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<p><i><font size="+1"><b>June 14, 2021</b></font></i></p>
[Aspirational promises not enforceable]<br>
<b>G7 to agree tough measures on burning coal to tackle climate
change</b><br>
World leaders meeting in Cornwall are to adopt strict measures on
coal-fired power stations as part of the battle against climate
change.<br>
The G7 group will promise to move away from coal plants, unless they
have technology to capture carbon emissions...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-57456641">https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-57456641</a>
<p>- -</p>
[no fine print]<br>
<b>Where's the detail? G7 nations agree to boost climate finance</b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/g7-leaders-commit-increasing-climate-finance-contributions-2021-06-12/">https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/g7-leaders-commit-increasing-climate-finance-contributions-2021-06-12/</a><br>
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[Says the Financial Times]<br>
<b>Storms await companies that err on climate</b><br>
Markets are increasingly willing to punish businesses that mismanage
global warming risks<br>
Market perceptions of adverse outcomes from such natural disasters
have “changed from bad luck to bad management”,<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.ft.com/content/f02537ef-0cbd-4566-8f0c-a1dfe798f54a">https://www.ft.com/content/f02537ef-0cbd-4566-8f0c-a1dfe798f54a</a><br>
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[video of how a wildfires was covered in the news... Sunday ]<br>
<b>Flats Fire: Mandatory evacuation issued for Pinyon Crest amid
blaze</b><br>
Streamed live 10 hours ago<br>
FOX 11 Los Angeles<br>
Crews are working to contain a fire near Highway 74 in the Inland
Empire.<br>
What we know: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://bit.ly/3wnFdKH">https://bit.ly/3wnFdKH</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g0dTG1AOHyE">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g0dTG1AOHyE</a><br>
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[we could have seen this coming]<br>
<b>High cost of lumber, building materials halts rebuilding for some
Oregon wildfire survivors</b><br>
A supply shortage coupled with high demand has sent construction
costs skyrocketing during the pandemic.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.kgw.com/article/news/local/wildfire/high-cost-of-lumber-building-materials-halt-rebuilding-for-some-oregon-wildfire-survivors/283-f738e7c5-8d22-452a-b746-d7e0f6d6c455">https://www.kgw.com/article/news/local/wildfire/high-cost-of-lumber-building-materials-halt-rebuilding-for-some-oregon-wildfire-survivors/283-f738e7c5-8d22-452a-b746-d7e0f6d6c455</a><br>
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[a curiously interesting book talk]<br>
<b>Niall Ferguson: The Politics of Catastrophe</b><br>
Fundraiser<br>
Jun 6, 2021<br>
Commonwealth Club of California<br>
<br>
Disasters are inherently inevitable in life. We cannot predict the
next earthquake, wildfire, financial crisis, war or pandemic, but we
can predict how to handle each situation better. Unexpected
calamities have happened all throughout human history, yet even in
the 21st century we are ill-prepared to recover from them. In the
new book Doom: The Politics of Catastrophe, popular historian Niall
Ferguson explores the reasoning behind this phenomena and offers
solutions on how to handle unforeseen circumstances of mass
misfortune.<br>
<br>
Ferguson has spent his academic career lecturing on the
international, financial, and economic history of British and
American imperialism. In his new book, Ferguson uses centuries of
knowledge to understand the complex pathologies at work that make
societies fail in the face of disaster. He offers the lesson he says
the West urgently needs to learn if we want to handle the next
crisis better and avoid the ultimate doom of irreversible decline.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Miq_O6zVVSc">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Miq_O6zVVSc</a><br>
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[Grist]<br>
<b>Report: Climate action is a double-edged sword for nature</b><br>
Here’s why that matters.<br>
By compiling existing research on the social impacts of climate
change and biodiversity, the experts found that climate change and
biodiversity are so intertwined that solving one without addressing
the other would be next to impossible... <br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://grist.org/science/study-climate-action-is-a-double-edged-sword-for-nature/">https://grist.org/science/study-climate-action-is-a-double-edged-sword-for-nature/</a><br>
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[Obscure. boring academic lecture NASA video]<br>
<b>A Machine Learning Approach Toward a “Seamless” Understanding
Droughts, Heatwaves and Fire Weather</b><br>
May 28, 2021<br>
<br>
NASA Climate Change<br>
The National Earth System Prediction Capability (ESPC) aims to
improve earth system prediction from sub-seasonal to decade scales,
with emphasis on “seamless” prediction. Yet, our understanding of
weather-climate connection, especially in a changing climate, is
still in its infancy. For example, it is not clear what weather
patterns are responsible for dry spells and heat waves during the
warm season over continental United States (US), and which of these
patterns are responsible for extreme droughts and stronger and
longer fire season? How do decadal climate variability and
anthropogenic forced climate change affect the intensity and
frequency of extreme fire weather?<br>
<br>
In this lecture, I will report our recent and ongoing studies to
explore these questions through machine learning approaches. To
assess the influence of weather patterns on droughts and fire
weather, we use multivariate Self-Organization Map to characterize
the weather patterns responsible for dry and wet spells, their
associated atmospheric thermodynamic condition and moisture
transport, and their contributions to warm season droughts and
decadal variability of the land surface aridity and fire weather. We
also use a constructed flow analogue approach to determine the
relative influence of natural climate variability and anthropogenic
forced change on the increase of heatwaves and fire weather in
recent decades over Western US, including those that contributed to
the 2020 August Camp Fire, California’s largest wildfire on record.<br>
<br>
The analyses suggest that, although many weather patterns can
contribute to dry spells and moderate droughts, extreme droughts are
largely caused by an increased frequency and persistence of a few
leading weather patterns that are responsible for strong dry spells
climatologically. Thus, understand the causes behind the changes of
these few weather patterns is central for determining predictability
of the extreme droughts. On the other hand, for the same weather
patterns, the probability distributions of surface temperature and
vapor pressure deficit (VPD) in the recent decades have changed
significantly over the western US, leading to higher probability of
heatwaves and fire weather, compared to earlier decades.
Consequently, at least two-thirds of the increase of the fire
weather over western US during recent decades is attributable to
climate change, whereas only one third or less of the increase of
fire weather is attributable to changing weather patterns. Thus,
climate variability and changes can have significant impact on
weather and sub-seasonal forecasts.<br>
<br>
ABOUT THE LECTURER: Dr. Rong Fu is a climate research and a
professor in the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences,
University of California, Los Angeles. Her research focuses on the
mechanisms that control droughts, rainfall seasonality and
variability over Amazonian and North American regions, and how
changes of global climate, local vegetation and biomass burning, and
oceanic decadal variability have influenced these processes in the
recent past and will influence rainfall seasonality and droughts in
the future. She has also developed a drought early warning for US
Great Plains working with regional water resource managers. Her
research is among the earliest to observationally uncover
significant roles of tropical rainforests in determining rainfall
seasonality over Amazonia and Tibetan Plateau in determining water
vapor transport to global stratosphere; She received NSF CAREER and
NASA New Investigator Awards, is an elected fellow of the American
Meteorological Society, the American Geophysical Union and the
American Association For the Advancement of Science, respectively.
She was the President of the Global Environmental Change Focus Group
(2015-2016) and Leadership Team of the American Geophysical Union
Council. She has served on many national and international panels,
such as the National Research Council special committees on “Abrupt
Impact of Climate Change” and “Landscapes on the edge”, the Climate
Working Group for NOAA Science Advisory Board. She is a co-leader of
NOAA Drought Task Force Phase IV and an Editor of Journal of
Geophysical Research - Atmosphere.<br>
<br>
Originally presented May 19, 2021, via webinar at NASA's Jet
Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, California as part of the Center
for Climate Sciences Distinguished Climate Lectures series.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0d1vBXEURNI">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0d1vBXEURNI</a><br>
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<br>
[The news archive - looking back]<br>
<font size="+1"><b>On this day in the history of global warming June
14 ,</b></font><br>
<blockquote> Exxon hires Bush energy aide<br>
Published: June 14, 2005 <br>
By Lisa Sanders and CBS.MarketWatch.com<br>
DALLAS (MarketWatch) -- Philip Cooney, a former White House
official who resigned last week, will join Exxon Mobil in the
fall, MarketWatch learned late Tuesday.<br>
<br>
Cooney, most recently the chief of staff to President Bush's
Council on Environmental Quality, left amid claims by critics that
he edited reports on global warming to downplay concerns raised by
the scientific community.<br>
<br>
Scientists have raised concerns that emissions from fossil fuels
such as oil and coal are being trapped in the earth's lower
atmosphere, creating a "greenhouse" effect that is accelerating
changes in the climate.<br>
<br>
An Exxon Mobil XOM, -0.92% spokesman acknowledged that Cooney
would join the company but declined further comment on what role
he would play.<br>
<br>
The spokesman also said Exxon takes global warming seriously but
is not convinced about how greenhouse-gas emissions affect climate
change.<br>
<br>
Before coming to the White House, Cooney worked as lobbyist at the
American Petroleum Institute, which is the chief representative of
the oil and gas industry.<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.marketwatch.com/story/exxon-mobil-hires-former-bush-environment-aide">https://www.marketwatch.com/story/exxon-mobil-hires-former-bush-environment-aide</a><br>
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