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<font size="+1"><i>August 1, 2018</i></font><br>
<br>
[photos] <br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://weather.com/safety/wildfires/news/2018-08-01-carr-fire-california-photos">California's
Deadly Carr Fire is So Large, It Has Created Its Own Weather
System (PHOTOS)</a></b><br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://weather.com/safety/wildfires/news/2018-08-01-carr-fire-california-photos">https://weather.com/safety/wildfires/news/2018-08-01-carr-fire-california-photos</a></font><br>
- - - -<br>
[Carr fire from a helicopter, aerial video shot during daylight
hours ]<br>
<b><a
href="https://www.facebook.com/ActiveNorcal/videos/1727964197241435/">A
view of the massive Carr Fire "Firenado" from the sky</a></b><br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.facebook.com/ActiveNorcal/videos/1727964197241435/">https://www.facebook.com/ActiveNorcal/videos/1727964197241435/</a></font><br>
- - - -<br>
[new lexicon: firenado or firewhirl]<br>
<b><a
href="https://weather.com/news/trending/video/what-is-a-firenado">What
is a Firenado?? | The Weather Channel</a></b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://weather.com/news/trending/video/what-is-a-firenado">https://weather.com/news/trending/video/what-is-a-firenado</a><br>
- - -- video - - <br>
<b><a
href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/firenado-california-wildfire-phenomenon-seen-amid-chaos-fire-vortex/">"Firenado"
seen in California wildfire is a scientific phenomenon</a></b><br>
"Firetornadoes" are a real phenomenon. Intense fires can whip up
towering spirals.<br>
"You've got a lot of heat being generated right now around this Carr
Fire and it's all from the fire itself, but there's a second
source," said Lonnie Quinn, chief weathercaster for CBS New York. <br>
The ambient air temperature in the area was close to 110 degrees,
"so that air is super fast rising into the atmosphere," Quinn said.
<br>
"You need to think of this as the air being a solid, and if you're
taking a chunk of that air, superheating it and rising into the air,
it's leaving a void below it," he said.<br>
As more and more air gets pulled in, it begins to rotate. The more
air that gets pulled in, the faster the air swirls and the taller it
gets.<br>
"Firenados" also pick up burning embers, ash and flammable debris
and extend hundreds or thousands of feet in the air. Those embers
can then spread out, jumping fire lines and creating new fires away
from the center. <br>
A typical "firenado" is only a few feet wide and 100 feet tall but
can easily grow up to 10 times that size and have winds up to 100
miles per hour.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/firenado-california-wildfire-phenomenon-seen-amid-chaos-fire-vortex/">https://www.cbsnews.com/news/firenado-california-wildfire-phenomenon-seen-amid-chaos-fire-vortex/</a></font><br>
- - - - -<br>
[shock but no surprise]<br>
<b><a
href="https://www.commondreams.org/news/2018/07/31/climate-changein-real-time-californias-frightening-fires-are-nightmare-scientists">'Climate
Change...In Real Time': California's Frightening Fires Are the
Nightmare Scientists Long Predicted</a></b><br>
Wildfires ravaging the state have "spawned bizarre pyrotechnics,
from firenados to towering pyrocumulus clouds that evoke a nuclear
detonation."<br>
by Jessica Corbett, staff writer<br>
Many argue that in addition to improving wildfire management and
emergency response tactics, preparing for the future means ramping
up efforts to dramatically slash greenhouse gas emissions to limit
global warming.<br>
In a letter to California Gov. Jerry Brown-a Democrat known for
taking bold climate action but also, in some cases, not going far
enough-five Nobel Peace Laureates acknowledged the "devastating"
fires and called for the state "to become the first major fossil
fuel producer to begin a managed and just transition off oil and gas
production, in turn protecting the climate, citizens on the front
lines of extraction, and setting a new direction for global climate
action."<br>
"As climate change creates its own weather," Oil Change
International's Andy Rowell wrote Monday, "how many more people have
to die, how many of our children do we have to bury, or how many
brave firefighters put their lives in danger, before society acts
decisively?"<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.commondreams.org/news/2018/07/31/climate-changein-real-time-californias-frightening-fires-are-nightmare-scientists">https://www.commondreams.org/news/2018/07/31/climate-changein-real-time-californias-frightening-fires-are-nightmare-scientists</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[WBUR Audio]<br>
<b><a
href="http://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2018/07/26/extreme-heat-wave-sweeps-the-globe">Extreme
Heat Wave Sweeps The Globe</a></b><br>
With Jane Clayson - July 26, 2018 - 47mins <br>
A dangerous and deadly heat wave grips the globe. We'll look at
where and why it's happening.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2018/07/26/extreme-heat-wave-sweeps-the-globe">http://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2018/07/26/extreme-heat-wave-sweeps-the-globe</a></font><br>
- - -<br>
[From above: excerpts 27 min YouTube]<br>
<b><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ySVh2CBQKFA">PODCAST
Experts Discuss the ongoing Global Heat</a></b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ySVh2CBQKFA">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ySVh2CBQKFA</a><br>
<br>
<br>
[Summary 2017 for all weather forecasters] <br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american%20-meteorological-society-bams/state-of-the-climate/">State
of the Climate - American Meteorological Society</a></b> <br>
Download the international, peer-reviewed publication released each
summer, the State of ... of the global climate published as a
supplement to the Bulletin of the American:<br>
The report and other material will be available online at <b> </b><b><a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/state-of-the-climate/offsite">https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/state-of-the-climate/offsite</a></b><br>
The report, compiled by NOAA's Center for Weather and Climate at the
National Centers for Environmental Information is based on
contributions from scientists from around the world. It provides a
detailed update on global climate indicators, notable weather
events, and other data collected by environmental monitoring
stations and instruments located on land, water, ice, and in space.<br>
[524 authors from 65 countries; 19 editors on 3 continents]<br>
<b>State of the Climate in 2017</b><br>
This is the 28th issuance of the annual assessment now known as
State of the Climate, published in the Bulletin since 1996. As a
supplement to the Bulletin, its foremost function is to document the
status and trajectory of many components of the climate system.
However, as a series, the report also documents the status and
trajectory of our capacity and commitment to observe the climate
system.<font size="-1"><br>
</font><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.ametsoc.net/sotc2017/SoC2017_ExecSumm.pdf">Executive
Summary PDF </a><font size="-1"><a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.ametsoc.net/sotc2017/SoC2017_ExecSumm.pdf">https://www.ametsoc.net/sotc2017/SoC2017_ExecSumm.pdf</a><br>
</font><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.ametsoc.org/index.cfm/ams/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/state-of-the-climate/state-of-the-climate-in-2017/state-of-the-climate-2017-media-call-slides/">Media
Call Slides</a>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.ametsoc.org/index.cfm/ams/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/state-of-the-climate/state-of-the-climate-in-2017/state-of-the-climate-2017-media-call-slides/">https://www.ametsoc.org/index.cfm/ams/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/state-of-the-climate/state-of-the-climate-in-2017/state-of-the-climate-2017-media-call-slides/</a><br>
- -<br>
<b>La Nina</b><br>
The state of ENSO provides important context throughout the report
at several scales<br>
2017 ended in weak La Nina conditions<br>
- <b><br>
</b><b>Greenhouse Gases</b><br>
Global averages of longlived greenhouse gases (GHGs) in 2017<br>
- <b>Carbon dioxide (CO2)</b>: 405.0 ppm, an increase of 2.2 ppm
from 2016<br>
- <b>Methane (CH4):</b> 1849.7 ppb, a 6.9 ppb increase since 2016<br>
- <b>Nitrous oxide (N2O):</b> 329.8ppb, a 0.9 ppb increase since
2016<br>
Total GHG “forcing” has increased 41% since 1990<br>
-<br>
<b>Globally Averaged Surface Temperature</b><br>
2nd warmest (one dataset) or 3rd warmest (three datasets) onrecord<br>
- Largely supported by reanalyses (2nd warmest)<br>
Approx. 0.38 to 0.48degreeC warmer than the 1981-2010 average<br>
Warmest non-El Nino year on record<br>
2014, 2015, 2016, 2017 are the four warmest years on record<br>
<b>General trends indicate increasing water vapor and slightly
decreasing relative humidity</b><br>
- -<br>
<b>One recurring theme: extreme precipitation<br>
</b>In addition to documenting extreme events on every inhabited
continent, sidebars focused on methods to characterize extreme
precipitation.<b><br>
</b>- -<br>
<b>Tropical Cyclones</b><br>
85 named storms globally - Slightly above average of 82<br>
North Atlantic Basin Accumulated Cyclone Energy index roughly 2.4
times its median value<br>
Three catastrophic major hurricanes: Harvey, Irma, Maria<br>
Other basins near or below normal<br>
<font size="-1">- -<br>
</font><b>Global Sea Surface Temperature Warm in 2017</b><br>
Global SST in 2017 cooled by 0.04degreeC relative to 2016 record
high<br>
Difference between 2017 and 2016 is within yearly confidence limits
of ±0.06degreeC<br>
Small drop probably related to tropical Pacific cooling after
2015/16 El Nino<br>
Warming trend 2000-17 for ERSSTv5 0.17degreeC per decade<br>
- -<b><br>
</b><b>Record High Global Ocean Heat Content in 2017</b><br>
Global Ocean Heat Content from 0-700 m record in 2017 in all six
analyses (top panel)<br>
Close agreement among estimates since Argo array of robotic floats
achieved global coverage circa 2005<br>
700-2000 m ocean also steadily warming<br>
2000-6000 m ocean also shows warming trend<br>
Full depth warming trend 1993-2017 350 (±50) TW (around 18 times
global primary energy supply consumption rate for 2015)<br>
- - <b><br>
</b><b>Record High Global Sea Level in 2017</b><br>
Global sea level record high in 2017, the sixth consecutive year<br>
Global sea level 7.7 cm (3 inches) higher in 2017 than in 1993<br>
Global sea level trend since 1993 3.1 cm (1.2 inches) per decade<br>
Since 2005 2/3 of trend from increasing ocean mass & 1/3 from
ocean warming<br>
<b>Surface fluctuates, ocean warms more steadily, seas continue
rise.</b><font size="-1"><br>
</font><b>- -</b><br>
<b>Impacts: Global Oceans Chapter Sidebars</b><br>
Warm Sea Surface Temperatures: Unprecedented Three Years of Global
Coral Reef Bleaching 2014-17<br>
Sea Level Rise: Nu`a Kai: Flooding in Hawaii Caused by a “Stack” of
Oceanographic Processes<br>
- -<br>
<b>Arctic Sea Ice Extent: Record Lows</b><br>
The March 2017 sea ice maximum was the lowest on record (1981-2017).<br>
Ten of the lowest September minimum extents have occurred in the
last 11 years.<br>
Paleoclimate records indicate that the magnitude and sustained rate
of sea ice loss is unprecedented in the last 1,450 years.<br>
- -<br>
<b>Arctic Ocean Warming Seas and Delayed Freeze Up</b><br>
Record late autumn freeze up was delayed 1 month in the Pacific
Arctic Sector<br>
The Beaufort, Chukchi and southern Barents Seas in 2017 were <b>3-4d
egree C warmer </b>than the 1982-2010 average<br>
- -<br>
<b>Arctic Land Permafrost Thaw and Wildland Fires</b><br>
Record high air temperatures in the North slope of Alaska correlate
with many 22-year record breaking permafrost temperatures<br>
More than 410,000 acres were burned (63% of 2017 Alaska) in the
Upper Yukon Zone in North East Alaska<br>
- -<b><br>
</b><b>Arctic Amplification and Midlatitude Weather Events</b><br>
The Arctic continues to warm at twice the rate of lower latitudes, <b>2017
was the 2nd warmest year </b>on record<br>
A warmer Arctic influences midlatitudes<br>
- -<br>
<b>Link to Full Report and Today's Presentation:</b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/state-of-the-climate/">https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/state-of-the-climate/</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.ametsoc.org/sotc">https://www.ametsoc.org/sotc</a><br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.ametsoc.org/climate">https://www.ametsoc.org/climate</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/state-of-the-climate/">https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/state-of-the-climate/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Oregon kids move forward]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://sustainable-economy.org/industry-attack-on-portland-fossil-fuel-policy-fails/">INDUSTRY
ATTACK ON PORTLAND FOSSIL FUEL POLICY FAILS</a></b><br>
Oregon Supreme Court Declines Review, Leaving in Place Oregon Court
of Appeals Ruling in Favor of Portland's Fossil Fuel Ordinance<br>
July 31, 2018 (Portland, Ore.) - Today, a coalition of public
interest groups celebrated news that opponents of Portland's fossil
fuel ordinance have failed in their efforts to overturn the City's
landmark law. In 2016, Portland's City Council voted unanimously to
prohibit new fossil fuel infrastructure such as oil and gas
terminals. Last week, the Oregon Supreme Court declined to review a
January 2018 ruling by the Oregon Court of Appeals that upheld the
Constitutionality of Portland's Fossil Fuel Terminal Zoning
Amendments, dealing another blow to the legal challenges brought by
the Portland Business Alliance and the oil industry...<br>
<blockquote>"This is a major victory for the climate and our
communities...Industry couldn't even get its foot in the door of
the courtroom to try to overturn the City's landmark law. This
sends a powerful message to local communities that now is the time
to take action to protect our future."<br>
</blockquote>
"This is an important signal to other local governments that they
can protect their residents from the many dangers of the fossil fuel
industry," said Nicholas Caleb, the Staff Attorney at the Center for
Sustainable Economy. "This precedent will allow much greater
creativity from cities and counties that want to create safe,
healthy, and sustainable communities for their residents."<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://sustainable-economy.org/industry-attack-on-portland-fossil-fuel-policy-fails/">https://sustainable-economy.org/industry-attack-on-portland-fossil-fuel-policy-fails/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Hawaii Sea Grant award video]<br>
<b><a
href="http://seagrant.soest.hawaii.edu/sea-level-rise-and-the-ala-wai-canal/">Sea
Level Rise and the Ala Wai Canal</a></b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://seagrant.soest.hawaii.edu/sea-level-rise-and-the-ala-wai-canal/">http://seagrant.soest.hawaii.edu/sea-level-rise-and-the-ala-wai-canal/</a><br>
VOS4-10 Full Episode - Sea Level Rise and the Ala Wai Canal<br>
Voice of the Sea TV - Published on Aug 2, 2017<br>
In this episode, we head inland to take a look at how rising sea
level will affect our infrastructure, aquifers, and fresh water
supplies. Researchers from the University of Hawaii Sea Grant
College Program and the School of Ocean and Earth Science and
Technology are using King Tides as a window into future ocean
conditions, which will have dramatic effects on our island life.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://youtu.be/1DWSXCy3-5U">https://youtu.be/1DWSXCy3-5U</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[A Battleground in Mass Media - Video]<br>
<b><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4NvHT-AmK4E">The War on
Science Presented by Shawn Otto</a></b><br>
Lone Star College-Kingwood<br>
Published on Mar 29, 2017<br>
Shawn Otto Q & A: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://youtu.be/okV8VCdywNA">https://youtu.be/okV8VCdywNA</a><br>
Shawn Otto has worked for years to get politicians to focus on and
debate the major science issues like climate change and to base
policy decisions on evidence, while working to get journalists to do
a better job of covering these important questions.<br>
[propaganda <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://youtu.be/4NvHT-AmK4E?t=46m27s">https://youtu.be/4NvHT-AmK4E?t=46m27s</a>]<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4NvHT-AmK4E">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4NvHT-AmK4E</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Book excerpt]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.sierraclub.org/sierra/thoughts-climate-action-scientist-who-gave-flying">Thoughts
on Climate Action From a Scientist Who Gave Up Flying</a></b><br>
Peter Kalmus says each of us can do something to address warming<br>
This is an excerpt from the new book <b>Being the Change: Live Well
and Spark a Climate Revolution</b> (New Society Publishers), by
Peter Kalmus.<br>
My path is straightforward: if fossil fuels cause global warming,
and I don't want global warming, then I should reduce my fossil fuel
use. <br>
Similarly, if I don't like conflict, killing, and wars, then I
should reduce my own addiction to anger and negativity...<br>
- - - - <br>
Why walk on this path? <br>
I'm aware that the changes I'm making to my daily life will not
solve global warming or stave off global economic collapse. How
could they? We're rapidly approaching eight billion people on the
planet, and I am only one of them.<br>
However, my actions do make me happier, and that's reason enough to
do them. I also suspect that, for most of us, individual and
local-scale actions are the most skillful means to effect
global-scale change. This is a paradox of scale. Our individual
actions don't make much of an immediate difference in the global
response to our predicament, but they are pieces in a vast puzzle.
As more pieces get added, more people will get excited by the
emerging picture and begin to add their own pieces...<br>
- - - - -<br>
I know that I can change the world; indeed, I am changing the world.
What I can't do is save it. <br>
That I have limits is a fact, and I accept it. I don't expect my
changes to have a big impact. (I don't expect anything, actually.)
If what I do has impact, I know this impact arises only from an
existing resonance, a resonance that grows through interacting with
many other people in turn. We are like water molecules in a wave: we
simultaneously transmit the wave and are moved by it. No one water
molecule causes the wave, but together an enormous number of water
molecules carry the wave. It's all of us together, carried by a
resonance that will effect great change.<br>
In other words, I operate from the story of the wave, not the story
of the hero. <br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.sierraclub.org/sierra/thoughts-climate-action-scientist-who-gave-flying">https://www.sierraclub.org/sierra/thoughts-climate-action-scientist-who-gave-flying</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Business intelligence - 25 million people per year]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://global.handelsblatt.com/opinion/refugees-fleeing-war-violence-today-climate-change-tomorrow-948310">Refugees
are fleeing war and violence today, climate change tomorrow</a></b><br>
People who believe climate change won't impact us here in Europe are
lying to themselves, writes E.ON's CEO Johannes Teyssen. It will
force more people to migrate to the continent.<br>
By Johannnes Teyssen<br>
Recently, the topic of refugees has dominated political debate and
has almost entirely eclipsed other issues, including that of climate
policy, where important decisions are pending until there is a
strategic course of action.<br>
Political discourse, however, is overlooking just how closely both
subjects are entwined. Climate change is already influencing global
migration patterns today and will increasingly do so in the
future...<br>
- - - -<br>
Climate change makes this vicious cycle even worse, leading to more
heat waves, more droughts, floods and extreme weather, especially in
developing countries. According to a University of Hamburg study for
Greenpeace, 25 million people a year on average are driven from
their homes by natural disasters<br>
- - - -<br>
Currently, in many regions, standalone solutions are the only viable
options. Take Tanzania for example. Climate change and its effects -
long-lasting droughts, floods and soil erosion - have long been a
reality. Crops rot or dry up because there are incessant problems
maintaining the water and energy supply. An E.ON sponsored startup
has set up an interesting project there that installs and operates
small power grids and solar panels with batteries in villages that
used to rely on inefficient and unreliable diesel generators.<br>
This is a small project of many; all of them show how modern,
climate-friendly and predominately electric energy solutions can
improve the lives of people living in poorer countries. More of
these solutions are needed.<br>
Anyone who thinks climate change will affect those of us living in
Europe, at best, in the distant future, is fooling themselves.
Climate change is already affecting our countries, and that includes
the mothers, fathers, sons and daughters who have fled its impact.
However, helping people in their homeland requires an effective,
long-term climate policy. Our industrialized world created these
problems; we cannot just duck out now that it is time to cope with
them.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://global.handelsblatt.com/opinion/refugees-fleeing-war-violence-today-climate-change-tomorrow-948310">https://global.handelsblatt.com/opinion/refugees-fleeing-war-violence-today-climate-change-tomorrow-948310</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<font size="+1"><b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.vanityfair.com/politics/features/2007/05/wolcott200705">This
Day in Climate History - August 1, 1988</a> - from D.R. Tucker</b></font><br>
August 1, 1988: Sacramento, California-based right-wing talk radio
host Rush Limbaugh begins his nationally syndicated program; over
the next 30 years, Limbaugh would try to popularize the notion that
climate science is a "hoax."<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.vanityfair.com/politics/features/2007/05/wolcott200705">http://www.vanityfair.com/politics/features/2007/05/wolcott200705</a> <br>
<br>
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