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<font size="+1"><i>May 15, 2018</i></font><br>
<br>
[video de-propagandization]<br>
<b><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GSsTf_pVf70">Is global
cooling imminent? T'ain't so.</a></b><br>
YaleClimateConnections<br>
Published on May 14, 2018<br>
Online chatter about an imminent global 'ice age' abounds in the
face of continued warming. Want the facts? Listen to real experts.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GSsTf_pVf70">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GSsTf_pVf70</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Melting trigger floods]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/b-c-interior-braces-for-more-flooding-as-temperatures-rise-1.4661764">Hot
weather could bring more flooding to hard-hit B.C. communities</a></b><br>
After a week of flooding, some communities in B.C.'s southern
Interior have been warned things could get worse later this week.<br>
Warm weather and rain are expected to worsen flooding in some areas
again by Friday<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/b-c-interior-braces-for-more-flooding-as-temperatures-rise-1.4661764">http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/b-c-interior-braces-for-more-flooding-as-temperatures-rise-1.4661764</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Earlier this year] <br>
<a
href="https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2018/05/14/tropical-storm-could-form-gulf-week/608263002/"><b>Rare
May tropical storm could form in the Gulf of Mexico this week</b></a><br>
USA TODAY<br>
Chances of cyclone formation and tropical storm conditions on land
too small ... <br>
More: Supercharged by global warming, record hot seawater fueled ...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2018/05/14/tropical-storm-could-form-gulf-week/608263002/">https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2018/05/14/tropical-storm-could-form-gulf-week/608263002/</a><br>
<br>
<br>
[sigh]<br>
<b><a
href="http://www.techtimes.com/articles/227728/20180514/trump-administration-shuts-down-nasas-10-million-carbon-monitoring-program-while-co2-levels-soar.htm">Trump
Administration Shuts Down NASA's $10 Million Carbon Monitoring
Program While CO2 Levels Soar</a></b><br>
Measurements were taken at the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii. This
was the first time that the monthly average exceeded the threshold
of 410 parts per million, It was also the first time that there was
a 30 percent increase in carbon dioxide concentration in the world.<br>
For centuries the world's concentration of carbon dioxide fluctuated
between 200 ppm and 280 ppm. Levels skyrocketed after the industrial
revolution showing human activity is what is driving the rise of
greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.<br>
Data has also been gathered from ice cores that contain ancient air
bubbles. These air bubbles show the CO2 levels from the last 800,000
years. The ice cores show that the CO2 level has always fluctuated
but was never higher than 300 ppm before the industrial revolution<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.techtimes.com/articles/227728/20180514/trump-administration-shuts-down-nasas-10-million-carbon-monitoring-program-while-co2-levels-soar.htm">http://www.techtimes.com/articles/227728/20180514/trump-administration-shuts-down-nasas-10-million-carbon-monitoring-program-while-co2-levels-soar.htm</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Peter Sinclair]<br>
<b><a
href="https://climatecrocks.com/2018/05/14/pre-traumatic-stress-disorder-jack-black-on-miamis-sea-level-denial/">Pre-Traumatic
Stress Disorder: Jack Black on Miami's Sea Level Denial</a></b><br>
May 14, 2018<br>
Actor Jack Black explores South Florida's looming sea level crisis
in the riveting documentary 'Saving Miami' for the Emmy-winning
climate change series Years of Living Dangerously.<br>
Black meets with South Florida oceanographers, mayors, activists,
property developers and even a psychiatrist to better understand how
the region can cope with its dilemma...<br>
-- - - -<br>
<b><a href="https://youtu.be/-0P6WfN_MPU">Video The YEARS Project</a></b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://youtu.be/-0P6WfN_MPU">https://youtu.be/-0P6WfN_MPU</a>
Published on Dec 22, 2017<br>
Miami may not look like a city on the verge of disaster, but rising
seas and political roadblocks are turning this glistening coastal
paradise into the next Atlantis. Jack Black investigates for Years
of Living Dangerously.<br>
- - - - -<br>
How is it that everyone will accept science whenever it shows that
Florida is in danger of getting slammed by a storm, but that many
stubbornly refuse to believe in science when it shows that the
southern end of the peninsula is on a decades-long course to
disappear under water?<br>
This is not just a theoretical question. This is no parlor game. The
scientists who have measured the global temperatures, the melting of
the world's great ice sheets and the rising of the oceans are no
less worthy of our trust than are the weather experts who will alert
us to the next tropical storm.,,<br>
<font size="-1">- - - -<br>
</font><a href="https://youtu.be/nk-d_m3IccY"><b>Jeff Goodell: In
Florida, No One is Thinking about the Future</b></a><br>
greenmanbucket<br>
Published on Sep 10, 2017 Brief video <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://youtu.be/nk-d_m3IccY">https://youtu.be/nk-d_m3IccY</a><br>
Rolling Stone's Jeff Goodell, author of When the Water Will Come:
Rising Seas, Sinking Cities, and the Remaking of the Civilized
World', discusses South Florida's remarkable lack of forward
thinking in regard to climate change and sea level rise Nobody
cares<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://youtu.be/nk-d_m3IccY">https://youtu.be/nk-d_m3IccY</a><br>
- - - - -<br>
They're in the exact same business: reading the data and warning us
of imminent danger. The only difference is that the creeping rise of
the sea level is far less visible than the ominous spiral of a
hurricane...<font size="-1"><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://climatecrocks.com/2018/05/14/pre-traumatic-stress-disorder-jack-black-on-miamis-sea-level-denial/">https://climatecrocks.com/2018/05/14/pre-traumatic-stress-disorder-jack-black-on-miamis-sea-level-denial/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Predictions]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/05/180514083743.htm">What
financial markets, cancer cells, and global warming have in
common</a></b><br>
Researchers at FAU develop method to compare pricing models<br>
A team of biophysicists from Friedrich-Alexander-Universitat
Erlangen-Nurnberg (FAU) presents a mathematically concise method for
comparing different pricing models in their latest publication in
Nature Communications. This enables researchers to predict more
accurately how parameters such as the volatility of stock prices
change over time.<br>
The ups and downs of stock prices are the result of a complex
interplay between traditional investors, day-traders and
high-frequency hedge funds. The seemingly erratic short-term price
fluctuations can be characterized by a diffusion constant - called
volatility. However, volatility itself changes significantly over
longer time scales. For example, unexpected Twitter announcements
may trigger abrupt volatility spikes, while economic policy changes
may induce gradual variations of volatility. Financial analysts
notoriously struggle to estimate how volatility changes over time
and often base their predictions on unsubstantiated assumptions.<br>
Instead of evaluating the uncertainty of different model predictions
analytically, Christoph Mark and colleagues from the Biophysics
group at FAU developed a numerical implementation of the principle
of 'Occam's razor', which favors those models that describe the data
with the least number of assumptions.<br>
The researchers use this method to show that the so-called
fat-tailed distribution of stock market returns (including rare but
dramatic events such as Black Fridays and market bubbles) emerges
naturally from sudden volatility fluctuations. Moreover, with their
method they can pinpoint the triggering events (such as news
announcements) in real-time.<br>
Volatility fluctuations or, more generally speaking, heterogeneous
random walks are not exclusive to finance, however, and also
describe the movements of invasive cancer cells, the timing of
accidents and disasters, and climate change. Here, their method can
be used to identify particularly invasive cells, to determine
political measures that may reduce accidents, or to compare
different climate models to forecast global warming.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/05/180514083743.htm">https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/05/180514083743.htm</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Epic Battle]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2018/may/14/california-battered-by-global-warmings-weather-whiplash-is-fighting-to-stop-it">California,
battered by global warming's weather whiplash, is fighting to
stop it</a></b><br>
Dana Nuccitelli - Mon 14 May 2018<br>
Hit by record droughts and rainfall and wildfires, California leads
the way in tackling global warming<br>
In 1988 - the same year Nasa's James Hansen warned Congress about
the threats posed by human-caused global warming - water expert
Peter Gleick wrote about the wet and dry extremes that it would
create for California<br>
- - - - -<br>
Three decades later, California has been ravaged by just this sort
of weather whiplash. The state experienced its worst drought in over
a millennium from 2012 to 2016, followed immediately by its wettest
year on record in 2017. The consequences have been similarly
extreme, including hellish record wildfires, narrowly-avoided
catastrophic flooding at Oroville Dam, and deadly mudslides.<br>
A study published last month in Nature Climate Change found that
these wet and dry extremes will only worsen in California as
temperatures continue to rise. As lead author Daniel Swain wrote:<br>
California will likely experience a 100 - 200% increase in the
frequency of very wet November-March rainy seasons … California will
likely experience an increase of anywhere from 50% to 150% (highest
in the south) in the frequency of very dry November-March periods …
Since California is so dependent on precipitation during its
relatively brief winter rainy season, even a single dry winter can
quickly lead to adverse drought impacts upon agriculture and the
environment.<br>
- - - - -<br>
America should follow California's lead<br>
California has become a leader both in experiencing climate change
impacts and taking action to mitigate them. The state has provided a
perfect example that contrary to current Republican Party beliefs,
climate change has serious economic and human costs, whereas
economies can thrive after putting a price on carbon pollution.
America needs leaders with the foresight of California's.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2018/may/14/california-battered-by-global-warmings-weather-whiplash-is-fighting-to-stop-it">https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2018/may/14/california-battered-by-global-warmings-weather-whiplash-is-fighting-to-stop-it</a><br>
</font><br>
<br>
[Of course]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.apa.org/monitor/2016/07-08/climate-change.aspx">Climate
change is threatening mental health</a></b><br>
A federal report that tapped psychologists' expertise outlines the
ways climate change affects us all.<br>
By Kirsten Weir<br>
July/August 2016, Vol 47, No. 7<br>
Climate change is threatening mental health<br>
People's anxiety and distress about the implications of climate
change are undermining mental health and well-being, according to a
new federal report reviewing existing research on the topic. Issued
by the U.S. Global Change Research Program, the report is the first
time the federally mandated group has published an assessment solely
focused on climate change and health.<br>
The report is notable for another reason, too: It contains a chapter
devoted to mental health and well-being, a significant step forward
for an assessment of this type, says lead author Daniel Dodgen, PhD,
a clinical psychologist at the U.S. Department of Health and Human
Services, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and
Response. I think people realize that if you're going to talk about
health, you have to talk about mental health, he says.<br>
The report also found that:<br>
<blockquote>-Exposure to climate- and weather-related natural
disasters can result in mental health consequences such as
anxiety, depression and post-traumatic stress disorder. A
significant proportion of people affected by those events develop
chronic psychological dysfunction.<br>
-Some people are at higher risk for mental health consequences
from weather-related disasters. Among them are children, pregnant
and postpartum women, people with pre-existing mental illness,
people who are economically disadvantaged, those who are homeless
and first responders to the disaster.<br>
-Representations of climate change in the media and popular
culture can also influence a person's stress response and mental
well-being.<br>
-Extreme heat increases both physical and mental health problems
in people with mental illness, raising the risk of disease and
death. In part, that's because many psychoactive prescription
medications impair the body's ability to regulate temperature. <br>
</blockquote>
Connecting the dots<br>
While environmental psychologists are pleased to see an emphasis on
mental health and well-being, the findings were not unexpected.<br>
When it comes to climate change and mental health, the picture that
emerges when you connect the dots is not surprising, says Susan
Clayton, PhD, an environmental psychologist and chair of the
environmental studies program at the College of Wooster in Ohio, and
co-author of the 2014 APA/ecoAmerica report Beyond Storms &
Droughts: The Psychological Impacts of Climate Change. It's just
that people aren't connecting the dots....<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.apa.org/monitor/2016/07-08/climate-change.aspx">http://www.apa.org/monitor/2016/07-08/climate-change.aspx</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Candidates]<br>
<b><a href="http://www.314action.org/endorsed-candidates-1/">314
Action is proud to endorse these scientists and other STEM
leaders who will fight to protect science and stand up to
climate deniers.</a></b><br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.314action.org/endorsed-candidates-1/">http://www.314action.org/endorsed-candidates-1/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<font size="+1"><b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://lobsterboatblockade.org/">This Day in Climate
History - May 15, 2013</a> - from D.R. Tucker</b></font><br>
May 15, 2013: In a courageous act of civil disobedience that calls
attention to coal's contamination of the climate, activists Ken Ward
and Jay O'Hara forestall a coal shipment headed for the Brayton
Point Power Plant in Somerset, Massachusetts.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://lobsterboatblockade.org/">http://lobsterboatblockade.org/</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.commondreams.org/headline/2013/05/15-2">http://www.commondreams.org/headline/2013/05/15-2</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.treehugger.com/corporate-responsibility/lobster-boat-successfully-blockades-40000-ton-coal-shipment.html">http://www.treehugger.com/corporate-responsibility/lobster-boat-successfully-blockades-40000-ton-coal-shipment.html</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2013/05/15/climate-change-activists-say-they-blocked-freighter-from-delivering-coal-mass-power-plant/gjnEb86grXDaFflJPVynTI/story.html">http://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2013/05/15/climate-change-activists-say-they-blocked-freighter-from-delivering-coal-mass-power-plant/gjnEb86grXDaFflJPVynTI/story.html</a><br>
<br>
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