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<p><i><font size="+1"><b>June 22, 2021</b></font></i></p>
[now come the fires]<br>
<b>Big Sur fire: hundreds of firefighters battle blaze raging in
California</b><br>
Willow fire is one of dozens burning across US west, including
Arizona, Utah and New Mexico, amid dry conditions<br>
<br>
Firefighters are battling to contain a wildfire that erupted near
Big Sur last week, as the flames continue to engulf the dry
California landscape and threaten historical sites, cabins, and
ranches.<br>
<br>
The fire is one of dozens of wildfires burning in hot, dry
conditions across the US west, including in Arizona and New Mexico.<br>
<br>
In Monterey county, the so-called Willow fire has burned more than
2,400 acres since it broke out on Thursday evening. Roughly 450
firefighters face the difficult task of trying to contain the large
forest fire in the rugged coastal mountains south of Big Sur. The
blaze remained at 0% containment as of Monday morning and forced the
evacuation of a Buddhist monastery and nearby campground...<br>
- -<br>
In Arizona, a blaze named the Backbone fire that has burned more
than 32,750 acres after igniting last Wednesday from a lightning
strike is also at 0% containment. Temperatures there have exceeded
100F and thousands of residents have been evacuated north-east of
Phoenix, in the communities of Strawberry and Pine.<br>
<br>
“There are major fires around Arizona and Utah – all over the
western United States,” Munsey says. “That becomes problematic when
trying to get resources to whatever fire you are on because they are
already stretched so thin.”<br>
<br>
Meanwhile, the mountainous city of Flagstaff was shrouded in smoke
by another fire, dubbed the Rafael fire, on Monday. If the fire
continues its north-eastern push, hundreds of people in the college
city, which lies about two hours north of Phoenix, could be
affected, officials say.<br>
<br>
It’s already been a tough fire season for Arizona, which has seen
multiple blazes spark this summer. On Monday, two national forests
in northern Arizona made rare announcements that they would close
completely to visitors starting later this week, because of concerns
they won’t have enough resources to respond to any future wildfires.<br>
<br>
And in New Mexico, lightning-sparked blazes have been scorching the
southern part of the state, where a large portion of the Gila
wilderness remains closed, and fire officials are closely watching
the Gila Cliff Dwellings national monument.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/jun/21/big-sur-wildfire-willow-fire">https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/jun/21/big-sur-wildfire-willow-fire</a><br>
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[Oceans rising mean overtopping]<br>
<b>An acceleration of coastal overtopping around the world</b><br>
The combination of sea level rise, tides, storm surge and waves has
increased the overtopping of natural and artificial coastal
protection by nearly 50% in the last two decades. This revelation
comes from an international study coordinated by IRD, involving
international partners. The study was published in the prestigious
scientific journal Nature Communications on June 18th 2021. By
combining satellite data and digital models, the researchers have
shown that coastal overtopping, and consequently the risk of
flooding, is set to further accelerate over the 21st century, by up
to 50-fold under a high emission global warming scenario, especially
in the tropics. This increase is principally caused by a combination
of sea level rise and ocean waves.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.preventionweb.net/news/view/78533">https://www.preventionweb.net/news/view/78533</a>
<p>- -</p>
[source matter]<br>
<b>A global analysis of extreme coastal water levels with
implications for potential coastal overtopping</b><br>
<blockquote>Abstract<br>
Climate change and anthropogenic pressures are widely expected to
exacerbate coastal hazards such as episodic coastal flooding. This
study presents global-scale potential coastal overtopping
estimates, which account for not only the effects of sea level
rise and storm surge, but also for wave runup at exposed open
coasts. Here we find that the globally aggregated annual
overtopping hours have increased by almost 50% over the last two
decades. A first-pass future assessment indicates that globally
aggregated annual overtopping hours will accelerate faster than
the global mean sea-level rise itself, with a clearly discernible
increase occurring around mid-century regardless of climate
scenario. Under RCP 8.5, the globally aggregated annual
overtopping hours by the end of the 21st-century is projected to
be up to 50 times larger compared to present-day. As sea level
continues to rise, more regions around the world are projected to
become exposed to coastal overtopping...<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24008-9">https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24008-9</a><br>
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</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[Gizmodo]<br>
<b>9 Quotes From Republican Politicians Next to Their State's
Damning Heat Graphs</b><br>
Some charts of how fast we're warming with totally unrelated quotes.<br>
Molly Taft - June 21, 2021<br>
First developed by climate scientist Ed Hawkins, these
graphics—dubbed warming stripes—put the temperature changes wrought
by the climate crisis in a stark light. In the original image, each
stripe represented a year in the life of the global average
temperature. Since then, warming stripes graphics have proliferated
to show how much countries, states, and even local cities have
heated up.<br>
<br>
In honor of this auspicious day, we thought we’d share a few
alarming stripe graphics from U.S. states with some totally
unrelated quotes from deniers politicians in Congress to give them
the opportunity to show their stripes, in a manner of speaking...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://gizmodo.com/9-quotes-from-republican-politicians-next-to-their-stat-1847140415">https://gizmodo.com/9-quotes-from-republican-politicians-next-to-their-stat-1847140415</a><br>
<br>
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[NPR]<br>
<b>The White House Wants To Fight Climate Change And Help People.
Cleveland Led The Way</b><br>
June 21, 2021 <br>
The fight against climate change may be taking a striking new turn
under the Biden administration. The White House is calling climate
action a form of environmental justice, part of a campaign to
address economic and racial inequity.<br>
<br>
It's bringing new attention and, potentially, a flood of cash to
low-tech approaches to climate action that directly benefit
low-income neighborhoods. They include aid for home renovations and
upgrades to city transportation infrastructure, including buses.<br>
<br>
"The environmental justice community, and many of our Black and
brown communities, have identified the connection between climate
change and their own community infrastructure. They can't be
disconnected," says Cecilia Martinez, senior director for
environmental justice at the White House Council on Environmental
Quality.<br>
- -<br>
The disinvestment and decay happened in many parts of Cleveland. The
city's population has fallen by more than half over the past 70
years, from 900,000 to just under 400,000.<br>
<br>
Mumford attended the city's climate workshop looking for ways to
revitalize her neighborhood, and she got excited about the potential
of "community solar." Such projects allow people to buy a share in a
larger solar project....<br>
- -<br>
"We plan to retrofit 2 million homes and commercial buildings. This
is about meeting the moment, folks!" Gina McCarthy, Biden's top
climate adviser, said at a recent meeting on energy-efficient
buildings.<br>
<br>
There's no guarantee as yet that money will flow to their city.
Republicans in Congress included little of this funding in their
version of an infrastructure package. McCarthy has worried publicly
that the administration might be forced to drop some climate-related
spending in order to get an infrastructure bill through Congress.
Officials in Cleveland, however, still sound thrilled.<br>
<br>
"To have support, to implement some of the things we all know we
need to do, is fantastic," says Jason Wood, Cleveland's current
chief of sustainability. "We have spent a big chunk of the last
decade-plus preparing ourselves to take advantage of the moment."<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.npr.org/2021/06/21/1003227623/cleveland-wants-climate-justice-can-the-biden-administration-help">https://www.npr.org/2021/06/21/1003227623/cleveland-wants-climate-justice-can-the-biden-administration-help</a><br>
<br>
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</p>
[from The Tyee]<br>
<b>Ten Jobs for Getting to Work on a Zero Emissions Future</b><br>
A climate-fixing economy will mean new livelihoods like these in BC
and across Cascadia.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://thetyee.ca/News/2021/06/16/Ten-Jobs-Work-Zero-Emissions-Future">https://thetyee.ca/News/2021/06/16/Ten-Jobs-Work-Zero-Emissions-Future</a><br>
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[top environmental economist]<br>
<b>Julia Steinberger: What’s Causing the Environmental Crisis?</b><br>
Sep 15, 2020<br>
postcarboninstitute<br>
Human destabilization of natural systems is related to a range of
factors, including technology, population, and, importantly, levels
and types of consumption. In turn, these factors are affected by a
host of economic, political, legal and cultural considerations,
which differ markedly throughout the world. In this episode of the
"Great Unraveling?" series, Julia Steinberger joins Laurie
Laybourn-Langton to explore the socio-economic structures and
dynamics driving the environmental crisis.<br>
<br>
Julia Steinberger is Professor of Social Ecology and Ecological
Economics at the University of Leeds and a contributor to the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s 6th Assessment Report.
Her research project, “Living Well Within Limits,” investigates how
universal human well-being might be achieved within planetary
boundaries.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0M1UU-zZJb8">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0M1UU-zZJb8</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
[timely and important video discussion]<br>
<b>Zero-Carbon - what it looks like and how we get there.</b><br>
Apr 22, 2020<br>
Extinction Rebellion<br>
Featuring Sarah Lunnon (Political Circle), Paul Allen (Zero Carbon
Britain), Andrew Simms (The New Weather Institute & Rapid
Transition Alliance) and Julia Steinberger (Ecological Economics).<br>
<br>
We look back less than 4 months to another world. From here we now
know we can achieve the impossible if united. The radical decisive
action to address the pandemic lays bare the lack of action on the
crisis of a natural world as a choice. Let’s work out how we now
make the realistic choice to do the next impossible. #MoneyTalks
#NoGoingBack #ResetTV #CarbonZero <br>
<br>
#extinctionrebellion<br>
#climatechange<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MRXjVqlOJRs">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MRXjVqlOJRs</a><br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
[good question]<br>
<b>The Human Epoch: When Did the Anthropocene Begin?</b><br>
Humans and their activities hijacked Earth. Scientists investigate
when the takeover began.<br>
Jun 19, 2021 <br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.discovermagazine.com/environment/the-human-epoch-when-did-the-anthropocene-begin">https://www.discovermagazine.com/environment/the-human-epoch-when-did-the-anthropocene-begin</a><br>
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[panic from UNDARK]<br>
<b>Climate Change Could Fuel the Spread of a Flesh-Eating Parasite</b><br>
Scientists caution that as the planet warms, more Americans could be
exposed to varieties of the Leishmania parasite.<br>
- -<br>
EVERY YEAR, between 1.5 to 2 million people worldwide contract
leishmaniasis, and around 70,000 die from it, mostly in poor rural
areas. The most dangerous Leishmania strains, such as infantum and
donovani, don’t just eat a person’s skin, they also infect the
liver, spleen, and bone marrow, leading to death if not treated.
Drugs like miltefosine and amphotericin B, used to cure these
strains of Leishmaniasis, are expensive or toxic, and not much
funding goes into researching and developing better treatments. In
2007, the World Health Organization added leishmaniasis to the list
of neglected tropical diseases, which mainly affect the word’s poor
and do not receive much attention.<br>
<br>
While Leishmania parasites are present in about 90 countries, the
symptoms of an infection vary by strain. The mexicana strain,
typically found in Mexico and Central America, causes skin sores
that can sometimes take years to heal and leave ugly scars. Others,
like panamensis, mostly found in Panama and Colombia, attack the
mucous membranes that line the inside of the nose and mouth,
disfiguring people permanently.<br>
<br>
Most leishmaniasis cases treated in the U.S. are linked to
international travel. But there is evidence that an increasing
number of people are infected in the U.S., likely by Leishmania
mexicana. Between 1903 and 1996, only 27 cases of locally-acquired
leishmaniasis were reported in the U.S. Then, in just 10 years
between 2007 and 2017, 41 new local cases were reported...<br>
- -<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://undark.org/2021/06/21/climate-change-could-fuel-spread-flesh-eating-parasite/">https://undark.org/2021/06/21/climate-change-could-fuel-spread-flesh-eating-parasite/</a><br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
<br>
[The news archive - looking back]<br>
<font size="+1"><b>On this day in the history of global warming June
22, 2006 </b></font><br>
The New York Times reports on the National Academy of Sciences'
affirmation of Michael Mann's 1999 "hockey stick" paper.<br>
<b>Science Panel Backs Study on Warming Climate</b><br>
By Andrew C. Revkin - June 22, 2006<br>
WASHINGTON, June 22 — A controversial paper asserting that recent
warming in the Northern Hemisphere was probably unrivaled for 1,000
years was endorsed today, with a few reservations, by a panel
convened by the nation's pre-eminent scientific body.<br>
<br>
The panel said that a statistical method used in the 1999 study was
not the best and that some uncertainties in the work "have been
underestimated," and it particularly challenged the authors'
conclusion that the decade of the 1990's was probably the warmest in
a millennium.<br>
<br>
But in a 155-page report, the 12-member panel convened by the
National Academies said "an array of evidence" supported the main
thrust of the paper. Disputes over details, it said, reflected the
normal intellectual clash that takes place as science tests new
approaches to old questions.<br>
<br>
The study, led by Michael E. Mann, a climatologist now at
Pennsylvania State University, was the first to estimate widespread
climate trends by stitching together a grab bag of evidence,
including variations in ancient tree rings and temperatures measured
in deep holes in the earth.<br>
It has been repeatedly attacked by Republican lawmakers and some
business-financed groups as built on cherry-picked data meant to
create an alarming view of recent warming and play down past natural
warm periods.<br>
<br>
At a news conference at the headquarters of the National Academies,
several members of the panel reviewing the study said they saw no
sign that its authors had intentionally chosen data sets or methods
to get a desired result.<br>
<br>
"I saw nothing that spoke to me of any manipulation," said one
member, Peter Bloomfield, a statistics professor at North Carolina
State University. He added that his impression was the study was "an
honest attempt to construct a data analysis procedure."<br>
<br>
More broadly, the panel examined other recent research comparing the
pronounced warming trend over the last several decades with
temperature shifts over the last 2,000 years. It expressed high
confidence that warming over the last 25 years exceeded any peaks
since 1600. And in a news conference here today, three panelists
said the current warming was probably, but not certainly, beyond any
peaks since the year 900.<br>
<br>
The experts said there was no reliable way to make estimates for
surface-temperature trends in the first millennium A.D.<br>
It has been repeatedly attacked by Republican lawmakers and some
business-financed groups as built on cherry-picked data meant to
create an alarming view of recent warming and play down past natural
warm periods.<br>
<br>
At a news conference at the headquarters of the National Academies,
several members of the panel reviewing the study said they saw no
sign that its authors had intentionally chosen data sets or methods
to get a desired result.<br>
<br>
"I saw nothing that spoke to me of any manipulation," said one
member, Peter Bloomfield, a statistics professor at North Carolina
State University. He added that his impression was the study was "an
honest attempt to construct a data analysis procedure."<br>
<br>
More broadly, the panel examined other recent research comparing the
pronounced warming trend over the last several decades with
temperature shifts over the last 2,000 years. It expressed high
confidence that warming over the last 25 years exceeded any peaks
since 1600. And in a news conference here today, three panelists
said the current warming was probably, but not certainly, beyond any
peaks since the year 900.<br>
<br>
The experts said there was no reliable way to make estimates for
surface-temperature trends in the first millennium A.D.<br>
They contended that Dr. Mann and his colleagues selected particular
statistical methods and sets of data, like a record of rings in
bristlecone pine trees, that were most apt to produce a picture of
unusual recent warming. They also complained that Dr. Mann refused
to share his data and techniques.<br>
<br>
In an interview, Dr. Mann expressed muted satisfaction with the
panel's findings. He said it clearly showed that the 1999 analysis
has held up over time.<br>
<br>
But he complained that the committee seemed to forget about the many
caveats that were in the original paper. "Even the title of the
paper on which all this has been based is as much about the caveats
and uncertainties as it is about the findings," he said.<br>
<br>
Raymond S. Bradley, a University of Massachusetts geoscientist and
one of Dr. Mann's co-authors, said that the caveats were dropped
mainly as the graph was widely reproduced by others. (The other
author of the 1999 paper was Malcolm K Hughes of the University of
Arizona.)<br>
<br>
The report was done at the request of Representative Sherwood
Boehlert, the New York Republican who is chairman of the House
Science Committee, who called last November for a review of the 1999
study and related research to clear the air.<br>
<br>
In a statement, Mr. Boehlert, who is retiring at the end of the
year, expressed satisfaction with the results, saying, "There is
nothing in this report that should raise any doubts about the broad
scientific consensus on global climate change — which doesn't rest
primarily on these temperature issues, in any event — or any doubts
about whether any paper on the temperature records was legitimate
scientific work."<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2006/06/22/science/22cnd-climate.html?_r=0">http://www.nytimes.com/2006/06/22/science/22cnd-climate.html?_r=0</a> <br>
<br>
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<p>/-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------/</p>
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