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<p><i><font size="+1"><b>April 16, 2021</b></font></i> <br>
</p>
<p>[Yeah, but does it self clean?]<br>
<b>Whitest-ever paint could help cool heating Earth, study shows</b><br>
New paint reflects 98% of sunlight as well as radiating infrared
heat into space, reducing need for air conditioning<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/apr/15/whitest-ever-paint-could-help-cool-heating-earth-study-shows">https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/apr/15/whitest-ever-paint-could-help-cool-heating-earth-study-shows</a><br>
</p>
<br>
<br>
[Opinion in NYTimes]<br>
<b>Why Spy Agencies Say the Future Is Bleak</b><br>
Climate change, technology, disease and financial crises will pose
big challenges for the world, an intelligence report concludes.<br>
By The Editorial Board<br>
April 15, 2021<br>
Every four years, at the start of a new administration, American
intelligence agencies put out “Global Trends,” a weighty assessment
of where the world seems headed over the next two decades...<br>
- -<br>
Global Trends offers no solutions. It can’t, by law: The 18
organizations that make up the intelligence community, including the
National Security Agency and C.I.A., are sternly proscribed from
giving policy recommendations...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/15/opinion/global-trends-intelligence-report.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/15/opinion/global-trends-intelligence-report.html</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
[See the source document]<br>
Publication of the National Intelligence Council.<br>
<b>Global Trends 2040</b><br>
-- the 7th edition of the National Intelligence Council’s Global
Trends report, p 48 <br>
<b>BROADER IMPLICATIONS AND DISRUPTIONS</b><br>
In addition to direct physical effects of climate change, states and
societies are likely to be<br>
strained by hard choices and tradeoffs given the difficulty and
costs of drastic emissions<br>
cuts and adaptive measures. The burden of these steps will not be
evenly distributed<br>
within or between states, and the long-term payoff of mitigation
policies runs counter to<br>
political incentives, making it difficult to sustain controversial
commitments. <br>
The secondand third-order implications of climate change will affect
human and national security in<br>
several ways. Drive Societal Cleavages and Political Movements.
Concerns about climate change<br>
have grown across the globe with hundreds of thousands of
protesters—mostly young<br>
people—marching in the streets advocating for faster change. Policy
responses to mitigate<br>
or adapt to climate change also contribute to political
volatility—particularly when they<br>
are linked to broader socio-political interests—such as the French
protests against fuel<br>
price hikes in 2018. In Europe, nationalist and populist parties
have capitalized on public<br>
concerns about the economic hardships associated with climate
mitigation policies,<br>
and they have framed their opposition in terms of equality and
social justice for working<br>
class populations.<br>
Increased Pressure for Global Action. As warming continues to rise,
there will be<br>
more debate and tension among countries over transparency, cuts, and
responsibility...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/assessments/GlobalTrends_2040.pdf">https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/assessments/GlobalTrends_2040.pdf</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[video 'splain 2 min]<br>
<b>Exploring Timelapse in Google Earth</b><br>
Apr 15, 2021<br>
See humanity’s impact on the Earth through a global time-lapse video
of the planet since 1984. <br>
Explore the whole planet: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://goo.gle/timelapse">https://goo.gle/timelapse</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5W-zPqrGQWA">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5W-zPqrGQWA</a><br>
<p>- -<br>
</p>
[CNET article]<br>
<b>Google's new Timelapse feature shows impact of climate change
over decades</b><br>
"We can objectively see global warming with our own eyes," says the
director of Google Earth.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.cnet.com/news/googles-new-timelapse-feature-shows-impact-of-climate-change-over-decades/">https://www.cnet.com/news/googles-new-timelapse-feature-shows-impact-of-climate-change-over-decades/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[Nice, but whole-global would be better]<br>
<b>McCarthy hails 'whole-of-government approach' to climate</b><br>
White House national climate adviser Gina McCarthy expressed
optimism Thursday about the utility of a “whole-of-government
approach” to tackling climate change.<br>
<br>
“The whole of government approach is not to pigeonhole the challenge
of climate, but to recognize that it… needs to be integrated into
everything that we do,” McCarthy said Thursday at The Hill’s
Sustainability Imperative event.<br>
<br>
McCarthy said that despite the daunting challenges posed by climate
issues, a much broader consensus about the fact of climate change
would change the calculus...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/548546-mccarthy-hails-whole-of-government-approach-to-climate">https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/548546-mccarthy-hails-whole-of-government-approach-to-climate</a><br>
<p>- -<br>
</p>
[watch experts lecture Congress on the risk of inaction]<br>
<b>Hearing of the Committee on the Budget </b><br>
Thursday, April 15, 2021<br>
<b>To consider: The Cost of Inaction on Climate Change</b><br>
video
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.budget.senate.gov/hearings/the-cost-of-inaction-on-climate-change">https://www.budget.senate.gov/hearings/the-cost-of-inaction-on-climate-change</a><br>
- -<br>
Witnesses [Starts 35 mins in]<br>
Mr. David Wallace-Wells<br>
Editor At Large, New York Magazine<br>
Author, The Uninhabitable Earth<br>
transcripts
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.budget.senate.gov/download/david-wallace-wells-testimony-4-15">https://www.budget.senate.gov/download/david-wallace-wells-testimony-4-15</a><br>
- -<br>
Dr. Robert B. Litterman<br>
Chair, Climate-Related Market Risk Subcommittee<br>
Commodity Futures Trading Commission<br>
transcript <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.budget.senate.gov/download/robert-litterman-testimony-4-15">https://www.budget.senate.gov/download/robert-litterman-testimony-4-15</a><br>
- -<br>
Dr. Joseph Stiglitz<br>
Professor Of Economics<br>
Columbia University<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.budget.senate.gov/download/joseph-stiglitz-testimony-4-15">https://www.budget.senate.gov/download/joseph-stiglitz-testimony-4-15</a><br>
- -<br>
Mr. George R. Oliver<br>
Chairman And CEO, Johnson Controls<br>
Chair, Business Roundtable Energy and Environment Committee<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.budget.senate.gov/download/george-oliver-testimony-4-15">https://www.budget.senate.gov/download/george-oliver-testimony-4-15</a><br>
- -<br>
Mr. Richard J. Powell<br>
Executive Director<br>
ClearPath Inc.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.budget.senate.gov/download/richard-powell-testimony-4-15">https://www.budget.senate.gov/download/richard-powell-testimony-4-15</a><br>
full video of hearing
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.budget.senate.gov/hearings/the-cost-of-inaction-on-climate-change">https://www.budget.senate.gov/hearings/the-cost-of-inaction-on-climate-change</a><br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
<br>
[Russia]<br>
<b>Russia may have passed peak oil output - Government</b><br>
By The Moscow Times - April 12, 2021<br>
Russian oil production might never recover to pre-coronavirus
levels, the country’s Energy Ministry has forecast, according to the
Kommersant business paper.<br>
<br>
In a strategy document outlining prospects for Russia’s critical oil
and gas industry, the government said its “base case” — or most
likely — scenario is that Russia’s oil production will never again
hit the record levels recorded in 2019. <br>
<br>
In the last full year before the pandemic, Russia produced 560
million tons of oil — equivalent to 11.3 million barrels a day. But
output dropped for the first time in more than a decade in 2020 as
Russia agreed on significant production cuts with Saudi Arabia and
other members of the OPEC cartel in a bid to support oil prices at
the start of the pandemic — pushing production down 9% to 10.3
million barrels per day.<br>
<br>
In the scenario labeled most probable, the Energy Ministry predicts
Russia’s oil output will grow over the rest of the decade — but fail
to hit the record output of 2019, with production hitting a
post-coronavirus peak of 11.1 million barrels a day in 2029 before
decreasing to 9.4 million barrels a day by 2035.<br>
<br>
Russia vies with Saudi Arabia to be the world’s second-largest oil
producer, behind the world-leading U.S. The Russian economy remains
heavily dependent on energy exports, with revenues in pre-pandemic
years accounting for more than a third of the government’s total
budget and all extractive industries — covering oil, gas and other
commodities — accounting for almost 40% of Russian GDP, according to
the country’s statistics agency Rosstat.<br>
<br>
In its most optimistic scenario, the Energy Ministry expects
production to pass pre-coronavirus levels, peaking in 2030 at 12.8
million barrels a day before starting to decline. In every scenario
presented, the Energy Ministry said Russian oil production had
either already peaked, or would hit its maximum level within the
next decade, Kommersant reported.<br>
<br>
Russia remains poorly positioned to take advantage of the global
energy transition to cleaner and renewable sources of energy,
experts say. While countries in Europe and the U.S. have put clean
energy at the center of their post-coronavirus economic stimulus and
investment packages, Russia is reportedly planning to cut state
spending on green energy. Analysts estimate that if every project
currently in development is completed in time, Russia’s electricity
generation from renewable sources, excluding hydropower, will be
just 1% by 2024.<br>
<br>
“While international oil [majors] are falling over themselves in
their business transformation potential to become ‘clean,’ Russians
are unlikely to compete with them in this renewables drive,” VTB
Capital’s deputy head of oil and gas research Dmitry Loukashov said
in a research note last week.<br>
<br>
He does believe, however, that the Russian oil and gas industry
could capitalize on so-called transition fuels, like hydrogen or
ammonia, as well as take a leading role in investment and research
into carbon capture technology. <br>
<br>
The Energy Ministry strategy outlines that government tax cuts to
high-potential oil fields, such as those in the Arctic region, will
be crucial in helping the country maximize the potential of the vast
energy resources it still sits on. <br>
<br>
If oil prices lag, it estimates that only a third of Russia’s proven
reserves will be profitable to extract, while even in the most
optimistic scenario, with higher global oil prices, only two-thirds
of Russia’s recoverable reserves will be taken out of the ground.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2021/04/12/russia-may-have-passed-peak-oil-output-government-a73558">https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2021/04/12/russia-may-have-passed-peak-oil-output-government-a73558</a><br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
[The Lancet Countdown]<br>
VOLUME 397, ISSUE 10269, P129-170, JANUARY 09, 2021<br>
<b>The 2020 report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate
change: responding to converging crises</b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)32290-X/fulltext">https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)32290-X/fulltext</a><br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
[Humor, satire, sarcasm -- Facebook warning]<br>
<font size="+1"><b>On this day in the history of global warming -
April 16, 1912 </b></font><br>
<p><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.facebook.com/20950654496/posts/10150732650689497">https://www.facebook.com/20950654496/posts/10150732650689497</a></p>
<p><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.facebook.com/TheOnion/photos/p.10150732650629497/10150732650629497/">https://www.facebook.com/TheOnion/photos/p.10150732650629497/10150732650629497/</a><br>
</p>
Abstract<br>
<p> Purpose – To explore the nature of metaphorical thinking in
marketing and consumer research, with particular emphasis on
consumers’ metaphor-manufacturing proclivities. Methods/approach –
The chapter concentrates on one of the most compelling and
powerful metaphors of the 20th century, the sinking of the RMS
Titanic in April 1912. It uses introspective methods to
interrogate consumers’ figurative interpretations of the iconic
catastrophe. Findings – Four categories of consumer
metaphor-making are identified: negative, positive, reflexive and
visual. Research implications – The profusion of Titanic tropes
suggests that researchers should resist unearthing ‘deep’
metaphors and focus instead on ‘wide’ metaphors, those that spread
across the surface of society and culture. Practical implications
– ZMET, the widely used metaphorical elicitation procedure,
warrants a complement called TMET. This Titanic Metaphor
Elaboration Tendency is better attuned to contemporary branding
thinking than its more familiar predecessor.</p>
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