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<font size="+1"><i>October 22, 2018</i></font><br>
<br>
#Climatechange will harm us in unpredictable ways: <br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://twitter.com/MilesGrant/status/1054345303384645632">Record
floods overwhelm Austin (pop: 1M) water treatment system,
forcing boil water order</a></b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://twitter.com/MilesGrant/status/1054345303384645632">https://twitter.com/MilesGrant/status/1054345303384645632</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.statesman.com/news/20181022/austin-ordered-to-boil-water-flood-silt-stalls-treatment">https://www.statesman.com/news/20181022/austin-ordered-to-boil-water-flood-silt-stalls-treatment</a><br>
<br>
<br>
[from Peter Sinclair]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://climatecrocks.com/2018/10/21/florida-guv-candidate-gillum-roasts-opponent-on-climate-change/">Florida
Guv Candidate Gillum Roasts Opponent on Climate Change</a></b><br>
October 21, 2018<br>
Andrew Gillum roasts the Florida GOP's climate change denial: "What
Florida voters need to know is that when they elect me governor
they're gonna have a governor who believes in science, which we
haven't had for quite some time in this state." #FLGovDebate <br>
"..a governor who believes in science."<br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://climatecrocks.com/2018/10/21/florida-guv-candidate-gillum-roasts-opponent-on-climate-change/">https://climatecrocks.com/2018/10/21/florida-guv-candidate-gillum-roasts-opponent-on-climate-change/</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Red Cross]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/oct/21/climate-change-is-exacerbating-world-conflicts-says-red-cross-president">Climate
change is exacerbating world conflicts, says Red Cross president</a></b><br>
Helen Davidson - 21 Oct 2018<br>
'It's obvious some of the violence we are observing…is directly
linked to climate change,' says Peter Maurer<br>
Climate change is already exacerbating domestic and international
conflicts, and governments must take steps to ensure it does not get
worse, the head of the International Committee of the Red Cross has
said...<br>
- - - -<br>
"When I think about our engagement in sub-Saharan Africa, in
Somalia, in other places of the world, I see that climate change has
already had a massive impact on population movement, on fertility of
land. It's moving the border between pastoralist and
agriculturalist."<br>
Maurer, who was in Australia to speak about the changing nature of
modern conflict, said concern about the impact of climate change in
the Pacific was "enormous".<br>
He said changing rainfall patterns change the fertility of land and
push populations, who may have settled and subsisted in one area for
centuries, to migrate.<br>
"It's very obvious that some of the violence that we are
observing…is directly linked to the impact of climate change and
changing rainfall patterns."... <br>
- - -<br>
Donald Trump said little about the IPCC report, having already
pledged to withdraw the US from the Paris Agreement.<br>
This made things difficult for everyone else, Ola Elvestuen,
Norway's environment minister, said last month, but still called for
countries to transition away from fossil fuels, embrace electric
cars and halt deforestation...<br>
- - -<br>
Maurer said there were now more people displaced than ever before,
approaching 70m across the globe. Two thirds are displaced
internally, and most of those who fled would go to a neighbouring
country.<br>
"At the end of the day there is no single policy that allows in any
satisfactory way a response to these issues, but there are multiple
things which can be done," he said.<br>
<font size="-1">more at -
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/oct/21/climate-change-is-exacerbating-world-conflicts-says-red-cross-president">https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/oct/21/climate-change-is-exacerbating-world-conflicts-says-red-cross-president</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[Audio interview]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true" href="https://wp.me/p3HkhX-3KV">Climate
Code Red author and radio host Alex Smith talk about Climate
Emergency</a></b><br>
by Editor <br>
Wade into the swamp of climate illusions with Australian author
David Spratt. Alex Smith on October 17th, 2018, from radio Ecoshock,
interviews Climate Code Red, and What Lies Beneath author David
Spratt <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.ecoshock.org/2018/10/stopping-cruel-climate-change.html">https://www.ecoshock.org/2018/10/stopping-cruel-climate-change.html</a>
David Spratt on Twitter <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://twitter.com/djspratt">https://twitter.com/djspratt</a>
Radio Ecoshock on twitter <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://twitter.com/ecoshock">https://twitter.com/ecoshock</a><br>
Take unprecedented action or bear the consequences, says eminent
scientist and advisor
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.climatecodered.org/2018/08/take-unprecedented-action-or-bear.html">http://www.climatecodered.org/2018/08/take-unprecedented-action-or-bear.html</a><br>
The UN chief calls for emergency climate action, but what does that
actually mean in practice?
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.climatecodered.org/2018/10/the-un-chief-calls-for-emergency.html">http://www.climatecodered.org/2018/10/the-un-chief-calls-for-emergency.html</a><br>
How to communicate the climate emergency
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.climatecodered.org/2018/10/how-to-communicate-climate-emergency.html">http://www.climatecodered.org/2018/10/how-to-communicate-climate-emergency.html</a><br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://wp.me/p3HkhX-3KV">https://wp.me/p3HkhX-3KV</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[10 min video briefing in plain speech]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1CZL3JZGLKY">Why the IPCC
Report is so Scary</a></b><br>
Second Thought<br>
Published on Oct 20, 2018<br>
Link to IPCC report: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.ipcc.ch/report/sr15/">http://www.ipcc.ch/report/sr15/</a><br>
Link to companies responsible for most emissions: <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://goo.gl/bFdwi4">https://goo.gl/bFdwi4</a><br>
Why the IPCC Report is so Scary - Second Thought<br>
SUBSCRIBE HERE: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://bit.ly/2nFsvTS">http://bit.ly/2nFsvTS</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1CZL3JZGLKY">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1CZL3JZGLKY</a><br>
<br>
<br>
[climatehealers.org]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://www.climatehealers.org/blog/2018/10/3/prevent-year-zero">How
to Prevent Year ZERO</a></b><br>
Sailesh Rao <br>
- - -<br>
In 2014, researchers at the World Wildlife Fund released a report
saying that between 1970 and 2010, in just 40 years, the population
of wild vertebrates decreased by 52%. Then two years later, they
released a second report saying that between 1970 and 2012, the
population of wild vertebrates decreased by 58%. From these two data
points, we can perform a simple math calculation to tell us that at
the current rate of decline, 100% of these wild animals will be gone
by 2026, just 8 short years from now.<br>
<blockquote>Our grandchildren will ask us one day: Where were you
during the Holocaust of the animals? What did you do against these
horrifying crimes? We won't be able to offer the same excuse for
the second time, that we didn't know. -- Dr. Helmut Kaplan<br>
</blockquote>
This is Year ZERO, the year when all wild animals are gone. Year
ZERO is fast approaching because we live in a system and culture of
normalized violence. All over the world, humans are destroying
original forests to make room for grazing animals or to grow crops
for feeding animals. Then humans are using sophisticated
geo-locating technology to catch and kill the last remaining schools
of fish. And finally we are pouring 250 billion tons of toxic
chemicals into the environment each year, which kill the insects
which kill the birds who eat those insects. So we are attacking wild
animals in the water, on land, and in the air. And this leaves them
no room to survive. <br>
- - - <br>
"You never change things by fighting the existing reality. To change
something, build a new model that makes the existing model
obsolete." <br>
That new model is Vegan World 2026! with the goal to turn the whole
world Vegan by 2026. Join us for the Vegan World 2026! Conference on
Oct 26-28, 2018 in Phoenix, AZ, as we work to co-create an
open-source system of normalized nonviolence and deploy it in order
to Prevent Year ZERO from ever occurring. As Shelley Ostroff writes,
<br>
"When national and international governments fail, how can citizens
of all nations unite and collaborate in an organized way to ensure
a thriving future for all life? <br>
In the face of escalating global crises, the failure of our social
systems, mass awakening, and widespread access to global
communications technologies, citizens worldwide now have an
unprecedented opportunity to respond and organize effectively at a
global level."<br>
<font size="-1">more at - <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.climatehealers.org/blog/2018/10/3/prevent-year-zero">http://www.climatehealers.org/blog/2018/10/3/prevent-year-zero</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[ 16 pages PDF]<br>
The Carbon Majors Database<br>
<a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://b8f65cb373b1b7b15feb-c70d8ead6ced550b4d987d7c03fcdd1d.ssl.cf3.rackcdn.com/cms/reports/documents/000/002/327/original/Carbon-Majors-Report-2017.pdf?1499691240">CDP
Carbon Majors Report 2017</a><b><br>
</b>This report is aimed at investors wishing to better<br>
understand the amount of carbon associated with their<br>
fossil fuel holdings.<br>
- - <br>
100 fossil fuel producers and nearly 1 trillion tonnes of greenhouse
gas emissions<br>
The Carbon Majors Database stores greenhouse gas<br>
(GHG) emissions data on the largest company-related<br>
sources of all time. CDP's Carbon Majors Report 2017 is<br>
the first in an ongoing series of publications aimed at using<br>
this Database - the most comprehensive available - to<br>
highlight the role that corporations can play in driving the<br>
global energy transition.<br>
Large-scale GHG emissions data has traditionally been<br>
collected at the country-level. In fact, these emissions<br>
can be traced to a smaller group of commercial decision<br>
makers. The Carbon Majors Database was established<br>
in 2013 by Richard Heede of the Climate Accountability<br>
Institute (CAI) to show how these emissions are linked<br>
to companies, or 'Carbon Majors'. Now CDP works in<br>
collaboration with the CAI to maintain the Database and<br>
share its important data and insights with all stakeholders.<br>
This report looks at industrial carbon dioxide and methane<br>
emissions deriving from fossil fuel producers in the past,<br>
present, and future. In 1988, human-induced climate<br>
change was officially recognized through the establishment<br>
of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).<br>
Since this time, the fossil fuel industry has doubled its<br>
contribution to global warming by emitting as much<br>
greenhouse gas in 28 years as in the 237 years between<br>
1988 and the birth of the industrial revolution. Since 1988,<br>
more than half of global industrial GHGs can be traced to<br>
just 25 corporate and state producers.<br>
- - -<br>
<blockquote>Climate action is no longer confined to the direction
given by policy makers --<br>
it is now a social movement, commanded by both economic and
ethical imperatives <br>
and supported by growing amounts of data.<br>
</blockquote>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://b8f65cb373b1b7b15feb-c70d8ead6ced550b4d987d7c03fcdd1d.ssl.cf3.rackcdn.com/cms/reports/documents/000/002/327/original/Carbon-Majors-Report-2017.pdf?1499691240">https://b8f65cb373b1b7b15feb-c70d8ead6ced550b4d987d7c03fcdd1d.ssl.cf3.rackcdn.com/cms/reports/documents/000/002/327/original/Carbon-Majors-Report-2017.pdf?1499691240</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
[clips from the IPCC report technical summary]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://report.ipcc.ch/sr15/pdf/sr15_ts.pdf">Approval
Session Technical Summary IPCC SR1.5</a></b><br>
Human Systems: Human Health, Well-Being, Cities, and Poverty<br>
<b>Any increase in global warming (e.g., +0.5C) will affect human
health (high confidence). Risks</b><b><br>
</b><b>will be lower at 1.5C than at 2C for heat-related morbidity
and mortality (very high</b><b><br>
</b><b>confidence), particularly in urban areas because of urban
heat islands (high confidence).</b> Risks<br>
also will be greater for ozone-related mortality if the emissions
needed for the formation of ozone<br>
remain the same (high confidence), and for undernutrition (medium
confidence). Risks are projected<br>
to change for some vector-borne diseases such as malaria and dengue
fever (high confidence), with<br>
positive or negative trends depending on the disease, region, and
extent of change (high confidence).<br>
Incorporating estimates of adaptation into projections reduces the
magnitude of risks (high<br>
confidence) {3.4.7, 3.4.7.1}.<br>
<b>Global warming of 2C is expected to pose greater risks to urban
areas than global warming of</b><b><br>
</b><b>1.5C (medium confidence).</b> The extent of risk depends on
human vulnerability and the effectiveness<br>
of adaptation for regions (coastal and non-coastal), informal
settlements, and infrastructure sectors<br>
(energy, water, and transport) (high confidence) {3.4.5, 3.4.8}.<br>
<b>Poverty and disadvantage have increased with recent warming
(about 1oC) and are expected to</b><b><br>
</b><b>increase in many populations as average global temperatures
increase from 1oC to 1.5C and</b><b><br>
</b><b>beyond (medium confidence).</b> Outmigration in
agricultural-dependent communities is positively and<br>
statistically significantly associated with global temperature
(medium confidence). Our understanding<br>
of the linkages of 1.5ºC and 2ºC on human migration are limited and
represent an important<br>
knowledge gap {3.4.10, 3.4.11, 5.2.2, Table 3.5}<br>
- - - -<br>
<b>The fundamental societal and systemic changes to achieve
sustainable development, eradicate</b><b><br>
</b><b>poverty and reduce inequalities while limiting warming to
1.5C would require a set of</b><b><br>
</b><b>institutional, social, cultural, economic and technological
conditions to be met (high confidence).</b><b><br>
</b><b>The coordination and monitoring of policy actions across
sectors and spatial scales is essential to</b><b><br>
</b><b>support sustainable development in 1.5C warmer conditions
(very high confidence)</b> {5.6.2, Box 5.3}.<br>
External funding and technology transfer better support these
efforts when they consider recipients'<br>
context-specific needs (medium evidence, high agreement) {5.6.1}.
Inclusive processes can facilitate<br>
transformations by ensuring participation, transparency, capacity
building, and iterative social<br>
learning (high confidence) {5.5.3.3, Cross-Chapter Box 13, 5.6.3}.
Attention to power asymmetries<br>
and unequal opportunities for development, among and within
countries is key to adopting 1.5C compatible<br>
development pathways that benefit all populations (high confidence)
{5.5.3, 5.6.4, Box<br>
5.3}. Re-examining individual and collective values could help spur
urgent, ambitious, and<br>
cooperative change (medium evidence, high agreement) {5.5.3, 5.6.5}.<br>
<font size="-1">Clips from the summary at <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://report.ipcc.ch/sr15/pdf/sr15_ts.pdf">http://report.ipcc.ch/sr15/pdf/sr15_ts.pdf</a><br>
Full IPCC report - <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.ipcc.ch/report/sr15/">http://www.ipcc.ch/report/sr15/</a><br>
</font><br>
<br>
[OK and I've agreed not to be killed]<br>
<b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/20/opinion/sunday/lets-agree-not-to-kill-one-another.html">Let's
Agree Not to Kill One Another</a></b><br>
I was used to social media abuse. Then someone suggested shooting
me.<br>
Bill McKibben<br>
In a world where the president goes on Twitter to call a woman
"horseface" it seems pointless to call for "civility." So let me
suggest that we start with a lower bar, maybe one we could still
hope to achieve: Let's stop threatening to kill one another.<br>
- - -<br>
I count nonviolence as perhaps the greatest invention of the 20th
century, above all because it opens up the possibility for
conversion, not domination. That was the point of my op-ed essay,
the one that garnered me the death threat. But we should practice
nonviolence in ways small as well as large, prosaic as well as
dramatic.<br>
<br>
In the case of Watts Up With That, I'd made the effort at
de-escalation myself. A few years ago, I was scheduled to give an
organizing talk in the small California town where the website's
proprietor, Anthony Watts, lived. So I contacted him and invited him
out for a beer. I knew I wouldn't change his mind on climate change,
and he knew I would continue to think his work involved wrecking the
planet. But it always seems like a human idea to reach out.<br>
<br>
And it was fine. We had a couple of beers, he wrote up an account of
our conversation for his website, and even most of the commenters
saluted us for sitting down and talking. (It was odd enough that it
even got covered in The Times). But given the political world in
which we live, a world in which tribes divide up and then beat their
chests, it wasn't long before things were back to new ugly normal.<br>
<br>
I don't want this website shut down; I don't want the people who
write on it prosecuted. I definitely don't want them murdered. I
just want -- as the very beginning of some kind of return to the
gentler old normalcy -- for people to stop making death threats.
That seems to me the least we can ask of one another.<br>
<font size="-1"><br>
Bill McKibben, a founder of 350.org, teaches environmental studies
at Middlebury College and is the author of the forthcoming book
"Falter: Has the Human Game Begun to Play Itself Out?"</font><br>
<font size="-1"><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/20/opinion/sunday/lets-agree-not-to-kill-one-another.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/20/opinion/sunday/lets-agree-not-to-kill-one-another.html</a></font><br>
<br>
<br>
<font size="+1"><b><a moz-do-not-send="true"
href="http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/11/26/holocausts/?_r=0">This
Day in Climate History - October 22, 2007</a> - from D.R.
Tucker</b></font><br>
October 22, 2007: NASA climate scientist James Hansen declares:<br>
<blockquote>"Coal will determine whether we continue to increase
climate change or slow the human impact. Increased fossil fuel CO2
in the air today, compared to the pre-industrial atmosphere, is
due 50% to coal, 35% to oil and 15% to gas. As oil resources peak,
coal will determine future CO2 levels. Recently, after giving a
high school commencement talk in my hometown, Denison, Iowa, I
drove from Denison to Dunlap, where my parents are buried. For
most of 20 miles there were trains parked, engine to caboose, half
of the cars being filled with coal. If we cannot stop the building
of more coal-fired power plants, those coal trains will be death
trains – no less gruesome than if they were boxcars headed to
crematoria, loaded with uncountable irreplaceable species.”<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/11/26/holocausts/?_r=0">http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/11/26/holocausts/?_r=0</a><br>
<br>
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