reconceive climate governance and shape responses to particular
aspects of climate change. The second half of the book identifies
lessons in the integration of human rights in climate advocacy and
governance and sets out future directions in this burgeoning
domain...<br>
Featuring a diverse range of contributors and case studies, this
Handbook will be an essential resource for students, scholars,
practitioners and policy makers with an interest in climate law and
governance, human rights and international environmental law.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.routledge.com/Routledge-Handbook-of-Human-Rights-and-Climate-Governance/Duyck-Jodoin-Johl/p/book/9781138232457">https://www.routledge.com/Routledge-Handbook-of-Human-Rights-and-Climate-Governance/Duyck-Jodoin-Johl/p/book/9781138232457</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Evaluating Risk]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true" href="http://www.transrisk-project.eu/">Welcome
to TRANSrisk</a></b><br>
<b>Transitions Pathways and Risk Analysis for Climate Change
Mitigation and Adaption Strategies</b><br>
started in September 2015 under the umbrella of EU Horizon 2020
programme.<br>
TRANSrisk aims to assess low emission transition pathways that are
technically and economically feasible and acceptable from a social
and environmental viewpoint.<br>
TRANSrisk brings together quantitative models and qualitative
approaches, focusing on participatory consultations with
stakeholders as a link between the approaches.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.transrisk-project.eu/">http://www.transrisk-project.eu/</a></font><br>
- - - - - - <br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.transrisk-project.eu/consensus-building/infographics">TRANSrisk
Infographics</a><br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.transrisk-project.eu/consensus-building/infographics">http://www.transrisk-project.eu/consensus-building/infographics</a><br>
- - - - -<br>
</font>[video about Transrisk]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true" href="https://youtu.be/Xzp2kSONDP0">3rd
TRANSrisk Video</a></b><br>
TRANSrisk<br>
Published on Dec 11, 2017<br>
This video presents the progress of TRANSrisk within the 2nd year of
its implementation.<br>
<font size="-1"><font size="-2"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://youtu.be/Xzp2kSONDP0">https://youtu.be/Xzp2kSONDP0</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
</font>[Video Webinar]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://securityandsustainabilityforum.org/climate-adaptation-policy-at-the-state-and-local-level-9294">Climate
Adaptation Policy at the State and Local Level</a></b><br>
Security & Sustainability Forum<br>
Arizona State University's School of Sustainability is hosting a new
five-webinar series - "Climate Change Adaptation & Resilience
Leadership Series". The series is co-hosted by the American Society
of Adaptation Professionals and the University of the District of
Columbia's College of Agriculture, Urban Sustainability and
Environmental Sciences.<br>
The free series will introduce participants to climate change
adaptation and resilience leaders working in policy, innovation and
technology, and climate justice and social equity from across
various scales of government and other sectors. These experts share
cutting-edge examples of how they are putting effective, innovative
and equitable climate adaptation into practice.<br>
Deliberate, proactive climate action is a deviation from
business-as-usual, and requires boldly challenging the status quo.
At the heart of climate action are individuals: courageous leaders
who may come from any part of society. Climate action requires
revising, or creating new, law, policy, or regulation to incentivize
adaptation action and penalize maladaptation. In this webinar, hear
from individuals who exemplify visionary leadership and are moving
their jurisdictions forward through groundbreaking climate policy.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://securityandsustainabilityforum.org/climate-adaptation-policy-at-the-state-and-local-level-9294">http://securityandsustainabilityforum.org/climate-adaptation-policy-at-the-state-and-local-level-9294</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Videos produced by Nick Breeze 2016]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RigR-ApZEsw">#COP21 - Lord
Martin Rees & Dr. Hugh Hunt Discuss Climate Pessimism</a></b><br>
Published on Apr 24, 2016<br>
Will the "Paris Agreement" be enough to limit global warming and an
ensuing climate catastrophe from greenhouse gas emissions? In this
candid conversation between 2 University of Cambridge luminaries, we
hear another view that exists outside of the UNFCCC rhetoric.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RigR-ApZEsw">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RigR-ApZEsw</a><br>
- - - - - -<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true" href="https://youtu.be/k3Nz_QNcsG8">Lord
Martin Rees & Dr. Hugh Hunt - Climate conversations [Part 2]</a></b><br>
Published on Apr 28, 2016<br>
This part 2 in the series between Lord Rees and Dr. Hunt filmed at
University of Cambridge.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://youtu.be/k3Nz_QNcsG8">https://youtu.be/k3Nz_QNcsG8</a><br>
- - - - - - <br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true" href="https://youtu.be/ZXYjSRq8cdw">Lord
Martin Rees And Dr. Hugh Hunt - Part 3</a></b><br>
Published on May 4, 2016<br>
Martin Rees and Hugh Hunt discuss the current climate change
realities and requirements in the wake of the Paris Agreement - Part
3<br>
- - - - - <br>
[Dec 2015 produced by Nick Breeze]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true" href="https://youtu.be/svlU6p0gHgo">Dr.
Hugh Hunt & Professor Kevin Anderson discussing Climate
Change realities</a></b><br>
Nick Breeze<br>
Published on Dec 20, 2015<br>
In this spontaneous conversation between two of Britain's most vocal
scientists on climate change and engineering, we see a frank
analysis of the details that bely inconvenient truths for each one
us.<br>
Our current carbon pollution rate is taking us towards a planet that
is on average 4ªC warmer than today with regional variations far
exceeding this and changes to the natural world that will be so
profound that it is fair to say, this will not be the same planet.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://youtu.be/svlU6p0gHgo">https://youtu.be/svlU6p0gHgo</a><br>
<br>
<br>
[Military stuff]<br>
<font size="+1"><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size:
14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal;
font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing:
normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform:
none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial; display: inline ! important; float: none;"><span></span></span></font><b><a
moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://peakoil.com/forums/military-climate-studies-links-t72897.html">Miltary
Climate Studies Links from Peak Oil web blog</a></b><br>
The Navy and Joint Chiefs have a number of studies. Also, the
British Ministry of Defense (MOD) and Australian Defence Force (ADF)
have a number of studies. SwissRe, MunichRe, Chatham House, CNAS,
the WorldBank, PriceWaterCooper and several other independent think
tanks are keeping current on the subject. <br style="margin: 0px;
padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14.82px;
font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal;
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0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234, 221); text-decoration-style:
initial; text-decoration-color: initial;">
<blockquote><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51,
51, 51); font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal;
font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal;
letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial; font-weight: bold;"><a
href="https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/Newsroom/Reports%20and%20Pubs/Implications_for_US_National_Security_of_Anticipated_Climate_Change.pdf"
class="postlink" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; direction:
ltr; unicode-bidi: embed; color: rgb(93, 143, 189);
text-decoration: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(93, 143,
189);">DNI/NIC: Implications for US National Security of
Anticipated Climate Change (2016)</a></span><br style="margin:
0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14.82px;
font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal;
font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing:
normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform:
none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial;">
<br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial;">
<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal;
text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none;
white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial; font-weight: bold;"><a
href="http://archive.defense.gov/pubs/150724-congressional-report-on-national-implications-of-climate-change.pdf?source=govdelivery"
class="postlink" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; direction:
ltr; unicode-bidi: embed; color: rgb(93, 143, 189);
text-decoration: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(93, 143,
189);">DoD: National Security Implications of Climate-Related
Risks and a Changing Climate (2015)</a></span><br
style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
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221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial;">
<br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial;">
<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal;
text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none;
white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial; font-weight: bold;"><a
href="https://www.nap.edu/catalog/18373/abrupt-impacts-of-climate-change-anticipating-surprises"
class="postlink" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; direction:
ltr; unicode-bidi: embed; color: rgb(93, 143, 189);
text-decoration: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(93, 143,
189);">CIA/PNAS: Abrupt Impacts of Climate Change:
Anticipating Surprises (2013)</a></span><span style="color:
rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal;
font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal;
font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start;
text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal;
word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;
background-color: rgb(235, 234, 221); text-decoration-style:
initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !
important; float: none;"><span> </span></span><span
style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal;
text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none;
white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial; font-weight: bold;"><a
href="http://nas-sites.org/americasclimatechoices/files/2013/12/NRCabruptclimatechangereleaseevent.pdf"
class="postlink" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; direction:
ltr; unicode-bidi: embed; color: rgb(93, 143, 189);
text-decoration: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(93, 143,
189);">Briefing Slides</a></span><br style="margin: 0px;
padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14.82px;
font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal;
font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing:
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none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
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221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial;">
<br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
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221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial;">
<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal;
text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none;
white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial; font-weight: bold;"><a
href="https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/Newsroom/Reports%20and%20Pubs/Global_Food_Security_ICA.pdf"
class="postlink" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; direction:
ltr; unicode-bidi: embed; color: rgb(93, 143, 189);
text-decoration: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(93, 143,
189);">DNI/NIC: Global Food Security (2015)</a></span><br
style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
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221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial;">
<br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
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text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
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221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial;">
<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal;
text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none;
white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial; font-weight: bold;"><a
href="https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/nic/NICR%202012-30%20Global%20Food_Security%20Emerging%20Technology%20FINAL.pdf"
class="postlink" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; direction:
ltr; unicode-bidi: embed; color: rgb(93, 143, 189);
text-decoration: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(93, 143,
189);">DNI/NIC: Global Food Security: Emerging Technologies to
2040</a></span><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color:
rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal;
font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal;
font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start;
text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal;
word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;
background-color: rgb(235, 234, 221); text-decoration-style:
initial; text-decoration-color: initial;">
<br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial;">
<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal;
text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none;
white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial; font-weight: bold;"><a
href="https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/nic/NICR%202012-05%20Global%20Food%20Security%20Conf%20Rpt%20FINAL.pdf"
class="postlink" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; direction:
ltr; unicode-bidi: embed; color: rgb(93, 143, 189);
text-decoration: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(93, 143,
189);">DNI/NIC: Global Food Security: Key Drivers—A Conference
Report (2012)</a></span><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;
color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal;
font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal;
font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start;
text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal;
word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;
background-color: rgb(235, 234, 221); text-decoration-style:
initial; text-decoration-color: initial;">
<br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial;">
<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal;
text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none;
white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial; font-weight: bold;"><a
href="https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/Special%20Report_ICA%20Global%20Water%20Security.pdf"
class="postlink" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; direction:
ltr; unicode-bidi: embed; color: rgb(93, 143, 189);
text-decoration: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(93, 143,
189);">DNI/NIC: Global Water Security (2012)</a></span><br
style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial;">
<br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial;">
<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal;
text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none;
white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial; font-weight: bold;"><a
href="https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/NICR%202013-05%20US%20Nat%20Resources%202020,%202030%202040.pdf"
class="postlink" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; direction:
ltr; unicode-bidi: embed; color: rgb(93, 143, 189);
text-decoration: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(93, 143,
189);">DNI/NIC: Natural Resources in 2020, 2030, and 2040:
Implications for the United States (2013)</a></span><br
style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial;">
</blockquote>
<blockquote class="uncited" style="margin: 0.5em 1px 0px 15px;
padding: 25px 5px 5px; background: rgb(239, 238, 217)
url("./styles/thebeeb/theme/images/quote.gif") no-repeat
scroll 6px 8px; border: 1px solid rgb(219, 219, 206); font-size:
14.82px; overflow: hidden; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-style:
normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal;
font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start;
text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal;
word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;
text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;">
<div style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">The major assumption
underpinning this analysis is that mounting prosperity in both
the developed and the developing world will continue to drive
increased consumer demand for key resources. At the same time,
constraints in energy, water, and other critical natural
resources and infrastructure, together with socio-economic
shifts, will bring new and hard-to-manage instabilities.<span> </span><span
style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-weight: bold;">There
will be an increasing risk of discontinuous and systemic
shocks to 2040 as a consequence of these factors.</span><span> </span><br
style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">
<br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">
<blockquote class="uncited" style="margin: 0.5em 1px 0px 15px;
padding: 25px 5px 5px; background:
url("./styles/thebeeb/theme/images/quote.gif") 6px
8px no-repeat rgb(235, 234, 221); border: 1px solid rgb(219,
219, 206); font-size: 1em; overflow: hidden;">
<div style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span style="margin:
0px; padding: 0px; font-weight: bold;">The Bottom Line:</span><span> </span><span
style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-weight: bold;"><span
style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-style: italic;">At
the aggregate level, there are significant scarcity
challenges for a number of key natural resources with
potential impact on US security.</span></span><span> </span><br
style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">
<br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">
Markets for agricultural commodities will remain tight
through to 2020 and probably to 2030, with maize
experiencing the largest increase in prices. Significant
wheat production occurs in water-stressed and climate
vulnerable regions in Asia (China, India, Pakistan, and
Australia); markets therefore will remain susceptible to
harvest shocks. Markets for oil likely will remain tight to
2020, and natural gas markets in certain regions may have
constrained supplies.<span> </span><br style="margin: 0px;
padding: 0px;">
<br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">
Commodity price shocks will afflict a wide range of
consuming countries with weak governance regimes or high
income inequality (Afghanistan, China, Egypt, India,
Indonesia, Kenya, Pakistan, Somalia, and Ukraine).</div>
</blockquote>
<br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">
...<br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">
<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font-weight: bold;">Energy.</span><span> </span>Markets
for oil likely will remain tight and volatile to 2020. In the
absence of ambitious policies on efficiency and deployment of
new technology, or significant production from unconventional
sources,<span> </span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;
font-weight: bold;">severe shortages of oil between 2025 and
2030</span><span> </span>would prompt emergency measures to
reduce demand and to switch fuels in major importing countries.</div>
</blockquote>
<br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234,
221); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial;">
<span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 14.82px; font-style:
normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal;
font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: start;
text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal;
word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;
background-color: rgb(235, 234, 221); text-decoration-style:
initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !
important; float: none;">DNI/NIC = Director National
Intelligence/National Intelligence Council<span> </span></span><span
style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51);
font-size: 14.82px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal;
text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none;
white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width:
0px; background-color: rgb(235, 234, 221); text-decoration-style:
initial; text-decoration-color: initial; font-weight: bold;"><a
href="https://www.dni.gov/index.php/about/organization/national-intelligence-council-nic-publications"
class="postlink" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; direction:
ltr; unicode-bidi: embed; color: rgb(93, 143, 189);
text-decoration: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(93, 143,
189);">Publications</a></span><br>
<br>
<br>
[now for something (almost) completely different]<br>
<b><a
href="https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/mbxk4y/a-new-study-suggests-there-could-have-been-intelligent-life-on-earth-before-humans">A
New Study Suggests There Could Have Been Intelligent Life on
Earth Before Humans</a></b><br>
Looking for aliens across deep space is great, but have we looked
hard enough in our own terrestrial backyard—here on Earth?<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/mbxk4y/a-new-study-suggests-there-could-have-been-intelligent-life-on-earth-before-humans">https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/mbxk4y/a-new-study-suggests-there-could-have-been-intelligent-life-on-earth-before-humans</a><br>
</font>- - - -<br>
[remember old TV sci-fi?]<br>
<b><a
href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2018/04/the-silurian-hypothesis/">The
Silurian Hypothesis</a></b><br>
(The naming of this idea comes from a 1970 Dr. Who episode where an
ancient race of reptilians ("Silurians") who had put themselves in
hibernation to avoid a global catastrophe were awakened by
experimental nuclear physics experiments.)<br>
The <a
href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2018/04/the-silurian-hypothesis/#ITEM-21256-0">Silurian
Hypothesis</a> (<a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1804.03748">preprint</a>)
is the idea if industrial civilization had arisen on Earth prior to
the existence of hominids, what traces would be left that could be
detectable now? As a starting point, we explore what the traces of
the Anthropocene will be in millions of years - carbon isotope
changes, global warming, increased sedimentation, spikes in heavy
metal concentrations, plastics and more - and then look at previous
examples of similar events in the geological record. What is unique
about our presence on Earth and what might be common to any
industrial civilization? Can we rule out similar causes?<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2018/04/the-silurian-hypothesis/">http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2018/04/the-silurian-hypothesis/</a></font><br>
- - - - -<br>
[Not impossible, plausible?]<br>
<b><a
href="https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2018/04/are-we-earths-only-civilization/557180/">Was
There a Civilization On Earth Before Humans?</a></b><br>
A look at the available evidence<br>
ADAM FRANK <br>
"Wait a second," he said. "How do you know we're the only time
there's been a civilization on our own planet?"... that first
conversation launched a new study we've recently <a
href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1804.03748">published </a>in the
International Journal of Astrobiology.<br>
- - - - -<br>
It's not often that you write a paper proposing a hypothesis that
you don't support. Gavin and I don't believe the Earth once hosted a
50-million-year-old Paleocene civilization. But by asking if we
could "see" truly ancient industrial civilizations, we were forced
to ask about the generic kinds of impacts any civilization might
have on a planet. That's exactly what the astrobiological
perspective on climate change is all about. Civilization building
means harvesting energy from the planet to do work (i.e., the work
of civilization building). Once the civilization reaches truly
planetary scales, there has to be some feedback on the coupled
planetary systems that gave it birth (air, water, rock). This will
be particularly true for young civilizations like ours still
climbing up the ladder of technological capacity. There is, in other
words, no free lunch. While some energy sources will have lower
impact—say solar vs. fossil fuels—you can't power a global
civilization without some degree of impact on the planet.<br>
- - - - -<br>
Once you realize, through climate change, the need to find
lower-impact energy sources, the less impact you will leave. So the
more sustainable your civilization becomes, the smaller the signal
you'll leave for future generations.<br>
In addition, our work also opened up the speculative possibility
that some planets might have fossil-fuel-driven cycles of
civilization building and collapse. If a civilization uses fossil
fuels, the climate change they trigger can lead to a large decrease
in ocean oxygen levels. These low oxygen levels (called ocean
anoxia) help trigger the conditions needed for making fossil fuels
like oil and coal in the first place. In this way, a civilization
and its demise might sow the seed for new civilizations in the
future.<br>
By asking about civilizations lost in deep time, we're also asking
about the possibility for universal rules guiding the evolution of
all biospheres in all their creative potential, including the
emergence of civilizations. Even without pickup-driving
Paleocenians, we're only now learning to see how rich that potential
might be.<font size="-1"><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2018/04/are-we-earths-only-civilization/557180/">https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2018/04/are-we-earths-only-civilization/557180/</a><br>
</font>- - - -<br>
[it's academic now]<br>
<b><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1804.03748">The Silurian
Hypothesis: Would it be possible to detect an industrial
civilization in the geological record?</a></b><br>
Gavin A. Schmidt, Adam Frank<br>
(Submitted on 10 Apr 2018)<br>
If an industrial civilization had existed on Earth many millions of
years prior to our own era, what traces would it have left and would
they be detectable today? We summarize the likely geological
fingerprint of the Anthropocene, and demonstrate that while clear,
it will not differ greatly in many respects from other known events
in the geological record. We then propose tests that could plausibly
distinguish an industrial cause from an otherwise naturally
occurring climate event.<br>
Comments: Accepted for publication in the International Journal
of Astrobiology<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1804.03748">https://arxiv.org/abs/1804.03748</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<font size="+1"><b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://youtu.be/WPA-8A4zf2c">This Day in Climate History
- April 19, 2009</a> - from D.R. Tucker</b></font><br>
April 19, 2009: House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-OH) stumbles
through an interview with George Stephanopoulos on ABC's "This
Week," shamelessly attempting to dismiss concerns about carbon
pollution.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://youtu.be/tAHSm6Wt1W8">http://youtu.be/tAHSm6Wt1W8</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://youtu.be/WPA-8A4zf2c">http://youtu.be/WPA-8A4zf2c</a><br>
<br>
<br>
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