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<font size="+2"><i><b>October2 , 2021</b></i></font><br>
<br>
<i>[ as seen from space and measured in reflected light on the Dark
Side of the Moon ] </i><br>
<b>Earth is losing its shine and scientists suspect climate change
is the culprit</b><br>
Measuring earthshine, scientists reveal the planet is not quite as
bright as it was two decades ago.<br>
Jackson Ryan - Sept. 30, 2021 <br>
- -<br>
By studying the glow of our humble space orb, scientists have
discovered a surprising dimming. They hypothesize the underlying
cause could be related to climate change.<br>
<br>
In a study, published in the journal Geophysical Research Letters on
Aug. 29, researchers examined the Earth's "albedo" by analyzing
earthshine at the Big Bear Solar Observatory in California between
1998 and 2017 -- equivalent to around 1,500 nights of data. This
analysis allowed them to assess how much light is reflected by the
planet.<br>
<br>
The data revealed the Earth has dimmed by about half a percent since
the late 1990s.<br>
<br>
"The albedo drop was such a surprise to us when we analyzed the last
three years of data after 17 years of nearly flat albedo," said
Philip Goode, an astronomer at New Jersey Institute of Technology
and lead author of the study. .. <br>
- -<br>
Scientists have previously thought a warmer planet could result in
higher albedo, due to increasing cloud coverage. Thus, there'd be
more reflection of sunlight and less trapped by greenhouse gases --
a good thing. But that might not be the case. "It's actually quite
concerning," said Edward Schwieterman, a planetary scientist at the
University of California at Riverside not involved in the study, in
an AGU press release...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.cnet.com/news/earth-is-losing-its-shine-and-scientists-suspect-climate-change-is-the-culprit/">https://www.cnet.com/news/earth-is-losing-its-shine-and-scientists-suspect-climate-change-is-the-culprit/</a>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[See the NASA image for yourself]</i><br>
<b>(June 3, 2021) --- The sun's glint beams off the Indian Ocean as
the International Space Station orbited 269 miles above south of
Western Australia.</b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.nasa.gov/image-feature/the-suns-glint-beams-off-the-indian-ocean">https://www.nasa.gov/image-feature/the-suns-glint-beams-off-the-indian-ocean</a><br>
<p>- -</p>
<i>[from the Journal Geophysical Research Letters posted by the AGU]</i><br>
<b>Earth's Albedo 1998–2017 as Measured From Earthshine</b><br>
P. R. Goode,E. Pallé,A. Shoumko,S. Shoumko,P. Montañes-Rodriguez,S.
E. Koonin,<br>
First published: 29 August 2021 <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094888">https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094888</a><br>
<b>Abstract</b><br>
The reflectance of the Earth is a fundamental climate parameter that
we measured from Big Bear Solar Observatory between 1998 and 2017 by
observing the earthshine using modern photometric techniques to
precisely determine daily, monthly, seasonal, yearly and decadal
changes in terrestrial albedo from earthshine. We find the
inter-annual fluctuations in albedo to be global, while the large
variations in albedo within individual nights and seasonal
wanderings tend to average out over each year. We measure a gradual,
but climatologically significant
urn:x-wiley:00948276:media:grl62955:grl62955-math-00010.5
urn:x-wiley:00948276:media:grl62955:grl62955-math-0002 decline in
the global albedo over the two decades of data. We found no
correlation between the changes in the terrestrial albedo and
measures of solar activity. The inter-annual pattern of earthshine
fluctuations are in good agreement with those measured by CERES
(data began in 2001) even though the satellite observations are
sensitive to retroflected light while earthshine is sensitive to
wide-angle reflectivity. The CERES decline is about twice that of
earthshine.<br>
<br>
<b>Plain Language Summary</b><br>
The net sunlight reaching the Earth's climate system depends on the
solar irradiance and the Earth's reflectance (albedo). We have
observed earthshine from Big Bear Solar Observatory to measure the
terrestrial albedo. For earthshine we measure the sunlight reflected
from Earth to the dark part of the lunar face and back to the
nighttime observer, yielding an instantaneous large-scale
reflectance of the Earth. In these relative measurements, we also
observe the sunlit, bright part of the lunar face. We report here
reflectance data (monthly, seasonal and annual) covering two
decades, 1998–2017. The albedo shows a decline corresponding to a
net climate forcing of about 0.5
urn:x-wiley:00948276:media:grl62955:grl62955-math-0003. We find no
correlation between measures of solar cycle variations and the
albedo variations. The first precise satellite measures of
terrestrial albedo came with CERES. CERES global albedo data (2001-)
show a decrease in forcing that is about twice that of earthshine
measurements. The evolutionary changes in albedo motivate continuing
earthshine observations as a complement to absolute satellite
measurements, especially since earthshine and CERES measurements are
sensitive to distinctly different parts of the angular reflectivity.
The recent drop in albedo is attributed to a warming of the eastern
pacific, which is measured to reduce low-lying cloud cover and,
thereby, the albedo...<br>
- -<br>
<b>Solar irradiance has been precisely measured from space for four
decades. </b><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL094888">https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL094888</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[An idea that is already proven works well - FDR did it]</i><br>
<b>A plan to fund the global green transition already exists |
Financial Times</b><br>
The writer is assistant professor of history at Cornell University.
On 28 September 1941, two businessmen on a mission arrived in
Moscow. Lord Beaverbrook, the Canadian-British owner of the Daily
...<br>
Nicholas Mulder - SEPT. 23, 2021 - The writer is assistant professor
of history at Cornell University<br>
<br>
On 28 September 1941, two businessmen on a mission arrived in
Moscow. Lord Beaverbrook, the Canadian-British owner of the Daily
Express, was minister of supply in Winston Churchill’s war cabinet.
With him was W Averell Harriman, the railroad heir and banker who
was Franklin Roosevelt’s envoy to Europe. What prompted these two
capitalists to visit the centre of global communism was Hitler’s
invasion of the Soviet Union. Fascist forces stood only 200 miles
from the Kremlin.<br>
<br>
The carrot that Beaverbrook and Harriman had brought was the
Lend-Lease Act, written into law by Franklin Roosevelt earlier that
year. In the struggle against Axis aggression, the bill enabled the
Allied provision of supplies against deferred payment. On October 1,
the delegates signed the Moscow Protocol with Joseph Stalin’s
foreign minister. This unlocked massive Lend-Lease aid flows that
delivered tens of thousands of aircraft, trucks, tanks and vast
quantities of machinery, munition, food, fuel and clothing to
anti-fascist armies worldwide. It sealed Allied victory in the war.<br>
<br>
Today, the climate crisis is arguably an even greater threat to
humanity than fascist aggression was in the 1940s. The 80th
anniversary of the Moscow Protocol should prompt us to reflect and
think: would it be possible to imagine a green Lend-Lease programme
to fight climate change? Such a policy could adapt the best elements
of the 1940s formula to 21st-century conditions. Three particular
aspects stand out: diplomatic flexibility, public-private
co-operation and global distribution.<br>
<br>
Lend-Lease was a victory of pragmatism over ideology. The programme,
started by the US but administered jointly with Britain and other
Allies, was open to any state, regardless of its political
orientation. Half of the world’s sovereign states signed up for it.
By 1945, this alliance formed the initial membership of the United
Nations. Yet only half of the 36 countries that received aid were
democracies. Aid went not just to Stalin but to other authoritarians
including Chiang Kai-shek, Getúlio Vargas and Ibn Saud. Lend-Lease
funding was not just indiscriminate, but large. The programme
expended near $50bn — one out of every six dollars spent by
Washington during the war. This is nearly four times as much as the
$13bn of the better-known Marshall Plan. <br>
<br>
Lend-Lease’s second strength was its reliance on public investment
to mobilise private resources. US government spending equal to 1.5
per cent of gross domestic product kickstarted a wave of private
investment. A recent G7 report estimates combined public and private
investment worldwide needs to rise by 2 per cent each year to meet
climate targets. But today there are more rich countries, that can
borrow at much lower rates, than in the 1940s.<br>
<br>
Third, Lend-Lease efficiently used the global division of labour of
its time. It directed the most advanced economies, the US and
Britain, to produce equipment and supplies for the front lines, from
the Eastern Front to north Africa, India and China. A green
Lend-Lease programme could likewise exploit regional economic
specialisation and investment needs. European and US firms dominate
innovation in green technology, and western investors own most of
the capital to fund the energy transition. But the productive effort
is best focused in East Asia, the region with the high-tech
manufacturing capacity to produce low-carbon technologies.
Meanwhile, it is the developing world that most urgently needs
large-scale investment in renewable energy grids, more resilient
infrastructure and better-protected food provision. <br>
<br>
As world leaders prepare for November’s COP26 in Glasgow, ominous
talk of a “new cold war” should not distract from the need to
accelerate the global energy transition, regardless of ideological
differences. Lend-Lease remains one of the most powerful examples of
how realpolitik and public-private finance can drive ambitious
internationalism. <br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.ft.com/content/fd7bcad4-53b0-4e1e-9cd9-99c3c2ff43b6">https://www.ft.com/content/fd7bcad4-53b0-4e1e-9cd9-99c3c2ff43b6</a>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[messy politics feels more like organized crime]</i><br>
<b>With Sen. Kyrsten Sinema’s Snubbing of the Democrats’
Reconciliation Plans, Environmental Advocates Ask, ‘Which Side Are
You On?’</b><br>
The Arizona Democrat, whose vote is crucial for Biden’s climate
plans, has been coy about her reasons for refusing to support the
Democrats’ $3.5 trillion package.<br>
By Judy Fahys -- October 1, 2021<br>
In Kyrsten Sinema’s 2009 book, Unite and Conquer: How to Build
Coalitions That Win and Last, she described the necessity of working
with Republicans so she could “get something done.”<br>
<br>
But after months when Sen. Sinema (D-Ariz.) has defiantly snubbed a
$3.5 trillion reconciliation package that contains the bulk of
President Joe Biden’s plan for tackling climate change, many
Democrats think she just may have gone too far.<br>
<br>
“Now she’s working with Republicans to get nothing done,” said Sandy
Bahr, executive director of the Grand Canyon Chapter of the Sierra
Club.<br>
<br>
“If she’s not supporting strong climate policy, then she’s
definitely out of step with Arizonans,” said Bahr, a veteran
environmental activist who has worked for Sinema’s campaigns and who
said that, in a state with too little water and way too much heat,
voters grasp the need for urgent climate action.<br>
<br>
“They get it; they see it; they’re living it,” she said.<br>
Instead, the Arizona Democrat is helping to push through an
infrastructure bill that includes little to tackle climate change,
only measures to address its impacts. On Thursday, Sen. Joe Manchin
(D-W.Va.) said he was in favor of a $1.5 trillion reconciliation
package. Then, late Thursday night, House Democrats delayed a
planned vote on a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure bill that
Manchin and Sinema had helped negotiate, after liberals refused to
support it in response to the centrist Senators’ failure to get
behind Biden’s reconciliation package.<br>
<br>
Sinema and Manchin are the two holdouts in a Senate where every
Democratic vote is needed to pass the reconciliation package. And
while Manchin’s objections to the spending plan—he has said it costs
too much and includes clean energy provisions that are too
onerous—may be understandable in a coal-state politician, Sinema’s
reasons for withholding her support remain mysterious, even to her
Democratic colleagues. <br>
- -<br>
In a recent interview with the Arizona Republic, Sinema acknowledged
that she had “an interest in policies addressing climate change” in
the reconciliation plan and in some of its proposals for “human
infrastructure.”<br>
<br>
But asked about what she specifically wants and doesn’t want in the
reconciliation package, she said, “I don’t make decisions based on
other peoples’ actions or other peoples’ behavior. And I don’t
engage in hypotheticals or predict outcomes.”<br>
<br>
Tiernan Sittenfeld, senior vice president of government affairs for
the League of Conservation Voters, said Sinema has a long record of
recognizing climate change as a real and urgent problem.<br>
<br>
“She has this opportunity to be part of transformational progress
for her state and for our country,” Sittenfeld said. “We certainly
hope and expect that she will meet the moment and support the
package.”<br>
<br>
Progressives, in particular, aren’t so sure. The stakes are dire for
Democrats and their leader in the White House, whose climate
proposal is aimed at cutting greenhouse gas emissions in half by
2030 with a carrot-and-stick approach.<br>
<br>
The reconciliation package includes a grab-bag of programs that have
been bundled together and separated from the infrastructure bill to
avoid the necessity of winning over at least 10 Republican senators.
The reconciliation package contains climate provisions to promote
clean electricity generation, spark electric vehicle purchases,
reduce potent methane emissions and conserve soil. According to one
analysis, that’s 1.3 billion metric tons in emissions cuts, just as
new international climate talks—the first since the United States
rejoined the Paris accord—begin next month...<br>
- -<br>
Maria Nájera, director of government affairs for the regional
advocacy group, Western Resource Advocates, said it’s essential for
Congress to pass the reconciliation package before Capitol Hill
potentially returns to Republican control in next year’s elections
and the White House potentially does too in 2024.<br>
<br>
Nájera’s group is part of a coalition that’s pressing for $150
billion to be included in the reconciliation package for the Clean
Electricity Payment Program, intended to push utilities toward
ensuring that 80 percent of the nation’s electricity is furnished by
clean energy sources within a decade. She said programs like this
are needed to address a climate emergency that Americans are already
experiencing.<br>
<br>
“It’s only going to get worse,” she concluded. “And, if you’re not
actually focusing on turning off the tap [to slow climate impacts],
all the buckets in the world aren’t going to help you.”...<br>
- - <br>
Sinema’s potential to derail her party’s agenda prompted one
headline writer to declare her a “Democrat Only Republicans Can
Love.” Another said the senator’s resistance to progressives is
“driving them to the brink.” Meanwhile, Joy Behar, host of ABC’s
“The View,” said on Wednesday that Sinema and Manchin “must be
brought to task” because they are blocking the Democratic agenda and
threatened to be “the ruination of the nation.” She said, “These
people are destroying the country in my opinion.”<br>
<br>
Recent news reports also have begun to surface about hostility
toward Sinema among fellow congressional Democrats. Rep. Veronica
Escobar of Texas complained about Sinema’s “lack of transparency
that prevents progress” on the spending bills.<br>
<br>
And Rep. Ro Khanna of California has been listing his grievances
with Sinema in interviews with multiple news outlets: It is “insane”
that the Arizona senator won’t say what she likes and dislikes about
the reconciliation proposal, Khanna told Axios, unlike Manchin, who
made it clear in the press and to colleagues.<br>
<br>
“You know exactly where he’s coming from,” Khanna said.<br>
<br>
To NPR, he added, “You have no sense of how she plans to get the
revenue, you have no sense of what she wants in there, what she’s
not for, and that’s what makes it so difficult.” <br>
<br>
And on MSNBC’s The Reidout, he complained, “How can we negotiate and
compromise when the other person isn’t even willing to have a
starting offer, not just to us, but not to the president?”<br>
<br>
In a statement Sinema’s office released Thursday, her spokesman said
she has made clear her concerns, including dollar figures, to the
White House and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, CNN
reported....<br>
- -<br>
R.L. Miller, founder of California-based Climate Hawks Vote, pointed
out that Sinema was named this summer as one of the 11 senators who
Exxon regards as central to its efforts to derail national climate
legislation. She said Sinema has failed to make positive
contributions to climate policy and could face an intra-party
challenge for reelection because she’s refusing to support the
Democratic agenda at this crucial time.<br>
<br>
“I really think that the Democratic base in Arizona is so angry with
her that it’s gonna kill off her career,” said Miller, who said
progressives have already begun considering prospects to line up a
strong primary challenger for Sinema in 2024.<br>
<br>
“We’ve seen this movie before,” said Miller. “I just don’t know
whether it ends badly for her or for all of us.”<br>
<br>
While the Senate has struggled with the reconciliation package, a
chapter of the youth-led Sunrise Movement based in Mesa has been
protesting outside Sinema’s office even though it is unoccupied
because of the Covid-19 pandemic.<br>
<br>
“Reconciliation is one of the best opportunities to have any climate
legislation, or climate spending, in the next two years,” said
organizer Casey Clowes.<br>
<br>
“We’re posing the question to Sen. Sinema: ‘Which side are you on?
On the side of constituents who are trying to solve and survive the
climate crisis, or on the side of the fossil fuel executives?’” <br>
Judy Fahys, Reporter, Mountain West, National Environmental
Reporting Network<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://insideclimatenews.org/news/01102021/kyrsten-sinema-reconciliation-climate-change/">https://insideclimatenews.org/news/01102021/kyrsten-sinema-reconciliation-climate-change/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[ Listen to the money ] </i><br>
<b>Billionaire Ray Dalio on climate change: ‘It worries me. I worry
for man’</b><br>
Sep 30 2021<br>
Jade Scipioni<br>
- -<br>
Over those past three years, Dalio says, he’s realized that plenty
of folks still talk about climate change in a “theoretical sense.”<br>
<br>
“Many people think 20 years from now is far,” he says. But it “ain’t
far.” he adds.<br>
<br>
In focusing on ocean climate, Dalio says, he’s discovered that few
people understand the massive amounts of carbon dioxide the ocean
absorbs. According to researchers at England’s University of Exeter,
around 25% of all CO2 emissions generated annually by human activity
— roughly 900 million tons — are absorbed in the ocean, making it
one of the world’s largest carbon sinks.<br>
<br>
Before the industrial era, the researchers wrote last year, the
ocean actually released CO2 into the atmosphere. But now, the added
carbon can alter the chemistry of seawater, a process known as ocean
acidification — decreasing the water’s pH level and causing some
organisms’ shells and skeletons to dissolve, significantly altering
the ocean’s food chain...<br>
- -<br>
“It’s almost as though man is like a disease on the planet,” Dalio
says. “And that planet and nature have the ultimate power.”<br>
<br>
According to a poll from the Yale Program on Climate Change
Communication released on Monday, more Americans are becoming
increasingly concerned with climate change. The report says 70% of
Americans are “very” or “somewhat worried” about global warming, an
all-time high since the program started tracking data in March.<br>
<br>
Dalio says corporations and individuals alike can use their money to
positively influence the fight by doing more environmental, social
and governance — or ESG — investing.<br>
<br>
Last year, Dalio’s Bridgewater started advising clients on
environmentally conscious investing and announced plans to open two
sustainable funds in 2021.<br>
<br>
“Fortunately, I think it’s becoming bad or uncool or nasty to be
doing harm to the environment, and it’s becoming cool and
appropriate or polite to do things like ESG investing,” Dalio says.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.cnbc.com/2021/09/30/billionaire-ray-dalio-on-why-climate-change-worries-him.html">https://www.cnbc.com/2021/09/30/billionaire-ray-dalio-on-why-climate-change-worries-him.html</a>
<p><br>
</p>
<br>
<i>[the famous Kevin Anderson interviewed by Nick Breeze... his new
book is due out Oct 17] </i><br>
<b>Professor Kevin Anderson: “To hell in a hand cart”</b><br>
Oct. 1, 2021<br>
Nick Breeze<br>
In the run-up to COP26, we face a new onslaught of mainstream media
coverage of how this conference will decide the fate of humanity.
The truth is that even the best outcome being sought by policymakers
is far short of what the science tells us is needed to stabilise
global climate.<br>
<br>
Since the Rio Earth Summit in 1992, where the accelerating decline
of planetary systems was acknowledged and leaders expressed the need
for change, nothing has been achieved to stop the catastrophic
circumstances that we are facing today.<br>
<br>
In this episode of Shaping The Future I am speaking with Professor
Kevin Anderson about his (and colleagues) new paper to be published
on the 17th October titled, Three Decades of Climate Mitigation: Why
Haven’t We Bent the Global Emissions Curve? <br>
<br>
In this analysis also emerges potential opportunities that could
shift the locus of where we are in entrenched greed by a powerful
few, towards a better prepared and resilient future for the majority
of us.<br>
<br>
In the next episode, I am speaking with Jakapita Nanganda on her
struggle to oppose oil drilling and the contamination and
destruction of forests in Namibia and the struggles her family are
confronting in the face of severe drought. Jakapita will be
traveling to COP26 as part of Fridays For Future International to
demand a brighter future for her generation. <br>
<br>
You can subscribe to Shaping The Future on all major podcast
channels and Youtube and you can also support my work via Patreon.
Please visit GENN.cc for more information.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lnoYIRhUqf8">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lnoYIRhUqf8</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<i><br>
</i><i>[fiction to save our souls]</i><br>
<b>FIX imagine 2200</b><br>
At Fix, we recognize that when writers from different backgrounds
envision the future, the tales they tell expand our ability to
imagine a better world. That’s why we launched a short story
contest, Imagine 2200: Climate Fiction for Future Ancestors. We
encouraged entrants to envision the next 180 years of equitable
climate progress. The three winning stories and nine finalists
create intersectional worlds in which no community is left behind.
Whether built on abundance or adaptation, reform or a new
understanding of survival, these stories provide flickers of hope,
even joy, and serve as a springboard for exploring how fiction can
help create a better reality.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://grist.org/fix/series/imagine-2200-climate-fiction/">https://grist.org/fix/series/imagine-2200-climate-fiction/</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><i>[a cynical history of carbon credits]</i><br>
<b>How @The Spiffing Brit broke the Kyoto Protocol</b><br>
Mar 25, 2021<br>
Simon Clark<br>
Why did the EU emissions market succeed when the Kyoto Protocol
failed? Find out on Nebula by signing up for CuriosityStream at <a
class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.CuriosityStream.com/Simon">https://www.CuriosityStream.com/Simon</a>...<br>
<br>
In this video I'm joined by the wonderful @The Spiffing Brit of
the Yogscast, who shares his expertise in how to exploit
everyone's favourite international treaty, the Kyoto Protocol! We
talk about why the Kyoto Protocol failed to address climate
change, using the wrong tools to try and reduce greenhouse gas
emissions. In particular this video looks at the practice of
carbon emissions trading, a system that fell apart for a good
reason - it was very easy to exploit.<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F3M9-MxyCaQ">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F3M9-MxyCaQ</a><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<br>
<i>[ A little sarcasm video that is NOT for children ]</i><br>
<b>The Pandemic - A Children's Song</b><br>
Sep 30, 2021<br>
Julie Nolke<br>
The realities of living through a pandemic but for kids... well,
sort of...<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ldw10Ef4V8I">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ldw10Ef4V8I</a><br>
<p><br>
</p>
<p><br>
</p>
<i>[The news archive - looking back]</i><br>
<font size="+1"><b>On this day in the history of global warming
October 2, 2008</b></font><br>
<p>October 2, 2008: Vice-presidential candidates Joe Biden and Sarah<br>
Palin spar over climate and energy issues in their lone debate,<br>
moderated by Gwen Ifill.<br>
<br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext"
href="http://youtu.be/5qhox5P_jCg">http://youtu.be/5qhox5P_jCg</a><br>
</p>
<br>
<p>/-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------/</p>
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