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<font size="+1"><i>October 1, 2018</i></font><br>
<br>
[Washington Post puts forth Holthaus opinion video $]<br>
<a
href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/we-brought-florence-upon-ourselves/2018/09/12/eaf376ca-b6b2-11e8-b79f-f6e31e555258_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.3d95c1352ae8"><b>Climate
change wrought this freak of nature</b></a><br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/we-brought-florence-upon-ourselves/2018/09/12/eaf376ca-b6b2-11e8-b79f-f6e31e555258_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.3d95c1352ae8">https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/we-brought-florence-upon-ourselves/2018/09/12/eaf376ca-b6b2-11e8-b79f-f6e31e555258_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.3d95c1352ae8</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Risk Analysis Journal]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/risa.13192">A
Data--Driven Approach to Assessing Supply Inadequacy Risks Due
to Climate--Induced Shifts in Electricity Demand</a></b><br>
Sayanti Mukherjee - Roshanak Nateghi<br>
First published: 24 September 2018 <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13192">https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13192</a><br>
Abstract<br>
<blockquote>The U.S. electric power system is increasingly
vulnerable to the adverse impacts of extreme climate events.
Supply inadequacy risk can result from climate‐induced shifts in
electricity demand and/or damaged physical assets due to
hydro‐meteorological hazards and climate change. In this article,
we focus on the risks associated with the unanticipated
climate‐induced demand shifts and propose a data‐driven approach
to identify risk factors that render the electricity sector
vulnerable in the face of future climate variability and change.
More specifically, we have leveraged advanced supervised learning
theory to identify the key predictors of climate‐sensitive demand
in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors. Our
analysis indicates that variations in mean dew point temperature
is the common major risk factor across all the three sectors. We
have also conducted a statistical sensitivity analysis to assess
the variability in the projected demand as a function of the key
climate risk factor. We then propose the use of scenario‐based
heat maps as a tool to communicate the inadequacy risks to
stakeholders and decisionmakers. While we use the state of Ohio as
a case study, our proposed approach is equally applicable to all
other states.<br>
</blockquote>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/risa.13192">https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/risa.13192</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Mary Ellen Harte - opinion - vote]<br>
<b><a
href="https://climatechangereports.wordpress.com/2018/09/30/trump-administration-admits-climate-change-is-worsening-and-that-it-does-not-care/">Trump
Administration Admits Climate Change Is Worsening, -- and That
It Does Not Care</a></b><br>
Posted on September 30, 2018 by melharte<br>
In the latest Orwellian logic to erupt out of the Trump
Administration, they have submitted a 500 page report produced by
the National Highway Safety Administration that acknowledges a 7
degree Fahrenheit increase in average global temperature by 2100,
assuming that no action is taken to stop it, reports the Washington
Post, and then uses this assumption - ie, that Trump doesn't care,
so he will not direct anyone to do anything about it - as a way of
justifying the loosening of regulations that will, in fact, worsen
climate change faster.<br>
<br>
So, just to be clear: Trump, in essence, is saying, "Yeah, climate
change is happening but I don't care. I care more that my industrial
magnate friends are able to make more money more easily, even if it
means I'm worsening climate change for every US citizen, including
me and my kids, and including those who voted for me." Of course,
the man appears to be incapable of understanding that what he is
doing will harm himself and his family, and much less anyone else.<br>
<br>
Voting his enablers -- that is, every Congressional representative
and Senator who supports him -- out of Congress in November 2018 is
the most powerful way we can slow and stop this madman. Register to
vote, update your address, or request an absentee ballot at
TurboVote or RocktheVote. And put that previous sentence in your
email auto signature to alert anyone you email. Do it for your
friends, family and future.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://climatechangereports.wordpress.com/2018/09/30/trump-administration-admits-climate-change-is-worsening-and-that-it-does-not-care/">https://climatechangereports.wordpress.com/2018/09/30/trump-administration-admits-climate-change-is-worsening-and-that-it-does-not-care/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[plan for a different future] <br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.ft.com/content/a4c8fffa-869a-3e76-8e05-e8acc572d293">California
turns up the heat on climate change disclosures</a></b><br>
New law requires big pension funds to provide more information on
environmental risk...<br>
The new law in California will require Calpers (the California
Public Employees' Retirement System), which oversees $360bn in
assets, and Calstrs (the $228bn California State Teachers'
Retirement System) to report publicly on the climate-related
financial risk of their public market portfolio...<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.ft.com/content/a4c8fffa-869a-3e76-8e05-e8acc572d293">https://www.ft.com/content/a4c8fffa-869a-3e76-8e05-e8acc572d293</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[promoting or restraining]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.desmogblog.com/2018/09/27/koch-funded-groups-again-speak-out-against-electric-vehicle-tax-credits">Koch-Funded
Groups--Yet Again--Speak Out Against Electric Vehicle Tax Credi</a></b><b><a
moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.desmogblog.com/2018/09/27/koch-funded-groups-again-speak-out-against-electric-vehicle-tax-credits">ts</a></b><br>
By Ben Jervey - September 27, 2018<br>
A coalition of thirty conservative free-market advocacy
organizations -- the majority of which have clear ties to Charles
and David Koch through their funding or leadership -- have sent a
letter to House Ways and Means Chairman Kevin Brady (R-Texas) urging
that Congress halt any expansion of the electric vehicle tax credit,
or scrap it entirely.<br>
The groups do not mention in the letter that they benefit
financially from the Koch brothers' petrochemical refining fortune,
nor that electric vehicles pose the largest and most immediate
threat to the oil and refining industries.<br>
<br>
The letter arrived as an immediate response to a bill introduced
last week that would extend the 2009 tax credit for another ten
years. The Electric Cars Act of 2018, introduced by Senator Jeff
Merkley (D-Oregon) and others, would also lift the cap of 200,000
vehicles sold by each manufacturer that would qualify for the
credit.<br>
<br>
Notably, the proposed bill directly addresses one of the most common
criticisms of the tax credit -- that it is predominantly subsidizing
purchases of high-income Americans. The bill would allow buyers to
spread the tax credit out over a 5-year period, or apply the credit
at the point of sale, which would effectively make the full $7,500
credit easier to access for low- and middle-income buyers without
large tax liability...<br>
- - - - -<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.desmogblog.com/2018/09/27/koch-funded-groups-again-speak-out-against-electric-vehicle-tax-credits">https://www.desmogblog.com/2018/09/27/koch-funded-groups-again-speak-out-against-electric-vehicle-tax-credits</a><br>
<br>
</font><br>
[Political Martyr reborn] <br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/bob-inglis-republican-believer-climate-change-out-convert-his-party-n912066">Bob
Inglis, a Republican believer in climate change, is out to
convert his party</a></b><br>
Inglis is doubling down on the beliefs that cost him his seat in
Congress: Climate change is real, and Republicans must act.<br>
by James Rainey - Sep.30.2018<br>
CHARLESTON, S.C. -- Eight years ago, Bob Inglis ran for a seventh
term in the U.S. House of Representatives and didn't even make it
out of the Republican primary. He lost by nearly 3 to 1. His
estrangement from South Carolina voters ran deep,
friends-gone-missing and allies-turned-enemies deep.<br>
<br>
The chief reason Inglis was rejected by his constituents? He not
only believed climate change was real but, as a solution, he
proposed a tax on carbon. In a deeply conservative corner of one of
the most conservative states in America, Republicans did not welcome
those views.<br>
<br>
Such a "spectacular face plant," as Inglis now calls it, would have
sent many politicians scrambling for safe haven. A lobbying job is a
standard refuge. So is a return to a previous life -- in Inglis'
case, real estate law.<br>
<font size="-2"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/bob-inglis-republican-believer-climate-change-out-convert-his-party-n912066">https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/bob-inglis-republican-believer-climate-change-out-convert-his-party-n912066</a><br>
</font><br>
<br>
[One thing connects to another]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.desmogblog.com/2018/09/27/texas-louisiana-new-petrochemical-oil-gas-projects-climate-change-29-coal-power">Climate
Emissions From Gulf Coast's New Petrochemical, Oil and Gas
Projects Same as 29 New Coal Power Plants</a></b><br>
By Sharon Kelly - September 27, 2018 <br>
In the last six years, officials in Texas and Louisiana issued
permits allowing 74 petrochemical, oil, and gas projects to pump as
much climate-warming pollution into the atmosphere as running 29
coal-fired power plants around the clock, according to numbers
released September 26 by the nonprofit watchdog Environmental
Integrity Project.<br>
<br>
And construction appears to be speeding up, with over 40 percent of
those projects permitted between 2016 and mid-2018. The 31 most
recent projects combined will add 50 million tons of greenhouse
gases -- equal to 11 new coal-fired power plants -- to the world's
atmosphere in a year, the watchdog adds.<br>
<br>
Environmentalists pointed to the risks that climate change poses to
Gulf Coast states, where these projects are being built, and noted
that the greenhouse effect has already led to sea level rise and a
higher risk of extreme storms...<br>
- - - -<br>
An investigative report this year by the Associated Press and the
Houston Chronicle linked Hurricane Harvey to over 100 separate toxic
discharges from pipelines, refineries, and chemical plants,
including a spill of nearly a half billion gallons of stormwater
mixed with industrial waste from ExxonMobil Corp.'s Olefins plant in
Baytown, Texas. Many of the spills and accidents resulting from
Harvey were never publicized, the investigation found, and officials
had downplayed some of the largest events and failed to collect data
about potential contamination.<br>
<br>
"As we saw from Hurricane Harvey last year, building massive
refineries and petrochemical plants in the flood zone without
adequate planning or engineering is not just a risk to the
environment, but a real potential health hazard, as well," said
Bakeyah Nelson, Executive Director of Air Alliance Houston.<br>
<br>
During Florence, spills of coal ash, sewage, and hog waste have made
headlines. The region is also home to over 1,000 sites where
chemicals are stored or used, according to The New York Times, and
to over 70 high-priority Superfund sites. The Environmental
Protection Agency asked four families in Cheraw, South Carolina, to
evacuate their homes on Wednesday after finding high levels of
polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), a long-lasting class of toxic and
banned chemicals, from a nearby Superfund site.<br>
<br>
The region that flooded from Florence contains far less chemical,
oil, and gas production infrastructure than either the Gulf Coast or
Marcellus region.<br>
<br>
"Hurricane season is a good time to think about the impact these big
greenhouse gas emitters will have on global warming," Eric
Schaeffer, director of the Environmental Integrity Project, said in
a statement accompanying the new report. "We had better start
thinking about whether all this oil and gas infrastructure is strong
enough and safe enough to withstand the severe storms that are sure
to follow." <br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.desmogblog.com/2018/09/27/texas-louisiana-new-petrochemical-oil-gas-projects-climate-change-29-coal-power">https://www.desmogblog.com/2018/09/27/texas-louisiana-new-petrochemical-oil-gas-projects-climate-change-29-coal-power</a><br>
<br>
</font><br>
[good question worth repeating]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.yaleclimateconnections.org/2018/09/advice-should-i-warn-my-friend-about-rising-sea-levels/">Should
I tell my Republican friend that her Florida mansion is doomed
by sea-level rise? </a></b><br>
In this new advice column, climate journalist Sara Peach answers
your questions about how climate change could affect you and the
people you love...my advice is to start talking.<br>
Suggestions<br>
<blockquote>I keep daydreaming about what would happen if you
scheduled a visit to your friend to coincide with unusually high
tides and street flooding -- and used that as a conversation
starter. (A good bet would be to visit on the date of the full
moon in September or October, when the alignment of the sun, the
Earth, and the moon give an extra tug to the tides.)<br>
<br>
However, you'll probably get better results if you avoid a single
blow-out conversation in which you present your friend with a
garden gnome sporting a snorkel and then confront/overwhelm her
with all of the facts.<br>
<br>
Instead, try chatting about sea-level rise in small doses that fit
within the natural flow of your relationship.<br>
<br>
Ask questions. Has she noticed any flooding? How does that affect
her day-to-day life? What does she think she might do if the
flooding gets worse in the future?<br>
<br>
Ideally, your discussions will shift into a mode in which she
starts asking you questions. What you're aiming for is
conversation in which both of you are curious about what the other
has to say, and neither of you is lecturing -- in other words, a
normal conversation between two humans who like each other.<br>
</blockquote>
You may find that your friend responds defensively. If she shuts
down your attempts at conversation, take comfort in the fact that
ultimately, she is in charge of her house and her life. And assuming
that not all of her equity is tied up in her expensive mansion, she
will have the resources to take care of herself - unlike many
low-income residents of South Florida and other coastal communities
worldwide.<br>
Wondering how climate change could affect you or your loved ones?
Send your questions to <a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated"
href="mailto:sara@yaleclimateconnections.org">sara@yaleclimateconnections.org</a>.
Questions may be edited for length and clarity.<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.yaleclimateconnections.org/2018/09/advice-should-i-warn-my-friend-about-rising-sea-levels/">https://www.yaleclimateconnections.org/2018/09/advice-should-i-warn-my-friend-about-rising-sea-levels/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[the warning]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/sep/26/global-warming-climate-change-targets-un-report">World
'nowhere near on track' to avoid warming beyond 1.5C target</a></b><br>
Exclusive: Author of key UN climate report says limiting temperature
rise would require enormous, immediate transformation in human
activity...<br>
"It's extraordinarily challenging to get to the 1.5C target and we
are nowhere near on track to doing that," said Drew Shindell, a Duke
University climate scientist and a co-author of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report, <a
moz-do-not-send="true" href="http://www.ipcc.ch/report/sr15/">which
will be unveiled in South Korea next month.</a> (<a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.ipcc.ch/report/sr15/">http://www.ipcc.ch/report/sr15/</a>)<br>
"While it's technically possible, it's extremely improbable, absent
a real sea change in the way we evaluate risk. We are nowhere near
that."...<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/sep/26/global-warming-climate-change-targets-un-report">https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/sep/26/global-warming-climate-change-targets-un-report</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<font size="+1"><b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2013/10/01/warm_enough_for_you_120159.html">This
Day in Climate History - October 1, 2013</a> - from D.R.
Tucker</b></font><br>
October 1, 2013: Syndicated columnist Eugene Robinson writes:<br>
<blockquote>"Skeptics and deniers can make all the noise they want,
but a landmark new report is unequivocal: There is a 95 percent
chance that human-generated emissions of carbon dioxide and other
greenhouse gases are changing the climate in ways that court
disaster.<br>
<br>
"That's the bottom line from the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change, which Monday released the latest of its
comprehensive, every-six-years assessments of the scientific
consensus about climate change. According to the IPCC, there is
only a 1-in-20 chance that human activity is not causing dangerous
warming.<br>
<br>
"You may like those betting odds. If so, let's get together for a
friendly game of poker, and please don't forget to bring cash."<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2013/10/01/warm_enough_for_you_120159.html">http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2013/10/01/warm_enough_for_you_120159.html</a><br>
<br>
<br>
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