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<i><font size="+1"><b>June 12, 2020</b></font></i><br>
<br>
[campaigns - Data for Progress]<br>
<b>MEMO: IN 2020, CLIMATE IS A WINNING ISSUE FOR DEMOCRATS</b><br>
By Ethan Winter, Julian Brave NoiseCat, and Marcela Mulholland<br>
<b>Executive Summary</b><br>
<blockquote>- - Voters have a positive impression of an agenda to
tackle climate change. A Green New Deal, for instance, maintains a
net favorable rating of eleven percentage points. <br>
<br>
- - Voters trust the Democratic Party more than the Republican
Party when it comes to climate change by an 18 percentage point
margin. <br>
<br>
- - Firm commitments on the part of former Vice President Joe
Biden provide an avenue for winning increased support - especially
with voters under forty-five. <br>
</blockquote>
As part of a May survey, Data for Progress sought to test attitudes
around a series of issues surrounding climate change. We were
especially interested in the way climate change is influencing the
ongoing presidential campaign, general opinions towards
climate-related individuals and organizations, and potential support
for a host of proposals designed to combat climate change.<br>
<br>
[Read the full memo]<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://filesforprogress.org/memos/climate-change-winning-issue-2020.pdf">http://filesforprogress.org/memos/climate-change-winning-issue-2020.pdf</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.dataforprogress.org/memos/climate-change-winning-issue-2020">https://www.dataforprogress.org/memos/climate-change-winning-issue-2020</a><br>
<p>- - -<br>
</p>
[Campaign 2020]<br>
<b>Trump's biggest weakness? The environment, polls show</b><br>
Scott Waldman, E&E News reporter -Thursday, June 11, 2020<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.eenews.net/stories/1063366837">https://www.eenews.net/stories/1063366837</a><br>
Recent polling has shown that U.S. voters are more split on
environmental issues -- rather than health care, race relations or
the economy -- when it comes to their impressions of Biden and
Trump. <br>
<br>
One of the widest gaps in how voters perceive the presidential
candidates is on environmental policy, even as the nation reckons
with a deadly pandemic and an eruption of protests over racial
injustice.<br>
<br>
Recent polls reveal broad mistrust of President Trump's handling of
environmental issues, suggesting that Joe Biden, the presumptive
Democratic nominee, has a large advantage on those issues less than
five months before the election.<br>
<br>
The gulf between Trump and Biden on the environment is larger than
their perceived differences to voters over race relations, the
economy and health care, according to recent polling. Those issues
are nevertheless expected to be central themes of the November
election.<br>
<br>
"The president has earned his disadvantage on the environment," said
former Rep. Carlos Curbelo (R-Fla.). "In many ways, the challenge of
climate change is similar to the challenge posed to the world by the
novel coronavirus. Climate change requires international
cooperation, bold action, serious sober leadership, and the
president doesn't do well in those scenarios."<br>
<br>
Trump was 20 percentage points behind Biden on the environment, with
46% of respondents saying the former vice president would do a
better job and 26% saying Trump was better, according to a poll
released last week by Research Co. It was conducted as protests
began across the country.<br>
<br>
That suggests the candidates are further apart on the environment
than on race relations (17-percentage-point difference), even though
the survey was conducted as protests erupted in cities across the
country. Forty-four percent of likely voters preferred Biden's
handling of racial issues compared with 27% for Trump.<br>
<br>
Those findings echo a Morning Consult poll released last month. It
found a 19-percentage-point gap between the candidates on the
environment. The survey said it "dwarfs that of all other issues."<br>
<br>
Since Biden became the presumptive Democratic nominee in March, he
has led Trump on environmental issues by 17.2 percentage points on
average, according to Morning Consult. That gap persisted as the
biggest difference between the candidates through five Morning
Consult polls conducted between March and May.<br>
<br>
Voters trust Democrats to handle climate change better than
Republicans by an 18-percentage-point margin, according to a memo
released Monday by Data for Progress. The group's polling found that
Biden could strengthen his support among young voters by developing
a more aggressive climate platform.<br>
<br>
Activists have been pushing him to be more aggressive in combating
greenhouse gas emissions from fossil fuels and to strengthen his
policies toward helping communities of color grapple with rising
temperatures.<br>
<br>
"If we are able to turn the 2020 election into a referendum on
President Trump and the Republican Party's very backwards stance on
climate change ... I really like the terms of that debate," said
Julian Brave NoiseCat, vice president of policy and strategy for the
progressive think tank Data for Progress.<br>
<br>
The number of protests sparked by the death of George Floyd stands
to increase the gap in voter preference between Trump and Biden on
race, observers said.<br>
<br>
That could mean voters who are focused on the environment may shift
their focus to police reform, said Michael Fauntroy, a political
science professor at Howard University and author of "Republicans
and the Black Vote."<br>
<br>
"There's a very limited capacity for the public in even calm times
to pay attention to a lot of things at once, and so I'm worried from
an environmental policy perspective that the issues that need to be
considered in that regard, that candidates need to address, won't be
called on to address because of these more important issues," he
said.<br>
<br>
Likely voters who tend to be involved in the protests -- younger
people and people of color -- also tend to be involved in climate
issues, according to researchers. And the prevalence of the
environment as a wedge issue between the candidates has likely been
reinforced by the pandemic, said Nathaniel Stinnett, executive
director of the nonpartisan Environmental Voter Project.<br>
<br>
As the country reveals divisions over following health experts with
regard to self-quarantines versus reopening the economy, voters are
more likely to see Biden and Trump in starkly different terms.<br>
<br>
"It almost seems that the pandemic is actually further clarifying
people's views on the climate crisis and environment issues because
their struggle is similar in many ways," Stinnett said. "The
pandemic is throwing into sharp relief what it means to create a
society that can deal with these enormous public health challenges
and accept scientific solutions."<br>
<br>
There are still younger voters who can be persuaded to vote in the
fall, since neither candidate has won over the younger-than-45 age
group, observers said. And while progressives may be motivated to
vote for Biden if he strengthens his climate platform, he could also
pick up some Republicans, particularly in key states like Florida,
where environmental issues are bipartisan, said Curbelo, who was
among the most vocal Republican lawmakers on climate issues.<br>
<br>
"The issue could make the difference among moderate Republicans,
younger Republicans who feel strongly about the need for the
government to address climate change meaningfully," he said. "So
it's not just that this is a top issue, it could be the deciding
issue in certain states."<br>
Twitter: @scottpwaldmanEmail: <a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="mailto:swaldman@eenews.net">swaldman@eenews.net</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.eenews.net/stories/1063366837">https://www.eenews.net/stories/1063366837</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[One more thing changing]<br>
JUNE 11, 2020<br>
<b>Extreme waves set to get bigger and more frequent due to climate
change</b><br>
A warming planet will cause stronger storm winds triggering larger
and more frequent extreme waves over the next 80 years, with largest
increases shown in the Southern Ocean, according to new research.<br>
<br>
Researchers at the University of Melbourne have simulated Earth's
changing climate under different wind conditions, recreating
thousands of simulated storms to evaluate the magnitude and
frequency of extreme events.<br>
<br>
The study found that if global emissions are not curbed there will
be an increase of up to 10 percent in the frequency and magnitude of
extreme waves in extensive ocean regions.<br>
<br>
In contrast, researchers found there would be a significantly lower
increase where effective steps are taken to reduce emissions and
dependence on fossil fuels. In both scenarios, the largest increase
in magnitude and frequency of extreme waves is in the Southern
Ocean..<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://phys.org/news/2020-06-extreme-bigger-frequent-due-climate.html">https://phys.org/news/2020-06-extreme-bigger-frequent-due-climate.html</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<p>[One candidate listening - video 3 mins]<br>
<b>Town Hall: Candidate Jen Richardson (MI-6) and Peter Sinclair
on Renewable Energy</b><br>
Selected Transcript:<br>
</p>
<blockquote>"It worries me to have two private monopolies taking all
the money..."<br>
<br>
Here's the interesting thing about renewable energy -- by its
nature it is distributed.<br>
and if history teaches us anything, is that political power
follows money -- no big surprise there<br>
<br>
And the way you're generating electricity which is fundamental to
your economy<br>
<br>
One of the fundamental pieces is based on big central power plants
-- if I live in a small town or rural Michigan I turn on a light
switch the money is<br>
going in a way -- it's going God knows where eventually -- I
suppose to some bank in New York<br>
<br>
But if there are wind turbines in my community then every time I
turn on the light, revenue is coming to my community<br>
<br>
It's going into the pockets of farmers, it's going into the tax
rolls of townships and counties -- who are then spending it on
things like schools and roads and teachers and sheriff's deputies
and fire departments and libraries.<br>
<br>
It is creating, it is giving the opportunity for more political
power, more political impetus<br>
for these bodies right down to the township level right that they
that had been hollowed out that there had been<br>
<br>
These communities have been left behind but now they have the
potential to see wind turbines, to see<br>
solar fields -- they have the potential for anybody with a
good-sized flat roof or a parking lot is going to have the
potential to put solar.<br>
<br>
Michigan state has a parking lot solar ten megawatt solar array
that is fantastically successful they're going to triple it in
size so we're gonna see<br>
the the devolution of power to the periphery to to to from states
down to counties down to townships down to communities down to
small businesses and<br>
farmers and individuals yes.<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pn-3J2bEkec">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pn-3J2bEkec</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[terrible, but not surprising]<br>
<b>'Exceptionally Troubling': Researchers Show Hack-for-Hire
Operation Targeted Groups Fighting for Climate Action and Net
Neutrality</b><br>
"If the investigation demonstrates that Exxon is behind these
attacks, it only shows how far the fossil fuel industry will go to
silence critics."<br>
by Julia Conley, staff writer<br>
The Canadian digital watchdog group Citizen Lab reported Tuesday
that a hack-for-hire group targeted thousands of organizations
around the world, including climate advocacy groups involved in the
#ExxonKnew campaign.<br>
<br>
Groups that have asserted ExxonMobil knew about and hid data linking
fossil fuel extraction to the climate crisis for years were among
those that faced phishing attempts by a group dubbed "Dark Basin" by
Citizen Lab. According to the research, numerous progressive
groups--including Public Citizen, Greenpeace, 350.org, and Oil
Change International--were among those targeted.<br>
<br>
After an extensive multi-year investigation, Citizen Lab reported
that it has linked Dark Basin "with high confidence" to BellTroX
InfoTech Services, a technology company based in India which has
publicly stated its hacking capabilities. <br>
In 2017 when Citizen Lab began its investigation, the group believed
Dark Basin could be state-sponsored, but soon determined it was
likely a hack-for-hire operation. Its targets--which also included
journalists, elected officials, and digital rights groups that have
lobbied for net neutrality--"were often on only one side of a
contested legal proceeding, advocacy issue, or business deal."<br>
<br>
The watchdog has not been able to definitively link Dark Basin's
phishing efforts to particular entities which would have an interest
in threatening the #ExxonKnew campaign and net neutrality advocates.<br>
<br>
"That said, the extensive targeting of American nonprofits
exercising their First Amendment rights is exceptionally troubling,"
wrote Citizen Lab in its report...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.commondreams.org/news/2020/06/10/exceptionally-troubling-researchers-show-hack-hire-operation-targeted-groups">https://www.commondreams.org/news/2020/06/10/exceptionally-troubling-researchers-show-hack-hire-operation-targeted-groups</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[Yale Climate Connections audio 1:30]<br>
<b>Retreat from rising seas may require more than moving homes</b><br>
When people relocate, they will also need jobs, schools, community
centers, hospitals - and each other.<br>
Rising seas and erosion are putting many low-lying coastal
communities in jeopardy.<br>
<br>
"Some of the places become essentially uninhabitable after a while.
Some of the islands in the South Pacific, off the Coast of Alaska,
and other places … really don't have a chance of existing 50 years
from now," says Andrew Dannenberg of the University of Washington.<br>
<br>
He says the risks are forcing some small communities to relocate,
which can be traumatic.<br>
<br>
"Many of these communities are indigenous communities they have
lived there for centuries," he says. "And the idea of abandoning
your land and moving is culturally and socially and mentally very
difficult."<br>
<br>
So he says to support vulnerable people, relocation may need to
include more than moving homes. To thrive, people also need jobs,
schools, community centers, hospitals, and each other.<br>
<br>
"It's the culture and resources around you," Dannenberg says. "It's
everything from having transportation systems, having sanitation
systems, it's having the social support of people in the community."<br>
<br>
Making this all part of a community's relocation plan can be
challenging, and funding is often scarce. But Dannenberg says that a
holistic approach is important to people's health and wellbeing.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.yaleclimateconnections.org/2020/06/retreat-from-rising-seas-may-require-more-than-moving-homes/">https://www.yaleclimateconnections.org/2020/06/retreat-from-rising-seas-may-require-more-than-moving-homes/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[leaving Weather Underground now to Yale]<br>
<b>Jeff Masters, Bob Henson to post regularly for YCC</b><br>
Two respected meteorologists to provide regular analyses,
commentary, insights on extreme weather and climate change issues.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.yaleclimateconnections.org/2020/06/jeff-masters-bob-henson-to-post-regularly-for-ycc/">https://www.yaleclimateconnections.org/2020/06/jeff-masters-bob-henson-to-post-regularly-for-ycc/</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/end-of-an-era-category-6-to-close-shop-this-month">https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/end-of-an-era-category-6-to-close-shop-this-month</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<p> </p>
[Digging back into the internet news archive - this is an important
mark in history]<br>
<font size="+1"><b>On this day in the history of global warming -
June 12, 1996 </b></font><br>
Unrepentant professional climate-change denialist Frederick Seitz
wrongfully accuses climate scientist Ben Santer of fraud in a Wall
Street Journal op-ed. Seitz's claims are quickly debunked, but the
op-ed forms the centerpiece of a years-long effort by the fossil
fuel industry to destroy Santer's life, reputation and career. <br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.odlt.org/dcd/docs/Seitz%20-%20A%20Major%20Deception%20on%20Global%20Warming.pdf">http://www.odlt.org/dcd/docs/Seitz%20-%20A%20Major%20Deception%20on%20Global%20Warming.pdf</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://stephenschneider.stanford.edu/Publications/PDF_Papers/WSJ_June25.pdf">http://stephenschneider.stanford.edu/Publications/PDF_Papers/WSJ_June25.pdf</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Py2XVILHUjQ">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Py2XVILHUjQ</a> <b>32000 Scientists </b>[This
such an important video]<br>
<br>
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