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<i><font size="+1"><b>July13 , 2021</b></font></i> <br>
[asked and answered]<br>
<b>US heatwave: Could US and Canada see the worst wildfires yet?</b><br>
By Reality Check team<br>
BBC News - July 12, 2021<br>
There are warnings that this season could be another highly
destructive one, so we've looked at why that might be.<br>
<br>
Experts told us the potential for a record-breaking wildfire season
is significant.<br>
<br>
Dr Mike Flannigan, professor of wildland fires at the University of
Alberta, said that fires need three ingredients: <br>
<blockquote>1 vegetation or fuel<br>
2 ignition (caused by humans or lightning)<br>
3 hot, dry and windy weather<br>
</blockquote>
Dr Flannigan added: "It really depends on the day-to-day weather,
but the potential is sky-high for parts of Canada and the American
west as they are in a multi-year drought. "<br>
<br>
The US drought monitor - a partnership between the Department of
Agriculture and other expert organisations - says half the nation is
under some form of drought, with the most severe in western states.<br>
- -<br>
Is climate change leading to more fires?<br>
In the western US and Canada, lightning rather than human activity
is increasingly the main immediate cause of wildfires.<br>
<br>
Scientists believe that climate change is a factor contributing to
more intense, and longer-lasting wildfire seasons because of warmer,
drier conditions.<br>
<br>
Dr Flannigan says: "Warm temperatures means more lightning, longer
fire seasons and drier fuel, so on average we are going to see a lot
more fire, and we are going to have to learn to live with fire."<br>
<br>
Linking any single event to global warming is complicated - but a
study by climate researchers said the heat that scorched western
Canada and the US at the end of June was "virtually impossible"
without climate change.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.bbc.com/news/57770728">https://www.bbc.com/news/57770728</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists]<br>
<b>Big Oil’s lies about climate change—a climate scientist’s take</b><br>
By Adam Sobel | July 9, 2021<br>
- -<br>
But the moral case, at least, is clear.<br>
<br>
We know now that fossil fuel company researchers understood early
on, from their own work as well as that of academic and government
researchers, that warming due to human emissions of greenhouse gases
posed risks at the planetary scale.<br>
<br>
If a company were to dump toxic waste in your back yard, making the
air you breathe and water you drink hazardous, they’d be liable for
the harm they caused you. (Of course, fossil fuel companies have
done exactly this also, in many places around the world, and often
faced little consequence, particularly when the victims are from
poor and marginalized communities.)<br>
<br>
Increasing carbon dioxide concentrations globally doesn’t poison us,
but it’s still broadly analogous to this backyard example—except on
the scale of the entire planet. Instead of giving us cancer or heart
disease, the increase in carbon dioxide emissions is making
essentially irreversible changes in the environments in which we all
live, such that they deviate from those to which our civilization is
adapted.<br>
<br>
We’ve known for some time that that’s exceedingly dangerous. We know
it even better now, as we see unprecedented heat waves and wildfire
seasons coming ever more frequently and sea level rise lapping at
coastal cities. The scale of the harm is difficult, perhaps even
impossible to calculate; for example, how do you account for a small
probability of true global catastrophe due to unpredictable tipping
points? Economists try to calculate it nonetheless, but it’s almost
certain that they—and consequently also politicians—have
historically grossly underestimated the sheer scale of the harm,
because economics as a discipline is based on assumptions that don’t
fit global-scale environmental crises...<br>
- -<br>
So while fossil fuel executives may have understood the potential
harm to which they were exposing all of us, one could argue that
they have worked within the legal system while extracting and
selling fossil fuels. They have also been fulfilling their fiduciary
duty to maximize shareholder value. In a sting video recently
released by Greenpeace, a top Exxon executive, speaking with a
frankness we never see in public from such people, made exactly
these arguments. Are those arguments not fair? Haven’t the fossil
fuel execs just been doing their jobs?<br>
<br>
No, because of the lying. With all the resources at their disposal,
these companies have systematically, cynically misrepresented and
suppressed the facts. Their jobs didn’t require them to do this. But
they did, and in such a way as to hide the fact that they were doing
it: sponsoring outside groups to spread doubt and confusion, and
even supporting bogus research to create the appearance of dissent
among scientists. All this is well documented and widely known by
now. And they’re still doing it: perhaps not all of them, and
perhaps in some cases with different tactics, but fossil fuel
companies are still funding denial groups and politicians who act on
the denial agenda...<br>
- -<br>
This is just the beginning. The Earth has only warmed by around a
degree or two so far and is on track for several more degrees of
warming. And yet the severe imbalances we’re now experiencing in
extreme weather are only going to get worse with each passing year
if rapid reductions in greenhouse gas emissions can’t be achieved.
The heat extremes we’re seeing now will become the baseline—regular
events—punctuated by even more extreme high temperatures as the
planet warms further and weather patterns are increasingly
disrupted.<br>
<br>
I think I know better now than to try to do physical labor during
extreme heat. But many workers have little or no ability to avoid
these risks: farmworkers, construction workers, laborers of all
kinds who are exposed to increasingly severe conditions and are
often not informed about the risks or offered protections from them.
More people are going to get sick; more are going to die from
climate threats. Try not to be one of them, and do what you can to
get our politicians to acknowledge and work to reduce these risks.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://thebulletin.org/2021/07/big-oils-lies-about-climate-change-a-climate-scientists-take/">https://thebulletin.org/2021/07/big-oils-lies-about-climate-change-a-climate-scientists-take/</a>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[Start with the new]<br>
<b>Our climate change turning point is right here, right now</b><br>
Rebecca Solnit<br>
People are dying. Aquatic animals are baking in their shells. Fruit
is being cooked on the tree. It’s time to act<br>
12 Jul 2021<br>
Human beings crave clarity, immediacy, landmark events. We seek
turning points, because our minds are good at recognizing the
specific – this time, this place, this sudden event, this tangible
change. This is why we were never very good, most of us, at
comprehending climate change in the first place. The climate was an
overarching, underlying condition of our lives and planet, and the
change was incremental and intricate and hard to recognize if you
weren’t keeping track of this species or that temperature record.
Climate catastrophe is a slow shattering of the stable patterns that
governed the weather, the seasons, the species and migrations, all
the beautifully orchestrated systems of the holocene era we exited
when we manufactured the anthropocene through a couple of centuries
of increasingly wanton greenhouse gas emissions and forest
destruction...<br>
- -<br>
The phrase “the choices societies make” is a clear demand for a
turning point, a turning away from fossil fuel and toward protection
of the ecosystems that protect us.<br>
<br>
Every week I temper the terrible news from catastrophes such as
wildfires and from scientists measuring the chaos by trying to put
them in the context of positive technological milestones and
legislative shifts and their consequences. You could call each of
them a turning point: The point last week at which Oregon passed the
bill setting the most aggressive clean electricity standards in the
US, 100% clean by 2040. The point at which Scotland began getting
more electricity from renewables than it could use. The point at
which New York State banned fracking. The Paris Climate Treaty in
2015. Of course, as with the climate itself, many of the changes
were incremental: the stunning drop in cost and rise in efficiency
of solar panels over the past four decades, the myriad solar and
wind farms that have been installed worldwide.<br>
<br>
The rise in public engagement with the climate crisis is harder to
measure. It’s definitely growing, both as an increasingly powerful
movement and as a matter of individual consciousness. Yet something
about the scale and danger of the crisis still seems to challenge
human psychology. Along with the fossil fuel industry, our own
habits of mind are something we must overcome.<br>
<br>
Rebecca Solnit is a Guardian US columnist. She is also the author of
Men Explain Things to Me and The Mother of All Questions. Her most
recent book is Recollections of My Nonexistence<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jul/12/our-climate-change-turning-point-is-right-here-right-now">https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jul/12/our-climate-change-turning-point-is-right-here-right-now</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[video about off shore wind power]<br>
<b>Deep Ocean Floating Wind Turbines. How do they do that?</b><br>
Jul 11, 2021<br>
Just Have a Think<br>
<br>
Offshore wind turbines powered almost 40% of all the UK's homes in
2020. The International Energy Agency says there's enough potential
accessible energy out there to power all of Europe, the US and Japan
several times over. But to get at all of it, developers will have to
go out into the very deep waters of the open oceans and find a way
to make their turbines float safely and securely in all weather
conditions. So how on earth are they going to do that?<br>
<br>
Video Transcripts available at our website<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.justhaveathink.com">http://www.justhaveathink.com</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tfz5zcAcJNk">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tfz5zcAcJNk</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[from article in 2020 <b>How dangerous heat waves can kill]</b><br>
<b>ONE CLIMATE CHANGE SYMPTOM REVEALS THE DEADLIEST FLAW IN HUMAN
EVOLUTION</b><br>
We can take the heat — usually.<br>
William H. Calvin - - 7.10.2021 HEATWAVES ARE THE leading cause of
weather-related deaths in the United States, surpassing both
windstorms and floods.<br>
<br>
And hotter summers as a result of climate change are causing
concerns over new dangers to people living throughout the country...<br>
- -<br>
To spot heatstroke, check for confusion<br>
What can overwhelm a person is a heat source that you can neither
escape nor counter. Overheated people suffer from painful
involuntary muscle spasms and heat exhaustion. One of the criteria
for when these are advancing to the potentially fatal heatstroke is
when someone is no longer thinking normally. They look flushed and
their conversation becomes incoherent.<br>
<br>
What should you do if you think someone is overheated? Test for
confusion about time or place. Ask “Where are you? When did you come
here? Who did you come with?” If you get incoherent answers, treat
it as an emergency.<br>
<br>
Take charge. After directing someone to phone for help, arrange
bystanders so they cast shade over the victim. Shielding the
person’s billfold and phone, then pour bottled water to soak the
clothing and hair. If the victim can sit up and drink, provide water
but don’t insist.<br>
<br>
Heat waves can kill via the dehydration caused by heavy sweating;
the altered sodium and potassium concentrations in the blood confuse
both heart and nerve cells, and so breathing or heartbeat may
suddenly stop.<br>
<br>
The other major route to a fatal outcome is that prolonged
overheating can create widespread inflammation, not just a flushed
face. The dilation of so many small blood vessels means that much
venous blood pools, failing to return to the heart. Recovery can
take two to 12 months.<br>
<br>
An unbroken series of nights, when it is too hot to sleep, poses a
major threat. Should a sleepy caregiver become confused or
exhausted, and no longer provide water and wet towels for children
or seniors every hour, they may die...<br>
- -<br>
What should you do if you think someone is overheated? Test for
confusion about time or place. Ask:<br>
<br>
Where are you?<br>
When did you come here?<br>
Who did you come with?<br>
If you get incoherent answers, treat it as an emergency.<br>
<br>
Take charge. After directing someone to phone for help, arrange
bystanders so they cast shade over the victim. Shield the person’s
wallet and phone, then pour bottled water to soak their clothing and
hair.<br>
<br>
If the victim can sit up and drink, provide water but don’t insist.<br>
<br>
Heatwaves can kill via the dehydration caused by heavy sweating; the
altered sodium and potassium concentrations in the blood confuse
both heart and nerve cells, and so breathing or heartbeat may
suddenly stop.<br>
<br>
The other major route to a fatal outcome is that prolonged
overheating can create widespread inflammation, not just a flushed
face. The dilation of so many small blood vessels means that much
venous blood pools, failing to return to the heart. Recovery can
take two to 12 months.<br>
<br>
An unbroken series of nights, when it is too hot to sleep, poses a
major threat. Should a sleepy caregiver become confused or
exhausted, and no longer provide water and wet towels for children
or seniors every hour, they may die...<br>
<b>HOW TO PREPARE FOR A HEATWAVE</b><br>
When an unbroken series of hot nights are forecast, opening cooling
centers is not enough.<br>
<br>
These further steps could help us better prepare for a heatwave:<br>
<blockquote>- Neighbors should organize in advance to regularly
check up on the less able and testing for heatstroke with
questions that might reveal confusion.<br>
-- Phone before visiting so that you can ask, “When was the last
time the phone rang?”<br>
-- Leave behind chilled six-packs of bottled water and snacks for
bedside consumption.<br>
</blockquote>
In the meantime, remind your elected officials that they must
prepare for more big heat waves. They also need to address the cause
with big projects that quickly remove excess carbon dioxide from the
atmosphere to cool us off.<br>
<br>
We must now back out of the danger zone for even worse extreme
weather. As we have already seen, it can take big steps as it
worsens, even though overheating itself merely creeps up.<br>
<br>
This article was originally published on The Conversation by William
H. Calvin at the University of Washington. Read the original article
here--<br>
- -<br>
<b>Organizing for a heat wave</b><br>
When an unbroken series of hot nights are forecast, opening cooling
centers is not enough. Neighbors should organize in advance, so that
the able regularly check up on the less able, testing for heatstroke
with questions that might reveal confusion. Phone before visiting so
that you can ask, “When was the last time the phone rang?” Leave
behind cool six-packs of bottled water and snacks for bedside
consumption.<br>
<br>
In the meantime, remind your elected officials that they must
prepare for more big heat waves. They also need to address the cause
with big projects that quickly remove excess carbon dioxide from the
atmosphere to cool us off. We must now back out of the danger zone
for even worse extreme weather. As we have already seen, it can take
big steps as it worsens, even though overheating itself merely
creeps up.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://theconversation.com/how-dangerous-heat-waves-can-kill-121727">https://theconversation.com/how-dangerous-heat-waves-can-kill-121727</a><br>
- -<br>
[Read the book online]<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://onedrive.live.com/?authkey=%21AOD7gtPMX6Qjsgc&cid=5661AEDA4E86E984&id=5661AEDA4E86E984%21147554&parId=5661AEDA4E86E984%21117278&o=OneUp">https://onedrive.live.com/?authkey=%21AOD7gtPMX6Qjsgc&cid=5661AEDA4E86E984&id=5661AEDA4E86E984%21147554&parId=5661AEDA4E86E984%21117278&o=OneUp</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[from the Barents Observer]<br>
<b>The great Arctic greenwash</b><br>
They are among the world's biggest climate gas emitters. And they
are trying to justify their huge new oil and gas projects in the
remotest part of the planet.<br>
Atle Staalesen -- July 09, 2021<br>
Russian oil companies have no plans whatsoever to reduce drilling in
the far north in order to ease pressure on environment and fight
climate change. On the contrary, they have a big number of new
Arctic projects in the pipeline.<br>
<br>
The great advance into the vast and vulnerable region comes as
Russia is incorporating the Paris Climate Agreement and as a major
energy shift is making headway across the planet...<br>
- -<br>
Russian oil companies have no plans whatsoever to reduce drilling in
the far north in order to ease pressure on environment and fight
climate change. On the contrary, they have a big number of new
Arctic projects in the pipeline.<br>
<br>
The great advance into the vast and vulnerable region comes as
Russia is incorporating the Paris Climate Agreement and as a major
energy shift is making headway across the planet.<br>
<br>
It takes place on the backdrop of dramatic climate change that is
about to spin out of control. Even the International Energy Agency
in its latest flagship report calls on energy companies to transform
in order to halt global warming and meet new realities.<br>
- - <br>
Russia’s powerful oil and gas sector is increasingly feeling the
pressure. But the industry leaders have no intention to cut drilling
and battle climate change. Instead, they call for ‘climate
adaptation’ and argue that new grand projects in the Arctic are
developed in a “green” and environmentally friendly manner.<br>
<br>
In his keynote speech delivered in the conference, Rosneft leader
Igor Sechin stressed that oil from the company’s grand new Arctic
project, the Vostok Oil, has a uniquely low sulfur content of only
0.01-0.04% and that the company applies “advanced technologies for
environmental protection.”<br>
<br>
According to Sechin, the “carbon footprint” of the project will be
75 percent lower than that of other major new oil projects in the
world.<br>
<br>
“Therefore, we have every reason to state that this project will
yield “green barrels” of oil,” the powerful company leader
underlined...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/industry-and-energy/2021/07/great-arctic-greenwash">https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/industry-and-energy/2021/07/great-arctic-greenwash</a><br>
<br>
<br>
<p> </p>
<p><br>
</p>
[video - harbinger]<br>
<b>Canada heatwave cooks up to one billion shellfish alive | DW News</b><br>
Jul 11, 2021<br>
DW News<br>
The Canadian province of British Columbia registered all-time record
temperatures this summer. Hundreds of people died in connection with
the extreme heat. And the impact on ecosystems was devastating:
Scientists say up to a billion shellfish may have perished.<br>
Bays in Western Canada are normally ideal for shellfish. They thrive
in the secluded, nutrient-rich waters. But mussels and clams don't
do well in extreme heat. And the region's recent heatwave has
literally cooked them alive:<br>
British Columbia's aquaculture industry depends largely on the
region's mild climate. That is changing. Farming families who have
thrived here for generations are now worried about the future.<br>
The mass die-off illustrates the impact of climate change - here and
now. Climatologists have concluded it's virtually impossible the
scorching temperatures could have occurred without global warming.<br>
And Western Canada's record-breaking June may be a harbinger of
things to come. Threatening a way of life in the bays of British
Columbia.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hVetsyssi2M">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hVetsyssi2M</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<p>[Bloomberg hosting this opinion- audio and text]<br>
<b>Steve Keen Says Economists Get Everything Wrong (Especially
About Climate Change)</b><br>
The whole profession needs to start over, he says<br>
By Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway<br>
July 8, 2021, <br>
<br>
Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway analyze the weird patterns, the
complex issues and the newest market crazes. Join the conversation
every Monday and Thursday for interviews with the most interesting
minds in finance, economics and markets.<br>
</p>
<blockquote><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://cms.megaphone.fm/channel/BLM2009837477?selected=HSW9459289019">https://cms.megaphone.fm/channel/BLM2009837477?selected=HSW9459289019</a><br>
Bloomberg's Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway analyze the weird
patterns, the complex issues and the newest market crazes. Join
the conversation every Monday and Thursday for interviews with the
most interesting minds in finance, economics and markets.<br>
</blockquote>
Mainstream economics has come under attack lately. People have begun
questioning its understanding of things like inflation, monetary
policy, deficits, and how best to get out of a downturn. Steve Keen,
an independent renegade economist, has been preaching this for a
long time. And he believes the whole profession needs to be chucked.
On this episode, we talk about some of the big failures he sees in
economist thinking, and how he is particularly energized by the
subject of climate change. He also deplores the economic consensus,
and says the way to think about it needs a total rethink, resulting
in much more dramatic action than what is currently being proposed
by the mainstream.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://cms.megaphone.fm/channel/BLM2009837477?selected=HSW9459289019">https://cms.megaphone.fm/channel/BLM2009837477?selected=HSW9459289019</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-08/steve-keen-says-economists-get-everything-wrong-especially-about-climate-change">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-08/steve-keen-says-economists-get-everything-wrong-especially-about-climate-change</a><br>
<p> - -</p>
[Transcript $]<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-09/transcript-steve-keen-on-what-economists-get-wrong-about-everything">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-09/transcript-steve-keen-on-what-economists-get-wrong-about-everything</a><br>
<p>- -<br>
</p>
[3 min video briefing]<br>
<b>Economists' climate change forecasts severely underestimate the
true damage, says professor</b><br>
May 20, 2021<br>
CNBC International TV<br>
University College London research fellow Steve Keen says even
economists' most severe climate change forecasts trivially
underestimate the true damage we can expect, adding "we are toying
with forces far in excess of ones we can actually address."<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nLdUzIEmQjg">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nLdUzIEmQjg</a><br>
<p> - -</p>
[thoughtful and important economics]<br>
<b>When Meritocracy Breeds Greed</b><br>
Jul 18, 2018<br>
New Economic Thinking<br>
Journalist Steven Brill discusses how the U.S. lost sight of the
common good.<br>
When people use their success to only help themselves and not the
common good, is meritocracy failing?<br>
According to journalist Steven Brill, that is cause and consequence
of much of what ails American society today. Joined by INET
President Rob Johnson and Better Markets President and CEO Dennis
Kelleher, Brill discusses his new book Tailspin: The People and
Forces Behind America's Fifty-Year Fall--and Those Fighting to
Reverse It (Knopf, 2018).<br>
Brill chronicles the erosion of the common good in American society.
Congressional representatives are more in touch with their donors
than their constituents. The executives who caused the financial
crisis have avoided any criminal responsibility. And the middle
class dream—that our children will be better off than us—is, in
Brill’s words, “just not happening.” But, Brill also offers a
hopeful look at the resilience of people who are speaking truth to
power and challenging the economic, political, and social
institutions that have fragmented the U.S.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2DXsPeBiIQY">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2DXsPeBiIQY</a><br>
- -<br>
<b>Tailspin: The People and Forces Behind America's Fifty-Year
Fall--and Those Fighting to Reverse It (Knopf, 2018).</b><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[The news archive - looking back]<br>
<font size="+1"><b>On this day in the history of global warming July
13, 2006</b></font><br>
<br>
July 13, 2006: On CNN's "Lou Dobbs Tonight," climate scientists
Michael Mann, Gavin Schmidt and Alan Robock discuss the hazards of,
and solutions to, human-caused climate change.<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PRc33Ow2di0">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PRc33Ow2di0</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.desmogblog.com/news-alert-cnns-lou-dobbs-says-discussion-is-over-get-on-with-solutions">http://www.desmogblog.com/news-alert-cnns-lou-dobbs-says-discussion-is-over-get-on-with-solutions</a><br>
<br>
<p>/-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------/</p>
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