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<font size="+1"><i>July 12, 2018</i></font><br>
<br>
[AccuWeather video]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/as-blazes-rage-on-worst-fire-weather-of-season-is-ahead-for-california-and-much-of-western-us/70005453">As
blazes rage on, worst fire weather of season is ahead for
California and much of western US</a></b><br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/as-blazes-rage-on-worst-fire-weather-of-season-is-ahead-for-california-and-much-of-western-us/70005453">https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/as-blazes-rage-on-worst-fire-weather-of-season-is-ahead-for-california-and-much-of-western-us/70005453</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Kids at the bar]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.climateliabilitynews.org/2018/07/11/kids-climate-case-trump/">Court
Will Hear Administration Plea to Release Trump from Kids Climate
Suit</a></b><br>
By Karen Savage<br>
A federal judge will hear oral arguments next Wednesday on a motion
by the federal government seeking to dismiss President Trump from
the landmark climate suit filed by 21 young people from across the
country.<br>
The Trump administration also contends that the case should proceed
under the Administrative Procedures Act and not under federal common
law. The APA provides procedures for judicial review if someone
claims injury from the actions of a federal agency. This motion, the
plaintiffs say, has already been rejected by the court.<br>
Oral arguments - the first in the case since September 2016 - will
be heard on Wednesday by U.S. District Judge Ann Aiken in Eugene,
Ore. The motion was filed in May by Justice Department attorneys.<br>
The case - Juliana v. United States - was originally filed in August
2015 by 21 young plaintiffs who allege that by encouraging and
promoting fossil fuel development, the federal government is
contributing to climate change, is violating the public trust
doctrine and is denying their constitutional rights to life, liberty
and property.<br>
It is the first case in which a U.S. court has recognized the
constitutional right to a safe climate and is currently scheduled
for trial Oct. 29 in Aiken's court in Eugene.<br>
The Trump administration has made several attempts to dismiss the
case and thwart discovery, all to no avail. In its latest filing -
a second petition for writ of mandamus, an extraordinary appeal
rarely granted before the outcome of a case - the federal government
said it will appeal to the Supreme Court if the request is not
granted.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.climateliabilitynews.org/2018/07/11/kids-climate-case-trump/">https://www.climateliabilitynews.org/2018/07/11/kids-climate-case-trump/</a><br>
- - -<br>
[fundamental arguments]<br>
<b><a
href="https://insideclimatenews.org/news/11072018/joseph-stiglitz-kids-climate-change-lawsuit-global-warming-costs-economic-impact">Nobel-Winning
Economist to Testify in Children's Climate Lawsuit</a></b><br>
Joseph Stiglitz writes in a court brief that fossil fuel-based
economies impose 'incalculable' costs on society and shifting to
clean energy will pay off.<br>
By Georgina Gustin<br>
One of the world's top economists has written an expert court report
that forcefully supports a group of children and young adults who
have sued the federal government for failing to act on climate
change.<br>
Joseph Stiglitz, who was awarded the Nobel Memorial Prize for
economics in 2001 and has written extensively about environmental
economics and climate change, makes an economic case that the costs
of maintaining a fossil fuel-based economy are "incalculable," while
transitioning to a lower-carbon system will cost far less.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://insideclimatenews.org/news/11072018/joseph-stiglitz-kids-climate-change-lawsuit-global-warming-costs-economic-impact">https://insideclimatenews.org/news/11072018/joseph-stiglitz-kids-climate-change-lawsuit-global-warming-costs-economic-impact</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Washington State wildfire TV report]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://komonews.com/news/local/strong-winds-complicate-battle-against-multiple-brush-fires-in-central-washington">Strong
winds complicate battle against multiple brush fires in Central
Washington</a></b><br>
CENTRAL WASHINGTON - Two communities are on guard after a second
wildfire forced people to drop everything and leave their homes in
Central Washington on Tuesday evening.<br>
A fast-moving fire broke out near Quincy, less than 24 hours after
another fire forced the entire town of Vantage to evacuate.<br>
The windy conditions have kept fire fighters busy all day, leaving
families who had to be evacuated from Mansfield Road worried about
the fire season starting early...<br>
- - - -<br>
As the wind-fueled flames moved swiftly across the hillside, fire
fighters fought back from the air, dumping water on the smoldering
grass and shrubs....<br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://komonews.com/news/local/strong-winds-complicate-battle-against-multiple-brush-fires-in-central-washington"><font
size="-1">http://komonews.com/news/local/seattles-first-tiny-house-village-for-women-to-open-on-wednesday</font></a><br>
<br>
<br>
[Tampa Bay Times]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.tampabay.com/news/environment/Florida-s-summertime-slime-fueled-by-climate-change-as-well-as-pollution_169758168"
style="">Florida's summertime slime fueled by climate change as
well as pollution</a></b><br>
Florida is awash in toxic algae right now.<br>
Blue-green algae covers 90 percent of Lake Okeechobee. It's now
grown thick in the canals connecting the lake to the St. Lucie River
on the east coast, as well as in the Caloosahatchee River near Fort
Myers on the west coast.<br>
Meanwhile a long-running Red Tide algae bloom on the state's west
coast has been killing sea turtles and manatees in the Boca Grande
area, according to river advocates and fishing captains. Fishkills
and respiratory complaints have been pouring into the state wildlife
commission from four counties.<br>
Both algae blooms are wrecking the coastal economy in the areas
they're afflicting. And both are fueled by climate change as warmer
water temperatures boost the likelihood of blooms.<br>
"With higher average temperatures every summer ... it's just scary,
" said Mike Connor, a Stuart charter fishing guide who also writes
for Florida Sportsman magazine. "It's becoming the new normal."...<br>
- - - - -<br>
Algae blooms, particularly Red Tide, have been documented as
occurring along Florida's shoreline dating back to the days of the
Spanish conquistadors. But in Florida and around the nation, blooms
are now occurring more frequently and are lasting longer.<br>
The state's Red Tide bloom now stretches from Sarasota County's
beaches all the way down to the ones in Collier County, and it began
back in November, according to Florida Fish and Wildlife Research
scientist Kate Hubbard. (So far there is no sign it will migrate
north to Tampa Bay.)...<br>
- - - - -<br>
Harmful algae tend to bloom during warmer months. As climate change
turns up the heat around the globe, more months become warmer.
Climate change also tends to produce more rain, which can wash more
nutrient pollution into waterways and further fuel a bloom...<br>
This past May ranked as the warmest May ever recorded in the United
States, although the land temperatures in Florida "weren't
remarkable at all," said state climatologist David Zierden of
Florida State University. The water temperatures, though, are
running about 1 degree warmer than usual, and May saw record
rainfall hit the state.<br>
-- - - - <br>
Cassani said that people in Southwest Florida affected by the algae
blooms used to shy away from discussing them for fear of driving
away tourists, anglers and potential real estate buyers. But this
one, he said, is so bad that they're talking about it - and
discussing the role played by climate change.<br>
"You know we're almost in shock down here," he said, noting that the
Red Tide bloom near Boca Grande has turned the waters into what he
called "a killing zone."<br>
According to Karl Havens, director of the Florida Sea Grant program,
it could get even worse if the saltwater Red Tide just offshore
collides with the freshwater blue-green algae in the river. The
blue-green algae cells could "burst open," he wrote, "since they
cannot tolerate salt water," which would release the nutrients
fueling that bloom, making the Red Tide bloom grow even more....<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.tampabay.com/news/environment/Florida-s-summertime-slime-fueled-by-climate-change-as-well-as-pollution_169758168">http://www.tampabay.com/news/environment/Florida-s-summertime-slime-fueled-by-climate-change-as-well-as-pollution_169758168</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Activism now]<br>
<a href="https://tamino.wordpress.com/2018/07/11/zero-hour/">Zero
Hour July 21st</a><br>
Tamino - <br>
We talk about climate change, about how necessary it is to do
something about it. That's important, and I commend all of us who
do.<br>
But there's a group of kids who are going to march on Washington to
press the issue. They need our help. Anything you can do will go a
lot further than you might expect.<br>
Because this is zero hour. They need our help. Let's not fail them.<br>
One thing you can do is publicize. If you have a blog, post about
it. If you're on twitter, tweet about it. I suggest the hashtag
“#zerohour”<br>
Don't just do it today. That will make people think “good for 'em!”
Then they'll forget. Tweet about it every day. The march is set for
July 21st, so tweet about it at least 10 times - at least once every
day. Get your twitter friends to do the same. Let everyone know that
this is important, and that the kids need our help.<br>
They are shouldering the burden of taking to the streets. We can
make it easier for them, we can make them more successful, we can
get them the notice they need, the notice we all need.<br>
Now is not the time to sit back on your hands. Now is the time to
push this like there's no tomorrow. Because this is zero hour.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://tamino.wordpress.com/2018/07/11/zero-hour/">https://tamino.wordpress.com/2018/07/11/zero-hour/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Past is prologue]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://climatenewsnetwork.net/past-warming-shows-2c-brink-may-be-close/">Past
warming shows 2°C brink may be close</a></b><br>
July 10, 2018, by Tim Radford<br>
Once again, past warming warns of the power of climate change. The
surprise is that it doesn't take much warming to raise sea levels
six metres.<br>
<br>
LONDON, 10 July, 2018 – Even if the world's nations keep their
promise to contain global warming to within 2°C, past warming shows
that the Earth will still change visibly – and perhaps sooner than
science currently expects.<br>
Sea levels could rise by six metres. Large tracts of the polar ice
caps could collapse. The Sahara could become green. The edges of
what are now tropical forests could turn into savannah, to be seared
and maintained by regular outbreaks of fire. The northern forests
could move 200 km nearer the north pole and, ahead of them, the
tundra.<br>
That is what will happen, if the past is a sure guide to the
present. A 2°C rise in temperature is the maximum agreed by 195
nations when they met in Paris in 2015, a promise that can be
maintained only by reducing carbon dioxide emissions, chiefly by
switching rapidly from fossil fuels to renewable sources such as
solar and wind power.<br>
Three times in the last 3.5 million years, the planetary thermometer
has risen, to up to 2°C higher than those temperatures humans
enjoyed for most of the last 2,000 years. And three times the global
climate has changed in response.<br>
What is less certain is the rate of change: a six metre rise in sea
levels fuelled by the thermal expansion of the oceans and the loss
of the world's glaciers, and the retreat of the Greenland and
Antarctic ice caps, could take thousands of years. But once such
changes began it would be very difficult to halt or reverse them.<br>
“The carbon budget to avoid 2°C warming may be far smaller than
estimated, leaving very little margin of error”<br>
All geology is based on an axiom that the present is the key to the
past: landscape around us tells a story of the conditions under
which the rocks were formed. It follows that the past should also
foretell the possibilities of the future, and researchers from 17
nations report in the journal Nature Geoscience that they looked
again at three recent intervals when the world was warmer.<br>
One of these began at the close of the Ice Age, 9000 to 5000 years
ago; one between the last two ice ages 129,000 to 116,000 years ago;
and one from a warm period known as the mid-Pliocene 3.3 to 3
million years ago. The first two were responses to very subtle but
predictable shifts in the planet's orbit.<br>
But the oldest of these warmings was driven by an increase of carbon
dioxide in the atmosphere to between 350 and 450 parts per million.
These are levels that match those of today, as a consequence of 200
years of fossil fuel exploitation.<br>
The research raises questions about the completeness of the climate
models now used by scientists to predict future change.<br>
<b>Slow to act</b><br>
As ice retreats and vegetation cover changes, so does the traffic in
carbon between living things and the rocks, ocean and atmosphere.
And the catch – for climate modellers – is that although the world's
nations promised to act, action so far has been slow. Fossil fuel is
still “business as usual”. And this inevitably will play into the
calculations in unpredictable ways.<br>
“While climate model predictions seem to be trustworthy when
considering relatively small changes over the next decades, it is
worrisome that these models likely underestimate climate change
under higher emission scenarios, such as a 'business as usual'
scenario, and especially over longer time scales,” said one of the
scientists, Katrin Meissner, of the University of New South Wales,
in Australia.<br>
And Hubertus Fischer, of the University of Bern, in Switzerland, who
led the study, said: “Observations of past warming periods suggest
that a number of amplifying mechanisms, which are poorly represented
in climate models, increase long-term warming beyond climate model
projections.<br>
“This suggests the carbon budget to avoid 2°C warming may be far
smaller than estimated, leaving very little margin of error to meet
the Paris targets.” – Climate News Network<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://climatenewsnetwork.net/past-warming-shows-2c-brink-may-be-close/">https://climatenewsnetwork.net/past-warming-shows-2c-brink-may-be-close/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[A unique lake]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Science/A-Japanese-lakebed-gives-scientists-a-perfect-climate-record">A
Japanese lakebed gives scientists a perfect climate record</a></b><br>
Sediment samples shed light on conditions 180,000 years in the past<br>
YUTAKA IKEBE, Nikkei staff writer<br>
May 18, 2017 10:00 JST<br>
The varves of Lake Suigetsu are an extremely precise timescale and
were adopted in 2012 as the international standard for dating
geological and archeological phenomena up to 50,000 years in the
past.<br>
<b>What makes Lake Suigetsu unique is its special combination of
topographic features.</b><br>
Most lakes are subject to an erratic inflow of soil and sediment
from rivers, so the layers do not accumulate in an orderly fashion.
But in the Mikata-goko drainage basin, all this sediment is
deposited in Lake Mikata, which is upstream of Lake Suigetsu. The
bottom of Lake Suigetsu, meanwhile, has no oxygen, so there is no
life to stir up the bottom and disturb the varves. What's more, the
lake is ringed by mountains that block the wind and prevent the
formation of waves. Finally, the lake has slowly and continually
subsided over time due to the effect of surrounding faults. This
means the lake has never become completely filled with sediment,
allowing varves to continue piling up.<br>
- - - - -<br>
"This is a rare combination of conditions for a lake anywhere in the
world," explained Takeshi Nakagawa, director of the Research Centre
for Palaeoclimatology at Ritsumeikan University and leader of the
group that collected the varve samples from the lake.<br>
Gordon Schlolaut from Jamstec determined that Lake Suigetsu
experienced a frigid climate roughly 12,000 years ago. Schlolaut
came to this conclusion by analyzing pollen and other organic matter
in the varves and calculating how their ratios changed from layer to
layer due to the influence of changes in the climate.<br>
Scientists already knew from records of vegetation and other
evidence that Europe was experiencing a temperate climate at that
time. Because the cold climate around Lake Suigetsu has been dated
with a margin of error of around 50 years, Schlolaut says, it is
fair to say that the two climates were happening at basically the
same time....<br>
- - - - -<br>
Paleoclimatology has shown that changes to the Earth's climate have
occurred repeatedly, in patterns with periodicities ranging from
roughly a thousand years to hundreds of thousands of years.
Analytical methods have advanced to such a degree that it is now
possible to estimate climate conditions with a precision measured in
years. Combining this with computer modeling may improve the
accuracy of predictions regarding future climate change...<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Science/A-Japanese-lakebed-gives-scientists-a-perfect-climate-record">https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Science/A-Japanese-lakebed-gives-scientists-a-perfect-climate-record</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[drama]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://psmag.com/environment/chantal-bilodeau-bringing-climate-change-to-the-theater">CHANTAL
BILODEAU BRINGS CLIMATE CHANGE TO THE THEATER</a></b><br>
Through a cycle of eight plays, the Canadian playwright explores the
inner lives of the Arctic's inhabitants during a time of dramatic
change.<br>
Playwright Chantal Bilodeau first visited the Arctic in 2007. She
had not thought much about climate change in the past, but seeing
Alaska's melting glaciers firsthand and hearing stories of forced
migration propelled the crisis to the top of her mind. She decided
to write a play about the high north, its people, and the challenges
they're facing.<br>
Bilodeau, a Canadian, has lived in New York since 2002, and knew
she'd have to research the play carefully. Much of her inspiration
for the play arose from a three-week trip she subsequently made to
Baffin Island, Nunavut, where she spoke to and interviewed local
people about their experiences and traditions. In addition, she
spoke to coastguards and climate scientists, including NASA's Gavin
Schmidt.<br>
Sila, set on the island, is the result. The play's characters
include an Inuk climate change activist, a scientist, a coast guard,
a poet, a goddess, and two polar bears. It deals with themes such as
melting sea ice, climate activism, and teenage suicide. But rather
than satisfying her urge to write about climate change, Bilodeau
found that Sila deepened her curiosity about the environmental
transformations taking place in the high north.<br>
"I learned so many interesting things and I thought there was so
much to explore that I decided I wanted to write more than one
play," Bilodeau says. She resolved that a series of eight plays,
each located in one of the eight member states of the Arctic
Council, would afford her the space she needed to dramatize the
challenges of the Arctic in the 21st century.<br>
Following Sila, Bilodeau wrote Forward, a play set in Norway about
the polar explorations of Fridtjof Nansen, and is currently working
on another piece set in Alaska. That leaves her with Iceland,
Russia, Finland, Sweden, and Denmark. Together, the plays are called
The Arctic Cycle. So far, Sila has been staged at the University of
New Hampshire, the University of Oregon, and the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology, and by Cyrano's Theatre Company in
Anchorage, Alaska. Forward was performed at Kansas State University
in 2016.<br>
Bilodeau's Alaska play will deal with the themes of human and animal
migration in the face of environmental change, though she's unsure
exactly how the series will pan out, since her work is guided by the
extensive field trips she makes in each country.<br>
Bilodeau initially traveled to Baffin Island planning to write about
the opening of the Northwest Passage. But when she arrived, she
found her most compelling material in the day-to-day concerns of
those in the region, and how these concerns contradict and overlap
with one another. For instance, the play deals with a climate
activist who, in fighting for her grandson's future, ignores the
causes of present-day unhappiness within her family. There's also a
dedicated climate scientist who weighs the promise of industry money
that will enable him to conduct his research against the damage that
industrial developments could cause in the Arctic Ocean. "It was the
complexity of the issue I decided I wanted to capture," Bilodeau
says.<br>
Including indigenous people in her research was particularly
important. It was unthinkable not to include them in the play,
Bilodeau says, but doing so also meant striking a careful balance:
incorporating their knowledge and stories without appearing to
appropriate them. As an outsider, Bilodeau was aware that she would
have to tread carefully to ensure that her Inuit sources didn't feel
that she was simply using and exoticizing their stories for the
entertainment of mainstream American audiences.<br>
Conversations in the play are peppered with words in the Inuktitut
language; "sila" itself is the word for "the breath that circulates
into every living thing." The plot hinges on the anger of Nuliajuk,
the wild-haired Inuit goddess of the ocean and underworld, whose
rage comes to stand in for the indiscriminate destruction that we
invite when we disturb the natural world.<br>
In one scene, finding themselves drifting to sea on an ice floe, an
innocent polar bear cub asks her mother: "Who broke the ice, Anaana?
... Was it the human who tried to kill us? He didn't look very
dangerous. I bet I could kill him with one swipe of the paw." Her
mother, more aware of the danger, responds: "The ice broke because
Nuliajuk is angry. And Nuliajuk is angry because humans have angered
her."<br>
Climate change doesn't necessarily lend itself easily to art. In his
non-fiction book The Great Derangement: Climate Change and the
Unthinkable, Indian novelist Amitav Ghosh suggests that the modern
novel is ill-equipped to deal with the subject. "The mere mention of
the subject," he writes, "is often enough to relegate a novel or a
short story to the genre of science fiction."<br>
Plays about climate change are dismissed as "issue-based" or
"political" theater, Bilodeau says, subgenres that tend to be
regarded as less artistically serious. But Bilodeau has embraced the
label of "climate" playwright, hoping that, as audiences become more
familiar with the idiom, they'll come to have respect for it. Some
plays address climate change in all but name: Wallace Shawn's
Grasses of a Thousand Colors or Caryl Churchill's Far Away, for
instance, both deal with themes of ecological destruction. More
recently, The Handmaid's Tale has brought themes of environmental
apocalypse onto television, even if the show is coy about the causes
of the crisis.<br>
Sterling Matthew Oliver, Sam Massey, and Jacob Edelman-Dolan in the
2016 Kansas State University production of Forward, directed by
Jennifer Vellenga.<br>
These developments can help critics take such drama seriously,
Bilodeau says, and given that she's dedicated her last decade to the
topic of climate change, she plans to keep facing it head-on.<br>
- - - -<br>
"It's like women's theater," she says. "It used to be very separate,
so there was women's theater and then there was theater, but the
more women wrote plays, and the more writers write plays about
climate change, the less it's going to be a niche category, and it
will become part of the mainstream."<br>
Then there's the difficulty of translating science and policy into
something that people want to spend their Friday nights watching.
Climate change can be an abstract topic, but for Bilodeau, theater
offers an opportunity to dramatize the human reaction to this
insidious threat.<br>
"Because it's theater, it's always about bodies on stage, so all of
this information has to be translated into human stories; it has to
be translated into relationships. You're watching how human beings
are navigating that problem, rather than just explaining what the
science is," she says. "In Sila in particular, it's stories that
people have told me. Some of the characters are a combination of
different people I've met, some are a mixture of fact and fiction.
These plays are fact-based, but they're fictional."<br>
In directing audiences away from the data and toward human stories,
Bilodeau hopes to influence people to think differently about
climate change, maybe to live a little more sustainably, or simply
to feel more empowered to confront the problem.<br>
New Landscapes is a regular series investigating how environmental
policies are affecting communities across America.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://psmag.com/environment/chantal-bilodeau-bringing-climate-change-to-the-theater">https://psmag.com/environment/chantal-bilodeau-bringing-climate-change-to-the-theater</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<font size="+1"><b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2013/07/11/climate-change-energy-disruptions/2508789/">This
Day in Climate History - July 12, 2013</a> - from D.R. Tucker</b></font><br>
July 12, 2013: USA Today reports:<br>
<blockquote>"U.S. energy supplies will likely face more severe
disruptions because of climate change and extreme weather, which
have already caused blackouts and lowered production at power
plants, a government report warned Thursday.<br>
<br>
"What's driving these vulnerabilities? Rising temperatures, up 1.5
degrees Fahrenheit in the last century, and the resulting sea
level rise, which are accompanied by drought, heat waves, storms
and wildfires, according to the U.S. Department of Energy."<br>
</blockquote>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2013/07/11/climate-change-energy-disruptions/2508789/">http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2013/07/11/climate-change-energy-disruptions/2508789/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
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