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<p><i><font size="+1"><b>December 31, 2020</b></font></i><br>
</p>
[clips from year-end lists]<br>
<b>Fires, floods, hurricanes, and locusts: 2020 was an epic year for
disasters</b><br>
A record number of billion-dollar disasters struck the US in 2020
amid the Covid-19 pandemic.<br>
By Umair Irfan Dec 30, 2020<br>
<br>
The Covid-19 pandemic was unfortunately not the only natural
disaster of 2020. There were so many that it’s easy to forget
everything that happened this year. Here is a brief sampling of
2020’s weather-related events:<br>
<blockquote>-- The year began with a series of bushfires in
Australia that forced thousands to flee, killed at least 29 people
and more than a billion animals. The fires that sent smoke around
the world had ignited amid weeks of record-breaking heat and
drought.<br>
-- Swarms of locusts descended on East Africa, the Middle East,
and South Asia, threatening food supplies for millions of people
in the spring. The swarms were triggered in part by torrential
rainfall in East Africa.<br>
-- This summer, California experienced its worst fire season on
record in terms of area burned, as well as its largest single
wildfire on record. Colorado also had its largest wildfire in
history, and blazes in Washington and Oregon created an
unprecedented disaster.<br>
-- A record number of wildfires this summer swept through the
Pantanal, the world’s largest tropical wetlands, spanning Bolivia,
Brazil, and Paraguay. Many of these blazes were illegally ignited
to clear land for agriculture, and spread because of hot and dry
conditions in an area that’s usually wet.<br>
-- A powerful storm known as a derecho swept through South Dakota,
Nebraska, Illinois, and Iowa in October and became the most costly
thunderstorm in US history, causing an estimated $7.5 billion in
damages.<br>
Residents are carried on a forklift truck to dry land through
flood waters brought by heavy rain from Typhoon Vamco after it
made landfall in Thua Thien Hue province on November 15, 2020.<br>
Storms like Typhoon Vamco brought deadly flooding in Vietnam. Huy
Thanh/AFP via Getty Images<br>
-- Typhoon Goni became the largest tropical storm to ever make
landfall when it struck the Philippines in October, whipping the
country with winds reaching 195 miles per hour.<br>
-- More than 100 people died in Vietnam in October amid the worst
flooding in decades, triggered by tropical storms and typhoons.<br>
-- The Atlantic Ocean experienced its most active hurricane season
on record, with 30 named storms as the season closed in November.
The hurricanes wrought destruction across the Caribbean and
Central America, while forcing thousands to flee in the United
States. More than 400 people were killed by Atlantic tropical
storms this season.<br>
-- In the waning days of 2020, Tropical Storm Chalane struck the
coast of Mozambique, bringing heavy rains and 75 mph winds to a
region that is still recovering from the devastating strike by
Cyclone Idai last year.<br>
</blockquote>
These disasters were deadly and destructive, and several of them
nudged records even higher. But while their origins are in nature,
humanity’s actions are what made these events truly devastating.
From continuing to build in high-risk areas, to failing to evacuate
people at risk, to changing the climate, disasters often end up with
a far higher toll than they would otherwise. As populations increase
in vulnerable areas and with climate change pushing weather toward
greater extremes, the risks are poised to grow.<br>
<br>
<b>2020 was the year of the compound disaster</b><br>
Covid-19 was lurking in the background of most natural disasters
this year. Since the pandemic began, efforts to contain it
complicated everything from locust control pesticide spraying to
organizing camps for wildland firefighters.<br>
<br>
And people fleeing disasters faced extra challenges as they tried to
maintain social distance in shelters that tend to force people into
close proximity...<br>
- -<br>
At the same time, disasters made it harder to contain the spread of
the coronavirus, which has already killed more than 1.79 million
people around the world. The pandemic also devastated the global
economy, and many local disaster responders saw budget cuts and
layoffs just as they needed support the most...<br>
<br>
“Yes, it’s a health crisis,” said Aaron Clark-Ginsberg, a social
scientist who studies disasters at the RAND Corporation. “It’s also
an economic crisis, and it’s a social crisis.”<br>
<br>
Disasters in 2020 also compounded when extreme weather struck
repeatedly. Louisiana, for instance, saw a record five major storms
make landfall this year, including Hurricane Laura, the strongest
storm to strike the region in 150 years.<br>
<br>
Meanwhile, back-to-back wildfires across the Western United States
not only destroyed homes and businesses, but cast smoke over huge
swaths of the country, turning skies orange and making breathing the
air as bad as smoking a pack of cigarettes in a day. That dirty air
in turn worsened risks for Covid-19, a disease that afflicts the
airways. “Exposure to air pollutants in wildfire smoke can irritate
the lungs, cause inflammation, alter immune function, and increase
susceptibility to respiratory infections, likely including
COVID-19,” according to the Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention.<br>
<br>
The events this year showed that disasters aren’t singular events,
but overlapping and intersecting phenomena. In the future, disaster
planners will have to better account for how many things can go
wrong at once, and that areas may not have time to fully recover
from one catastrophe before the next one strikes....<br>
- -<br>
It’s clear then that the impacts of disasters stem from forces of
nature as well as humanity’s decisions. However, because people are
driving many of the factors that make extreme weather so
devastating, people can also take steps to reduce these impacts.
That can take the form of relocating away from high-risk areas,
building seawalls and protective infrastructure, and investing more
in disaster management so communities can recover faster. And over
the long term, reducing greenhouse gas emissions will help avert the
most extreme disaster scenarios.<br>
<br>
But the impacts of the disasters this year will linger for a long
time as people look to rebuild their lives and cope with the trauma.
“Disasters change people, they change communities, and they change
societies,” said Clark-Ginsberg. That means the shadow of 2020 will
likely stretch well into 2021 — and beyond.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22204677/Screen_Shot_2020_12_30_at_10.10.55_AM.png">https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22204677/Screen_Shot_2020_12_30_at_10.10.55_AM.png</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[The year -clips from The Guardian]<br>
<b>Floods, storms and searing heat: 2020 in extreme weather</b><br>
While Covid has dominated the news, the world has also felt the
effects of human-driven global heating<br>
by Jonathan Watts - 30 Dec 2020...<br>
- -<br>
Scientists are surprised temperatures have been so high in the
absence of an El Niño, the phenomenon that boosts warmer years such
as the current record, 2016. On the contrary, the latter half of
this year there was the emergence of a cooling La Niña, which
churned up chillier-than-normal waters in the equatorial Pacific.
Petteri Taalas, the secretary-general of the WMO, said that without
this influence, 2020 would certainly have been the warmest year ever
measured.<br>
<br>
In climate terms, the long-term trend is more important than
individual records, but it is the latter that directly affects lives
and livelihoods. Unusual heat, drought, fires or storms can be
caused by natural variation, local factors or industrial emissions,
but scientists are increasingly able to identify that extreme
weather events are more frequent and intense as greenhouse gases
build up in the atmosphere...<br>
Humankind’s fingerprint was particularly evident in the Siberian
heatwave, which was made at least 600 times more probable by humans,
and the Australian bushfires, which were made more than 30% more
likely.<br>
<br>
Here is how this year unfolded with global heating at 1.1C above
pre-industrial levels. This toll may seem horrifying, but it is just
a sample – and will be modest compared with a future world on course
for more than 3C of warming.<br>
[Months of 2020:]<br>
<b>JANUARY</b><br>
Hottest January on record...<br>
<b>FEBRUARY</b><br>
Second-hottest February on record...<br>
<b>MARCH</b><br>
Second-hottest March on record...<br>
<b>APRIL</b><br>
Second-hottest April on record...<br>
<b>MAY</b><br>
Joint-hottest May on record...<br>
<b>JULY</b><br>
Second-hottest July on record...<br>
<b>AUGUST</b><br>
Second-hottest August on record..<br>
<b>SEPTEMBER</b><br>
World’s hottest September on record...<br>
<b>OCTOBER</b><br>
World’s fourth hottest October on record...<br>
<b>NOVEMBER</b><br>
World’s second-hottest November on record...<br>
<b>30 December</b><br>
Almost one year on from the first reported case of Covid-19 in
Wuhan, China, the worldwide death toll of the pandemic has passed
1.6 million people and is estimated to cause $28tn of losses.
Scientists have warned such outbreaks will become more common as the
world’s natural life support systems, including the climate, break
down as a result of rising temperatures, deforestation and the
illegal wildlife trade. The UN secretary general says humanity has
been waging war on nature, and that making peace will be the
defining task of the 21st century...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/dec/30/floods-storms-and-searing-heat-2020-in-extreme-weather">https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/dec/30/floods-storms-and-searing-heat-2020-in-extreme-weather</a>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[worse than old Soviet industries]<br>
<b>A German Initiative Seeks to Curb Global Emissions of a Climate
Super-Pollutant</b><br>
The nitrous oxide emissions from hundreds of chemical plants
globally, 300 times more warming than carbon dioxide, are the
greenhouse equivalent of 45 million cars.<br>
By Phil McKenna - December 30, 2020<br>
- -<br>
In 2019, the Donaldsonville plant released 6,665 tons of nitrous
oxide into the atmosphere, according to information plant owner CF
Industries submitted to the Environmental Protection Agency. That
is equal to the annual greenhouse gas emissions of 430,000
automobiles.<br>
<br>
Nitrous oxide, or N2O, the “laughing gas” long administered by
dentists, is a climate super-pollutant nearly 300 times more warming
of the planet than carbon dioxide. Emissions of the gas, which do
not cause local health impacts, are unregulated in most countries,
including the United States and Uzbekistan. <br>
<br>
The divergent paths the plants’ owners have chosen to address N2O
emissions highlight how global climate policies have largely failed
to address an easy, low-cost fix that could dramatically curb global
greenhouse gas emissions. The Uzbek plant also shows how some of the
world’s poorest countries, aided by the German government, may soon
surpass the U.S. in efforts to mitigate a potent greenhouse gas...<br>
- -<br>
Since 2011, at least two more plants have begun to abate at least
some of their emissions. One of them is the Donaldsonville Nitrogen
Complex in Donaldsonville, Louisiana, which treats emissions from
one of the facility’s four nitric acid production lines.<br>
<br>
The remaining emissions from the Donaldsonville plant, and all other
nitric acid plants in the U.S., totaled 34,000 tons of nitrous oxide
in 2019, according to data self-reported by the plants to the EPA.
That is equal to the annual greenhouse gas emissions of 2.2 million
automobiles.<br>
<br>
The Donaldsonville plant is the largest emitter. <br>
<br>
CF Industries, the owner of the plant, declined to comment other
than to note that they have set a goal to reduce total CO2
equivalent emissions by 25 percent by 2030 and achieve net-zero
carbon emissions by 2050.<br>
<br>
In a recent financial report, the company said that more stringent
greenhouse gas regulations, “if they are enacted, are likely to
have a significant impact on us, because our production facilities
emit GHGs such as carbon dioxide and nitrous oxide.” <br>
<br>
The company said that “to the extent that GHG restrictions are not
imposed in countries where our competitors operate or are less
stringent than regulations that may be imposed in the United States,
Canada or the United Kingdom, our competitors may have cost or other
competitive advantages over us.”<br>
<br>
Eric Schaeffer, executive director of the Environmental Integrity
Project, one of the environmental organizations that filed the 2009
lawsuit against the EPA to try to require nitrous oxide regulations,
said that if developing countries can move forward on emissions
reductions, the U.S. can too.<br>
<br>
“Getting whipped by Uzbekistan is pretty bad,” Schaeffer said. “We
ought to be able to hold our own against the old Soviet Republics.”<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://insideclimatenews.org/news/30122020/chemical-plant-nitrous-oxide-climate-warming-emissions/">https://insideclimatenews.org/news/30122020/chemical-plant-nitrous-oxide-climate-warming-emissions/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[hard to find classic audio interview described below]<br>
Nick Breeze interviews Katharine Hayhoe<br>
<b>Prof. Katharine Hayhoe - COVID & Climate Linkages To A Better
World</b><br>
Shaping The Future - From Pandemic To Climate Change<br>
Episode Description<br>
<blockquote>Professor Katharine Hayhoe is well-known the world over
for her clear communications on the risks posed by climate change
and why these risks and can be addressed in a non-political and
non-partisan way. Katharine is an atmospheric scientist, the
Political Science Endowed Professor in Public Policy and Public
Law at Texas Tech University in the US and directs their Climate
Center. Life on Zoom In the period of lockdown, Katharine
discusses how technology has played a critical role human
interactions, from the emotional experience of her grandmother's
death to more passive interactions such as knitting or just
staying in touch with family and friends. This all leads her to
rename social distancing so it becomes physical distancing with
social connectivity. COVID-19 and carbon emissions There is much
talk about how the pandemic is good for the environment but, as
Katharine points out, this has to be taken in context. Because we
are not pumping out so much pollution as normal, we are still
adding to the atmospheric burden of greenhouse gases. Air quality
linked to human suffering Another linkage from the pandemic pause
is the cleaner air that has been a tangible benefit of reducing
nearly all transport to a small fraction of what it was before.
Low-balling climate change Climate scientists have always produced
scenarios based on different estimates of outcomes from climate
forcing and Earth system sensitivity. Katharine explains how
typically scientists have been low-balling the speed and severity
of climate change. The 3 choices that humanity has to select from
are mitigation, adaptation, or suffering. It turns out we will
likely be forced to select all three but the balance of each is
still up to us. Katharine gives her view on how this current
crisis informs us to best face the future. Climate change and
politics In the US and UK especially, climate change has been
forced into a political framing in order to try and make
conservatives think that the threat is not real or very serious.
Now, with impacts so tangibly in our faces, from the loss of the
polar ice caps and ice sheets like in Greenland, or the fires in
the Amazon, Australia among many other places, people are
realising this is real and anxiety about the future is
commonplace. What can we do about it? The world won’t end in 2030
There is an emerging narrative that if the world does not
decarbonise by 2030 then we will experience the apocalypse.
Katharine Hayhoe discusses the importance of having a vision of
the future that balances the reality of climate change with the
outcome that we want to see and that we can collectively and
individually work towards. Collapsing oil, personal suffering and
policy Katharine discusses how the collapse of the oil price is
impacting thousands of people in the oil industry who are losing
their jobs and facing financial hardship in a very uncertain time.
These are not bad people but rather a part of our society who are
trying to support their families. What can we do to help them
transition to new sectors? Despite this, lobbyists for
oil-producing regions like Alberta in Canada are trying to roll
back environmental taxes aimed at starting the transition to clean
energy. Katharine explains why carbon taxes are still part of the
solution, perhaps more so than ever before.<br>
</blockquote>
Official webpage: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://climateseries.com/climate-change-podcast">https://climateseries.com/climate-change-podcast</a><br>
<p><b>Life on Zoom</b><br>
In the period of lockdown, Katharine discusses how technology has
played a critical role human interactions, from the emotional
experience of her grandmother's death to more passive interactions
such as knitting or just staying in touch with family and friends.
This all leads her to rename social distancing so it becomes
physical distancing with social connectivity.<br>
<br>
<b>COVID-19 and carbon emissions</b><br>
There is much talk about how the pandemic is good for the
environment but, as Katharine points out, this has to be taken in
context. <br>
<br>
Because we are not pumping out so much pollution as normal, we are
still adding to the atmospheric burden of greenhouse gases.<br>
<br>
<b>Air quality linked to human suffering</b><br>
Another linkage from the pandemic pause is the cleaner air that
has been a tangible benefit of reducing nearly all transport to a
small fraction of what it was before.<br>
<br>
<b>Low-balling climate change</b><br>
Climate scientists have always produced scenarios based on
different estimates of outcomes from climate forcing and Earth
system sensitivity. Katharine explains how typically scientists
have been low-balling the speed and severity of climate change. <br>
<br>
The 3 choices that humanity has to select from are mitigation,
adaptation, or suffering. It turns out we will likely be forced to
select all three but the balance of each is still up to us.
Katharine gives her view on how this current crisis informs us to
best face the future.<br>
<br>
<b>Climate change and politics</b><br>
In the US and UK especially, climate change has been forced into a
political framing in order to try and make conservatives think
that the threat is not real or very serious. <br>
<br>
Now, with impacts so tangibly in our faces, from the loss of the
polar ice caps and ice sheets like in Greenland, or the fires in
the Amazon, Australia among many other places, people are
realising this is real and anxiety about the future is
commonplace. What can we do about it?<br>
<b><br>
</b><b>The world won’t end in 2030</b><b><br>
</b>There is an emerging narrative that if the world does not
decarbonise by 2030 then we will experience the apocalypse.
Katharine Hayhoe discusses the importance of having a vision of
the future that balances the reality of climate change with the
outcome that we want to see and that we can collectively and
individually work towards.<br>
<br>
<b>Collapsing oil, personal suffering and policy </b><br>
Katharine discusses how the collapse of the oil price is impacting
thousands of people in the oil industry who are losing their jobs
and facing financial hardship in a very uncertain time. These are
not bad people but rather a part of our society who are trying to
support their families. What can we do to help them transition to
new sectors?<br>
<br>
Despite this, lobbyists for oil-producing regions like Alberta in
Canada are trying to roll back environmental taxes aimed at
starting the transition to clean energy. Katharine explains why
carbon taxes are still part of the solution, perhaps more so than
ever before.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://anchor.fm/nick-breeze">https://anchor.fm/nick-breeze</a></p>
<p><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://open.spotify.com/episode/5SFqOTF2ilwkaQfU6gBnHf">https://open.spotify.com/episode/5SFqOTF2ilwkaQfU6gBnHf</a></p>
<p>- -</p>
<p>[series of audio podcasts] <br>
<b>Shaping The Future - From Pandemic To Climate Change</b><br>
Journalist Nick Breeze<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://open.spotify.com/show/1jhQYkBysSB7vUo1Phq0QB">https://open.spotify.com/show/1jhQYkBysSB7vUo1Phq0QB</a></p>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[clips from an opinion]<br>
<b>American Individualism Is My Climate Fear</b><br>
The stories we tell dismiss the collective. And collective action is
all that can save the planet’s many inhabitants.<br>
Lydia Millet - July 14, 2020<br>
- - <br>
At the moment—a sustained, tormented moment—it doesn’t look like
collective action is our strong suit, here in the United States...<br>
There’s been a curious loneliness, for people like me, in working on
climate and species extinction threats these past decades. At first,
it felt like gaslighting: The scientific evidence for both of these
ongoing crises was overwhelming, and their relevance and urgency,
not merely to one narrow interest group but to every interest group
that lives and will live, seemed painfully clear. (Some sectors of
the military, for instance, have been trying to plan for climate
change for ages, recognizing it as a clear and present danger to
national security.) Yet the mainstream gave the crises minimal
attention. The matter of planetary life support was a bit of a
boutique concern, in many people’s eyes. Like quilting or collecting
vinyl, it had its adherents—often poignantly committed to their
arcane hobbies—but their doings were of little general interest....<br>
- -<br>
Climate anxiety should probably be called climate fear. “Anxiety,”
after all, is a condition we believe we can and should manage and
subdue, maybe with therapy or pills. Fear, on the other hand, is a
motivator—a reflex we developed over the span of deep time through
painful trial and error, to avoid what can hurt or kill us. When we
wish to survive and thrive, we take coordinated, strategic action to
keep the object of that fear at bay...<br>
- -<br>
The human capacity for self-preservation through social
collaboration is often named as one of our primary and unique
attributes, along with the complex language we command and can use
to achieve it. In climate change and mass extinction, we’re facing
down the most powerful adversaries our kind has ever known. These
are clearly enemies of our own making. As the once-famous political
cartoonist Walt Kelly wrote in the 1970s and put in the mouth of a
fictional possum: We have met the enemy and he is us.<br>
<br>
These are vast, systemic problems that demand a vast, systemic
solution. A touch of personal nervousness won’t produce an adequate
defense. Only our superpowers of cooperation will be able to save
the day.<br>
<br>
What I fear, when it comes to climate change, is the war between the
self and the community. That war is nothing new—in this country, the
self has been winning the fight since Ronald Reagan and probably
before—but with climate and extinction at stake, and a time frame
that’s acutely limited, we’re at a crucial inflection point...<br>
- -<br>
On the other side, pulling for community, are arrayed the forces of
reason. And whether or not you find this particular commander in
chief to be charismatic (speaking for myself: no), the problem with
the forces of reason is that they don’t lend themselves to a
rebel-hero narrative.<br>
<br>
We choose, in the stories we tell, to omit or dismiss the collective
in favor of the lone fighter.<br>
Our cultural meaning-making is so profoundly vested in this one
story, which we tell over and over again, that we don’t truly
believe in any other. Movies, TV, and even video games focus on one
person who triumphs over the odds to save either the world or simply
him- or (more rarely) herself. Our mainstream fiction is that of an
individual under fire, who fights to vanquish evildoers. Sometimes
the individual joins up with a merry band or love interest, and
sometimes at the end we’re presented with a neat, attractive
nuclear-family unit, standing with their arms around each other amid
the smoldering ashes. But this is mostly a wink and a nod: We
understand the merry band or love interest is largely window
dressing. You need them for dialogue and drama...<br>
- -<br>
I worry that our failure to tell a new story just as loudly—of love
and respect for the natural world that sustains us, of an embrace of
science by secular and religious groups alike, of sacrifice for the
common good, of the nobility of putting a livable and beautiful
future before the indulgent pleasures and reliable sameness of the
present—will lock us onto a path of desperate loss.<br>
<br>
The trick with the elephant in the room is not to befriend it, all
the while drinking and talking pleasantly as before, but to confront
it and wrestle it down. (This is the problem with extended
analogies, since real-life elephants deserve far kinder treatment.)
The metaphorical elephant is gigantic. No single guest at the feast
can possibly prove sufficient to the task: All partygoers are
needed.<br>
Lydia Millet @lydia_millet<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://newrepublic.com/article/158483/american-individualism-climate-fear">https://newrepublic.com/article/158483/american-individualism-climate-fear</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[Digging back into the internet news archive]<br>
<font size="+1"><b>On this day in the history of global warming -
December 31, 2012 </b></font><br>
<p>Media Matters compiles a list of the "10 Dumbest Things Fox Said
About Climate Change In 2012."<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.mediamatters.org/fox-friends/10-dumbest-things-fox-said-about-climate-change-2012">https://www.mediamatters.org/fox-friends/10-dumbest-things-fox-said-about-climate-change-2012</a><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
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