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<p><i><font size="+1"><b>August 26, 2021</b></font></i></p>
[too much]<br>
<b>Fire official says Caldor Fire "has simply outpaced us" as it
nears Lake Tahoe</b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/caldor-fire-lake-tahoe-california-number-one/">https://www.cbsnews.com/news/caldor-fire-lake-tahoe-california-number-one/</a><br>
- -<br>
[fire weather]<br>
<b>‘Fire weather’: dangerous days now far more common in US west,
study finds</b><br>
Hot, arid and dry conditions that fuel extreme wildfires have grown
more frequent from Pacific coast to Great Plains<br>
Maanvi Singh in San Francisco -- 25 Aug 2021<br>
<br>
The hot, dry and windy weather conditions fueling the huge wildfires
that have besieged the western US this summer have increased in
frequency over the past 50 years, a new study has found.<br>
<br>
Since 1973, global heating has desiccated the west, driving
increases in “fire weather” days from the Pacific coast to the Great
Plains, according to research by the non-profit Climate Central. ..<br>
- -<br>
Although fire is a natural part of the landscape in California and
other parts of the west, “it’s clear that what we’re seeing now
isn’t natural”, said Weber.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/aug/25/wildfires-us-west-fire-weather-caldor">https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/aug/25/wildfires-us-west-fire-weather-caldor</a><br>
- - <br>
[10 page report by Climate Central]<br>
<b>FIRE WEATHER</b><br>
<b>Heat, dryness, and wind are driving wildfires in the Western U.S.</b><br>
Climate change is worsening wildfires across forested land and
lengthening wildfire seasons in the Western United States.<br>
Warming from heat-trapping pollution is drying out forests,
grasslands and other landscapes, increasing the likelihood that<br>
destructive fires will erupt and spread. And warming is also
affecting day-to-day weather in ways that this analysis shows are<br>
increasing the frequency of fire weather days...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://medialibrary.climatecentral.org/uploads/general/FireWeatherReport2021.pdf">https://medialibrary.climatecentral.org/uploads/general/FireWeatherReport2021.pdf</a><br>
<p> --</p>
[Wildfire video report]<br>
<b>Update and Forecast for the Caldor Fire, Dixie Fire, South Fire,
and other California Wildfires</b><br>
Aug 25, 2021<br>
Holt Hanley <br>
The Dixie Fire, Caldor Fire, South Fire, Monument Fire, French Fire,
Westward Fire, River Complex, Antelope Fire, Mcfarland Fire, and a
number of other wildfires continue to burn in California. <br>
Throughout this video, we'll dive into all the important updates, as
well as the fire weather forecast to predict how the Dixie Fire, the
South Fire, the Caldor Fire, and the other California Wildfires may
change in the coming days.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aqBuNgsBazo">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aqBuNgsBazo</a>
<p>- - <br>
</p>
[Wildfires and premature births]<br>
<b>Study finds exposure to wildfire smoke can increase premature
birth risk</b><br>
Bill Gabbert -- August 25, 2021<br>
Smoke from wildfires may have contributed to thousands of additional
premature births in California between 2007 and 2012...<br>
- - <br>
After accounting for other factors known to influence preterm birth
risk, such as temperature, baseline pollution exposure and the
mother’s age, income, race or ethnic background, they looked at how
patterns of preterm birth within each zip code changed when the
number and intensity of smoke days rose above normal for that
location.<br>
<br>
They found every additional day of smoke exposure during pregnancy
raised the risk of preterm birth, regardless of race, ethnicity or
income. And a full week of exposure translated to a 3.4 percent
greater risk relative to a mother exposed to no wildfire smoke.
Exposure to intense smoke during the second trimester – between 14
and 26 weeks of pregnancy – had the strongest impact, especially
when smoke contributed more than 5 additional micrograms per cubic
meter to daily PM 2.5 concentrations. “If one can avoid smoke
exposure by staying indoors or wearing an appropriate mask while
outdoors, that would be good health practice for all,” Shaw said.<br>
<br>
The findings build on an established link between particle pollution
and adverse birth outcomes, including preterm birth, low birth
weight and infant deaths. But the study is among the first to
isolate the effect of wildfire smoke on early births and to tease
out the importance of exposure timing...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://wildfiretoday.com/2021/08/25/study-finds-exposure-to-wildfire-smoke-can-increase-premature-birth-risk/">https://wildfiretoday.com/2021/08/25/study-finds-exposure-to-wildfire-smoke-can-increase-premature-birth-risk/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[podcasts are popping up everywhere - this is an especially good
one]<br>
<b>It Could Happen Here</b><br>
Follow<br>
A jaunty walk through the burning ruins of the old world, the one we
all live in now, and a guide to avoiding the worst pitfalls along
the road to a better world. It Could Happen Here season 1 ended with
the possibility of a second civil war. It Could Happen Here Daily
with Robert Evans, accepts collapse as a given, and tries to provide
a roadmap to survival.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.iheart.com/podcast/1119-it-could-happen-here-30717896/">https://www.iheart.com/podcast/1119-it-could-happen-here-30717896/</a><br>
--<br>
[We may be in the "Crumbles"- but should withhold our attack until
overwhelming victory is assured]<br>
<b>Refuse Dystopia</b><br>
August 19, 2021 - 36 min<br>
If we're going to build a better future, we have to believe things
can improve.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.iheart.com/podcast/1119-it-could-happen-here-30717896/">https://www.iheart.com/podcast/1119-it-could-happen-here-30717896/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p> </p>
<p><br>
</p>
[here's a movie]<br>
<b>Opinion: ‘Reminiscence’ is another pessimistic climate change
movie. Filmmakers should get more creative.</b><br>
Alyssa Rosenberg - Aug 25, 2021<br>
Reminiscence,” a recent science fiction movie starring Hugh Jackman,
takes place in a future Miami that has been transformed by rising
sea levels into a new Venice. And yet, “Reminiscence” isn’t really
about climate change or the response to it. Instead, the movie
fixates on an addictive machine that lets users travel back into
their memories. It’s about escape — not adaptation.<br>
<br>
As such, “Reminiscence” is a great illustration of how strangely
passive and defeatist an industry full of Prius early adopters has
been about the biggest challenge of our time.<br>
<br>
Hollywood’s reliance on big-budget action movies plays a role in its
inability to address climate change effectively. In an industry
reliant on chases, special effects and disasters, even ostensible
“issue movies” get wedged into the same template.<br>
- -<br>
The end of “Reminiscence” handwaves at the possibility of an
uprising against the elites who have tried to buy their way out of
the deluge. “A trickle became a flood,” Jackman’s character says in
some of the movie’s typically overheated dialogue. “Maybe this time
it would wash the world clean.” Sure. But once you’ve got a clean
slate, you’ve got to put something new on it.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/08/25/reminiscence-climate-change-movies-hollywood/">https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/08/25/reminiscence-climate-change-movies-hollywood/</a><br>
- -<br>
[video makes it looks like trope tripe]<br>
<b>REMINISCENCE Trailer (2021)</b><br>
A private investigator of the mind navigates the darkly alluring
world of the past by helping his clients access lost memories. His
life is forever changed as he uncovers a violent conspiracy while
trying to solve the mystery behind a missing client.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aW-H1u7b1HU">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aW-H1u7b1HU</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
[information warfare battle analysis]<br>
<b>Our Changing Climate</b><br>
<b>Why do TV comedies always get climate change wrong? </b><br>
Help NCSE build their climate change in scripted media database:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://ncse.ngo/understanding-climat">https://ncse.ngo/understanding-climat</a>... <br>
<br>
In this Our Changing Climate climate change video essay, we look at
how and why TV comedies get climate change so wrong. We look at the
last 30 years of television comedies that address climate change
from The Simpsons to South Park to The Good Place to Modern Family
to It's Always Sunny in Philadelphia in order to understand why TV
comedies get climate change so wrong. TV comedies use a number of
character archetypes that turn environmentalists into obnoxious
pariahs, directly deny the existence of climate change in the case
of South Park, or build jokes and comedic elements on how hopeless
climate action can be. TV comedies ultimately have undermined needed
progress on climate change and climate action by approaching the
issue of climate change in an unproductive way. To conclude we offer
a number of avenues through which TV comedies like The Simpsons, The
Politician, and The Good Place might be able to actually spur
climate action through jokes and comedy. <br>
<br>
Big thanks to Kate Carter and the NCSE graduate student outreach
fellows! They researched and wrote the script for this video.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tFQJ1sxCNd8">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tFQJ1sxCNd8</a><br>
<p> - -</p>
[New expressions of old thinking]<br>
<b>Why Capitalism is Killing Us (And The Planet)</b><br>
May 7, 2021<br>
<b>Our Changing Climate</b><br>
Why does Capitalism cause climate change? Support this channel
directly by becoming a Patreon backer:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.patreon.com/OurChangingCl">https://www.patreon.com/OurChangingCl</a>...<br>
<blockquote>In this Our Changing Climate climate change video essay,
I look at why capitalism is killing us (and the planet) by causing
climate change. Specifically, I look at how capitalism's
multinationals like ExxonMobil and BP are responsible for
increased emissions and ultimately the climate crisis we are
living through today. Capitalism's growth-at-all-costs paradigm
runs counter to the material realities of the Earth we live on. In
addition to causing climate change, capitalists have found
insidious ways to profit off of and engrain free market,
neoliberal ideas into the global economy in the wake of climate
change-fueled disasters. This is called disaster capitalism and
will only get worse as the climate crisis causes more and more
chaos. Flying in the face of this capitalist destruction are
countless revolutionary movements and ideas that are working to
dismantle the profit and growth economy and lift up the people
instead. Eco-socialism moving into communism, degrowth, buen
vivir, and food sovereignty are just a few philosophical tactics
that are being championed by the masses as a means of countering
the destructive tendencies of capitalism.<br>
</blockquote>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-qxP2TzYcNw">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-qxP2TzYcNw</a><br>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p>[commentary from 2019 - pre-pandemic]<br>
<b>The end times are here, and I am at Target</b><br>
On the strange experience of living through the only accurate
doomsday prediction.<br>
Hayes Brown -- AUG—07—2019<br>
It’s a theory of mine that life in most societies involves being
keenly aware that the end is coming. Your own individual end, yes,
but also the end of this, the entire experience that is life as
you’ve known it. The mass of our collective canon is littered with
stories about the world’s end, where the death of mankind and the
death of the universe can be seen as linked or interchangeable.
It’s almost as if the second humans evolved enough to contemplate
that we each must someday die, those early people immediately
assumed that when we go, we all go, the entire world coming along
for the ride, an unwritten murder-suicide pact between species and
planet.<br>
<br>
There’s a certain similarity in the way across the years that
people have resigned themselves to meeting the end, often to the
to the point of welcoming it with open arms. The exact beliefs of
a new age group awaiting our planet’s collision with another in
2012 or a sect devoted to the numerology contained in the book of
Eli or whatever don’t ultimately matter. Each of them decided that
whatever doctrine was their truth, they felt it with every fiber
of their being, they were convinced: “This is it, this is the
time, the signs are all aligned for us, the universe, the whole
mess of reality to call it quits. Make what preparations you can,
cast off your worldly goods, the next awaits us! And it will be
even more beautiful and peaceful than you’ve ever dreamed and the
ills and suffering of this mortal plane shall trouble you no
longer.” Death in the end is just a big temporary road bump before
the next version of the world or humanity or both can come to
pass.<br>
<br>
I find myself thinking about doomsday cults fairly often as I
wander the aisles inside the Target near the apartment I share
with my girlfriend and our dog. This happened most recently during
New York’s first heatwave of the year, the air doing its best to
convince you it’s nearing 110 degrees, a preview of what’s to
come. It’s impossible to tell from the inside, an almost
pathological level of self-deception. Every minute spent inside
that artificial oasis is another ticked away before our contract
with the Earth runs out. The plentiful “Live, Laugh, Love” decor
shapeshifts from a directive for your kooky aunt into a taunt.<br>
<br>
It feels intensely unfair that after all the false starts and
failed predictions that have stacked up throughout humanity’s run
of things, each doled out with the utmost confidence, there’s
finally honest proof that our finale is fast approaching. Maybe
it’s a case of too many disappointments causing us to become more
cynical. But while The Seekers’ UFO never came to transport them
to another planet, Christ didn’t actually return in 1844, and Y2K
preppers found themselves with a surplus of canned goods, climate
change’s increasing impact on our lives can be felt daily and are
only slated to get worse...<br>
- - <br>
We have a preponderance of evidence at this point and yet the very
existence of anthropogenic climate change is still considered
something to debate. Meanwhile, we — you, me, the other New
Yorkers shuffling through the Target around me, your neighbors
wherever you’re reading this — are somehow not stockpiling
non-perishables and fleeing the coasts in search of high ground
ahead of the looming end like you’d expect in a proper End Times.
Instead, we’re just trying to get through the next day or week as
we suffer through the early throes of our collective demise,
hoping that we might be wrong about the whole thing.<br>
<br>
We don’t have to wait long for the worst to arrive. Come 2050,
civilization as we know it will start to tap out thanks to climate
change, if a report from earlier this year is to be believed.
Drawing on existing research and modeling, authors David Spratt
and Ian Dunlop make a case that more than a billion people will be
displaced as melting ice caps and glaciers raises the sea levels
and the increased heat becomes lethal for huge swathes of the
population for multiple days out of the year. It’s not conclusive
— but it’s convincing.<br>
<br>
Compare the works informing Spratt and Dunlop — including last
year’s United Nations-backed report that warned of severe changes
coming even sooner, in 2040 — to those at the fingertips of the
men two thousand-odd years ago who foretold of the impending
Second Kingdom. They had no precise models for when these crude
forms would melt away, but their zeal, their conviction that it
was just around the corner, helped win them their first converts.
Many others since, most lost to history, have spent thir lives
trying to predict Judgement Day’s arrival. Countless other people
in turn followed them and their message. It was hard times for
most of those years with even the privileged classes living in
what would be considered squalor by modern standards. You could
see why the promise of better days just around the corner, even if
it meant the destruction of all that ever was, sounded appealing
to the masses.<br>
<br>
In the 21st century, we have raised the bar in terms of comfort.
Under Target’s glaring fluorescent lights, assorted goods line the
gleaming shelves, each full to bursting as if mocking the very
idea of want. Ten varieties and scents of what’s basically the
same laundry detergent which may or may not linger in the water
supply fill my line of sight. In the grocery section, produce is
picked over and left to spoil at the hint of a bruise. Life for
the few — the massively wealthy on a global scale, the powerless
compared to the truly rich in this world, the average human in the
United States of America — is more convenient than it has ever
been in human history. Small wonder that we aren’t exactly keen on
imagining it all going away, either by choice or at the whims of a
planet that feels as vengeful as an ancient god, and justifiably
so.<br>
<br>
Of course, unlike proponents of the Mayan calendar’s supposed
prophecies or Nostradamus’s writings, the augurs of the climate
movement come armed with science — repeatable and verifiable and
very sure we’re on the edge of disaster. "This scenario provides a
glimpse into a world of 'outright chaos' on a path to the end of
human civilization and modern society as we have known it," Spratt
and Dunlop wrote in exceedingly clear terms, "in which the
challenges to global security are simply overwhelming and
political panic becomes the norm." One of the authors of the UN’s
report told the New York Times the evidence is “telling us we need
to reverse emissions trends and turn the world economy on a
dime.”...<br>
- -<br>
Climate scientists have a body of evidence that no other sibyl has
ever produced and yet it’s still falling on deaf ears. And in the
U.S. and in growing numbers abroad, powerful people have used a
small fraction of their resources to stifle that message further.
They deliver sermons of their own, telling the gathered throngs
that the prophets are liars and the stars are being read wrong and
Cassandra is a woman and a fool. It’s a scheme, a plot, a drive to
take away your rights and their taxes and profits. The “political
will” to avert Ragnarok just isn’t there.<br>
<br>
Even without their efforts, the Church of Climate Change’s
weakness is clear in its followers. Once you’re convinced that the
Earth is rapidly heating and there’s only a little time left to
stop it, then you’re in, you believe. You’re Paul on the road from
Damascus, ready to spread the Word and call out the sinners who
dare doubt the Newest Testament. But what kind of devotee secretly
hopes that their principles of faith are wrong? What true believer
wishes deep down inside that things will actually be fine in the
end, so let’s just go back to not worrying about it and enjoying
things exactly as they are now. “Here’s hoping what we’re
predicting doesn’t come true after all” isn’t exactly a religion
likely to retain members, let alone gain apostles.<br>
<br>
After the recession placed a new cap on what milestones we can
ever hope to achieve — owning a home, starting a family, planning
our retirement, all former givens that now feel impossible to many
of us — people in their thirties today are unlikely to see it that
get much easier. Not given the trajectory of everything, not
absent massive changes across the board societally — the kind of
changes on a scale that manage to trouble both the fabulously
wealthy and the merely comfortable. Even the most unshakeable in
their worship of the dogma that climate change is our certain
doom, the most committed vegans and environmentalists and
ecologists and politicians living in the U.S. and Europe, are left
hoping that surely it can’t be all that bad, can it? How much
sacrifice will actually be necessary to keep us all alive? Isn’t
not living through the Mad Max series worth the ignomimity that
comes with being wrong?<br>
<br>
We’re left wondering what we could possibly do as we turn up the
air conditioning. Corporations continue to avoid paying additional
taxes to help reverse the harm they’ve caused all while
individuals are left to fret about whether their plastic straw is
to blame for the ocean’s collapse and billionaires race to send
people to space. Meanwhile, Anchorage, Alaska hit 90 degrees for
the first time ever last month. Part of the Arctic is apparently
on fire, spilling even more captured carbon into the air, a
striking example of how self-reinforcing this is going to become,
a perpetual motion machine but for environmental decay.
Greenland’s ice is melting at a rate we weren’t supposed to see
for another few decades, reading the waters to push higher than
we’ve come to expect.<br>
<br>
And yet when people actually have rushed into the streets with
signs — begging that something, anything be done to stop this —
they’ve been told sorry, it would be quite expensive and your
plans would never work anyway. This from the same trustworthy
visionaries who launched a Forever War and tanked the global
economy. We won’t even touch on the sixth great extinction
occurring all around us or the rapid depletion of non-renewable
resources, we only have the capacity to consider one facet of our
annihilation at a time.<br>
<br>
Generation Z, bless them, seems to be determined to not go down
without a fight as they’ve shown in the climate marches taking
place around the globe. Even their more conservative members are
pushing for climate change to be taken seriously. And who knows?
Maybe the Green New Deal or the Paris Climate Accord or Extinction
Rebellion or some other Proper Noun Yet To Come is the thing that
saves us all. I still want to hope that someone or something big
swoops in last second, a secular messiah, some deus ex machina of
world-altering proportions. But it’s getting harder to see that
happening as the days tick away.<br>
<br>
Maybe it’s the whole rebirth thing that this particular looming
doomsday is missing. There’s no better place awaiting us in the
gospel according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
Only struggle and suffering and the seven seals opening make an
appearance in their Revelation. That could be why it’s so
difficult to convert true zealots from the casual climate
believer, let alone the entirely unconvinced — what’s the point of
an apocalypse without a Rapture? The IPCC should consider adding
one, shifting focus to the new utopia that could arise if only we
repent from our sinful ways...<br>
- -<br>
We’re about due for a new major religion in any case, historically
speaking. Maybe the scientists of today will wind up becoming the
oracles of the post-apocalypse tomorrow, seen as warning against
the wrath of the new gods that have taken root during whatever
comes next. Neo-priests could someday be poring over the documents
that have survived as they attempt to piece together how the last
era ended and the gods of the water and the sun chose to punish us
our hubris. I reflect on this as I grab another plastic box of
fruit imported from Latin America and grown using a massive amount
of resources that I may or may not get around to actually eating.<br>
<br>
The weight of knowing, this time really knowing, our future is
taking its toll. It can’t not — the crush of bad news is
unavoidable lately and the climate going haywire manages to be
just one of another dozen issues that demands our attention at any
given moment, even as it towers over them in terms of potential
long-term impact. We’re clearly not the first generation to be
sure ours is the last, but we’re definitely the first to have
overburdened the field of psychology with our rising dread. Still,
it’s amazing how much the human mind can compartmentalize when
faced with something as vast as extinction. The headlines and news
alerts and marches and panels get filed in the mental Pocket
folder marked “for later” that you have absolutely intention of
ever going back to but gives you the satisfaction of having been
interested in the article in the first place. We do our best to go
about our days, filling them with a constant stream of
distractions...<br>
- -<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://theoutline.com/post/7754/climate-change-doomsday-cults-prophecy">https://theoutline.com/post/7754/climate-change-doomsday-cults-prophecy</a><br>
</p>
<br>
<p><br>
</p>
<br>
[The news archive - looking back]<br>
<font size="+1"><b>On this day in the history of global warming
August 26, 2001</b></font><br>
August 26, 2001: The Los Angeles Times reports:<br>
<br>
"Throughout February and March, executives representing electricity,
coal, natural gas and nuclear interests paraded quietly in small
groups to a building in the White House compound, where the new
administration's energy policy was being written.<br>
<br>
"Some firms sent emissaries more than once. Enron Corp., which
trades electricity and natural gas, once got three top officials
into a private session with Vice President Dick Cheney, who headed
the energy task force. Cheney did 'a lot of listening,' according to
a company spokesman.<br>
<br>
"Many of the executives at the White House meetings were generous
donors to the Republican Party, and some of their key lobbyists were
freshly hired from the Bush presidential campaign. They found a
receptive task force. Among its ranks were three former energy
industry executives and consultants. The task force also included a
Bush agency head who was involved in the sensitive discussions while
his wife took in thousands of dollars in fees from three electricity
producers.<br>
<br>
"The final report, issued May 16, boosted the nation's energy
industries. It called for additional coal production, and five days
later the world's largest coal company, Peabody Energy, issued a
public stock offering, raising about $60 million more than expected.
While Peabody was preparing to go public, its chief executive and
vice president participated in a March 1 meeting with Cheney."<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://articles.latimes.com/2001/aug/26/news/mn-38530">http://articles.latimes.com/2001/aug/26/news/mn-38530</a> <br>
<br>
<p>/-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------/</p>
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