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<font size="+1"><i>June 30, 2018</i></font><br>
<br>
[Wildfire Today]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true" href="http://wildfiretoday.com/">Satellite
imagery of Colorado fires</a></b><br>
The Spring Creek Fire was mostly obscured by clouds, but the heat
sensor was able to get a peek at it when a hole in the clouds passed
over. The data in the map below was from 4:36 a.m. MDT June 29.<font
size="-1"><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://wildfiretoday.com/">http://wildfiretoday.com/</a></font><br>
- - - -- <br>
[heat and dry]<br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/wildfires-force-evacuations-heat-stricken-colorado-56251977"><b>Wildfires
force evacuations in heat-stricken Colorado</b></a><br>
By The Associated Press<br>
DENVER (AP) - Bone-dry conditions and scorching temperatures
hampered firefighters Thursday as they battled two wildfires in
Colorado - one that has burned structures in the southern part of
the state and another that has forced evacuations near Rocky
Mountain National Park.<br>
About 350 homes have been evacuated east of Fort Garland in southern
Colorado since a wildfire erupted there Wednesday. The blaze has
blackened about 6 square miles (15 square kilometers) and has
destroyed some structures, but fire managers are not sure how many.<br>
"It's like a fog of smoke right there by our house," resident James
Matthews told KKTV. "If the fire does get there, it's going to be
very bad because there's propane tanks everywhere."...<br>
Hot, dry and windy weather has raised the fire danger in Colorado as
well as in Utah and parts of Arizona and Nevada. Temperatures
reached the upper 90s and triple digits across much of Colorado on
Thursday.<br>
video <font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.foxnews.com/us/2018/06/28/wildfires-force-evacuations-in-heat-stricken-colorado.html">http://www.foxnews.com/us/2018/06/28/wildfires-force-evacuations-in-heat-stricken-colorado.html</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/wildfires-force-evacuations-heat-stricken-colorado-56251977">https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/wildfires-force-evacuations-heat-stricken-colorado-56251977</a><br>
- - - -<br>
</font>[Birds of prey utilize fire]<br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://phys.org/news/2018-02-firehawks-intentionally-aid-food.html">Intentional
Fire-Spreading by Raptors in Australia [research study]</a><br>
Some birds intentionally spread fire from place to place, sometimes
in cooperation with other birds, says this new study.<br>
"Intentional Fire-Spreading by 'Firehawk' Raptors in Northern
Australia," Mark Bonta, Robert Gosford, Dick Eussen, Nathan
Ferguson, Erana Loveless, and Maxwell Witwer, Journal of
Ethnobiology, vol. 37, no. 4, 2017, pp. 700-718. The authors write:<br>
"We document Indigenous Ecological Knowledge and non-Indigenous
observations of intentional fire-spreading by the fire-foraging
raptors Black Kite (Milvus migrans), Whistling Kite (Haliastur
sphenurus), and Brown Falcon (Falco berigora) in tropical Australian
savannas. Observers report both solo and cooperative attempts, often
successful, to spread wildfires intentionally via single-occasion or
repeated transport of burning sticks in talons or beaks."<font
size="-1"><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.improbable.com/2018/01/09/intentional-fire-spreading-by-raptors-in-australia-research-study/">https://www.improbable.com/2018/01/09/intentional-fire-spreading-by-raptors-in-australia-research-study/</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://phys.org/news/2018-02-firehawks-intentionally-aid-food.html">https://phys.org/news/2018-02-firehawks-intentionally-aid-food.html</a><br>
</font><br>
<br>
[Voice of America News]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.voanews.com/a/climate-refugees-sidelined-from-global-deal-ask-where-is-justice/4152935.html">Climate
'Refugees,' Sidelined From Global Deal, Ask: 'Where Is the
Justice?'</a></b><br>
SUVA, FIJI - <br>
Vulnerable communities uprooted by climate change are being left out
of a voluntary pact to deal with migration, campaigners said, after
the United States pulled out of the global deal.<br>
Although people within low-lying states are being forced to relocate
because of worsening storms and rising seas, they will not be
recognized in U.N. migration pact talks next year, putting lives at
risk, campaigners said.<br>
"Many of the situations we find ourselves in, here in the Pacific,
are not caused by us. We continue to ask, 'Where is the justice?'
Those of us who are least responsible, continue to bear the brunt,"
said Emele Duituturaga, head of the Pacific Islands Association of
Non-Governmental Organizations (PIANGO).<br>
Hoping for acceptance<br>
"We hope that there will be an openness and an acceptance that
climate-induced migration is one that the world community has to be
responsible for," she said on the sidelines of a conference
co-hosted by PIANGO in Fiji's capital, Suva.<br>
With a record 21.3 million refugees globally, the 193-member U.N.
General Assembly adopted a political declaration in September 2016
in which it also agreed to spend two years negotiating a pact on
safe, orderly and regular migration.<br>
U.S. President Donald Trump this week withdrew from negotiations
because the global approach to the issue was "simply not compatible
with U.S. sovereignty."<br>
U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres regretted the U.S. decision,
his spokesman said, but expressed hope the United States might
re-engage in the talks ahead of the start of formal negotiations in
February.<br>
Unique heritage<br>
Climate displacement is already a reality for Telstar Jimmy, a
student from the Bank Islands in northern Vanuatu.<br>
Her family has relocated several times because of worsening cyclones
and flooding, as rising seas slowly wash away ancestral homelands
and burial sites.<br>
"The foundations of our unique heritage were taken," she told the
Thomson Reuters Foundation.<br>
"Relocation just meant safety and continuing to exist. But now the
question is: Safe and existing for how much longer?"<br>
Worldwide, sea levels have risen 26 centimeters (10 inches) since
the late 19th century, driven up by melting ice and a natural
expansion of water in the oceans as they warm, U.N. data show. Seas
could rise by up to a meter by 2100.<br>
'It's only going to get worse'<br>
"With climate-induced displacement, we know that there are already
people, communities and countries at risk," said Danny
Sriskandarajah, head of the rights group CIVICUS, co-hosting the
Fiji conference. "It's only going to get worse [and] we need to come
up with ways to manage those flows."<br>
PIANGO and CIVICUS are among campaign groups drafting a declaration
that calls on the United Nations to recognize climate change as a
key driver of migration.<br>
The 1951 Refugee Convention recognizes that people fleeing
persecution, war and conflict have the right to protection, but not
those forced out by climate change.<br>
Trump also plans to pull out of the 2015 Paris climate accord, which
seeks to end the fossil fuel era this century with a radical shift
to cleaner energies to curb heat waves, downpours, floods and rising
sea levels.<br>
The deal aims to hold the global temperature rise to "well below" 2
degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels and try to limit the
rise even further, to 1.5 degrees Celsius.<br>
The U.S. is the only country that is not part of the climate pact
after Syria and Nicaragua joined this year.<br>
"I'm a bit nervous because other countries may also pull out with
the U.S., and that's going to be a bigger issue for us, especially
at a time when we're trying to battle climate change," said Vanuatu
local Jimmy. "Whatever each country does will impact the lives of
other people around the whole globe."<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.voanews.com/a/climate-refugees-sidelined-from-global-deal-ask-where-is-justice/4152935.html">https://www.voanews.com/a/climate-refugees-sidelined-from-global-deal-ask-where-is-justice/4152935.html</a></font><br>
- - - -<br>
[Where?]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.fastcompany.com/40491897/there-will-soon-be-floods-of-climate-refugees-will-they-get-asylum">There
Will Soon Be Floods Of Climate Refugees: Will They Get Asylum?</a></b><br>
New Zealand is considering creating a new visa for people fleeing
environmental disasters brought on by climate change.<br>
There are challenges, at least with the policies that have existed
to date in places like Brazil. "These categories are not really
designed for the long haul, and for durable, lasting solutions," he
says. "That is particularly relevant if you think of some of the
more negative effects in developing states. Let's say it won't be
possible to return, and people will need to permanently leave some
of these areas - then these tools may come up short in terms of the
need for permanent solutions." But if multiple countries create new
pathways for migration, and begin to coordinate regionally, Solberg
says that he thinks "it would go a long way" to help both in
short-term crises and in the longer term.<br>
In New Zealand, Maidaborn argues that the country could benefit from
letting more people migrate. "I don't want to fall into the trap of
thinking that people from Pacific nations who are really threatened
by climate change are victims," she says. "A lot of world leadership
has gone on from the Pacific around climate action . . . I think
there's lot of expertise, a lot of thinking and development and
action, that's gone on in the Pacific because it's had to have gone
on, and all that learning can be very applicable here."<br>
She believes that more countries will follow New Zealand's example.
"I think as a world, we're going to see in much more material terms
that our earth is a closed system . . . We sort of pretended that
they're all separate systems, and we're coming very much
face-to-face with the idea that it's all connected. The solution
will resolve us to act in an interconnected way."<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.fastcompany.com/40491897/there-will-soon-be-floods-of-climate-refugees-will-they-get-asylum">https://www.fastcompany.com/40491897/there-will-soon-be-floods-of-climate-refugees-will-they-get-asylum</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Draft, final to be released soon]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.climatechangenews.com/2018/06/27/warming-2c-substantially-harmful-1-5c-draft-un-report/">Warming
of 2C 'substantially' more harmful than 1.5C - draft UN report</a></b><br>
Published on 27/06/2018, 11:07am<br>
Latest version of major UN science report concludes the upper
temperature goal of the Paris Agreement does not represent a climate
safe zone<br>
By Karl Mathiesen, Megan Darby and Soila Apparicio<br>
A leaked draft of a major UN climate change report shows growing
certainty that 2C, once shorthand for a 'safe' amount of planetary
warming, would be a dangerous step for humanity.<br>
The authors make clear the difference between warming of 1.5C and 2C
would be "substantial" and damaging to communities, economies and
ecosystems across the world.<br>
In 2015, the Paris Agreement established twin goals to hold
temperature rise from pre-industrial times "well below 2C" and
strive for 1.5C.<br>
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has since been
working to assess the difference between those targets, with a view
to publishing a sweeping analysis of all available research in
October this year.<br>
The report summary, which Climate Home News published on Wednesday,
is a draft and subject to change. The IPCC said it would not comment
on leaked reports. An earlier draft from January was also published
by CHN.<br>
CHN has compared the January and June drafts. The new version builds
a stronger case for governments to rapidly cut carbon pollution. It
also strikes a marginally more optimistic tone on the attainability
of the 1.5C target.<br>
In January, authors said every 0.5C added to today's level of 1C of
warming would "increase" the risks of various impacts. That wording
has been beefed up throughout the new summary, which now predicts
"substantial increases" in those risks...<br>
- - - - -<br>
The summary elaborates on what a "rapid and far-reaching" transition
looks like for different sectors.<br>
Renewables deployment needs to accelerate further for 1.5C to be
possible, the draft says, with primary energy from coal falling two
thirds by 2030. For comparison, the International Energy Agency
forecasts coal use increasing slightly over the period, based on
existing and signposted policies.<br>
It calls for sustainable management of competing demands on the
land. This includes "diet changes" - code for the rich eating less
steak - and "sustainable intensification" of farming, which is
viewed with suspicion by many environmentalists.<br>
Radical emissions cuts are also needed in industry, transport and
buildings, where it says technology exists but faces economic and
social barriers.<br>
The final section deals with sustainable development and how efforts
to meet the 1.5C limit interact with goals like eradicating poverty.<br>
In the first summary, the authors warned there was a "high chance"
the 1.5C target "might not be feasible" because efforts to remove
carbon from the atmosphere, through tree-planting or use of carbon
capture with biofuels, can conflict with other development
priorities and take up land used for food production.<br>
This language has been toned down, instead concluding the
feasibility of such methods "depends on scale, [and the]
implications for land, water and energy use".<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.climatechangenews.com/2018/06/27/warming-2c-substantially-harmful-1-5c-draft-un-report/">http://www.climatechangenews.com/2018/06/27/warming-2c-substantially-harmful-1-5c-draft-un-report/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Press release for new book]<br>
Dear Colleagues,<span></span><br>
I would like to announce the publication of my new book, <a
href="http://www.cambridge.org/mayer"
style="color:rgb(5,99,193);text-decoration:underline"><i>The
International Law on Climate Change</i></a> (Cambridge
University Press). This book aims to provide a concise,
thought-provoking and accessible overview of what international law
has to say about climate change. Copies for evaluation or review can
be requested following the link above.<span></span><br>
An <a href="http://www.internationalclimatelaw.com/"
style="color:rgb(5,99,193);text-decoration:underline">accompanying
website, http://www.internationalclimatelaw.com/</a> presents
various up-to-date materials for teaching and research.<span></span><br>
Best regards,<span></span><br>
Benoit Mayer<span></span><br>
Assistant Professor, The Chinese University of Hong Kong<span></span><br>
<blockquote><i>Global climate change is a topic of continuously
growing interest. As more international treaties come into
force, media coverage has increased and many universities are
now starting to conduct courses specifically on climate change
laws and policies. This textbook provides a survey of the
international law on climate change, explaining how significant
international agreements have sought to promote compliance with
general norms of international law. Benoit Mayer provides an
account of the rules agreed upon through lengthy negotiations
under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
(UNFCCC) and multiple other forums on mitigation,
geoengineering, adaptation, loss and damage and international
support. The International Law on Climate Change is suitable for
undergraduate and graduate students studying climate,
environmental or international law. It is supported by a suite
of online resources featuring regularly updated lists of
complementary materials and weblinks, and annually updated
briefs for specific chapters.</i> <span></span><br>
</blockquote>
<ul
style="font-size:small;text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;margin-top:0in;margin-bottom:0in"
type="disc">
<li class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in
0.0001pt;text-align:justify;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times
New Roman",serif">An interdisciplinary treatment of climate
change, clarifying its scientific, economic and political
underpinnings<span></span></li>
<li class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in
0.0001pt;text-align:justify;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times
New Roman",serif">A clear and accessible writing style
outlines simple step-by-step developments enabling students to
understand the complexity of a quarter-century of extremely
intense negotiations<span></span></li>
<li class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in
0.0001pt;text-align:justify;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times
New Roman",serif">Differing and opposing views are
discussed and evaluated, encouraging students to critically
engage with the topics and develop their skills in debating and
argumentative essay writing<span></span></li>
</ul>
<br>
<b>Table of contents:</b><span></span><br>
1. Introduction<span></span><br>
2. The rationale for international action on climate change<span></span><br>
3. The UNFCCC regime, from Rio to Paris<span></span><br>
4. Relevant developments in other regimes<span></span><br>
5. Relevant norms of general international law<span></span><br>
6. Differentiation<span></span><br>
7. International action on climate change mitigation<span></span><br>
8. Flexibility mechanisms<span></span><br>
9. Geoengineering<span></span><br>
10. International action on climate change adaptation<span></span><br>
11. Loss and damage<span></span><br>
12. International support<span></span><br>
13. Ambition and compliance<span></span><br>
14. Adjudication<span></span><br>
15. Non-state actors<span></span><br>
16. International law in times of climate change. <span></span><br>
'Comprehensive and thought-provoking, written in multiple
perspectives. It is essential reading for academics and
practitioners of international law in tackling the challenges of
climate change and protecting the atmosphere in the twenty-first
century.' <b>Shinya Murase</b>, Special Rapporteur on the
protection of the atmosphere, UN International Law Commission<span></span><br>
'International climate change law has gradually come to reflect the
complexity of the problem it seeks to address. Uncovering the why,
how, where and what of international law on climate change, this
book forms essential reading for anyone looking for an incisive
analysis of how to tackle one of the defining challenges of our
time.' <b>Harro van Asselt</b>, University of Eastern Finland<span></span><br>
'Offering an informed and engaged perspective on the international
law that governs humanity's crucial efforts to address global
climate change, this book is essential reading for policy-makers,
practitioners and scholars interested in securing a sustainable
future for themselves and for generations to come.' <b>Marie-Claire
Cordonier Segger</b>, University of Waterloo, Canada<br>
<br>
<br>
[Harvard lecture on history of power markets]<br>
<b><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZuEsVOIda9w">Naomi
Oreskes on "Giant Power: Technology, Energy, and the Beginnings
of Post-Truth America"</a></b><br>
Harvard University - October 18, 2017 l<br>
Published on Jun 4, 2018<br>
The Environment Forum at the Mahindra Center is convened by Robin
Kelsey (Dean of Arts and Humanities, Harvard University) and Ian
Jared Miller (Professor of History, Harvard University)<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZuEsVOIda9w">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZuEsVOIda9w</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Fundamentals from the Guardian]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2018/jun/25/30-years-later-deniers-are-still-lying-about-hansens-amazing-global-warming-prediction">30
years later, deniers are still lying about Hansen's amazing
global warming prediction</a></b><br>
Koch paychecks seem to be strong motivators to lie<br>
<a
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/jun/19/james-hansen-nasa-scientist-climate-change-warning"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: transparent; touch-action: manipulation; color:
rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none !important;
border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220); transition:
border-color 0.15s ease-out;">Thirty years ago, James Hansen
testified to Congress</a><span> </span>about the dangers of
human-caused climate change. In<span> </span><a
href="https://climatechange.procon.org/sourcefiles/1988_Hansen_Senate_Testimony.pdf"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: transparent; touch-action: manipulation; color:
rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none !important;
border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220); transition:
border-color 0.15s ease-out;">his testimony</a>, Hansen showed the
results of<span> </span><a
href="https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=4107151872156248934&hl=en&as_sdt=0,5"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: transparent; touch-action: manipulation; color:
rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none !important;
border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220); transition:
border-color 0.15s ease-out;">his 1988 study</a><span> </span>using
a climate model to project future global warming under three
possible scenarios, ranging from 'business as usual' heavy pollution
in his Scenario A to 'draconian emissions cuts' in Scenario C, with
a moderate Scenario B in between.<br>
Changes in the human effects that influence Earth's global energy
imbalance (a.k.a. 'anthropogenic radiative forcings') have in
reality been closest to Hansen's Scenario B, but<span> </span><a
href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2018/06/30-years-after-hansens-testimony/"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: transparent; touch-action: manipulation; color:
rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none !important;
border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220); transition:
border-color 0.15s ease-out;">about 20 - 30% weaker</a><span> </span>thanks
to the success of the<span> </span><a
href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Montreal_Protocol"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: transparent; touch-action: manipulation; color:
rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none !important;
border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220); transition:
border-color 0.15s ease-out;">Montreal Protocol</a><span> </span>in
phasing out chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs). Hansen's climate model
projected that under Scenario B, global surface air temperatures
would warm about 0.84C between 1988 and 2017. But with a global
energy imbalance 20 - 30% lower, it would have predicted a global
surface warming closer to 0.6 - 0.7C by this year.<br>
The actual 1988 - 2017 temperature increase was about 0.6C. Hansen's
1988 global climate model was almost spot-on.<br>
<span style="color: rgb(18, 18, 18); font-family: "Guardian
Text Egyptian Web", Georgia, serif; font-size: 17px;
font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: common-ligatures;
font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing:
normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2;
word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;
background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-style:
initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline
!important; float: none;">The incredible accuracy of Hansen's
climate model predictions debunks a number of climate denier
myths. It shows that<span> </span></span><a
href="https://www.skepticalscience.com/climate-models-intermediate.htm"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: rgb(255, 255, 255); touch-action: manipulation;
color: rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none
!important; border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220);
transition: border-color 0.15s ease-out; font-family:
"Guardian Text Egyptian Web", Georgia, serif; font-size:
17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
common-ligatures; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start;
text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal;
widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;">climate
models are accurate and reliable</a><span style="color: rgb(18,
18, 18); font-family: "Guardian Text Egyptian Web",
Georgia, serif; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal;
font-variant-ligatures: common-ligatures; font-variant-caps:
normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2;
text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none;
white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255,
255); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial; display: inline !important; float: none;">, that<span> </span></span><a
href="https://www.skepticalscience.com/comparing-global-temperature-predictions.html"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: rgb(255, 255, 255); touch-action: manipulation;
color: rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none
!important; border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220);
transition: border-color 0.15s ease-out; font-family:
"Guardian Text Egyptian Web", Georgia, serif; font-size:
17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
common-ligatures; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start;
text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal;
widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;">global
warming is proceeding as climate scientists predicted</a><span
style="color: rgb(18, 18, 18); font-family: "Guardian Text
Egyptian Web", Georgia, serif; font-size: 17px; font-style:
normal; font-variant-ligatures: common-ligatures;
font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing:
normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2;
word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;
background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-style:
initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline
!important; float: none;">, and thus that we should probably start
listening to them and take action to address the existential
threat it poses.</span><br>
<span style="color: rgb(18, 18, 18); font-family: "Guardian
Text Egyptian Web", Georgia, serif; font-size: 17px;
font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: common-ligatures;
font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing:
normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2;
word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;
background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-style:
initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline
!important; float: none;">Hansen's predictions have thus become a
target of climate denier misinformation. It began way back in
1998, when the Cato Institute's<span> </span></span><a
href="https://skepticalscience.com/Patrick_Michaels_blog.htm"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: rgb(255, 255, 255); touch-action: manipulation;
color: rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none
!important; border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220);
transition: border-color 0.15s ease-out; font-family:
"Guardian Text Egyptian Web", Georgia, serif; font-size:
17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
common-ligatures; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start;
text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal;
widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;">Patrick
Michaels</a><span style="color: rgb(18, 18, 18); font-family:
"Guardian Text Egyptian Web", Georgia, serif; font-size:
17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
common-ligatures; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start;
text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal;
widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;
background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-style:
initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline
!important; float: none;"><span> </span>- who has admitted that
something like<span> </span></span><a
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2011/jan/25/michaels-climate-sceptic-misled-congress"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: rgb(255, 255, 255); touch-action: manipulation;
color: rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none
!important; border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220);
transition: border-color 0.15s ease-out; font-family:
"Guardian Text Egyptian Web", Georgia, serif; font-size:
17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
common-ligatures; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start;
text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal;
widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;">40%
of his salary comes from the fossil fuel industry</a><span
style="color: rgb(18, 18, 18); font-family: "Guardian Text
Egyptian Web", Georgia, serif; font-size: 17px; font-style:
normal; font-variant-ligatures: common-ligatures;
font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing:
normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2;
word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;
background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-style:
initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline
!important; float: none;"><span> </span>- arguably committed
perjury in testimony to Congress. Invited by Republicans to
testify as the<span> </span></span><a
href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyoto_Protocol"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: rgb(255, 255, 255); touch-action: manipulation;
color: rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none
!important; border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220);
transition: border-color 0.15s ease-out; font-family:
"Guardian Text Egyptian Web", Georgia, serif; font-size:
17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
common-ligatures; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start;
text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal;
widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;">Kyoto
Protocol</a><span style="color: rgb(18, 18, 18); font-family:
"Guardian Text Egyptian Web", Georgia, serif; font-size:
17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
common-ligatures; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start;
text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal;
widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;
background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-style:
initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline
!important; float: none;"><span> </span>climate agreement was in
the works, Michaels was asked to evaluate how Hansen's predictions
were faring 10 years later.<span> </span></span><br>
In his presentation,<span> </span><a
href="https://skepticalscience.com/patrick-michaels-serial-deleter-of-inconvenient-data.html"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: transparent; touch-action: manipulation; color:
rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none !important;
border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220); transition:
border-color 0.15s ease-out;">Michaels deleted Hansen's Scenarios
B and C</a><span> </span>- the ones closest to reality - and
only showed Scenario A to make it seem as though Hansen had
drastically over-predicted global warming.<span> </span><a
href="https://skepticalscience.com/patrick-michaels-serial-deleter-of-inconvenient-data.html"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: transparent; touch-action: manipulation; color:
rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none !important;
border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220); transition:
border-color 0.15s ease-out;">Deleting inconvenient data</a><span> </span>in
order to fool his audience became a habit for Patrick Michaels, who
quickly earned a reputation of dishonesty in the climate science
world, but has nevertheless remained a favorite of oil industry and
conservative media.<br>
Last week<span> </span><a
href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/thirty-years-on-how-well-do-global-warming-predictions-stand-up-1529623442"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: transparent; touch-action: manipulation; color:
rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none !important;
border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220); transition:
border-color 0.15s ease-out;">in the Wall Street Journal</a>,
Michaels was joined by Ryan Maue in an op-ed that again grossly
distorted Hansen's 1988 paper. Maue is a young scientist with a
contrarian streak who's published some serious research on
hurricanes, but since joining the Cato Institute last year, seems to
have sold off his remaining credibility to<span> </span><a
href="https://www.desmogblog.com/cato-institute"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: transparent; touch-action: manipulation; color:
rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none !important;
border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220); transition:
border-color 0.15s ease-out;">the fossil fuel industry</a>.<br>
<blockquote>In their WSJ opinion piece, Michaels and Maue claimed:<br>
Global surface temperature has not increased significantly since
2000, discounting the larger-than-usual El Nino of 2015-16.
Assessed by Mr. Hansen's model, surface temperatures are behaving
as if we had capped 18 years ago the carbon-dioxide emissions
responsible for the enhanced greenhouse effect.<br>
</blockquote>
<span style="color: rgb(18, 18, 18); font-family: "Guardian
Text Egyptian Web", Georgia, serif; font-size: 17px;
font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: common-ligatures;
font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing:
normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2;
word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;
background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-style:
initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline
!important; float: none;">They provided no evidence to support
this claim (</span><a
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2018/jun/11/the-wall-street-journal-keeps-peddling-big-oil-propaganda"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: rgb(255, 255, 255); touch-action: manipulation;
color: rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none
!important; border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220);
transition: border-color 0.15s ease-out; font-family:
"Guardian Text Egyptian Web", Georgia, serif; font-size:
17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
common-ligatures; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start;
text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal;
widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;">evidence
and facts seem not to be allowed on the WSJ Opinion page</a><span
style="color: rgb(18, 18, 18); font-family: "Guardian Text
Egyptian Web", Georgia, serif; font-size: 17px; font-style:
normal; font-variant-ligatures: common-ligatures;
font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing:
normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2;
word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;
background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-style:
initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline
!important; float: none;">), and it takes just 30 seconds to fact
check. In reality, global surface temperatures have increased by
about<span> </span></span><a
href="https://www.skepticalscience.com/trend.php"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: rgb(255, 255, 255); touch-action: manipulation;
color: rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none;
border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(199, 0, 0); transition:
border-color 0.15s ease-out; outline: 0px; border-top-color:
rgb(75, 198, 223); border-right-color: rgb(75, 198, 223);
border-left-color: rgb(75, 198, 223); font-family: "Guardian
Text Egyptian Web", Georgia, serif; font-size: 17px;
font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: common-ligatures;
font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing:
normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px;
text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2;
word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;">0.35C since
2000</a><span style="color: rgb(18, 18, 18); font-family:
"Guardian Text Egyptian Web", Georgia, serif; font-size:
17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
common-ligatures; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start;
text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal;
widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;
background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-style:
initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline
!important; float: none;"><span> </span>- precisely in line
with Hansen's 1988 model projections, as shown above. And it's
unscientific to simply "discount" the El Nino of 2015-16, because
between the years 1999 and 2014,<span> </span></span><a
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: rgb(255, 255, 255); touch-action: manipulation;
color: rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none
!important; border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220);
transition: border-color 0.15s ease-out; font-family:
"Guardian Text Egyptian Web", Georgia, serif; font-size:
17px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures:
common-ligatures; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400;
letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start;
text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal;
widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;">seven
were cooled by La Nina events</a><span style="color: rgb(18, 18,
18); font-family: "Guardian Text Egyptian Web", Georgia,
serif; font-size: 17px; font-style: normal;
font-variant-ligatures: common-ligatures; font-variant-caps:
normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2;
text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none;
white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px;
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255,
255); text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color:
initial; display: inline !important; float: none;"><span> </span>while
just four experienced an El Nino warming. Yet despite the
preponderance of La Nina events, global surface temperatures still
warmed 0.15C during that time. There's simply not an ounce of
truth to Michaels' and Maue's central WSJ claim.</span><br>
<br>
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It's also worth noting that Hansen's 1988 paper<span> </span><a
href="https://www.skepticalscience.com/Hansen-1988-prediction-advanced.htm"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: transparent; touch-action: manipulation; color:
rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none !important;
border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220); transition:
border-color 0.15s ease-out;">accurately predicted the geographic
pattern of global warming</a>, with the Arctic region warming
fastest and more warming over land masses than the oceans. And
climate deniers in the 1980s like Richard Lindzen<span> </span><a
href="https://www.skepticalscience.com/lindzen-illusion-2-lindzen-vs-hansen-1980s.html"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: transparent; touch-action: manipulation; color:
rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none !important;
border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220); transition:
border-color 0.15s ease-out;">were predicting</a><span> </span>"that
the likelihood over the next century of greenhouse warming reaching
magnitudes comparable to natural variability seems small." If anyone
deserves criticism for inaccurate climate predictions, it's deniers
like Lindzen who thought there wouldn't be any significant warming,
when in reality we've seen the dramatic global warming that James
Hansen predicted.<br>
Michaels' and Maue's misinformation didn't stop there:<br>
<blockquote>Why should people world-wide pay drastic costs to cut
emissions when the global temperature is acting as if those cuts
have already been mad<br>
</blockquote>
Michaels and Maue don't want us to cut carbon pollution, and it's
easy to understand why. They work for the Cato Institute, which<span> </span><a
href="https://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/06/25/cato-institute-and-koch-brothers-reach-agreement/"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: transparent; touch-action: manipulation; color:
rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none;
border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(199, 0, 0); transition:
border-color 0.15s ease-out; outline: 0px; border-top-color:
rgb(75, 198, 223); border-right-color: rgb(75, 198, 223);
border-left-color: rgb(75, 198, 223);">was co-founded by and is
heavily controlled by the Koch brothers</a>, who have donated more
than $30 million to Cato.<span> </span><a
href="https://thinkprogress.org/catos-pat-michaels-admits-40-percent-of-funding-comes-from-big-oil-9db8d728a494/"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: transparent; touch-action: manipulation; color:
rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none !important;
border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220); transition:
border-color 0.15s ease-out;">As Michaels admitted</a>, they're
basically fossil fuel industry employees.<br>
But the answers to their question are simple. As climate scientists
have predicted for decades, global temperatures are rising
dangerously rapidly. Moreover, research has shown that<span> </span><a
href="https://thebulletin.org/benefits-curbing-climate-change-far-outweigh-costs11894"
data-link-name="in body link" class="u-underline"
style="background: transparent; touch-action: manipulation; color:
rgb(136, 1, 5); cursor: pointer; text-decoration: none !important;
border-bottom: 0.0625rem solid rgb(220, 220, 220); transition:
border-color 0.15s ease-out;">the economic benefits of cutting
carbon pollution far outweigh the costs</a>.<br>
Michaels and Maue want us to bet the future of all life on Earth.
They want us to put all our chips on black - a bet that burning
billions of barrels of oil and billions of tons of coal every year
won't cause dangerous climate change. They want us to make that bet
even though their arguments are based on unsupported lies, whilst
they cash paychecks from the Koch brothers.<br>
We would have to be incredible suckers to take their bet.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2018/jun/25/30-years-later-deniers-are-still-lying-about-hansens-amazing-global-warming-prediction">https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2018/jun/25/30-years-later-deniers-are-still-lying-about-hansens-amazing-global-warming-prediction</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Legal future]<br>
<b><a
href="https://robertscribbler.com/2018/06/29/amidst-supreme-court-nightmare-we-should-recognize-that-the-road-toward-climate-justice-will-be-long-and-arduous/">Amidst
Supreme Court Nightmare, We Should Recognize that the Road
Toward Climate Justice Will Be Long and Arduous</a></b><br>
<blockquote> "There is a nation, which in all its strength and
virtue is in the grips of a group of ruthless men, preaching a
gospel of intolerance and racial pride - unrestrained by law, by
parliament, or by public opinion…" - Winston Churchill, 1934<br>
</blockquote>
Let us pray that we do not become such a nation. That we retain the
resolve to resist authoritarianism, bigotry, and oppression of the
weak, the helpless, minorities, women, and those in dire need of our
aid. That we hold fast the will to keep fighting for a world capable
of supporting the rich array of life that gives us life in turn...<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://robertscribbler.com/2018/06/29/amidst-supreme-court-nightmare-we-should-recognize-that-the-road-toward-climate-justice-will-be-long-and-arduous/">https://robertscribbler.com/2018/06/29/amidst-supreme-court-nightmare-we-should-recognize-that-the-road-toward-climate-justice-will-be-long-and-arduous/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[youth activism set for July 21st]<br>
<b><a href="http://thisiszerohour.org/">We are the ones we've been
waiting for.</a></b><br>
The mission of the Zero Hour movement is to center the voices of
diverse youth in the conversation around climate and environmental
justice. Zero Hour is a youth-led movement creating entry points,
training, and resources for new young activists and organizers (and
adults who support our vision) wanting to take concrete action
around climate change. Together, we are a movement of unstoppable
youth organizing to protect our rights and access to the natural
resources and a clean, safe, and healthy environment that will
ensure a livable future where we not just survive, but flourish.<br>
March with us July 21, 2018.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://thisiszerohour.org/">http://thisiszerohour.org/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<font size="+1"><b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.nytimes.com/2002/06/30/opinion/unhealthy-air.html">This
Day in Climate History - June 30, 2002</a> - from D.R. Tucker</b></font><br>
June 30, 2002: Republican-turned-Independent Senator Jim Jeffords of
Vermont calls out President George W. Bush in a New York Times piece
for his administration's reckless disregard of climate science.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.nytimes.com/2002/06/30/opinion/unhealthy-air.html">http://www.nytimes.com/2002/06/30/opinion/unhealthy-air.html</a>
</font><br>
<br>
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