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<font size="+1"><i>August 2, 2018</i></font><br>
<br>
[Watch closely]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-california-fires-20180801-story.html">California
fires rage, and Gov. Jerry Brown offers grim view of fiery
future</a></b><br>
As fire crews struggled to gain containment on more than a dozen
wildfires raging across California on Wednesday, Gov. Jerry Brown
told reporters that large, destructive fires would probably continue
and cost the state billions of dollars over the next decade.<br>
"The more serious predictions of warming and fires to occur later in
the century, 2040 or 2050, they're now occurring in real time,"
Brown said at a news conference at the state's emergency operations
center outside Sacramento...<br>
- - -<br>
"Things will get much tighter in the next five years as the business
cycle turns negative and the fires continue," Brown said.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-california-fires-20180801-story.html">http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-california-fires-20180801-story.html</a><br>
</font>- - - -<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.capitalpress.com/State/20180801/western-wildfire-season-keeps-firefighters-busy">Western
wildfire season keeps firefighters busy</a></b><br>
As of mid-week, 23,409 firefighters, 143 helicopters and 1,527 fire
engines were battling fires scorching 4.6 million acres of the West.<br>
An army of firefighters and an air force of planes and helicopters
are working around-the-clock to battle more than 1,700 blazes across
the West as the wildfire season hits full stride.<br>
Map Image
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.capitalpress.com/storyimage/CP/20180801/ARTICLE/180809988/AR/0/AR-180809988.jpg&MaxW=600">http://www.capitalpress.com/storyimage/CP/20180801/ARTICLE/180809988/AR/0/AR-180809988.jpg&MaxW=600</a><br>
As of mid-week, 23,409 firefighters, 143 helicopters and 1,527 fire
engines were battling fires scorching 4.6 million acres of the West,
according to the National Interagency Coordination Center. The
center didn’t have numbers for the number of airplanes included in
the fight.<br>
The 10 Western states account for the vast majority of wildfires in
the nation and 23,000 of the 25,409 firefighters dispatched across
the U.S.<font size="-1"><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.capitalpress.com/State/20180801/western-wildfire-season-keeps-firefighters-busy">http://www.capitalpress.com/State/20180801/western-wildfire-season-keeps-firefighters-busy</a><br>
</font><br>
[Fall climate forecast]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/2018-us-fall-forecast-unseasonable-warmth-to-grip-northeast-extreme-fire-season-predicted-in-west/70005621">2018
US fall forecast: Unseasonable warmth to grip Northeast; Extreme
fire season predicted in West</a></b><br>
<b>Gradual transition to fall in store for Northeast, mid-Atlantic
and eastern Ohio Valley<br>
</b>A warm fall is predicted overall for the Northeast and
mid-Atlantic as chilly air takes its time to arrive...<br>
<b>Flash flooding possible as wet weather continues for the
Southeast</b><br>
The persistent wet pattern that occurred over the summer may
continue into fall for the Southeast...<br>
<b>'Bit of everything' in store from the western Ohio Valley to the
central and northern Plains</b><br>
From the western Ohio Valley to the central and northern Plains,
forecasters predict there's a bit of everything on the cards...<br>
<b>El Nino may send much-needed rainfall to the southern Plains</b><br>
While much of the southern Plains will be enduring drought as the
fall season begins, a reversal is in store...<br>
<b>Summer to linger in the Southwest with some extreme temperatures
predicted</b><br>
Hot and dry conditions will grip the Southwest early in the
season...<br>
<b>Northwest, Rockies to see turnaround to cooler weather by
mid-season</b><br>
As is typical, the Northwest and Rockies will endure hot conditions
into the early fall...<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/2018-us-fall-forecast-unseasonable-warmth-to-grip-northeast-extreme-fire-season-predicted-in-west/70005621">https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/2018-us-fall-forecast-unseasonable-warmth-to-grip-northeast-extreme-fire-season-predicted-in-west/70005621</a></font><br>
- - - - -<br>
[prediction information comes from NOAA]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true" href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/">Climate
Prediction Center</a></b><font size="-1"><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[13 min audio interview]<b><br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.wnycstudios.org/story/we-almost-fixed-climate-change-why-couldnt-we">We
Almost Fixed Climate Change. Why Couldn't We?</a></b><br>
The Takeaway interview - Aug 1, 2018<br>
The world came within a few signatures of major global agreement to
combat climate change - decades ago. What happened? <br>
So if we knew the risks of a warming planet way back then…What
happened?<br>
Nathaniel Rich has some of the answers. He's a writer-at-large for
the New York Times Magazine, and he's behind a special issue
dedicated entirely to the story of how we came so close to solving
climate change in the 80s, and why efforts fell through, leaving us
where we are today.<br>
He joined The Takeaway to tell the story.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.wnycstudios.org/story/we-almost-fixed-climate-change-why-couldnt-we">https://www.wnycstudios.org/story/we-almost-fixed-climate-change-why-couldnt-we</a></font><br>
- - - - -<br>
[NYTimes magazine]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/08/01/magazine/climate-change-losing-earth.html">Losing
Earth: The Decade We Almost Stopped Climate Change</a></b><br>
By Nathaniel Rich<br>
Photographs and Videos by George Steinmetz<br>
AUG. 1, 2018<br>
Is it a comfort or a curse, the knowledge that we could have avoided
all this?<br>
Because in the decade that ran from 1979 to 1989, we had an
excellent opportunity to solve the climate crisis. The world's major
powers came within several signatures of endorsing a binding, global
framework to reduce carbon emissions - far closer than we've come
since. During those years, the conditions for success could not have
been more favorable. The obstacles we blame for our current inaction
had yet to emerge. Almost nothing stood in our way - nothing except
ourselves.<br>
Nearly everything we understand about global warming was understood
in 1979. By that year, data collected since 1957 confirmed what had
been known since before the turn of the 20th century: Human beings
have altered Earth's atmosphere through the indiscriminate burning
of fossil fuels. The main scientific questions were settled beyond
debate, and as the 1980s began, attention turned from diagnosis of
the problem to refinement of the predicted consequences. Compared
with string theory and genetic engineering, the "greenhouse effect"
- a metaphor dating to the early 1900s - was ancient history,
described in any Introduction to Biology textbook. Nor was the basic
science especially complicated. It could be reduced to a simple
axiom: The more carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, the warmer the
planet. And every year, by burning coal, oil and gas, humankind
belched increasingly obscene quantities of carbon dioxide into the
atmosphere.<br>
Why didn't we act? A common boogeyman today is the fossil-fuel
industry, which in recent decades has committed to playing the role
of villain with comic-book bravado. An entire subfield of climate
literature has chronicled the machinations of industry lobbyists,
the corruption of scientists and the propaganda campaigns that even
now continue to debase the political debate, long after the largest
oil-and-gas companies have abandoned the dumb show of denialism. But
the coordinated efforts to bewilder the public did not begin in
earnest until the end of 1989. During the preceding decade, some of
the largest oil companies, including Exxon and Shell, made
good-faith efforts to understand the scope of the crisis and grapple
with possible solutions...<br>
Nor can the Republican Party be blamed...<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/08/01/magazine/climate-change-losing-earth.html">https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/08/01/magazine/climate-change-losing-earth.html</a></font><br>
- - - -<br>
[Oh Yeah?]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2018/08/nyt-mag-nathaniel-rich-climate-change/566525/">The
Problem With The New York Times' Big Story on Climate Change</a></b><br>
<b>By portraying the early years of climate politics as a tragedy,
the magazine lets Republicans and the fossil-fuel industry off the
hook.</b><br>
The New York Times Magazine has tried to make the release of its new
article, which details a decade of climate history, as momentous as
possible. It has devoted the entire new issue of the magazine to
just this one story, which is written by Nathaniel Rich. It has even
produced a video trailer for the story.<br>
Having read the story, I am left to wonder: What was the point?<br>
The article tells the story of three men who, between 1979 and 1989,
helped turn climate change into a major political issue. At the
beginning of this tale, few Washington officials knew much of
anything about global warming. By the end, President George H.W.
Bush was close to signing a United Nations treaty to address it.
Rich writes with gripping, novelistic detail, and he captures the
comedy and frustration of scientists struggling to shape the
political sphere...<br>
- - - -<br>
"The obstacles we blame for our current inaction had yet to emerge.
Almost nothing stood in our way - nothing except ourselves."<br>
Ah, yes, ourselves. Now settle in, parishioners, for you know what's
coming next. This is a story about humanity, about the frailty and
hubris of those tool-wielding primates who realized they could burn
old rocks for energy and, in doing so, accidentally cooked the
Earth.<br>
It is not a risible idea: Perhaps (as Rich later speculates) climate
change really is impossible for our mammalian minds to comprehend,
its timescales too grand for our two- and four-year election cycles.
But in order to turn a story about the U.S. politics of climate
change into a story about the entirety of the human species, Rich
has to make a strange argument. He has to dispatch with the two most
powerful and prominent enemies of a climate policy in the United
States: the fossil-fuel industry and the Republican Party.<br>
He does so, quickly, in the prologue.<br>
"Why didn't we act? A common boogeyman today is the fossil-fuel
industry," he writes. But this can't be the case: These companies
did not actually oppose climate policy in the 1980s. "The
coordinated efforts to bewilder the public did not begin in earnest
until the end of 1989," he claims, adding that <b>Exxon and Shell
even made "good-faith efforts to understand the scope of the
crisis."</b><b><br>
</b><b>"Nor can the Republican Party be blamed," </b>he writes,
before naming a smattering of Republicans who endorsed some kind of
climate policy at some point during the 1980s. The list includes
three senators (one from Rhode Island), an EPA administrator, and
President George H.W. Bush "during his presidential campaign."<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2018/08/nyt-mag-nathaniel-rich-climate-change/566525/">https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2018/08/nyt-mag-nathaniel-rich-climate-change/566525/</a></font><br>
- - - -<br>
[Basic research: a compilation of climate news appearing in major
publications ]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://medium.com/@climatebrad/climate-hearings-af27a3886a43">A
Timeline of Climate Science and Policy</a></b><br>
Includes a <b>comprehensive review of mentions of industrial global
warming in U.S. Congress hearings from 1956 to 1980.</b> Various
though not exhaustive mentions in the popular press, starting in
1861. Various science-policy studies, workshops, and reports,
starting in 1963.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://medium.com/@climatebrad/climate-hearings-af27a3886a43">https://medium.com/@climatebrad/climate-hearings-af27a3886a43</a></font><br>
- - - - <br>
[more reactive criticism]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.commondreams.org/news/2018/08/01/nyt-magazines-losingearth-receives-scathing-reviews-climate-action-movement">NYT
Magazine's #LosingEarth Receives Scathing Reviews From Climate
Action Movement</a></b><br>
Critics argue the full-issue feature by the prominent publication
"suppresses important facts, covering up how organized climate
denial created our current predicament."<br>
Experts and activists on Wednesday are responding to The New York
Times Magazine's full-issue article on the global climate crisis
with a combination of fury and frustration, arguing that the piece
"suppresses important facts, covering up how organized climate
denial created our current predicament."<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.commondreams.org/news/2018/08/01/nyt-magazines-losingearth-receives-scathing-reviews-climate-action-movement">https://www.commondreams.org/news/2018/08/01/nyt-magazines-losingearth-receives-scathing-reviews-climate-action-movement</a></font><br>
- - - -<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://twitter.com/drvox/status/1024752956875333632">David
Roberts delivers 29 Twitter comments. </a></b><br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://twitter.com/drvox/status/1024752956875333632">https://twitter.com/drvox/status/1024752956875333632</a></font><br>
- - - -<br>
[Twitter criticism on the article]<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://twitter.com/Gaius_Publius/status/1024698154325704705">https://twitter.com/Gaius_Publius/status/1024698154325704705</a><br>
<br>
<br>
[Oxygen]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://medium.com/s/futurehuman/how-climate-change-is-ruining-our-indoor-air-b73fc1627c1a">How
Climate Change Is Ruining Our Indoor Air</a></b><br>
It would take an unreasonable amount of plants to balance rising CO2
levels being found at home, school, and work<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://medium.com/s/futurehuman/how-climate-change-is-ruining-our-indoor-air-b73fc1627c1a">https://medium.com/s/futurehuman/how-climate-change-is-ruining-our-indoor-air-b73fc1627c1a</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Mexico awakens]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.desmogblog.com/2018/08/01/lopez-obrador-ban-fracking">Newly
Elected President of Mexico, Lopez Obrador, Vows to Ban Fracking</a></b><br>
Andrés Manuel López Obrador, who won the election to become Mexico's
President on July 1, stated in a press conference that he will ban
the horizontal drilling technique known as hydraulic fracturing
("fracking") upon assuming the office on December 1.<br>
The announcement would be a devastating blow to the oil and gas
industry, which had its eyes set on drilling in Mexico's northern
frontier in an area known as the Burgos Basin. The Burgos is a
southern extension of the Eagle Ford Shale, a prolific field
situated in Texas. <br>
The Associated Press broke the story on the press conference and the
announcement. When asked about his plans for fracking at the press
conference, López Obrador said "We will no longer use that method to
extract petroleum," according to the AP.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.desmogblog.com/2018/08/01/lopez-obrador-ban-fracking">https://www.desmogblog.com/2018/08/01/lopez-obrador-ban-fracking</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[more oil extraction]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Global-Oil-Discoveries-See-Remarkable-Recovery-In-2018.html">Global
Oil Discoveries See Remarkable Recovery In 2018</a></b><br>
Global discoveries of conventional oil and natural gas are seeing an
exciting recovery with discovered resources already surpassing 4.5
billion boe in H1 2018, Rystad Energy analysis shows.<br>
The average monthly discovered volumes YTD are estimated at 826
million boe, up approximately 30% compared to 625 million boe in
2017.<br>
- - - -<br>
United States<br>
The United States reported oil discoveries at Ballymore and Dover
prospects in the Norphlet play in deepwater Gulf of Mexico. The
Norphlet play, which is characterized by high-pressure,
high-temperature (HPHT) conditions accompanied with complicated and
elusive structures revealed to be fortunate for Chevron and a
prevailing success for Shell. Chevron discovered a significant oil
play at the Ballymore prospect with its first exploration well in
the subtle play whereas the Dover discovery located 13 miles from
the Appomattox host was Shell's sixth discovery in the play.<br>
Related: Strong Dollar Could Cap Oil Prices<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Global-Oil-Discoveries-See-Remarkable-Recovery-In-2018.html">https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Global-Oil-Discoveries-See-Remarkable-Recovery-In-2018.html</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Coal industry newsletter]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.worldcoal.com/coal/25072018/san-francisco-first-us-city-to-push-insurers-to-stop-investing-in-fossil-fuels/">San
Francisco first US city to push insurers to stop investing in
fossil fuels</a></b><br>
Published by Stephanie Roker, Deputy Editor <br>
World Coal, Wednesday, 25 July 2018<br>
On 25 July, the San Francisco Board of Supervisors became the first
municipal body in the US to call upon insurance companies to stop
insuring and investing in fossil fuels, citing the need to address
climate change and the enormous toll climate pollution inflicts on
public health and the economy.<br>
The resolution, approved unanimously by the San Francisco Board of
Supervisors, urges the City of San Francisco to screen potential
insurers for investments in coal and oilsands and to cut ties with
any insurance company that continues to insure dirty energy
projects. The city's initial focus is on coal and oilsands oil as
they are particularly damaging to the climate, economy and public
health.<br>
Insurance companies, particularly in Europe, are already responding
to this threat. Since 2015, 17 large insurers have divested about
UA$30 billion from coal companies. In addition, five of the largest
insurers have stopped or limited insuring coal, and two of them have
stopped insuring new oilsands projects. To date, no leading major US
insurer has taken similar action. San Francisco joins Paris in
pressuring insurance companies to break their ties with dirty
energy; earlier this year, the Paris city council passed a similar
declaration.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.worldcoal.com/coal/25072018/san-francisco-first-us-city-to-push-insurers-to-stop-investing-in-fossil-fuels/">https://www.worldcoal.com/coal/25072018/san-francisco-first-us-city-to-push-insurers-to-stop-investing-in-fossil-fuels/</a></font><br>
- - - - - -<br>
[the Insurance Journal]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/national/2018/07/26/496064.htm">San
Francisco May Screen Insurers for Their Fossil Fuels Investments</a></b><br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/national/2018/07/26/496064.htm">https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/national/2018/07/26/496064.htm</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://theconversation.com/a-perfect-storm-of-factors-is-making-wildfires-bigger-and-more-expensive-to-control-100800">A
perfect storm of factors is making wildfires bigger and more
expensive to control</a></b><br>
July 31, 2018<br>
More burn days, more fuel<br>
What is driving this trend? Many factors have come together to
create a perfect storm. They include climate change, past forest and
fire management practices, housing development, increased focus on
community protection and the professionalization of wildfire
management.<br>
Fire seasons are growing longer in the United States and worldwide.
According to the Forest Service, climate change has expanded the
wildfire season by an average of 78 days per year since 1970. This
means agencies need to keep seasonal employees on their payrolls
longer and have contractors standing by earlier and available to
work later in the year. All of this adds to costs, even in low fire
years.<br>
In many parts of the wildfire-prone West, decades of fire
suppression combined with historic logging patterns have created
small, dense forest stands that are more vulnerable to large
wildfires. In fact, many areas have fire deficits – significantly
less fire than we would expect given current climatic and forest
conditions. Fire suppression in these areas only delays the
inevitable. When fires do get away from firefighters, they are more
severe because of the accumulation of small trees and brush....<br>
- - - -<br>
Baked-in fire risks<br>
Many of these drivers are beyond the Forest Service's control.
Climate change, the fire deficit on many western lands and
development in the wildland-urban interface ensure that the
potential for major fires is baked into the system for decades to
come.<br>
There are some options for reducing risks and managing costs. Public
land managers and forest landowners may be able to influence fire
behavior in certain settings with techniques such as hazardous fuels
reduction and prescribed fire. But these strategies will further
increase costs in the short and medium term.<br>
Another cost-saving strategy would be to rethink how firefighters
use expensive resources such as airplanes and helicopters. But it
will require political courage for the Forest Service to not use
expensive resources on high-profile wildfires when they may not be
effective.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://theconversation.com/a-perfect-storm-of-factors-is-making-wildfires-bigger-and-more-expensive-to-control-100800">https://theconversation.com/a-perfect-storm-of-factors-is-making-wildfires-bigger-and-more-expensive-to-control-100800</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[video not untrue, but not quite here yet - but take notice anyway]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dEKcbdciAF0">Unrelenting
Heat and Humidity will soon make regions UNINHABITABLE</a></b><br>
Paul Beckwith - Published on Aug 1, 2018<br>
How hot can it actually get? What is in store for us? When you
combine the heat domes sitting over many countries with high
humidity, many areas around the planet will soon reach the deadly 35
C (95 F) 100% humidity (wet bulb temperature) or equivalent
situation whereby a perfectly healthy person outside, in a well
ventilated area, in the shade will die from the heat in 6 hours.
Most people, like the very young, the elderly, and the rest of us
won't last anywhere as long, at even lower temperatures. I discuss
the latest peer-reviewed science on how parts of high-risk regions
in the North China Plains, Middle East, and South Asia will soon be
rendered uninhabitable by combined heat and humidity.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dEKcbdciAF0">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dEKcbdciAF0</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<font size="+1"><b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2006/08/03/6719/robertson-global-warming/">This
Day in Climate History - August 2, 2006</a> - from D.R. Tucker</b></font><br>
August 2, 2006: Republican televangelist Pat Robertson calls for
action on human-caused climate change, a position he would abandon
several years later.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2006/08/03/6719/robertson-global-warming/">http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2006/08/03/6719/robertson-global-warming/</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://youtu.be/zxT0Nug1XqY">http://youtu.be/zxT0Nug1XqY</a><br>
<br>
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