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<font size="+1"><i>June 5, 2018</i></font><br>
<br>
[More Wildfires with Warming]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://weather.com/safety/wildfires/news/2018-06-02-416-fire-colorado-ute-park-fire-new-mexico-aliso-fire-california">California
Fire Burns More Than 900 Acres Within Hours as Wildfires Blaze
in the West</a></b><br>
Several wildfires have forced evacuations in California, Colorado
and New Mexico.<br>
The Stone Fire burning in Agua Dulce, California, grew to more than
900 acres within three hours.<br>
The so-called 416 Fire in Colorado has burned into the San Juan
National Forest and spurred more than 800 homes to be evacuated.<br>
Fourteen buildings have been destroyed in the New Mexico inferno,
and hundreds of homes are threatened, officials said.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://weather.com/safety/wildfires/news/2018-06-02-416-fire-colorado-ute-park-fire-new-mexico-aliso-fire-california">https://weather.com/safety/wildfires/news/2018-06-02-416-fire-colorado-ute-park-fire-new-mexico-aliso-fire-california</a></font><br>
- - - - -<br>
[wish for clouds]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.ecowatch.com/california-wildfires-clouds-2575070844.html">California
Wildfire Risk Grows as Cloud Cover Is 'Plummeting'</a></b><br>
By Alex Kirby<br>
Southern California's wildfires are posing a growing risk, as the
Sunshine State threatens to become too sunny for its own good. In
many southern coastal areas, rising summer temperatures caused by
spreading urbanization and the warming climate are driving off
formerly common low-lying morning clouds and increasing the prospect
of worse wildfires, U.S. scientists say...<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.ecowatch.com/california-wildfires-clouds-2575070844.html">https://www.ecowatch.com/california-wildfires-clouds-2575070844.html</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[warming more]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/ecology/2018/06/warmest-may-ever-arctic-islands">Warmest
May ever on Arctic islands</a></b><br>
6 degrees C above normal in Longyarbyen which concluded its 90th
month in a row with above normal temperatures.<br>
By Thomas Nilsen<br>
June 03, 2018<br>
Not since December 2010 has Norway's Meteorological Institute
measured normal temperatures at its northernmost locations. It
should still be freezing, below zero. Not so this May. Measurements
at Longyearbyen airport on Svalbard could tell a story about global
warming not seen before with a mean temperature of 1.8 degrees C,
which is 6 degrees C above normal.<br>
Also the other Norwegian Arctic islands experienced a warm May,<a
moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.met.no/nyhetsarkiv/varmeste-mai-noensinne"> the
institute reports</a>.<br>
Bjornoya in the Barents Sea was the warmest with a mean temperature
of 3.7 degrees C. That is 5.1 degrees C above normal. Hopen was 5
degrees C above normal, while Jan Mayen had 5.1 degrees C warmer
than normal for May.<br>
Ny-Alesund, further north on Spitsbergen, had a mean temperature of
1.6 degrees C, which is 5.6 degrees C above normal for the month.<br>
On mainland Norway, temperatures in the last few days of May were
warmer than most holiday resorts around the Mediterranean. Warmest
was Etne outside Bergen with 32.7 degrees C on May 30th. Mean
temperature for Norway was 4.2 degrees above normal. Since mean
values were registered first time in 1900, 2018 is by far the
warmest ever measured the Meteorological Institute informs<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/ecology/2018/06/warmest-may-ever-arctic-islands">https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/ecology/2018/06/warmest-may-ever-arctic-islands</a></font><br>
- - - -<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.met.no/en">https://www.met.no/en</a><br>
<br>
<br>
[Heat and Hurricanes - a 5 minute video]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zOdDMEUSXxo">Ocean heat as
'fuel' for hurricanes</a></b><br>
YaleClimateConnections - May 31, 2018<br>
Researchers track the source of energy of the 2017 Hurricane Harvey
that punished parts of Texas ... right to the record-high Gulf of
Mexico temperature. <br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zOdDMEUSXxo">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zOdDMEUSXxo</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Calling for a Cat 6]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://insideclimatenews.org/news/02062018/hurricane-season-2018-noaa-storm-forecast-global-warming-atlantic-ocean-temperature-new-category-6">Hurricane
Season 2018: Experts Warn of Super Storms, Call For New Category
6</a></b><br>
A spate of record-breaking storms has spurred a call for expanding
the hurricane scale for better warnings that could save lives.<br>
By Bob Berwyn, InsideClimate News<br>
The <a
href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2018/05/does-global-warming-make-tropical-cyclones-stronger/">analysis</a>,
published this week by four prominent climate scientists, also shows
other clear trends, including a poleward migration of the areas
where storms reach peak intensity, which puts <a
href="https://psmag.com/environment/how-global-warming-could-push-hurricanes-to-new-regions">new
areas at risk</a>, including New England and even Europe.<br>
Storms are also intensifying more quickly, with a greater chance
they will drop record amounts of rain, especially if they stall out
when they hit land, as Hurricane Harvey did in Houston last year.<br>
<br>
"The weight of the evidence suggests that the 30-year-old prediction
of more intense and wetter tropical cyclones is coming to pass. This
is a risk that we can no longer afford to ignore," wrote the authors
- Stefan Rahmstorf of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact
Research, Kerry Emanuel of MIT, Jim Kossin of NOAA and Mann.<br>
Mann advocates for adding a new Category 6 to the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale to describe the extremely powerful super storms
seen in recent years - storms that can be fueled by global warming.<br>
<br>
"The current intensity scale doesn't capture the fact that a 10 mph
increase in sustained wind speeds ups the damage potential by 20
percent," Mann said. "That's not a subtle effect. It's one that we
can see." Based on the spacing of Categories 1-5, there should be a
Category 6 approaching peak winds of 190 mph, he said.<br>
<br>
Creating a new warning level for unprecedented storms could help
save lives. When Typhoon Haiyan, one of the strongest tropical
cyclones on record, hit the Philippines in 2013, people died in
shelters that had been designed to withstand a historic storm surge
but still flooded...<br>
- - - - -<br>
"The damages that occurred last year strongly suggest that small
investments in resilience in the past 10 years could well have saved
hundreds of billions of dollars and lots of strife," he said. "After
Hurricane Katrina, the Corp of Engineers built back the levees to
withstand a Category 3 hurricane, but not a Category 5 hurricane.
That makes no sense to me, and in many areas the U.S. seems
incapable of planning ahead for real risks."<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://insideclimatenews.org/news/02062018/hurricane-season-2018-noaa-storm-forecast-global-warming-atlantic-ocean-temperature-new-category-6">https://insideclimatenews.org/news/02062018/hurricane-season-2018-noaa-storm-forecast-global-warming-atlantic-ocean-temperature-new-category-6</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Poignant video astounding images 12 minutes]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dOSK3We8IGM">Tangier
Island: The First U.S. Climate Refugees?</a></b><br>
The Atlantic Published on Jun 1, 2018<br>
The small island of Tangier sits 12 miles off the coast of Virginia.
It's a peaceful, salt-of-the-earth kind of place, with only 600
full-time residents, most of whom have known their neighbors -
commercial crabbers, watermen, schoolteachers, parishioners - for
generations. Shortly, however, that may all come to an end.<br>
As soon as 25 years from now, Tangier is expected to disappear into
the sea. The people who live there, along with the residents of
similar coastal towns and islands threatened by sea-level rise, may
become among the first U.S. climate refugees.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dOSK3We8IGM">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dOSK3We8IGM</a></font><br>
- - - - -<br>
more in the Atlantic article at: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theatlantic.com/video/index/561587/tangier-island/">https://www.theatlantic.com/video/index/561587/tangier-island/</a><br>
- - - - <br>
<b>Google Maps views of Tangier Island:</b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.google.com/maps/@37.8297135,-75.9839308,14z">https://www.google.com/maps/@37.8297135,-75.9839308,14z</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.google.com/maps/@37.8297135,-75.9839308,7105m/data=%213m1%211e3">https://www.google.com/maps/@37.8297135,-75.9839308,7105m/data=!3m1!1e3</a><br>
<br>
<br>
[Opinion]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/jun/04/dont-turn-to-the-military-to-solve-the-climate-change-crisis">Don't
turn to the military to solve the climate-change crisis</a></b><br>
Nick Buxton<br>
Warning about conflicts, wars and mass migration is the wrong way to
approach things<br>
Security is a modern day weasel word - who can be against security?
The question rarely asked is whose security are we talking about -
security of what, for whom and from whom? The US, EU and now
Australian strategies, though, clearly state they are talking about
the security of their respective nations in the face of "threats"
usually coming from the consequences of climate change in
neighbouring countries.<br>
The submission from Australia's Department of Defence to the inquiry
put it this way: "When climate impacts are combined with ethnic or
other social grievances, they can contribute to increased migration,
internal instability or intra-state insurgencies, often over greater
competition for natural resources. These developments may foster
terrorism or cross-border conflict."<br>
- - - -<br>
Australia's experience of unprecedented heat waves and fires in
recent years has already shown that climate change will have a big
impact on the country and the wider region. But how those impacts
play out will depend to a great degree on how we choose to respond.
An approach that relies on military forces and barbed wire will
worsen the crisis and create a world no one wants to live in. Real
security emerges from recognising our interdependence, tackling
injustice and inequality, and working together to protect those who
are most vulnerable.<br>
<font size="-1">Nick Buxton works at the Transnational Institute
based in the Netherlands and is co-editor of The Secure and the
Dispossessed: How the Military and Corporations are shaping a
climate-changed world (Pluto Books, 2015)<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/jun/04/dont-turn-to-the-military-to-solve-the-climate-change-crisis">https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/jun/04/dont-turn-to-the-military-to-solve-the-climate-change-crisis</a><br>
</font><br>
<br>
[paleoclimatology - movie segment of fossils at the poles]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true" href="https://vimeo.com/210519097">Green
Antarctica<br>
Thin Ice Climate</a></b><br>
Jane Francis describes how fossil plants in the Arctic and Antarctic
provide clues to the planet's climate over geological time. Over 50
million years ago both poles were covered by luxuriant vegetation,
which gradually declined and disappeared as ice sheets advanced.
today, both regions are again showing dramatic warming, and if this
continues unchecked in the coming centuries, parts of Antarctica may
become green again.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://vimeo.com/210519097">https://vimeo.com/210519097</a><br>
<br>
<br>
[viewing the garden from above]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.php?feature=7143">NASA
Soil Moisture Data Advances Global Crop Forecasts</a></b><br>
Data from the first NASA satellite mission dedicated to measuring
the water content of soils is now being used operationally by the
U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) to monitor global croplands
and make commodity forecasts.<br>
<br>
The Soil Moisture Active Passive mission, or SMAP, launched in 2015
and has helped map the amount of water in soils worldwide. Now, with
tools developed by a team at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in
Greenbelt, Maryland, SMAP soil moisture data are being incorporated
into the Crop Explorer website of the USDA's Foreign Agricultural
Service, which reports on regional droughts, floods and crop
forecasts. Crop Explorer is a clearinghouse for global agricultural
growing conditions, such as soil moisture, temperature,
precipitation, vegetation health and more.<br>
<br>
"There's a lot of need for understanding, monitoring and forecasting
crops globally," said John Bolten, research scientist at Goddard.
"SMAP is NASA's first satellite mission devoted to soil moisture,
and this is a very straightforward approach to applying that data."<br>
<br>
Variations in global agricultural productivity have tremendous
economic, social and humanitarian consequences. Among the users of
these new SMAP data are USDA regional crop analysts who need
accurate soil moisture information to better monitor and predict
these variations.<br>
<br>
"The USDA does crop forecasting activities from a global scale, and
one of the main pieces of information for them is the amount of
water in the soil," said Iliana Mladenova, a research scientist at
Goddard.<br>
<br>
The USDA has used computer models that incorporate precipitation and
temperature observations to indirectly calculate soil moisture. This
approach, however, is prone to error in areas lacking high-quality,
ground-based instrumentation. Now, Mladenova said, the agency is
incorporating direct SMAP measurements of soil moisture into Crop
Explorer. This allows the agriculture analysts to better predict
where there could be too little, or too much, water in the soil to
support crops.<br>
<br>
These soil moisture conditions, along with tools to analyze the
data, are also available on Google Earth Engine. There, researchers,
nonprofit organizations, resource managers and others can access the
latest data as well as archived information.<br>
<br>
"If you have better soil moisture data and information on anomalies,
you'll be able to predict, for example, the occurrence and
development of drought," Mladenova said.<br>
<br>
The timing of the information matters as well, she added - if
there's a short dry period early in the season, it might not have an
impact on the total crop yield, but if there's a prolonged dry spell
when the grain should be forming, the crop is less likely to
recover.<br>
<br>
With global coverage every three days, SMAP can provide the Crop
Explorer tool with timely updates of the soil moisture conditions
that are essential for assessments and forecasts of global crop
productivity.<br>
<br>
For more than a decade, USDA Crop Explorer products have
incorporated soil moisture data from satellites. It started with the
Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-E instrument aboard NASA's
Aqua satellite, but that instrument stopped gathering data in late
2011. Soil moisture information from the European Space Agency's
(ESA) Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity mission is also being
incorporated into some of the USDA products. This new, high-quality
input from SMAP will help fill critical gaps in soil moisture
information.<br>
S<font size="-1">MAP is managed for NASA's Science Mission
Directorate in Washington by the agency's Jet Propulsion
Laboratory in Pasadena, California, with instrument hardware and
science contributions made by Goddard.<br>
To learn more about SMAP, visit:<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://smap.jpl.nasa.gov">https://smap.jpl.nasa.gov</a><br>
The USDA's Crop Explorer tool is at:<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://ipad.fas.usda.gov/cropexplorer/">https://ipad.fas.usda.gov/cropexplorer/</a><br>
For information about SMAP data products in Google Earth Engine,
visit:<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://explorer.earthengine.google.com/#detail/NASA_USDA%2FHSL%2FSMAP_soil_moisture">https://explorer.earthengine.google.com/#detail/NASA_USDA%2FHSL%2FSMAP_soil_moisture</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Online activism]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://wedonthavetime.org/launch/">We Don't Have Time</a></b><br>
That is why we are currently developing the world's biggest social
network for climate action! Together we can solve the climate
crisis. But we are running out of time…<br>
We Don't Have Time aims to create a social media platform for the
future, focused on the biggest challenge of our times - the
climate. Through our platform, millions of members will unite to put
pressure on leaders, politicians and corporations to act for the
climate.<br>
It is all about what we can do together.<br>
<blockquote><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://wedonthavetime.org/launch/manifest/">Our Manifest</a><br>
The Earth is warming, severely disrupting the conditions for life
and society. This process is not a distant possibility that future
leaders and technology can take care of. We own this problem. And
we need to solve it. Now. <font size="-1"><a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://wedonthavetime.org/launch/manifest/">https://wedonthavetime.org/launch/manifest/</a></font><br>
</blockquote>
We must all - as citizens on Earth - step up and come together. We
believe that the fastest, most efficient way to do this is by modern
technology and communication. Our goal is therefore to build the
world's largest social media platform focused on climate change,
allowing our members - you, me, my friends, your friends, our
families, all and everyone - to be the change by the power of many.<br>
Because #WeDontHaveTime to wait. We need to act now to fight the
climate crisis. <br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://wedonthavetime.org/launch/">https://wedonthavetime.org/launch/</a> </font>
<br>
<br>
<br>
[Business of Risk - audio podcast]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://americaadapts.org/2018/06/04/venture-adaptation-jupiter-intel-and-the-emerging-business-of-climate-change/">Venture
Adaptation: Jupiter Intel and the Emerging Business of Climate
Change</a></b><br>
Published by americaadapts on June 4, 2018<br>
In episode 67of America Adapts, Doug Parsons talks with Rich Sorkin,
CEO and Co-Founder of Jupiter Intel. Rich shares the history of
Jupiter Intel as a silicon valley start up and his short and long
term goals in this emerging field. Doug and Rich discuss Jupiter's
core business of risk modeling and the uncertainties associated with
future modeling. They also talk about emerging businesses in the
adaptation sector and the role of profit making entities like
Jupiter and the 'wild wild west' mentality that exists in some areas
of future modeling. These topics and much more!<br>
Bonus: Doug hosts Claire Wayner, a Baltimore area teen who is
leading efforts to recruit youth for the upcoming Zero Hour Climate
March. Be inspired by her story!<br>
Topics in this episode:<br>
<blockquote>How businesses can avoid a repeat of the 2008 meltdown
through climate smart planning;<br>
Understanding climate risks and profiting off it;<br>
Media generated by Jupiter Intel's approach;<br>
Are businesses truly risk adverse?<br>
Is short term climate modeling reliable?<br>
Is Florida behaving rationally when it comes to business risk?<br>
And much more!<br>
</blockquote>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://americaadapts.org/2018/06/04/venture-adaptation-jupiter-intel-and-the-emerging-business-of-climate-change/">http://americaadapts.org/2018/06/04/venture-adaptation-jupiter-intel-and-the-emerging-business-of-climate-change/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Source: London School of Economics]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/06/180603193616.htm">Economic
models significantly underestimate climate change risks</a></b><br>
June 3, 2018<br>
Summary:<br>
Policymakers are being misinformed by the results of economic models
that underestimate the future risks of climate change impacts,
according to a new journal paper by authors in the United States and
the United Kingdom, which is published today (4 June 2018).<br>
The paper in the Review of Environmental Economics and Policy calls
for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to improve
how it analyses the results of economic modelling as it prepares its
Sixth Assessment Report, due to be published in 2021 and 2022.<br>
- - - -<br>
The authors draw attention to "a major discrepancy between
scientific and economic estimates of the impacts of unmanaged future
climate change." They state: "These discrepancies between the
physical and the economic impact estimates are large, and they
matter. However, physical impacts are often not translated into
monetary terms and they have largely been ignored by climate
economists."<br>
The paper states that the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report should
"strengthen its focus on decision making under uncertainty" and
"focus on estimating how the uncertainty itself affects economic and
financial cost estimates of climate change."<br>
<blockquote>The authors point out that the preparation of the report
"can act as a broad forum that brings together scientists and
economists with a goal of quantifying the impacts of climate
change."<br>
</blockquote>
They suggest that this would allow the IPCC to "provide policymakers
with a more robust and rigorous way of assessing the potential
future risks of economic damage from climate change."<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/06/180603193616.htm">https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/06/180603193616.htm</a><br>
<br>
<br>
["We must do everything, all at once" - Bill Nye]<br>
<b><a href="http://www.314action.org/endorsed-candidates-1/">Climate
Action Without War<br>
</a></b>Updated: Apr 30<br>
What securitisation theory can tell us about starting a war on
climate change.<br>
by Alexa Waud<br>
Securitisation is a concept used in international relations to
describe the process through which something becomes an object of
security. It is less concerned with what security is, and more
concerned with the actions that move an issue from the realm of
normal politics to emergency politics where is it understood to be
an existential threat (usually this action involves a powerful actor
saying something is a security issue). When an issue has been
securitised, powerful actors can direct resources and attention
towards the issue without going through the process of democratic
debate. For this reason, scholars from the Copenhagen School see
securitisation as compromising democracy, and advocate for bringing
issues back into the realm of normal politics where they can be
debated and discussed.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.anthroposphere.co.uk/blog/climate-action-without-war">https://www.anthroposphere.co.uk/blog/climate-action-without-war</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[New Publication]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.britishecologicalsociety.org/new-journal-people-nature/">British
Ecological Society launches new journal: People and Nature</a></b><br>
11 May 2018<br>
By Sabrina Weiss<br>
The British Ecological Society (BES), in partnership with its
publisher John Wiley & Sons, is delighted to announce the launch
of a new international journal.<br>
People and Nature is an open access journal dedicated to publishing
high-quality, peer-reviewed work from research areas exploring
relationships between humans and nature.<br>
Recognising the importance of human aspects in all areas of ecology,
People and Nature fosters innovation and experimentation. Authors
may use quantitative, qualitative and mixed methodologies.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.britishecologicalsociety.org/new-journal-people-nature/">https://www.britishecologicalsociety.org/new-journal-people-nature/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<font size="+1"><b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://youtu.be/Wlqb1D9pDIs">This Day in Climate History
- June 5, 2007</a> - from D.R. Tucker</b></font><br>
June 5, 2007: At a GOP presidential debate in New Hampshire, Rudy
Giuliani declares:<br>
<blockquote>"I think we have to accept the view that scientists have
that there is global warming and that human operation, human
condition, contributes to that. And the fact is that there is a
way to deal with it and to address it in a way that we can also
accomplish energy independence, which we need as a matter of
national security. It's frustrating and really dangerous for us to
see money going to our enemies because we have to buy oil from
certain countries. We should be supporting all the alternatives."<br>
</blockquote>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://youtu.be/Wlqb1D9pDIs">http://youtu.be/Wlqb1D9pDIs</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
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