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<i><font size="+1"><b>June 4, 2020</b></font></i><br>
<br>
[opinion on distractionism]<br>
<b>I'm a black climate expert. Racism derails our efforts to save
the planet.</b><br>
Stopping climate change is hard enough, but racism only makes it
harder<br>
- - -<br>
So, to white people who care about maintaining a habitable planet, I
need you to become actively anti-racist. I need you to understand
that our racial inequality crisis is intertwined with our climate
crisis. If we don't work on both, we will succeed at neither. I need
you to step up. Please. Because I am exhausted.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/06/03/im-black-climate-scientist-racism-derails-our-efforts-save-planet/">https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/06/03/im-black-climate-scientist-racism-derails-our-efforts-save-planet/</a><br>
<p>- - <br>
</p>
[NYTimes]<br>
<b>Black Environmentalists Talk About Climate and Anti-Racism</b><br>
It's impossible to live sustainably without tackling inequality,
activists say...<br>
- - <br>
"Police violence is an aspect of a broader pattern of structural
violence, which the climate crisis is a manifestation of," he said.
"Healing structural violence is actually in the best interest of all
human beings."<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/03/climate/black-environmentalists-talk-about-climate-and-anti-racism.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/03/climate/black-environmentalists-talk-about-climate-and-anti-racism.html</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[Changes]<br>
<b>New study found climate change is likely fueling stronger
hurricanes</b><br>
A joint study found in every region in the world where hurricanes
form showed that the maximum sustained winds are getting stronger
and they believe climate change is to blame.<br>
<br>
Researchers analyzed 40 years of satellite data and said the
findings are in line with what they'd expect from a warming climate,
which is quickly rising ocean temperatures. This is because warm
water acts as fuel to the fire that is a hurricane or tropical
storm. <br>
<br>
The joint study was from NOAA's National Center for Environmental
Information and the University of Wisconsin-Madison...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.wwlp.com/weather/weather-news/new-study-found-climate-change-is-likely-fueling-stronger-storms/">https://www.wwlp.com/weather/weather-news/new-study-found-climate-change-is-likely-fueling-stronger-storms/</a><br>
- - - <br>
[check weather]<br>
<b>New Study Shows Global Warming Intensifying Extreme Rainstorms
Over North America</b><br>
The current warming trajectory could bring 100-year rainstorms as
often as every 2.5 years by 2100, driving calls for improved
infrastructure and planning.<br>
BY BOB BERWYN, INSIDECLIMATE NEWS<br>
New research showing how global warming intensifies extreme rainfall
at the regional level could help communities better prepare for
storms that in the decades ahead threaten to swamp cities and farms.<br>
<br>
The likelihood of intense storms is rising rapidly in North America,
and the study, published Monday in the Proceedings of the National
Academy of Sciences, projects big increases in such deluges.<br>
<br>
"The longer you have the warming, the stronger the signal gets, and
the more you can separate it from random natural variability," said
co-author Megan Kirchmeier-Young, a climate scientist with
Environment Canada.<br>
- -<br>
"We're finding that extreme precipitation has increased over North
America, and we're finding that's consistent with what the models
are showing about the influence of human-caused warming," she said.
"We have very high confidence of extreme precipitation in the
future." <br>
- -<br>
"You can't just look at the water, at the heavier rain, and how fast
it's running down the rivers," she said. "It's about how humans and
water interact at all levels, and how politics controls where the
water is. It's about who is at risk of flooding and whether those
people have any agency to reduce the risk." <br>
<br>
New research like the PNAS study that shows the regional fingerprint
of global warming on extreme rainfall can help reduce the risk, she
said, because it enables better short-term forecasts. <br>
<br>
"We have a lot of the right science in place but we still can't
predict the exact locations and amounts," she said. "We don't quite
understand the development of the water cycle and we often
underestimate rainfall for those reasons. But we shouldn't be
surprised that these rains are happening. We're going to see entire
cities at a standstill."<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://insideclimatenews.org/news/01062020/extreme-rain-study-climate-change">https://insideclimatenews.org/news/01062020/extreme-rain-study-climate-change</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[connections]<br>
<b>Your guide to comparing climate change and coronavirus</b><br>
Amy Harder, author of Generate<br>
Climate change and the coronavirus have a lot more in common than
the letter C, but their differences explain society's divergent
responses to each.<br>
<br>
Why it matters: The Internet is full of comparisons, some from
biased perspectives. I'm going to try to cut through the noise to
help discerning readers looking for objective information.<br>
<br>
Here are some of the more common comparisons made on climate change
and the coronavirus over the last few months and corresponding
reality checks.<br>
<br>
Comparison: Pandemics and climate change are both massive risks that
much of the world is ignoring or downplaying.<br>
Reality check: True.<br>
<br>
They're both gray rhino risks. As I wrote in this column early in
the pandemic, a gray rhino is a metaphor coined by risk expert
Michele Wucker to describe "highly obvious, highly probable, but
still neglected" dangers, as opposed to unforeseeable or highly
improbable risks -- the kind in the black swan metaphor.<br>
<br>
Comparison: They're both existential crises of our time.<br>
Reality check: Partially true.<br>
<br>
The pandemic will define our generation uniquely, while climate
change will wear on for many.<br>
<br>
The word "crisis" implies a finite beginning and end, which
certainly fits the bill of the pandemic. At some point, just like
past pandemics, this coronavirus will likely recede, become
normalized or be resolved with a vaccine.<br>
<p> I don't use the word crisis to describe climate change because
humanity is going to be living with impacts of a warming world
indefinitely even if we do drastically reduce heat-trapping
emissions. It doesn't have finite parameters that typically define
crises.</p>
Comparison: The coronavirus is climate change on warp speed.<br>
Reality check: False.<br>
<br>
This characterization, made by environmentalists and other experts,
fails to appreciate the inherent differences in these types of
risks.<br>
<br>
It's like saying a cheetah is a turtle, only faster. Yes, they're
both animals, but otherwise they have inherent differences that
means the turtle will never be faster than the cheetah.<br>
Climate change is, by definition, a slow-moving, centuries-long
problem whose impact on the world is uneven and secondary. A
pandemic is fast-moving and relatively equal in how it affects
different parts of the world.<br>
<br>
Comparison: They both threaten our public health.<br>
Reality check: True.<br>
<br>
But the coronavirus could kill someone within two weeks, while
climate change does it more slowly and in a more indirect fashion.<br>
<br>
Climate change is like diabetes for the planet: It makes existing
weather events and patterns worse. Its exacerbating impact can
increase the likelihood over many decades that crises like heat
waves and other extreme weather events could kill people.<br>
Again, it comes down to the time difference, which explains
society's immediate response to the coronavirus and its slow and
uneven response to climate change.<br>
<br>
Comparison: Scientists have been sounding the alarm for years --
even decades -- that a pandemic like the coronavirus could devastate
humanity, and also that unabated climate change would wreak havoc on
the planet.<br>
Reality check: True.<br>
<br>
Putting politics aside (an impossible task), our experience with the
pandemic should instill more faith in scientists. Yet our
hyper-polarized world has fixed a blue and red lens onto the
pandemic, just like it has with climate change, Axios-Ipsos
Coronavirus Index and Pew Research Polling data shows.<br>
<br>
Comparison: The fact that the predictions from scientific modeling
about the coronavirus didn't bear out weeks later shows why climate
change models predicting vast ecological harm over decades should
not be trusted.<br>
Reality check: False.<br>
<br>
This argument, perpetuated by those who question the scientific
consensus of climate change, are either purposefully or ignorantly
misunderstanding how modeling works.<br>
<br>
Modeling exists to show what happens if you don't change behavior.
At least with the coronavirus, we are able to view change --
flattening of the curve -- in a rapid timeline.<br>
With climate change, the change happens over generations, making it
far more difficult to see and react to in real time.<br>
Whether the subject is climate change, pandemics or anything else,
modelers aren't trying to predict exactly what will happen, but
instead possibilities of what could happen -- as inconvenient as
that may be for our polarizing debates.<br>
<br>
The bottom line: Coronavirus and climate change are both complex,
terrible risks the world is facing today. Making them out to be more
or less than what they are does a disservice to anyone looking for
solutions.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.axios.com/climate-change-coronavirus-comparison-5fc7dd94-b303-4de6-98c2-6f4e517fce4b.html">https://www.axios.com/climate-change-coronavirus-comparison-5fc7dd94-b303-4de6-98c2-6f4e517fce4b.html</a><br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
[fantasy and experimentation]<br>
<b>The Fast, Cheap and Scary Way to Cool the Planet</b><br>
Read more at:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.bloombergquint.com/onweb/solar-geoengineering-cooling-the-planet-can-be-fast-and-cheap">https://www.bloombergquint.com/onweb/solar-geoengineering-cooling-the-planet-can-be-fast-and-cheap</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<br>
[Need for clear data]<br>
<b>Experts Warn Climate Change Is Already Killing Way More People
Than We Record</b><br>
CARLY CASSELLA - 25 MAY 2020<br>
People around the world are already dying from the climate crisis,
and yet all too often, official death records do not reflect the
impact of these large-scale environmental catastrophes.<br>
<br>
According to a team of Australian health experts, heat is the most
dominant risk posed by climate change in the country. If the world's
emissions remain the same, by 2080 Australian cities could see at
least four times the number of deaths from increasing temperatures
alone.<br>
<br>
"Climate change is a killer, but we don't acknowledge it on death
certificates," says physician Arnagretta Hunter from the Australian
National University.<br>
<br>
That's a potentially serious oversight. In a newly-published
correspondence, Hunter and four other public health experts estimate
Australia's mortality records have substantially underreported
heat-related deaths - at least 50-fold.<br>
<br>
While death certificates in Australia do actually have a section for
pre-existing conditions and other factors, external climate
conditions are rarely taken into account.<br>
<br>
Between 2006 and 2017, the analysis found less than 0.1 percent of
1.7 million deaths were attributed directly or indirectly to
excessive natural heat. But this new analysis suggests the nation's
heat-related mortality is around 2 percent.<br>
<br>
"We know the summer bushfires were a consequence of extraordinary
heat and drought and people who died during the bushfires were not
just those fighting fires - many Australians had early deaths due to
smoke exposure," says Hunter.<br>
<br>
"If you have an asthma attack and die during heavy smoke exposure
from bushfires, the death certificate should include that
information," she adds.<br>
<br>
Without those data, we'll never truly know the scale of what we are
dealing with. But while it's possible to diagnose someone with a
heart attack or cancer, it's much harder to draw links between
climate events and human mortality.<br>
<br>
The authors of the correspondence compare it to a lightning strike,
which might cause a branch to fall on a person and kill them. The
thing is, the resulting death certificate might not make any
reference to the lightning at all, only the branch.<br>
<br>
"Climate change is a concern to many people. But if the effect of
extreme temperatures is not recorded, its full impact can never be
understood," the authors argue.<br>
<br>
"Death certification needs to be modernised, indirect causes should
be reported, with all death certification prompting for external
factors contributing to death, and these death data must be coupled
with large-scale environmental datasets so that impact assessments
can be done."<br>
<br>
Such action, they say, is imperative. Not only for Australia but
many other countries in the world. The United Kingdom has documented
some problems with accurately filling out death certificates, and
cities in several parts of the world are on track for similar
heat-related mortality rates as Australia.<br>
<br>
But there are some places that will need to do more than just update
their current system. In the tropics, there's little valid mortality
data on the more than 2 billion people who live in this
heat-vulnerable region. And that makes predicting what will happen
to these communities in the future much trickier.<br>
<br>
"Climate change is the single greatest health threat that we face
globally even after we recover from coronavirus," says Hunter.<br>
<br>
"We are successfully tracking deaths from coronavirus, but we also
need healthcare workers and systems to acknowledge the relationship
between our health and our environment."<br>
<br>
In an unpredictable world, if we want to know where we're going, we
have to know where we've been. Figuring out how many of us have
already died from climate change will be key to that process. We
can't ignore it any longer.<br>
<br>
The correspondence was published in The Lancet Planetary Health.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.sciencealert.com/official-death-records-are-terrible-at-showing-how-many-people-are-dying-from-the-climate-crisis">https://www.sciencealert.com/official-death-records-are-terrible-at-showing-how-many-people-are-dying-from-the-climate-crisis</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[Digging back into the internet news archive]<br>
<font size="+1"><b>On this day in the history of global warming -
June 4, 2002 </b></font><br>
<p>President George W. Bush dismisses an EPA report on the threat of
human-caused climate change, deriding what he called "the report
put out by the bureaucracy."<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://www.nytimes.com/2002/06/05/us/president-distances-himself-from-global-warming-report.html">http://www.nytimes.com/2002/06/05/us/president-distances-himself-from-global-warming-report.html</a>
<br>
<br>
<br>
</p>
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